Trump Trade Triumph & Manhattan Mass Shooting | 7.30.25

Summary

Morning Wire: Trump Trade Triumph & Manhattan Mass Shooting | July 30, 2025

Presented by John Bickley and Georgia Howe

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I. President Trump's International Trade and Peace Negotiations

Timestamp: 00:04 - 05:43

In this episode, John Bickley and Georgia Howe delve into President Trump's significant achievements on the international stage. Following a productive weekend in the United Kingdom, President Trump secured a monumental trade deal with the European Union (EU) and brokered a crucial peace agreement between Thailand and Cambodia.

A. EU Trade Deal

Mary Margaret Olihan, Daily Wire's White House correspondent, provides an in-depth analysis of the EU trade agreement. The deal promises "unprecedented levels of market access" for American businesses, allowing farmers, ranchers, fishermen, and manufacturers to expand their exports to Europe. Key highlights include:

• Reciprocal, Fair, and Balanced Trade: Enhances opportunities for American goods in the EU market while aiming to reduce the trade deficit.
• Tariff Reductions: The EU will eliminate significant tariffs on American industrial goods, fostering competitiveness for U.S. products in Europe.
• Energy and Investment Commitments: The EU plans to purchase $750 billion worth of U.S. energy exports and invest $600 billion in the United States during Trump's tenure, plus over $100 billion annually from EU companies.

Mary Margaret cites EU Commission President’s statements: "We hit exactly the point we wanted to find. Rebalance, but enable trade on both sides, which means good jobs on both sides of the Atlantic, means prosperity on both sides." (02:53)

B. Peace Deal Between Thailand and Cambodia

Trump's diplomatic efforts extended to Southeast Asia, where he successfully mediated a ceasefire between Thailand and Cambodia. President Trump emphasized the humanitarian impact: "They have saved thousands of lives," and announced the resumption of trade negotiations post-ceasefire. This move aligns with Trump's track record, having brokered approximately one peace deal or ceasefire monthly during his presidency.

C. Ongoing Negotiations with China

Despite the successes with the EU and Southeast Asia, negotiations with China in Stockholm concluded without a definitive agreement to prevent a tariff surge. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessen remained optimistic, highlighting the constructive nature of the discussions: "We had great momentum... the Chinese were surprised by the magnitude of the Japan deal, by the magnitude and the terms of the European deal." (05:14) This suggests that while immediate outcomes were limited, the groundwork for future negotiations remains promising.

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II. Manhattan Mass Shooting: A Tragic Event

Timestamp: 06:51 - 11:12

The podcast shifts focus to the tragic mass shooting in Midtown Manhattan, marking the deadliest incident in New York City in 25 years.

A. Incident Overview

Tim Pierce reports that on Monday evening, a 27-year-old shooter attacked an office building at 345 Park Avenue. The assailant fired indiscriminately, resulting in four fatalities and one injury before taking his own life. The attack occurred near major landmarks such as Rockefeller Center and the Museum of Modern Art, raising concerns about safety in one of the city's most frequented areas.

B. Possible Motives and Background

The shooter’s motives appear linked to mental illness, specifically referencing Chronic Traumatic Encephalopathy (CTE), a condition associated with repeated head trauma in contact sports. Although the shooter never played in the NFL, he harbored grievances related to CTE, suggesting a target on NFL headquarters housed within the same building. Mayor Eric Adams commented on the shooter's suicide note, indicating a motive intertwined with mental health struggles.

C. Mental Health Factors

Tim Pierce elaborates on the shooter's background, noting his history of mental health issues, including prior detentions for evaluations in 2022 and 2024. This highlights ongoing concerns about mental health support and intervention.

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III. Cincinnati Mass Brawl and Official Reactions

Timestamp: 09:00 - 11:16

The episode also covers a violent brawl in Cincinnati, which has ignited controversy and finger-pointing among officials.

A. Incident Details

A brawl resulting in at least five charges, including felony assault and aggravated riot, has raised alarms. The altercation involved a predominantly Black mob attacking lighter-skinned individuals. Notably, one of the arrested individuals was previously jailed for felony weapons and stolen property but was released on bail.

B. Official Responses and Controversies

Cincinnati Police Chief Teresa Fiji faced backlash for her statements blaming social media, journalists, and witnesses for misrepresenting the incident. She stated: "At times, social media and mainstream media... distort the content of what actually happened and make our job more difficult." (09:29) This has been perceived by many as an attempt to deflect responsibility and avoid addressing underlying issues such as racial tensions, despite no current evidence suggesting racial motivations in the violence.

Democratic Mayor Aftab Purval further stirred the conversation by attributing the brawl to broader national issues, including potential hate crimes under scrutiny by the Trump administration. This has led to widespread speculation and disappointment over the lack of clear accountability.

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IV. America's Birth Rate Crisis

Timestamp: 11:16 - 15:37

A significant portion of the episode addresses the alarming decline in the U.S. birth rate, highlighting it as an existential threat to the nation's future.

A. Statistical Overview

Cabot Phillips, Senior Editor at Daily Wire, reports that the CDC's 2024 annual birth report reveals a fertility rate of 1.59, the lowest on record and a 19% decline over the past two decades. This rate falls below the replacement level of 2.1, signaling that without intervention, America's population could decline as baby boomers retire.

B. Contributing Factors

Phillips identifies several factors driving the decline:

• Social Changes: Women are delaying marriage and childbirth, with the average first-time mother now at 27.5 years old, up from 22 in 1980.
• Child-Free Choices: Approximately 30% of adults without children are intentionally choosing to remain child-free.
• Generational Shifts: Younger generations are increasingly indifferent to having children, as evidenced by a Harvard poll showing fewer than half of adults under 30 prioritize parenthood.
• Biological Declines: A dramatic 62% drop in average male sperm counts since 1970 correlates with rising obesity rates, sedentary lifestyles, and exposure to harmful chemicals like PFAS that disrupt hormonal balance and fertility.

C. Government Response

In response to this crisis, the Trump administration has implemented several measures aimed at encouraging higher birth rates:

• Executive Order on In Vitro Fertilization: Reducing costs to make fertility treatments more accessible.
• Expanded Child Tax Credit: Providing financial incentives for families to have more children.
• Proposed Baby Bonus: Introducing a $5,000 cash incentive for each new birth.

Vice President J.D. Vance and RFK Jr. have also voiced strong support for these initiatives, emphasizing the need to address both the social and environmental factors contributing to the decline in fertility.

Phillips underscores the severity of the situation, stating: "This could have an enormous impact not just on our culture, but also our economy." (12:40)

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V. Natural Disaster Alert: Earthquake and Tsunami Warnings

Timestamp: 15:37 - 16:11

The episode concludes with a brief update on a developing natural disaster. An 8.8 magnitude earthquake struck off the coast of Russia, prompting evacuation advisories for coastal areas in Hawaii and tsunami warnings for Alaska's Aleutian Islands and the entire U.S. West Coast. Listeners are encouraged to stay informed through dailywire.com for the latest updates.

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Conclusion

This episode of Morning Wire provides a comprehensive overview of critical events shaping the national and international landscape as of July 30, 2025. From President Trump's significant trade and peace negotiations to the tragic mass shooting in Manhattan, the unsettling decline in America's birth rate, and emerging natural disasters, the hosts deliver a detailed and insightful analysis designed to inform and engage listeners.

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Thank you for waking up with Morning Wire. Stay tuned for more news you need to know.

Transcript

[John Bickley]

While Trump secures a massive trade deal with the eu, his deputies work to hammer out negotiations with China.

[Scott Bessen]

We don't want to decouple. We just need to de risk with certain strategic industries.

[John Bickley]

I'm Daily Wire Executive Editor John Bickley with Georgia Howe. It's Wednesday, July 30th, and this is Morning Wire.

[Georgia Howe]

More details emerge about the mass shooting in New York while officials lash out at the media after the brutal Cincinnati brawl.

[Teresa Fiji]

Social media and journalism and the role it plays in this incident. And yes, guys, that's you. That is you.

[John Bickley]

And is the US Facing a birth rate crisis? We look at all the numbers and the possible repercussions.

[Georgia Howe]

Thanks for waking up with Morning wire. Stay tuned. We have the news you need to know.

[Taylor Rogers]

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[Georgia Howe]

President Trump arrived home at the White House last night after a busy weekend negotiating trade and peace deals in the United Kingdom.

[John Bickley]

Here to share the highlights from the President's visit is Daily Wire White House correspondent Mary Margaret Olihan. Hey, Mary Margaret. So what's the latest from the White House?

[Mary Margaret Olihan]

Hey guys. So, yes, the President touched down at the White House last night around 7:30pm after an eventful few days across the pond. Not only did he negotiate a massive trade deal agreement with the European Union, but he also achieved A crucial peace deal between Thailand and Cambodia. Assistant Press Secretary Taylor Rogers told me yesterday. And I'm quoting from peace deals to trade deals. This President has proven to be the ultimate negotiator and dealmaker in chief on behalf of the American people.

[John Bickley]

So let's dig more into the EU trade deal. Cabot provided some highlights, but what does it entail?

[Mary Margaret Olihan]

Yes, so the White House says that Americans will have unprecedented levels of market access to the European Union through this deal. Under the deal's terms, the United States and European Union reached a cooperation agreement on reciprocal, fair and balanced trade, enabling American farmers, ranchers, fishermen and manufacturers to increase their exports and expand their opportunities, as well as reduce the goods trade deficit with the European Union. The EU will also remove significant tariffs on American goods, including on American industrial goods exported to the eu, which should create huge opportunities for American made and American grown goods to compete in Europe. The hope is that this will drive growth across the American economy. And the European Union will purchase $750 billion worth of United States energy exports during the duration of of Trump's time in office. And they'll invest 600 billion in the United States throughout the President's term, in addition to over $100 billion invested in the U.S. every year by the EU companies. Here's the EU Commission President explaining how the EU and the U.S. rebalance trade negotiations. I think we hit exactly the point we wanted to find. Rebalance, but enable trade on both sides, which means good jobs on both sides of the Atlantic, means prosperity on both sides of the Atlantic. And that was important for us.

[John Bickley]

So truly a massive deal here. What about this peace deal between Thailand and Cambodia? Where does that stand now?

[Mary Margaret Olihan]

Right, so as we had reported on Morning Wire, the President had warned both Thailand and Cambodia that he would not make any trade deals with either country if they continued warring with one another. He announced on Truth Social Monday that both countries had reached a ceasefire and peace. He wrote that they have, quote, saved thousands of lives and that he's instructed his trade team to restart negotiations on trade. As our friends at Breitbart reported, the President has brokered on average about one peace deal or ceasefire per month throughout his presidency so far.

[John Bickley]

Now, meanwhile in Sweden, Chinese and American trade negotiators finished up a days long meeting. They don't have any specific resolution to avoid a tariff surge at this point. What can you tell us on that front?

[Mary Margaret Olihan]

Yes, so the third round of meetings with China concluded without any solid trade agreement. But Treasury Secretary Scott Bessen still suggested that the trade adviser's time in Stockholm was still constructive.

[Scott Bessen]

We had great momentum going into the meeting thanks to the President's trade deals. I think that the Chinese were surprised by the magnitude of the Japan deal, by the magnitude and the terms of the European deal. So I think that they were. They're never compliant, but I believe that they were in more of a mood for a wide ranging discussion.

[John Bickley]

Clearly lots of developments happening on the international front. Big week for the President. Mary Margaret, thanks so much for reporting.

[Mary Margaret Olihan]

Thanks for having me.

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[John Bickley]

New York City suffered its deadliest mass shooting in a quarter of a century. On Monday, a 27 year old shooter stormed an office building in Midtown Manhattan before turning the gun on himself.

[Georgia Howe]

Daily Wire reporter Tim Pierce is here to talk about the shooting and the fallout. So Tim, people are trying to make sense of what happened in New York on Monday. First, what happened?

[John Bickley]

Yeah.

[Tim Pierce]

According to police, the shooter is a 27 year old who played high school football in California and lived in Las Vegas. At around 6:30pm on Monday, the gunman walked into the lobby of a skyscraper office building at 345 Park Avenue. He sprayed the room with bullets and hit a police officer, a security guard and another man and woman. He then stepped on an elevator, ignoring a woman who was getting off, and took it up to the 33rd floor where he shot another woman and then himself. In total, four people were killed and one more person was injured. The shooter died from his own gunshot wound to the chest. Now, on top of it being the worst mass shooting in the city since 2000, this happened to be a really safe part of the city and a big tourist spot too. The Rockefeller center and the Museum of Modern Art are just a few blocks away. Also worth noting, the New York Police Department honored the slain officer Diderol Islam on Monday night. Here's some video from Officer Islam's dignified transfer.

[Georgia Howe]

So the big question is always why do we have any information about that?

[Tim Pierce]

Well, it appears to be connected to mental illness. The shooter was carrying what's been called a suicide note in his pocket. That suggests he was targeting the NFL headquarters that are located in the same building. He never got there. The 33rd floor is occupied by a different company. But here's New York City Mayor Eric Adams talking about the shooter's note.

[Taylor Rogers]

He alluded to having CTE from playing in the NFL. He never played in the NFL and he alluded to the CTE being the reason for his illness. It appears as though he was going after the employees at the NFL.

[Tim Pierce]

CTE is a brain disease linked to repeated head trauma. It's been a big topic of discussion around professional contact sports, including the NFL. But from what we know, the shooter stopped playing football after high school. He does have a history of mental health problems. He was detained at least twice for mental health evaluations. Once in 2022 and again in 2024.

[Georgia Howe]

Well, a terrible story. And just yesterday we reported on a brawl in Cincinnati where at least two people were attacked. What are the latest developments there?

[Tim Pierce]

Well, Cincinnati Police Chief Teresa Fiji has come under some heat for a press conference she gave Monday on the attack. During the press conference she announced that five people have been charged so far. But she also cast around a lot of blame on witnesses for not calling 911 on bars for possibly over serving some of the people involved and on journalists and social media influencers.

[Teresa Fiji]

At times, social media and mainstream media and their commentaries are misrepresentation of the circumstances surrounding any given event. Because what happens that social media post and your coverage of it distorts the content of what actually happened and it makes our job more difficult.

[Tim Pierce]

Now, a lot of people saw this as the G looking for scapegoats to avoid talking about the conduct of the videos. Namely what appears appears to be a mostly black mob beating up several lighter skinned people. Now of those five charged, two have been arrested. One man and one woman. Both are charged with felony assault and aggravated riot. Worth noting, the man was actually in jail earlier this month on felony weapons and stolen property charges. But he was allowed back on the street after posting 400 for bail. Cincinnati's Democratic mayor Aftab Purval weighed in again on the brawl after his Monday statement. He blamed the Trump administration, which announced it's looking at the case for any potential hate crimes. There's no indication at this point that that race was a motivation in, in this, in this violent act. There's a lot of speculation raging from, you know, very high levels of the national government, which is disappointing.

[Georgia Howe]

So it sounds like a lot of finger pointing from officials.

[Tim Pierce]

Yeah.

[Georgia Howe]

Tim, thanks for reporting.

[Tim Pierce]

Thanks for having me on.

[Georgia Howe]

New data shows the US Birth rate dropped to an all time low last year, continuing a convergence concerning decades long trend.

[John Bickley]

Daily Wire senior editor Cabot Phillips is here with the details. Hey, Cabot. So this is something that you've been really watching closely for the last few years. We've done a couple of reports on this in the past. There's some new numbers here. They're concerning. Tell us about this.

[Cabot Phillips]

Well, to put it simply, Americans are having less babies than ever before. This month, the CDC released their annual birth report and another year of concerning data. It showed that in 2024, America's fertility rate fell to 1.59. That means the average woman in the US now gives birth to well under two children on average over her lifetime. Not only is that the lowest mark on record, it represents a 19% decline in the last 20 years. For context, fewer babies were born in America in 2024 than in 1964, despite the fact that our population has nearly doubled since then. Now, some people might hear the story and say, well, the times are changing. What's the big deal? But the problem is a fertility rate of 1.59 puts America well below the replacement level, which is 2.1. In other words, a generation can only replace itself if the average woman has two or more babies. So if this current trend continues, it'll have an enormous impact not just on our culture, but also our economy. As baby boomers continue to age out of the workforce, this trend means there will be fewer and fewer Americans to replace them.

[John Bickley]

So really a staggering dip, almost 20% in the last 20 years. So to the obvious question, what is driving this?

[Cabot Phillips]

Well, first, there's certainly a social element at play. With women now comprising nearly 50% of the workforce, they're waiting longer than ever to get married and have kids. In 1980, the average first time mother in America was 22. By 2011, they were 25. And now they are 27 and a half. There's also been a considerable increase in the number of Americans who are intentionally choosing not to have kids at all. One study found that 30% of adults without children are now child free by choice. And younger Americans are less likely to want kids than any generation before them. A recent Harvard poll, for example, found that fewer than half of all adults under 30 say that having kids is important to them. But it's worth noting there are also significant biological factors at play as well.

[John Bickley]

Yeah, let's get into the biological factors. What are some of those?

[Cabot Phillips]

Well, this could be a whole episode in itself, but the bottom line is people are simply less fertile than they used to be. Get this, the average male sperm count has fallen 62% since 1970. That is not a typo. Those findings have been replicated in a slew of different studies. Now, part of that decline can be attributed to lifestyle obesity. And a sedentary lifestyle lowers fertility. And in the last 50 years, obesity rates have tripled worldwide. There's also the role of dangerous chemicals and pollutants in our water and food supply, namely pfas, or forever chemicals, which are used in just about everything from clothing to plastics and cooking utensils. Those chemicals build up in our bodies over time, and they've been proven over and over to disrupt hormone production and in turn hinder fertility.

[John Bickley]

So a lot of factors at play, some lifestyle, some external issues. So what's being done to combat this?

[Cabot Phillips]

Well, the Trump administration has made clear that they view this decline as a crisis. In response, the president has taken executive action to encourage folks to now have more kids. First, he signed an executive order to reduce the cost of in vitro fertilization. He's also expanded the child tax credit and proposed a baby bonus that would offer $5,000 in cash to new parents after each birth. So they're trying to clearly incentivize folks to have kids. For his part, Vice President J.D. vance has been maybe the most outspoken about increasing birth rates, which he calls a civ crisis and existential threat to America. Here he is, for example, at the March for Life earlier this year.

[Taylor Rogers]

Let me say very simply, I want more babies in the United States of America. And it is the task of our government to make it easier for young moms and dads to afford to have kids, to bring them into the world and to welcome them as the blessings that we know they are.

[Cabot Phillips]

And then elsewhere in the White House, RFK Jr. Has also vowed to address the rumor root causes of this crisis. He says he's going to work on removing dangerous chemicals from our food supply and also educating Americans about the effects that processed foods can have on fertility.

[John Bickley]

Like you said, I don't think it's an exaggeration to call this a true crisis that we're facing here. Kappa, thanks so much for reporting.

[Cabot Phillips]

Absolutely.

[John Bickley]

Another story we're tracking Officials in Hawaii urged residents to evacuate the coastal areas Tuesday Evening after an 8.8 magnitude earthquake struck off the coast of Russia. Alaska's Aleutian Islands also received tsunami warnings while the entire west coast of the US Was under tsunami advisories. Look for updates on this developing story on dailywire.com thanks for waking up with us.

[Georgia Howe]

And if you're watching on YouTube, please like and subscribe. We'll be back later this evening with more news you need to know.

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