Transcript
Vivian Tu (0:00)
Trump's Big, Beautiful or Butt ugly bill has passed. What even is this thing? We've tried trickle down economics for multiple decades at this point, and at no point, at any point in time has this ever worked. I don't think people realize that Donald Trump and this administration do not care who you are. Nearly 16 million individuals could lose their health insurance. Just because you're not on Medicaid doesn't mean this doesn't impact you. So I guess the US Is going from broke to broker foreign what's up rich friends? And welcome back to another episode of Net Worth and Chill. I'm your host, Vivian Tu, AKA your rich BFF and your favorite Wall street girly. As you may have heard, Trump's Big beautiful or butt ugly bill, depending on who you ask, has passed. A lot of people are really scared and confused about what this bill actually means for them. I mean, with roughly a thousand pages, it's not exactly light reading and it's not easy for people to understand what this bill even covers, let alone how it'll affect them. As a quick note, as you listen to this episode or watch this episode, just note that we are using best estimate numbers from policy firms from research institutes. That said, the true impact of this bill will not fully be understood until we actually start to see some of these changes implemented. But these are some of the rough estimate numbers that we have been able to find. So today I'm breaking down the One Big Beautiful Bill, what it means for you and when when you can expect to see some of these changes come into play. Let's get into it.
Pure Leaf Iced Tea (1:36)
Support for this show comes from Pure Leaf iced tea. When you find yourself in the afternoon slump, you need the right thing to make you bounce back. You need pure leaf iced tea. It's real brewed tea made in a variety of bold flavors with just the right amount of naturally occurring caffeine. You're left feeling refreshed and revitalized so you can be ready to take on what's next. The next time you need to hit the reset button, grab a pure leaf iced tea. Time for a tea break. Time for a pure leaf.
Vivian Tu (2:07)
So first off, what even is this thing? The Big Beautiful Bill, officially known as the One Big Beautiful Bill act, is a comprehensive budget reconciliation law that was just passed by Congress and signed into law by President Trump on July 4, 2025. It's Trump's landmark legislation with a lot of the policies he's been touting on the campaign trail all rolled into one giant do document. And by giant I really do mean giant. It's almost a thousand pages for a quick summary. It's essentially a 4.5 trillion dollar package combining tax cuts, spending cuts and additional border security measures. This bill is expected to increase our national debt by $3.4 trillion over the next decade, according to the Congressional Budget Office. As a reminder, we are currently $36.2 trillion in debt. So I guess the US is going from broke to broker. Cue brokey by lotto. So what is the bill? It's basically a giant bill. Haha. Get it. But I'm this bill was super contentious on both sides of the political spectrum, but despite all the initial pushback, it passed. So now we're stuck with it for the time being. What are the biggest changes? Before we get into what it all means, we have to look at some of the high level changes people can expect with this bill. The so first up, tax breaks. This bill contains about $4.5 trillion in tax cuts, which if you were following Trump's campaign, is pretty much in line with what he promised his supporters. This bill includes a slight increase in the child tax credit from 2000 to $2200. It's worth noting that this tax credit is only available for people making between 2,500 and $200,000 for single filers and up to $400,000 for joint filers. There's also an increased cap on state and local tax deductions, salt deductions, which is now $40,000 up from $10,000. This basically allows people to decrease their federal taxes owed by taking out what they have already paid to their state. There's also a new temporary tax deduction for tips, overtime, work and auto loans. There's lots of business related tax cuts in this bill, including up to 100% deductions for equipment and research. Trump has also made his 2017 tax cuts permanent, which reduced the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%. These were previously set to expire but will now continue. What I want to emphasize here is that while at first glance all of this sounds great, there are loads of stipulations and caveats and exceptions and oh by the ways, on every single one of these changes, which will dictate who is and isn't eligible, it's not quite as simple as these blanket statements might make it seem. So it's important to acknowledge that depending on where you fall in income level or wealth scale, you may have more or less access to to these new benefits. Moving on to immigration, Trump has decided to dump buckets, and I mean buckets of money into anti immigration tactics. This includes $350 billion for the completion of his border wall and to create 100,000 beds in deportation camps. Trump is also looking to hire thousands of new border control officers with signing bonuses. Yes, you heard me right. We are now providing signing bonuses for border control officers. This is incredibly disturbing on so many levels. We are literally diverting funds for the sole purpose of kicking people out of the country, some of whom are actual citizens or on their way to becoming legal citizens. Furthermore, this mass roundup of humans being put into detention and deportation centers is just deeply inhumane. It's your neighbor, your friends, a parent from your kid's school, and even just random people who fit the visual bill. Moving on to defense. This bill adds about $150 billion to to the defense budget, with $25 billion going to a new Golden Dome missile defense system. What is the Golden Dome, you may ask? It's a US Missile defense system similar to Israel's Iron Dome, but it's gold because Trump. I've talked about this before, but we spent close to 1 trillion with a T dollars last year on defense. So it seems like the trend of our increased defense spending is going to continue. Now, switching gears, let's talk a little bit about the major cuts to Medicaid to help compensate for reduced tax revenue from high income individuals. Republicans are targeting cuts to Medicaid. This bill cuts about $1 trillion from Medicaid over the next decade and is also implementing a $35 copay for people using Medicaid. One thing that I've recently seen in news headlines that I found to be incredibly disturbing, there was a person who said that they voted for Donald Trump to spite the liberals and to make the snowflakes cry. And unsurprisingly then they found out that they were actually the ones being harmed because their Medicaid was being cut and they weren't going to have access to their life saving medication. And that person is now basically attempting to use GoFundMe as their health insurance. I don't think people realize that Donald Trump and this administration do not care who you are. If you are not rich, they see you as collateral damage. So I'm deeply disturbed by that. But I think it is very important to acknowledge that there will be changes to Medicaid coming. Now that we've talked about medicine, let's also talk about food. There are some cuts to Supplemental Nutrition assistance program, the SNAP program. $186 billion has been cut from SNAP, which helps low income folks with food assistance. I think this is going to become a major problem because people do need to eat, but I'll give you my opinion on that a little bit later in this episode. Now that's certainly not everything in the bill, but it's some of the most important items that will have direct financial consequences for you. Before you start saying, Vivian, this is not going to affect me, just hear me out. Let's talk a little bit about who's actually benefiting from this monstrous bill. Surprise, surprise. It's the usual suspects, meaning the wealthy and big corporations are going to see the majority of the favorable aspects for from the bill. Corporate America is overjoyed. Corporations are going to be able to save majorly with these permanent corporate tax cuts and increased opportunities for write offs. While the hope is that this stimulates the economy, it also leaves the US with less revenue from the taxes of the largest corporations. My concerns here are that we've tried trickle down economics for multiple decades at this point and at no point, at any point in time has this ever worked. When corporations and the ultra wealthy make more money, that money doesn't trickle down to middle class and working class consumers. It gets hoarded. CEOs get paid more. Compensation packages for C suite executives get bigger, but these corporations don't pass this money back on to the little guy. Similarly, in line with corporations, manufacturers can now fully deduct costs of new manufacturing facilities built between January 2025 to 2029 plus get enhanced semiconductor tax credits. So if you're a manufacturer, this is likely going to benefit you. Additionally, high income Americans. American taxpayers earning $1 million or more per year will see about a 3% increase in their take home pay because of tax cuts. According to CNBC. This translates into about an additional $75,000 in 2026. According to the Tax Policy Center. This bill is certainly a win for the 1%. And I've been very honest in saying this, that financially this bill is a win for people like me. That doesn't mean it's good for America. And ultimately, even if the richest people in this country continue to grow and grow their wealth, a country is not healthy financially if we don't have a strong middle class. Speaking of another sector of working folks that is going to benefit TIP based workers. Under a program called no Tax on Tips, tip workers such as restaurant servers, barbers and drivers would be able to deduct up to $25,000 in qualified tips. So this would provide some seriously immediate financial relief. I do just want to stress that this does not mean no taxes on tips. It means that you are able to not pay taxes on the first $25,000 worth of tips that you receive. The slogan of the scheme is just a touch misleading, so I want to make that really clear. Additionally, workers who work overtime will also receive a tax break up to 12,500 DOL for a single person, or $25,000 if you're filing jointly. So again, another group of winners here for both tax and overtime, the ability to deduct these starts to phase out. Once you hit $150,000 as a single filer, or $300,000 if you're filing jointly, your ability to deduct goes down by $100 for every $1,000 you make over those limits. If you're wondering if you qualify professions that will benefit from this are defined in the bill as food and bev workers, barbering and hair care, nail care, aesthetics, and body and spa treatments. Additional professions outside of some of these very basic ones that do receive tips are subject to further review from the IRS and might not get this benefit. In my mind, I feel like this was very much deliberately written this way to leave out potential folks like dancers or sex workers or folks that may have jobs that the IRS may deem suspicious, quote unquote important to call that out. It's unfortunate, but definitely something to keep in mind. Another group of folks who are going to benefit High tax state residents since the SALT tax deduction has gone up to $40,000, those in high tax states like California and New York could see lower federal taxes because when they are calculating the actual number that their taxes for the federal government are calculated off of, they will already be deducting how much they've spent on state and local taxes. So this would likely leave more money back in their pockets. Now onto a darker half of this conversation. Who loses with this bill? Spoiler alert. It's our most vulnerable who's going to be hurt? Well, low income people and families, rural communities, older adults, people with disabilities, students from middle class and working class families, and our environment stand to lose the most with this bill. Here's the breakdown of what these communities could expect for low income families. First and foremost, Medicaid cuts. With approximately $1 trillion in cuts to Medicaid over the next decade, nearly 16 million individuals could lose their health insurance by 2034. This is particularly critical for families who rely on Medicaid for medical care and services. And it's also important to note that with these cuts to Medicaid Obviously, those lower income families stand to lose the most. But it also means medical procedures and visits are about to get more expensive for everyone, meaning you. The cuts to Medicaid would destabilize the health care system, harming providers and increasing uncompensated care for patients from hospitals. When more people become uninsured, when they have medical emergencies, hospitals absorb the cost of treating patients in emergency situations, which then gets passed on to other patients and insurers. So it's not just people who rely on Medicaid who are going to potentially see increased health care costs. Plus, if you don't have insurance, you're less likely to go in for preventative care because it costs more. So you're only going to get treated in emergency situations. The health care system is interconnected. When one part of that system, like Medicaid, gets cut severely, it affects the entire system's ability to serve all patients, regardless of their insurance status. I cannot stress this enough. Just because you're not on Medicaid doesn't mean this doesn't impact you. Poor people don't stop having medical emergencies, they just stop being able to afford them. When hospitals eat these costs, they get passed on to paying patients. Furthermore, if people can't afford routine medical care, they stop going, which might make it hard for your rural hospital or medical center to keep the lights on. You end up in a medical provider desert because other people can't afford to see a doctor. Now back to that SNAP conversation we were discussing earlier. With these snap cuts, 22.3 million families stand to lose some or all of their SNAP benefits. According to the Urban Institute, a nonpartisan research and policy center. The main reason people are at risk of losing access to SNAP is not just because of the budget cuts, but also the changes in qualifications, specifically the new work requirements. Under the new requirements, adults aged 55 to 64 without dependent children, as well as parents whose Youngest child is 14 or older, must work at least 20 hours weekly or enroll in job training programs. The previous age limit was 54. So this would potentially impact about 900,000 adults who weren't previously subject to these work mandates. That's almost a million people who are at risk of losing access to affordable food with this new work requirement. It'll impact those who have disabilities and those who are older but maybe don't qualify for disability assistance assistance. They'll still be forced to work to keep this benefit or risk losing their access to food. I know people are like, well, if they're, if they're getting this access. They should be working. Call me when you find somebody who is actively hiring seniors with disabilities. It is very, very hard to find a job in this current market and furthermore, many of these folks who are working may not have the right resources to fill out the paperwork properly because they are unable to make this administrative task. One more thing on their to do list they may lose their access to nutritious food. SNAP serves as a vital lifeline for working families struggling with low wages, seniors on fixed incomes, individuals with disabilities, or other vulnerable populations. The center on Budget and Policy priorities analysis of 2024 USDA data reveals that nearly two thirds of SNAP recipients live in households with children or while more than one third are part of working families who still can't afford adequate food despite having jobs. These people don't just stop eating food, they're going to have to find new ways to get it. You thought going to the grocery store was expensive? Now wait until they have to account for a higher amount of product loss. See what eggs cost then. And overall, I am generally more concerned with crime going up as more people become more financially desperate. The people who make the worst choices aren't of a certain race, gender, age or any other demographic. It's people who've been backed into a corner. And that's exactly what we're doing with our most vulnerable Summer's here, and Nordstrom.
