Transcript
Sponsor/Ad Voice (0:01)
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Thomas Haigh (0:30)
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Lee Vincl (0:47)
Uh, Limu is that guy with the binoculars watching us.
Thomas Haigh (0:50)
Cut the camera. They see us.
Lee Vincl (0:52)
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Lee Vincl (1:27)
Specialoffer welcome to the New Books Network.
Lee Vincl (1:34)
Welcome to Peoples and Things where we explore human life with technology. I'm Lee Vinc.
Lee Vincl (1:58)
My God, our current AI bubble. What is there to say? Well, it's incredible. We can say that for starters, it's much larger than the dot com bubble which led to the dot com bust. Some recent articles say our current bubble is more than 17 times larger than that earlier one. And it's been so textbook. In this bubble, it's like everyone is playing from a well known standardized, generic basic bitch textbook. I mean the way that people have become irrationally exuberant around generative AI and argue that it's going to change everything. But also the way crit hypey critics, including lots of people in the fields I work in, the critics have come along and made outlandish claims about the potential and real negative effects of this technology, including about its impacts on the environment, on work and wages and employment, on critical thinking, on the degree to which people have a writerly or poetic voice, and so on and so forth. My God, the textbook nature of it all. Both the hype and the criti hype have been so, so disappointing and to be frank, to be real with you, it has broken a part of my soul. A breaking that has at once been very painful, but also ultimately profoundly liberating. When this bubble is over, what's gonna be left? Well, first off, let's just hope the air goes out of it slowly, huh? Not in a pop, or else we could be in a pile of trouble, really. I mean, AI capital expenditure accounted for something like half of US GDP this past year. If that goes all of a sudden, along with a mountain of value in folks retirement accounts and such, well, things could get pretty ugly indeed. But what else will be left over from this bubble? The reality is that none of us know. It will take years for the meso organizational and macroeconomic effects of generative AI adoption to become clear, if they ever do. And it could be, as many are arguing today, that the kinds of irrational infrastructural investments in data centers and such could have unforeseen benefits down the road, as some argue happened with telecom infrastructural investments during the dot com moment. But in the meantime, so many folks will have gone along with the powerful narratives about the promises of this technology. They will have gone along with the marketing, both the marketing of these new technologies and the marketing of critics books about the dangers of these new technologies. Because let me tell you, holy crud. There is a wave of Genii criticism books being published and on the way. Oh my God. I get asked to review and blurb them on a weekly basis. My belly tells me. Well, it tells me that most of them will hold up as well in a decade as podcast bro Sam Altman's ridiculous statements about the existential risk of AGI or whatever the fuck. But what if someone came along and told you that in a deep and non trivial sense, the very concept of AI has always been about marketing? That's what eminent computer historian Thomas Haig does in his forthcoming book, tentatively titled Artificial Intelligence the History of a Brand. Haig, who is a professor of history and affiliated faculty of Computer Science at University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, has written a lot, including co authored books on ENIAC and the general history of modern computing, which you should look up. In his forthcoming book, Tom examines the history of modern AI going back to its roots in the 1950s, and examines how and why different groups found it useful to slot their technologies, which often had very little do with one another, under the term AI. Let me tell you folks, I love this little concise book. It packs a punch. One of the things I most appreciated about it is that Tom is able to deftly track both the real history of different developments in hardware and software and the history of what people have said about these things over time, which is what we sometimes call historiography. It's very rare for historians to be able to do these things so nicely and compactly together. And the book is fun and ironic with this kind of British understated humor. It had me in stitches. I am very excited to give you a little preview of this book, which you're going to want to buy. You know, there's a famous, in these parts, at least, famous military marching band here at Virginia Tech called the Heidy Tighties, who sometimes play outside my office window here on campus. And I say, thank you, lasses and lads, I know you came here to play just to inspire me, but sometimes I wish, what if they could just accompany me when I was introducing other people's works? My God, they could play a little fanfare.
