Podcast Summary: Next Up with Mark Halperin
Episode: Katie Miller Fires Back at Media Attackers, Boat Strike Constitutional Crisis, Trump's Comeback Plan
Date: December 2, 2025
Host: Mark Halperin (MK Media)
Episode Overview
This episode explores three major topics:
- President Trump’s current political challenges and the Republican “comeback plan” (reported monologue by Mark Halperin)
- The legal and constitutional controversy over US drone strikes on cartel boats in the Caribbean, featuring constitutional law professor Jed Rubenfeld
- The intense public scrutiny and personal attacks faced by Katie Miller and her family, with a conversation between Halperin and Miller about handling media vilification and personal threats
The episode features candid, in-depth discussion, sharp political analysis, and straight talk about the real-life consequences of high-level public service.
1. Trump’s Comeback Plan: The GOP’s Strategy for 2025–26
[01:25–26:00]
Current State of Play
- Trump is in a political “low point”: Public and private polling suggest Republicans are anxious ([03:32]).
- Unexpected calm among Democrats, with leaders like Sen. Mark Kelly radiating “serene confidence” that Trump’s influence is fading ([07:48]—[08:27]).
- There’s a sense that Democrats believe “this time, his downfall is real,” but Republicans caution against underestimating Trump ([05:20]).
Notable Quote
"Your time is up, Donald Trump. And this time we mean it."
—Mark Halperin imitating the newer, calmer “Mark Kelly wing” of Democrat messaging ([08:27])
Republican Perspective: Comeback “Phases”
Republican strategists split the coming year into four phases, with each requiring action:
- Now–Christmas: Immediate wins needed (Tennessee special election, Venezuela/Maduro, Ukraine-Russia deal, release of Epstein files, health care, possible cabinet changes, Supreme Court cases) ([13:23]–[14:47]).
- New Year–State of the Union: Trump must own “affordability”—kitchen table economic concerns like inflation, health care, and energy ([14:47]–[18:35]).
- “They want the President to focus…on beating inflation…Not about vibes, not about grievances against Joe Biden.” ([15:49])
- Post-SOTU–Summer: Broaden political appeal—especially to young men—and focus on “80/20 issues” that unite the GOP and split Democrats ([18:35]–[21:23]).
- “Give young men something real to grab onto about the Trump presidency—jobs, opportunities...” ([18:56])
- Labor Day–Midterms: Sprint to the election; sustain momentum.
Keys to the Comeback
- Win “visible” victories: “He’s had too many defeats now. They want to see more victories.” ([21:35])
- Put affordability at the center ([22:16])
- Unite GOP factions: Bridge MAGA and GOP establishment by focusing on issues with broad conservative appeal ([22:25]).
Halperin’s Synthesis
- “The wobble is real…The next few months…will determine whether this chapter becomes a political footnote or a turning point…”
- “Above all else, build something new around the economy and you can have a comeback.” ([24:39]–[24:40])
2. Boat Strike Constitutional Crisis: US Military Force in the Caribbean
Guest: Jed Rubenfeld (Yale Law), host of Straight Down the Middle Podcast
[29:14–55:13]
The Legal Debate: Can the President Bomb Cartel Boats without Congress?
Initial Position:
- Rubenfeld thought it was "crazy illegal"—akin to “murdering a drug smuggler at the Miami airport” ([30:33]).
- But on deeper examination, the issue is more complex.
The Constitutional Argument
- The President has issued a notice to Congress declaring a state of war with Latin American drug cartels.
- Historically, the Supreme Court has said it’s up to the President—not the courts—to determine a "state of armed conflict," even with non-state actors.
“There’s precedent going back over 100 years…saying it’s the President who makes that call.” —Jed Rubenfeld ([31:43])
Maritime vs. Land Attacks
- Naval law allows attacks on “enemy” merchant vessels in international waters ([33:24]).
- Attacks on land or in foreign territory are different; stricter limits apply ([34:18]).
Congressional Authority
- Congress can ban such military actions, but has ceded its war-declaration power for decades.
“We are now living in a world where the President can make war—the one thing we thought we knew was that the President did not have the unilateral power to make war.” —Rubenfeld ([37:27])
Notable Quotes
- “Presidents have dropped bombs and done so with impunity for the last 50 years.” —Rubenfeld ([36:22])
The Specific Case: Second Drone Strike on Survivors
Allegation:
- Pentagon is accused of a “second strike” to kill survivors after their boat was destroyed and they were no longer a threat.
Legal Distinction:
- If the strike deliberately targeted defenseless survivors, “that’s murder, a war crime” ([41:38]–[42:14])
- “If…Mitchell saw the two survivors clinging to the wreckage…and he had been told…'kill everybody on board', so he specifically orders a strike to kill those guys—that’s a war crime. That’s murder.” ([42:51])
- If targeting was to destroy the boat/cargo and those deaths were incidental, it's different under the law.
Why Do These Distinctions Matter?
- The law draws boundaries even in wartime:
“For hundreds of years, the line has been you can’t deliberately shoot folks floating in the water.” —Rubenfeld ([52:13])
Impact & Reciprocity
- Holding to the laws of war aims to protect our prisoners, too.
- “If we kill other people’s prisoners, they’re going to kill ours.” ([48:06])
Mark Halperin’s Challenge:
- Many Americans would see this as a legalistic quibble—if drug runners are killed, so be it; why worry about “laws of war” ([45:10]?).
3. Katie Miller Fires Back: Family Under Siege
[58:13–end]
Katie Miller’s New Endeavor
About Her Podcast
- "There isn't a place out there for women like myself…to have a normal non political conversation about life and culture and what it means to be raising kids today." ([58:32])
- Her programming features guests from politics, business, entertainment, and journalism.
Living With Constant Threats
- Miller discusses moving her family from their custom-built home into a military installation for security:
“We had to move out of our house for security reasons…we moved into a military installation for our kids’ security, my husband’s security…That is a very sad state of affairs.” ([61:54])
- Despite hardship, she remains resolute:
“The only thing people took from us isn’t the love for my family. It is my time. And that is irreplaceable…But every day, my husband and I are making more of a difference than those people who are protesting outside my home hope to achieve in their lifetime.” ([62:37])
Where Does Her Strength Come From?
- "My strength actually comes from Stephen…He’s taught me: 'Don’t pay it any noise, don’t pay attention, keep moving forward.'" ([64:55])
- Credits her parents' support and her own determined character ([66:17]).
The "Gap" Between Reality and Media Portrayal of Stephen Miller
- Halperin notes the big gap between Stephen Miller’s real personality (“funny, charming, sincere”) and his public image.
- Katie: "As always, the wife is more radical than the husband. I'm the one who says you should go harder…"
- She and Stephen ignore media attacks, admitting, "It doesn't matter to us…it’s never affected his career trajectory." ([68:27])
- Discusses photo selection and labels as deliberate efforts to incite violence:
"They choose to demonize him…because they know that’s how you can incite violence against somebody and excuse it when it happens." ([70:48])
Lawsuits Against Defamation
- Weighs whether to sue over “white nationalist” accusations, but Stephen says: "That’s not where our time should be going…You only have 24 hours in the day." ([71:42])
On Having Candid, Confrontational Media Moments
- Miller describes her recent viral confrontation with Abby Phillip on CNN:
"[Phillip] sat there and nodded along as Jennifer Welch said Stephen was a Nazi Jew and a white nationalist…It's not a one-time occurrence." ([78:01])
- Jennifer Welch’s response was, “If you think my opinion…is hateful, good. Because I will stand with every American… universal human rights…” ([78:28])
- Miller labels Welch as “delusional enough to believe what she says…It's easier to excuse violence against someone by calling them names.” ([80:17])
Will the Persecution Ever End?
- Halperin asks if this will end when Trump leaves office.
“I think this is the Miller’s life forever. But I am joyful and excited to be able to change the country for the positive…” ([82:52])
Lighter, Personal Questions for Katie
- How to get Elon Musk’s attention? “One sentence on X.” ([84:27])
- How to get Trump in a good mood? “Put it on Truth.”
- Parenting, travel, and PR quick takes round out the interview.
Notable Quotes & Moments (with Timestamps)
-
“[Trump] loves to win and even when he's losing, he likes to tell you he's winning. But right now... Trump always comes back. You've never seen him down forever.”
—Mark Halperin ([11:51]) -
“We are now living in a world where the President can make war—the one thing we thought we knew was that the President did not have the unilateral power to make war.”
—Jed Rubenfeld ([37:27]) -
“There are lines you can’t cross...You just can’t do it. Even if you’re in wartime... If you kill other people’s prisoners, they’re going to kill ours.”
—Jed Rubenfeld ([46:56], [48:06]) -
“The only thing people took from us isn’t the love for my family. It is my time. And that is something that’s irreplaceable.”
—Katie Miller ([62:37]) -
“As always, the wife is more radical than the husband...” —Katie Miller ([68:27])
-
“Of course, it’s exactly the same. A host sits by while someone says something beyond the pale and doesn’t say anything.”
—Mark Halperin, on media hypocrisy ([76:59]) -
“I think this is the Miller’s life forever. But I am joyful and excited to be able to change the country for the positive...”
—Katie Miller ([82:52])
Segment Timestamps at a Glance
- [01:25–26:00] Trump’s “comeback” monologue and Republican strategy
- [29:14–55:13] Jed Rubenfeld on the “Boat Strike” Constitutional Crisis
- [58:13–87:17] Katie Miller on media attacks, personal threats, and resilience
Tone and Language
- Mark Halperin: Analytical, often wry and ironic, but empathetic during personal discussions.
- Jed Rubenfeld: Calm, precise, legalistic yet able to “break it down” for lay listeners; occasionally sardonic.
- Katie Miller: Direct, tough, openly emotional about family; defiant toward critics, warm when discussing her children and marriage.
Summary Takeaways
- Mark Halperin concisely analyzes the political climate, presenting insider perspectives while maintaining caution about predictions.
- Jed Rubenfeld illuminates the sticky constitutional questions raised by recent military actions—debating executive power and the “laws of war.”
- Katie Miller offers firsthand testimony to the intense, often invasive scrutiny and danger accompanying very public political roles—while affirming personal and family resilience.
Listeners receive a comprehensive, forthright look at Washington's current tensions, from high constitutional stakes to raw personal upheaval—punctuated by memorable quotes, sharp debate, and surprising candor.
