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Tracy Alloway
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Jennifer Granholm
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Joe Weisenthal
Hello and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast. I'm Joe Weisenthal.
Tracy Alloway
And I'm Tracy Alloway.
Joe Weisenthal
Tracy, obviously, new administration coming in. One of the stories that we covered a lot with this administration was there has been a lot happening in the energy world.
Tracy Alloway
Yes. So obviously clean energy was a big part of things like the ira. But we also had the Department of Energy's Loan Programs office, headed by Jigger Shah, who we've had on the podcast a number of times, deploying billions of dollars across new clean energy. And the question that everyone is asking now is how much of that is durable in the face of a new administration which has said various, let's just say, unflattering things maybe about Biden's clean energy tend.
Joe Weisenthal
No, there's so much like we probably, I mean, if we like went back and looked at all of the episodes we've done and categorized them over the last four years, because we've done lots of episodes about the specific technologies. We've done episodes on nuclear. We've done numerous episodes on oil and the use of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and we've done episodes on geothermal and then the return of load growth in America, between data centers and economic growth, et cetera. We've probably done more energy episodes than any other topic, or at least close. And we're at a crossroads, probably in multiple ways. The changing the administration is the obvious one. But then there are really just big questions about what's working and what's the future of natural gas and how, you know, oil. Like, there are just so many ongoing energy questions that feel very unresolved to me.
Tracy Alloway
Yes. And we have another four years to look forward to to ask more questions.
Joe Weisenthal
And then another four years after that.
Tracy Alloway
But I am pleased to say it's energy questions forever. I mean, I think it is.
Joe Weisenthal
You know what it's. Cause this is the human question, right? No, for real. Like, if we could get a little philosophical here, it's energy questions forever. Because human progress is the story of getting more energy out of input. I forget the name. Do you know that guy? I can't think of his name. There's like this energy historian.
Tracy Alloway
I thought you were going to say philosopher.
Joe Weisenthal
He almost is. I'm like blanking on his name. People will remember.
Tracy Alloway
Historian. It's not Jurgen, is it?
Joe Weisenthal
No, not Jurgen. He goes back deeper and he has these books where he literally like calculates the amount of human calories that someone would have had to expend 5,000 years ago to grow a plant or, you know, fight, hunt an animal. And how many calories are expended in that process versus how many calories you get out of the animal that you hunt or whatever, and then does the subtraction. And human progress is essentially the history of expanding the gap between how much energy you put in and how much energy you get out. So it really will be energy questions forever.
Tracy Alloway
Okay, now that we've set the scene, we've gone all the way in prehistory to set the scene for a discussion about the next four years and the previous four years, I should say, as well.
Joe Weisenthal
Well, in the meantime, in a slightly shorter scale, we do have absolutely the perfect guest today. We are going to be speaking with Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm about everything that's happened in the last four years and the political durability questions and what she's done with the DOE during her tenure. So, Secretary Granholm, thank you so much for coming on odd lots.
Jennifer Granholm
Yeah, love it. Thanks so much for having me.
Joe Weisenthal
Absolutely. You know, I wanna start with sort of a big picture question, maybe something that's been on my mind for a while, actually. We saw an incredible boom under this administration in domestic oil production, also domestic gas production. And I don't think it got a ton of. For various reasons. But also one of the reasons was it didn't seem like it was something that, at least on the trail, that the administration bragged about during the election season. Is this something when you look back on the last four years and we'll get into some of the new energy investments in the long term. Is this something that you are proud of or that Democratic administration should be proud of the success of our domestic hydrocarbons?
Jennifer Granholm
Well, we certainly have achieved energy dominance, that is for sure. Under this Administration. And much of that was due to the fact, of course, that there was the invasion of Ukraine and it pulled, you know, a lot of Russian oil off the global market. And so that, that really compelled us to step up. And part of that stepping up was releasing from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve enough to stabilize markets. And so as a result of that and the, the price signal that was set, the demand signal that was set, I think we were able to do that. And that's why gasoline today is hovering just a little above $3 a gallon is supply on the market. But all of that is true at the same time as we were expanding the energy pie significantly and saw obviously a huge investment in both the manufacturing of products to bring us clean energy as well as the deployment and the generation of that energy.
Tracy Alloway
Well, let's talk about that clean energy expansion then. And I realize, you know, a lot of things have happened over the past four years. US Oil production has boomed, as Joe just pointed out. But the Department of Energy, the DOE itself has changed in terms of its role in, you know, not just energy security, but also in the broader US economy. When you look at the DOE now at the tail end of 2024 versus the DOE that you took over, what are the key differences? How has it evolved?
Jennifer Granholm
It is such a great, such a great story because, you know, the DOE historically has been a research and development agency with also a large focus on national security through our nucle deterrent. And so we have 17 national labs and we were focused on early stage research, maybe some small scale demonstration, but really focused on the, you know, the earlier side of these technologies in addition to our nuclear weapons responsibilities. So when we came in, we said, look, there is a huge role here, an important role for deployment and for focusing on the building out and the reshoring of manufacturing for of the products that would get us to that deployment. So we reorganized the entire department, we added a whole new vertical that was focused on deployment. It was called, it is called the Undersecretary for Infrastructure, Clean Energy Infrastructure, recruited from the private sector, David Crane, to come in and head that up. And he brought in a number of other people from both the finance industry as well as the clean energy industry, so that we could match both our great research portfolio with marketing, making sure that these products would be successful in the marketplace. And you know, when the Inflation Reduction act was passed and the bipartisan Infrastructure Law, the Department of Energy got 60 new programs that we were to execute on over $100 billion. And so that reorganization of the department has enabled us to get that funding out the door. I'm proud to say that as we're Speaking right now, 99% of the programs that we were given have issued at least one round of funding. And the reason not all rounds of funding have been issues because they're multi year commitments, multi year funding opportunity announcements. So we've really, we've really reorganized. And the result and the proof is not just inside of doe, but really across the country. And I hope we get a chance to talk about that incredible manufacturing boom that's happened as a result of the Inflation Reduction act in energy.
Joe Weisenthal
I definitely want to talk about that by the time this episode comes out. This question may not even be germane anymore. But we are recording this on December 20th and last night, night, the House failed to pass a bill that would have kept the government open. Just from your perspective right now, if the government shuts down, what does that mean for various things that have, where the money has not been sent out the door? What happens to those plans?
Jennifer Granholm
Yeah, I mean, some of that depends on how long the shutdown is for. And we are able to manage our loan program office and our deployment arm through a shutdown, through some, you know, some bits of a shutdown. We are proceeding ahead and our team are proceeding ahead. We're preparing for a lapse, but we think we have the ability to get the rest of the loan portfolio commitments that are teed up out the door.
Tracy Alloway
Maybe we can talk about the durability of the loans more broadly because, you know, regardless of what happens with the shutdown, there is the new administration coming in. Both Joe and I were at the Deploy 2024 event in D.C. recently and you gave a great speech there. But I got to say, like, it felt a little bit like a therap therapy session for people that were there. Like, the message was very much don't panic, keep calm and carry on. I think you even flashed that old wartime poster up. Yeah. And there is like a sense of unease or uncertainty about how much of all of this is going to continue into the new administration. Like give us a sense of your gut feeling about it at the moment and what you're doing to ensure that some of this work will continue.
Jennifer Granholm
As I mentioned, we're really focused on getting the remaining funds out the door that we can in this year and up to January 20th. So that's one way, once you have those commitments and obligations and contracts are signed, it's much more difficult to undo. But also, as I mentioned, at Deploy 24, really, perhaps I don't think I'm being irrationally exuberant, but I do think that the Inflation Reduction act and the fact that there are, for example, 18 House Republicans who sent a letter saying please don't touch the inflation Reduction act because it's benefiting their districts and their states, the fact that 85% of the funding is going to red states and red districts gives me some hope that those members of Congress are not going to want to undo the opportunities now that their citizens have to build these products of the future and future facing jobs. I mean, it is astonishing that 5 over now, 500 million, half a trillion dollars has been invested in this clean energy economy in the United States since the passage of the bipartisan infrastructure law. That and the inflation Reduction Act. That is astonishing. And for every $1 of public money, there are $6 of private money. So the private sector is going to have something to say about this as well. And they don't want to obviously see this undone. We've made and honestly, just from a, if you step back from a policy point of view, Democrats and Republicans agree that we should be reshoring these manufacturing jobs that were lost because of poor trade deals or trade deals that were unenforced, we should be getting those back. Why would we be ceding the territory to China or any other country? And so the fact that that's happening, the fact that over 900, almost 950 factories have been announced across this country is astonishing. And they're happening in all these communities that have often left behind in the past. And so I think it would be political malpractice to undo that. So I have great optimism that it will continue. Plus, the margins in the House are so narrow that 18 Republicans, and again, that was a couple, that was a month or more ago, signed a letter saying, don't undo this, I think it's very unlikely to be undone. Now, will there be components of things that are, you know, that folks have been talking about, you know, will they try to block additional funding for EV Chargers, for example? You know, perhaps, perhaps some of that around the edges. But I don't think the manufacturing side and the supply chains and the critical minerals that are being incentivized to be produced inside the United States? I don't think that's going to go away.
Joe Weisenthal
Just to push back on this. A second thinking of trade deals in the past that have hollowed out certain manufacturing capacity in the US which many people might agree with. On the other hand, if others would say, well, if the actual imperative for a lot of this stuff is climate specifically. Why not import more from the lowest cost, largest scale producer of climate tech, Cheap solar, cheap batteries. We put up pretty big tariffs on EV tech in the US we want to bring solar back. From a job standpoint, I get it, but reconcile that with the sort of urgency that the administration has talked about with climate.
Jennifer Granholm
Well, I think we can achieve that urgency and we can build at home. But let's just say this. It would be really foolish to trade our reliance upon oil from OPEC for a reliance upon technology from China. If we want to be energy secure, if we want to be strong as a nation, a nation that doesn't manufacture the means for its own energy security is a weak nation and we are not going to be a weak nation. This is why we have other countries have engaged in industrial strategy, industrial policy, and we have not. And our failure to do so had left us without a manufacturing sector. And part of that is for our national defense as well. And so just letting it go overseas is a terrible strategy for national security and for energy security. And so I think that I totally understand. We want these products to be cheap, we want them to be less expensive, affordable for our people, and we continue to drive down that cost. It's the United States and our technology, our research and development that has brought down the price of batteries by 80, 85% now. And same with solar technologies. And it's true that China came in and had a strategy to bigfoot us and to take that technology and to develop that technology and deploy it in China. And we're saying no more. We're not gonna sit by and watch that happen. We are gonna get in the game. We're gonna fight. And so I'm excited that that's actually happening. As the former governor of Michigan, who was governor during the time of the auto bankruptcies and before, and who, you know, saw so many factories leaving our state and the devastation that's left behind from communities that saw those factories leave. I'm telling you, this is a whole new ballgame. It's like we are repairing the mistakes of the past. We are bringing it back home, providing opportunity for folks here as well as creating the products that that we can stamp made in America and export around the world. With Amex Business platinum, you get 1.5 times Membership Rewards points on select business purchases. So expanding your inventory scores more points for your business. That's the powerful backing of American Express terms and points cap apply. Learn more@americanexpress.com AmExBusiness from the Delta Sky.
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Tracy Alloway
Have a sort of DC process question. You're sort of pointing out that there might be some areas of overlap in terms of interests of the outgoing and the incoming administrations. For instance, Trump seems to like nuclear energy and Chris Wright certainly seems to like geothermal. When this transition is actually happening, like during this time period, how much dialogue is there between you and, you know, your incoming successor? And how do you sort of like hash out the new priorities or is there like a handoff note that you leave for your successor? How does it all work? What's the comms actually like?
Jennifer Granholm
Well, so actually he and I have been trading phone calls and I fully expect I'll be sitting down with him. Of course, it's going to be a new administration and they're going to have different priorities. But they also have a landing team, transition leaders who will, who are making, who are, you know, going to be advising. The incoming secretary who hasn't had the experience at doe, but his landing team all have been part of DOE in various ways in the past. So there's a great familiarity there. So those conversations are happening even as we speak. Right now. Their landing team is interviewing our various offices around the department to see, you know, what has changed, what they want to keep, et cetera. To your point, though, I just think it is critical that people understand the bipartisan support for so many of these technologies. You mentioned geothermal, you mentioned nuclear. We've been hugely bullish on both of those. But there's also the support for critical minerals and critical materials that build the batteries. That's happening through our manufacturing and energy supply chains office. There's bipartisan support for, you know, hydroelectric power, for water power. You know, there's bipartisan support for hydrogen. And we're working on all of those. And truly, so many of the Republicans have said that they support an all of the above strategy. And if it's all of the above and we build out this clean energy, this energy pie, you can't ignore the clean side. And many of those in Congress who have been all of the above understand that fully.
Joe Weisenthal
When you think about the scale of the energy challenge or Planning and these are multi year, multi decade ideas and nothing. These dials shift very slowly. I'm curious, when you think about the US political system and the fact that who has power can change certainly every four years and actually every two years in many cases, does this impair us? When you look at, you talked about industrial strategy around the world and obviously China comes to mind. I'm curious about how you sort of reconcile what I see as a time duration mismatch between the scale of these challenges versus the reality of the political clock.
Jennifer Granholm
Well, there's no doubt that the climate imperative is upon us. I mean, we see every year all of these records being broken. So we have a sense of, we should all have a sense of urgency about that. Some don't see that as big of a challenge, but they do see the global competition as a huge challenge to be surmounted. And they don't want to miss out on the $23 trillion global market that these clean energy products represent. If we're not building them, someone else is going to be building them. And why would we cede the territory? So one way or the other, there's a sense of urgency. What there's the urgency bumps up against is old process and old mindsets in some areas. I mean, one example I think of if we had had the opportunity to have another term, I would definitely have been pushing further, supporting the grid and upgrading the grid. The grid is, you know, 70% of the grid is over 25 years old. A lot of it built on wooden poles. We've got all these extreme weather events. We need a resilient grid and we don't have enough funding and we don't even think about it, honestly, in the way that we should. We don't think about a national grid, you know, because it's been pocketed in these silos all across the country and there's so much state by state, you know, impact on that. But we should be thinking about it like we do our national highway system, honestly. We've got a highway trust fund, you've got state and federal participation. That's how we should be looking at our energy grid if we were to move this forward. And then the other thing I would really focus on is the fact that there's so much queued up in the interconnection queues. We've got 3.7 terawatts of power queued up, of clean power queued up. We need to overbuild. And that blockage is a huge problem that I hope the next administration addresses. As well.
Tracy Alloway
Wait, say more about the grid, because I wanted to ask you about this to some extent. It doesn't matter how much clean energy we generate, if we don't have the grid that's like actually able to handle that in an efficient way. What would you do if you were going to mount, you know, some sort of project? Would you try to be as ambitious as a national grid of some sort? Or would you have to kind of be more realistic and tinker at the edges?
Jennifer Granholm
Yeah, I think you have to have both national as well as local components like you do your federal highway system. And we have been in the process over the past four years of planning out what are those national interest electric corridors and where can we better make sure that the grid, there's a handshake between one region and another. So for example, you know, if you've got lots of, lots of wind being generated in low population centers of the country, but you don't have a grid to be able to connect that to where population centers are, you're missing the boat. And of course you want to make sure that those communities are compensated for giving that power over. And that's what's happening in many places. But we need more of it. We have a dearth of connection between regions and that needs to be invested in. And I will say one of the great things about working with our labs is that they are always coming up with innovative solutions for how to get around, for example, NIMBY problems of transmission, not in my backyard problems. And so a lot of technology now that's available to reconductor existing lines so you can put twice the power on existing transmission lines that you don't have, so you don't have to get repermitted, et cetera. There's new technologies about moving power, grid enhancing technologies, you know, dynamic line rating that can move power much more efficiently. Those technologies can also really add a lot of generation capacity to the grid, like about 100 gigawatts of that just by enhancing technologies on the existing grid.
Joe Weisenthal
You know, you said something earlier in the conversation that stuck with me and I wanted to go back to it before I forget. You said it doesn't make sense for the US to trade dependent on energy from OPEC for technology from China, which intuitively makes sense to me. On the other hand, the US is not really so OPEC dependent anymore. And as we talked about in the beginning, the US has just an extraordinary amount of carbon resources here in the US both between oil and gas, and there's more and More of it being produced all the time. Is there a sense from a sort of macro standpoint in the US that the transition from carbon to more electrified renewables, et cetera, are we playing to our strengths here or are we leaning against some of our natural endowments that we have in the U.S. well, I.
Jennifer Granholm
Think we've got endowments on both the molecule side as well as the electron side. And we, you know, we've got, for example, these hydrogen hubs that we have announced one in the Gulf Coast, a lot of the oil and gas majors are very interested in clean hydrogen. They would derive it from natural gas. It would be called blue hydrogen. But they would agree to sequester the CO2 and make sure there's no methane leaks along the way. So I, you know, when I say the trading opec, what I really is that we don't want to rely on anyone else for our own energy, whether it is from molecules or from electrons. And we don't, you know, we want to be able to supply cleaner tech, not cleaner fuels, whether it is, you know, whether it's fossil fuels or electricity to the world. We want us to be able to export. And in order to do that, we have got to build up our capacity. I will say this, though. The Department of Energy does not regulate how much the oil and gas companies drill. That's not in our purview. And because there has been such an increase, there was such an increase in drilling and improved techniques to be able to drill both oil and gas, we saw this great increase in production and export. But we also know that at some point a number of international entities and modelers are saying that we're going to reach peak oil, peak gas. So we have to say that.
Joe Weisenthal
Do you mean demand or supply?
Jennifer Granholm
Yeah, well, I mean demand, and therefore supply will follow. Right. So I think it's really important to have a long view. Of course, our goal is to get to Net Zero by 2050, but it is net zero. So that suggests that there will be some fossil fuels, but there will be also technologies to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions, which is one of the reasons why the Department of Energy and our labs we've been focused on what are those carbon management strategies that will enable us to get to net zero? You know, we have this other big, hairy, audacious goal, which is to have a 100% clean electric grid by 2035. And we're on track to get there. We'll be 80% clean, at least per the modelers, by 2030. And on our way to that last 20%, which is the hardest hard to decarbonize portions. But nonetheless we feel that you have to do both. You've got to make sure the world is supplied, make sure prices don't go up on the fossil side while we use technologies that reduce greenhouse gas emissions and we use technologies that generate clean foreign. With Amex Business platinum you get 1.5 times Membership Rewards points on select business purchases. So expanding your inventory scores more points for your business. That's the powerful backing of American Express Terms and points cap apply. Learn more@americanexpress.com AmExBusiness from the Delta Sky Club.
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Tracy Alloway
So on the topic of America being blessed when it comes to hydrocarbons, I mean one of the things that did happen this year is, is President Biden stopped licensing new LNG export terminals. And I haven't been following that decision all that closely, but I think at a minimum you could say that it became a pretty big political controversy and one that is still kind of being hashed out. So you guys just released a report looking at the impact of LNG exports from the US I guess my question is like looking back, is there anything that you would have done differently or looking back at the sort of cost benefit analysis of May, making that a whole big thing, was it worth it?
Jennifer Granholm
Well, let me just say first of all, yes, it was because we needed to do this study because we do authorize new LNG terminals. But this study was a pause on new terminals. And we have already authorized so much export of LNG, we've authorized 48 billion cubic feet per day of LNG. We're only exporting as the largest exporter in the world, about 13 billion cubic feet per day. So that gap in between 13 and 48 is all stuff that's either being built or hasn't even begun being built, hasn't even reached a final investment decision. That 48 billion cubic feet per day that's been authorized is a massive amount. And so this pause to do the study about whether more LNG should be authorized did not impact any of the build out of existing authorizations. It didn't stop any Exports from happening, it simply did not touch that at all. There was fear that it would do that, but it absolutely did not do that. So it is important for us as a nation to determine what's in the public interest in terms of the export of natural gas that's required under the Natural Gas Act. So what are the factors that you look at to determine whether it's in the national interest, the public interest? And so, so taking a look at what are the impacts at home, if you're exporting a lot of your liquefied natural gas, that means you're taking away from the natural gas that's used at home. 48 billion cubic feet is basically about half of what we produce for all natural gas for use in the United States. So what's the impact on pricing for folks at home? That's one of the factors we looked at. What is the impact on greenhouse gas emissions around the world by exporting that? What is being displaced by that? Those are the things that the study looked at. The study was done by scientists and researchers at our national labs. And it came out, found out that there are impacts. And the question is going forward, how the data from the study will be used by the next administration and beyond on that point.
Joe Weisenthal
Obviously, gas is a global market. And you know, in the end, there are certain things. If there's demand for it or if, you know, years down the road there's demand for it, that's probably up to private sector actors to decide whether they want to make the investments in those terminals. And if there is not demand for it, then there is not. But when you think about the sort of carbon impacts, the price impacts you laid out in the study, Perhaps up to $100 a year extra for an American family by the year 2050. So somewhat modest on the carbon impacts. However, does it change the dial? I mean, like, when you think about these things, when you think about the fact that there's a global market, and so if someone, if a country is not going to get their gas from the US they'll get it elsewhere. And of course, it's very important that the US Was in a position to step up for energy exports, especially when the war in Ukraine happened. I'm just trying to think about the concern of further expansion of our export capacity if in fact, that's what the world wants for the global market.
Jennifer Granholm
So first of all, just to underscore that 48 billion cubic feet per day that is almost meeting what demand is going to be by 2050, it's just a huge amount of if it's all built out now, it may not all be built out. To your point, you know, the companies themselves have to get a final investment decision. And if the demand is not projected to be there for that, maybe that won't all be built out. But it is true the US has an advantage in producing clean gas. Qatar is trying to rival us. But we would like to see the furtherance of a whole methane mitigation and monitoring regime that we do with our allies so that we can reduce the greenhouse gas emissions, particularly methane emissions from LNG and at the point of combustion, reducing the CO2 emissions as well. So there's work to be done on that to create an environment where we are producing the cleanest gas and it's being used in the cleanest way. And the US is going to be in that role. And in fact, the oil and gas majors very much want to see us continue to have an effort globally and to be leading an effort to reduce methane emissions globally so that their product is the product of choice.
Tracy Alloway
So the other thing that's happened in the past four years is we've had the rise of generative AI and booming demand for data centers which obviously use a lot of energy. How has that impacted your role at the doe? Is it an opportunity for you to maybe push clean energy a little more if you're dealing with tech companies that have made clean energy commitments?
Jennifer Granholm
Yeah, this is such a great question and so important. We recently today actually, in fact, our Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory released a report talking about the increase in demand based upon data centers alone on the grid. And we are going to have to add lots of gigawatts to be able to meet that. And so the conversations that we've been having, and the White House has convened the hyperscalers as the. We want the data centers to be built in the United States for national security reasons, particularly AI, the learning model data centers. We want the hyperscalers to bring their own power, meaning that we don't want the energy suck from these data centers to be socialized across the rate base. Everyday citizens shouldn't have to pay for that. And we want it to be clean. And they've all committed, they've committed to their shareholders and their strategic plans to use clean power. And so, so as a result, I mean you're seeing some very interesting announcements where you've got hyperscalers teamed up with, for example, small modular reactor companies or nuclear companies or geothermal companies like Fervo, who I know you talked to at the Deploy24 conference or companies or hyperscalers that have really wanted to build out solar plus storage adjacent to their sites or at least do power purchase agreements that allow them to power, to purchase clean power for their data center. So it's going to, this new demand, to your point, is going to be built out. It's probably going to be built out largely with clean energy. And the, you know, and the good news is we can do this. We can do this. I mean, this year alone we will have added 60 gigawatts, 30 Hoover dams worth of clean power to the US electric grid. And these data centers, you know, if there's 50 of them, they may, if they're gigawatt data centers, that may be, you know, 50 gigawatts, that's, you know, probably the outs, the high mark of what they would be building out in the United States. For sure, that seems ambitious. But if we're adding 60 gigawatts this year alone without them bringing their own power because they're just starting to site these facilities, we can do this and it's exciting.
Joe Weisenthal
All right, I know we just have like a minute left, so I'm going to ask you a huge question and you can truncate as much as you want. When you came into the office, office, the DOE was largely known in large part for nuclear waste storage. And you've talked about the dramatic changes in terms of the mission of deployment and so forth. For someone coming into running a new organization of any sort that has to do some major mission change, what's been the biggest lesson or surprise to you about what that takes?
Jennifer Granholm
Well, let me just say I don't know if it's a surprise because I heard before I got here that this was true through, but we have the most amazing team of people at the Department of Energy, the folks who have been working here for years and the new ones that we've hired about a thousand new people for this new mission of deployment that we have. You know, I'm so proud to be, to be leaving to my successor a department that is full of unbelievable smart professionals, 40,000 scientists at our national labs, people who understand both communities as well as technologies as well as the market. It's really, it's an amazing place. The Department of Energy, this has been the best job I have ever had because of the team and the brilliance of the team here. So it is, I feel wistful leaving, but I am on purpose proud that we're leaving such a great legacy.
Joe Weisenthal
Secretary Jennifer Granholm, thank you so much for coming on Outlook you bet.
Jennifer Granholm
Thanks so much.
Joe Weisenthal
Tracy. I thought that was a great conversation. Before we go any further, the energy historian I was talking about in the beginning, that was Vaclav Smil, who has a famous book, Energy and a History. Like, these are the big questions of the world.
Tracy Alloway
No, I need to read that. Yeah, that looks really good. Yes. Okay, so a conversation about big questions. I do think to your point, you asked this question, but it is kind of funny that every four years, the US can completely redefine its major political priorities in this way and to some extent, start from scratch. That said, as the Secretary was pointing out, there are some areas of overlap. So nuclear and geothermal would be one of them. With geothermal, I sometimes wonder, like, how much Republicans like it just because it's guys with, like, giant drills doing, like, cool stuff.
Joe Weisenthal
Well, you know what? I was. I was joking about this with a friend. But the best thing that would happen for the geothermal industry, for its durability, would be for Democrats to start attacking it and say, this is just shale trying to reinvent itself. Like, that would be a really good thing. If it became really, like, how do you ensure it's, you know, you get the. Get the environmentalists say, oh, this is just the shale bros trying to maintain, you know, trying to reinvent themselves in some new clean way. That would probably ensure a lot of bipartisan support for it.
Tracy Alloway
Yeah, I think that's a great strategy. Okay, look. But there is also. There is this tension that the Secretary was getting at, which is this idea that, like, okay, on the one hand, maybe the new incoming administration, they are not the biggest clean energy fans, let's just put it that way. But on the other hand, they are very keen to boost U.S. domestic manufacturing. They're very keen to compete against places like China. And if a lot of Chinese manufacturing dominance is coming from things like EVs or solar panels, it seems like it can be an administrative priority.
Joe Weisenthal
Your characterization of the new administration, I would say, is mostly right. But people forget that Elon is a big solar bro. Yeah, he's a. First of all, he's an EV magnate.
Tracy Alloway
Well, he's actually got a loan from the loan programs.
Joe Weisenthal
He did that too. But he's also very bullish. He doesn't actually talk about it very much. And so who knows exactly what that means in terms of how it translates into policy. He's talked a lot about how bullish on solar. So I think there's just a lot of questions. And then on the sort of more nuts and bolts political durability Setting aside where the Venn diagram overlaps in terms of priorities, as the Secretary said, there's just a lot of investments in red districts or red states, and it'll be a very interesting question to see how much appetite there is for reversing some of these things.
Tracy Alloway
Yeah, absolutely. Shall we leave it there?
Joe Weisenthal
Let's leave it there.
Tracy Alloway
This has been another episode of the Odd Thoughts podcast. I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me at Tracy Alloway.
Joe Weisenthal
And I'm Joe Weisenthal. You can follow me hestalwart. You can follow our guest secretary, Jennifer Granholm. She's at Sec Granholm. Follow our producers Carmen Rodriguez at carmenarman-obenit Dashbot and Kale Brooks at Kale Brooks. Thank you to our producer Moses Ondam. For more Odd Lots content, go to bloomberg.com oddlots where you have transcripts, a blog and a newsletter and you can chat about all of these topics with fellow listeners 24. 7 in our Discord, Discord, GG Oddlauts.
Tracy Alloway
And if you enjoy Odd Lots, if you like our ongoing philosophical discussion of human history as energy, then please leave us a positive review on your favorite podcast platform. And remember, if you are a Bloomberg subscriber, you can listen to all of our episodes absolutely ad free. All you need to do is find the Bloomberg channel on Apple Podcasts and follow the instructions there. Thanks for listening.
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Odd Lots Podcast Summary: Jennifer Granholm on What Will Survive of Biden's Energy Legacy
Bloomberg's Odd Lots Podcast delves deep into the intricacies of finance, markets, and economics, bringing expert insights and engaging discussions. In the episode titled "Jennifer Granholm on What Will Survive of Biden's Energy Legacy," released on December 26, 2024, hosts Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway converse with Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm about the Biden administration's energy policies, their durability, and the future trajectory of the U.S. energy landscape.
Joe Weisenthal opens the discussion by highlighting the significant focus the Biden administration has placed on energy over the past four years. He remarks, “We've probably done more energy episodes than any other topic, or at least close.” This sets the tone for an in-depth exploration of energy policies and their long-term implications.
Jennifer Granholm proudly states at [05:12] that the administration achieved “energy dominance,” primarily driven by the invasion of Ukraine, which reduced Russian oil in the global market. She explains how releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve helped stabilize gas prices, keeping them “just a little above $3 a gallon” ([05:12]).
Moreover, Granholm underscores the dual progress in both expanding traditional energy sources and investing in clean energy technologies. She highlights significant investments in manufacturing and deployment of clean energy solutions, attributing the success to strategic funding from legislative acts like the Inflation Reduction Act and the bipartisan Infrastructure Law.
At [06:42], Granholm details the transformative changes within the DOE. Historically a research and development-focused agency with national security responsibilities, the DOE under Granholm's leadership has pivoted towards deployment and manufacturing. She mentions the creation of the Undersecretary for Infrastructure, Clean Energy Infrastructure position, led by David Crane, to bridge research with market success.
Granholm proudly notes that “99% of the programs that we were given have issued at least one round of funding” ([06:42]), showcasing the department’s efficiency and adaptability in executing newly allocated funds.
When questioned about potential government shutdowns on [09:16], Granholm assures that the DOE’s loan program and deployment operations can withstand temporary closures. She emphasizes their proactive measures to continue funding commitments despite political uncertainties, ensuring that “we are preparing for a lapse” and can still execute critical projects ([09:16]).
Tracy Alloway probes the sustainability of Biden’s energy initiatives in light of the incoming administration ([10:33]). Granholm expresses optimism, citing bipartisan support and significant investments across various states. She notes that “85% of the funding is going to red states and red districts,” making it politically challenging to reverse these initiatives ([10:33]).
Granholm also highlights the substantial private sector investment accompanying public funds, stating, “For every $1 of public money, there are $6 of private money” ([10:33]). This private backing increases the likelihood of sustained progress irrespective of administrative changes.
Addressing the competitive landscape, Granholm asserts the importance of domestic manufacturing to avoid reliance on foreign powers like China. She states, “It would be really foolish to trade our reliance upon oil from OPEC for a reliance upon technology from China” ([13:17]). Granholm emphasizes the necessity of building and maintaining a robust U.S. manufacturing base to ensure both energy and national security.
Tracy Alloway and Granholm discuss the critical need to upgrade the U.S. energy grid ([19:08]). Granholm advocates for a comprehensive national grid akin to the national highway system, emphasizing the importance of connectivity between regions to optimize energy distribution. She introduces innovative solutions from national labs, such as dynamic line rating and grid-enhancing technologies, which can significantly increase grid capacity without extensive new infrastructure ([22:06]).
When discussing LNG exports, Granholm clarifies that a recent study put a temporary pause on authorizing new LNG terminals to assess their impact ([28:57]). She explains that existing authorizations remain unaffected, ensuring continued LNG exports without disrupting current operations. Granholm underscores the balance between meeting domestic energy needs and contributing to global energy markets, highlighting the U.S.'s role in producing cleaner natural gas compared to other exporters ([28:57]).
The surge in demand for data centers, driven by advancements in generative AI, presents both challenges and opportunities. Granholm shares insights on how the DOE is coordinating with tech giants to ensure that data centers are powered by clean energy, avoiding the burden on everyday citizens. She mentions partnerships with hyperscalers to develop clean power solutions, predicting the addition of significant gigawatts to the U.S. electric grid to meet this new demand ([33:53]).
In reflecting on her tenure, Granholm emphasizes the strength and adaptability of the DOE team. At [36:09], she expresses immense pride in the department's workforce, highlighting the successful reorganization and expansion of the team to meet new deployment missions. Granholm credits the department’s success to the “unbelievable smart professionals” and the collaborative spirit within the DOE ([36:36]).
As the conversation wraps up, Granholm remains optimistic about the continuation of Biden’s energy legacy. She believes that bipartisan support, coupled with substantial public and private investments, will ensure the persistence of clean energy initiatives. Granholm envisions the U.S. maintaining its leadership in both traditional and renewable energy sectors, fostering innovation and manufacturing growth domestically ([40:35]).
Jennifer Granholm [05:12]: “We certainly have achieved energy dominance, that is for sure... gasoline today is hovering just a little above $3 a gallon.”
Jennifer Granholm [06:42]: “99% of the programs that we were given have issued at least one round of funding.”
Jennifer Granholm [10:33]: “It would be political malpractice to undo that.”
Jennifer Granholm [13:17]: “If we want to be energy secure, if we want to be strong as a nation... we are not going to be a weak nation.”
Jennifer Granholm [19:08]: “We should be thinking about it like we do our national highway system, honestly.”
Jennifer Granholm [28:57]: “This pause to do the study about whether more LNG should be authorized did not impact any of the build out of existing authorizations.”
Jennifer Granholm [33:53]: “This new demand is going to be built out. It's probably going to be built out largely with clean energy.”
This episode of Odd Lots provides a comprehensive look into Jennifer Granholm's perspectives on the Biden administration's energy policies, their achievements, and the challenges ahead. Granholm's insights reveal a strategic approach to balancing traditional energy production with aggressive investment in clean energy, all while navigating the complexities of political transitions and global competition. The discussion underscores the enduring nature of energy issues and the imperative for sustained, bipartisan efforts to secure the U.S.'s energy future.