Dave Smith (33:46)
And, you know, there's a funny thing here, because I wanted to make this point on Piers Morgan today, I didn't get a chance to do it. But there's a funny thing here where nobody is taking that position. Nobody is saying, oh, we could just do this. We could go in. Nobody is actually willing to look at the American people and say, you have to send your sons over to fight and die in a direct. A direct war with the biggest nuclear superpower in the history of the world to protect the Donbass region. You know, like, that's. I'm sorry, we do not want to do that. And Vladimir, after getting hundreds of billions of dollars, you're gonna sit here and demand. Essentially not demand that right now, but demand the threat of that. Demand that we. Which is the only way that America can effectively give a security guarantee is to say, we'll go to war. We'll go to war over this. Like, what else are we doing saying, hey, we really don't want you to do that. That's what we did. That was what we did for Ukraine already through the whole lead up to the war in Ukraine. And I like to bring this up a lot because I think it's, it's pretty relevant. And you know, look, again, I know I, I'm probably guilty of, of patting myself on the back a little bit too much, but I don't know. Me and you, Rob, we are just right about all the most important issues. And so I can't, I can't help but point this out. I've been now for the entirety of the war, I have been one of the guys on the biggest platforms talking about the history of it, the conflict, what led to it, all of this stuff. And we were all like, and I'm not even close to like the, the best, you know, John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs and Scott Horton. And there's a lot of great guys who have been kind of talking about this from before the invasion in 22. But Stoltenberg, the chancellor of NATO, he said that in late 2021, Vladimir Putin sent a, he actually put a treaty, he drafted a treaty and, and sent it to NATO and said straight up, I will not invade Ukraine. If you just put in writing that you guarantee you won't bring Ukraine into NATO. And like, that's the deal that was on the table. Ukraine would have kept everything. No invasion, hundreds and hundreds of thousands of people's lives would have been saved. They would have had to give up Crimea and they would have kept everything else. And all we would have had to do was say we're not going to bring Ukraine into NATO, which by the way, we're still not going to end up doing. Except now the deal is so much worse now for Ukraine. The deal is going to be giving away probably 20% of your country, maybe more. We'll see 20% if Russia will allow you to do that. Crimea gone forever, and you're still not getting any security guarantees. And so for Zelensky to be demanding this. Anyway, my point is just like, once again, if you had listened to all the anti war voices, just objectively, we were right, these guys were wrong. And all of their bullshit war propaganda about how Ukraine can win. I mean, do you even remember, Rob, when Vladimir Putin first invaded in 22, the talking point that Joe Biden repeated over and over again was that we could defeat them with sanctions, that we wouldn't even need to send weapons, that we could defeat Russia with sanctions. This is what. And they just over. And anyway, they kept the whole war going this entire Time. And so, whatever, it's been a complete disaster. But one of the good things about this, as you kind of said just now, Rob, you're like, the answer is dump this guy. And this is one of the things where I think that Donald Trump, as is typical with him, even when he is instinctually correct, like when his gut essentially leads him in the right direction, he's not philosophically correct and he's not well read. And so even when his gut is, like, kind of right, his. His instincts are correct. But because he's. He doesn't have, like a. A solid, like, theory around the whole thing, and because he doesn't have, like, a deep understanding of the issue, he can be pulled in bad directions. And so Donald Trump will look at, say, like, just like the terror wars, and he'll be like, wait a minute, so you're telling me we occupied Afghanistan for 20 years, we occupied Iraq for 20 years, we spent $8 trillion, and we got nothing to show for it? You know? And, like, he'll just be like, that's bad business. Then you're like, okay, that is correct. You got it right? Now, he doesn't have, like, this theory to go with it. You know what I'm saying? He doesn't have a theory of what is a just war, what is a war of choice versus a war of necessity, what is a war of aggression, what is a constitutional war. That's not how Donald Trump's mind works. It's just business, right? This is bad business. This is a stupid decision. And so. And on top of that, it's not like he really has a deep understanding of the issue. Like, he doesn't really understand that, like, oh, the neoconservatives and the Likudniks had this plan to topple all of these regimes, and then they use 9, 11, they use the terrorists that they pissed off into attacking us as the. You know, like, that's not where Donald Trump's mind is. But the problem with that, look, it's still better than anything we've had from a president in my lifetime, by far. But the problem is that when it's instinctual and it's not married to, like, philosophy and knowledge, then if Donald Trump's like, oh, this is stupid. We shouldn't even be in Syria, you know, why are we even fighting this war? They go like, well, what if we took the oil? And he goes, hmm, all right, now that's slightly better business. You know what I mean? Like, Donald Trump's very. It's easy for him to get sucked into things like that. And so I think in this case, Donald Trump was kind of presenting to Zelensky, like, look, do this mineral deal in Donald Trump's mind, he goes, now we get something out of it. This isn't like bad business anymore. Now it's just a business deal where there's some benefit to us. And also now, since we're in business with you, doesn't that kind of give you a little bit of a security guarantee? Because what if Putin's messing with you now he's messing with us. But the truth is that's just all a bad idea. Like, the whole point is that we don't want to put ourselves in that position. Why would we want to put ourselves in that position? Why would we ever want to say we will inherit all of your problems? It just doesn't make any sense. Like, it's like, like, look, man, I don't know, like, I want everyone's, everyone to have a happy marriage or a happy life or a happy whatever, you know, success in their career. Hey, I hope everyone does well, right it. But like, I would never say to somebody else, hey, if your marriage falls apart, my marriage falls apart too. I'm tied right there with you, you know, like, I want to be. If, if your wife cheats on you, then I'll take that as a they cheated on all of us or something like that. It's like, this just does not make any sense. We don't want to be in these entangling alliances. This is how you never stop fighting wars when you decide you're going to inherit the problems of everyone all around the world. Like, I don't know, there's a bunch of small states that used to be Soviet satellites that are now quasi independent or American sock puppets or whatever. There's these little states next to Russia and they got to deal with that. And yeah, that sucks. I don't know. A lot of them are concerned about that. This is always, every debate that I have on this topic, it's always like the retort from the people who have been pushing this war. Look, why do you think it is that all the Baltic states wanted to join NATO? Like what? Yeah, obviously, because they got Russia next to them and they'd love a big superpower to guarantee their security. But that doesn't mean that it's in our interest to do that. And so what's great about this happening, why I think this is such a positive ultimately, is that maybe what Donald Trump said at the end there ends up being the final Thing. Hey, I guess it's impossible to do business with this guy. Okay, so how about this? No mineral deal, no security guarantee, you get nothing. Why is that so crazy? How about you get nothing? Ok. We will negotiate with Vladimir Putin to a peaceful resolution to this war. And you will fucking take it because what are you going to do? Nothing. All right, guys, let's take a moment and thank our sponsor for today's show, which is Via. Very happy to have Via on board. 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