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Kara Swisher
Support for Pivot comes from BetterHelp. These days, it feels like there's advice for everything. Cold plunges, gratitude journals, screen detoxes. But how do you know what actually works for you? Using trusted resources and talking to life therapists can get you personalized recommendations and help you break through the noise. With over 30,000 therapists, BetterHelp is the world's largest online therapy platform, having served over 5 million people globally. Talk it out with BetterHelp. Visit betterhelp.com pivot to get 10% off your first month. That's BetterHelp. H E L p.com pivot pivot this episode is brought to you by On Investing, an original podcast from Charles Schwab. I'm Kathy Jones, Schwab's chief fixed income strategist.
Scott Galloway
And I'm Liz Ann Saunders, Schwab's chief investment strategist. Between us, we have decades of experience studying the indicators that drive the economy and how they can have a direct impact on your investments. We know that investors have a lot of questions about the markets and the.
Kara Swisher
Economy, and we're here to help.
Scott Galloway
So download the latest episode and subscribe@schwab.com oninvesting or wherever you get your podcasts.
Kara Swisher
Pro Savings Days are back at Lowes right now. Get a four piece GE kitchen suite for under $2,000 plus get a free DeWalt 20 volt max XR8AH battery. When you buy a select DeWalt tool, save big with deals that work as hard as you do. Shop Pro Savings Days in store or online. Today Lowes we help you Save valid through 8. One selection varies by location while supplies last discount taking the time of purchase. See sales associate for details. David Hasselhoff still has a few of my loose sweatshirts, but that's another story. Kara.
Scott Galloway
Hi everyone. This is Pivot from New York Magazine and the Vox Media podcast network. I'm Kara Swisher from Scott Galloway's living room.
Kara Swisher
And I'm Scott Galloway. Just so everyone knows, it's super nice to have strangers in your apartment in the morning that you are not paying for sex.
Scott Galloway
We did not have sex. Yeah, I'm not a stranger.
Kara Swisher
Well, okay, but seriously, it's really, it's great to see you. How are you? So glad you're here.
Scott Galloway
You're going to spend like part of the day with me. We're going to do our secret CNN thing today.
Kara Swisher
All I care about is I've been told I can nap in that pod of oxygen or whatever it is you're going to do to me.
Scott Galloway
Sound vibrations.
Kara Swisher
Yeah.
Scott Galloway
I'm trying to get you to live longer because I need you around longer.
Kara Swisher
I was hoping you were going to probe some orifices or something. Isn't it? And none of that.
Scott Galloway
No, that's okay. Cool. You can go to a testosterone party with that would be.
Kara Swisher
There's a tea party.
Scott Galloway
Oh yeah. All the time. Young men, they do it.
Kara Swisher
Young men have a party.
Scott Galloway
Yeah, a tea party. Just like when women get together to do whatever, you know, like facials. Yeah. Men do it.
Kara Swisher
And then what do they do? Do they like.
Scott Galloway
They talk about it? No, it's not. It's like a straight thing. No, it's like, you know, another manosphere thing. It's just ridiculous. You don't need more testosterone. Just everybody knows. And you don't need more oxygen. You don't need more of a lot of this stuff. But we'll see how today should be just fun. I want to do something with you rather than series. But we got a lot to get to today. Here from your apartment in Manhattan. Blow up tech earnings. Crazy. A big shakeup on the weight loss drug market. I really am interested in what you think about this and how much does Trump need to worry about Joe Rogan? Joe Rogan is turning rogue on Trump on several topics. But first, the man who opened fire in a Manhattan office building on Monday, not terrifically far from here, killing four people and injuring a fifth, was targeting the NFL headquarters with a note claiming he suffered from cte. A page in the shooter's note accused the NFL of concealing the dangers to football players brains in order to maximize profits. This is a long time thing. Lots of people are concerned. I didn't let my kids play football because I was worried about that. The shooter played high school football but did not play professionally. And of course what he did was heinous but pretty devastating. Same thing with Luigi Mangioni. People acting out on anger, the level of anger in the society. And maybe he had. You can only find out if you have CTE after you die. So I assume they'll check this and see if that's the case. But I think Sanjay Gupta said 40% of the people who claim they have CTE before they die actually have it like of the 100% which is quite a lot. It's not nothing. So I don't know. Any thoughts?
Kara Swisher
Yeah, I mean, well, first off, we don't know if and what role CTE played here. Right.
Scott Galloway
We don't.
Kara Swisher
So just distinctive whether or not this was CTE played a role here it is. You know, they, they. There was a study at former NFL players that found that of the 376 players studied, 91% at CTE. I mean, you just have people running. It's not even the impact, I guess it's the rotation, sudden rotation that a helmet can't solve for. Right. Your head twists and the, whatever it is, the cortex or the brain spine just can't, can't respond that quickly. Everyone's been talking about it for a while, but it's sort of an example of capitalism. I'm not sure you could really justify the sport if it didn't make billions each year, if it wasn't psychologically and economically just so ingrained in our culture. But they really are sort of modern day gladiators and they pay an enormous price. But the thing that struck me about this, Kara, or I think with the, obviously in addition to the tragedy, the families of the people who were murdered is we're back to office mostly. Actually, it's interesting. The US has had kind of the most anemic return to office of almost any nation. And young people have gotten very used to, I think as the employment market is so strong here and tech is so strong that companies have had a difficult time getting everyone to return to the office, especially five days a week. And something I've always noticed about that I can't stand about going to meetings is that from the time you get to the lobby, by the time you go through check in security and all that and get up to the, it's like 10 or 12 minutes at least 10 or 15 minutes. And this is only going to make security that much more complex slash robust. Because the last thing you want to worry about is going to a place that is, you know, is less safe than the place you came from.
Scott Galloway
And it is also porous in a lot of ways. People are, you know, it was interesting because immediately, because there's a mayor's race, there was sort of like an on kind of like, you know, why didn't Mamdani do something about him? Because he's not mayor. You know, his, he's. Because he's way ahead actually among Jewish voters. A bunch of other things, which is interesting. I thought he handled it rather well. He said we're only as strong as our weakest gun laws across the country and called attention to, you know, the fact that even though New York has very strict gun laws, you can't be protected. Because this guy was from Nevada and I think his boss got him. The thing that made the assault that he assembled the assault weapon. And I think it's. Again, it's a. You know, it's such a complex problem. Like here we have cte, We've got the ability to create weapons of mass destruction for people to have assault weapons. What'll be interesting, like, again, it's another thing where they'll talk about it and then do nothing about assault weapons or the ability to assemble assault weapons in the country. And probably if he does have ced, blame it on that. But it does. You know, I always feel unsafe at buildings. I don't know why. I feel like there's such, like a place where someone who has mental illness which is growing, or people that are angry, like Luigi Mangione, can take it. Like it's. You can see how easy it is in a big city like New York.
Kara Swisher
Well, this one will get. I mean, there's already been dozens of mass shootings every year. And you. You said something once that struck me. You said that as a species, we're good at adapting. And that's a bad thing here. We have normalized and adapted to something that we should not adapt to. And also this will get attention. And I'll be interested. There'll be articles basically saying that when it's nice white executives in midtown Manhattan, a mass shooting gets play in the media. When it's just a mass shooting of a bunch of nice people at a mall in Kentucky, no one gives a shit because there's so many of them. So this will be. I think this will get a lot of attention. But again, this is really basic math or science or xy. Validate, nullify a thesis. And if your thesis is the following, that guns are the primary, or weapons of war really are the primary culprit, that theory would be validated because we do not have a monopoly on head injuries. We do not have a monopoly on angry young men. We do not have a monopoly on mental illness. What we have a monopoly on is that all of these people have access to weapons of war.
Scott Galloway
Right, exactly. And there's ways around it.
Kara Swisher
And also this bullshit notion that you can't do anything about it, that it's too late, that Australia had a mass shooting. Reasonable people, okay, we should ban assault weapons. And they have had a dramatic decrease in mass shootings. The UK had a deadly mass shooting back in. I think it was in 96 in Dunblane, Scotland, and where kids and teachers were killed. Next, you know, right away, no more assault weapons. So this is something, and I've said this before, one of the free gifts with purchase of moving to the uk. It's like a lot of things if you actually look at statistically, I mean, a mass shooting. There's no reason not to go out, there's no reason not to go work, there's no reason in my opinion, not to send your kids to school. If you look at the real hard numbers, you and your kids are still at least mathematically pretty safe. The problem is the fear. And that is when I'm in the uk, I don't have these horror fantasies about turning on the TV and seeing my kids school on the screen.
Scott Galloway
I agree. I think about it a lot actually with my kids in school, my young kids in school, in public school. It's just the mental illness combined with the availability of these guns.
Kara Swisher
Most anxious, depressed generation in history. And then you have weapons of war. And the other thing I go to is just what is happiness in a society? And we tend to think that we're standing to the wrong test. We think if the Dow hits new highs, that we're happy. No, the Dow Jones and the Nasdaq, which in my opinion are two of the most damaging metrics in history, are basically just wealth indices. And that is an indices on the wealth of the top 10% who own somewhere between 50 and 90% of the stock. And spoiler alert, they're doing really well. But if you think about real happiness in a society, it's not only a function of what you have, it's a function of what you don't have. If you find out your wife has lung cancer and you live in Norway, it doesn't mean you're going bankrupt. And that's not necessarily the case here. And also they have an absence of this type of fear that we have to live under. So it's not, I mean, we keep talking about this. The thing that drives me crazy is we'll hear from a bunch of people on the right thoughts and prayers and all this bullshit. But I'll be very curious to see what the studies are. They track people going in and out of buildings in Manhattan.
Scott Galloway
Just they do. There's all kinds of technology. Absolutely.
Kara Swisher
But it'll be interesting to see what the trends are if people just sort of ignore this or if people think.
Scott Galloway
You know, I don't know what, how you could hard, you know, given metal detectors.
Kara Swisher
I don't know what could you do?
Scott Galloway
If you're clever enough or you're violent enough, you can get through to these.
Kara Swisher
Or just sit in front of the building. I mean.
Scott Galloway
Right. I mean just that's what the great city of New York is about, is being able to go anywhere.
Kara Swisher
It's the crush of humanity. Yeah, yeah.
Scott Galloway
And it's just the assault weapon, I think. I mean, I think Hokul has called for an assault weapon. But again, as Mamdani correctly said, you can, if you can go buy it in Tennessee, what's the difference? And drive yourself, you know, through the Lincoln Tunnel, that's the end of.
Kara Swisher
Does help though. New York's gun laws do help. And I was saying to someone a couple nights ago, New York City is actually, is actually one of the safest big cities in the world. It's actually quite safe.
Scott Galloway
Yeah. Except for this. Except for this. Again, another senseless tragedy for our country and it's so common and we've become used to it. Speaking of something you've talked about a lot, Scott, a Senate committee voted to advance a bill that would ban stock trading by members of Congress, presidents and vice presidents. With a convenient carve out for Donald Trump. Lawmakers would be banned from buying stocks once the bill goes into effect and blocked from selling stocks 90 days after that. But divestments wouldn't be required until the beginning of the new term. So Trump is in the clear. The bill, originally called the Pelosi act for Nancy Pelosi you like to give a hard time to, was introduced by Senator Josh Hawley, the only Republican who voted for it. Trump initially said he supported the man conceptually, but later lashed out at Hawley, accusing him being a pawn for the Democrats. He wanted to put in a Pelosi, Pelosi thing just because he's such a revenge minded person. The future of the bill is uncertain, but it is moving forward. Trump is also calling for investigation. Nancy Pelosi stock trading. But the problem for him is there's tons of Republicans doing the same. For her part, Pelosi put out a statement saying she supports the legislation. Of course he's just cutting off his nose despite his face and has attacked Hawley as a second rate senator. And then Hawley tried to suck up to him again. But the fact that they cannot get this through and you've talked about the idea of just paying these congresspeople more, it's just astonishing. 80%, it's an 8020 thing. I think 80% of people across the country think they should do this and they're not doing this.
Kara Swisher
Yeah. So it's some of the most popular or it has more support of any proposed legislation in a long time. This is largely performative. My understanding is it's not going to go through. But I mean, one of the real advantages that the US has is that we have the deepest pools of capital. And that is there is a giant river of capital that flows in, has arteries reaching into the deepest corners of Thailand that if somebody's working there and has something like a 401k or invest in stocks, 50% of that capital will ultimately end up in the US flow to the US because of our incredible companies, IP colleges, R& D risk aggressiveness, but also because we have rule of fair play. And that if someone thinks, if I invest in an S and P or a NASDAQ fund, even though I'm not in the know, I'm not in Congress, I'm not on a board of directors, I'm not going to get fucked, someone else isn't going to make a ton of money at my expense. There's rule of fair play. And as a result, startups in the United States have $5 million for every startup in Europe, it's 1 million. We have five times the venture capital here per company. And if you these deep pools of capital, which are just enormous, an enormous advantage, a lot of that is because there is, quote, unquote, rule of fair play. The reason why the Russian stock market is not worth what Nvidia loses or gains every day is everyone assumes the game is rigged, so they're not going to put their money in the stock market. The person or Kutzk or in St. Petersburg is like, no, this is rigged. And to be blunt, Speaker Pelosi and her husband, their net worth is estimated at $420 million. And last year their net worth increased 54%. And Democrats managed to eke out a 31% return in 2024 and Republicans at 26%, both overperforming the S and P and Trump's crypto.
Scott Galloway
Trump, we're talking about someone who's really cashed in is the Trump family.
Kara Swisher
Well, that, I mean, here's the problem. A small amount of corruption leads to big corruption. And to a certain extent, Trump said these, these congresspeople are playing small ball. They're doing insider trading for hundreds of thousands or millions. I'm going to do it for billions. But Speaker Emirate Pelosi, in my view. Let's talk specifically about the legislation. He was not serious. When you call something the Pelosi act, you're saying, fuck you to the other side. Because a lot of people understandably have a great deal of affection for Speaker Emirate Pelosi. When you call something, when you're purposely being ignorant.
Scott Galloway
I think they changed the name. I think it's the Honest Act.
Kara Swisher
Yeah, they did change the name, but it showed he wasn't. It showed he wasn't really serious about what would be required to pass this. And that is bipartisan support. When you come out of the gate swinging like that, the Democrats are just like, you know, fuck you, boss. You just didn't need to do that. We should. The moment you are elected to office, the moment even as I think you go through the primaries, you have to put your money in a blind trust. And if you're not willing to do that, what you're acknowledging is you have some sort of special access or information that other people don't. Not supporting this bill means that you want to continue to engage in insider trading. The fact that you have people in intelligence briefings where they aren't making decisions on tens of billions of dollars that may or may not be spent by companies that are publicly traded. And then you can literally leave that briefing and go call someone. And you're not supposed to, but you can. The fines are such that everyone ignores it and say, honey, go buy.
Scott Galloway
Whatever. Volunteer.
Kara Swisher
Yeah. Or this AI, what was the one that she bought call options on in the morning?
Scott Galloway
That Marjorie Taylor Greene did it a bunch of times too.
Kara Swisher
But Pelosi announced. When Pelosi announced or disclosed she'd bought options. Call options in a healthcare AI company. I forget the name of the company. The Stock spiked like 10 or 15%. I mean, it's just. Anyways, they should have to put in a blind trust. And also the other side of this, we need to pay these people a lot more so they don't feel the temptation to do these things.
Scott Galloway
I think they get 174. They're both equal in the Senate and the Congress. I think it's 174,000, which is a lot for people. For regular people, that's a lot.
Kara Swisher
Support two homes. It really isn't.
Scott Galloway
So what would be the. What would you give them? First of all, they could put their current. They don't not have to have stocks. They just put it in an index fund or a blind trust.
Kara Swisher
They just have no control over it. Just a blind trust.
Scott Galloway
These are everywhere. What would you pay them?
Kara Swisher
I would pay congresspeople. I would pay our representatives a million dollars a year, our senators 2 million a year. And you know, the President. I would go to the Singapore model and that is pay them really well. And then absolute zero fucking tolerance for any of this nonsense. None. You can't Anything you have control over in terms of capital allocation of your own personal funds, you no longer have control over. And if you do, you're kicked out.
Scott Galloway
There is a criticism that, like, people who are good at money won't go into Congress. But I'm like, yes, they. They do it for other reasons. And by the way, it's become a rich person's game. Costs. I think I was on a panel site and he was saying it used to cost a couple hundred thousand dollars. Trump for Congress. Now it's 8 or 9 million. So only rich people can afford it. Are people with access to funds, and then they're on the hook for rich people. Right. So it creates a really bad situation.
Kara Swisher
It's not going to discourage anyone. Something like that would not discourage anyone from running. And it creates a distraction. And then you feel like you've got to engage in playing this game because you're, you know, the representative from Kentucky is making millions of dollars while you're not. And also, after taxes, that amount of money, if you're trying to support two homes and I look, these people deserve to make more money. They're impressive, important people doing important work.
Scott Galloway
Yeah, I agree.
Kara Swisher
And if we're going to have zero tolerance, which we should hear, we. We have to pay them really well.
Scott Galloway
Give them a housing allowance. Like, you know, they could create, like a congressional apartment building. And then we could have a reality show. We could make.
Kara Swisher
Oh, my God, that would be hilarious. What happens when Ted Cruz, you know, runs into Bernie Sanders in the shower?
Scott Galloway
Romance.
Kara Swisher
There you go.
Scott Galloway
It would be so good. But they could, like, spark, fly for the Congress people. They could for the younger ones. Why not?
Kara Swisher
Some of them do them together.
Scott Galloway
Don't they do something fun, like make a thing of it, like, it would be kind of interesting. Or give them housing allowances or something. I don't know. They do get a lot of allowances. They get all kinds of perks, but this is just ridiculous. Josh Hawley, we're behind you. Even though I'm not really behind you. Every time they do a picture of Josh Hawley, it's the Insurrectionist.
Kara Swisher
The pump. The fist pump.
Scott Galloway
The fist pump.
Kara Swisher
Yeah.
Scott Galloway
That guy's never escaping.
Kara Swisher
I'm with you.
Scott Galloway
I'm with you. Running from. Run.
Kara Swisher
These people are fucking crazy. Run. I'm with you. I'm with you. I'm right behind you. I'll be in Rehoboth, Josh.
Scott Galloway
You're never going to be president, just FYI. Anyway, let's go on a quick break. When we come back, Joe Rogan has some criticism for President Trump. He's ramping up. He's turning into a San Francisco lesbian.
Kara Swisher
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Scott Galloway
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Kara Swisher
It's an overcorrection. Right. And it's also like they have a mandate, I think, of like 3,000 people a day they want to deport. You know, you got a bunch of people that are totally innocent are going to get caught up. Right, right. Have been. Right. You know, they have been a lot of people that have green cards, a lot of people that are supposed to be over here, and then they're kicking students out that, like, write articles they don't like. Yeah.
Scott Galloway
That's nuts.
Kara Swisher
Fucking crazy.
Scott Galloway
And that's not all. Let's listen to a clip of Rogan talking about Trump's reaction to all things Epstein.
Kara Swisher
This is a line in the sand. This one's a line in the sand. Yeah. Because this is one where there's a lot of stuff about, you know, when we thought Trump was going to come in and a lot of things are going to be resolved, going to drain the swamp, going to figure everything out. And when you have this one hardcore line in the sand that everybody had been talking about forever, and then they're trying to gaslight you on that.
Scott Galloway
So it's interesting. I'm not sure if Rogan's disapproval will carry as much weight as this endorsement did. I don't know. What do you think of this? I think it's actually, you know, it's sort of late. You know, Joe, of course he was going to do this. He seems kind of fatuous to what Trump is, but I don't know. What do you think?
Kara Swisher
I don't know. I think that. I do think it matters a lot of. When I speak to young men, I feel like a lot of times they're reading back a script from Joe Rogan. I think arguably, Joe Rogan, in terms of young men, has more influence because he's seen as an honest broker. I think the most, I don't wanna call it dangerous thing about Joe Rogan, but I think Joe is like, it's not an act. I think Joe is genuinely. He's not Fox News reading from a teleprompter saying, smart, manic, has been weaponized by Hugo Chavez because we told you to say it. I think what he's saying, he believes and Also the manosphere, if you will, or male dominated or male centric podcasts. There has been a significant tide shift.
Scott Galloway
Shane Gillis, Andrew Schultz.
Kara Swisher
Andrew Schultz, all these guys who, quite frankly, if you were to point to one person who potentially put Trump in office, it would be. Number one would be Musk. Right. Quarter of a billion dollars, platform turned on him, very smart. And then probably number two is Joe Rogan. And the stat I love is that if you want to talk about how brilliant the Trump campaign was and how non brilliant the Harris campaign was, and it kind of reminds me of Mondani and Cuomo, Trump flew right into the manosphere, which was not only good for positioning, but by going on Rogan that one time with 40 million YouTube videos or views and 15 million audio downloads, for Harris to get the same level of exposure, she would have needed to go on msnbc, CNN and Fox every night for three hours for two weeks. So quite frankly, whatever. Unless it was gonna take her two weeks to get down and back from Austin, she should have done it. So these guys carry a ton of weight. And there has been a real significant shift.
Scott Galloway
It's a combo of all of them. It's not just Rogan. I mean, Schultz has been particularly vehement about it. And Shane Gillis is mocking him, making fun of him. Then you have the south park guys on his ass because they're considered pretty right in the middle. Like not in the middle, but they don't behold into anything.
Kara Swisher
Yeah, Honey Badger don't give a shit. They go after everybody.
Scott Galloway
But what do you think? I mean, it's interesting because he's moved from the Epstein things, which I think animates a lot of these people. A lot of them are angry about the Epstein stuff. And now it's moved to colleges and deportations, which they're like, why can't these kids say what they want as long as they're not violent? I think Rogan said that. He's like, if they're not violent, they can write whatever they want. So that is consistent. Consistent with their thing of the left quashing them. But now they're applying it to Trump.
Kara Swisher
Yeah, what was again, there was. I thought of you last night. There was another weapon of mass distraction yesterday. Something ridiculous, something outrageous. What was it yesterday? Oh, it'll come to me.
Scott Galloway
Giving Diddy a pardon.
Kara Swisher
Oh, exactly.
Scott Galloway
Yeah. Megyn Kelly mad about that.
Kara Swisher
Diddy a pardon. Okay. That's what the President should be focused on right now. I mean, I'm telling you every day. Again, we got it. The moment he does this shit. You got to start referring to Diddy as Diddy Epstein. You just got to make, you got to let him know, folks, we're not falling for it. If you're sawing your assistant in half and expect us to look over here, we're not going to do it. We want to see you pulling the rabbit out of your coat pocket, not out of the hat. But yeah, I don't.
Scott Galloway
And a lot of people aren't going along. Rogan has been pretty Trump positive and he's doing it a lot. I'm interested to see what he'll, what he'll move on to if something he doesn't like. Right. But there's quite a lot. It's not just one thing. And as I said at the beginning of this whole thing, and let me tell you, I think Elon started this, this Epstein thing. He absolutely by that tweet he did. But I think Epstein is at the core, as I said, the pillar. But then there's all these other things that are consistent with what they said before, which was, why can't those students say what they want, even if I don't agree with those students? Why can't humor Right. When he's threatening all kinds of people, entertainers and stuff like that? Why can't they say what they want, even if they're left? And I think they are consistent in that. They should be consistent in that regard. They should. If they say people should say what they want, it should apply to the left and the right. Right. And so that was interesting when Rogan did that. I'm curious what he'll do next.
Kara Swisher
Well, they can, they can claim. And I actually, I think it's good for the medium. No matter what happens. CNN and Fox, you kind of have a sense for which way they're going to go on every story. These guys, to their credit are saying, I was wrong. I do not support these policies. A couple of them have said, I regret voting for them. And I think the immigration raids really rattled a lot of them because I think a lot of them know, are exposed to it, see how cruel it is. The thing is, I don't get is it's ineffective. There were actually more people being deported during the Obama administration that are being deported right now. They just worked more cohesively or seamlessly with local law enforcement. And this just feels like, okay, well.
Scott Galloway
Because they are going after people who are like gardeners in Home Depot lot. They're kind of cloddish about it in a lot of ways. They're Doing it so performatively with the masks and the whole theater and Kristi Noem. Did you see that picture of Kristi Noem riding around a horse with her alleged paramour, Corey Lewandowski?
Kara Swisher
I didn't. I'd like to, though.
Scott Galloway
Argentina, they're just riding horses around like, what are you doing there? What are you doing?
Kara Swisher
She's in Argentina riding horses.
Scott Galloway
Something like that.
Kara Swisher
I'm here for it. I think I've decided Christine's super hot and I. The whole like, oh, my God.
Scott Galloway
Her whole Ice Barbie is so strange. It's like, what she's gonna do. President from that. I'm like trying to figure out where this is going.
Kara Swisher
It's straight to reality. It's straight to the White House or straight to Cinemax. Either way, I'm here for it.
Scott Galloway
A reality show, right? I'm sort of like, what are you doing?
Kara Swisher
Like Sarah Palin in Alaska.
Scott Galloway
Oh, that didn't work out so well for her, did it? Yeah, that's not gonna work out for you, Christy, because you're a lady. Doesn't work out for ladies. I'm sorry. It just doesn't. It's not gonna work out anyway. Speaking of ladies and she's not a lady. Ghislaine Maxwell has offered to testify before Congress in the Epstein situation, but only with conditions that include immunity. And on Tuesday, President Trump told reporters that Epstein stole Virginia Giuffre, one of Epstein's accusers, from Mar a Lago who died by suicide in April following a period of suicide. Serious health issues. She was the 17 year old that Prince Andrew allegedly abused. Paid off, I think. Anyway, she was one of the more outspoken ones and had a very tragic life. She worked in Mar a Lago in the spa. And Ghislaine Maxwell got her to come over to his house. And President Trump keeps changing his story of why he got in a fight with Epstein. First it was because some real estate thing. Then it was because they found him creepy, and now it's because he stole. The use of the word stole around sex trafficking sort of says it all to me. Or I didn't have the privilege to go down to Epstein island, which was a crazy word to use. He's just continues to every day to dig himself into another hole and keep this story alive. Like I said, it's almost suicidal. It's weird on his behalf to continue to. As for Ghislaine Maxwell, she deserves nothing. I said on CNN that. What does she want? Cocoa and a warm blanket. Give me a break. She needs to stay In J. If they give her immunity or Diddy immunity, it will continue. This story for Trump will never go away. And it's already not going away.
Kara Swisher
Yeah, he's really got. And that's why he just comes across as so guilty here, because he's got such weird judgment. He said that he wishes Ghislaine Maxwell. He didn't wish any of the victims well, he wishes her well. And then he says, oh, you know the. Why he's disappointed or offended by Epstein. He took his employees. Yeah. I'm like, okay, so that's why you don't want to be associated with this guy. Were any of his other activities that were reported and widely covered, did any of those offend problematic? No, it was that he hired his valet under him from Mar A Lago. It's like, okay, you're kind of missing the forest for the trees here. So he continues to act like someone advised him to try and act as guilty as possible. The idea of what effectively would be a pardon, which is what immunity would offer almost clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell. It's like, well, again, why are they speaking to her now? The only reason, the only motivation to speak to her now is the desire to clear the President. There's always been a desire to find out what exactly happened here and who was involved. And if you weren't able to get that information and offer whatever it is you needed to offer back then, then the only reason that you logically are going to derive from this or deduct from this is that you're hoping she will say something to exonerate the President. Because the only thing that's happened is there's new heat on the president. So I don't. The whole thing really stinks.
Scott Galloway
It won't exonerate him now because it looks like he's doing that right. So it'll look from a perception. So it's weird. I find this the strangest thing. I actually believe when everything the White House says. I don't believe what he say. I kind of believe that's what he thinks. He's mad at him for taking. Stealing a person who works in the spa. That's what he doesn't care about these women. He doesn't care about the abuses. He cares that someone stole his employee. I actually believe that when he says that. I don't think he's making it up in that room. I think this addled old man thinks that he's like, all pissed that he stole one of his employees.
Kara Swisher
Yeah. I don't See that? Yeah. The whole thing is just something I have to say.
Scott Galloway
A lot of people who didn't think it was a conspiracy theory or just were not really paying attention to it many years on. Oh, that's a noise outside your apartment.
Kara Swisher
Oh, shit. I Forgot to call 911 back and tell them they're not intruders. I know you. Oh, God. There's a strange lady rifling through my things and mumbling to herself.
Scott Galloway
I'm taking that buttery coat. That buttery coat of this I have.
Kara Swisher
Somebody has slaughtered several dozen animals who were llamas that were only raised on, like, Japanese wagyu rice. I went through that skin phase where I couldn't buy enough, like, leather coats. Anyways, have at it.
Scott Galloway
Yeah, they're very nice. I may take one, but it's sort of warm out.
Kara Swisher
If you borrow my code, it means I then borrow your car. And we're going steady. That means we're going steady.
Scott Galloway
We are going steady.
Kara Swisher
Oh, my first girlfriend, Melanie Kagan, who's.
Scott Galloway
But she wore your coat.
Kara Swisher
Oh, yeah, and my letterman coat. I was a letterman. A D1 athlete.
Scott Galloway
This is college.
Kara Swisher
College. You know it, baby.
Scott Galloway
Do you have any clothes from people? I still have clothes from people I went out with.
Kara Swisher
Yeah. I mean, David Hasselhoff still has a few of my loose sweatshirts, but that's another story, Kara. That's another story.
Scott Galloway
That was a loving relationship.
Kara Swisher
Yeah.
Scott Galloway
So beautiful and poignant.
Kara Swisher
Paul Giamatti has. Has a big bottle of my moisturizer. I don't. Don't. Don't force me to give details.
Scott Galloway
He's such a nice guy. I would like that.
Kara Swisher
That was pretty good. Two random names. I love you.
Scott Galloway
I don't. But if you weren't married, I'd love you to go out with Paul Giamatti. I think that would be good for you.
Kara Swisher
Oh, wait, hold on, hold on. Let's unpack that. The person you have decided is for me is Paul Giamatti.
Scott Galloway
Oh, my God. I totally like to hang out with you.
Kara Swisher
I'm totally down if Paul Giamatti can be Emily Radical. Has she asked about me? No, seriously. She has asked about me, right?
Scott Galloway
No, she has not.
Kara Swisher
She's totally asked about me.
Scott Galloway
Nobody who looks like Emily Radikowski. You know who asked me about you? Let me tell you.
Kara Swisher
Here we go.
Scott Galloway
Men. Sure. Michael asked me about you. The guy you debated in Detroit. This lovely guy, Chuck Rocca, I was on a panel with asked me. Men asked me about you. You have such a man crush on you. It's disturbing. On many.
Kara Swisher
Well, tell them to swing by. Why shouldn't they come by my apartment?
Scott Galloway
This is what women say to me, including very attract. And they're always like, oh, Scott.
Kara Swisher
Oh God.
Scott Galloway
That's, that's all they do.
Kara Swisher
Just keep him away from me.
Scott Galloway
Scott. I want to him. It's. Oh, Scott.
Kara Swisher
No. It's literally like I need to. That reminds me, I need new mace cartridges. Yeah.
Scott Galloway
But men are like, he's so dreamy. Scott is. I love that Scott. He's so dreamy.
Kara Swisher
You bring up my name in like the next sense where women are like, you know, I'm thinking about like just having sex with women from this point forward. I think if we. I don't hear any of that.
Scott Galloway
It is so true. I haven't had a woman say she's hot for you. Men. I have heard say how he's hot. Anyway, Paul Giamatti, call us.
Kara Swisher
That's something. That's something.
Scott Galloway
I know it's self done. All right, we have to move on. At the time. Tariffs, tariffs. And Jerome Powell has a set. Let's just say at the time of this taping, President Trump says he will not extend the latest August 1st tariff deadline. The President reportedly plans to sign new executive orders after we tape imposing higher tariffs on several countries that have not reached yields. The administration has managed to get only eight deals done in 120 days, but with a number of partners in the last few days, Trump has announced a 25% tariff on India with a penalty for overreliance on Russian energy and military equipment. It's said that South Korea has made an offer to buy down the 25% it faces. He's interested in hearing it. One of the things that it's interesting is whether he's going to extend that deadline. Fear not everyone. Treasury Secretary Scott Besant, who seems to be living his best life as Trump's favorite person, told corporate America, it's, quote, not the end of the world if these tariffs are on for days or weeks. Meanwhile, the Fed held interest rates steady, as I said on Wednesday for the fifth meeting in a row as the Commerce Department reported that the US Economy grew at a stronger than expected pace. But there's lots of troubling things in the report, actually. And now inflation today just ticked up a little bit. And so Powell seems to be waiting till September to see the impact of the tariffs, which I think is probably a good thing to do. So what do you think about what's happening in some cases, some of the countries are saying, what do think you said Happened. Didn't happen. Obviously, a lot of these numbers are gonna be paid by American consumers in the end. Any thoughts on this?
Kara Swisher
The only thing you know you're gonna get, first off, none of them, I hate it. They call them deals. They're all frameworks that they can put out a press release and in the press release is some giant number that is unenforceable, specifically the amount of money they're gonna Invest in the U.S. yes.
Scott Galloway
Thank you.
Kara Swisher
So I hope we just get through this. Get on it. I saw someone on Bill Maher, a very intelligent woman, saying that tariffs, she's like, said to Bill, why are you against making American workers more productive? They're kind of like wrapping themselves in the flag. And folks, let me just remind you that free trade or tariffs reversely correlated to economic growth. They're telling American consumers that they have to pay more money for a Japanese car such that they get a shitty car for 40,000 instead of a gray car for 30,000. That not only makes US consumers less prosperous, paying more for shittier things, but it also makes us less competitive because we don't need to compete. I'm going to talk about this in my prediction, but Figma, this design company, is going public and it was supposed to be acquired by Adobe. The fact that it wasn't because the regulators blocked the deal is going to make that market much more competitive. And so when all you're doing is making things less competitive in the short run for companies because they have the advantage of taxing foreign companies, you make our companies less competitive, you make our consumers less prosperous. And it has been shown that over the medium and long term, it decreases productivity. And the GDP numbers were really strange. I don't know if you saw those, but the GDP numbers. So this was the strangest thing that came out of the GDP numbers. You subtract or you add to GDP or excuse me, you subtract out of GDP imports, because that is economic activity or production that took place. Offshore shore imports were down 30% year on year, like 34%. I mean, it's not even that the prices are too high or that American consumers don't want them, but foreign companies that build businesses importing products into the US Making our lives more prosperous and our products less expensive and better quality of life have kind of stopped because they don't know how to plan. They don't even know how to price stuff. They don't know what it means. They don't know what the demand's going to be because they don't know what these tariffs are. So I'm at the part of the program now where I just hope for the purposes of just getting back to work, that they get a bunch of these frameworks done and all these nations are learning, yeah, agree to the tariff and then announce a trillion dollars in investment in the United States over the next 10 years, which is not enforceable.
Scott Galloway
That's what happened with all the tech companies. Remember, they were like, we're going to invest and then they never did. That's the thing. And so Trump can touted deal. One of the things, Richard Quest, who I like on CNN was so frustrated as I tried it. I love him. Yeah, that guy, he's great. But the point he was making is the 15% is getting eaten by these companies. They're just going to take the cost and you'll see numbers like Ford or GM they had first time since 2023. Ford is losing money, which it wasn't, it was doing well. They'll eat the cost because it's low enough, but eventually they won't. Second thing is consumers will pay for this in the end. Like not the money that's going to the Treasury. And it just literally. And he's like, he said the same thing you do. These are frameworks, they are not the thing. And so you'll never. How are you going to know if they're going to invest? Like just saying they're going to invest. They will not do it. And so it's all nonsense and kind of unnecessary shaking of the economy for no reason. Now, that's not to say that being tough on people or sort of playing game of chicken with some of these countries where it's not that asynchronous trade is not a bad idea. Right. Like we always say that. But one of the things that's important to understand is that it's not in place. It's just not like a lot of things with Trump. It's a lot of vaporware. And that is the real problem. And so when Jerome Powell comes in and says we're just going to wait about cutting interest rates, we want to see what happens. We'll see what happens. That's the adult thing to do. And of course, Trump attacks him because it doesn't work without an acquiescent Fed. Right. To try to feed this thing. And he's not going to be acquiescent. And interestingly, with the Fed meeting, two of the Trump appointed people voted against keeping it the same rate. So now it's totally politicized, which are good Economic decisions. Powell, this guy has a set. He really does.
Kara Swisher
Oh yeah, he's doing exactly what you're supposed to do when you have a Supreme Court justice or long tenure appointments. The reason we do that is such that we get stuck with some bad people sometimes. But the reason we do that is such that they can be independent minded. But one of the biggest risks I think to our economy is so the definition of robust, a robust industry is, for example, the fast food industry. If McDonald's goes out of business, you're still going to be able to get $1,800 of calories for five bucks. Right? Because there's a ton competitors. If Jamie Dimon called the President right now and said, oh, we had some rogue trader, he levered up, got past our compliance and if I don't get $500 billion by tomorrow, we're out of business. That existential or systemic risk, because JP Morgan is so big now and so powerful, they have become, in my opinion, too big to fail. That makes an economy weaker. We now have seven companies that represent over 40% of the S&P's value of which represents 50% of the world's value. So you have essentially 20% of the market cap of the world is tied up in seven companies. And what these tariffs are doing, there's so many second order effects here. Is that, okay, you know who's not affected by the tariffs? You know who's just champagne and cocaine right now? Tech companies.
Scott Galloway
Yeah, we will talk about that.
Kara Swisher
But if you're an investor, are you going to invest in the 70% of companies in the S&P 500 that are subject to some sort of tariff risk? You're like, oh, fuck it, just buy Meta. I don't know how to predict this. I don't know how to model against it. So what do we have even greater concentration of wealth and of market cap in an increasingly small group of companies.
Scott Galloway
And people who will not be able to deliver in the end, actually, they can't keep up with the numbers.
Kara Swisher
But that's the last thing. Does the President really think it's good economic policy to basically transfer market capitalization from Dow Chemical and Ford to Alphabet and Meta? Is that what we need right now? That's not these companies.
Scott Galloway
The opposite. It's the opposite.
Kara Swisher
These great American companies that are either in manufacturing or consumer products that are subject to these tariffs and subject to this insecurity and chaos, those are the companies, quite frankly.
Scott Galloway
That is a really good point.
Kara Swisher
And they tend to be, they don't pay their people as well, but they tend to employ many more people. And it's like, okay, if we were going to do any economic policy that transferred capital or advantage back from one group of companies to others for a more robust market, quite frankly, a stronger, more diverse economy, we would probably want to let some air out of the AI tech balloon and transfer it across the rest of our great American companies.
Scott Galloway
That's not what they're doing.
Kara Swisher
And this is effectively saying to every institutional manager, fuck it, just invest in tech.
Scott Galloway
That's right. All right, well then actually we'll get to that. We'll go on a quick break. When we come back, we'll talk about Microsoft and Meta's earnings, which were blockbuster.
Kara Swisher
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Scott Galloway
So I took my Z Fold seven.
Kara Swisher
Outside and kept playing. Still one got a tan and a nice little reset. Powerful processor, realistic graphics. You stay locked in, Streak stays alive.
Scott Galloway
Can your phone do that?
Kara Swisher
The new Galaxy Z Fold 7 get yours@samsung.com.
Scott Galloway
Scott we're back with earnings news. Microsoft just reported a blockbuster quarter with total revenue surging 18% year over year to $76 billion. But as Microsoft doubles down on AI, the capital spending is climbing up 27%. Meta also had a huge Q2 with $47 billion in revenue up 22% and 18 billion in profit up 36%. Meta's AI hiring spree also acknowledged in the earnings with compensation for technical talent in priority areas cited as the second largest driver cost growth. These Big deals are paying all these AI researchers. How do you look at this? Are these AI bets paying off or it's advertising for Meta? It's their old business that's doing well. Probably helped by AI, but not in the way Zuckerberg is spending. Any thoughts on this? They're really doubling down on AI obviously, whether it's research costs or talent costs or just simple investment in compute. Any thoughts on these two earnings?
Kara Swisher
So you forwarded me an article from the Wall Street Journal that was really fascinated and it said basically this is the weirdest GDP report we've seen in a while because when imports go down 30%, it sort of artificially juices GDP. And if you're thinking about, I mean, these numbers. Well one, okay, so the numbers, the traditional business is just staggering. It's just they continue to perform. They're using AI for better targeting. And I think every media planner in the world is just throwing up their arms and saying just spend more money on Meta or on Alphabet. They also have the benefit of. The market has decided that it loves capex in AI. The market has decided that AI is going to be enormous and whoever wins the war, it's going to be a function of brute force. And that is as represented by capex. So Oracle, when Oracle went public, Larry Ellison I think owned about 24%. He now owns closer to 41%. Well, how is that possible? They would use their cash flow to buy back shares, thereby decreasing the amount of shares and increasing the relative ownership of people who own shares. Except about two years ago he decided, no, it's now a capital war in AI. We need to be a distant number two of infrastructure to Nvidia. We're going to massively spend in capex. Arguably that was one of the better business decisions of the last 10 years. And Larry Ellison, you want to talk about Elephants Can Dance, is now the second second wealthiest person in the world and the most crazy stat from that article. And I still can't believe it's true. But it stated in that article that there was more spending last quarter on AI investments than there was consumer spending. So think about this. 355 million people in the US, everything, they're spending money on, their Netflix, their Starbucks, going to see F1, all, all consumer spending was less than the investments in AI. I mean my God, that is, I.
Scott Galloway
Know the numbers are that massive.
Kara Swisher
That is just staggering. But Meta up 12% in pre market earnings beat a massive. Earnings beat 714 versus 589 Revenue of 47.5 billion expected 44.8 a 22% year on year. And one of the things that was so impressive is they grew their customers, they grew their customer base or their users by 6%, which may not sound like a lot, but when Your base is 3.5 billion, that's too.
Scott Galloway
There's no other game in town. There's no other game in town.
Kara Swisher
They added the population of Brazil to their user base year on year. And in addition, the market loves this capex. Their capex is spending was $17 billion, by the way. That's double what it was last year. And the market just loves it.
Scott Galloway
Well, someone has to pay for all those, those young men that they're hiring. I mean, billion dollar deals. They, you know, whatever you say about Marco Zuckerberg, he goes for it, right? And even if he made a mistake with Meta and same thing over at Microsoft, the question is, when does it not pay off? Like here you have Grok doing it, you've got Amazon doing it. Amazon just paid even the New York Times $20 million a year for its stuff, which is nothing, which is peanuts. I just think that this is an arms race for these people and it's being paid off in the market right now for them, and they're using that in order to goose themselves rather. And you're right, everything is being shifted over to these seven tech companies and nobody else. And so Ford and gm, who have made strides, are going to suffer. So will John Deere, so will all the other companies, at the expense of these people. Now, interestingly, Zuckerberg had to put out one of his essays. These people love to put out essays and letters and vision manifestos. He loves to do this, and they're always long and badly edited. But he said AI superintelligence is now in sight. He put out this letter and video outlining his vision for it was described by one outlet as a mini manifesto. Let's listen to Mark Zuckerberg if we have to.
Kara Swisher
A lot has been written about the scientific and economic advances that AI can bring, and I'm really optimistic about this. But I think an even more meaningful impact in our lives is going to come from everyone having a personal superintelligence that helps you achieve your goals, create what you want to see in the world, be a better friend, and grow to become the person that you aspire to be. This vision is different from others in the industry who want to direct AI at automating all of the valuable work blather. This is his road to the person you aspire to be.
Scott Galloway
Ugh it's such. He did this before.
Kara Swisher
That's the guy that's good. I'm going to be the person I aspire to be, honestly, because of Mark Zuckerberg.
Scott Galloway
One time he called me when he wrote one of these ridiculous manifestos. He called me, asked me when he was speaking to me what I thought of it and I said, one, you need an editor. Two, I don't understand this. This whole thing about community. He just was like, social media will bring us together like such fucking. And of course it didn't. And at the time I was like, this is such bullshit. Just say you just want to make money on automating all our valuable work. I'm fine with that. Right. But this is. Is these people just aspire to be these visionaries and they are the smallest intellectual, they have the smallest intellects and the least amount. They just love to put these things out, you know, Jamie, you don't hear this from Jamie Dimon much, right. And who is, by the way, he's been meeting with President Trump, which is a good thing. Like, you don't hear this nonsense from our smarter people in our society because they don't feel the need to do. Remember when Gates put these essays, the Road Ahead? It was so nonsensical. Like to do this. Now, one thing Zuckerberg did say, which I agreed with, but I didn't think he had to put on such thing as he said, smart glasses will be the primary way people interact with AI. Of course he said that because he has a smart glass business and without them, people will be at a cognitive disadvantage. Do you think you're going to be at a cognitive disadvantage without AI glasses?
Kara Swisher
Well, I mean, the idea. So these LLMs, I've always said that the LLM is just a function of who we are, but unfortunately, who we are in a certain medium. And I wish the LLMs could crawl the real world because I think, generally speaking, in the real world that people are lovely. But the fact is they're crawling our complexion, our personality online and it gets really ugly really fast. And if this AI. I've always said that companies were the closest thing I had to kids before I had kids, and that is you conceive of them. They look, smell and feel like you. They're sort of a corporate embodiment of the personality. And if, if llama, the LLM from. From Zuck ends up being anything, anything like him, it'll be emotionally stunted, brilliantly efficient, and constantly urging you to reconnect with your ex. I mean, it's just going to be such a weird if this thing ends up like, when you heard that, didn't it sound AI generated? It's like the non human human.
Scott Galloway
Oh, it's just. No, because he's done it before. It's like so anodyne. It is. So I literally had this bad memory from. I was at my ex's house, like sleeping on a couch and he called me and I was like, you got.
Kara Swisher
Kicked out on the couch? Talk to me about that because we were broken. Lesbians do that too.
Scott Galloway
No, we were. No. So it was just so fucking ridiculous. It was like. I remember going, oh my God, how can I get off this fucking phone with this idiot who just thinks. Who just thinks he's a visionary. Like literally. No. There's so many visionaries. Like John Malone's recently written a book. He's a visionary. Like, he doesn't talk that much and what he says is choice. These guys can't stop fucking talking and giving you their predictions of the future. It's ex. Like, I wanna hear it from you, Scott. I don't wanna hear it from this.
Kara Swisher
Yeah, this guy, you gotta give. He is a visionary. He really is. But his vision is a legless universe where people are cutting themselves. That's his vision.
Scott Galloway
But like that he says, like, I'm here to help you achieve your be a better friend and grow a person who aspired me. It's not about automating all your value work, Mark. It's about automating all your valuable work and so you can make money off of it. Just say that like, honestly, this nonsense of being Facebook is not going to make you a. Is not going to make you a better friend. Facebook isn't going to allow you to create what you want to see in the world and grow to be a better person. And neither does Mark Zuckerberg care about that. And then, oh, by the way, buy my glasses. Glasses.
Kara Swisher
If I asked AI to give me an image of Mark Zuckerberg that defines who he is, I feel like it would be. Granted, this might be the edible speaking, but it would be a guy at a really sad malt shop sucking up the world's user data through a straw. And every time he made eye contact with you, he'd apologize and look away. I just think this guy is so unusual, so strange. And to his credit, he is actually smart enough to. I think he realizes it. So he brings in really likable people, whether it's Nick Clegg or Sheryl Sandberg. But just getting back to I just want to talk a little bit about earnings. I was so blown away by this quarter's earnings, just the amount of capex these guys are throwing at it. I think Microsoft may be the organization as of today that has invested more money, more capital in the future than any organization in history with the exception of countries during war. And by the way, it's paying off. They're up 8% of pre market trading. They blew away their earnings 365 versus 337. The revenue is $76.5 billion versus 73.8. Expected revenue was up 18% year on year. And then its cloud based unit Azure grew 39% this year. So if Microsoft, basically if you applied the same price to sales ratio to its cloud unit, it would be a $1 trillion business and right now it's a $75 billion revenue business and they're planning to spend $30 billion on capital next quarter. That's up 50% from the same time last year. And if it kept constant, it would work out to be $120 billion. And that means right now, now the category that is getting the most capex of any category in the world is AI. And the company spending the most is Microsoft. Microsoft is right now spending more money on AI than I think almost any organization in history has spent on anything with maybe the exception of a percentage of gdp. What Britain and Russia have spent during wartime or something like this is Meta's quarter I think is the biggest investment by a private company in history on anything. And it's paying off. This company, these companies, I mean it's just this tariff bullshit, these companies. While Ford is trying to figure out how many times a windshield wiper comes across or not from Canada or Mexico and how to fucking build their business and estimate it.
Scott Galloway
Trump is kneecapping them while these guys.
Kara Swisher
Then you have these guys that are just running flat out and just killing it, just literally running away.
Scott Galloway
Why wouldn't they kill? They have nothing in their way. Like they never have anything in their way. Like Ford and GM and John Deere, they have things in their way. These guys have no obstacles or they have no regulatory obstacles. They have no, like they just buy their way into seamlessness, which is their favorite part.
Kara Swisher
But think about, think about. This is what these guys do. They're like, okay, the two of them added $550 billion in market cap since 4pm last night. Since they announced their earnings last night, they've added $550 billion in market capitalization. So they just added, oh, let's add Netflix, let's add, I would imagine the French stock market. I mean, people don't get a sense of the scale.
Scott Galloway
It's working for them. It's a machine. Anyway, speaking of things that aren't a machine, let's finish up Novo Nordisk. Nordisk shares are plummeting after the company slashed its full year guidance, citing weaker than expected U.S. growth for Ozempic and WeGovy. The stock dropped 30% at one point on Tuesday, wiping out nearly $93 billion in market value. Novo Nordisk is blaming the downturn on increased competition from Eli Lilly's Mounjaro and Zeppbound as well as I think more significantly cheaper GLP1 knockoffs, which are not going away. They thought they were going away when the things got settled in terms of manufacturing. The company also named a new CEO replacing previous CEO who was ousted by the board in May as stock was sliding. This is incredible. A product that is going to be so big and the company at the top of it is just losing it. This to me is just one of these amazing stories because of all kinds of pressures, of course competition was going to get in here. It's only going to get bigger in the GLP1 market. But very quick thoughts on this because it's the opposite here, right? An amazing opportunity that's been blown, I guess.
Kara Swisher
Well, speaking of tariffs, the number one one import into the United States from Europe is pharmaceuticals. And I said two years ago, and I was mocked for this, that I thought a more important technology in terms of on the ground change to society was not AI, it was GLP1. And what's happened here is that because of a shortage and kind of a loophole, some companies have been able to offer compounded GLP1, which is basically like saying generics and him stock went crazy because they were able to basically sell GLP1.1 drugs for a fraction of the price. And then as you mentioned, Eli Lilly's GLP1 offering, Zepbound is now more popular than Wegovy. I absolutely love this. I still think the category is going to grow like crazy. Only 8% of Americans have taken a GLP one, but about a third of them are interested. I think if you want it. I think the most accretive thing you could do for our economy right now would be to offer access to GLP1 drugs for everybody. I think if you look at the obesity industrial complex that wants people to buy a sugar bomb, eat shitty food, take advantage of the lowest calories to cost, that people have to turn to in food deserts and then hand these people over to the companies producing statins, hip replacements, knee replacements, kidney dialysis. Effectively we are monetizing people's health and so much of it is obesity related, especially the obesity related. Healthcare costs are 1 to 1.5 trillion a year. So similar to what the equivalent of the FDA did in the uk. I think it's the UK health ministry, they said if you are smoking, we'll send you for free an electronic nicotine delivery service. Because while that is not good for you, it's much less bad for you than tobacco. I think over the medium and long term, if you really wanted to have an impact on healthcare costs, you would make GLP1 drugs accessible to absolutely everybody.
Scott Galloway
Correct. So what did this company which does the forefront of it do wrong?
Kara Swisher
Well, the honest answer is I don't know. I don't know if it's distribution or branding, but I would argue right now it's a great value because this is if not the market leader, one of the market leaders in what is an unbelievable business and category. And it's trading at a PE because it's been hammered, because it's not performing well.
Scott Galloway
Well, interesting. They did a deal with him and hers, right. And then they continued to sell the knockoff. So then they got into a fight with him and hers, right. So him and hers was selling the knockoff and Novo Nordisk did a deal with them and then it fell apart because they were all the continued selling of the compounds which need to be regulated by the way is really something that loophole really has. You know these guys should have been riding off into the sunset because they kind of. But they don't because of these GLP1 knockoffs. It's fascinating that this is what got them, that they didn't anticipate this.
Kara Swisher
The market has a tendency to over punish and over reward and the momentum right now is against these guys. So with their five year average PE has been 30, it's been as high as 50. Today it's going to open at 14.6. And when you think about the average S and P company trades at a PE of 26 to get the market leader even though it is underperforming expectations in GLP1 at 14.6 times earnings. I actually think the stock is a buy right now. But there's no doubt about it, this is a national champion for Europe that is faltering or not living up to the expectations. But I actually think the stock is buying been over punished and I have of all the technologies of the last 10 years, the one I'm most excited about is GLP1. I think it's a game changer.
Scott Galloway
Absolutely. In fact, in doing this secret documentary, one of the things that every doctor has said is I asked them what they think the most important developments technology in pharmaceutical and they're always like MRNA vaccines.
Kara Swisher
That's interesting.
Scott Galloway
CRISPR. CRISPR and GLP1s, everyone. They're like, I don't know which one's more important. And they all mention GLP1s on a range of things because it's just beginning. We're beginning to understand it. I would agree with you. All right, we have to move on. One more quick break, but we'll be back for predictions.
Kara Swisher
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Scott Galloway
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Scott Galloway
Your next great hire is here. Okay, Scott, let's hear a prediction. I have a very quick one very quickly. Kamala Harris announced this week she's not running for governor of California. She also revealed she's written a book about her campaign called 107 Days. I'm not so sure she's going to run for president. President? I didn't think. As I told you, I didn't think she was going to run for governor. I don't think she's going to run for president. I think she knows that she can't win and she has enough responsibility to understand that. And so I predict she will also not run for president.
Kara Swisher
Well, I'm good at running other people's lives. If I was the Vice president. I would go be the chairman of a hedge fund, make a shit ton of money and just wait for the next Democratic administration and be a Supreme Court justice. Justice.
Scott Galloway
Yeah.
Kara Swisher
I don't think that's what I want to say. I don't think she needs the risk of potentially lose. I'm not sure she'd win governor, and she just doesn't need that.
Scott Galloway
And does she really have to win by a lot if she wins? Right. So if she, even if she wins and doesn't win by enough, she'll be, she'll be tart in that regard.
Kara Swisher
And a lot of people describe California as ungovernable, that it's just that special interest groups are so entrenched. People say this is a, even, even Republican governors will say, I would not want that job. Right. That it's a very difficult. I think, I think it's the right move.
Scott Galloway
I don't think she wanted to do. I don't. I think she, as an executive, she didn't want, she didn't have the fire. When I talked to her, you could tell, like it was like she's supposed to versus she wants to. So I don't know.
Kara Swisher
She's probably sick of running. I hope. I, I hope. Yeah, I don't, I don't think she should. And, and, you know, I thought she did a good try.
Scott Galloway
She did. She had a good try.
Kara Swisher
Given the hand she was dealt with, I think one of the greatest performances in history by any athlete or person. When I saw her walking into that debate with the president and the amount of pressure on her shoulders and the way she handled herself, I thought, great job. Yeah. She deserves a lot of credit for trying to run a US Style race hamstrung by what was British election.
Scott Galloway
Biden.
Kara Swisher
Yeah, yeah. British election cycle time. I mean, she had what, 111 days or something to try and pull out.
Scott Galloway
She had Biden hanging around her.
Kara Swisher
Oh, she's happy. I don't, I don't.
Scott Galloway
I hope so, too. I think she's been a great public servant. I just don't think she's going to.
Kara Swisher
Remember, but she'll be. She's literally the first Supreme Court justice appointee of a democratic presidency. She'll be.
Scott Galloway
She's an easy one. That's a lot of work. That's a lot of work. Okay, what's your prediction? Very briefly.
Kara Swisher
So each year I pick an IPO of the year, and that is an ipo, I think is going to do really well. Airbnb. Last year it was Reddit. Today I believe will be the IPO of the year. And I think that IPO is a company called Figure Figma and it's a design company. And I've been building these, my son's been trying to find a business and building these sites. And it is just so obvious that design is the salsa to the chip of all AI. And that is whenever AI returns anything, it just looks so anodyne, generic. And if you look at designers, if you look at for example IBM used to hire one designer for every 70 programmers. Now, now it's one to ten. Design is a booming field and seems to be somewhat so far immune from AI. And figma is essentially this kind of collaborative software company. It's great for design. The thing that got me looking at it was my partner at Prop G, Kathryn Dillon, who is a professor of the visual arts at Tisch or professor of the arts, teaches a very popular course called Design Language. And the first thing she does for her students is she asks them to download Figma and this company. So there's this thing called the rule of 40 in SaaS and that is you take your growth rate plus your profit margins, the rule of 40 for Figma, its profit margin's around 20% and its growth this year was 44% giving it a rule of 40 of 64, which puts it in the top five of SaaS companies. And just to give you a sense of how profitable and how economically efficient this company is, Uber spent $21 billion between 2009 and 2021. Figma has raised $750 million, but has $1.5 billion on its balance sheet, meaning that it has accreted $750 million. It works with between 7 and 8 of the 10 of every Fortune 2000 companies. Adobe is sort of the Mercedes, a little bit over engineered, an amazing company. They have responded with competition with Adobe Express because Figma is known as being more collaborative. But figma's a little bit easier to use. Figma I think is more like Toyota. It's going out at 18 times revenues. And the most interesting I think, think about this is this was the IPO that wasn't supposed to happen. And this IPO which I think will offer investors an opportunity to invest in a great company, more competition, corporations will be able to have better products for a lower price.
Scott Galloway
It's great that Adobe didn't get it. I that was a great move by the government.
Kara Swisher
Exactly right. And we'll come back to that $20.
Scott Galloway
Billion valuation right now.
Kara Swisher
Also from an employee standpoint, we're worried obviously about employees. When companies are acquired, generally speaking, within a year, 18% of the employees have left of the company that was acquired. When a company goes public, usually they hire increase their hiring in year one of 23%. And the reason this company is going public is not because of our antitrust, not because of our regulation, but because of EU antitrust which blocked this merger. So while we're sitting on our hands letting companies concentrate and create a less competitive market, the EU regulator said no, this makes no sense to take the numbers 1 and 2 player and let the upstart. Figma is sort of to Adobe what AI is to search. Adobe's still going to be an amazing business, but this is the new stuff. These guys are kind of the new guys and the EU blocked this and as a result Figma got a breakup fee of a billion dollars.
Scott Galloway
It's still shy of the Adobe deal but in terms of creating more billionair terms of creating more economic value for people, this is the right way to go, as you're saying.
Kara Swisher
Anyways, my prediction is the following. So yesterday I was literally calling everybody I could to try and get shares in this thing for the ipo. Typically they want to build a book of somewhere between 8 and 12 times demand. And the way it works is institutions call and say I want a million shares. And they always vastly overestimate how much they want because any decent IPO you're going to get cut back back, you're going to get trimmed back. So you put in an overallocation a really good IPO builds a book of 8 to 12 times the request for the number of outstanding shares or the shares being issued. I found out yesterday that figma was 40x over subscribed. And if you look at the companies going out this year, not only have IPOs there's been fewer of them, but the companies that have performed well are what I call it's not that they're not great companies, it's it that they're fashionable like Chime or Circle, like stablecoin. Shit. This is in my opinion a real company that's a great company that's killing it, that has amazing economics, great products. We haven't had many of those, if any, this year. So anyways, my prediction is the following. Always dangerous to make predictions about stocks. This is not financial advice but this is what I have been trying to do. I have been trying to, trying my damnedest to try and find shares in this thing because I think the first trade today, I think this thing closes up monstrously Today and we're recording on a Thursday morning. But I think Figma is what I'll call the first great company to go public in 2025. And I think it's going to be seen as one of the better IPOs of the year. I'm really excited about this company. And also it's a lesson on the importance of antitrust and regulation. And who wins here. More employment, investors have an opportunity to invest in a pure play amazing company. Corporations, more competition, more tax revenue. And thank you, eu. They actually said, no, this is not a good idea. We would be better with two great companies, not one here. And as a result, this company is now going public. It was supposed to be acquired two and a half years ago for 20 billion. It was going to be acquired for 50 times revenues. But now investors will get a chance to Invest invested about 18 times revenues. So this is just a win, win.
Scott Galloway
Win, win, win, win. And I hope you got shares, Professor.
Kara Swisher
Go.
Scott Galloway
Anyway, thank you. That's an excellent prediction. I love that one. We want to hear from you. Send us your questions about business, tech, or whatever's on your mind. Go to nymag.com pivot submit a question for the show or call 85551 pivot. Elsewhere in the Kara and Scott universe this week. This week on Prof. G Conversation, Scott was with Ezra Klein, a New York Times columnist and host of the Ezra Klein Show. Let's listen to a clip.
Kara Swisher
What's not working is a Democratic Party being leaderless and rudderless. I'm not shocked that at the moment, if you ask people in a poll who they'd vote for, like, they don't really know what to say, like, which Democrat, what do they know about them? But the Democratic Party is in a pretty shattered place. And so one of the reasons Democratic Party is very unpopular right now is Democrats do not like it. Now, those people are not going to vote Republican, but they are pissed off at the Democratic Party, which has to them been ineffectual, which has to them been unable to stop the worst of what Trump is doing, which has to them not come up with a message or come up with a set of leaders. Ezra's the kind of guy that wants to talk to you about his mushroom microdosing, but first asks if he can share his screen.
Scott Galloway
You know, it's like, it was a good interview. He's really smart. He's really smart. I don't agree with him on everything, but he's really smart. Now, Scott, the time has come. The time has come. You usually get Testy by this time of year, but scot free August is upon us.
Kara Swisher
It is, is.
Scott Galloway
It is. It is upon us. I think you're, like, happier this year. You usually get real testy and like, wrangling.
Kara Swisher
No, I'm in a good place. I think it's Ezra Klein. Every time I listen to Ezra Klein, it's like listening to a meditation app describing the collapse of democracy.
Scott Galloway
But how much are you going to miss me, Scott? How much are you going to miss me, Really? A lot. A little.
Kara Swisher
I don't miss anybody. I miss people when I see them. Like, I saw you come back.
Scott Galloway
You're always kiddy to see me. Stop it.
Kara Swisher
I miss my boys. Those are the only people I've ever missed in my life.
Scott Galloway
Okay.
Kara Swisher
You miss what I do, though. Are you this way? I don't miss people. And then I see them and I think, oh, I miss them. It's like, good to see them.
Scott Galloway
I miss when you're not there. But we have some amazing co hosts coming up. Guest co hosts, Mel Robbins, Let them lady who's amazing, she has one of the top podcasts. Anthony Scaramucci, who is a big hit last year, is coming back. Rachel Maddow is coming and being replacing you, Scott. And I feel like, you know, things could happen.
Kara Swisher
Rachel Maddow, Rachel Maddow and more. Isn't it weird? People want to replace me, but they don't want to be on with me. Like, our guest quality goes up so dramatically when you're not here this year. People are like, yeah, I'm fine to replace him because I know I'll do better. It's a low bar, but no one wants to come on. Yeah. Secretary Clinton is going to be Jessica's co host at Raging Monarchs when I'm gone.
Scott Galloway
Oh, that's great. Yeah, I know. It's just amazing. Do you have any advice for these folks at all while you're away?
Kara Swisher
Just a lot of lesbian jokes. Just. That's my go to. By the way, if you listen to Ezra Klein's podcast on one and a half speed, it's like listening to I'm calling. It's like listening to a normal person describe how to ruin a dinner party.
Scott Galloway
Okay, all right. Any advice for co hosts?
Kara Swisher
Just lesbian jokes, a little nod to the dog, and a totally profane, not that funny, but because it's profane and not that funny. It's a funny joke. It's just the left, all of these people. These people are somewhat left of the head of HR from the National Park Service. So Our job on this podcast is to grab humor back for the progressives. So be inappropriate. Show some humor. We're all gonna be dead soon. Whoever you offend will get over it. Let them own that emotion and just have some fun. Have a great time.
Scott Galloway
People will miss you anyway. I do. I always miss you. I always want what you think of things. So I'm excited for you to get back in September.
Kara Swisher
I'm not. Here's the answer. I'm not. Occasionally people make the mistake of going, what are you thinking? And I'm like, I'm not. What am I thinking about?
Scott Galloway
Things happen and we'll catch up when you get back and stuff like that. And I will somehow come back. I'll stay at your apartment while you're away. Anyway, that's the show. Thanks for listening to Pivot and be sure to like and subscribe to our YouTube channel. I'll be back next week with a special co host and they will do their best to replace Scott. But nobody can replace the irreplaceable Scott Galloway. Scott, read us out.
Kara Swisher
Today's show is produced by Lara Naiman Zoe Marcus, Taylor Griffin and Kevin Oliver. Ernie and her Todd engineered this episode. Thanks also to Drew Burrows, musevario and Dan Shalon. Nishat Khura is Vox Media's executive producer of podcast. Make sure to follow Pivot on your favorite podcast platform. Thanks for listening to Pivot from New York Magazine and Vox Media. You can subscribe to the magazine@nymag.com pod we'll be back next week for another breakdown of all things tech and business. Cara, have a wonderful August and thanks for thanks for continuing to bring great work and at some point I trust you will take a long weekend or something. Anyways, have a great August, everybody.
Scott Galloway
Hi, I'm Teffy. Maybe you've seen me on TikTok or TV. TV or interviewing celebrities on the red carpet. But before all that, I was just another girl running late to her desk job, transferring calls, ordering printer ink. I don't miss that. But I do miss not working at work, gossiping with my co workers about celebrities. What's the latest with Bieber? Where's Britney? And which Jonas brother is which? That's what I want. My new podcast. Like you and I are work besties. We'll chat about celebrities we're obsessed with. How could you be registered to vote and not know who Jennifer Aniston is? Look up their star charts. Sagittarius and a Capricorn. They do clash and have so much fun avoiding real work together. I'm having a silly goose of a time. Teffy runs. Teffy laughs. Teffy overshares. Teffy explains. But most of the first of all, Teffy talks from me. The Cut and Box Media podcast. This is Teffy Talks. Let's go.
Pivot Podcast Summary
Episode Title: Joe Rogan’s Trump Jabs, Blockbuster Tech Earnings, and Another Tariff Deadline
Release Date: August 1, 2025
Hosts: Kara Swisher and Scott Galloway
Produced by: New York Magazine and Vox Media Podcast Network
The episode opens with Kara and Scott discussing a recent tragic mass shooting at the NFL headquarters in Manhattan. The shooter targeted the facility, claiming to suffer from Chronic Traumatic Encephalopathy (CTE), a condition linked to repeated head injuries often seen in football players.
Notable Quote:
Scott Galloway ([03:30]):
"The shooter played high school football but did not play professionally. And of course what he did was heinous but pretty devastating."
They delve into the broader implications of CTE in sports, highlighting the NFL’s alleged concealment of the condition's dangers to maximize profits. The conversation underscores the societal cost of capitalizing on sports like football, likening players to "modern day gladiators" who pay an enormous personal price.
Kara and Scott transition into a discussion on gun control, mental health, and societal anger. They critique the normalization of mass shootings in the United States, comparing it unfavorably to other countries with stricter gun laws, such as the UK and Australia.
Notable Quotes:
Kara Swisher ([08:50]):
"Most anxious, depressed generation in history. And then you have weapons of war."
Scott Galloway ([11:03]):
"But it'll look from a perception. So it's weird."
They argue that while mental illness and anger are prevalent issues, the primary culprit remains easy access to weapons of war. The hosts advocate for stricter assault weapon bans, citing examples from other nations where such measures led to dramatic decreases in mass shootings.
The conversation shifts to political corruption, focusing on a Senate committee's effort to advance a bill banning stock trading by members of Congress, presidents, and vice presidents—dubbed the "Pelosi Act." However, Donald Trump is conspicuously excluded from the restrictions, leading to criticism of the bill's effectiveness and its performative nature.
Notable Quote:
Kara Swisher ([16:00]):
"I would pay congresspeople. I would pay our representatives a million dollars a year, our senators 2 million a year. And you know, the President. I would go to the Singapore model..."
Both hosts express frustration over the bill's loopholes and the lack of bipartisan support. They advocate for higher salaries for congress members to reduce the temptation of insider trading, emphasizing the need for blind trusts and strict financial controls.
A significant portion of the episode is dedicated to Joe Rogan's increasing criticism of Donald Trump. Rogan targets Trump's immigration policies, the administration's treatment of international students, and defenses of Jeffrey Epstein.
Notable Quote:
Scott Galloway ([24:40]):
"I think arguably Joe Rogan, in terms of young men, has more influence because he's seen as an honest broker."
Kara highlights Rogan's impact on public perception, especially among young men, and contrasts it with Trump's inconsistent narratives surrounding the Epstein scandal. They discuss how Rogan's stance could influence Trump's base and the broader political landscape.
Kara and Scott analyze President Trump's latest tariff decisions, including a 25% tariff on India targeting overreliance on Russian energy and military equipment. They critique the administration's approach, emphasizing the economic drawbacks of tariffs, such as increased costs for American consumers and decreased competitiveness for U.S. companies.
Notable Quote:
Kara Swisher ([39:00]):
"Tariffs, they're telling American consumers that they have to pay more money for a Japanese car such that they get a shitty car for 40,000 instead of a gray car for 30,000."
Scott adds that despite promises of massive investments from tariffed nations, historical data shows that such commitments are often unenforceable, leaving American consumers to bear the financial burden. They express skepticism about the administration's ability to deliver on these investment promises.
The hosts discuss recent earnings reports from major tech companies, focusing on Microsoft and Meta. Both companies reported substantial revenue growth, driven largely by their investments in Artificial Intelligence (AI).
Notable Quote:
Kara Swisher ([51:04]):
"They added the population of Brazil to their user base year on year."
Microsoft reported an 18% year-over-year revenue surge to $76 billion, with its cloud unit Azure growing by 39%. Meta also showed impressive growth with a 22% increase in revenue to $47 billion and a 36% rise in profit. Their aggressive capital expenditures on AI talent and infrastructure are highlighted as key drivers of their success.
In contrast to the booming tech sector, Novo Nordisk, a leading pharmaceutical company, experienced a dramatic stock drop due to weaker than expected growth in its weight loss drug market. The company cited increased competition from Eli Lilly's Mounjaro and Zeppbound, as well as cheaper GLP-1 knockoffs, leading to a 30% drop in its stock price and the appointment of a new CEO.
Notable Quote:
Kara Swisher ([63:58]):
"The market has a tendency to over punish and over reward and the momentum right now is against these guys."
Kara argues that despite Novo Nordisk's strong position in the GLP-1 market, the company is being unfairly punished by the market for factors beyond its control, such as increased competition and regulatory challenges.
Kara Swisher makes a bold prediction regarding the upcoming IPO of Figma, a design collaboration platform. She forecasts that Figma will be the IPO of the year, anticipating a significant market reception due to its strong growth metrics and the increasing importance of design in the AI-driven tech landscape.
Notable Quote:
Kara Swisher ([72:07]):
"I think Figma is what I'll call the first great company to go public in 2025. And I think it's going to be seen as one of the better IPOs of the year."
Scott agrees, emphasizing the strategic importance of Figma in enhancing AI applications through superior design capabilities. They both underscore Figma's robust financials and market positioning as key factors for its anticipated success.
In this episode of Pivot, Kara Swisher and Scott Galloway navigate through a mix of tragic news, political controversies, economic policies, and booming tech earnings. They offer sharp critiques on issues like gun control, political corruption, and economic tariffs while celebrating the successes of tech giants investing heavily in AI. Their prediction about Figma's IPO encapsulates their forward-thinking approach, highlighting the evolving landscape of technology and business.
For listeners who haven't tuned in, this episode provides a comprehensive overview of pressing issues in tech, politics, and economics, delivered with the hosts' characteristic insight and engaging banter.