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Jon Favreau
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Jon Favreau
There it is.
Jon Lovett
You know, you don't want to be afraid of a break in. When you're, when you're throwing around those big fake knockers, you want to make sure the only thing, the only thing knocking.
Jon Favreau
And will people remember that story?
Tommy Vietor
Oh, yeah, I will. Yeah.
Jon Lovett
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Jon Favreau
I hope so.
Rahm Emanuel
For sure.
Jon Favreau
Well, if not, you just brought it back. Okay. We've partnered with SimpliSafe to offer an exclusive discount to our listeners. Right now you can get 50% off your new system by visiting simplisafe.com crooked. That's half off. @simplisafe.com crooked there's no safe like Simplisafe. Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
Dan Pfeiffer
I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
Jon Favreau
On today's show, we'll talk about Trump trading genocidal threats for a chaotic ceasefire that hasn't changed all that much. In Iran, Vance heading to Pakistan for negotiations with an eye on his 2028 politics. The prominent Maga stars calling for Trump's removal. Republican fears that they've already lost the midterms, DNC drama over Israel and Melania Trump's bizarre attempt to distance herself from Jeffrey Epstein. What a day. Then Rahm Emanuel stops by the studio to talk with Tommy about Iran, Israel and his widely rumored presidential ambitions. Quite the show, Dan. Quite the show. Quick reminder for all of you, please consider becoming a crooked media subscriber if you haven't already done so. We don't want you to miss out on any of the great content we're putting out for our friends of the Pod subscribers, get our new extra episode of Pod Save America called Pod Save America. Only Friends. Tommy and I did it this week. It's great. You should check it out. Become a subscriber. We got other subscriber only shows like Polar Coaster with the guy right here with me, Dan Pfeiffer.
Dan Pfeiffer
That's me.
Jon Favreau
Virtually at least access to all of our excellent substack newsletters like Pod Save America. Open tabs ad free episodes of all your favorite crooked pods and and you get to feel good about supporting one of the few independent, proudly pro democracy media outlets left in Trump's America. So head to crooked.com friends and subscribe. Alright, let's get to the news. After a week where the President backed off his threat to eradicate an entire civilization based on a last minute ceasefire agreement with Iran, we are basically back to where we were the last time you and I recorded a week ago. The Iranian regime is still in power, still controls the Strait of Hormuz and still has its nuclear material. War is still raging in the Middle east between Israel and Lebanon, oil and gas prices are still high, and Trump is still declaring victory while simultaneously threatening more war. One of his latest posts says that our military is, quote, looking forward actually to its next conquest. And in the same post said that if Iran doesn't agree to all his demands, quote, then the shootin starts. For some reason. Shootin starts is in quotes bigger and better and stronger than anyone has ever seen before. And Dan, while you might be mocking Trump's decision to pull us all back from the brink of catastrophe like some silly resistance lib, the folks at Fox News, no what's up?
Dan Pfeiffer
Democrats are already saying that this is taco. Trump always chickens out. Let me give you another acronym. NACHO never avoids confronting hard obstacles.
Jon Favreau
It's a nacho, Dan.
Dan Pfeiffer
It's a nacho.
Jon Favreau
Is it a taco or is it a nacho? No, don't answer that question. How would you assess Donald Trump's diplomatic prowess over the last week.
Dan Pfeiffer
I think the.
Jon Favreau
Would you call it a quesadilla, a chimichanga, an enchilada, anything from the Taco Bell menu? Okay, Supreme. Supreme gordita.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yes, a supreme gordita of diplomacy.
Jon Favreau
Taco Bell in here. So I don't know, but go ahead.
Rahm Emanuel
Don't.
Dan Pfeiffer
Don't brag about it.
Jon Favreau
Chipotle guy, are you.
Dan Pfeiffer
Anyway, this.
Tommy Vietor
This is here, nor there, derailing us
Jon Favreau
right at the beginning.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yes. Okay, let's get into the actual questions here. It has not been a stellar 36 hours or so of diplomacy for Donald Trump. I would say it really hasn't been a very good month, hasn't been a good decade. But I think the Iran war has brought to bear for the public something that we always knew to be true. I think even some of Trump supporters suspected to be true, but suppressed that, which is that Donald Trump is an erratic, capricious idiot who is so in, so far over his head that he cannot see straight. It's just when you go through what is happening here, one day it is, we're winning, the next day, we don't need the Strait of Hormuz at all. Then we're going to blow up. We're going to send Iran to the Stone Ages. We're going to blow up every bridge and power plant because we need the Strait of Hormuz. He agrees to a ceasefire negotiation. He has no idea what's in it. According to reporting, he did not even know that he thought Lebanon was in. It turns out it was. At least Israel thought it was not, or it wasn't originally. And then Bibi Netanyahu got on the red phone, he has, directly into the White House and had it taken out. There is huge confusion.
Jon Favreau
Donald Trump probably has no idea where Lebanon is and couldn't point it out.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yeah, he did.
Jon Favreau
A ceasefire agreement.
Dan Pfeiffer
He has no idea. He's not steeped in the details. He has no core policy ideas. He doesn't understand how the global oil market works. He doesn't understand what the charity of Hormuz is. He doesn't understand how enriched uranium matters or where it could be or how it's used. He knows nothing. And it is. It's sort of a miracle that Donald Trump has been president for five years now, and for most of that time, he's been able to dance through the raindrops of his own incompetence to avoid things like this. Like we always would say, strictly in Trump's first term, he's gonna Tweet us into a war, Stumble ass backwards into a war. Well, he did that and he has no way of getting out of it. Yes, we just checked.
Jon Favreau
Tweeted. Yeah, we stumbled our way into a once in a generation pandemic. Mismanaged that.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yeah, that's the other example.
Jon Favreau
The two times reality came out where he incited a violent riot in the Capitol. Did that check? Yeah, he didn't have, he didn't have lead us into a dumb war yet. So he's, that's, he's.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yeah, it's just for most of the time, pandemic and this war aside, for most of them, particularly in Trump's first term, his incompetence didn't end up mattering that much. It just. He got very lucky. There weren't a lot of crises. The ones he got into, he was able to. He stumbled into them, he was able to stumble out of them quickly. Now he's someone in something he cannot get out of, and he is just truly the worst person to try to lead us out of this.
Jon Favreau
Also, the Times had a sort of a TikTok of the 36 hours when the ceasefire came together. And it was interesting because, and I think this was reported at the time, but when Donald Trump posted his genocidal threat that a civilization will die tonight, the negotiations had apparently been going somewhat well. And then when he posted that, the Iranians became so enraged that they broke off the negotiations, and the Pakistanis, and then ultimately China had to try to put it all back together last minute to get a deal, which Donald Trump wanted. Because Donald Trump was looking for an exit ramp because he knew the war was unpopular. So what he thought was going to get a deal by making a genocidal threat actually almost tanked the entire thing.
Dan Pfeiffer
I am shocked to find out that a threat of genocide did not improve diplomatic prospects. So in that story, it's also funny, that story is 36 hours, because, you know, the Times most famous Travel feature is 36 hours in Paris, 36 hours in New York. And so when you Google Donald Trump 36 hours Iran, you get some strange results. But in there, it's kind of the opening anecdote is Trump is sitting at his desk as the clock is ticking down to his 8pm genocide deadline. And he's looking at pictures and video of Iranian civilians surrounding the bridges and power plants that Trump has promised to bomb. And his basic response seems to be, well, that'll be Iran's fault if I have to bomb them and they die.
Jon Favreau
And he was like, in A bunch of meetings about other topics. Just like bragging about how many bridges and power plants he was ready to bomb that night and destroy. There had been some reporting too, and I couldn't tell if it was like a negotiating tactic or not. May have been. But that said that of all his advisors, Donald Trump has been the most bloodthirsty of any of them. He's been like the biggest warmonger, which is not something that's gonna make me sleep well at night, Dan. So there he also, right before we recorded, he was like, I hear that Iran might be charging right now on the Strait of Hormuz. They better not be. And it's like that's been reported for days now. That was like again. But part of the agreement was that the IRGC was gonna run the street. So what did you think was gonna happen? And then someone asked you about it yesterday and you said we might charge tolls as well. You also talked about in a post how it's a great day for world peace after the ceasefire agreement and now everyone's going to make money. It's going to be the golden age in the Middle East. Like what? He, he has. Does he have no idea what the fuck's going on? Clearly.
Dan Pfeiffer
Wait, no, yes, you are correct, John. He has no idea what the fuck's going on. Wait till he finds out that one of the ways in which the IRGC is accepting payment is in cryptocurrency. And one of the acceptable methods is the World Liberty Financial USD 1 stablecoin.
Jon Favreau
Wait, is that part true? The second part?
Jon Lovett
I have no idea.
Dan Pfeiffer
That has been reported. That has actually been. That has been reported. I cannot verify that to be the case, but I think it has to be in stablecoins. And that is a stablecoin.
Jon Favreau
Amazing, Amazing. So there's been a lot of stellar reporting in the last week about what's been happening in the White House during this war since, you know, we can't trust the public comments of anyone who works in the White House. Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan had quite a detailed story about the Situation Room deliber that led to war, which apparently included an in person presentation by Bibi Netanyahu. What did you make of that piece?
Dan Pfeiffer
Like the diplomacy piece. Just a wild expose of incompetence. It seems very clear that Trump was persuaded to go to war by Bibi Netanyahu. It seems that Trump gave it very little thought as to what would happen next. He took the word of Bibi Netanyahu according to this report and the Israeli Intelligence service like according to Bibi, is in the Sit Room, and they've handed over the keys to the technology of the Sit Room to the Israelis. And so on the screen is the Israeli military, the Mossad, to walking through it. And Trump apparently seemed dismissive of the concerns raised by General Dan Kain and others on our side and took what the Israelis had to say as more accurate or better, more predictive. And even though if Trump had half a brain, he'd know that Bibi has been pushing for this war for decades.
Rahm Emanuel
Right.
Dan Pfeiffer
And obviously it's not an unbiased presenter of information here.
Jon Favreau
Yeah. What I got from that was, yeah, first of all, stunning that you had a head of state in the Situation Room, even an ally pressing for making the case for war in the Situation Room. I don't, I don't think that that has ever happened. I certainly don't remember it ever happening. That said, I also, you know, the pro Israel folks will say, well, Donald Trump has agency and he made the decision himself. And it wasn't necessarily just Bibi. And I think the piece bears that out for sure. I think Bibi definitely made the case and definitely influenced him. But I think Donald Trump wanted to hear a pro war case from Bibi Netanyahu. And I guess there was like, you know, there was four, four potential objectives for the war. And the piece says, like, first was decapitation, killing the ayatollah. Second was crippling Iran's capacity to project power and threaten its neighbors. Third was a popular uprising inside Iran. And fourth was regime change with a secular leader installed to govern the country. And basically the military. Cain tells Trump he thinks the military does have the capacity. He wasn't even saying he was for it, but he said the military does have the capacity to do one and two, killing the ayatollah and crippling Iran's capacity to project power. And then basically everyone in the room, except for this was after Bibi Netanyahu left and the Israelis left. But all of his staff was like all the rest of the senior officials in the White House were basically said that 3 and 4, the popular uprising and installing a secular leader were crazy. Ratcliffe, the CIA director, called it farcical. And then Rubio interjected, that means it's bullshit, I assume, because Trump didn't know what farcical meant. But even as General Kaine said he believes the military could achieve one and two, he also warned about the Strait of Hormuz and how it would be very, very difficult to reopen and how the Iranians could gain control of it, which has happened. Trump seemed to dismiss that because he thought, oh, the regime will have fallen by then, and warned about depleting munitions, that we are going to, like, use a lot of our weapons and defensive weapons, offensive weapons by doing this. And Trump didn't seem to care about that. And then there's even an anecdote in that story how Tucker Carlson, who had been calling Trump and warning him not to do this and pleading with him not to do this, he basically said he had a call with the president right before Trump said go. And Trump said to Carlson, I know you're worried about it, but it's going to be okay. And then Tucker said, well, how do you know? And Trump said, because it always is.
Dan Pfeiffer
I think that is a very, very telling anecdote.
Jon Favreau
Me too. Me too.
Dan Pfeiffer
Right? Trump has assumed everything's going to go great.
Rahm Emanuel
Yeah.
Dan Pfeiffer
It always has for him.
Jon Favreau
Right.
Dan Pfeiffer
Go bankrupt, get rich again.
Rahm Emanuel
Right.
Jon Favreau
And I think especially since he survived the assassination attempt, he does have this. He has, like, a little bit of. A little bit messiah complex here where he thinks, like, you know, God has sent him to be president again. And he thinks it's. I think he. He saw Venezuela go off without a hitch for him at least. And he saw the, you know, in the 12 day war, when they bombed Iran, like, that went off relatively easily without a hitch as well. And so he just thought this would be the same. And he also sees it as a legacy item. He thinks, oh, well, no president's done this in 47 years. There's also a good piece in the Atlantic today. Jonathan Lemire wrote about how for Trump, like, it's 1979 again, and he sort of, like, stuck in the 80s in 1979. And in 1979, you know, the popular political thing to say was like, oh, Carter was too soft on Iran. And, you know, we would have. If he had just bombed Iran, then it would have been better. And so, like. And because Trump's always frozen in time, he's still thinking that it's like the 80s and that he's gonna be the guy who couldn't do what presidents could try to do for 47 years and changed a theocracy in Iran.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yeah, I think. I think that's all right. Like, he. It's like he has a messiah complex. He also just has been. This goes to sort of his idiocy is to not understand the difference between a handful of directed strikes at Iran as part of Midnight Hammer or sending in the Delta Force into Venezuela, to abduct one person from launching a war with Iran in the Middle east with the Strait of Hormuz there. Like, did not understand those differences is so. It's galling, really. Like, it's stunning to be that sort of ignorant of the whole thing. But since he does all these things with military, they do what they're supposed to do every single time without flaw, without loss of life, and he just thought he could get away with it. It's Still, I think the 80s thing is a really interesting point because, like, it is his mentality about cities, about crime, about everything, is that New York, 1980s, the 1979. He sees how that ended Carter's presidency, the attempt to rescue the hostages, the inability to rescue the hostages in the embassy. But it still is strange that he has picked regime change as his legacy items.
Jon Favreau
I know, because he also watched Iraq unfold. And, you know, I mean, he claims to be opposed to that now, but what he was opposed to was when it all went south, he wanted to be on the side of saying, yeah, this is bad and what a catastrophe. And also, oh, he should have taken the oil. His lesson in Iraq is like, don't send in a whole bunch of ground troops and take the oil. And so, which I guess is why he hasn't sent in ground troops yet to Iran. But who knows? Because the war continues. It's a very fragile ceasefire that has almost fallen apart numerous times. It may yet fall apart by the time they get to Islamabad this weekend.
Dan Pfeiffer
By the time you're listening to this on Friday, it may fall on the back.
Jon Favreau
Right, Because Israel continues to just bomb the hell out of Lebanon and Beirut, a densely populated urban area, hundreds of civilians have died, women, children, medics. And I guess finally Trump called Bibi and said, like, you've got to pursue some kind of diplomatic negotiations with the Lebanese government, which had been trying to disarm Hezbollah before this latest war and had been also trying to negotiate since Israel began bombing them, had been trying to negotiate with the Israelis, some kind of a diplomatic solution, because so many Lebanese who have nothing to do with Hezbollah are dying in this war and millions have been displaced. So I guess Trump has got Bibi to agree to pursue some kind of diplomatic negotiations, though Netanyahu also said there will be no cease fire while negotiations go on. And so. And the Iranians are saying, like, absolutely not. We don't want to negotiate if this is happening. Who knows if they'll stick with that or not, but that's sort of where we are right now.
Dan Pfeiffer
It Just, it does show the weakness of Trump here, which is Trump wants a ceasefire. He wants this over. The thing preventing this from being over is Israel bombing Lebanon. And he is unable to convince or force or use leverage on Netanyahu to get Israel to stop bombing Lebanon. And Israel is going to keep bombing Lebanon because they want the war with Iran to keep going. They want the United States to keep bombing Iran, so they're going to keep bombing Lebanon. And we are just in this. It is a circular argument that Trump cannot figure out how to get out of because he does not have the guts, the courage, the strategic sense to figure out how to get Netanyahu to do the thing he wants, even though Israel is dependent on the US for so much, particularly in this moment.
Jon Favreau
And he also doesn't understand or maybe doesn't care what Netanyahu's thought process is on this, which is not dissimilar to his thought process in Gaza, which is they're not just taking out senior Hezbollah commanders, they are taking out mid level Hezbollah operatives who are embedding themselves in civilian populations. The Israelis don't seem to care. They're bombing the civilian populations anyway. They are basically occupying southern Lebanon at this point, and they may not have. And it doesn't seem like they want to give it up, just like they are occupying Gaza. And basically their view is we're just going to keep pushing the boundaries outward from Israel and we're going to keep calling them buffer zones, but what they really are is just taking land and occupying more land, thinking that somehow this is going to be enough to eradicate Hezbollah or Hamas or any of the other terrorist groups they think are threats. And it's continues to be proven wrong over and over and over again. And I wouldn't expect Trump to understand that, but maybe someone in the government might. So in the last few days, Trump has turned his attention toward another sworn enemy of the United States, Naito. The Wall Street Journal reports that the White House is considering a plan to punish NATO for not going along with Trump and Netanyahu's war by removing US Troops from NATO countries. Trump has also been ranting about NATO posting, quote, NATO wasn't there when we needed them and they won't be there if we need them again. Remember Greenland, that big, poorly run piece of ice? Okay. You would think all this might have made for an awkward meeting between Trump and NATO Secretary General Mark Ruta on Wednesday, but not so. According to Rutte. Is the world safer today than it was before the war was started?
Dan Pfeiffer
Absolutely, because. And this is thanks to President Trump's leadership.
Jon Favreau
Do you still consider him daddy after yesterday?
Dan Pfeiffer
I was not calling him my daddy,
Jon Favreau
but saying, but, of course, daddy has also a special connotation, and I now
Dan Pfeiffer
have to live as this the rest of my life.
Jon Favreau
Dan, do you still consider Trump daddy?
Dan Pfeiffer
I don't really know how to answer that question, John. Seems like a trap is what it seems like.
Rahm Emanuel
That guy.
Jon Favreau
Go ahead. You defend Mark Rutte as you did in our morning meeting.
Dan Pfeiffer
I did. I did. I mean, what I was shocked by was the way in which you just dismissed the importance of NATO to the global alliances. I mean, here's the thing. Obviously, Rutte has developed. Has a strategy of appeasement that is incredibly embarrassing. Yes. For him, for NATO, for those of us who even have to consume him. It is. It's. It's embarrassing. I don't know how he sleeps at night. The problem for Ruta is NATO does not exist in the United States, and they are staring down a face where we have Russian aggression headed towards the European continent. And if the United States pulls out of NATO, they lose the most important military part of NATO and the biggest threat to Turin, to Russia. And so he, like, I don't applaud the way he's doing this. I am embarrassed for him. I'm embarrassed for his family that this happens. But he is. He is trying to keep NATO together because, like, you love to just say fuck you and walk away. But if he does that, then NATO, which is the thing he's in charge of, collapses, functionally, at least.
Jon Favreau
Even if Trump doesn't formally pull out of NATO, which, you know, he would need to go to Congress for anyway, or who knows, maybe in a truth social post, he'll do it even if he doesn't do that. If you're Vladimir Putin and you have eyes on potentially invading a NATO country, do you really think the United States is going to come to the defense of NATO militarily or even otherwise? If. If you go ahead and invade at this point, probably not. And that's the whole alliance right there.
Tommy Vietor
Yeah.
Jon Favreau
That's the whole point of NATO. Now, Trump. Trump seems to think, in these posts, Trump seems to think NATO is like. Like you because you're in NATO. Whatever one country wants to do in NATO and whatever wars they want to pursue and invasions and bombings they want to do, then everyone else has to join, too. He's like, come on, we're NATO. You gotta help me.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yeah, yeah. He thinks they're all part of the same gang and they can go he
Jon Favreau
doesn't realize it's a defensive alliance.
Dan Pfeiffer
Once again, a basic principle learned in, you know, European history, you know, 101 or whatever else that Trump. This has eluded Trump till his 80s.
Jon Favreau
Completely embarrassing.
Jon Lovett
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Dan Pfeiffer
Come on.
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If you like your money, Mint Mobile is for you. Shop plans@mint mobile.com crooked that's mint mobile.com crooked upfront payment of $45 for three month five gigabyte plan required and equivalent to $15 a month new customer offer for first three months only. Then full price plan options available, taxes and fees extra. See Mint Mobile for details. So if the ceasefire doesn't completely fall apart, JD Vance is headed to Islamabad this weekend for negotiations with the Iranians. So I hope they're ready to say thank you. They gotta be meeting JD Vance with a lot of thank yous or else he's gonna be very angry. Vance's team has seemingly been leaking to every reporter who'll listen that the Vice President has been the senior Trump official most opposed to the war in Iran. This comes up quite a bit in the Times piece we talked about. When the ceasefire came together this week, Vance happened to be out on the campaign trail in Hungary.
Dan Pfeiffer
As one does.
Jon Favreau
Yeah, as one does. Holding a rally for the country's pro Putin authoritarian incumbent, Viktor Orban, where he just as a nice touch, accused the Ukrainians of election interference. JD Vance accusing the Ukrainians of election interference as he, a US official was in Hungary campaigning for the authoritarian incumbent in that country and apparently lacks self awareness. Very normal. But America's best hope for peace in the Middle east did make some time for Iran questions on the tarmac in Budapest. Here's how he handled it.
J.D. Vance
I think the Iranians thought that the ceasefire included Lebanon and it just didn't. We never made that promise. We never indicated that was going to be the case. First of all, he said that there are a few points of disagreement before the negotiation. Well, that must mean that there's a lot of points of agreement because there's a 15 point plan floating around. There's a 10 point plan floating around. If he's frustrated about three issues, that actually means that there's a lot of agreement. That's point number one. Point number two to respond to each of those issues. And I read it very closely, let me just say this. I actually wonder how good he is at understanding English because there are things that he said that frankly didn't make sense in the context of the negotiations that we've had. The second thing Golubov said, which again, I found fascinating, is he said, we refuse to give up the right to enrichment. And I thought to myself, you know what? My wife has the right to skydive, but she. She doesn't jump out of an airplane because she and I have an agreement that she's not going to do that because I don't want my wife jumping out of an airplane. We don't really concern ourselves with what they claim they have the right to do. We concern ourselves with what they actually do. And I think the President's been very clear on the enrichment question. Our position on that has not changed.
Jon Favreau
I'll tell you the. My wife really came out of nowhere, did not expect him to reference his wife jumping out of a plane. But it really is interesting to see how J.D. vance grapples with these foreign policy issues. You can tell he's really giving it thought and definitely not sort of just making it up on the fly.
Dan Pfeiffer
He is such a pedantic, obnoxious high school debater.
Jon Favreau
Yeah, actually, I think the misunderstanding, it couldn't be us. I think the misunderstanding is you not speaking English very well. Does he think their translators don't exist? What does he think this is?
Dan Pfeiffer
He's like, actually, it really depends on what you mean by. Right.
Jon Favreau
Like, I have an idea. I have a way to get out of this because I was really thinking about Usha and skydiving.
Jon Lovett
Hmm.
Dan Pfeiffer
Like, do they have it is the agreement that she won't skydive, or do they have a mutual non skydiving pact?
Jon Favreau
If I was her, I'd be like, yeah, sure, I won't do it. But if you want to jump out of a plane anytime,
Dan Pfeiffer
I'm sure she probably wants to jump out of almost any moving vehicle that she's in with J.D. vance.
Jon Favreau
I will fly you myself. So if Vance does get a primary challenge in 2028, how far do you think he'll go in trying to communicate that he was always against this war and will it work? Because they are out there. Someone from his camp, if not Vance himself, did some real leaking to the New York Times about him in that meeting. They have to Politico before. It's been quite a few places now that the Vance team has been out there just making sure everyone knows how opposed to the war he is.
Dan Pfeiffer
In private, if you think Joe Biden was tough on Kamala Harris for trying to find areas of disagreement, how do you think Donald Trump, the guy who threatened to hang his last vice president is going to be in the course of this election.
Jon Favreau
Yeah, I don't know, I can't tell. I mean, I think, I think he will be a complete dick. But like, I do wonder if on some issues he'll give him a little, he'll give him a little leeway. I don't know.
Dan Pfeiffer
I mean, it would be funny and not funny. It's not the right word.
Jon Favreau
Sad if he's darkly, darkly funny.
Dan Pfeiffer
Darkly funny if he's more malleable than Joe Biden was on this crucial issue of electability.
Jon Favreau
Yeah. Here's the thing though, Sonny Hosin, get the question ready.
Dan Pfeiffer
You know, I don't think we're gonna see J.D. vance on the View at any point. A couple, a couple things here. One, JD Vance is not going to have a lot of success running in the Republican primary away from Trump. Like the way these things typically work when a vice president is running to succeed a president, a two term president, and we have two modern examples, George H.W. bush and Al Gore is there is a regime, there's a continuity candidate and there's a change candidate. And J.D. vance by definition is the continuity candidate. And the continuity candidate almost always WINS Like George H.W. bush and Al Gore did. Because even if Trump is unpopular, fading from the scene, he still will remain very popular with Republican voters and popular enough that it would push J.D. vance to the top. So he's going to own everything Trump does. And his worst strategy, which is the strategy I suspect he would do because he, he is all short term ambitious and not a lot of long term strategic thinking. His worst strategy would be to try to distance himself from Trump because he's going to own everything Trump did. Right.
Jon Favreau
Yeah. It's going to be interesting. It's going to be something that I enjoy watching.
Dan Pfeiffer
I will say, yeah, it is because
Jon Favreau
he's also a bad liar. Yes, he loves to lie. I'm not saying it's not his passion, but he's not very good at it because he's also not very charismatic. And so I don't think he can pull it off that well. And I don't think he's, he thinks he's clever enough to sort of split the baby on this, but he's not.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yeah, the gap between how clever J.D. vance thinks he is and how clever J.D. vance actually is.
Jon Favreau
Yeah, that's like massive the gap in the, where the negotiations stand between the US And Iran right now.
Dan Pfeiffer
And he just is so politically maladroit. He's just like a lumbering OAF knocking things over as he works his way through this. And so he's. He's going to. You just always. Just when you always see the cards up his sleeve when he is talking. And it's going to be. If he is trying to do anything other than just like be Trump 3.0 or whatever it would be, it's going to be so embarrassing and so easy to poke fun at. I honestly will consider unretiring from politics if JD Vance is the nominee because that would be the most fun campaign to work on. You could have, like, actually just honest.
Jon Favreau
I think. I think we probably have more fun just. Just doing it from here. You know, we don't want some. I mean, but some lame candidate being like, no, that's too mean.
Dan Pfeiffer
I'm not candidate. I am on the. The make fun of JD Vance super PAC side.
Jon Favreau
Super pack.
Rahm Emanuel
Okay.
Dan Pfeiffer
Like now I think you can do to J.D. vance with the Republicans. Definitely did to Gore and just make him an absolute caricature of himself.
Jon Favreau
Well, let's just. We don't need to join one of these. That's perfect. We'll just start one here.
Dan Pfeiffer
Okay.
Rahm Emanuel
All right, well, we'll get on that.
Jon Favreau
We launched it right here.
Dan Pfeiffer
We have a plan. See you guys in two years.
Jon Favreau
Well, I'm glad that the guy who. You can always see the cards up his sleeve. He's our man in Islamabad for the.
Dan Pfeiffer
Well, yeah. He's there to take the. He's there to take the fall.
Jon Favreau
You think so?
Dan Pfeiffer
I mean, it's unclear exactly why. I think one reason why he's there is no one. The Iranians and all the other interlocutors do not trust Wyckoff and Kushner because they're complete dopes who.
Jon Favreau
And they think all the. And then they think the people who aren't those two are like bloodthirsty warmongers. And they do. And I think, you know, with. With some legitimacy, they think the JD Vance is the most opposed to this war and probably will be easier to talk to about potential peace or some diplomatic agreement than anyone else in the administration.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yeah, I think that's probably true.
Jon Favreau
You know, I think they probably trust him a little bit more. Their mistake. So one thing's for sure. Vance must clearly be aware that the outrage among MAGA elites who oppose this war has now reached a fever pitch. I know we've played a lot of these clips in the last month, but they just keep getting better and better. So here you go.
Rahm Emanuel
A whole civilization will die tonight,
Tommy Vietor
never
Dan Pfeiffer
to be brought back again.
Rahm Emanuel
That is the definition of genocide.
Dan Pfeiffer
How do we.
Jon Favreau
25th amendment is this. Can he just behave like a normal human?
Dan Pfeiffer
I mean, honestly, like the President?
Rahm Emanuel
3D.
Jon Favreau
Yes. Shut up. Fucking shut up about that shit. His negotiation tactic is to kill an entire country full of civilians, men, women and children. An American president, so that the Strait of Hormuz will be opened. It's just wrong.
Dan Pfeiffer
The American people have to open their eyes and deal with reality and deal with truth. And the truth is, look, you may have supported President TRUMP For 10 years like I did, like you have, but this is not the same man. This is not the same man that we supported.
Rahm Emanuel
Those people who are in direct contact with the President need to say, no, I'll resign. I'll do whatever I can do legally to stop this, because this is insane. And if given the order, I'm not carrying it out. Figure out the codes on the football yourself.
Jon Favreau
Dan, this is breaking. We do have a response from the President to all this and I'm just going to read this presidential statement and it is lengthy, so I will try to go quickly and my emphasis will be only where there are all capital letters.
Dan Pfeiffer
So, thank you. Thank you for your service.
Jon Favreau
I know why Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens and Alex Jones have all been fighting me for years. Especially by the fact that they think it is wonderful for Iran, the number one state sponsor of terror, to have a nuclear weapon. Because they have one thing in common, low IQs. They're stupid people. They know it, their families know it, and everyone else knows it too. Look at their past, look at their record. They don't have what it takes and they never did. They. They've all been thrown off television, lost their shows and aren't even invited on TV because nobody cares about them. They're nutjobs, troublemakers, and will say anything necessary for some free and cheap publicity. Now, they think they get some clicks because they have third rate podcasts, but nobody's talking about them. And their views are the opposite of maga, or I wouldn't have won the presidential election in a landslide. MAGA agrees with me and just gave CNN 100% approval rating of Trump. Not hand flailing fools like Tucker Carlson who couldn't even finish college. He was a broken man when he got fired from Fox and he's never been the same. Perhaps he could see a good psychiatrist. Or Megyn Kelly who nastily asked me the now famous only Rosie o' Donnell question. Or crazy Candace Owens who accuses the highly respected first lady of France of being a man when she is not and will hopefully win lots of money in the ongoing lawsuit. Actually, to me, the first lady of France is far more beautiful than Candace. In fact, it's not even close. Or bankrupt Alex Jones, who says some of the dumbest things and lost his entire fortune, as he should have for his horrendous attack on the families of the Sandy Hook shooting victims, ridiculously claiming it was a hoax. These so called pundits are losers and they always will be. Now fake news cnn, the flailing New York Times and all of the other radical left news organizations are hailing them and giving them positive press for the first time in their lives. They're not maga, they're losers. They're just trying to latch on to maga. As president, I could get them on my side anytime I want to. But when they call, I don't return their calls because I'm too busy on World and Country Affair. And after a few times they go nasty, just like Marjorie Trader Brown. But I no longer care about this stuff. I only care about what's doing right for our country. MAGA is about winning and strength in not allowing Iran to have a nuclear weapon. MAGA is about making America great again. And these people have no idea how to do that. But I do. Because the United States is now the hottest country anywhere in the world. President Donald J. Trump.
Dan Pfeiffer
Okay, few things here. First, I want our listeners to know there's no editing. John did that in one take, flawlessly.
Jon Favreau
Yeah, I did. I didn't practice at all.
Dan Pfeiffer
No, it was very impressive. Also, just a couple swerves in there. The debunking Sandy Hook. Just the, when you read it, it's all kind of. It begins, you kind of. You kind of know where it's going, right?
Jon Favreau
Yeah.
Dan Pfeiffer
They're losers. They're not on tv, which to Trump is the pinnacle of success is cable television.
Jon Favreau
Third.
Dan Pfeiffer
Then we swerve into a vigorous defense of Brigitte Macron, including a testament to her beauty.
Jon Favreau
Yeah, so he. Then he is in the no penis camp.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yes. Then. Then he debunks Sandy Hook conspiracy theories, which was nice. And then we're back down the rabbit hole then.
Jon Favreau
And also, you know why he doesn't return their calls? Because he's too busy on world and country affairs. Yes, he's. Which, which is evident.
Dan Pfeiffer
But he definitely does not care. He definitely does not care. There's nothing about that that suggests caring.
Jon Favreau
He is not mad online. Make sure everyone knows he is not mad online. I no longer care about that stuff. He does not long he doesn't care about it. And that's why, that's why he doesn't usually talk about it and that's why he can barely speak about it. Just fire it off a op ed length post about this. So in addition to those people getting under his skin, there's also a great New York Times story about the most MAGA of MAGA fans on of all places, Truth Social, which is where that lovely speech I just read was first posted. And apparently there's all these people on Truth Social, which is gonna be all the people on Truth Social. Cause I don't think there's that many people on there in the first place. But they're all posting that they're ashamed to have voted for Trump, that he's gone off the deep end, et cetera, et cetera. I think like 50% of the replies to his Easter Sunday I'm gonna kill you all post, whatever the fuck it was, were negative. Only like 20% were supportive, something like that. The New York times analyzed like 40,000 truths. I'm just, I'm hoping they used AI on that. What do you think about all this? Do you think, you think it'll start showing up in polls of Republican voters? Because it hasn't already.
Dan Pfeiffer
It is showing up in polls of Republican voters, right?
Jon Favreau
I mean it is, yeah.
Dan Pfeiffer
Like it's happening on the margins.
Jon Favreau
Sorry. Yeah, yeah.
Dan Pfeiffer
I mean Trump's approval rating among Republicans, you know, about around the same last year was low 90s, high 80s, which is kind of where he's always been. Now it's low 80s, high 70s depending on what you look at it, it's in the 70s and the PRR, PRRI poll, similar in the Pew poll. What is notable is it's mostly from non MAGA Republicans. Right. His pro rating is most significantly among them. That's very Iran war related. He's getting 80 some percent of MAGA Republicans and some polls as high as 100% according to his fake Harry Anton poll among self identified MAGA Republicans, the Iran board is basically almost even. I think it's like plus 8 with non maga Republicans. And I think we tend to think of non MAGA Republicans as like people just to the right of the bulwark. And that's not actually the case. It could be people who are, you know, have pretty conservative views on some issues who supported Trump this time but didn't support him previously, who got in the process because of him, they're just not, they're just like probably less engaged Republicans, but they're pretty conservative and I
Jon Favreau
bet Marjorie Taylor Greene would consider herself
Dan Pfeiffer
a non MAGA Republican at this point, because MAGA doesn't. MAGA is not, we've talked about this before. Does not mean you're an adherent to a specific philosophy. It means you're a diehard supporter of Trump. And so people who are non diehard supporters of Trump can span the ideological spectrum within the Republican Party.
Jon Favreau
We do have another post from Trump. Iran is doing a very poor job, dishonorable, some would say, of allowing oil to go through the Strait of Hormuz. That is not the agreement we have. President DJT okay, so we're doing, we're
Dan Pfeiffer
doing this in real time. Things are going great.
Jon Favreau
It seems like we talked about the toll one and now he just, it's like he's learning. Yeah, he's just learning about things in real time. And I guess he, I guess it probably took him a while to draft the post about Tucker and Megyn Kelly. So maybe he hasn't been paying much attention to the news.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yeah, I mean, so exactly. You know this as a former speechwriter is that you would go into your office and you just start writing. You sometimes you got, you got to turn the wifi off on your computer so that you can draft, you got, you can't be checking social media. And so he finishes that.
Jon Favreau
He did say he's been very busy with world and country affairs.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yes. He came out of the world and country affairs meeting, check the Internet and like, holy shit, the street is still closed.
Jon Favreau
It's like a course you take in college.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yes. There is another thing about the Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, all these folks breaking with Trump is one. It's a real problem for him politically for a couple reasons. One like that has been his strength is he has had unanimous Republican support among elected officials and MAGA media. And now that we have these high profile people breaking from Trump, that just, that that is bad for him. It's like he's lost his superpower. And the other way to think about this is I think people tend to think that these are quote unquote, MAGA shows and the people who watch it are maga, Trump, Republicans. And obviously the majority of them voted for Trump and like Trump, but they are not fully maga. This is not Fox. This is not the Fox News audience. Right. The Fox News audience are hardcore Republican supporters of Trump, mostly over the age of 70. The people who consume Meghan Kelly, Candace Owens, Tucker Carlson tend to be younger. They tend to necessarily engage less in politics. But it's not also just not the audience of those shows. Every day people tune into that matters, it's that these clips are going viral everywhere. And so people who do not, who may have voted for Trump but do not engage in politics, they're seeing critique from, in part, you know, like in group allies of Trump. And that is very, very damaging. These are people, these are trusted voices among a certain set of voters. And now they are saying the same thing about Trump that they are hearing on Pod Save America. And that is the worst possible place for Donald Trump to be.
Jon Favreau
And Trump aside, because, and you know, we'll talk about the midterms in a second. But like, this is also going to depress like people who are cross pressured, who might like a lot of things that Trump has done, don't like Iran or are hearing all this criticism about him on Iran. Like, are these people gonna make sure they go out in the midterms and vote for Republicans? Are these people going to like sign up to join JD Vance's campaign when he announces in 2028? Like, it is doing damage far beyond Trump, what is happening right now and
Dan Pfeiffer
far beyond what the polls show right now.
Tommy Vietor
Yes.
Jon Favreau
So a common thread with the Alex Jones, Tucker Carlson line of critique is some conservatives specifically calling for invoking the 25th Amendment, which if you recall from earlier seasons of the Trump show or the spinoff series Sleepy Joe, involves the. Involves. Involves the Vice President and the Cabinet deeming the president unfit to serve and removing him from office. A lot of Democrats have also called for invoking the 25th Amendment and, or impeaching Trump. I think as of Wednesday, we're at around 70 Dems in the House and a handful of senators. You had a whole message box about why this isn't exactly a simple process or even a feasible one. Go ahead.
Dan Pfeiffer
I love an organic message box plug, so thank you for that. This one got me very exercised because, like, we've all sort of come to the conclusion that Trump deserves impeachment and removal, but that is not a realistic way to get rid of him. If the Senate was not going to remove Trump after he sent a mob of his supporters to murder them, it's hard to fathom the scenario in which they will. So now people have started calling for the 25th Amendment because the behavior that Trump has exhibited really every day, but particularly in the last few weeks here, particularly in these truths starting on Easter, is that of someone who really shouldn't is not mentally fit to be in office. And so Democrats are calling for it, members of Congress are calling for it. It's seeing a lot of this online. And here's the problem with this is the 25th amendment is actually a more challenging to execute than impeachment removal by a large degree. So first it begins, as you point out, with the Vice President, a majority of a cabinet that includes Pete Hegseth, RFK Jr. Trump's personal defense attorney, right now, Steve Witkoff's apparently member of the Cabinet. A majority of them have to send a letter to Congress saying that Trump is unfit. If they do that, J.D. vance becomes the acting president. What happens then is Trump gets a chance to tell Congress he's fit, which he would obviously do. Then Congress has 21 days to reconvene and then you need 2/3 of the House and 2/3 of the Senate to vote to keep J.D. vance as acting president. So it's like, how is that going to happen? That is not going to happen. Let alone just getting a members of Trump's cabinet of flunkies to say he's unfit and then getting 2/3 of the House and the Senate, which is a higher bar than impeachment. And here's my problem with this strategy is it puts the onus on the wrong people. The people who are responsible for Trump being able to act this way, execute this war act without any sort of accountability, are Republicans in Congress. The Cabinet does not have to face the voters in November. Republicans of Congress do. And so our focus should be putting the blame for where we are on the people that we can vote out. Because the best way to reign Trump in is not to appeal to J.D. vance in the Republican Cabinet, it's to elect a Democratic Congress. And I think this distracts from that end of rant.
Jon Favreau
I couldn't agree more. Even on impeachment, are we gonna get J.D. vance? Is that what. First of all, the idea that Republicans have come this far and now they're gonna impeach Donald Trump when they, when they took a flyer on it after January 6th, like, it's just none of it's gonna happen. I get that this is a stand in for. Why aren't Democrats doing more? More Democrats should call for impeachment or 25th amendment. We gotta do something. We gotta do something. It's just not how the system is set up right now. And the best way to end Trump's presidency is to elect a Democratic House and a Democratic Senate and then elect a Democratic president in 2028. That's just the way it is. Right? And on issues where you might be able to get just enough Republicans to have a Working majority in Congress, then maybe you can do stuff there. But even then, Donald Trump has veto power. Donald Trump has tremendous power as president right now. And he has that power mainly because the Republican Congress, at least enough people in the Republican Congress, Most of them, 90 something percent of them go along with literally anything he tells them to do. And they need to be held accountable for that. That's what the next election is for. Holding Republican politicians accountable for never saying no to Donald Trump about anything.
Dan Pfeiffer
The other my other beef with this is it's like a cheap stunt. You're getting all these text messages. They're like, sign our petition. That Trump should be to call. The 25th Amendment is a way to get online engagement and raise grassroots dollars. And when we treat our voter without telling people the true context of how this works, there is a penalty for treating our voters like idiots. Time and time again. It is, and this is one of
Jon Favreau
those examples pushing this, pushing Democrat. And look, I'm well for pushing Democrats to do things that they are too afraid to do, 100%, we have a long record of doing that. But like pushing Democrats on this and like yelling about Democrats and like that is treating voters like idiots.
Dan Pfeiffer
Some of the pushback you get from people is that you want to make the case that Trump is unfit. If you want to make the case Trump is unfit, you do it this way. Donald Trump is unfit for office. I see it, you see it and the Republicans in Congress see it. The thing is they are afraid to do anything about it. So if you want to rein in Donald Trump, we have to get rid of the people who allow him to act this way.
Jon Favreau
Go to votesafeamerica.com or even so the House, some House Democrats today, cuz they're all on recess. First of all, most Democrats, especially all the Democratic leaders, said it's crazy that we're on recess still. Donald Trump is threatening genocide. Congress should come back into session. Republicans have refused to bring Congress back to session. Democrats have no power to do that. But they called for it. A bunch of them went to the Capitol today, Democrats, and were like, all right, we're gonna try to force another vote on the war powers resolution. Republicans again blocked that. That would be another thing that, you know, Congress could do is to rein him in on the war itself. And again, Republicans refuse to do that. Again, like you just, you can't make up the numbers right now. Like we just don't have, we don't have the majorities right now. If we have majorities and then we're not doing things with the majority, then you should definitely blame Democrats for sure.
Dan Pfeiffer
And the one and the one that we don't have the majority of for sure. Trump's cabinet. Yeah, hence the problem.
Jon Favreau
Yeah, no kidding.
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Jon Favreau
All right, here's some good news. It seems like Republicans who will be on the ballot this November are starting to become, as the White House likes to say, panic ins. I guess it's their version of bedwetters. I don't know, they're both kind of stupid. But it's fine. On Wednesday, Politico published a story with the headline we lose the midterms, Republicans worry Iran Might have Already Cost them Congress. The title of which quotes a source described as, quote, close to the White House. It's not just the polling freaking them out. Earlier this week, Democrats notched another pair of huge over performances in two big elections. The Wisconsin Supreme Court will now have a 52 liberal majority after Chris Taylor crushed her conservative opponent by 20 points, which was an over 20 point swing from Kamala Harris's 2024 performance in the state, a 10 point over performance from the last time in 2025 that the liberal candidate won a Wisconsin Supreme Court election. And down in Georgia, even though the Republican candidate did win the special election to replace Marjorie Taylor Greene, Democrat Sean Harris beat Kamala Harris performance in that district by 25 points, the largest over performance in any special election by a Democrat since Doug Jones won the Alabama Senate seat way back a thousand years ago in 2017. What was your reaction to the elections this week? Great.
Dan Pfeiffer
I mean, great.
Jon Favreau
Next.
Dan Pfeiffer
All good. No, these are all small sample sizes, but the margins in elections since the war in Iran started are better than the average Democratic over performance both in 2025 and earlier in 2026.
Jon Favreau
Yeah, now we're getting into the 20s. You and I talked about this a couple episodes ago, and it was like teens, high teens to low 20s. Now we're in 20s to mid 20s.
Dan Pfeiffer
It was about, I think it was 12 and a half points through early 2026. And the last couple have been very impressive. Democrats are very good at winning Supreme Court seats. In Wisconsin, I think we've run four in a row now, which is a credit to the Wisconsin Democratic Party and the way they've trained Democratic voters to understand the value of these Winning the Waukesha mayor's race. First Democratic mayor 15 years. Incredible the turnout in Georgia, but we're just seeing it all over the place, which is Democrats are fired up, Republicans are unenthused, and swing voters are moving to Democrats. And you're seeing in Wisconsin, small sample size again. And in Georgia, you're seeing huge swings among Hispanic voters in Hispanic precincts, like massive swings. That's all very positive news.
Jon Favreau
I know. I'm trying not to get too high on our own supply here, but some of these results are just, it's the perfect storm of like all the things that could go wrong for Republicans with voters.
Dan Pfeiffer
Right.
Jon Favreau
Which is that they in the higher turnout elections, they are losing because voters are switching. People who voted Republican are voting Democrat. And then in other elections, the GOP turnout is collapsing. So you have Republican voters either not showing up, they're both not showing up and switching their vote. And in like deep red places, blue places, all over the place, different, all different types of districts.
Dan Pfeiffer
The dark linings are the things to watch out or just be aware of is there are caps on how well Democrats can do because the House map is so gerrymandered. We've talked about this before. There are only four Republicans in districts that Kamala Harris won I think there was something like 19 or 20 of them Republicans in districts that Hillary Clinton won, and we had seven of them in California alone in 2018. But this environment is actually much better for Democrats than 2018 was at this point. And there's a world in which a lot of seats that would not otherwise be in play are in play. I mean, the Cook Political Report moved the Iowa governor's race to a toss up today.
Jon Favreau
I know, go Rob's hand. And again, and this matters a lot for the House, which we were talking about. But it starts to get me thinking about the Senate even more. Yeah, this is really important.
Dan Pfeiffer
The Senate is in play with a margin like this. It's a, like, if it really is like 12, 13, you really have to nail it. Exactly. Because Trump won a lot of these states that we need by 1112, nearly 13 points. But we're in the game right now. And that's something that seemed impossible six months ago.
Jon Favreau
Not to get ahead of ourselves, but it does seem like the 2028 Democratic primary has already begun. A bunch of potential candidates showed up to speak at Al Sharpton's National Action Network event in New York City this week. And down in New Orleans, the DNC spring meeting kicked off on Thursday where one of the first headlines was about how a non binding resolution criticizing AIPAC's influence was voted down, while two other relevant resolutions were kicked to the something called the Middle East Working Group. DNC Chair Ken Martin explained that the AIPAC resolution was merely shelved in favor of a, quote, blanket repudiation, quote, condemning the corrosive influence of all dark money in Democratic primaries, which. So then the idea is that that resolution included AIPAC among other organizations or other, you know, dark money organizations. This is all on the heels of new Pew polling this week that shows roughly 6 in 10Americans now have unfavorable views of Israel, including an all time high of roughly 8 in 10 Democrats, which is up from 69% just last year and 53% in 2022. Interesting detail on the DNC thing. In a Politico story before the vote, an anonymous DNC member said that they received direct calls from two, quote, presidential aspirants who would have to answer for the DNC's positions on Israel and AIPAC if they run. Now, I read it a couple times. I'm still curious if those presidential candidates wanted the resolution to pass or not pass, but they called about it. What's your guess? And how do you think this issue of Israel plays out in the 2028
Dan Pfeiffer
primary maybe one on either side of the issue.
Jon Favreau
Oh, maybe.
Dan Pfeiffer
But I just. If you were thinking of running for President in 2028 and in April of 2026, you were calling DNC members about a resolution, a non binding DNC resolution, you are focused on the wrong things. Also, not for nothing, but I'd like to hear a compelling argument for why we need non binding DNC resolutions.
Jon Favreau
It seems like it's the same reason for why we need questionnaires from interest groups that presidential candidates fill out. Yeah.
Dan Pfeiffer
It's just that at least.
Jon Favreau
That at least let's cause ourselves some trouble.
Dan Pfeiffer
Well, that one, at least you are. Has a purpose from the group's perspective. Which is to get the group's perspective. Yes, from the group's perspective, to get candidates to lay out a position on things because they're going to make endorsements. And so you want to, you should have to answer some questions. You want to make endorsement. We can go long on the, on the role of groups. I know you have a lot of thoughts on it. We don't agree on all of them. So it'd be a fun debate one day. But the here I don't even know. It doesn't serve a purpose for anyone, the DNC or anyone else. So maybe we should just get rid of it.
Jon Favreau
Look, I do think that when it comes time for the 2028 Democratic Party
Dan Pfeiffer
platform, we should also get rid of that.
Jon Favreau
I know, I know. But at least there you can say,
Dan Pfeiffer
yeah, yeah, that's a different, that's a different thing.
Jon Favreau
Like what is the party stance on Israel? The party stance on any number of controversial issues and then everyone can fight it out. It is like what is the non binding resolution of the DNC going to do right now?
Dan Pfeiffer
It's going to give you politico stories like that is, that's its sole purpose is for there to be political, political stories about it.
Jon Favreau
The other two resolutions, by the way, were one recognizing a Palestinian state and the other conditioning military aid to Israel.
Dan Pfeiffer
And I think the Middle east working group is a place where these resolutions are supposed to go die. Yeah, I think that's.
Jon Favreau
Yeah, you have, you haven't heard a lot about the Middle East. Middle east working group with the dnc.
Dan Pfeiffer
No, I assume that. I mean this is, it's like a, it's not an unclever solution to the problem of just like this is a place to send. Well, you're not killing them, you're not enacting them, you're sending them to some other place. Right. You're you're referring. They're just simply being referred. The whole thing is, the whole thing is dumb.
Jon Favreau
Trust with the voters in the party.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yeah, it's. Well, also, the path to establishing a better Democratic Party policy on Israel is not through the DNC committee process.
Jon Favreau
That is correct.
Dan Pfeiffer
It is through the candidates who maybe
Jon Favreau
coming up with the position as opposed to calling the dnc.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yes. It's just a bizarre use of time and energy from that candidate or those two candidates. And look, it's hard. You know, you have eight in 10 Democratic voters who have an unfavorable view of Israel. You have even fewer who trust Netanyahu. It is, you have, you know, majority huge majorities whose sympathies are with the Palestinians as opposed to over the Israelis. In Gallup polling. Just. There's been a dramatic shift on this issue among Democrats since 2022. Just massive.
Jon Favreau
I cannot imagine the next Democratic nominee winning the primary with a position that says we should continue giving the military and other aid to Israel that we give right now.
Dan Pfeiffer
No, no one would run on that. That wouldn't even be insane choice.
Jon Favreau
I feel like even conditioning aid at this point is the, like the moderate position.
Dan Pfeiffer
That's, that's terrific.
Jon Favreau
I think, I imagine that most of them will get to ending aid to Israel.
Dan Pfeiffer
Offensive aid or. I don't know, I don't know.
Jon Favreau
I don't know. I mean, I think there's an argument to be made right, which is like we, we should treat Israel from a perspective of the taxpayer funding that we are providing the same way we treat any other ally, any other country. To me it's a question whether it's a real alliance right now because I think that the government there is an authoritarian government, which. Yeah, we have one too. But I think that the government there is not one that I certainly want to support with my tax dollars as they have, did what they did to Gaza, are still doing to Gaza, are doing what they are to the west bank, are doing what they are to Lebanon right now. And it is a wealthy enough nation that they should be able to provide for their own defense. And I think that to me, and look, these are treated as like fringe lefty positions for some reason still. But over 60% of Americans support getting rid of all aid to Israel. And you just saw that it's 80% of Democrats at this point. You go to 18 to 49 year old Democrats, it's even higher 18 to 49 year old Republicans. It's like 57, 60%. I mean, I think that people who really care about Israel and who are much more pro Israel should really think long and hard about why it is that they have lost the public battle over this, the public opinion war over this so badly and why it has shifted so dramatically over the last couple years. And the answer is not because of TikTok.
Dan Pfeiffer
I was gonna say yes.
Jon Favreau
You know, it's just not. And at this point it's insulting to tell people that. And I think if you really care about Israel, then you need to think long and hard about why this has happened and whether fighting so hard to continue the US relationship with Israel as it is right now, with the aid that we're giving it, is really worth what has happened to public opinion because of it.
Dan Pfeiffer
One thing I'm confident of is that this is going to be a point of great discussion during the Democratic primary. Be a lot during the debates will be on this issue for sure. It's going to come up in town halls and interviews. It'll come up on interviews on this podcast and everywhere else. So we're going to get to know how all the candidates feel about it. I imagine that APAC will, through its super PACs, try to influence the process in some way. I'm quite confident that their, their desire to do so will be counterproductive to their aims and the candidate they support, and it will backfire as it did in Illinois, as we saw recently. Just one other thing that I think is just something people should flag in their head as they listen to the conversation around this is the way in which the DNC switched from not taking APAC contributions to not taking any contributions from dark money groups is a rhetorical device a lot of Democrats are using right now to not answer the AIPAC question where they'll say, well, yeah, I'm not going to take it from anyone. But without getting to the heart of the question about AIPAC and the role that AIPAC specifically plays, you could ask that about other special interest groups and you should AI right. We have these AI super PACs who are, who are putting their thumb on the scale for some Democrats and primaries. You saw the crypto super PACs come in and try to influence the Illinois Senate primary. So we should talk about all of those interest groups. But people who do not want to take a specific, don't want to specifically answer the APAC question because they feel like it's fraught. Will then turn to this, well, we shouldn't have any stark money in politics as opposed to dealing with this specific question.
Jon Favreau
And what I would say is don't Avoid this question because it's fraught.
Dan Pfeiffer
That's good advice generally. Yes.
Jon Favreau
Just, you know, and it's like, if you don't know enough about it, learn more about it and decide first. You know, always decide. Forget about the polls. Decide what you believe about this issue, just as you should decide and have a real thoughtful response and ideas on. You just mentioned it. Artificial intelligence, or any number of controversial issues that will be or non controversial issues that will be debated in 2028. Figure out what your position is. Figure out where you would go. Figure out how you would answer these questions. That's the most important thing from like a what do you believe? Moral perspective. But I should just say, and we went through this in 2020. There are some positions that in a primary are argued about and Democratic candidates worry because they're like, oh, well, I'm pushed to the left in a primary and I'm taking these lefty positions, then I got to worry about what happens in a general. And this, this whole issue about Israel and aipac, this is not one of those issues. Because this is not only like, like the, the views on Israel are very clear within the Democratic Party. It is overwhelming. We are talking 80%. Same with military aid to Israel, same with AIPAC. And it's also a like 60% issue in the general election. So now if you genuinely care, like, just are very pro Israel, then, like, you know, don't take the position just because it's, you know, you're looking at the polls. Like, you know, go and fight the position and say, if you don't agree with me, you don't agree with me, but this is where I am and this is what I believe. But, like, don't pretend. No one should pretend. This is some lefty issue that people are getting pushed on in the primaries that is gonna then cause them trouble in the general. Because that's just bullshit. All right, one last thing before we get to Tommy's conversation with Rahm Emanuel. As we were getting ready for today's show, we looked up at the TV and suddenly Melania Trump was making a statement at the White House denying that she had any substantive relationship with Jeffrey Epstein. Let's take a listen.
Dan Pfeiffer
I have never had any knowledge of Epstein abuse of his victims. I was not a participant, was never on Epstein's plane, and never visited his private island. My email reply to Maxwell cannot be categorized as anything more than casual correspondence. Several individuals and companies have been legally obligated to publicly apologize and retract their lies about me, such as Daily Beast James Carville and Harper Collins UK, not HarperCollins UK.
Jon Favreau
You really was magical. What the fuck? Everyone in the office was like, what the fuck is happening right now? Do you, do you have any idea?
Dan Pfeiffer
No one seems to. I have. I have. Maybe we'll get an answer between this. An answer has come while we're recording this or when we'll come between now and tomorrow. But none of the reporters can have any idea why she did it, what the context was. Some. A lot of times, you know there will be rumors going through D.C. or politics about a pending story.
Jon Favreau
That's. I've been, I've been looking everywhere for it for any.
Dan Pfeiffer
And everyone knows it's coming. Even if it hasn't been printed, it has it. But everyone in popticos is coming. And then you will see politicians do things and they make sense. If you know that story is coming. This is not one of those times. It doesn't seem like anyone knows what she is talking about or why she picked today to offer this out of context statement of protesting way too much about her relationship with Epstein.
Jon Favreau
Also, apparently Trump told CNN he knew that she'd be making a statement. And then Jackie Alemany from Ms. Now called him and he told her he had no idea she'd be making the statement. And that's also what Jackie Heinrich from Fox heard as well, that he had no idea. So, like there's conflicting reports of whether Trump did. I did notice in, in one of the playbooks, either in the morning or p.m. at the bottom, there was a New York Post story before the announcement where an associate of Melania Trump said she'd be making a quote, big announcement today that would, quote, spread internationally.
Dan Pfeiffer
Well, congrats
Jon Favreau
for people who don't know. The email she was referencing was in the Epstein files. It was to Ghislaine Maxwell. She said, dear G, how are you? Nice story about JE in New York Mag. You look great on the picture. You look great on the picture. Those are her words. I know you were very busy flying all over the world. How was Palm Beach? I cannot wait to go down. Give me a call when you're back in New York. Have a great time. Love, Melania. That was From October of 2002, the New York magazine piece about Jeffrey Epstein she was referencing was the piece where her husband is quoted as saying he likes the girls really young. So that's cool. I don't know, man. I don't know. Is that your advice? You would have given Melania Trump as a White House communications director to randomly go out to the cameras on a Thursday afternoon in the middle of a war in Iran to just say, hey, I don't know what you're talking about. I don't know Jeffrey Epstein. Bye.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yes, I think that's the exact right thing to do, to go out there and deny.
Jon Favreau
No questions. I will take no questions about this. I do not know Jeffrey Epstein.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yeah, while I am, while I have your time, I just wanted to briefly deny involvement in any illegality that you did not ask me about. Okay, bye.
Jon Favreau
And, and, and if you think that you can connect me to Jeffrey Epstein, just ask James Carville or Harper Collins how that went for them. Harper Collins.
Dan Pfeiffer
Harper Collins.
Jon Favreau
I will see you at the next premiere of Melania.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yeah, it's just amazing. Truly.
Jon Favreau
She is a weird one. Okay, when we come back from the break, you will hear Tommy's conversation with the former mayor, ambassador and White House Chief of staff, Rahm Emanuel. Pod Save America is brought to you by Bombas. The springtime thaw is finally here. Flowers are blooming, days are longer, and we're saying yes to more plans. And finally getting outside. Running, walking, just moving again. It's the perfect time to upgrade your everyday go tos with Bombas. Bombas sports socks are super comfortable and designed with sport specific tech for running, cycling, yoga, hiking, you name it. Bombas are cushioned where you need it, sweat wicking and they don't slide around so you're not constantly adjusting your socks. And with the weather warming up, it's time to add Bombas sandals into your footwear rotation. Their Friday slides are made with a super lightweight and waterproof EVA that's soft but still supportive. They're super comfortable and perfect to just slip on and go. Whether you're running errands, lounging outdoors, or just want something comfy and casual to wear. John Lovett over here wears them to his famed Pilates class.
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Tommy Vietor
My guest today is a former member of Congress, White House, chief of staff, mayor of Chicago, ambassador. Sure seems like he's running for President in 2028. Rahm Emanuel, great to see you again.
Rahm Emanuel
Nice to see you, Tommy.
Tommy Vietor
Welcome to Los Angeles. You have more of a casual LA chic, I see.
Rahm Emanuel
Yeah, yeah.
Tommy Vietor
Like a glove.
Rahm Emanuel
It's the only thing clean.
Tommy Vietor
Just rip it off. Your brothers.
Rahm Emanuel
Yeah. Go into Ari's closet. Too bad he's too big.
Tommy Vietor
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Dan Pfeiffer
Just.
Jon Favreau
Yeah.
Tommy Vietor
We all saw the shirtless photos of him and Elon Musk he's been working on.
Rahm Emanuel
Or the meds are working either way.
Jon Favreau
Or both.
Tommy Vietor
Hgh. It's a hell of a drug.
Dan Pfeiffer
All right.
Tommy Vietor
We're joking. Because we're breathing a sigh of relief this week because our president decided not to go through with his threat to destroy the entire Iranian civilization. So that's nice. That's what counts as a win in the Trump 2.0 era. But the debate over why the war started is raging. Have you had a chance to read Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan's long piece in the New York Times? Okay. So they report that on February 11, Prime Minister Netanyahu met with Trump in the Situation Room. The head of the Mossad zooms in. They make this. Yeah. Who I'm sure you know. And they give this presentation about the case for war. It includes a bunch of assumptions about how easy it'll be that are now catastrophically wrong. We're probably. You could tell they were at the time, but now we know they were.
Dan Pfeiffer
Can you remember a foreign leader meeting
Tommy Vietor
with the President in the Sit Room during your time?
Jon Favreau
Is that weird?
Rahm Emanuel
Yeah, I think. Well, two things I wanted. One thing about last week, you're. I want to go back to. Because I was thinking about this More, you have the President of the United States. The President of the United States. This is not a speech in which you do the arsenal democracy. We're going to destroy civilization, the Persian civilization. At the same time, the vice president is in Budapest saying, we're going to save the Christian civilization. And then you have a Secretary of Defense who's calling this a Christian crusade. What could go wrong when you have those kind of brain power working? All of them. Now I feel better. I got that off my chest.
Tommy Vietor
And the president tweeted, you know, we're
Rahm Emanuel
saving and destroying whatever, right? We're destroying everybody, which is the cry of a terrorist. So we're both destroying and saving one civilization and the other. So nobody. I'm thinking of both my Clinton time, six years, and Obama time. I do not remember a single, not only a single foreign leader in the situation, anybody themselves or their staffs ever even given access to that room. So. Or any one of those rooms, or et cetera. So I don't ever remember that happening, and I don't think it would ever happen.
Tommy Vietor
Is very weird.
Rahm Emanuel
So, again, what happens in that room is also weird. Not only that they're in that room, but what happens in that room.
Tommy Vietor
So, obviously, Trump decides to go to war. He and he alone is responsible for his decision. But there is this debate and a ton of reporting now about the pressure campaign by Netanyahu and sort of lobbying Trump to go to war with Iran. What is the appropriate way to talk about that, in your view? Because I'm sure you've seen the folks I've seen who argue that it can veer into a conversation that is anti Semitic, that leans into tropes about Israel controlling the United States or foreign policy.
Jon Favreau
Like, what's the right way to talk about this?
Rahm Emanuel
It's going to lead into that. And also given what the Secretary of State said six weeks ago, it's only going to kind of layer that. I think depending on how conversations go in Islamabad, you're going to go from that conversation to, I think this president may scapegoat. Now. Now, you and I both worked for President Obama, but I want to say this is. The prime minister has been shopping this to 4, possibly 5. I can't remember Clinton, but Bush, President, President Bush, rather, 43. President Obama, President Trump, 40. You know, the first term, President Biden, everybody rejected this. And because when you looked at it, the equities versus the liabilities just didn't pan out.
Tommy Vietor
Right.
Rahm Emanuel
So I don't give the President of the United States who has agency here Any pass. But this will go into a very bad place. And a very, I think, in the sense of the Prime Minister not made an argument to the President. I don't absolve the president and anybody on his team. But I also read the story of the flip side of this, Tommy, which is also nobody in the President's administration. They're all, they don't have their hands on the bloody. They're all leaking on each other.
Tommy Vietor
Now they're saying they opposed it.
Rahm Emanuel
Yeah, they opposed it. You know, this is all crap, you know, other words that they use to describe their position. So everybody's trying to make sure that they were not seen at the scene of the crime. And I'm sorry, so I don't absolve any of them. The Prime Minister said what he said to the President. But this argument is going to, given the context also in America, and given the context of anti Israel or anti Semitism, it's gonna lead to a very bad place. And I do think, though, and I will say this, I mean, President Obama was presented a similar plan. That's how the Olympic Games, I think that was the term that was used for the cyber attacks on Iran's capacity. Nobody took kinetic, the decision to go into the deep end on the kinetic effort. This president did. And it's on him. Yeah, no pass.
Tommy Vietor
It's certainly on him. But it also just seems like self evident based on all this reporting, based on what Netanyahu himself says when he's back in Israel, where, you know, he's been. There was a tape release in 2001 where he was kind of bragging about his ability to manipulate leaders in Washington or move them, I think was the term he used.
Rahm Emanuel
Right.
Tommy Vietor
Let's just like lobby them, do politics.
Rahm Emanuel
Well, look, I mean, let's go back. He runs for reelection with the message. I think I'm getting the exact word, but I'm getting the sentiment right, which is a leader at a different class. That was the message. And it had pictures of him with Putin and pictures with him with Trump. So that was actually what he campaigned on publicly. So you don't have to kind of, we don't have to be archaeologists or, you know, anthropologists here. That's what he campaigned on, that he could play at a level that nobody else played. So it's in his own words. But again, you know, only the President of the United States can order American servicemen and women. Only the President of the United States can order resources that are pulled out of the Indo Pacific, pulled out of different theaters to that theater pulled thaad weapons out of South Korea, pulled Patriots that were supposed to go to Ukraine. Only the commander in chief can do that. And so, you know, the Prime Minister made his case. Doesn't mean you have to buy it.
Tommy Vietor
Yeah, exactly. Tucker Carlson, speaking of things only the President can do, Tucker Carlson is very worried about Trump using a nuclear weapon in Iran. Has that fear occurred to you? And if yes, can you talk a little bit about the process and how that actually works and how few checks there would be?
Rahm Emanuel
I don't believe. Look, I mean, it's a theoretical discussion or hypothetical, rather. I don't think the President of the United States would do that. And while I have zero confidence in the people around him, and I mean that from the Cabinet to the White House, I actually think they would hit the pause button. They would find some nerve of character to step up and say what they didn't do here, meaning here being the lead into the Iran war, they would know that this would have to be stopped.
Tommy Vietor
The pause button would mean convincing him though, right? I mean, there's no, like, you can't take the nuclear button and throw it into the ocean so we can press it.
Jon Favreau
Right?
Dan Pfeiffer
No technical way.
Rahm Emanuel
There is no way. Look, head of the Joint Chiefs, there's the rest of the military. I think there would be a. I'm just betting on human character. There'd be a massive pushback on this. I don't know what got Tucker Carlson, he's not like a horse whisperer, the great whisperer to Donald Trump to say that, but this would be, well, I don't mean this cavalier. So I want to be very clear. You can definitely take the Nobel Peace Prize off the table. That's not happening. So I don't mean to. I said that as you this, I don't believe that would happen.
Tommy Vietor
Okay, I'm glad to hear.
Rahm Emanuel
I just think there's a lot of other things that I think that are worth spending intellectual energy on to and analyze. What are the repercussions? Things that they never do. Even an impulsive person like this would not do that.
Tommy Vietor
Let's hope so. J.D. vance, the Vice President, is now going to Pakistan to lead these talks. On Saturday, he'll be joined by Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner.
Rahm Emanuel
Oh, I'm so comforted.
Tommy Vietor
I will jump. Son in law and his golf buddy.
Rahm Emanuel
Isn't this just a real estate deal? Isn't this just real estate?
Tommy Vietor
Yeah. So look, I, I'm not a big fan of Dumb and Dumber, Kushner and Wyckoff I think they're just like, it's a very technical negotiation, right? The JCPOA negotiat, it took 18 months, that's how long it took to cut a nuclear deal. The wish list on the Iranian side that they're demanding from the US is far more vast than that. It's like get all your troops out of the Middle east, things of that nature. Does Vance getting involved give you any more confidence or hope that they can get some deal or maybe another ceasefire?
Rahm Emanuel
This is reading Teales only in the sense that the Iranians think he was negative about the war. If they believe that, they may have an slightly better confidence to deal with him, obviously any credibility and I believe zero for Wyckoff and Kushner. The idea that you had no experts, that it's very clear from the UK who was in the room in Geneva, they didn't even know what they were being offered pre the war from the Iranians, zero confidence. So I have some sense that maybe Vance will have a different level of respect. It gives you somebody new, they can interlock, but remember, they've been burned twice, once in June, this time in negotiations. So they're going to come in it with appropriately heavy, heavy cynicism. Let me say one other thing which is, and take this slightly different in a sense of advance, one, you can't unring this bell, but you can say, okay, how do you kind of make lemonade out of this lemon that we've, that we have created? That's a b. As I. The Iranians went in, we went into this war trying to degrade Iran's nuclear capacity. They discovered they had the nuclear option, the Strait of Hormuz. The other thing, see, Iran since 79 has wanted to get the United States out of the Gulf and they become the Persian Empire again. That is their task. So how do you kind of undo this knot in some way? My one view is on the short term on the Strait of Hormuz, either all ships are out or no ships are out. And you're going to cut off Iranians money and China's energy. Everybody's out or nobody's out. And it's easier to close something, as the Iranians have proven, than for us to try to open it. So reverse the score. Second, medium term, the Iranians want a fee. I think we go to the Internet, the UN's international maritime entity, they run it. There is a fee charge, but it goes to Iran, Bahrain, Oman, Kuwait, everybody who got suffered in this process, not just Iran and the dollars or the Resources are split that way among all the countries and it's managed by the United Nations Maritime Association. Third, long term use the Abraham Cords beyond what it is, is a peace agreement that we're a party to. It now finances. It finances a pipeline for Kuwait, for the uae, for Bahrain, et cetera, either to the Gulf of Oman or. Or to the Red Sea. So there's alternatives to the Strait of Hormuz. I would in addition say to anybody who's part of the Abraham Accords has zero tariffs. And I would also say anybody. The Abraham Accords gets front of the line on US military equipment. It would double down on America being a trusted ally to our Gulf partners. But that to me, short term, medium term and long term is the best way to navigate what is a big giant lemon.
Tommy Vietor
Yeah, it's a nightmare. Let me offer you what I think might be some pushback to the plan.
Rahm Emanuel
Sure.
Tommy Vietor
You know, if we.
Rahm Emanuel
I'm open to anything. That's just my idea.
Tommy Vietor
We're spitballing here. If we join.
Rahm Emanuel
Trust me, this is more sophisticated than
Tommy Vietor
the situation than the Hegseth conversation.
Rahm Emanuel
The first meeting between the prime minister and the President. Much more sophisticated and thorough analysis.
Tommy Vietor
Crushed a beer can on his head or something. If we jointly close the Strait of Hormuz with the Iranians, wouldn't that make a sort of a party to all the, you know, potential famine that could happen if no fertilizer is getting.
Rahm Emanuel
There's no doubt about it. But here's the other thing you're trying to. They are. Their economy is devastated. The only lifeline they have or international, the IV they have, rather, is the. What they're selling to China.
Jon Favreau
Right.
Rahm Emanuel
We do know now, you and I sitting here today, China was a party to pushing Iran to say yes.
Tommy Vietor
Right.
Rahm Emanuel
There are elements that. That then ruled. Okay. We're going to do that for the ceasefire. So if you shut off where China's getting their major energy, you say it will be. I'm not saying this is pretty, but we have never, ever, the United States in 250 years gone to war and allow the other country financial security where our allies suffer. And I say enemies or opponents or whatever term you want to use, both Iran and Russia. This is insane.
Tommy Vietor
Yeah.
Rahm Emanuel
And so you're literally keeping whatever prop you have, Tyran and China, people that are trying to hurt you, you're actually giving them economic benefit. So to me, yes, it would be chop. There's no perfect here.
Tommy Vietor
Right.
Rahm Emanuel
But we're going to shut it. We're not going to shut it with you, we're going to shut you down. You shut everybody else down, we're shutting you down.
Tommy Vietor
Yeah. At least that levels of playing field.
Rahm Emanuel
I mean, I also worry you're looking for leverage here.
Tommy Vietor
Right. And we currently, clearly, the Iranians have shown us we don't have much.
Rahm Emanuel
No, I mean, and I think that's
Tommy Vietor
why Tucker's worried we get to a nuclear option, because there's no conventional military way to open the Strait of Hormuz from the air. You can't bomb it open if they're laying mines or just firing off one missile. I mean, the other thing going forward, when you look at, like, Trump's goals here, like, first of all, the highly enriched uranium is still sitting in Iran. Doesn't sound like we're going to get it back or get it out unless there's some deal. Cut two, the big concern, right. They clearly degraded Iran's military. They bombed the shit out of a lot of stuff. The other consideration was cutting off their support for proxy groups like Hezbollah, Hamas, et cetera. My concern is if they are now able to charge this toll at the Strait of Hormuz, that is going to be a massive.
Rahm Emanuel
That cannot be. That cannot stand.
Tommy Vietor
That will go back to rebuilding their military, funding Hezbollah, funding all these proxy groups. Right. I mean, it seems like, again, this is Trump's problem. He created. It just seems like there was always
Rahm Emanuel
an implied pressure that implied that Iran could do this on the Strait, but it's never was tested. It's now been tested. And they discovered, look, I got an 800 on my SATs, okay? They never before did they. Everybody believed this. It was always an international order. The second thing, I mean, I want to go to the class at the War College. Ukraine and Iran have no navy and they've controlled the waterways. I want to go to that class. I want to study this. I'm serious about that. I think you and I have sat there, but we have a doctrine to fight two wars on two fronts simultaneously. Capacity to do that. We're going to have to change the doctrine to be able to say we're going to fight two wars, one conventional and one unconventional. And we're not set up that way. Neither our military, our industrial base, or the capacity both of these theaters, meaning what's happened in the Iran war and what's happened in Ukraine, Russia war, or Russia's war on Ukraine, has taught us an exponential lesson that we are not ready for the unconventional asymmetric war. And we better. That's the second war now. March of 2020, 5. A year ago I wrote a piece for the Post which is don't ask for Ukraine's minerals, ask for their drone technology. That's where they're experts at. Now. Not only did we not ask for it, we rejected it when they offered to help. The president doesn't know friend from foe. And we are now stuck where our Gulf allies are buying weapons from Ukraine, but we stiff darned them. And they have no navy and they've destroyed the Russian navy in the Black Sea. We can claim which appropriate. We have destroyed the navy of Iran, but they control the Strait of Hormuz. No navies and they control waterways. That tells you where the future is.
Tommy Vietor
A lot of tactical victories and strategic losses there.
Rahm Emanuel
Somebody said the other day I read this, I can't remember who. America's won every war, every battle, but has lost each war.
Tommy Vietor
Sounds about right since World War II.
Rahm Emanuel
Yeah, for sure.
Tommy Vietor
Let me shift gears. So you've been crisscrossing the country. You did a recent stop in New Hampshire. You're still not ruling out a 2028 presidential run. Any more definitive answers today?
Rahm Emanuel
No, but I'll whisper exploring. No. Okay, I went there. I went three places recently, which is La Crosse, Wisconsin, into Franklin, New Hampshire. And then I've been in Spartanburg, the Corridor of shame in Abbeville, Piedmont area, the black counties, and then Columbia and then Charleston. And that was all about looking at community colleges and what both all three cities are doing, which I think incredibly innovative things that we also did in Chicago between community colleges leading into the future economy, but also linking up with high schools, something that I think is the fundamental thing we have to flip the switch on.
Tommy Vietor
And the top issues I assume are whether Democrats should talk to leftist Twitch streamers is kind of like up here. Then it's like the economy and then education.
Rahm Emanuel
Let me. Well, I wouldn't go down there, but I would just say that was a joke. I understand that. I would say I've done a town hall in La Crosse, Wisconsin, and a podcast there with somebody. Look, did it in. Met with 10 teachers, educators, parents, 10 kids up in Franklin, New Hampshire. I did a. In Manchester, the eggs and politics thing. I did a. At Wofford College. Craig Martin interviewed me there in front of the college. We went to a community College. I did 400 people in Charleston. Nobody asked me about Hasan Pegger. No, nobody, Nobody. They asked me about how do they get ahead. They asked me how they get an education. Now, you know, the ticket to the middle class and getting ahead is through education and you know, we live in a period where you earn what you learn. Nobody's asked me that question and I've had took close to about 50 questions from people.
Tommy Vietor
Yeah, it's you know, the billionth reminder that the conversation in D.C. and the media sometimes doesn't match what the country actually.
Rahm Emanuel
Sometimes.
Tommy Vietor
Yeah.
Rahm Emanuel
Often I would say close to 90% does not match. It's a parallel universe.
Tommy Vietor
Yeah, it is.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yes.
Tommy Vietor
So you did a recent appearance on the view. You said D.C. needs a power washing because of all the corruption. You also wrote in a Wall Street Journal column talking about how Democrats could use a majority. And you said the Democrats should steer clear of the gotcha politics and excessive focus on Trumpian slime. Is there a tension between those two things?
Rahm Emanuel
No. So I appreciate this. Maybe this is on me for not writing clear. I think I wrote in that piece. Not. I think I know there's a difference between corruption and him being untruthful or a liar. I go 100%. I've said this as soon as I came back from Japan, 2024, December, I said go after the corruption I built when I was chair of the dccc, the House that Tom delay built, the corruption. What's going on with the prediction markets, what's going on with Wyckoff's kids, Lutnik's kids, them and people in the president's kids. 100%. What Noem's done at the DHS and the contracts that he provided. 100%. There is a difference between that corruption, which matters to your wallet and our playing to type, which is a retribution, vindictive politics that then they say Washington and they break the sound and they turn it on mute. Right. When we should be turning to our agenda. There is a two sided here. Hit him on the corruption and offer a proactive agenda. I actually think given where I've been, not only the states I just talked to you about, but other states. Washington does need a good power washing. Absolutely. Not just trading stocks in Congress. Did you ever think you would ever see investor Day in the Oval Office or.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yeah.
Tommy Vietor
Or bets on invasions of a country
Rahm Emanuel
or did you ever think a member of the court, not just the Supreme Court be taking gifts from people who have cases in front of them or trips. Okay, so the whole place needs to be cleaned.
Tommy Vietor
What does that reform agenda look like? What do we propose?
Rahm Emanuel
Well, I'll give you my thing. One, I would raise the minimum wage. So that's number one. Two, well, over September 2025, August I wrote and I believe there should be A ratepayer bill of rights. Three, I would do X on healthcare cost control, specifically around the insurance companies gouging people, breaking them up. Four, I would do a ban on social media for kids under 16. I've called for this before. First on prediction markets. No federal employee or their family can participate.
Tommy Vietor
Yeah, I mean like reforming for Washington. So like stuff like that. Banning Kalshi, banning stock trading, banning all that.
Rahm Emanuel
But also stocks, companies that you've been in. If you have X of let's say your net value is north of just. I'm putting a number out million dollars has to go into a blind trust. That's true for all federal employees. Second, not just the Supreme Court, but any court. You're not allowed to take gifts and be very specific on the ethics package that Roberts thinks he has but doesn't enforce. Make it, codify it. And that's also true for the President, United States and family members and the cabinet. Now the other thing I said for. And when you hit the age of 75, get pre TSA because you're out of here. Done finish pasta. You're not hitting your prime at 78.
Tommy Vietor
I like that a lot. I'm gonna try to annoy you now. So you bought and sold some, you bought and sold some individual stocks when you were ambassador to Japan. I know the American Prospect wrote a piece criticizing the timing of one of those purchases because it came before a government announcement that they said could benefit the stock. Was that a mistake? Are there things you do differently?
Rahm Emanuel
If I did it is. It's definitely a mistake. I don't know what that is, but definitely, you know, I look, I did a blind trust when I was chief of staff, when I was mayor, when I was congressman, also did it there when as ambassador. So if anybody did it, I have no idea I was a blind trust.
Tommy Vietor
It wasn't your best. Why doesn't everyone just do a blind trust?
Rahm Emanuel
It seems so easy. That's what I just said. I'll give you a funny, not a
Tommy Vietor
funny story, I guess to trade on insight.
Rahm Emanuel
I get elected to Congress and I'm going to set up, I'm get on Financial Services said I'm gonna set up a blind trust. Chairman Oxley comes to see me and says, I don't want you to do this. I said, well, I'm doing it because I'm a bare knuckle politician. Something's gonna happen one day on a hearing that we're gonna do in financial service. I don't know what they're gonna do. So forget about it. And I did it for. Then I did it also normalizing it to tell you did it when I was chief of staff and I did it when I was mayor. 100%.
Tommy Vietor
It seems like a no brainer. I don't know why it's not law. I mean I've been arguing.
Rahm Emanuel
In 2007 I was a sponsor of a legislation as related to exactly this, which is stocks traded in front of committees. In front of your committee. You can't have be involved or investor or trade stocks in committees. Rather interests that have any company that has interest in front of the committee. It's insane.
Tommy Vietor
Yeah, I mean I think this is an issue that.
Rahm Emanuel
But it's all of Washington. That also includes the executive branch.
Jon Favreau
Well, yeah.
Tommy Vietor
And I think this is an issue that kind of drives people crazy because like, like it's a no brainer. Of course members of Congress or the president's family or Cabinet shouldn't be buying and selling individual stocks. Everyone should put their stuff into blind trust. But it's. And in like the President of the United States will go before the State of the Union and say that and say we're gonna pass legislation. Danny.
Rahm Emanuel
But he only signed everyone's hands up. He didn't talk about the executive branch and he didn't talk about the judiciary.
Tommy Vietor
Well, of course, I guess what I'm getting at is he says that. But then people are also well aware that, you know, Nancy Pelosi's husband has made a shitload of money trading individual stocks. And there's a lot of people that track that index and feel like, you
Rahm Emanuel
know, Tommy, that's why I've said the whole Washington, you can't. Look, there's no individual or no one of the three branches of government that you're going to get without a blemish. The only way to do it, everybody go.
Tommy Vietor
Mom, I'm for that. I'm just going to ask you a couple more issues I think progressives will push you on. If you do decide to run for president in 2028.
Rahm Emanuel
It's no different than me pushing myself. Good.
Tommy Vietor
So you were mayor of Chicago when a young man named Laquan McDonald was shot 16 times by a police officer. Your administration had a video of that, of his killing for over a year until a court ordered it released. You guys didn't release it until the court order. What do you say to people who are angry, not just about the Chicago PD killing this kid, but also what they feel was a cover up to evade accountability?
Rahm Emanuel
So there's not a day or a week that goes by that I don't think about this, what I could have done different. Number one, a young man lost his life innocently. Third is I thought I had a year earlier, two years earlier, fixed the system. And I acknowledge when I said it to this whole city spoke. I thought I fixed something. And the problems were much deeper than I appreciated, might have wanted to think. I thought I fixed it when the gulf between the community and the police department and the culture in the police department was much deeper. And I said, that's on me. I have to fix this. I own that now. You know this. Chicago's not alone. No city's alone, given what's happened on police departments across the country. And I did go about fixing it, but as the inspector general said, I actually. The problem is I followed the rules, because the last thing you want is a mayor involved in making a political decision. When the FBI. What's ipra, which is the police department's independent body, everybody's investigating. You don't want the mayor involving themselves. Then you say you're politicizing a criminal investigation. The FBI was involved. The U.S. attorneys was involved. The states. There were four entities investigating. So if you don't involve yourself, you're part of covering up. If you do involve, you politicize an investigation, endanger the prosecution. In Chicago, the police officer actually was prosecuted and convicted. That doesn't change anything. That's on me. I own it. As you know one thing, the difference between a legislator and somebody who's a mayor, it's lessons learned going forward. And so you have to make changes. I did it. And in this process, Tommy, his uncle, who's a pastor on the west side, Laquanz, he and I have become really good, solid feathers. There's not a week that goes by that we don't talk or communicate in one way. But did I screw up? Yeah. If you're looking for perfection, I'm not that guy. Do I. If you're looking for a person that knows how to learn from mistakes 100%,
Tommy Vietor
another sort of big fight within the party has been generational. I mean, you said a minute ago you, I think, want to get your TSA PreCheck because you're getting out of here at 78, right?
Rahm Emanuel
75.
Tommy Vietor
75. Sorry. So I love that. I think we need a new generation.
Rahm Emanuel
I think when I first said it, you. You texted me and said, great.
Tommy Vietor
Yeah. I was like, fuck yeah, man. Good for you. I don't think that people in D.C. are internalizing your message. Right. I mean, this fight is playing out most clearly in Maine, where Chuck Schumer is really thumb in the scale on behalf of former Governor Janet Mills. The grassroots seem to be behind Graham Platner. God knows who will win. But it doesn't seem like Schumer is concerned about the whole conversation we just had about Joe Biden's age. How do we fix that? And what do you say to young activists who you might meet in Iowa or New Hampshire or whatever who are like, well, look, you worked in the Clinton administration. What does the next generation look like? Are we paying lip service to this or are we really?
Rahm Emanuel
So the way I look at it is a couple things. One is there is a generational piece to that. But as you know, all your strengths are your weaknesses. After Donald Trump, I'm not sure we can afford as a country on your job training. I say it jokingly, but I'm serious. You got to be good in the family room. You better be good in the classroom. You better know the boardroom, the break room, the situation room. And not just the bathroom, which is something we really get experts as a party. Now. I also think also one piece of change with a party that's known as weak, there's nothing. As you know, when it came to fighting the insurance companies get 10 million kids health care, one person got that assignment. When it came to making sure we got health care for people with pre existing condition, one person had to lead that effort. When it came to making sure we took on the financial industry and the baking industry to do fundamental reform, one person got that call to lead that effort and take on the gun lobby and nra. Nobody's ever gotten in the ring with me, didn't walk out without a bloody nose or a broken nose. Asked the Republicans when they saw Nancy Pelosi become the first female speaker. So I make no more and I will say this, otherwise I don't need another title. I got 20. Yeah, I'll sell you one for cheap on ebay. I got 20,000 kids that got free community college because I was willing to take on a failed system. I got kids that used to have a 56% graduation rate and 84% of them now graduate high school with a degree and college credit and have a mandatory letter of acceptance from either college, community college, branch of the armed forces or Vocational School. 98% of our kids in Chicago achieve that. I have took on a bureaucracy where we didn't have kindergarten or pre K throughout the city. And I made a Republican finally increase the funding to the city of Chicago, which had been every mayor's desire, got something done that hadn't happened before. Do I take on failure? Damn right. Because I'm a lucky guy. I grew up in a family, an immigrant family that had love and education. The question is, are you willing to sit there and husband your political capital or spend it and take it on? So nobody who's walked in the arena with me did not walk out without having a broken nose. More than willing to say that. And if you want just generational change, I'm not. You want somebody that knows how to take on a fight and win. That's a different battle.
Tommy Vietor
It's a good pitch. Last question for you.
Rahm Emanuel
So last I was just getting kind of into this, you know, this is fun.
Tommy Vietor
2006. Things went really well for Democrats in the midterms. You noticed you were leading that effort in the House. I was sitting on my ass in the Senate working for Barack Obama. But you know, I was watching what you're doing.
Rahm Emanuel
So you were the scheduling problem.
Tommy Vietor
It's like, ah, sorry, he's got to write his book.
Rahm Emanuel
Yeah. So chapter one.
Tommy Vietor
Democrats keep overperforming in these special elections. The most recent one and the biggest over performance or biggest swing to Democrats just happened in Georgia. Georgia 14. Marjorie Taylor Greene's district.
Rahm Emanuel
Wisconsin. I'll give you a different view.
Tommy Vietor
Okay. Well, that what we took literally racked up Bashar Al Assad numbers in Madison in this most recent Supreme Court.
Rahm Emanuel
No, I'll tell you why. No, just something different. You want to finish the question?
Tommy Vietor
No, the question is just like, I feel better. I feel increasingly bullish. I think the question is, how do you close the deal? Is it about Democrats getting out and making an affirmative case and fighting? Or you see some other people that say crouch up, hide under the table until the day after the election?
Rahm Emanuel
Neither one is right. First of all, 90% of this race is a referendum on the president and the rubber stamp Republicans. That was true in 1994. It was true in 2006 about Bush. It was true in 2010 about President Obama and the Democrats. And it's true in 2018 about Donald Trump and the Republicans. This is a referendum election and I can tell you, having gone all over this country, it's building a head of steam. This is going to be level 5 type Hurricane 2. Side note, why I think Wisconsin, one of the last three Supreme Court biggest one was just the other day. Yeah.
Tommy Vietor
Monster 6%.
Rahm Emanuel
Second. Second. We've now 14 for 14 in statewide elections, haven't lost one third. We picked up the suburban county outside of Milwaukee where the Republicans used a balance against Milwaukee. We picked up the county executive seat, fourth in the third District, which is the southwest corner, where lacrosse is, where I went in for Rebecca Cook, where the Republican member of Congress there, the Supreme Court candidate, our candidate took 57% of the vote there. Donald Trump won that county overwhelmingly. It used to be where Ron Kind was Congressman. The Wisconsin numbers in a battleground state were not just good on the Supreme Court. You go two, three layers down. They were unbelievable.
Tommy Vietor
Yeah.
Rahm Emanuel
And I think what I would say is keep the focus on the Republicans. Keep the focus on the fact that they've been complicit with Donald Trump. I do have argued this before. I'd present a 6 in 2026. Not because anybody remembers the 6 in 06 or the contract With America. You should have it a. It helps you focus in 2027, what your priorities are. It creates a disciplined dialogue inside the party, what we're going to stand for. And it will not just help in 2026. 2027 will be the seminal year that will decide for us who we are and what we're defined for in 2028. And when we ran health care, children's health care, the renewal helped negotiate it for President. Clinton led the effort in the House with Speaker Pelosi, forced Bush to veto it. 60 Republicans were with the Democrats. It sets up Obama in 08. When George Mitchell in 1990 gets Bush 41 to sign a tax increase, it breaks up the Republican Party. Pat Buchanan challenges a sitting Republican president and it sets up Bill Clinton in 1992. So I believe do the work now, both not only for 2026, but for the discipline of 2027. One of those is going to break through and get to the president's desk. If he signs it, you want it to be something that divides the Republicans from him. If he vetoes it, you want to make sure it also divides the Republicans from him. The goal there then says who we are and who they are.
Tommy Vietor
Yeah, I agree. I think running against Trump is important and we should continue to do it. I still think we have a massive problem as a party of people not knowing who we are or not knowing what we stand for and maybe not
Rahm Emanuel
liking it if they do. Tommy, there's three or four layers here. Not knowing who we stand for, not knowing whether we'll fight for who he thinks. The reason I'm going around these community colleges. 40% of the people in America go to community colleges that go to higher education. These are the unseen Unheard, unrespected folks. I know what I did to reform the community colleges of Chicago and what we did to make sure that people that went there can walk in and say, I went to Malcolm X and get that nursing job at Rush Presbyterian Hospital. Or the guy I met in Spartanburg who's working on mechanical skills and he has a 33 buck an hour plus benefits job waiting at GE for him on May 11th. To me, you can't just say these things that sound great in faculty lounges or papers. You actually have to feel the people that are under the intense pressure not only have an agenda for them, but they're willing to take on and break some eggs to get it done. And our party hasn't just hasn't. It's not just about clicks. It's about calculus. It's not just about social media posts. It's actually about social studies. And we haven't prioritized the right things. We just haven't. We have to be acknowledged about that. And we got ourselves caught. I've said this before, and I'll say it again. In a cultural cul de sac, going around in circles. We were off. The American people, when their back's against the wall, they expect Democrats to show up. They don't think Republicans will show up because they know they're in the boardroom cutting up the pie. They expect us to show up and we did not show up for them. We deserve to spanking.
Tommy Vietor
And we got one. Rob Emanuel, great to see you again.
Dan Pfeiffer
Thanks for coming.
Rahm Emanuel
Thanks for coming. Yeah, we solved all the world problems.
Tommy Vietor
Yeah, we got it.
Jon Favreau
We're good. Hormuz.
Tommy Vietor
Wide open.
Rahm Emanuel
All right,
Jon Favreau
That's our show for today. Thanks to Ram for stopping by. And I'll be back in the feed on Sunday with a conversation with none other than Hasan Piker. That's right. Rahm Emanuel was here today. Hasan Piker will be here tomorrow. And then I will be closing all of my apps for the weekend.
Dan Pfeiffer
Yeah, I'm going to be closely monitoring your social media usage starting Sunday at 6am Yep.
Jon Favreau
Nope. You can complain all you want. I'm sure the clips can be everywhere. Much like Melania, I will not be taking any questions about my relationship with Hasan Piker.
Dan Pfeiffer
Who is this Hasan Piker fellow? I've heard anything about him recently?
Jon Favreau
I don't know. I think he's something about Twitch. I don't know.
Dan Pfeiffer
Twitch.
Jon Favreau
Oh, Twitch.
Dan Pfeiffer
Twitch, Twitch.
Jon Favreau
Anyway, have a good weekend, everyone.
Dan Pfeiffer
Bye, everyone.
Jon Favreau
If you want to listen to Pod Save America ad free and get access to exclusive podcasts. Go to cricket.com friends to subscribe on Supercast Substack, you, YouTube or Apple Podcasts. Also, please consider leaving us a review that helps boost this episode and everything we do here at Cricut Pod Save America is a crooked media production. Our producer is Saul Rubin. Our associate producer is Farah Safari. Austin Fisher is our senior producer. Reed Churlin is our executive editor. Adrian Hill is our head of news and politics. Jordan Kanter is our sound engineer, with audio support from Kyle Seglin and Charlotte Landis. Matt de Groot is our head of production. Naomi Sengel is our executive assistant. Thanks to our digital team, Elijah Cohn, Hayley Jones, Ben Hefcoat, Mia Kelman, Kiril Pelaviev, David Toles, and Ryan Young, our production staff is proudly unionized with the Writers Guild of America East.
In this jam-packed episode, the hosts dissect a week of international chaos, Republican infighting, and political drama under the Trump administration. The episode delves deep into Trump’s erratic approach to the Iran crisis, growing MAGA backlash, domestic political fallout, and the Democratic Party’s internal debates. The hosts are joined by Rahm Emanuel for a lively discussion about Iran policy, D.C. dysfunction, generational politics, and his rumored 2028 presidential ambitions.
Key Segment: [03:10–11:33]
Notable Moment: Reports detail Trump’s “genocidal post” tanking negotiations until outside actors (Pakistan, China) patched them up for the US exit ramp.
Key Segment: [36:10–42:45]
High-profile MAGA personalities like Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens, and Alex Jones have turned against Trump over his Iran saber-rattling. They demand action, some invoking the 25th Amendment.
Trump’s furious, insult-laden response is read live on air—a classic Trumpian screed belittling his critics:
Hosts observe that for the first time, fractures in the MAGA coalition and right-wing media ecosystem are meaningful and potentially destabilizing for Trump’s future.
Key Segment: [55:05–58:16]
Notable Quote:
“These are all small sample sizes, but the margins... are better than the average Democratic over performance both in 2025 and earlier in 2026.” — Dan Pfeiffer (56:48)
Key Segment: [28:24–36:31]
Interplay:
Key Segment: [48:10–52:28]
Key Segment: [59:26–68:35]
Key Segment: [70:38–74:26]
[77:20–83:18]
[83:36–84:50]
[104:27–108:00]
[109:02–113:44]
This episode is a dense, incisive, and darkly humorous look at an administration in crisis—where Trump’s volatility costs the US at home and abroad, his base begins to splinter, and the political battlefield shifts under everyone’s feet. The hosts and Rahm Emanuel underscore: the stakes, the absurdity, and the urgent need for Democrats to seize the moment, reform government, and offer a credible alternative as 2026 and 2028 loom.