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Jessica Tarlov sits down with data-driven political analyst Galen Druke, host of the GD Politics podcast, to break down what the numbers are actually saying — and what everyone else is getting wrong.

On Tax Day, Republicans are still trying to sell last year’s tax cuts from the One Big Beautiful Bill as a political win. Federal refunds are slightly higher — but well below expectations — and many voters either don’t know about the cuts or simply aren’t feeling the benefit. So is the message falling flat, or just getting drowned out by bigger forces?

Because right now, the economy is being reshaped by the war in Iran. Oil prices have surged, gas is climbing, and new warnings suggest global growth could take a hit. Is that what voters actually care about heading into the midterms?

They also dig into Trump’s approval rating, hovering around 40 percent. On its face, that looks weak — but is it actually just “normal bad” in today’s political environment? And how much do approval ratings really matter anymore?

Plus: are real cracks forming inside MAGA over the Iran war? Are Democrats building genuine momentum — or getting ahead of themselves? What do voters actually want, and why does it feel like neither party is delivering?