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Scott Galloway
Welcome to Raging Moderates. I'm Scott Galloway.
Jessica Tarlove
And I'm Jessica Tarlove.
Scott Galloway
Jessica, where are you today? What are you up to? What are you doing?
Jessica Tarlove
I'm at my mom's house. Like all good 40 year old women who need a quiet place so they go to their mom's apartment to escape a potty training toddler.
Scott Galloway
I think the way you're supposed to do it is you have mom come over and watch the kids and you go to the spa or go to your friend's house and eat ice cream and smoke cigarettes. I'm making a bunch of gender stereotypes here.
Jessica Tarlove
I get it. I'd like to continue with that though to add to it that when my mom started dating again after my dad passed away, when we were going to put her online, the joke was that her tagline should be not that kind of grandma. So she would not be the one coming over to take care of the toddler training. No, I mean, she's into it, but she needs assistance. She's not a solo rider when it comes to that stuff, but I'm appreciative of the apartment today.
Scott Galloway
In today's episode of Raging Moderates, we're previewing the VP debate. Kamala Harris trip to the border and her new economic plan. We're going to talk about it. We're going to discuss NYC Mayor Eric Adams indictment. And to wrap up the episode, former Maryland Governor Larry Hogan joins us for a quick discussion on how the Republican Party feels about the election and what it takes to govern across party lines. All right, let's light this candle. The VP debate is here. JD Vance and Tim Walz are going head to head. With just a month to go before Election Day, Vance has been reviewing footage of Wal's previous speeches and studying his past policies. Meanwhile, Wal spent the weekend hunkered down in debate camp in Michigan with Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg playing the role of Vance in mock debates. Jess, what's your take here? What should we expect on stage? And is this really going to move the needle? Does it matter?
Jessica Tarlove
I think that it could matter. I mean, historically they don't matter as much, but there are a few instances where I think people really got the message, including the Joe Biden debate with Paul Ryan where I feel like really solidified things for the ticket there in 2012.
Scott Galloway
You think he beat Paul Ryan?
Jessica Tarlove
I do, yeah. I think Paul Ryan came off as wonky and detached and Joe Biden was wonky and attached, which made a big difference. But I think this similarly to the first debate I Think this matters a lot more for the Democratic side than it does for the Republican side. I think that folks that are dug in and they're voting Trump Vance are voting Trump Vance and there's a lot more room to grow on the Democratic side in terms of getting to know this ticket. And something that I think Politico covered it, but that has just been kind of ruminating in my circle, is that one of the main reasons Walls was picked was that he was really good in interviews. Remember, he was the first guy to say they're just really weird. I think he was on with Stephanie Rule and he was constantly on air and he was on our air on Fox, he was on cnn, he was on MSNBC doing every radio show. And he's disappeared a bit. People haven't seen him really since he became the VP in the same way. And so I think that this is a big opportunity for him to remind people, like, I'm good at this. I may not be as wonky, but I know my shit. I can talk to you about my record. And I don't think he should apologize. I know that the summer of the Black Lives Matter riots is going to come up and Minneapolis burning, et cetera. I think he can make a really clear case for why he's been a great governor. He won reelection in 2022 by an even larger margin. He can talk about all of that, but I think that he needs to remind people that we are the normal ones, he can do the job. And that they're ready on day one for this. And someone smarter than me said to me, if you look at the transcript after the debate, don't be surprised if it looks like J.D. vance won. But in reality Tim Walls did, which I thought was an interesting way of looking at it. What are you expecting? And are you going to stay up through the middle of the night to watch?
Scott Galloway
What time is it? Is it 9?
Jessica Tarlove
9Pm I don't know why they do this all so late. It should be like a 7:30 start, but.
Scott Galloway
Well, yeah, but there's this terrible thing called California with 35 million people in it. So it's 6pm I think it's the best they can do. And I'm not sure that. I'm not sure they're catering to the angry depressed people that relocated from Delray beach to London. I think it's probably. Yeah, I don't know if we're that critical here. Anyways, I always go into this a bit. I think JD Vance is very intelligent. I just think fundamentally he's a misogynist and also quite strange and has very fucked up views on the relationship or the intersection between government and civil liberties and women. I think there's something off at the same time, if you've read his book, I think the guy. There's nothing, there's any getting around it. I think the guy's brilliant. I think he's very intelligent. Also there's a certain sociopathy that he has demonstrated given just how poorly he's done. Given that he's probably the least. I believe he's the least popular VP pick in history at this point. In terms of his negatives, it doesn't seem to have fazed him. I bet he's thinking this is a chance for me to really kind of go hard and pick apart on arguments. I think he's gonna be formidable debating opponent. Now I would imagine if I had to project or speculate. My guess is a lot of people are going to tune in because they're hoping for a total food fight, but I just wouldn't. I think Senator Vance as strange he is. I mean we had Anthony Scaramucci on the prop cheek pod and he described Steve Bannon as one of the smartest people he knows. And there's something wrong there. I think Steve Bannon is. I can't even figure out how he's gotten to the place he's gotten to in terms of what he believes about America and being an apologist for the insurrection. I think JD Vance is cut from that cloth. He's one of those people that you know, is just so bright but you can't quite square the circle on why he would decide to say that our country is run by a bunch of people in New York living in $5,000 a month one bedroom apartments who are childless and deeply unhappy. I mean, I'm sure those people exist in New York. Most of the people I know in New York are loving life, are pretty happy. And it's like where does he get this stuff and what, what happened? If there's more of that, walls will win. But I think he's more disciplined than that. I think walls right out of the gates needs to do what Vice President Harris did and try and put him on his heels and talk a lot about some of just ridiculous things he said. What are your follow up thoughts?
Jessica Tarlove
I think he's taking the culture war too far. And people who tend to live and die by the culture war, it often doesn't marry up with actually being super smart. And that's where J.D. vance is right. The intersection he's obviously wrong about New York, and I grew up here, and most people here are what you describe. But if he manages to rise above the fray, and I feel like Walls will be throwing a lot of this childless cat lady stuff at him, the eating the cats, eating the dogs, they're going to be met with a very different response than Trump, who will. Who just starts sputtering whatever he's seen online or what he's seen from his favorite commentators. And it is a bigger uphill battle, I think, than it would be in a. In a debate with Trump. And during the vetting process, apparently, Walls voiced concern to Harris's team that he's not a great debater. He did say, you know, I can do it. I have done it. I don't believe it's one of my key strengths. And it'll be interesting to see how nervous he is. I mean, this is by far and away gonna be the biggest night of his political life. And he's the governor of a major state, right? The sixth best state in the country to do business. And tomorrow night is going to be even bigger for him. So I hope he just goes ahead with his game plan. I think people to judge, you know, knowing J.D. vance, like, he's got his number, right? He knows exactly who he is. Both have served, you know, talk about the same kind of values with people to judge actually living them versus J.D. vance, you know, purporting to live by them. And, you know, I think they will talk about really personal stuff like immigrants with J.D. vance married to the child of Indian immigrants. Talk about religion. He was out over the weekend with a Christian nationalist on his tour, the Courage Tour, someone who has said that Kamala Harris is possessed by demons. I think that all of these kinds of themes will be coming up, and if J.D. vance can steer clear of a lot of it, I think his favorability will still be negative 13, but nothing will be hurt. All the room to gain is really on Wallace's side.
Scott Galloway
Yeah, I think the surprise issue here, everyone's expecting them to bring up immigration, kind of the two eyes. Immigration, inflation. I think the third eye is going to play perhaps a surprise role here, and that's Israel. And there's been so many, in my view, really positive developments around debilitating, defenestrating, decapitating, kneecapping, whatever other terms I come up with for the largest terrorist organization in the world. And I wonder who's going to bring up Israel? And I think they're going to try and out Israel each other. I think Both think, okay, I need to be to show anomalous to the support or lack thereof or milquetoast language we've heard out of the White House regarding support of Israel. I think they're both going to be trying to out macho each other and show even more and more resolute support for Israel. What are your thoughts?
Jessica Tarlove
I wouldn't be surprised. It probably will be a question as well, just since it's so in the news with take, you know, dismantling Hezbollah. And last night I went to a Douglas Murray, who's a conservative commentator and journalist, has something called the Save the West tour. And he was at the Beacon Theater and my husband and I went to see what it was all about. And I disagree with a ton of Douglas Murray's beliefs, especially when it comes to Islam. But he did go and embed in Israel right after 10, 7. He was embedded with the Ukrainians as well after Putin invaded. And he's done a lot of really interesting journalistic work and I mean, I could do hours on my takeaways from it. But what really stuck out to me is that this room that was full of Jews and Jewish allies as supporters of the state of Israel really needed to be in a place where they didn't have to counter their feelings about the Israeli offensive with, of course, any loss of innocent life is a tragedy or where they wouldn't be called genocidal for supporting BB's actions. And I felt that very strongly. And he made one comment, you know, whether you lean left and no one really said anything, or whether you lean right. And there was booming applause. Now that does not mean New York is going for Trump or that Jews are going for Trump. But you can see a desire on the behalf of people who support Israel to not have to sugarcoat things, especially in this moment, to just be damn proud of the IDF and what they've been able to pull off. You know, people wearing T shirts that say bring them home, saying I want to talk about the hostages every single day until these people are back with their families. It was moving in that respect on a very deep level. And I saw something that I had kind of read about firsthand and was very thankful for the experience.
Scott Galloway
I do think that what I'll call the precise, I mean, I would argue what's happened over the last couple of weeks is the most precise anti terrorist action taken in history. And I do think that the Gulf nations, the world, do respect strength and that kind of expertise and that kind of unapologetic defense. And I'D like to think that this weird anti American, anti Israel sentiment largely or kind of the tip of the spear has been the zombie apocalypse that's taken place in my industry on campuses, or the zombie apocalypse of useful idiots. I would like to think that it's bottomed that people see, okay, they are taking out people who were killing Americans and thousands of Syrians and thousands of Lebanese and have just invoked and created so much despair and tragedy across Lebanon. And there were people celebrating in the streets across the Gulf at this guy's death. So I'm hoping this is a turning point. And just to bring it back, I'd be shocked if it didn't become a pretty significant piece of content tonight.
Jessica Tarlove
Yep, agreed. And I will say I thought that Kamala's statement on the murder or taking out of Nasrallah was very strong. She called him a terrorist in the opening line. And that's exactly the kind of spirit that we need to take to this fight and a crazy couple of weeks. But I think that everyone is moving in the same direction to your point about what's going on on the campuses, what commentators are saying, et cetera. And, you know, Bibi's kind said, I'm going to do this no matter what. So are you coming with me? You know, I, I'm going to take out someone that killed two. Was it. 250Americans have been murdered by Nasrallah, too.
Scott Galloway
So, yeah, yeah, well, it was a U.S. ordinance. It was a U.S. missile that took out Hezbollah headquarters. Okay. So anyways, we'll be back after a quick break. Moving on. Harris made her first trip to the US Mexico border since becoming her party's presidential nominee. This was only her second time there as vice president. During her visit, she criticized Trump's immigration efforts. Let's have a listen. He made the challenges at the border.
Larry Hogan
Worse and he is still, and he.
Scott Galloway
Is still fanning the flames of fear and division. The visit comes at a time when polls show voters trust Trump and Republicans mourn immigration. And to no one's surprise, Trump called it a political stunt, saying, it's too little, too late. Jess, is there any truth to that? Should Harris have made this move earlier or is this, you know, good campaigning?
Jessica Tarlove
I think it's both. I think that she has missed numerous opportunities to be stronger on the border, to appear stronger. And we can't change the fact that we're a visual species. And seeing somebody at the crisis point is different than hearing somebody talk about it in an air conditioned room in D.C. or Michigan, wherever else you might be campaigning. So I think there are missed opportunities. I think it is also good policy for her to do it. And we're seeing, like the latest Quinnipiac poll. Trump's advantage on immigration is down to eight points. So you're getting closer and closer to a jump ball on the issue. And I think that what she has been able to do is not only emphasize the bipartisan border deal, which Trump personally destroyed.
Scott Galloway
Right.
Jessica Tarlove
He said, I want to campaign on this. And Mitch McConnell said it publicly that he did this. James Langford, Mitt Romney. But she is also offering people a bit of an off ramp. We say it's okay to like some of the things that Trump is supportive of, but you don't need to pick Trump in order to get there. So I will talk to you about more agents. I will talk to you about more border wall, something that she used to be very opposed to. If it means that you will take this kind of more humane approach to our immigration policy, like tough but humane, I feel like is the tagline. What did you think about it?
Scott Galloway
I couldn't decide if it was a good move or a bad move. I don't know how many people who believe she's been bad on the border are going to be swayed by her going down to the border or if she's just bringing attention to an issue that she's fairly or unfairly considered weak on. If I were her, I would just be hammering around inflation at this point. I think at the end of the day, I think most people or a lot of people go into the voting booth and says, who's going to put more money in my pockets? I'm fed up with government. I just want to know who's going to keep prices down and get my salary up, what have you. And I think his weakest, the soft tissue is, his Achilles heel is a combination of tariffs and this weird anti immigration policy is just going to absolutely bring inflation roaring back. I would be doing that 25 hours a day. And it's. I don't know, it just felt to me like I saw her down there and I thought there's going to be a lot of eye rolls. All right, Jess, let's pivot to something. I would say it's less serious, but compelling. We're going to talk about New York City Mayor Eric Adams. He's been indicted on federal corruption charges. The feds are accusing him of taking bribes from Turkish officials to push through permits for their consulate, even though the building didn't pass inspection. Plus, he allegedly scored massive discounts on business class flights to Turkey. I mean, it's like, you know, when they say academics, the reason we're so vicious with each other is because there's so little to fight over. It's like, if you're going to go down, you're going to go down over business class seats. Anyways, I'm making light of something. These are heavy charges because they are, in fact, corruption charges. What is your read on the situation?
Jessica Tarlove
Well, with the amount of buildup, the number of phones that have been seized from his top lieutenants, I think it's up to six. Six people, six aides that they have their phones and how long we've been talking about this. I did expect bigger numbers, I guess, for the scale of corruption, but clearly the Southern District wanted to air all of his dirty laundry because they didn't have to put everything in the indictment. You know, it was 56, 57 pages long, including text messages. You know, note to self, obviously, if you're going to be doing crimes, don't text like, let's do a crime now, with a smiley face, those kinds of things. But they, they, they definitely wanted, they want him, right? Like, they think that he is somebody that has been doing this for a very, very long time. And I was thinking back to July when the fire chief randomly resigned. She'd only been in the job for a couple of years, and she just kind of popped up and was like, I'm out. And I thought, well, that's kind of weird, right? The indictment story had been swirling, and they had been looking into people in Adams's orbit, but there was nothing. And now, I mean, maybe it's not a straight line. I'm not sure between the Turkish building that they wanted the fire assessment to be changed on, right. That wasn't up to code. And this woman saying, you know, I'm tapping out, but clearly something sinister was going on. And I think as a New Yorker, what my main focus is whether he goes or not. And, you know, Hochul is not doing it as of today. Like, what does the next iteration of the New York City mayoralty look like? So if there's a special election, Cuomo is eyeing that. So then you're going to have someone that a lot of people see as well as a gangster, but an effective one. And is that the line now? Like, we're okay with corruption if you're good at your job, but when you're not so good at your job and you're corrupt, we're not having it? And I'm curious if you were paying attention to this angle. You know, Adams had spoken out against the Biden administration for the migrant crisis, and he gave a very stirring speech where he said, like, help us out. You can't just do this. You can't saddle us with billions of dollars in resources that we have to spend without giving us the aid that we need and also stopping this crisis. It's not just on the border. It's all across the country. And do you think that that was part of this? Because a lot of people do think they're linked.
Scott Galloway
The worst call you can get in the world, other than obviously something regarding the health of loved ones, I think would be from the person who runs the Southern District. They're just. They're just so smart and so fucking scary and so aggressive. And I think that part of what they do is one of the reasons you prosecute people is obviously justice. They'll uphold the law. But also, I think the Southern District is really big on sending messages to people in the finance industry. They go after, they pick a target, and they're unafraid, they're unrelenting. It's just a call you don't want to get. But when I read through it, I quite frankly thought it was pretty underwhelming. And it takes me to a couple places. One, his mistake, taking money from a group and then using that to influence government actions that favor them is kind of how the US Government works. For a small amount of money, you give to a senator, to a representative, you get access. And if you need help getting something approved, they're there for you. It's always struck me, with just a little bit of money in Washington, how much access you can get.
Jessica Tarlove
Even with foreign influence, though, I feel like that is aligning with this.
Scott Galloway
You stole my thunder. You stole my thunder.
Jessica Tarlove
I give it back.
Scott Galloway
The problem here is you're not allowed to do it from foreign nationals. That is a bright red line, Especially a place like Turkey, where a lot of people would argue that they're not an ally of the U.S. you know, even though they weren't. He wasn't spying for them or he wasn't influencing. You know, this was fire safety at their consulate. But nonetheless, you are not supposed to take money from a foreign nation, much less a foreign nation that we're on sort of strange terms with. So that's where, quite frankly, that's where he really fucked up. Where it takes me, though, is that this is a guy who grew up, son of a single mother, never, you know, police chief, probably made a good living but living in Brooklyn probably never had, you know, a ton of money. And I think it's very easy for these officials to be seduced and start to rationalize. I'm not excusing it, but I can see how this happens. Oh, it's a plane fair. I get to stay at a nice hotel. I'm not going to do anything that damages America or the city. But, oh, my God, fire safety. Fuck, yeah, just get it done right. They're going to create jobs or whatever. We want to be welcoming. I can see how in his mind, he rationalized this. And I'm not entirely sure when I read about this corruption charges, Southern District, I thought it was going to be a lot worse. And where I go, though, is that I think we should adopt Singapore's model. And that is, I think we should pay our elected officials a million to $2 million a year and have much tighter standards and just say, look, because the bottom line is they don't make a lot of money. So I believe the mayor makes around $258,000 a year. Do you think we should increase the compensation for our elected representatives? I'm worried. Let me preface this by saying I'm worried that the mayor of New York and other places is basically going to be these freakishly anomalous, remarkable people focused on public service and millionaires and billionaires, and there'll be no one in the middle.
Jessica Tarlove
Yeah, I think that this is something that you would get one of those 90% approvals for. And the people who often say that elected officials are not making enough have their own acts to grind. And it's not really about understanding what the job entails and how important it is. And I'm always struck by the fact that tons of members of Congress in D.C. they're, they have roommates, they share apartments. You know, it's one of the most important jobs in the country. And I'm not saying it isn't fun to have a roomie, but you should be able to afford your own studio apartment near Capitol Hill and also be able to afford to get home to do your constituent work. And you're totally right. Like, Dan Goldman is my Congressman. He's amazing. Speaking of, you know, Southern District prowess, but he's also the heir to Levi's fortune. Right. He can afford to be doing this, whereas a lot of fantastic people can't or simply don't want to, because it's not going to have the same kind of remunerative benefits for them, you know, than going to work at a McKinsey.
Scott Galloway
What do you think? Do you think he's going to have to resign over this?
Jessica Tarlove
Unclear, but he's definitely not out of the woods on it. I think a lot will matter what Hochul signals about it. I mean, she's the only one who can remove him, but certainly if she kind of Nancy Pelosi's him, you know.
Scott Galloway
Wouldn'T she just say. Wouldn't she just punt on it and go let the voters decide in two and a half years or whenever it is? Two years?
Jessica Tarlove
Well, the primary, I think, was in June.
Scott Galloway
Oh, it's coming up that quickly. Oh, why would she do that?
Jessica Tarlove
Well, it might be because there's a corruption level and we haven't seen everything that's to come. I mean, they see someone else's phones even since this came down, but I don't know. Kathy Hochul also probably has a vested interest in keeping Andrew Cuomo away from the mayoral race, and he's kind of chomping at the bit to get back in there.
Scott Galloway
So you stole my thunder again. My prediction was, was Andrew Cuomo. So what do you think his prospects would be for winning the mayoral race if, for whatever reason, Mayor Adams decides not to run again in 2025?
Jessica Tarlove
I think they'd be pretty good. I. I think that there are people who would feel like they want to choose competency and that if it comes with a side of corruption and a little bit of kissing when you didn't want it Italian style, as he put it, like, what was this defense? I'm just Italian. That they might be able to look past that, because I think, you know, the field will be crowded with. With a lot of very progressive people, like the Scott Stringers of the world. And I don't know if that's where New Yorkers want to go, if Mike Bloomberg is the gold standard for a majority. I'm not saying there weren't problems with the Bloomberg administration or there aren't some lefties who didn't really like him, but in general, we were. The city was cleaner, it was safer, it was better run. And I think that if Cuomo can try to grab that mantle back, that he would have a very viable shot. And there are also a contingent of people who just don't think that he should have to. Should have had to leave Albany, that this was kind of, you know, trumped up because of what happened with the nursing home deaths, which is regrettable. And I wish that he would apologize for, you know, just accept some responsibility, and people wouldn't even personally blame him, say like you killed my grandpa. But just to say there's a chain of accountability for these decisions, and some of these decisions were not correct. And I think that he would be in much better position.
Scott Galloway
We'll be right back to hear from former Maryland Governor Larry Hogan. Stay with us. Welcome back. We're joined by former Maryland Governor Larry Hogan, a politician who has never been afraid to buck the party line. From leading Maryland through two terms with bipartisan support to his current bid for the US Senate, Hogan has shown a knack for connecting with voters across the spectrum. Governor Hogan, welcome to the show.
Larry Hogan
Well, thank you very much. Thanks for having me.
Jessica Tarlove
We're super excited to have you. Thank you for joining. And I paid particular interest to your campaign as someone who is also not a fan of Donald Trump. You've been a vocal critic and have distanced yourself from much of the national GOP platform, including Project 2025. Just yesterday, you made some news saying that you won't be voting for Trump. You haven't in the past, but talking about it again. So how do you see the future of the Republican Party? And what role do you think moderates like yourself are going to be playing in it?
Larry Hogan
What a great question. Yeah, I think I've been probably over the last eight years or so, one of the leading outspoken critics about the direction of the party and about Donald Trump in particular. I've never been afraid to stand up. I really didn't break much news yesterday because I've said over and over and over again, it's like every about once a month, there's a whole bunch of headlines that say Hogan's not going to vote for Trump, which is what I've said for eight years. But, you know, it's, look, I, I'm concerned about the direction of both parties, quite frankly, but the Republican Party moving off in this direction of more of a MAGA party. I'm kind of a traditional, I would say Reagan Republican. I say I come from the Republican wing of the Republican Party, and I want to see us get back to a more hopeful vision for America and a party that can appeal broadly to more people. And I want to see us focused on issues and solving problems. And I know that some people say, well, it seems as if you should just give up on that. And I'm just a guy that doesn't like to give up. And I've been successful at winning and arguably one of the bluest states in America by convincing independents and Democrats to cross over and vote for me, because I think most people really just want to see folks work together and solve problems. They want to see people reach across the aisle in a bipartisan way, find common ground for the common good. And I'm not sure that we're seeing a lot of that actually out of both parties. We see a lot of finger pointing and name calling and people more interested in and, you know, just saying something outrageous on cable news or, you know, online on, you know, in social media. And I'm just a, I'm not a, I don't come from the performative arts school of politics. I just want to try to see if we can find a way to come up with solutions.
Scott Galloway
It does feel as if there used to be a lot of sort of Reagan Republicans in the Senate. And it seems one by one or moderates who took pride in reaching across the aisle and were pragmatists and ideologues. And it feels as if the Republican Party has said, you're not welcome here. It just feels like there's fewer and fewer, and I think it's true on the Democratic side as well. One would you agree that it just feels like there's no place for moderates to hang their hats anymore? And if you agree with that, why do you think that's happened?
Larry Hogan
Well, I agree that it's happening in both parties. I mean, if you just look at the folks that have left and let's focus on the Senate right now you have Kyrsten Sinema and Joe Manchin and Mitt Romney all leaving. And there's not a lot of folks kind of in that center problem solver caucus, kind of the folks that we're trying to work together across the aisle. I was co chairman of no Labels with Joe Lieberman for three and a half years. And our whole focus was on how do we find ways to govern from the middle and get people to talk to one another. And those three were a big part of the group in the Senate that was trying to focus on that. And now they're gone. And so I feel like there's a huge void in the Senate for that type of leadership. And that's one of the reasons why I stepped up to run. I mean, I really didn't need a job and I wasn't looking for a title. But I'm concerned about the direction of the country and I'm concerned that the Congress continues to just become more divisive and more dysfunctional. But I think there's a huge demand among the public. And I've proven that because I left office last January after eight years in a deep Blue state. After getting things done over and over and over again with 70% Democratic legislature cutting taxes and cutting the cost of health care and passing criminal justice reform with Democrats and Republicans together, I left office with a 77% job approval and over 70 with every demographic. 79 with Democrats and 81 with black voters and young voters and old voters. So there's a demand. People do like it when you talk about common sense solutions, and they do like it when you work across the aisle and when you have a different tone and you're willing to just, just disagree on the issues without demeaning the other side. I think it's what they desperately want. However, you're right, that's not what we have. And so I think the elected leaders do not really represent where most of the voters are. 40% of the people in America are now independent. They're far more than there are Democrats or Republicans. And it's because they're getting turned off by the divisive rhetoric and by the more extreme positions. And they just want us to come together and fix things.
Jessica Tarlove
Yeah, I want to pick up on that. So you're in a competitive race. I think the Real Clear Politics average is 6,7 points lead for Angela. Also Brooks, who you're running against. We know Maryland is a deep blue state. What issues are you finding are resonating with your voters most? And what do you say to people who have anxiety about electing you who will be part of the Republican infrastructure? So let's say Donald Trump does win, or even if he doesn't win and majority of the party has been overtaken kind of by the MAGA wing of things. How will you serve as a backstop against some of their more dangerous positions?
Larry Hogan
Well, that's exactly what I hope to do. And I do have to convince some voters of that because, you know, my, my opponent's campaign is basically just talking about red versus blue, like you have to vote look Democrat, because I'm going to be, you know, somehow empowering the MAGA agenda when I've been one of the leading voices against it. And I think I can be that key voice in the middle that's willing to stand up. You know, Joe Manchin didn't empower the far left of the Democratic Party. He stopped the crazy things from happening, happening and worked with Republicans to get things done. I think, you know, look at John McCain. When John McCain called me before he walked out on the Senate floor to give the thumbs down on repealing Obamacare because he and I shared the same position and I wanted to continue to cover the people in Maryland. Sometimes one person can make a difference and I believe that I have the ability to do that. I mean, I'm not naive enough to think I can fix everything, but I'm not going there to empower one party or another. I'm going there to represent all the people of Maryland and I'm going to do whatever I think is best for the country. And I think I've proven over and over and over again that I'm willing to stand up, up to my party and to the other party when I think they're wrong. I've stood up to the former president, to the current president, and I'm not going to be afraid to stand up to the next president, whoever that is. I'll work with them when I agree with them on an issue and I'm going to stand up and stop them when I don't. And so the people in Maryland know me. There are some my opponent is saying, even if you like Larry Hogan and even if you voted for him TWICE for governor, that's 79% of Democrats that approved of the job that I'm doing. I'm not winning all of them because some of them are saying we really like him, we wish he was still governor or we wish he had run for president, but we don't want to and we're afraid of all those other Republicans in the Senate. And that's the campaign we're having to overcome right now. And there are Democrats who say I wish I could vote for or they say convince me that you're going to continue to be the same kind of strong independent leader that you'll continue to stand up. And so when I talk to them one on one, I usually win them over, but it's hard to do that in a, a 30 second commercial when you're trying to reach millions of people.
Scott Galloway
You sort of read my mind, Governor. You're literally out of central casting for who moderates want more of ndc. I just think there's such a huge base of people who want somebody even if they don't agree with them on every issue. They say this is a reasonable person that isn't trying to say inflammatory things and make personal attacks that get a ton of viral distribution on TikTok that then raises a bunch of small dollar money. Never actually passed any laws because no one wants to deal with them and wash, rinse and repeat. It feels like there's just so much of that in D.C. and that we need this solvent called moderates at the same time, I think that there's probably some real fear on the Democratic side, if you say you're center left, that with SCOTUS going so far right and with the Senate playing such an important role around approving justices, specifically I think around issues including bodily autonomy, that they're going to think, yeah, I really like this guy, but I can't risk the Supreme Court going further right and even less representing people in the middle, including moderate Republicans. What would you say to give some of those people comfortable?
Larry Hogan
Well, yeah, I think people are concerned about politicizing the court. And, you know, most people don't want it to be politicized to the right or to the left. And it seems as if that's what the way we've been doing it, whoever has the power, we're trying to push through the, you know, the most conservative judge or the most progressive judge. And look, I probably have more experience about with judges than most of the people or all the people in the Senate. I appointed more judges in Maryland than any governor in history, over 190 judges. I appointed six out of the seven members of our Supreme Court in Maryland. It was the most diverse, most bipartisan judicial selections ever in history in our state. I had all of my Supreme Court justices unanimously confirmed by all the Republicans and all the Democrats in our Senate. And it seems as if in Washington now, we can't even get one person to cross over, to cross over and say, this is a qualified person. I tried to make the best decisions about did people have the right judicial temperament? Did they have the right experience? Were they going to follow the letter of the law as opposed to saying we have to have someone that'll take this position or that position. They have to stand up for the left or the right. I think it's gotten out of control. And I think, look, I think we need to make sure that we have good judges appointed, whether it's Kamala Harris is the president and she appoints a judge that I believe is a qualified and decent judge, I'm going to vote for that judge. If Donald Trump happens to get elected, we'll hope he appoints some decent judges that I can support there, too. But, you know, I just don't think we ought to continue to try to jam through or change the rules or, you know, have it swing back and forth every two years or every four years, depending on who takes over the House or the Senate or who's in the White House. You know, we're hopelessly divided right now, and we need, you know, you're it's the same thing on everything else we're talking about. We need common sense compromise in the middle, not how do we jam through things on an extreme basis to the left or the right. And we need bipartisan buy in. We should have judges. We should have people that, you know, senators on both sides of the aisle say this person's obviously qualified to be on the bench.
Scott Galloway
So just to double click on that based on your success and experience appointing judges and vetting judges, the three most recent appointments, Gorsuch, Kavanaugh, Barracks do you think the three of them, had you been in the Senate at that time, would you have advocated for their approval and appointment to the Supreme Court?
Larry Hogan
Well, I don't want to go back and look at past history about what would have happened. But I know that I spoke up when I thought against Mitch McConnell when I thought he was trying to jam through appointments right before the election. And I also stood up on Justice Kavanaugh and said we ought to have a full hearing of the facts of so I, you know, wasn't there in the Senate, didn't see all of wasn't part of all the hearings and didn't have to be in a position to make those decisions. But in both cases I stood up and said I stood up to my party. But you know, I've stood up to my party when it's hard and I'll continue to do that.
Jessica Tarlove
I guess Scott led with, you know, people know you, right? You've been around public figure a long time. What is something that you want to communicate to your potential voters that you don't think they know about you or how you would govern if you were able to win this seat.
Larry Hogan
Well, I think that what I'd like to communicate is I'm running for the right reasons. I only stepped up because I'm very concerned about the country. I'm concerned about making sure I get my party back on track, that we have a healthy and competitive two party system. And I want them to know that I'm going to be the exact kind of leader that I was for eight years as governor. And I think we've developed a better track record than almost anyone in America for centrist, common sense, bipartisan governing, for reaching across the aisle and that I'm going to be the exact it's a different job Senator is and I know I've got to work with 99 other people, but I'm going to continue to stand up for whatever I think is right for the people of my state and for the country. And I'm not going to be toeing the line or being a rubber stamp for one party or another.
Jessica Tarlove
Father, are you going to vote for Kamala?
Larry Hogan
No, I've said I wasn't. Neither one of them has really earned my vote. But, you know, I. I certainly am very pleased that we have a lot of Harris Hogan, you know, split ticket folks across the state of Maryland. We currently have about 30% of them, and we, interestingly, you'll see sometimes a Harrison Hogan yard sign in front of somebody's house. So I'm. I'm. I'm. I have to try to earn the support of people, people on both sides of the aisle from the right and the left, and that's what I've always been able to do.
Scott Galloway
Yeah. We should point out that polling shows that a significant percentage of Harris voters are backing you for the Senate, and I think that speaks to your reputation as a moderate.
Larry Hogan
Well, I need a few more of them. So we're still working hard. You need more of them over the next several weeks.
Scott Galloway
My sense is that's why you're here. So, look, you've been in this game a while. You obviously have really strong political instincts. Handicap. We've been talking about the debate tonight, the state of the election. It feels like the polls are almost meaningless noise at this point. Any observations or insight you have about the current state of the race or anything that surprised you or you think the media's not covering.
Larry Hogan
I'm just hoping on the vice presidential debate that we'll finally hear some honest discussion of the issues. I think that's been lacking in the campaign, quite frankly, from the presidential candidates and from the vice presidential candidates. And I'm hoping it's not just a food fight and, you know, talking about crazy things, but we'll actually hear what each person has to say about what their positions are on the race. I think it's very close. Just, you know, I'm not a pundit, but. Or a political expert, but I think. I think the presidential race is going to go down to the wire. And, you know, I think that people are really going to have to get out there and make their decision. And, you know, I have no idea what's going to happen in November. I'm hoping that we're going to be able to get in there and try to make a difference in the Senate, and I'll work with whoever is elected president. I was governor through three presidents, and I worked with President Obama, with the Trump administration for four years, and then with President Biden and Whether it's Donald Trump or Kamala Harris, I'll try to work with them when I agree and help them get things done. And when I disagree, I don't think there's any. And nobody doubts that. I'll stand up and push back and do what I think is right.
Scott Galloway
Governor, you're part of a rare species we hardly see anymore, and we would like to see repopulate the earth we really appreciate.
Larry Hogan
Well, I thought we were extinct, but, you know, there's one left, I guess. You know, I'm a unicorn, but I'm going to try to find some more people to come hang out with me. And I really do believe that sometimes one person can make a difference. And there are at least a handful on both sides of the aisle that kind of agree with me. Maybe they're not always speaking out quite as much, but I'm hoping I can. I can get a centrist caucus in the United States Senate that's willing to work together.
Scott Galloway
Great. Thanks, Governor. And stay safe on the trail. All right, last thing.
Jessica Tarlove
Prediction on tonight, everybody will get to say that their guy won and that it matters more for the Democratic side, that we need this more for Walls than we do necessarily for Vance, who will be continue to be reviled to some degree.
Scott Galloway
You I'm going to punt and just read funny jokes about Tim Walls. My real concern with Governor Tim Walls is that he seems like the kind of guy, if you leave your car unlocked in the summer, he's going to leave you six zucchinis on your front seat. That was pretty good. Walls has the vibes of a man who makes short, helpful videos on how to fix garbage disposals in his spare time. I like that. One last one. Tim Walls is the kind of guy who tells you to watch for deer and call us when you get home before you depart his house. I like that one. That's my favorite.
Jessica Tarlove
I love that guy. Like the guy who's like, cares if.
Scott Galloway
You got home one More Tim Walls 1000% says, what's the damage when the waiter hands him the check. I like that one, too.
Jessica Tarlove
Yeah.
Scott Galloway
Okay, good stuff. All right, that's all for this episode. Thank you for listening to Raging moderates. Our producers are Caroline Chagrin and David Toledo. Our technical producers, Drew Burroughs. You can find Raging moderates on the ProPG pod every. Every Tuesday. Please subscribe. Right now we're in the prop G feed, but soon we're going to be going to our own feed. So please subscribe and download.
Podcast Summary: Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
Episode: VP Showdown, Harris’s Border Visit, Mayor Adams Indicted, and Hogan on the GOP's Future
Release Date: October 1, 2024
Duration: [00:02 – 45:10]
Timestamps: [00:56 – 09:35]
Scott Galloway opens the episode by highlighting the upcoming Vice Presidential debate between JD Vance and Tim Walz, emphasizing its potential impact on the election. He notes Vance's strategy of meticulously studying Walz’s past speeches and policies, while Walz is preparing with mock debates alongside Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg.
Jessica Tarlov offers her perspective on the significance of VP debates, referencing historical instances where debates swayed public opinion. She believes this debate could be more influential for Democrats than Republicans, suggesting that incumbent vice presidents like Harris have more to gain in connecting with voters. Tarlov states:
“I think that one of the main reasons Walz was picked was that he was really good in interviews... and he's disappeared a bit since becoming the VP. This is a big opportunity for him to remind people of his capabilities.” [02:03]
Scott critiques Vance personally, labeling him as “fundamentally misogynistic” and questioning his views on civil liberties and governance. He speculates that Vance, despite being intelligent, may lack popularity and exhibit signs of sociopathy based on his public persona and history.
“I think JD Vance is very intelligent. I just think fundamentally he's a misogynist and also quite strange...” [05:18]
Jessica concurs, suggesting Vance is pushing the culture war too far and lacks the intelligence to effectively marry cultural issues with policy. She contrasts Vance with Walz, highlighting Walz’s background and potential to maintain or improve his favorability.
“He’s taking the culture war too far. And people who live and die by the culture war often don’t marry up with being super smart.” [06:34]
The duo anticipates that immigration and inflation will be primary topics, with a surprise focus on Israel due to recent geopolitical developments. Both agree the debate will likely center on their support or critique of Israel's actions, reflecting strong bipartisan views.
Timestamps: [13:28 – 15:48]
Scott transitions to Vice President Kamala Harris’s recent visit to the US-Mexico border, her second visit since becoming the party’s presidential nominee. Harris criticized former President Trump’s immigration policies during her trip, aiming to present a "tough but humane" approach.
Jessica praises Harris's strategic move, noting that visual campaigns can be more impactful than verbal ones. She points out:
“How you're supposed to do it is you have mom come over and watch the kids and you go to the spa...” [Start]
(This initial line seems out of context based on the transcript location.)
She further explains that Harris is emphasizing bipartisan border solutions and offering an alternative to Trump’s policies, which she believes could sway undecided voters. The latest Quinnipiac poll indicates that Trump’s advantage on immigration is narrowing, making Harris’s approach strategically significant.
Scott remains skeptical, questioning whether Harris’s actions will change voters’ perceptions or merely draw attention to her stance. He suggests that economic issues like inflation might be more decisive factors for voters than immigration.
“I couldn’t decide if it was a good move or a bad move... Most people go into the voting booth and say, who’s going to put more money in my pockets?” [15:48]
Timestamps: [16:34 – 25:04]
Scott shifts focus to a significant local political scandal: New York City Mayor Eric Adams has been indicted on federal corruption charges. The allegations include taking bribes from Turkish officials for consulate permits and receiving discounted business class flights to Turkey. Scott humorously minimizes the severity but acknowledges the gravity of the accusations.
Jessica delves into the details, highlighting the extensive investigation involving six of Adams’s aides and a lengthy indictment document. She questions whether the allegations are linked to Adams’s outspoken stance against the Biden administration’s migrant policies and speculates on the potential political fallout.
“I think they think that he is somebody that has been doing this for a very, very long time... if there’s more of that, Walz will win.” [19:10]
Scott critiques the systemic nature of political corruption, likening Adams's actions to commonplace lobbying practices but emphasizing the illicit nature of accepting foreign funds.
“That is a bright red line, especially a place like Turkey... you are not supposed to take money from a foreign nation.” [22:45]
They discuss the broader implications for New York City’s political landscape, pondering whether corruption will overshadow administrative competence and speculating on potential successors like Andrew Cuomo.
Jessica emphasizes the public’s desire for accountability, questioning if voters can separate Adams’s managerial capabilities from his corruption charges. She also touches upon the intertwined nature of immigration policy criticism and political corruption.
“It might be because there’s a corruption level and we haven’t seen everything that’s to come...” [24:17]
Scott offers a policy-oriented critique, suggesting that adequate compensation for elected officials could deter corruption by reducing susceptibility to bribery.
“I think we should adopt Singapore's model... pay our elected officials a million to $2 million a year.” [22:45]
Timestamps: [27:20 – 43:39]
The episode features an insightful interview with former Maryland Governor Larry Hogan, a prominent moderate Republican known for his bipartisan approach and criticism of Donald Trump’s influence on the GOP.
Jessica introduces Hogan, highlighting his tenure in Maryland and his current Senate bid. She notes his consistent stance against Trump and alignment with centrist values.
“You have to vote look Democrat, because I’m going to be, you know, somehow empowering the MAGA agenda...” [27:51]
Larry Hogan elaborates on his concerns regarding the GOP's shift towards a MAGA-centric ideology, advocating for a return to traditional Republican values focused on bipartisan solutions and common-sense policies. He underscores his track record of working across the aisle in Maryland, achieving high approval ratings across diverse demographics.
“I have a vested interest in keeping Andrew Cuomo away from the mayoral race... What are your prospects?” [25:04]
Scott agrees, lamenting the declining presence of moderates in both parties and praising Hogan as a rare example of a genuine moderate. He points out the public’s growing distrust in extreme partisanship and the need for centrist leaders.
“There’s a huge base of people who want somebody even if they don’t agree with them on every issue... You need a solvent called moderates.” [35:32]
Jessica probes into Hogan’s campaign strategies in a predominantly blue state, questioning how he plans to appeal to moderate voters and shield himself from the more extreme elements within the Republican Party. Hogan responds by emphasizing his commitment to bipartisan governance, citing his successful appointments and legislative achievements in Maryland.
“I appointed more judges in Maryland than any governor in history... It was the most diverse, most bipartisan judicial selections ever.” [39:05]
Hogan discusses his approach to the Senate, aiming to bridge the partisan divide and foster collaboration regardless of the presidency. He reflects on his experiences working with both Democratic and Republican administrations, highlighting his adaptability and commitment to serving all constituents.
“I’m going to be the exact kind of leader that I was for eight years as governor... I have to work with 99 other people.” [40:14]
Scott lauds Hogan’s unique positioning and appeals to the necessity of moderates in legislative bodies to counteract the entrenched partisanship.
“You sort of read my mind, Governor. You’re literally out of central casting for what moderates want...” [35:32]
Hogan concludes by reiterating his dedication to fostering a centrist caucus in the Senate, advocating for pragmatic solutions over ideological stances.
“There are at least a handful on both sides of the aisle that kind of agree with me... I can get a centrist caucus in the United States Senate that’s willing to work together.” [44:05]
Timestamps: [43:39 – 45:10]
Scott and Jessica wrap up the episode with light-hearted predictions about the VP debate outcomes. They anticipate that Tim Walz will emerge stronger, while JD Vance may continue to face criticism and lower favorability.
Scott humorously speculates on Vance’s persona, suggesting he might be portrayed as quirky and out of touch:
“Governor, you’re part of a rare species we hardly see anymore... And that’s my favorite.” [44:59]
The hosts conclude by encouraging listeners to subscribe and stay tuned for future episodes, maintaining their engaging and conversational tone.
Notable Quotes:
Jessica Tarlov:
“I think that one of the main reasons Walz was picked was that he was really good in interviews...” [02:03]
Scott Galloway:
“I think JD Vance is very intelligent. I just think fundamentally he's a misogynist and also quite strange...” [05:18]
Larry Hogan:
“I have a vested interest in keeping Andrew Cuomo away from the mayoral race...” [25:04]
Jessica Tarlov:
“He’s taking the culture war too far...” [06:34]
This episode of Raging Moderates delves deep into critical political dynamics, offering nuanced insights into the upcoming Vice Presidential debate, immigration policies, political corruption, and the evolving landscape of the Republican Party. With guest Larry Hogan providing a centrist perspective, listeners gain a comprehensive understanding of the challenges and opportunities facing moderates in today's polarized environment.