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- [00:00]
Scott Adams
Scott Adams, normally the most exciting experience you'll ever have in your life, unless you were watching television or social media yesterday, and you know what we're going to be talking about today. I don't have to tell you now, normally I would do the simultaneous sip. Now, that you would all expect. But since today, we're going to be talking about things which are tragic, things that are interesting, and even some things that seem funny. But we got to do them in the right order, people. So I'd like to start with showing some respect to the fallen. The one one individual died at the Trump rally, two seriously wounded, may never be the same. Don't know the details yet. And I'd like to just do a sip to them, simultaneous though it may be. So, with one exception. First time ever. I'd like to just take a moment to remember that one person died and two were terribly injured. And let's think about them first. We'll talk about the rest of it after. All right, are you ready for this? You ready for this? I gotta change the tone. I'm gonna change it, right? So we're gonna change on a dime. I've been working on my new Trump impression. Goes like this. Fight. Or I have a modified version of it that goes like this. Ow. Ow. Okay, now you've seen the full range. I don't know about you, but I felt everything you can feel yesterday. I felt tragedy, sadness. When Trump was going to live, I felt happiness, but then I felt creepy because somebody had died. And how can you be happy? And I felt everything at the same time. It's probably the most feelings you can feel in one, one time. So let's sort our way through. It might be a little extra hard today, so going to need maybe a little extra today, if you don't mind. If you know, you know. Well, if you're the last person in the world to hear about it. Trump was at a rally in Pennsylvania. A shooter tried to take him out and put a bullet through ear. The Secret Service protected him from that point on. There are many questions. We'll talk about all them. There are political implications, and in no particular order, let's just talk about it all. Number one, how in the world did Trump manage to keep his wits and get the photo of the history. I was going to say photo of the year, but it's maybe the photo of all politics ever, and it's the most iconic thing you'll ever see in your life. He put his fist in the air, he yelled, fight. And the. The. Apparently the audience was chanting usa and somehow the American flag was perfectly situated in the background. It's basically an Iwo Jima quality photo. I think the only photograph that will be more famous than this one is literally the raising of the flag on Iwo Jima and the fact that Trump had the political instinct to know how important that was. And he fought for it. Like he fought. He fought the Secret Service to say that. And it was right. It was perfect. And there's not much else to say about it. It was perfect. Let's talk about all the bad people. But first, here's a brief list of people who predicted this day. Here are the people who said explicitly the rhetoric from the left is going to inspire this. You got your Mike Cernoviches, your Alex Jones, Tucker Carlson, Steve Bannon, Greg Guffield, Jesse Waters, Jack Posabic, John Nolte, Breitbart, and me. Now, that's a very partial list. Do you know why the list is partial? Because I don't have time to list all the people who saw this coming. We all saw it coming. It was clear as day. And anybody who says, well, I can't imagine that the rhetoric from the left calling one of the people Hitler for seven years could cause somebody to want to kill Hitler. Well, surprise, surprise, surprise. By the way, if I left anybody off that list, it's only because there's. There are another hundred people. I could add the list, right? So I left a lot of people off the list. And many of you, if you had been public figures, would have been saying it in public as well. So it was obvious we won't let that go. Not going to let that go. That's the only story I want to talk about, is how you could see it coming. And we all called it out and it happened just like you thought it would. Here's my narrative. You know, in the end, the law enforcement people, the Secret Service, they're going to have a narrative. They're going to tell you, here's the official story, this lone gunman did this or that something happened. But here's the hypnotist take on it from a perspective of a hypnotist. Back in 2020, I got mocked. I think all of you remember for a posting that in 2020, before the election, I said that if Biden wins, Republicans will be hunted. And then we watched as one Republican after another went to jail. And now this. Now, you can't say that nobody saw it coming because it was obvious in 2020, and you could see it from there, that it was heading in this inexorable, you know, direction. There was nothing to stop it. And the recklessness with which the Democrats use that rhetoric, Indeed, Biden actually ran on the fine people hoax. Now, the reason I spent about seven years trying to debunk the fine people hoax is this. This is the reason. Because that hoax weaponized people's minds. Because if the person running for president says, hey, the other guy's a Nazi and here's the proof, and then he mentions the fine people hoax as the proof, what are you going to do if you're a 20 year old, allegedly, the shooter was 20 years old. Do you think a 20 year old can resist that level of brainwashing? Because it's on every channel except the one he wasn't watching, probably. And it was consistent and it was all Hitler, Hitler, Hitler. What did they think was going to happen? Now, I've said a number of times that Democrats have this consistent problem where they can't see systems. They operate on a goal basis. Get rid of Trump, that's the goal. But they couldn't see the system. The system was that they were creating a situation that guaranteed violence, largely guaranteed it. It was just a matter of time. How could they not see that? And today, will they pretend they couldn't see it? Will they pretend that they're not part of the problem? Will the opinion people on MSNBC come on the air today? I dare them, I dare them. I dare you to come on the air today. Joy Reid, Rachel Maddow, I dare you show your face today. Because I watched yesterday and I noticed the opinion people were kind of missing. They went with the more newsy people on msnbc. That was the right call. We don't want to see their faces today. We don't want to hear from Joy Reed. We don't want to hear from Rachel Maddow. They are part of the problem. I blame them directly by name. I believe they are culpable along with Biden and along with anybody use that kind of rhetoric and meant it. Joy Reed, as you know, just did a big video calling Trump Hitler and she wasn't joking and she wasn't using hyperbole. What are you going to do? As we've been saying forever, if you think somebody's actually going to be hiller? Well, you do what a 20 year old did. It's what 20 year olds are designed to do. They're designed to get violent when it's necessary, unfortunately. And some poor bastard was convinced it was necessary. So the fine people hoax killed people. It Almost took down a president, but it killed somebody in the stands and got two people seriously wounded. So if you don't think that the hoaxes matter. Oh, they matter. Oh, they matter. Of course, the Democrats and the trolls are already trying to spin this thing. I had one troll come to me and say, you're crazy for saying that the Biden rhetoric caused this. It's Trump's rhetoric that caused it. Yes, that actually happened to me today. Somebody said to me on X, are you kidding? It's Trump's rhetoric that caused all of this. Now, I don't think I have to defend that to you. I think, you know that Trump never called anybody Hitler, which would be a call to kill them, basically. So reject that. I saw Bill Maher tried to handle this. He was giving a stand up right after it happened, and he of course had to talk about it. But he said some of the right things about, you know, we're too fired up for violence. But then he went and blamed Project 2025. He actually blamed Republicans for raising the rhetoric in, in that Project 2025 thing. Unbelievable. Now, I don't think, by the way, I don't think that Bill Mars specifically contributed with his rhetoric. I just think that he needs to be a little bit more honest about where the cause was, because this one's a little more obvious than most things. Let's, let's talk about some of the things people have been saying. Do you remember in March when James Carville said, it's time to do the wet work and Anderson Cooper said, you know, that term sort of sounds like a mafia hit term. And Carville laughed. Oh, no, I'm just referring to the, you know, the advertising and. But why would you use that term? I've never heard that term wetwork used in any other context other than killing. So he's one of the notable people in the party and he uses an assassination term in casual language about Trump. That's not normal. Now, I'm not going to say that he was, you know, running a plan to get Trump killed, but I think there's a recklessness that gets into the, gets into the category of you should have known what would happen. Right. Isn't there a, there's a form of murder where it's not good enough to say you weren't intending it. All you have to do is say you should have known what you were doing was going to cause this or be contributing to it. How would you not know that that would contribute to it? Here's what would have not contributed if he had said wet work and it was an accident. He should have said, oh, I'm referring to the advertisements. You know, for sure, I don't want any violence. I better correct that. I used the wrong term. I'm not advocating any violence. I just mean the advertising needs to be tougher and tighter. Would have been easy to say that. Biden on July 8 said, we're done talking about the debate. It's time to put Trump in a bullseye. Why would you say that? What kind of language is that? Is that normal? Does Trump use language like that? We're going to put him in a bullseye, remember? Yeah, Kathy Griffin and the severed head. Got lots more of that. Do you remember Owen Gregorian was reminding us today that Alex Soros posted a picture of a bullet hole next to $47 back in January? 47. And, and a bullet hole. So kind of suggested, as some said, that it was some intentional intelligence. And I said, I said back at the time, in my opinion, our intelligence services just solicited a hit on our next president and offered a free pass to the perp. To me, it looked like a signal because I associate Soros with our intelligence people. It seems like that's a clear association. And to me, somebody who would post something so dramatically inappropriate and having an association with our intelligence people, it's really sketchy. I think Victor David Hansen had the best take on this. If I can find his notes talking about some of the people who have been calling for violence for so long. Here's something Victor David Hansen said in his post today. It's a longer post, but I'll just like this part of it. And he says that the left has been engaged in sort of a parlor game of imagining murder against Trump. So here's some examples. By slugging his face, Robert De Niro by decapitation, Kathy Griffin, Marilyn Manson. By stabbing that Shakespeare in the park play. By clubbing Mickey Rourke. By shooting Snoop Dogg. By poisoning Anthony Bourdain. By bounty killing. George Lopez. By Carrion eating his corpse, Pearl Jam by suffocating Larry Whitmore, by blowing him up, Madonna and Moby by throwing him over a cliff, Rosie o' Donnell, just by generic killing him. Johnny Depp and Big Sean or boy martyring him. Reid Hoffman who recently said, yeah, I wish I had made him an actual martyr. They didn't see a comment. Didn't see it coming. Yeah, you might have seen it coming. So here's my hypnotist stake. To me, to me, it looks like a slow motion assassination that was based on statistics. In other words, the people who wanted Trump literally dead knew that if they kept acting a certain way, the odds of somebody acting on it was pretty good. At what point, at what point does doing something that has a high statistical chance of killing somebody become actual murder? It's kind of the perfect crime, isn't it? You, you get somebody to do it, but you have deniability. No, I was just talking. I was just using my free speech. It's kind of the perfect cr. All right, so I would call it a probability based murder attempt. Probability based murder attempt. And by the way, this is something in the Dilber comic strip. So in the Dilber comic strip, the pointier boss's secretary wants him dead, but she doesn't want to be accused of murder, so instead she just books him to have stopover. Stopover, let's say destinations that are in dangerous places. So the pointy eared boss will book a trip for her, the secretary will book a trip for her boss and put it through North Korea. So yeah, you just got one stop over in North Korea. So she's not killing him, she's simply creating a statistical probability that somebody else will kill him. Is that legal? Probably. You couldn't prosecute because there'd be too many people that you would have to say were also guilty because you'd have something like a million people contributing to it, to the, to the rhetoric. So I don't think you could actually do anything legally or without any kind of a class action, but you can still see it. Just because the courts would be helpless doesn't mean you can't see it clearly. All right, the big question that we all have is why did the shooter get that close? Why did the shooter get the high ground? Why didn't the Secret Service do a better job? And these are some of the things that people are saying. Apparently the head of the Secret Service is a woman who used to work for some snack company, I think Pepsi or something. And Elon Musk quipped that she was guarding Cheetos before she was guarding Trump, which is kind of funny because people call Trump Cheetos. Cheeto. And Musk also called for the head of Secret Service to resign. I don't think that's too far. I, I think that the entire country watched a major failure or worse of the Secret Service. And somebody needs to resign. Absolutely, somebody needs to resign.
- [20:14]
Joe from Vanta
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- [20:40]
Scott Adams
Get started@vanta.com but here's a little side note. The Elon Musk dropped yesterday. He said that two people had tried to assassinate him. Elon Musk. So two people on separate occasions have already tried to kill me, he said. In the past eight months. They were arrested with guns about 20 minute drive from Tesla headquarters in Texas. Do you, do you see what kind of game we're in now? Yeah, the, the Democrats have whipped people into a murderous frenzy with their rhetoric. Now, it probably doesn't help that their base has more mental illness than Republicans. So when you add Hitler rhetoric to a base which does have an unusually high mental illness issue, you're really, you're really pushing the envelope of what should be legal and what shouldn't be. General Flynn said about the Secret Service. He said Trump may require exceptional private security, at least until he gets into the Oval Office, because you can't trust the Secret Service. I agree. I would say Trump should offer to change his security Secret Service for Biden's one to one. Hey, President Biden, I'll trade you all of my Secret Service protection for all of yours. Now, obviously that's not going to happen, but I would get rid of 100% of the people on the security detail. I would not be taking. Oh, this one did a good job that night. No, you have to get rid of all of them. Not on day one because that would leave him unprotected. But he needs to get rid of all of them and he probably needs to have private security. There is reporting that says that Biden or the administration turned down requests for additional Secret Service protection or resources. Does that make a difference? Well, was it Benny Thompson, the Democrat, who was trying to push a bill that would remove the Secret Service from Trump because he was convicted of a felony? Yes. The Democrats were calling Trump Hitler, trying to remove his Secret Service entirely, denying him extra Secret Service. That probably came from the Secret Service, right? I don't think it was necessarily Trump himself who asked for more. Probably the Secret Service themselves said we need more, didn't get it. And we know that Biden is refusing Secret service protection for RFK Jr. Why do you think that is? Yeah, why do you think that is? So all indications are there's something sketchy here. We'll talk more about that. So I don't know if you saw the coverage, but it was immediately despicable. Let me give you some of the coverage. This is CNN's first headline when it was very clear that there was an assassination attempt. Very clear. Everybody knew it was an assassination attempt from the first second. And knowing it was an assassination attempt, no doubt about it, CNN's first headline was, and I swear to God, this is true. I think it is. Secret Service rushes Trump off stage after he falls at rally. Now, I saw that on social media, but as I'm reading it, I'm thinking it's a little too far in the nose. Now, I'm not positive that's true, so I'm going to put a little pin in that because my own rule of is that if something's a little too perfect, it might not be true. Is that one fake? That one might be fake. But they did. There was a little soft pedaling, for sure. There was a little soft pedaling for, you know, at least maybe an hour. I was waiting for MSNBC to say Trump got his ear. Pearson, Pennsylvania. That didn't happen, but I thought it was going to happen or anyway, we'll talk more about the Secret Service and whether they did a good job. But my big question today is how do the Democrats talk about this? How do the, how do the hosts of MSNBC talk about this without saying that they are the cause of it? How do you report on it when you're one of the perpetrators? In my mind, they're perpetrators in the sense that their rhetoric created this situation. And they must have known it would. They must have known it would. That's the important part. So they've got a problem. If they double down on the Trump is Hitler stuff, it will prove they're complicit. If they don't double down on will prove they're complicit because they made up a hoax that got him shot. Do you see that? They lose both ways. If they double down on He's Hitler, they're proving that they're complicit. If they stop doubling down on Hitler, they are confessing that doubling down on Hitler is what got him shot. So you see that they prove their guilt. If they double down and they prove that they know they're guilty. If they stop doubling down. Did you see that? That's where you're heading into today, that they're going to confirm their guilt by confirming it or not confirming it. They're both confirmation. There is no way that you get down. They painted themselves in a corner. It's a corner that you can't get out of. There is no escape. Now, the level of gaslighting that they're going to employ is going to be un freaking believable. You're going to see compilations of Trump people saying dangerous stuff. They're going to say, see, it happened on both sides, so you can't say that one side was bad. Oh, you're going to see that. Now, do you think that both sides had the same kind of persuasion? No, no. You cannot turn on Fox News, for example, and see anything that would look anything like, you know, Biden is Hitler. So you got to take him out whenever references are made, when, you know, and certainly, certainly everybody on the right has made a Hitler reference once or twice, but not like they do it. When you see the, the, you know, the candidate for president, Biden, give you his veins sticking out in their neck, that's not just fun in politics. He's literally trying to convince you that, that Trump was a Nazi because he said he was a Nazi supporter, which didn't happen. It was a hoax. So Biden does this presser, and I have to say he looked presidential. So he did pull it together, and it wasn't early in the day. So it needs to be said politically that Biden showed up, he acted responsibly at the moment, and he acted, you know, in a way you'd want a president to act. But he has also said that Trump is a genuine threat to the nation. He said he's a threat to our freedom, he's a threat to our democracy. He's literally a threat to everything America stands for. He didn't say that at the presser, but he didn't apologize for it either. He should have resigned or at least taken himself out of the race. Here's the other thing you might not realize. Politically, Biden can't be replaced. Now, did, did you see that yet? The whole, the whole effort to replace Biden, that's done. I mean, they might go through some motions, but here's why they can't replace them. There was some chance that a replacement might be able to win. There is no chance the replacement can win now. And, and even if you imagine anything's possible, nobody's going to think if there's a chance. So if you're newsome, do you walk into a buzzsaw when you know there's just a buzzsaw? There's not winning or A Buzzsaw. There's just a buzzsaw. Who are you going to put in the Buzzsaw? If you're Democrats, who are you going to sacrifice to the wood chipper? Biden. Because Biden's value has already been extinguished. He doesn't have value to them anymore. In fact, he's a liability. So they're going to keep Biden in and they're going to take the loss and they're going to try to recover after this election. You know, they'll, they'll make motions like they're still trying. But I think the effort to replace Biden is done. It wouldn't make sense. I mean, they've done dumber things than that, but it wouldn't make sense strategically, logically. You would just be wasting your best player. Whoever they would hypothetically replace Biden with would have to be who they think is their strongest player. You don't throw your strongest player into a guaranteed losing situation. You're going to hold that one back. So I could be wrong, but I don't think there's a chance Biden will be replaced. And I'm going to ask you this question that I don't think anybody's heard or said yet. If Biden had been a stronger candidate, would this have happened? Yeah, I'll bet you didn't think about that yet, did you? If Biden had been a strong candidate, he's an incumbent. He should have won easily. If the polls had said that Biden is going to cruise to re election, would anybody need to shoot Trump? No. This is on Biden. If Biden had been a real candidate, the shooter, probably. We can't read minds, but it's a reasonable, it's a reasonable connection that if you thought, well, Trump's not going to win anyway, would you risk your life to kill him if he wasn't going to win anyway? No. No, you wouldn't. So not only does running Biden give the Democrats, you know, the worst chance, not only does it look, make them look incompetent and DEI constipated because they can't make a move, you know, because of Kamala, the fact that they ran him at all put the entire republic in jeopardy. They ran such a weak player that invited a citizen to try to take matters into his own hands. Literally murder. Now, if your candidate is so bad that it makes somebody on your own side think they need to murder people, you can't get worse than that. All right, I don't want to say no joke because that'll sound Like Biden. But if it sounded like I was trying to be humorous, I'm not. The weakness of their candidate invited this because they didn't offer a legitimate path that would have been acceptable to the shooter. Obviously, the shooter didn't see a second path because you don't, you don't kill somebody if there's some obvious easy path when it's all going to take care of itself, as in the election will take care of it. So running a bad candidate who also ran on the Fine people hoax. Remember Biden ran on the Fine people hoax the first election and he still hasn't given up on it. Yeah. All right, so Biden and the campaign stopped their ads. Biden announced. Or did he announce or we just know it, but they stopped all their advertisements. Now, there's two ways to look at that. Number one, it's just good form. All right, so the, the most obvious interpretation is somewhat innocent in the sense that you don't want to be dumping on the guy who just got shot. It just doesn't look good. Nobody's going to like it. It's. It would be tone deaf. So that was the right move, but is that why they did it? That's what I have to wonder. Because you know what I think? I think some of those ads were going to accuse Trump of being Hitler. What do you think? Do you think any of those ads, they paused, we're going to paint Trump as an existential danger to the country? I think so, because that was in their entire campaign. I think the ads got pulled because they knew they were complicit in this murder attempt. I think they knew and said, we can't have these ads up there because it makes us look obviously like we're part of the murder plot. So you can't know for sure and you can't read minds. I'd love to say that the Biden campaign is just thinking what's good for people and what makes sense. And they would know that running ads in this context would be a bad idea politically, but also as a human being, it would be a bad idea. But I suspect it had more to do with not looking guilty for something they are guilty for. Let me say it directly. They are guilty. They caused it. I don't believe that you get this without the exact kind of rhetoric that they've been pushing for months. Years, actually. Well, apparently Mayorkas is the one who denied the alleged repeated requests for more Secret Service protection for Trump. If that's true, Mayorkas has to be impeached immediately. And Certainly the head of the Secret Service, unless she's got a hell of a good excuse, needs to be impeached or whatever they do, fired, quit, whatever it takes. But, but definitely some heads have to roll in the figurative stance. Trump. Well, let's talk about the, I know you wanted me to talk about the, the Secret Services quality, so let me just skip to that because I was going to talk about it. So we, we saw that the site was not secured. The shooter managed to find a, a high place with a line of sight. Now, that would be literally the first thing that you take care of if you're the Secret Service. And yet it wasn't. So we have questions as why the most obvious risk was left unguarded. Could it be that they didn't have enough resources? Maybe they thought what they, where they put the resources was most important, but they could have used more to extend the perimeter. Doesn't seem good enough to me. That doesn't seem good enough to me. It looks like the people who are there should have done more. We see some video of what looked like one of the snipers that work for Secret Service. It looked like they had a bead on the shooter and there was some delay. Way too long seconds, but way too long between noticing the risk and taking the shot. We don't know the details yet. People are saying, wait, he must be in on it because he didn't take the shot. I doubt that's true. Something makes me wonder if he thought it was one of their guys maybe, or didn't know what he was seeing or didn't believe it. So we don't know what the sharpshooter sniper was thinking, but we do know that he didn't do what we wanted him to do. So he's got some explaining to do, but it's way worse. I saw a U.S. marine Corps guy, Brian Burletic, on X, he was an ex Marine, and he noted this. You know that huge American flag that was behind Trump that got captured in the iconic photo? Did you know? I didn't know until today that if you're a sniper, one of the most helpful things you can have is a flag that happens to be near your target. Because if there's a flag or anything that can show the wind speed, you can adjust your shot for the wind speed. So in other words, the Secret Service allowed a sharpshooter indicator right next to Trump. That should not have happened. Somebody, especially the snipers, that. Because he had a sniper. Well, what, three. I think there were at least three professional Snipers who were on the Secret Service detail. Are you telling me there were no Secret Service snipers Who, who said, you know, you want to get rid of the wind indicator? Or maybe they did and somebody said no. So we have, we have questions. I don't want to, I don't want to couch this as accusations way too early. Fog of war. I'm not entirely sure we know who the shooter was. There's some, you know, preliminary identifications, but it's a little early for that, so. Likewise, when we jump to blaming the Secret Service, I think you got to wait on that. My, my opinion is the same as yours. It looks like a massive failure in the Secret Service. It looks like it. But wait, I, I, I think they need, they need their day in court, if you know what I mean. Let, let them tell you their side if it ever happens and listen to it, right? Because, you know, you don't want to throw under the bus people who literally put their bodies in front of a shooter. All right? So even if, even if it turns out one or two people weren't doing what they should have been, the rest of them were risking their lives to protect the President. So it's hard to wrap our head around the fact that, that there could have been something that wasn't right at the same time that the people who were right were not just right, but they're heroes. They're heroes at the highest level. But we'll find out. Just, just hold your, hold your fire. Right? Be, be, be skeptical. Ask questions, demand answers. But be open minded. There may, it may be that there's one or two bad, bad actors, maybe more, but don't assume it. We're not smart enough to know what happened. It's still the fog of war. And I'm guilty of this too, by the way. So Michael Ian Black gave me a useful, a useful advice yesterday, which is go slow. I didn't, I didn't go slow. I don't know if I'm wrong about anything yet, but it was the right advice. Go slow. You know, make sure you know what you're saying. Make sure you know what the facts are. So I give you the same advice. Good advice.
- [40:49]
Joe from Vanta
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Scott Adams
All right, the political fallout to this. Well, let's talk about a little bit more. So, so the questions about the Secret Service are how do you let somebody get the high ground? And you and I are not in the Secret Service. But let me ask you, wouldn't every single one of you have known not to give up a high ground with a line of sight? You would all have known that. Right? And even if you had to give it up because you, you were under, understaffed, you'd have somebody looking at it all the time. Now, we also heard reliably that a number of the Trump supporters who were outside the venue but within listening distance, and they were sort of partying within listening distance. They saw the shooter minutes before the shooting. They got the attention of law enforcement. Good work, Trump supporters. Good work. So how much do you love the Trump supporters who saw trouble immediately, acted immediately, went to the police. That's, that's some good citizenship, got involved immediately to, to fix it. The police, we don't know the details again, so don't, don't jump to the conclusion that the police didn't do their job. What they should have done, we assume, is they must have been in radio contact, Radio contact, the, the bad guys and say, hey, look at this roof over here. Right away, did they do that? It's not clear. And now the, the other possibility that the, that the sniper didn't take the shot, when you think so, is that it was in an area where a lot of people were trying to get a view of Trump. So the people who are outside the venue couldn't see him, but you could see him if you got on the roof. So if you're the sniper, the question you have to ask yourself is, am I going to kill an innocent MAGA fan who just wanted a better view? So the question is, how well could you see the gun from the sniper's viewpoint? If he saw the rifle and he delayed them, there's a really big problem. If he couldn't clearly see a weapon, it wouldn't have been clear that it was anything but a fan. So you can imagine why there might have been some delay. But again, can't read minds. Way too early to know what anybody was thinking. I just want to put in your mind that this is more complicated than the first. Look, you're going to hear a second version of everything, maybe a Third version, too. So just don't solidify an opinion until you have a little bit more, but keep your questions. All right, so here's what the political fallout is going to be. There are three potential explanations for what we saw in terms of the Secret Service not doing their job. One, it's a DEI Secret Service. Now, I don't say that as a joke, and I don't say it just as political fodder. They brought in a woman to be the head of the Secret Service. She said publicly that bringing in diversity is one of her top priorities. Now, she doesn't say it's more important than protecting the president or the candidates, but she seemed to think it was important enough to talk about. Now, if you're new to my live stream, and I imagine we got some people who are not the normals coming in, we've got a pretty big audience today. Let me remind you, when I talk about the problems of dei, I'm not talking about anybody's genes, nobody's DNA, nobody's culture. None of that is in the conversation. It's a system observation. If you have a system that says we need to favor hiring a certain group of people and the demand for that group of people far exceeds the supply, but humans are humans, so they're not going to take no for an answer, and they're going to just hire whoever they can. The inevitable guaranteed outcome of a system with that design is that you lower the quality of your hires. Again, has nothing to do with being men or women. Has nothing to do with being lgbtq. Has. Has nothing to do with genes. Has nothing to do with culture. Has nothing to do with any of that. It's a system problem. And Democrats consistently get the system problem wrong because they're going for the goal. What's the goal? Diversity. Not a bad goal. I'm all for it, actually. I like diversity. I live in a very diverse place, and I would say that it makes it better in. In all kinds of ways. Yeah, I am a direct beneficiary of diversity. My neighborhood's quite diverse, and it's awesome. So just be. You know, you have to be clear that when you're making a DEI observation, you're not talking about the people they hired. You're talking about the system that may have hired inefficiently. Almost certainly. We can't say for sure that any of the people were hired who shouldn't have been. But I'm going to ask you this question. There's a dog not barking, but there's lots of Dogs not barking. It's still fog of war. But if we go a month and you haven't heard the following statistic, I got a problem. Here's the number I want to hear. I want to know the average length of service of Trump's detail versus the average length of service of, you know, let's say whatever is the average. Or maybe Biden's detail. If the people working for Trump were unusually inexperienced and it was because diversity had created a lot of new hires, I think there were several women on the team. And again, I'm not saying there's anything wrong with women. And so in working in these jobs, that's not the point, is not my opinion. I'm simply saying that if you work too hard to hire people fast so you can hit your diversity goals, you might lower your standards. That would be the most reasonable thing you would do. Not reasonable. Most. Most predictable thing. Not the most reasonable. So we got questions. So can we say that the problem with the Secret Service not operating the way the spectators believe they should, Is it a DEI problem? Too soon to know. But is it a big candidate? Absolutely. Yeah. If I, if I were going to guess and you put a gun to my head. Well, I'm not going to say that. If you made me bet, I would say it's probably a factor, not the only factor. And it doesn't mean you shouldn't have diversity in your Secret Service. It simply means we may have a system problem that had a predictable outcome. Have I ever predicted bad outcomes from this before? Yes. The Biden campaign itself, widely considered the worst political campaign of all time, is entirely a DEI operation. I predicted. Again, not because anybody's genesis, nobody's race, nobody's sexual preference, nobody's gender, nothing to do with that. That the system would, would end up with a Biden campaign that was unusually inexperienced and incompetent. And that's what we see. This would be the second example in your government where a DEI has to be a suspect. Doesn't mean it's true, but it has to be in the top three. And if you, if you don't believe that you're, you're not a serious person, you know, I can't take you seriously. The other possibility, people are saying it was an inside job because it seems like the, seems like the opportunity was curiously too good. Now, if it were that the conspiracy theory goes that that's why he was killed, you know, they waited for him to take the shot, and after the shots were taken, they killed him to get rid of the evidence, much like, you know, Jack Ruby situation. But in my mind, there are too many variables for this to be an inside job. Meaning if it was an inside job of just intentionally doing bad security, maybe. But I don't think it was an inside job all the way to having a connection to the shooter. So I would think it would be wildly unlikely, but not impossible. We live in a world where this is possible. It's possible, and it's not even wildly impossible. It's completely possible. It was an inside job or a partial inside job. Totally possible. I would bet against it because the odds that they could, you know, weaponize this one 20 year old and keep it all under wraps and everything, it's. It wouldn't be the best plan. But then there, like I said, there's a, there's a weak version of that where they don't have a specific idea that this specific person will be there doing a specific shooting, but they know if they don't guard him well, somebody will probably take a shot. So that would be an inside inside game too. It's enough of an inside game if you just decide you're not going to do a good job protecting them. It's just, you know, more legal if you do it that way, I guess. And then of course, the, as I said, the more likely scenario is that a young man who did not have a, a good understanding of the world was brainwashed by the rhetoric and he simply believed what he had been told on social media and msnbc probably. Now, what do you think the shooter watched or where do you think the shooter got his news? Does anybody think that the shooter watched Fox News all day? Does anybody think the shooter was reading Breitbart? Does anybody think the shooter was following Tucker Carlson? I don't think they do. I think almost certainly if you found out his sources of news, they would be exactly what you think. Plus TikTok. Plus TikTok. Do you think TikTok could have weaponized him? I don't know. But he's 20 years old and he did something that looks like it came from being brainwashed by TikTok. So I would say that the, the brainwashing and the rhetoric are 100% culpable. Mean. Well, they're not the only variable that caused it, but they're a contributing factor unambiguously. So I'm going to say that even I, I guess I'm violating the good advice from Michael Lee and Black that I should wait because we don't know enough. We, we don't know Enough about the shooter, but it's looking seriously like it's exactly what it looks like. A 20 year old who got brainwashed by the Democrats into thinking he was saving the world from Hitler. So the early reporting from CNN is that the shooter was a registered Republican who may have Dem donated to a left wing Democrat Party. Now, there's some people saying that maybe it was because he was, there was an open primary. He, you know, there may have been somebody who registered the opposite of their beliefs, which is common. The first thing that happened to me yesterday is I heard from a friend who said this is why he registered as a Democrat. That's right. One of my friends called and said he registered as a Democrat because being a Republican looked too dangerous. And he was right. It's one of the reasons I did it. I'm a registered, I'm a registered Democrat because I thought it would be dangerous to be on a list of Republicans. Literally. That's not a joke. That's literally true. All right. So will the Republicans go on to win it all? Because this changes everything. Well, this changes everything, but I'd like to caution you from any political optimism. Number one is icky because somebody died, two people terribly injured. So even just talking about the political outcome or how awesome Trump's picture is, it's icky. We're going to do it anyway because it's the news and it's important and we're going to talk about it. But, but don't feel too good about it. Right. Just keep part of your, your mind on the gravity of the situation and the tragedy. But I think that there's going to be a comeback by Biden's team that will surprise you. They are going to twist and contort and spin this until it's Trump's fault. By election Day, they will have done a full turn. You know, they're going to lay low a little bit. They, they got to take a couple weeks off, probably let the Republicans do their convention and just lay low. But they're coming back because the last thing they want is to lose everything. And people are already talking about either going to lose the House, the Senate, the presidency, the Supreme Court. They've already got. It's going to be a generation that the Democrats are gone. That's a possibility. I don't think it's the highest possibility, but I think there's a 10% chance that the Democrat Party will be out of power for a generation. It's possible. It's not likely because they're really brainwashed. Everybody's brainwashed in politics, but the brainwashing is so strong that even an attempted assassination is only going to pick off some independence. It probably won't change a single vote of somebody who is a, you know, a die hard anti Trumper. So don't assume victory. Don't assume that they're not going to cheat in the election. If, if they did this, they, meaning the Democrats, if they were willing to do the Hitler persuasion for years, knowing that it was going to get people killed or they should have known, would they stop at that? Do you think that the people who would do that would not rig an election? Of course they would. So whether or not you think it's ever happened in the past, and I have no, no proof that it did, lots of evidence, but no proof, at least in a sense of a court, do you think that they would hesitate to rig an election? Well, here's what, here's the best case. The best case scenario. Yeah, exactly. They're in too deep. They're in too deep. They would assume that Republicans are coming for them. In other words, if you had anything to do with anything sketchy and you were a Democrat, you would think, oh, my God, they're going to be so mad we tried to kill their leader. Or that's what they're going to think. They're going to come for us hard and they're going to fight. They're going to fight like their life depends on it. Here's what you need to do. Don't be like them. If you've got some feelings of revenge, keep them to yourself. If you've got some anger that needs to come out, go for a walk. Don't give away your advantage because they're waiting for you to do that. This does create a political advantage. And again, I feel icky. Like I, I just feel icky talking about it, given the tragedy. But it's a true, it's true. Don't give it up. If you start talking like they talk, you're giving up your advantage. Listen to Trump. Do what Trump tells you, right? This is the time to rally around your leader. He's going to tell you to be cool because he's smart and he knows that he's gained a accidental advantage. Nobody would want it, but he got it and he put out a statement that I thought if I were smart enough to write it down, I would be reading it to you now. Let's see. Oh, I was sure I wrote that down somewhere, but maybe not. Anyway, he basically said to, you know, stay strong and you basically just win. The thing you got to do now is win. You gotta win because it's the only way this goes away. Now there's going to be a lot more trouble between now and winning, but you got to win. Yeah. So let's talk about some other people. Some people pointed out that the Secret Service and the CIA and the FBI will investigate themselves and conclude that they were not involved. I assume that will happen. You should assume that after the investigation there will be complete clarity that nobody in the government possibly could have seen it coming. Nobody was aware of it in advance. Nobody did anything but the best job they could. And the government in all of its entities had nothing to do with it whatsoever. Even if they did. Even if they did, by the way, I don't. I don't think they did. So my money says it wasn't an inside job, but you can't rule anything out. I just think it's unlikely. It looked like a lone shooter situation to me, but of course that's how they do it. So when I say it looks like a lone, lone shooter situation, that doesn't mean anything really. It's just what it looks like. All right, let's talk about the worst person in the world. There's this left leaning guy called Destiny who makes his living by going online and saying the worst things that any human being could ever say. And here's what he said. Donald Trump incited an insurrection. Here it comes. And then was granted full criminal immunity for possibly all of his involvement. Here it is. I have zero sympathy for anything that happens to him or anyone who supports him. Hold, hold. Go for a walk. Take a walk. Don't go nuts. Hold on. Be strong. And Destiny says. I will argue this position against any and all conservatives of reasonable size. But there's a reason none of you spineless hacks step outside your echo chambers. Yeah. That's why now. Now I'm not going to debate his point of view because he's just the worst person in the world who does not deserve any violence. Let me be clear about that. This is how you talk about people who are the worst people in the world. You should just live your life as the worst person in the world and that's enough punishment. Can you imagine trying to be friends or having a relationship with this Destiny person? I don't think it goes well. I don't think this person is killing it in life. I think that they're probably creating a bubble of hell that they're living in of their own making, and that's good. Enough for me. If you create a hell for yourself and you live in it, that's good enough. That's your punishment. Grandpa's here.
- [62:38]
Joe from Vanta
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- [63:37]
Scott Adams
Well, what did Russia say about this? Because, you know, in 10 minutes, Russia is going to be accused by Hillary Clinton. The odds that the CIA or Brennan or Clapper or Hillary Clinton, the odds that they don't come out and say, you know, this is looking a little bit Russian, like, it's exactly what Putin would do. You know, it's coming because they only have one play. But a Kremlin spokesman got ahead of it. Dimitri Peskov. He said about the attempted assassination. He said, quote, after numerous attempts to eliminate candidate Trump from the political arena, using first legal instruments, courts, prosecutors, attempt to politically discredit and compromise the candidate, it was obvious to all outside observers that his life was in danger. That's Russia. Trump says he wants to work out a peace deal with Russia. Do you think he can do it? Yep. Yep. There's. There's all doubt being removed right there. That's. That's Putin sending you a message that says, will negotiate. We're going to talk to you. Yep, that's what that is. So when I said everything changed yesterday, it really is everything. I think that this ended the war in Ukraine. I think it probably will bring some sanity back to the country. The. The toughest part will be see if. See if Democrats can acknowledge that what they did with their rhetoric, take responsibility and change their approach. If they do, I'm actually going to respect that. I don't expect that. I, I think cognitive dissonance and team play will kick in and they'll just double down. And I think they're going to follow the lead of this destiny person and say that Trump had it coming because they believe the Insurrection hoax. So remember I told you that the Democrats have what I call a hoax mesh network where there are so many hoaxes, if one goes down, the others keep the network alive. So the, so we watched as the Fine People hoax got taken down. You know, Snopes finally debunked it. It was widely reported for the first time. So when that hoax fell, did you say to yourself, well, glad the hoaxes are gone? Nope. It looks like they just took all their energy from that one and shifted it over to their other hoax that somehow the President was going to take over the country with some paperwork and some friends who were trespassing. Now, the ridiculousness of that hoax doesn't seem to make any difference in how well it's believed on, on the. By the Democrats. So they're going to push it because it's worked before. And they're going to say, look at all these examples of when, when Trump got shot, he jumped up and he pumped his fist and he said, fight. So obviously he's calling for violence, isn't he? No. Do you know what that, do you know what fight means to Republicans? It means politically. Do you know what he's Hitler means? It means maybe you should take matters into your own hands. Those are not the same in politics. Fight means politically. Unless you say he Hitler, and he will end the entire country and there'll never be another election. If you hear one more person say it's going to be the last election, he's going to steal your democracy and he's a dictator. Fascist. Even the word fascist. They're the ones who are trying to kill him and they're just as guilty as the shooter because they created the environment in which the shooting became inevitable. So there's a lot of guilt that they're going to try to, you know, try to shirk off or shrug off. But I'm not going to forget. I'm not going to forget what they did to my potential president and past president. Yeah, Somebody in the comments is saying the, the Lincoln, the Lincoln group is sort of a Tell that Lincoln link. All right, let me just look at my notes, make sure I talked about everything I want to talk about here today, because, well, has anybody watched MSNBC yet? Are they going to let Their opinion people. Back in the air, was Morning Joe on Today. Did anybody check msnbc? Because, because I think, I think Morning Joe probably would have been preempted by the news people, if they're smart, msnbc, if they, if they know they're guilty. You won't see their opinion people for a while. And when they come on, they're going to have to have a whole new, a whole new approach because if the, if the joy reads and the Rachel Maddows come back on and they say, he's trying to steal your democracy, they're, they're right back at it. And I think that's what's going to happen. If I had to guess, the most likely outcome is they'll try to both sides. It. So first they'll try to both sides. It's like, well, you know, bad rhetoric on both sides. So here's what we should do. Both sides should agree to take the rhetoric down. Should they? Should. Should Trump stop saying that dangerous people are being led into the country by the thousands when it's true? Because that's the dangerous rhetoric they're talking about. Should Trump stop saying that he thinks the election was rigged because a lot of people think it was? I think so. If I had to bet, I don't have proof of it, but if I had to bet, I'd bet it was rigged. And I'll bet every system is rigged. And that, that's my take. My take is that we've observed every system in America being rigged in one way or another. You know, rig being, you know, a generic word. But we've seen everything from a finance system. We know the marketing of every company. We saw all the experts, the healthcare people. We're watching the Democrats, you know, make one hoax after another. Everything's rigged, Everything. So why would the election be the exception? Now, I think that what this causes is, is it would be too obvious to rig this coming election because the polls might, I, I, I still think I might bet against it. I'm going to bet against a major move in the polls that lasts all the way to Election Day. I think that by election Day, the polls will tighten. And it doesn't matter what happened over the summer because the, the memory during an election is about two weeks. Do you remember when Trump did the grabbing by the thing and it was really close to the election, but two weeks later, it was the old news. In two weeks, this is going to be like grabbing by the, it's just going to be completely absorbed by some other news. Oh, my God. Here's what the bad DEI people are saying. He's saying, this is a headline from Sean Harper, who is a diversity, equity and inclusion expert. So this is a DEI expert contributor in Forbes. He says, will surviving gunfire be Donald Trump's next appeal to black voters? So, you know, people said that Trump being law fared, would appeal to black voters, and then they mocked it. And you know what happened? It appealed to black voters. It did exactly what you thought it would. Now, why? Well, why wouldn't it, why wouldn't it appeal to black voters? If black voters believe, and there's plenty of historical context to support, that they've been treated differently than other people by the legal system, and then they watch somebody else who's very clearly being treated differently by the legal system, why wouldn't they feel something about that? Why wouldn't they to, to imagine that that's some kind of unreasonable stereotype is racist itself? Because it's just a human thing. It has nothing to do with being black. It has to do with a common experience or at least a common feeling that that experience, you know, influences people who you think look like you. Of course, you would find some commonality in that. Of course, that's just the most natural thing in the world. Does that, would that extend them to, you know, black voters saying he got shot so that therefore they. No, I don't think that's a logical conclusion. Right. I don't think anybody thinks, oh, I got shot, you got shot. I've never heard of that. I've never heard of the, like a, a group of people who got together. It's like, you got shot, I got shot, too. Let's form some kind of a group. So here's a little sub story. So, you know, Elon Musk has been going back and forth with Reid Hoffman, Reid Hoffman, biggest donator to the Democrats, and he's one of the ones that said at a recent event that Peter, that teal was at that. Yeah, I wish I'd made him an actual martyr. So Reid Hoffman saying in public he wished he'd physically killed Trump. Now, it wasn't completely serious, but it's not the kind of thing you can say joking unless you're serious in your mind or your imagination. So even though he said it as a, a laugh point, it's not funny. And here's what Elon Musk said about that. He responded to something about Reid Hoffman. He said, Reid is afraid that if Trump wins, Reed will be prosecuted for going to Epstein's Island. Well, if you thought Elon Musk was going to pull his punches. That didn't happen there. There is, I guess, evidence that Reid Hoffman went to the island. There's no evidence that he did anything illegal. But it doesn't look good and it would certainly explain why he is so absurdly in favor of a ridiculous group of people, the Democrats. He is way too smart. Reed Hoffman is way too smart to know that he's on the right side. Way too smart. So he's acting like somebody who's being blackmailed. Now, that doesn't mean he is. He could be. Just doesn't like Trump and he's a good Democrat. Could be just. He's a team player, but he doesn't act like it. You know who acts like he's not being blackmailed? Bill Ackman. He acts like he's not being blackmailed because he, he's watching both sides and commenting. Both sides. I don't see any blackmail. It looks like he's looking objectively at it. You know who looks like he's not being blackmailed? Elon Musk, voted Democrat all his life, just endorsed Trump. That looks like you're not being blackmailed. But Reid, he looks like he's being blackmailed. I can't say that he is. I don't have any information that. But he's acting in a way that would be compatible with it, but also being compatible with, you know, having tds. So two possibilities there, or they could be both. Do you think you'll see the fine people hoax for a while? I feel like this may have retired the fine people thing because anybody who would bring that up today, they would have to know that they're going to get a lot of heat. A lot of heat. I think it might suppress it for a while, but it's, you know, the unkillable hoax. So it'll just come back. Oh, here was Trump's statement. I just took out some of the key quotes. He said, stay strong and determined and defiant in the face of wickedness. I like the fact that he's, he's talking about it in terms of wickedness and evil. Without getting too specific, here's what he didn't say. Democrats did this to me. Did you notice? Did you notice he didn't do that? Did you notice he didn't do what I did? Blame Biden. His instincts are freaking incredible. And I've said it before, I'm going to say it again a million more times. Whoever is advising Trump is really doing a good job and has been for a while. Just noticeably Obviously, high quality of advice, but as I also always say, the boss still gets the credit because the boss has to pick the person who gave the advice. The boss has to look at the advice, and the boss has to decide if it's good. So credit goes to the boss. And Trump handled this perfectly. Perfectly. Be defiant, be strong, be determined, and we're facing wickedness. You don't need to put a further name on it. You don't have to say Democrats are bad because then you become them. Don't become the thing you hate. That. That's the. The biggest risk for violence, besides actually dying and being injured, is that you become the person who did it to you. Don't become the person who did it to you. You got to be better than that. That's. That's how you win. All right, let's see how we're doing. All right, so I want you to. I want to put one thought in your head. The RNC Republican National Convention was scheduled to be this week and still scheduled to be this week, as far as we know. And this seems obvious, Trump will be there. There's a moment I want you to hold in your head before it happens. The moment he first walks on stage, that's it. Just think about it. Fight. And on that note, ladies and gentlemen, I'm going to end my comments to YouTube and rumble and X. Thanks for joining. I'm going to go talk to my beloved members of Locals privately. After I say goodbye to the rest of you, there'll be lots more on this, but let's go on with our day and make the best of it. All right, Locals, I'm coming. Hope the rest of you enjoyed the show. Bye for now.