Loading summary
Transcript1 lines
- [00:00]
A
Here, grab a seat. Grab a beverage. You're going to need it. Checking your stocks. And your stocks are up, people. Your stocks are up. Good news. If you're wondering why my voice is so sexy, it's from not sleeping for two days. Too much pain. But we'll try to do a show. That's what we're going to try to do. One moment. We'll be ready. Close enough. Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams. And you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience to levels that no one can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass of tanker, chalice or stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine. Day of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. And it happens. Now go. Well, let's see if we can get through this today. Be a little harder than normal. So there's a new study at a Cornell university that says that strong friendships may literally slow aging at the cellular level. So if you've got a good social situation, it might make you age slower. Now, I have a hypothesis, which is a crazy one that I've had for a long time, that there's something about the human body and the brain that allows your. Your body and your brain to conform to whatever it is, whatever it is you think you need. So if you had no friends, your body would say, well, there's no reason hanging around. I don't need to live very long. I don't even have any friends. But if you had a really good social situation, your friends would depend on you, you would depend on your friends. And mentally, you would have the feeling that you were important and that there was a reason you should hang around and be alive. So I feel like just knowing that you're important and you have a role might. It might keep you younger. That's what I think. I believe your body gives you what you think you need in small ways. In New York's New York, apparently it's hard to open a liquor store these days because so few people are drinking liquor these days that they don't want to put the existing ones on business. So if you apply for a liquor license in New York, they're going to say people aren't drinking Nearly as much. We don't want to put the existing ones out of business. So 70% of the license applications for alcohol have been rejected. Well, alcohol is poison. According to a new Gallup poll, the percentage of Americans who say that college is, quote, very important has fallen from 75% in 2010 to 35% in 2025. Now, do you think that's because people realized that a college education isn't as good as you thought? Or did the colleges become crap, overpriced crap? I think it's the second one. I don't think that people just change their opinion. I think college went from, you know, one of the best things you could ever do to maybe one of the worst. You know, it'll make you broke and woke. And being broke and woke is no way to go through life. So I understand this makes sense. Well, according to P. Goslin at the no Trick Zone, he's reminding us at the sea level rise has never really happened. Apparently 74 out of 101 islands in what is the Marianas is, or no, the Maldives is growing. So there are many. There are as many islands, actually more. 75% of them are growing instead of shrinking. Do you believe in climate change now? I would say the most, the single most basic thing that climate change predicted is that the sea level would rise. Doesn't seem to be anything like that happening. Some places arises, some places it falls. It's complicated. But what's not happening is that we're not underwater. It doesn't look like it's. That's going to happen anytime soon anyway. Do you believe that Long Covet is real? How many of you think Long Covid is real? I know you're going to say it's really long, Long vaccination. It's not the COVID it's the vaccination. But how many think that there's something like that that's this long? I don't know. I, I'm. I see mixed reports that maybe it's not even a real thing. And then other times I see reports that it is. But there's some new, so new Japanese research on that and they believe that they've not only identified Long Covid, but the exact mechanism, something called a massive spike in the AMPA receptors. So apparently they can now scan you and they can know for sure if you have Long Covid, they say. So then I guess you get some treatment. I don't know what it would be, but they talk about brain fog and everything. I'm pretty sure that I had Long Covid. Maybe I had long vaccination, but I think it was long Covid because I definitely had brain fog for months and months. I. I could feel that for sure. I know, but it could also be in my head. Don't know. Meanwhile, Trump is trying to send a bunch of National Guard people to Chicago, but Chicago doesn't want that help with their crime situation. But just to make things fun, Governor Abbott has offered that if they won't. That if Illinois won't use its own National Guard, that Texas would be happy to send 400 National Guard up to Chicago to do the job for them, which is kind of funny. Abbott's. Abbott's pretty good. He's always got a good. A good response to everything anyway, so I don't think that'll happen. Maybe it will. It's possible. But it's kind of clever how they're gaming this out. It's like, all right, well, if you won't give us your own National Guard, we'll nationalize them. You can't do that. You can't nationalize my state National Guard. All right, if I can't nationalize them about Texas, we'll send some. You can't do that. That's a different state. Doesn't matter. It's federal. It's a federal issue. Doesn't matter what state they're from, especially if you nationalize them anyway. But of course, a federal judge, as you remember, had blocked the deployment of National Guard to Portland. It looks like maybe they've. They blocked it a second time. Anyway, Gavin Newsom's bragging that they just won in court again, meaning blocking the Portland deployment. So that's. That's what Governor Newsom calls winning. So for him, winning is not solving crime. Isn't that weird that they're literally celebrating, Yay, we didn't solve any crime. Look at us. Look how good we are. Well, the Supreme Court's back in session, and Fox News is telling us what's. What's coming up. I guess they're gonna have a case in the Supreme Court about the death penalty for low IQ people. How low is the IQ before you can't get the death penalty, it makes you Wonder, is it 85, 70, 50? Where's the cutoff? I don't know, but Jasmine Crockett would be the most worried because apparently low IQ people can now get the death penalty unless the Supreme Court rules against it, which it might. I guess There's a bunch of LGBTQ cases. I don't know what they're about. Birthright citizenship is on the, is on the docket. And also, can the President fire the heads of agencies? That's the Supreme Court question. And then something about tariffs. There's always something about tariffs. All right, well, Rob Reiner has emerged from whatever rock he was under to once again try to get, try to get Republicans killed by whipping up some kind of a Nazi frenzy. So this is what Rob Reiner said on an interview. This is just the beginning. And people have to understand our democracy is being taken away from us. We have a year before this country becomes a full on autocracy and democracy completely leaves us. Donald Trump knows in a free and fair election, he will lose. Donald Trump knows that in a free and fair election, he will lose. He's not running. He'll lose what? Lose the midterms? I don't even know. I don't even know if, if Rob Reiner knows what country he's in. I worry about that guy. I used to think, oh, he's just a partisan. So he's just acting very partisan. Now I think he's actually mentally ill. I'm pretty sure that's just mental illness. What do you think? It doesn't look like anything but mental illness at this point, so I hope he does well. Dr. Aseem Malhotra, who I don't know, but I suppose by the Children's Health Defense, where he was saying that 20 to 50% of all healthcare activity in the United States brings no benefit to the patient, is harmful or wasteful. Do you know why up to half of all the medical processes are not helpful? Well, he says the reason for that is because most of the published literature and medical research is poor quality. In other words, most of the published studies are absolute bullshit. But doctors don't know that, so they still prescribe based on the studies. Great. And he says the reason the problem persists is that most doctors don't know that. How many of you thought that doctors were good at reading scientific studies and then knowing how true they were? Did any of you think that doctors would be good at that? Nobody's good at that. Scientists are not that. That's why peer reviewed papers are more likely to be fake than not fake, because nobody's good at it. Not scientists, not doctors. They don't look at the raw, the raw data. They just sort of look at the data you gave them and then you go, oh, okay, well, if that data were correct, then your conclusion might be correct. But they don't know if the data is correct. That's not what the Reviewers check. So anyway, OpenAI and chip maker AMD have entered big multi bazillion dollar deal. So AMD is going to make chips for open AI and maybe someday cut Nvidia out of the process. Wall Street Journal's writing about this. It does make me wonder how much chaos is going on at OpenAI. OpenAI is competing against but also working with everything. It seems like they have so many things going on at OpenAI. How in the world could they possibly manage that? I'm very curious if it's. I'll bet if you're there it would seem like total chaos because they're moving so fast and nobody knows what anybody else is doing. But anyway, they got a big chip deal. Meanwhile, the new Prime Minister of France resigned after about five minutes. He's the fifth prime minister to resign in 21 months. Five and 21 months. That must be the worst job in the world. Here's the good news. The good news is you've been selected to be Prime Minister of France. The bad news is everybody who is selected to be the Prime Minister of France soon finds out it's a terrible deal and you'll be bailing out as fast as they did. So they still have their president, Macron, but he's in trouble politically. We'll see. I feel like Macron has been in charge forever. How many years has it been that Macron's been President of France? It feels like, it feels like 15 years. I mean, it couldn't possibly be right, but it feels like it. Trump says he's going to start authorizing attacks on land based drug dealers. He's been blown up boats. I think he's blown up five, we think five drug boats he's blown out of the water. But now he says reasonably, makes sense that there are fewer jug boats because they know they'll get blown up. So now he has to go hunt them on land, which he's going to do. So that's happening. It's the same time there's some chatter about the US might be getting ready to occupy and, or invade Venezuela on the ground. So apparently the US has tightened their siege around Venezuela and we're apparently prepared, if we get the order, the US is prepared to seize ports and airfields. So do you think there's any chance that won't happen? Do you think that Venezuelan, Venezuela is going to say, oh, oh, now that you're really serious about attacking, we'll, we'll work with you, we'll negotiate, we'll work this out. Not in the real world. In the real world, that never happens. In the real world, they will know that negotiating might be bad for them. So they will, they will try to stay there as long as they can. So Maduro probably has to be taken out. That would be my guess. I'm not sure if that's a good idea or a bad idea, but I'm a big fan of the Monroe document. And right now Venezuela seems to be in conflict with the Monroe document, which says that the US Is the dominant player in this hemisphere. And if you mess around with us, we're going to take you out. As long as it's in this hemisphere, you know, you can't mess with us in this hemisphere. It looks like they're messing with us in this hemisphere. So I would expect that Trump will act and that will be in something like a war with Venezuela or maybe it'll just be a decapitation strike, or maybe we'll just occupy some key assets and use it as a base to attack the cartels. Could be any one of those things. Well, let's talk about Gaza. We don't know if the Gaza residents like the proposed deal that's on the table right now, but one news source contacted a number of people and every person they contacted was positive about it. They all said, yeah, it's time to end the war. Now, that was a non scientific sample, but they couldn't find anybody who wanted to keep fighting. You know, for the. At least we're not talking about Hamas, we're talking about the. Just the residents. The residents are just done. It looks like. It looks like they're just out and they want this over. So we'll see. But as I described yesterday, Trump's approach to this, to take a no as a yes and then try to bully everybody into taking the no as a yes is really interesting. And there's nobody else in the world that could even try that and get away with it because we all know what he's doing. He's doing it right in front of us. Oh, Hamas said yes, but really with conditions that couldn't possibly be met, which is that they want to stay in power and keep some weapons. So that's not going to happen. And then Israel probably wants to be set up for a, you know, never have a two stage solution and they're not getting what they want. So. So Netanyahu said yes, but in all of his detailed descriptions of, you know, what they can put up with, he says no. So it's a yes no. Oh, yes, totally. All we have to do is work out these things that could not possibly be worked out. And then Hamas is doing the same thing. Oh, yes, totally. All we have to do is work out these few items that can't possibly be worked out. There's no way they could be worked out. So the. So what Trump is doing, which is so interesting, he's trying to create a reality that doesn't exist. And he might be able to pull it off. You know, it might be. He's probably got like a 50% chance of pulling it off. And the way that would work. Can you get rid of Ted E? Teddy needs. Ted E. Needs to go away right away. Talking. Talking to my engineer. All right, so we'll see. But what's happening is Trump is trying to bully people into turning their fake yes, where it was really a yes, but, and then the but was stuff that could never happen. He's trying to turn their yes, but into yes and probably just embarrassing them and bullying them and twisting their arm. I don't know if that'll work, but it's the closest we've ever been to something that looked like something that could work. So I'm. I'm just totally impressed with Trump's approach to this because he. He's essentially changing reality. He's not negotiating. If it looks like negotiating to you. I think you're missing the bigger picture. He's modifying reality itself. That's what he does. He does that better than anybody except Steve Jobs back in the day. So he's changing the reality from a yes, but to a yes. Can he do that? Yes, but to a yes. Well, nobody else could do it. I can say with some confidence nobody else would be able to do that. Could he? Can Trump pull that off? Coin flip. 50%. 50% would be amazing. By the way, anybody who had a 50 chance of pulling off a complete redefinition of reality, that's pretty impressive. But I think he has a 50 chance of pulling it off. So we'll see. Netanyahu was on some interview clash report Euro news. He said that Europe has, quote, caved in. I think he means to the Islamic folks. He says don't capitulate to terror. And he says that Europe has been absent because Europe has basically caved into Palestinian terrorism to radical Islamist minorities. Let's do. Just give them. So he's mocking the deal. He says, yeah, let's do. Let's just give them a Palestinian state, which would be the ultimate reward for Hamas after doing the greatest massacre against the Jews since the Holocaust. So what do you think of that. So Netanyahu says, you can't possibly reward one of the greatest terror acts by giving them their own country and then putting it right next doors. It'd be one thing to give them a country. I mean, that would be bad enough from Israel's point of view, because it'd be rewarding them for terrorism. But isn't it a hundred times worse if that country that you give them is right on your border and they're not done with you yet? It's way worse. Way worse. So I see Netanyahu still saying no to the deal while pretending to say yes. And then he talks about how Gaza must be de radicalized. And he used Germany and Japan after World War II as an example. And of course, that got me into a conversation on X about whether children are routinely brainwashed. Of course they are. All children are brainwashed. If they go to any kind of a school or church, they're brainwashed. And you have to. You couldn't possibly have a nation where people were not. At least the children were not brainwashed to somewhat uncritically take the side of their own team in every situation. So can you do that in Gaza? I'm going to say no. I'm going to say that wouldn't be possible. Because if you looked at Germany and Japan after World War II, they were not operating on any religious principle, were they? There's no religious principle. They were just trying to survive. So if you said, all right, the way you can survive is by, you know, letting us brainwash your kids so that they don't want to kill Americans and other people, that's how you survive. Well, Japan and Germany probably didn't have a big problem with it because they wanted to survive. They didn't want to restart the war, and they didn't have any religious blockage that would make them not do it. But Hamas is totally religious driven. I don't think you can brainwash religious people. I've never seen that done. Because they would simply resist harder. The harder you tried to brainwash them, the harder they would resist. So I don't really see a way that they could be de radicalized. So you're gonna have to decide. I mean, anything's possible in the long, long term. If you look at 50 years, maybe if you look at 10 years or 20 years. No, not a chance. They could not de radicalize anybody in 20 years. Let's see. And tomorrow is October 7th. So that will probably put some pressure on people to get this deal done because they're going to want to, probably they're going to want to wrap it up because it's a meaningful date, October 7th. But apparently Israel is continuing to bomb. So you all remember the story where Trump said, I I basically said I ordered Israel to stop bombing and they agreed. Well, apparently he did not order Israel to stop bombing and they agreed. He may have ordered them to stop, but they did not stop. They continued to bomb. Now, I doubt it's as much as it used to be. You know, maybe it's just opportunistic. If they see a target, they're like, oh, we're not going to get another chance at this one. Let's take that target out. So it might be that anyway, so keep an eye on that. I still say it's a coin flip whether peace is accomplished. I don't think Israel is looking for a piece. I think they're looking for a, let's say, a positive conclusion from their perspective, which may or may not include peace. So I think Netanyahu will derail it. If Hamas doesn't derail it first, one of them will derail it, most likely. 50% chance. 50%. I saw Mario Nawful, who does these great summaries of the news every day. You should follow him. Mario Nawful, N A W F A L. But anyway, he referred to the Ukraine, Russia thing as an energy war. So it's good to see that phrase make it into the popular notions and energy war. And sure enough, he had again. Last night, 22,000 people lost power in Ukraine's Kharkiv region because the Russians attacked their energy infrastructure. But Kyiv was attacking Russia's refinery and energy structure, too. So at this point is robots versus energy infrastructure. And it looks like that's the war. When was the last time you saw a casualty number from Ukraine that was updated? Think about that. I haven't seen a casualty number, as in this week. You know, a thousand people died. I haven't seen a casualty number at all. And it makes me wonder if the human casualties are so low that the real war is now the energy infrastructure. And I think that might be the case because I think the humans are just hiding and sending out their drones and their robots when they get a chance. So it's a robot war for sure. And Zelensky knows what's going on. He says Russia is openly trying to destroy our civilian infrastructure right now. And sure enough, they are. There's a giant fire that's erupted as if that wasn't caused by the, the Ukrainians. A massive Fire erupted all by itself, I guess, at the largest oil terminal in occupied Crimea. So that's Russian occupied. So Crimea being sort of easy to get to if you're gonna do some, you know, bombing or droning, I would say that their infrastructure is in a lot of trouble, so. But Russia says It shot down 251 Ukrainian drones last night. 251 in one night they shot down. So how many were there? Were there a thousand? Like, there's a. There's a lot of drones now. Some. Some. Some countries gonna get to a million. Somebody's gonna get to a million drones, that they would deploy, you know, all million at the same time. That's gonna happen a few years. Putin has decided that this would be a good time to offer a nuclear arms control deal. They would apparently be more voluntary. Is that a thing, A voluntary nuclear arms deal? Well, probably that's the only way there is, because it's not like if we make a nuclear arms deal and Russia doesn't do their part, it's not like we can punish them. So it's sort of all voluntary. You know, you don't even have to add that part. But Trump says it sounds like a good idea. They haven't talked about any details, but he likes that idea. Meanwhile, and this doesn't make any sense to me, Unusual Wales is reporting this, that China is floating the idea of investing a trillion dollars in the United States, according to Bloomberg. Why would China float the idea of investing a trillion dollars in the United States at the same time that we've discovered that China was doing those SIM card ops where they had built this ability to take down all the cell phones in New York. Do we really want their investments? If. If we're at war with them, we're basically at war, right, with China. I don't know why we would even accept their trillion dollars investment. So my best guess is that China thinks that the more they invest, the more power they have over us. So I suspect there might be some things they want, such as resources or something. So they might want something, and they might know that they have to make an investment to get it. But I feel like the real play is that if. If we assume that someday they'll have a lot more money than we will because they're, you know, big population in a growing country and they're good at it, that once they have way more money than we do and they're not there, but someday they probably would be, that they can simply buy us, you know, if they. If they had enough trillions of dollars and it was invested in enough American stuff they could just sort of own us. They don't have to have a, they don't have to have any kind of war. They can attack Taiwan because there'll be so many, you know, big business billionaire interests in the United States that want that Chinese money that will be like, ah, well, yeah, we, we don't want you to attack Taiwan. But on the other hand, we like these trillion dollar investments you keep making over here, so might let it go. All right. That, ladies and gentlemen, is all I can handle today. There's not much news today, is there? Does it feel like all the news is a repeat? Trump something about tariffs. Trump something about surging the National Guard into this city and then that city and then this city. It's all the same news, right? Ukraine seems to be sending drones at each other again. China wants to make a big investment again. Am I wrong? The news just stopped being different. And now even Gaza, it feels like Gaza is the shiny exception, that something big could happen there and it could lead to the, the whole Abraham Accords getting stronger and all that. So it could be a really big deal and it would be one for the ages. If Trump gets it done. He's the best president we've ever had. I mean, that would just seal it, I think about 50% chance I'll give him. And otherwise, if it doesn't get done, it's going to look like every other news cycle. Well, we were talking about making a deal, but there was no deal to be made. Just like every other week, no deal to be made. All right, I'm in severe pain, so I'm gonna say bye. And I think I'm not going to talk to the. My beloved subscribers today. I just don't feel good enough. But I'm hoping I'll feel better tomorrow. And we'll be back here tomorrow. Thanks for joining. Everybody say goodbye.