B (35:18)
Yeah, Alberta. Alberta taking back and controlling the way Quebec has a pension plan. So I'll give some background. So one of my thoughts when I came back, I came back from running strategy for a global bank and Jason had said come back, be the, be the finance minister. And I came back before I would be resident for long enough to have been elected. And so I focused on just working to try and achieve our economic strategy from within the government. And we had six or seven pillars we, that we looked at. We had a segment specific strategy around what we would do with our airports and airlines to create the kind of autonomy that Hong Kong, Singapore and Dubai had created. And we knew that Alberta had some of the same landlocked characteristics, or in their case, you know, you know, they had a large country around them that was antagonistic, like Hong Kong has with China or Singapore had with Indonesia, Malaysia and Dubai had by being landlocked. And we looked at all those strategies, how we could deploy them in Alberta. And as we were building that economic superstructure up, one of the things that became increasingly apparent to me is Alberta actually runs the economy of Canada in a really fundamental way. And if you look at something like the Alberta pension plan, if we simply said the following, the thought experiment, what if Alberta just said, we don't want much, we just want exactly what Quebec has and it's a federation that's constitutionally managed and so we're just going to take all of their power. So we will have, instead of having a federally run bureaucracy on the law enforcement side like the rcmp, which used to be very proud but now is very kind of DEI focused and politically correct, what if we had just had an Alberta based, much more accountable law enforcement system that actually took rural crime seriously? What if we funded that ourselves? What if we had our Alberta pension plan here instead of just the way the Quebec pension plan happens? So what if we took the assets that Alberta contributed to CPP iob and we took those out? Now when I started to do that thought experiment, I looked at some numbers and the thing that became evident immediately, Ezra, is that Alberta clearly owns at least 45% of the Canada pension plan easily. I think it's actually up now over 50. And when I first floated this, I ended up talking about this at CD Howe Institute. And somebody quite prominent in the pension world said, look, you're going to unravel the entire hockey sweater of Canada. And there was a chairman of a bank there who came up to me afterwards and gave me his card and said, we have to sit down, have lunch and talk. That's when it started to dawn on me, Ezra, Project Fear is interesting because I think it's a form of projection. I think in Alberta, I think in Canada, Project senior and Project Fear is a smart guy like Andrew Coyne senses deep down in his very agile, economically informed, you know, deeply federalist mind, he knows Alberta has the wherewithal to actually do this, get away with it and print it. And if that happens, if you unlock Alberta and Alberta is in a position where it creates a direct sort of trading relationship in the United States and it's unlocked, fundamentally, we will within 20 years become the single most wealthy democracy in the planet, no holds barred. It's impossible. We have. We have 5 million people and we have $5 trillion worth of assets. Qatar is, you know, this incredibly wealthy place. We have as much oil, we have as much gas as Qatar. We have more oil than the entire United States and Russia and China combined. We haven't even mapped a geological, full geological survey of our mineral wealth. This is the wealthiest democracy on planet Earth. Nothing is even close. And I think guys like Andrew and others, instinctively, even though they won't ever admit it, understand this is a place where you could actually build. We've got the same. When I set up Invest Alberta, I set it up on the pattern of Ireland, partly because if you look at Israel and you look at Ireland, two of the best sort of most capital intensive places that did a great job of attracting international capital. I looked at those two models and we built Invest Alberta on those models. And when you look at Alberta, Alberta can be five times wealthier than Ireland easily. We have far more natural wealth in Ireland. We've got a very similar sort of population structure. We have all this potential. And if you were to say, what are the three or four things keeping you from reaching your potential? The top three of the top three would be federal government interventions that prevent us from just doing the things that we want to do naturally, which they would ultimately benefit from. So at a certain point, you have to ask yourself, so what is the motive of Andrew in being so resentful over Alberta separatism, but so accommodating of Quebec separatism? What is this cultural sentiment in the east that is so antagonistic? And it's been, you know, there's something in that DNA. When you look at these old posters that you see of, you know, back in the middle of the centuries, political posters of Alberta being resentful over federal control, I think the big difference now is Alberta is reaching escape velocity. And anybody close to the Canadian economy knows just how bad it's gotten. And that if you take Canadian economic numbers and you strip out Alberta, Canada falls. It's already at the bottom of the oecd. If you, if you take Alberta and you say Alberta without Canada, it is a. It is an extraordinary, fast growing, highly competitive middle power globally. If you take Alberta out of Canada, and Canada no longer has Alberta, and Canada continues to pursue this heavy red tape, extreme bureaucracy, extreme debt. And again, people have to calc the debt on both the provincial and the federal level because of the way we're structured federally. You know, you have a country that can't work mathematically without Alberta funding things. And so I think that what you're seeing in Project Fear and Project Sneer is the Project Fear is actually the fear of people that get close to the numbers or just their intuition about this. They start to realize these people could actually pull it off, they could actually do it. They could separate, and if they did, the Canadian experiment would be over. And so I think the stakes are much higher than people are willing to admit. And they're going through the five phases of grief or whatever that framing is. And I think denial is the first one. And I think they're starting to realize we mockery kind of helps them feel better because it's a form of denial. But as you get closer and closer to what this is. And again, I don't want separatism. I want a restructuring of the architecture of Alberta in Canada. But my restructuring the architecture of Alberta and Canada pivots off of Ottawa being willing to make Alberta as autonomous as Quebec, plus some other things. And right now, the signal that they're sending even under this new prime minister, is they're totally unwilling to do even the most rational middle steps. And so they are in a position where you're going to start to see this get hotter and hotter. You're going to see people like Andrew get angrier and angrier because the closer you get to that moment and what they don't realize they're doing like that Globe and Mail and some of the things Andrew writes is they're just lighting a fire under the middle of the middle of the road people. And I really believe you're going to see something very similar happen to Brexit if Andrew and the Globe and Mail keep it up, which is they're trying to play to their Toronto cocktail club crowd and they're not doing a job. They're not doing the right thing by they're not fairly interrogating what the issues actually are that are splitting the country right now, because they don't want to offend their friends in Ottawa. And by not doing that, they're missing the point. And by missing the point, they're going to continue to create a scenario where more and more people that are in that large range in the middle like they were in Brexit are going to say, you know what? If you're giving me the choice between continuing with this failed status quo of another lost decade, culturally and economically in this country, or trying something new, even if it's not perfect, or even if I don't like the way it's framed, I'm willing to try something new. And I think they don't understand just how deep that middle vote is. I can tell you right now, as I've said this on a few things recently, I'm talking to people that no one would ever guess would say, if you ask me to vote, I'm going to vote, that we just try something totally new here. And no one's saying, I want separatism. What they're saying is nothing in this federal structure is working. The whole thing is broken and I want to reset. And that's what a lot of people are going to vote for. And they're going to see the way this question is framed is a little too much for them, but they're going to be willing to try it as a way of forcing the entire country to have a real debate about its future.