
Hosted by Reuters · EN

Trump imposed new duties on 60 trading partners overnight using a forced labor justification, oil is surging past $100 on Red Sea chaos, the Fed heads into next week's meeting more divided than its been in years, and Intel just shattered Wall Street expectations on the back of the AI boom. Today’s recommended read: Who is funding America’s widening debt with the rest of the world?, Jamie McGeever Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid&newsletter,&and check out his columns on&Reuters Open Interest. Read more from&Amanda Cooper&and&Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Alphabet's cloud revenue grew more than 80% year on year and the stock still dropped 3%. Tesla burned cash too, positing its first negative free cash flow in over two years. And with Houthi militants now forcing Saudi tankers to turn around in the Red Sea, oil is pushing toward $100 a barrel - giving the ECB a headache it wasn't expecting today. Today’s recommended read: America's 'mass affluence' is bigger than you think, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid&newsletter,&and check out his columns on&Reuters Open Interest. Read more from&Amanda Cooper&and&Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Japan's yen hits a 40-year low above 163 per dollar, putting Tokyo on intervention watch. Alphabet reports earnings after the bell tonight, kicking off hyperscaler earnings season. And Brent crude climbs again as fighting continues in the Gulf, Saudi tankers are turned back and the U.S. confirms the conflict has cost over $37 billion. Today’s recommended read:Three midweek thoughts - jobs, Fed targets and volatility, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid&newsletter,&and check out his columns on&Reuters Open Interest. Read more from&Amanda Cooper&and&Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Ten days into what was already supposed to be a ceasefire reports emerge of a push to mediate yet another 10-day ceasefire in U.S.-Iran hostilities - leaving markets struggling to keep up. In the UK, bond markets stay relatively calm under new Prime Minister Andy Burnham, who has committed to keeping UK debt stable over time, appointing John Healey as finance minister. And tariffs are back, with U.S. President Donald Trump levying 50% duties on roughly $20 billion Canadian goods including ice hockey gear, in the first use of Section 338 since the Supreme Court struck down his executive order. Today’s recommended read: Burnham kicks off UK premiership with lucky breaks. Investors hope they last, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Crude tops $90 a barrel for the first time since early June as U.S. strikes on Iran enter their ninth day and two tankers are hit in the Strait of Hormuz. Markets are also watching Alphabet's Wednesday earnings, the first of the major hyperscalers to report. Plus, Andy Burnham is formally named Britain's new prime minister and investors wait to learn who will fill the key role of Finance Minister. Today’s recommended read: Forget crude. War pushes refiners to the brink, Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Osundairo Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Japanese chip stocks lead a broad sell-off in Asian trading as investors question whether the AI spending cycle has peaked. China's Moonshot unveils what it calls the world's largest open-source AI model as President Xi Jinping hosts a global AI cooperation conference in Beijing. And Netflix shares fall after a second consecutive quarter of disappointing sales growth. Today’s recommended read: Trump could get a lesson on Iran from an unlikely source — emus, Clyde Russell Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

SpaceX has fallen back below its $135 listing price and sits more than 30% off its post-listing peak, with insiders expected to begin selling as lockup periods expire over the coming months. The company has yet to confirm a date for its first earnings report. TSMC's record 77% profit jump offers some relief to chip investors after a rocky week. Plus, the British pound climbs to a one-year high against the euro on UK finance minister speculation. Today’s recommended read: Fed flip-flops make case for less talk, Mike Dolan Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Europe's ASML raises its full-year revenue forecast, steadying sentiment around AI infrastructure spending after IBM logged its worst single-day stock drop on record. U.S. core CPI posts its first monthly decline in over six years, easing pressure on the Fed. And volatile markets and a busy IPO pipeline hand the big banks a bumper quarter. Today’s recommended read: China's latest 'shock', German auto pain and the euro/yuan pressure cooker, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A fresh escalation in the Gulf, with Iranian missile attacks on shipping and a U.S. blockade declaration, pushes oil sharply higher and overshadows today's U.S. inflation report. Headline CPI had been forecast to fall below 4%, but with oil re-accelerating, that backward-looking relief may already feel like a moot point. Fed Governor Christopher Waller says core inflation is simply "too high," and markets are now pricing almost a 50% chance of a rate hike as soon as this month. Plus, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces Congress for the first time later today. Today’s recommended read: China blunted Iran war oil shock, but can it do the same for fuels?, Clyde Russell Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oil prices surge but traders aren't panicking yet as U.S.-Iran strikes escalate and Iran claims the Strait of Hormuz is closed - even as U.S. Central Command says around 20 ships got through in the last 24 hours. Meanwhile, June CPI data drops Tuesday and big bank earnings kick off a week that will test soaring tech valuations. Today’s recommended read: Cheap drones turn energy into the global economy's weak spot, Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Read more from Amanda Cooper and Anna Szymanski Produced by Eliza Davis Beard and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices