Podcast Summary: Search Engine with PJ Vogt
Episode: How does a rationalist make a baby?
Date: September 5, 2025
Host: PJ Vogt
Guest: Ayla (sex worker, researcher, writer)
Episode Overview
In this episode, PJ Vogt explores how someone from the rationalist community—a subculture that strives to make decisions based on reason, evidence, and self-scrutiny—approaches the classically emotional, messy task of deciding how, and with whom, to have a child. His guest, Ayla, is known online for her provocative writing about sex, her unusual research surveys, and as a vivid personality in Bay Area rationalist circles. The conversation delves into Ayla’s religious upbringing, her radical transformation into adulthood, her intellectual journey through rationalist spaces, and her current project: optimizing the process of partnering and procreation, complete with cash bounties and prediction markets.
Key Discussion Points & Insights
1. Ayla’s Background—From Calvinism to Rationalism
- Evangelical Upbringing: Raised Calvinist, homeschooled, and coached by a father who was a professional Christian debater ([06:01]).
- "Training for war": Family dinners included Bible study, argument drills, and “enemy” counter-arguments ([07:33]).
- Early Doubts: Even as a teen, Ayla noticed the intense belief of other religions and promised herself openness to being wrong ([08:08]).
- Leaving Faith: Only after leaving home and encountering non-Christians did her perspective shift; realized "goodness" wasn’t exclusive to her faith ([09:39]).
“Christians aren’t that curious if they’re wrong... the whole strategy is more how do you defend how right you are?”
— Ayla, [06:07]
2. Post-Religious Life: Survival and Sex Work
- Hard Times: Unable to afford college, Ayla worked in a factory, described as “just lived to work” and “really sad” ([11:02], [12:09]).
- Pivot to Sex Work: Prompted by a relationship and financial necessity, Ayla became a camgirl, which gave her creative freedom ([12:47]).
- Philosophy of Self-Discovery: She discarded previous moral scripts, approaching life “from first principles”—an early sign of rationalist instincts ([14:17]).
“I have to start from scratch. I have to throw everything out, forget everything. It told me I need to figure everything out from first principles.”
— Ayla, [14:17]
3. Analytic Approach to Sex Work
- Learning Curve: Initially struggled because of literal, analytic presentation: “Please give me money” didn’t sell ([16:27]).
- Optimization: Iteratively studied what worked (e.g., talking slower, smiling, using simpler words) and adapted ([17:46]).
- Experimental Spirit: Innovative performances like her viral “gnome” photo set on Reddit ([18:53]).
- Reflection on Value: Noted that creativity and intelligence didn’t necessarily translate to higher earnings compared to simple, conventional approaches ([20:01]).
“I made more money when I talked slowly and used simpler words and just smiled a whole lot.”
— Ayla, [17:59]
4. Encountering Rationalism
- Discovery: Introduced to LessWrong (rationalist community board) by a partner after a period of experimentation and existential questioning ([23:19]).
- Definition: Rationalism focused on “finding what’s true” through deliberate, rigorous thinking and questioning assumptions ([05:13], [25:29]).
- Difference from Religion: Rationality isn’t a dogma but a process. “Religion is curiosity stopping... rationality, it was more like a process" ([25:33]).
- Transformative Moment: Realized after interacting with rationalists that her previous debate style was about “winning,” not understanding ([27:44]).
“It’s like you try and throw a grenade at somebody and they don’t even notice you threw a grenade.”
— Ayla, [28:22]
5. Community Life in Rationalist Circles
- Meetups & Group Houses: Rationalist meetups became communal events resembling secular Bible study, later evolving into group living and potlucks ([28:48]).
- Shared Network: Community is tight-knit, offering trust and practical support—"if you're part of the rationalist community I could be like, 'Hey, I'm a rationalist. Can I use your bathroom?'" ([29:55]).
- Playful Critique: Ayla tried to liven up the community's unembodied nature with “naked parties”—but even nude, the rationalists just debated politics ([32:15]).
"I will design a party that will maximize how weird the environment is... and it did not work."
— Ayla, [32:15]
6. Optimizing Partnership & Procreation
- A Rationalist Question: How do you apply rationalist principles to finding a life partner and making a baby? ([37:59])
- “Rationality is about winning”: Success is defined by demonstrable outcomes, not just having correct beliefs ([38:05]).
- Prediction Markets & Surveys:
- Used prediction markets to let others bet on her dating outcomes as a reality check ([38:42]).
- Designed dating surveys with weighted scoring to objectively filter and select compatible partners ([39:59]).
- Found current partner this way—he scored high on her survey, prompting a relationship ([41:01]).
- Challenging Romantic Myths: Ayla emphasizes optimization over mysticism in matters of love, openly discussing and discarding cultural taboos around it ([41:59]).
“I think a lot of the world sort of shies away from optimizing things that are supposed to be magical... Rationalists don’t really ascribe to the mythology kind of thing. They're like, no, you can optimize anything.”
— Ayla, [41:35]
7. The $100,000 Matchmaking Bounty
- Public Bounty: Offered $100,000 to anyone who introduces her to a future spouse (and up to $300,000 for connecting her with someone who pays her to bear and raise a child as a single mom) ([42:32], [44:33]).
- Logic of the Bounty: Inspired by traditional matchmakers asking large fees, Ayla realized she could “crowdsource” the process ([43:19]).
- Results: Submissions have been unimpressive so far; finding a compatible partner remains hard ([46:25]).
“If I’m actually willing to part with 100k for a husband… shouldn’t I crowdsource this?”
— Ayla, [43:42]
8. Navigating Uncertainty and Social Penalty
- Emotional Challenge: Acknowledges loneliness and fear of never finding the right partner ([47:14]).
- Openness to Experiment: Sees value in trying new things, even if they fail, for the learning and data generated ([48:50]).
- About Being Wrong: Discusses the rationalist value of publicly admitting when you're wrong, despite the innate social pain ([49:22]).
"Everybody knowing you’re wrong sucks. And sometimes my brain will refuse to let me think clearly because I’m subconsciously avoiding the fear of social penalties."
— Ayla, [49:29]
Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments
- On her upbringing:
“My dad is a career Christian debater. So I learned a lot about debate and reason, but through a very Christian lens.” ([06:01]) - On optimization over romance:
“You can optimize anything. Is there just a better way to look for love?... rationalists don’t really ascribe to the mythology kind of thing.” ([41:35]) - On her viral “gnome” photos:
“Getting striptease… and then I got abducted by gnomes that slowly invaded as the photos progressed.” ([18:53]) - On the rationalist community:
“Religion is curiosity stopping… rationality, it was more like a process.” ([25:33]) - On the failure of the naked party:
“It was stilted… at some point, it just became like a long debate about global politics.” ([33:34]) - On the bounty logic:
“If I’m actually willing to part with 100k for a husband… shouldn’t I crowdsource this?” ([43:42]) - On being openly wrong:
“I think a lot of the rationalist community tries… to reward people who admit being wrong to help our primate brains be less afraid.” ([49:29])
Timestamps: Important Segments
- [02:17] Ayla introduces herself and online identity
- [05:13] Explaining Rationalism as a community and intellectual stance
- [06:01] Calvinist upbringing and the “debate” family culture
- [09:39] Path out of religion and into secular life
- [12:47] Start in sex work, motivations, and first principles
- [17:46] Learning and optimizing cam work
- [23:19] Introduction to LessWrong and the rationalist world
- [25:33] “Rationality is a process” and differences from religion
- [32:15] Experimenting with rationalist parties and social norms
- [37:59] Applying rationality to relationships and procreation
- [39:59] Using surveys and prediction markets in dating
- [42:32] The $100,000 matchmaking bounty and rationale
- [46:25] Results (so far) and reflections on the experiment
- [48:50] Value in trying new things—accepting being wrong
- [49:29] Fear of social penalty, rationalist culture of error-admission
Conclusion — What Makes a Rationalist Family?
Ayla’s approach to finding a life partner and having a child is a vivid experiment in applying rationalist “first principles” to one of humanity’s oldest and most emotional questions. She foregrounds transparency, experimentation, and optimization—qualities shared and occasionally lampooned in rationalist circles—while discarding cultural and romantic myths about love and parenthood. The episode provides a thoughtful, humorous, and open-hearted look at both the rationalist quest and the human condition of longing and uncertainty, inviting listeners to consider new ways of solving old puzzles, and perhaps new ways of embracing their own uncertainty and weirdness.
For more, find Ayla's writing at her Substack, “Knowing Less.”
