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- [00:00]
Podcast Announcer
This is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Then she says, have you seen a photo of my son? And I'm like, who is this person? Welcome to the Boys and Girls Podcast. Arranged marriage is basically a reality show and you're auditioning for your soulmate. And who's judging? Only your entire family. I sacrificed myself to this ancient tradition hoping to find love the right way. And instead I found chaos, copy, comedy and a lot of cringe. Listen to boys and Girls on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. The human body is a beautiful machine and keeping it running means understanding how it actually works. Which is why this Podcast Will Kill youl is doing a multi part series on sleep. What it's for, why our bodies don't follow neat rules, and why modern life is not helping. When you consider what we know about sleep in humans, there's one rule that comes out we are predictably unpredictable sleepers. We'll continue exploring how the body works with a multi part series on Digestive Funct. So listen to our newest series which runs January 20 through February 17 with new episodes every Tuesday from the Exactly Right Network. Listen to this podcast will kill you on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. This is the biggest night in podcasting.
- [01:12]
Simon Hunter
The countdown is on to our 2026 iHeart Podcast Awards live from south by Southwest March 16th. We'll honor the very best in podcasting from the past year and celebrate the most innovative, talented creators in the industry. It's truly a who's who of the podcasting world. Creativity, knowledge and will all be on full display. And the winner of the iHeart Podcast Award is. See all the nominees now at iheart.com podcast awards.
- [01:40]
Podcast Announcer
Audible is a proud sponsor of the Audible Audio Pioneer Award. Explore the best selection of audiobooks, podcasts and originals all in one easy app. Audible. There's more to imagine when you listen. Sign up for a free trial@Audible.com
- [01:56]
Simon Hunter
Saturday, May 2 Country's biggest stars will be in Austin, Texas at our 2026 I Heart Country FE Festival presented by Capital One. See Kane Brown, Parker McCollum, Riley Green, Shaboozy Dylan Scott, Russell Dickerson, Gretchen Wilson, Chase Matthew Lauren Elena. Tickets are on sale now. Get yours before they sell out@ticketmaster.com welcome
- [02:29]
Chad Millman
to Sharper Square presented by Hard Rock Bat. We are part of the Volume Podcast Network. This is the show that makes the square sharper and makes the wise guys pay attention. I am Chad Millman. I am joined as always, by my bff, my companion, my compadre, my co host, professional better Simon Hunter. Hello, Simon.
- [02:53]
Simon Hunter
Chad. How are we doing, brother?
- [02:55]
Chad Millman
Hey. You know, it's funny. The other day I was watching something on TikTok and it was a old video of Goldie Hawn and Kurt Russell presenting at the Academy Awards. And she said to Kurt Russell, kurt, you are my best friend. You are my companion. You are my compadre. I'm like, oh, my God, did we steal that from them? But I always thought we stole it from Eastbound and Down. So maybe Eastbound and Down stole it from Kurt Russell and Goldie Hawn, but we're like the Kurt Russell and Goldie Hawn of sports betting podcasting. Simon.
- [03:37]
Simon Hunter
I like that shot. Yeah, I agree, honey.
- [03:39]
Podcast Announcer
I was just thinking back there that we fit in completely to the theme of the show because we are co stars, we're compadres, we're companions, and we're a couple.
- [03:51]
Simon Hunter
There's only one thing we're not.
- [03:53]
Chad Millman
What married people should know if they're watching on YouTube, it is the off season. You are in the middle of moving. So if you look funny or you are in more repose than usual, it's because you are displaced from your house that you have sold and figuring out where you're going to go next. And so you're in transition right now.
- [04:17]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, off season mode, truly on the move. This is the best. I love the off season. And yeah, honestly, it doesn't feel like an offseason just because football is never ending. But yeah, definitely, definitely on the move right now. So, yeah, sorry if the video quality is not the best. Hopefully audio is still good.
- [04:33]
Chad Millman
All right, well, listen, we do have some off season NFL stuff to talk about. And next week we got our good friend Bill Barnwell coming on. He's been doing some great columns about where he thinks players will land, how he's ranking offensive players, and who's potentially going to be moving in defensive players. But, Simon, today I do want to talk about season win totals because those did come out in advance of all the free agency, in advance of all the draft moves. And, you know, we've talked a little bit about it. Before we even kick off, we did have an emailer question the Cleveland Browns, and I'm glad they did because apparently we talked about the Cleveland Browns as like, long shot, super bowl. And as I was going through this, the Cleveland Browns were standing out to me as like a definite under six and a half. So I need to reconcile right now. What we're talking about where do we stand for this emailer to answer the question about the Cleveland Browns overall?
- [05:37]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, you probably don't remember because we were just giving out what we liked better than 1001 odds to win the Super Bowl. So he had. 130 to 1 is what I gave out the Browns and then it got worse afterwards. That's why we joked about like, I think Jim Schwartz left the team after that show and tons of touring. My whole view of it is just if he comes back, Deshaun Watson and he still has any type of talent, that's a good number for a guy with some playoff experience. But I think the market is telling you that they think it's going to be another terrible year. And last year I believe they opened a five and a half and then they dropped the four and a half. And it was, I mean, I was being serious. I liked the bet. I gave it out at our live show we did last year in the spring. So I've always kind of been on the brown simply because of their defense this year. I get why you're a little hesitant on them, Chad. The six and a half feels pretty high and we don't know how that defense is going to be with the new DC in there. And we have so many questions about Watson right now. So that's one I have not placed a single bet on. But yeah, if someone's like, hey, would you take the over right now? I don't think you need to rush to take that over. I think you can be patient on that over, in my opinion.
- [06:45]
Chad Millman
All right, so today's show is going to be all about season win totals. Hard Rock bet put a bunch out. The highest number is a ten and a half. There's Baltimore, Buffalo, Detroit, Green Bay, Kansas City, Chargers, Rams, Philly, Niners, Seahawks. So there's a decent number of the teams at that ten and a half. Let's do a quick rundown. Good value, bad value, over or under, where you would lean on each one of these teams. Are you ready?
- [07:26]
Simon Hunter
Let's do it.
- [07:27]
Chad Millman
All right, first one, Baltimore ten and a half. Let's immediately on the count of three, say if you think over or under. Okay. So I don't know where you're going to go. You don't know where I'm going to go. Ready? Baltimore minus ten and a half. One, two, three. Under.
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Simon Hunter
Under.
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Chad Millman
Wow. What's your logic? I'll tell you mine.
- [07:48]
Simon Hunter
Just because how early we are. I have a lot of questions about what they've done at hiring the head coach. Position I have still questions about Lamar which is deal with the team. And um, there's a couple of teams you mentioned we're run through here that like I instantly bet their unders when these came out and this is not one of them. But immediately that caught my eye of okay. In a tough division with unknown at the quarterback position, unknown at the head coaching position, the safe play is the under. But easily we both would agree if Lamar is good to go, fully healthy and plays the full season, they'll hit the over. But that has not happened in quite some time. Like I said, he's now missed. He's not played in the playoffs three of the last five years. Lamar. So that's, that's the big question mark with this Ravens team.
- [08:29]
Chad Millman
You're supposed to say it at the same time I say it.
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Simon Hunter
We can't be doing this the whole time. There's too much of a delay.
- [08:38]
Chad Millman
One, two, three. I'm with you though. Like we don't know what that defense is going to be. Right. That's really the big question. They had been inconsistent and not playing well at the end of the year. Was that just Zach or's scheme? Is it how Harbaugh was, was dictating Zach or play the game? We don't know. Jesse Minter, the new coach could make them brilliant the way Mike McDonald did with Seattle. We don't know that yet. A lot of question marks. Value under plus 115. Matt Mitchell. Here we go. Buffalo Bills minus 10 and a half. One, two, three. Under.
- [09:20]
Simon Hunter
This is. This feels like an easy, easy over for me. Josh Allen. I don't care who the new head coach is. I like Joe Brady. I think he'll be able to make that offensive work. What he's done these last couple years. Leaning more into the run, protecting the ball more with Josh. I love it all. I mean to me the questions will always be on the defense and I don't see as a negative getting rid of, you know what I viewed as a mid level coach in the way especially coach the defense now. And Sean McDermott had his time and I do think here this is a low total where if they still had him, this is probably 11 and a half. Maybe the public feels more confident about it. On the other way, it feels like last year was a down year for that Bills team. I think this is a way, way over. So I've hit this quite a little bit. Chad. You can probably tell. So I'm.
- [10:06]
Chad Millman
You have?
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Simon Hunter
Yeah. I got this graded over 11 and a half. So a full Full win under where I have this graded at, which is good value for me for early play.
- [10:15]
Chad Millman
All right, maybe I'll change my mind.
- [10:17]
Simon Hunter
I was saying, you get the jets. The jets in Miami in this division chat. So that's four wins.
- [10:23]
Chad Millman
Yeah.
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Simon Hunter
You don't think he can get you six and a half more? So it's. It's really one of those where it's such a bad division. You have the mvp. It's. You got it. I know. I know where you're coming from. The Katrarian you right where you're coming from. But, yeah, I think as the season gets a little closer, you'll be like, okay, I should invest heavily into this over. This is way too low for Josh Allen.
- [10:43]
Chad Millman
Detroit 10 and a half. Minus 135 to the over. Plus 110 to the under. This is a tricky one. Detroit 10 and a half. Let me think about it. One, two, three, under.
- [11:00]
Simon Hunter
Yeah. This is again, just like the Bills. This is my second biggest bet I've made in this offseason. One in the under. Yeah. I can't believe it. This feels like a line from the past. It's. We talk all the time football. Your window closes pretty quick and you can lie to yourself and say, well, they've had bad injury luck. That O line is done. There is no saving that O line. They've had guys retiring, they've had guys with a ton of injuries. They've not drafted right for the O line. And we've seen if Goff doesn't have an O line, I mean, that's going to be a big problem. So to me, maybe your defense gets a little healthier, but in that division, I just think Green Bay is going to be better. I think the Bears, even though you can say, well, they went way better than they should have been last year, they're going to build off that. This is going to be year or two of Ben Johnson. So even with the questions you might have with the Vikings in the quarter position, I think ten and a half is a past line. So I know some pros who have actually liked this over. And they've been betting it. You can get this now at a plus number for the under. So a couple different books. Plus 120, plus 115. I really like this under on this Detroit team.
- [12:09]
Chad Millman
Green Bay ten and a half. One, two, three. Over.
- [12:14]
Simon Hunter
Over. Yeah, I didn't really bet it. I didn't bet it. But yeah, I just. I think we're on the same page, right? Head coach, quarterback if they stay healthy. They just had such bad injury luck last year. If they are so much great offensive line, you know, Parsons on that defense should be improved. And you know, I think we're on the same page. And that division, of all the teams are probably the best value right now
- [12:36]
Chad Millman
to win that division, so. Couldn't agree more. I feel like they got annihilated by injuries at the end of the year. Could have been a much better team. I'm GLAD they're bringing LaFleur back. And I think in that division with the Lions, who we both think are going to be under with the Vikings, who have quarterback issues, the Bears to me are going to be the biggest challenge for them. But even if they split with the Bears, this is a very, very talented team. LA Chargers. I'm sorry, Kansas City Chiefs. 10 and a half. Minus 115, minus 105. 1, 2, 3, under. So mine is with a caveat. Yeah, obviously. When is Patrick Mahomes back?
- [13:24]
Simon Hunter
Exactly.
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Chad Millman
So that's why I'm winning under your logic here is maybe you play the under and when you start to get more of an idea, you might get better value on the over.
- [13:36]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, I just don't. I wouldn't put money to an over this, this early on. This type of team where it's like that's if it comes out that he's still not right in September and he's not going to play until October, November. I mean you're already taking five games with no Mahomes on a team that he's always making them overachieve. So just like Detroit, I think we romance the pass and you know that's. That's a pass number like you're telling me they're the 10 and a half in their division is the same as Josh Allen's. 10 and a half is ludicrous. That's why I'm saying people if you're going to bet heavy into something that Bill's one's a treat this game, this number. Yeah, we're leaning right now. Stay away, stay away. There's too much unknown with this side.
- [14:17]
Chad Millman
And what's interesting is they have another team in the division that is also 10 and a half in the LA Chargers. Interesting that the Broncos aren't a 10 and a half, but the Chargers are. That has to be completely. Because they expect the offensive line to be improved. And to me, I'm kind of passing on this team until they've proven to me that they can combat injury luck, that they can run an effective offense that Justin Herbert can be good over the length of a season and be consistent over the length of a season, not just against bad teams. And so I'm kind of a pass on this right now.
- [15:02]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, I would lean the overrun just like you. It's if they're healthy. Yeah, we think they're going to be obviously much better offensively. The question is how they're going to be defensive without Minter. That's going to be a big difference. That man was a really good coach and that's why, you know, if you like the Ravens and that move, it could be a huge upgrade. But yeah, that's the question here for me is just how is the defense speed. But yeah, I think you nailed a little bit. There's another team in this division way better value on taking their over. So this one I lean to the over. I'm not going to force bet here on the Chargers though.
- [15:30]
Chad Millman
Who's the team in the division that has way better value?
- [15:33]
Simon Hunter
Denver. Yeah, Denver. Nine and a half. I couldn't believe that when I first saw it like that. To me, one of the worst lines of the books, the books hang like that. That and the Bills, they're just to me two really bad lines by the books. They're just. They hang these lines really to see what the professionals do. And that's gonna be one to me. They're just gonna absolutely hammer. This will be easily 10 and a half come September. There's no way if Mahomes is gonna miss time as well. This will be 10 and a half, minus 120 to the over like that. That to me is the type of movement you can get on the Steinhalf. So yeah, that's what I always talk about. You're looking for great offensive lines. They have that. You're looking for a quarterback that keeps improving year to year. Bo's done that. And you know, when you look at the coaching, you know Sean Payton you might look at as a negative that he's taking a step back, not calling plays. I think when he needs to, he will be calling the plays. When he needs to intervene, he will be making those plays. And I still think the first 40 plays of the game he'll be scripting regard. So I really love that that opening number. Anytime you can get a team that made it to an AFC championship game that their quarterback got banged up and that's why they didn't win it, they hold that going into the whole off season. That's a highly, highly motivated team in Denver. So to me that is a bad, bad number by the sportsbooks.
- [16:50]
Chad Millman
Today's show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, Hard Rock bet. Florida's sportsbook march is here, and that means college basketball takes center stage. The stakes are rising, the shots are, and now's the time to hit the hardwood with Hard Rock bet. And if you ever miss tip off of a big game, don't worry. Hard Rock Bet lets you live bet all game long, from the first bucket to the final buzzer, so you're never too late to find a winner or grab that player prop that you had circled. And if America's recent hockey glory has you feeling extra patriotic, you can bet the Stars and Stripes on the world baseball stage. 2. Hard Rock Bet lets you double your winnings on your first 10 bets, max 50 bucks. So if you would have won a hundred bucks on your same game Parlay, make that 200 bucks. Plus, Hard Rock bet offers new promos daily, so whenever you're listening, just open the app and check out what you've got. Any day of the week, download the Hard Rock Bet app and make your first deposit today. Offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida. Offered by Seminole Hard Rock Digital Outlet LC and all other states must be 21 or over and physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia. To play, terms and conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida? Call 1833 playwise in Indiana. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-8-09 with it.
- [18:16]
Podcast Announcer
Ready for a different take on Formula One? Look no further than no Grip, a new podcast tackling the culture of motor racing's movie most coveted series. Join me, Lily Herman, as we dive into the underexplored pockets of F1, including the astrology of the current grid. Lewis Hamilton, Capricorn Sun Cancer Moon Wouldn't you know it? Michael Schumacher is also a Capricorn Sun Cancer Moon, the story of the sport's most consequential driver. Strike. We have one man who, upon hearing that he was going to be fired, freaked out and apparently climbed out the window of the bathroom and was Daniel recommended. Ricardo's illustrious F1 career a success story, a cautionary tale, or some combination of both. He started getting all this attention and he maybe started to think, I'm bigger than this, I'm better. And plenty of other mishaps, scandals and sagas that have made Formula One a delightful, decadent dumpster fire for more than 75 years. Listen to no Grip on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. Segregation in the day, integration at night. When segregation was the law, one mysterious black club owner had his own rules.
- [19:25]
Chad Millman
We didn't worry about what was going on outside. It was like stepping in another world.
- [19:31]
Podcast Announcer
Inside Charlie's Place, black and white people danced together. But not everyone was happy about it.
- [19:38]
Simon Hunter
You saw the kkk.
- [19:40]
Chad Millman
Yeah, they was dressed up in their uniform. The KKK set out to raid Charlie,
- [19:46]
Podcast Announcer
take him away from here.
- [19:48]
Chad Millman
Charlie was an example of power.
- [19:52]
Simon Hunter
They had to crush him.
- [19:55]
Podcast Announcer
From Atlas Obscura, Rococo Punch and visit Myrtle beach comes Charlie's Place, a story that was nearly lost to time until now. Listen to Charlie's place on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A ambitious, well intentioned, ferocious and wealthy mother looks like in the black community this Women's History Month. The podcast Keep It Positive Sweetie celebrates the power of women, choosing healing, purpose and faith. Even when life gets messy, love. It's not a destination. You have to work on it every day. Keep It Positive Sweetie creates space for honest conversations on self worth, love, growth, and navigating life with grace and grit, led by women who uplift, inspire, and tell the truth out loud. I have several conversations with God and
- [20:47]
Chad Millman
I know why it took 20 years
- [20:50]
Podcast Announcer
to hear this and more. Listen to Keep It Positive sweetie on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. It's the new me and it's the old them. Everybody's on their journey and your journey is different to theirs. This Women's History Month. The podcast if youf Knew Better with Amber Grimes spotlights women who turn missteps into momentum and lessons into power. I think coming out of where I came from, I'm from the Bronx. I think I grew up really poor. I didn't know that then. Cause I very much use my creativity to romanticize life. And I'm like, my mom did a really good job of like, you step back and you're like, whoa.
- [21:25]
Chad Millman
We.
- [21:26]
Podcast Announcer
I don't know how we made it. So a lot of my life was like, built out of, like, survival to get to the next place, like my drive, my, like, tunnel vision of like, I gotta be better, I gotta achieve this was off the strengths of like, I wanna make a better life for us. If you Knew Better brings real talk from women who've lived it, unpacking, career pivots, relationship lessons, and the mindset shift that changed everything. Listen to if youf Knew Better with Amber grimes on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcast
- [21:58]
Chad Millman
In Ohio, call 1-800-My reset gambling problem. Call 1-800- Gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Tennessee, Virginia, La Rams. The team we loved all of last year. One of the three remaining team. Four remaining teams at 10 and a half at Hard Rock. Bet the over is minus 40. The under plus 115. Let me think about this for a second. Okay, ready? One, two, three.
- [22:35]
Simon Hunter
Under.
- [22:35]
Chad Millman
Under.
- [22:36]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, yeah, you gotta. I mean this Stafford coming off the MVP year, it felt like everything broke their way. The only thing that didn't break their way was the refs blew dead at two point conversion that they ruled not. They ruled a backward pass and that's why Seattle had home field advantage. And that literally, you look back, that literally dictated honestly so much in the playoffs. So it felt like last year was the Rams year and they kind of missed it. So pains for me to say because I love this Rams team. Obviously they have the coach, the quarterback, but you're banking a lot on Stafford to have the back to back career years and stay healthy another full season.
- [23:12]
Chad Millman
All right, your favorite team with a brand new offensive coordinator, the Philadelphia Eagles. Ten and a half plus money at the ten and a half, minus at the under. One, two, three, over, over. Dude, we are. We haven't spoken in like a week and we are a mind meld today.
- [23:38]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, I don't know about you, but I just think it's because of the division. Yeah, I do think the Eagles could take a step back. But how? He's just drafted so well. They have just so much talent. That step back still feels like 11, 10 wins. So you know, if they, if it all clicks this year, the offensive line's right, the defense is better. This is easily a 13 win team. But if they have another down year like they did last year, you know, in house drama and all that, sure, 10, 11 wins sounds about right. So I think this is priced right by the book at ten and a half. I have it right there as well. And I like that we're both leaning to the over for them.
- [24:14]
Chad Millman
You know what's funny? This past weekend I do this trip every year with all my high school buddies and all of the wives. So it ends up being like 20, 25 people. Andy and Matt frequent guests in name of the show. They were there with their wives. Andy's wife organizes the whole trip for like 30 people. She's, you know, amazing, right? Figures the whole thing out, orders the food, does the activities, gets the houses, everything. She's Unbelievable. I can't tell you. It's end of February, beginning of March, how much of the conversation that we all had was about football. We talked about football sitting by the pool. We talked about football eating dinner. We talked about the Bears. We talked about can the Bears go to the Super Bowl? We talked about the Vikings. We talked about the Vikings firing their GM as soon as the Seattle Seahawks made the playoffs. The Cubs are in sprint training. We didn't talk about the Cubs that much. We talked about football so freaking much. And this conversation reminds me how much it dictates our fandom and how much people love it. Thinking of you talking about the Eagles, expressing your hopes and expectations and understanding them so intimately. I love football.
- [25:50]
Simon Hunter
Yeah. I always say to people, when the rest of the world's falling apart, I really lean into football. So definitely right now, it's my just if I need to get away from it, I'm right there with you. Chad. Talking football, it's the great equalizer. You meet some random person, they got some football hat on, you can shoot the shit about anything. Everyone's always following the league. Doesn't matter if it's March or maybe we care about football 24, seven year round, brother.
- [26:16]
Chad Millman
one point, this is how much we think about football. It's Saturday night. There's about 15 of us sitting around very late at night. You can only imagine what we've been doing in the four or five hours previous. And one of the guys who's married to one of our close high school friends, her husband says, Chad Deshaun Watson or Shador Sanders, who's more likely to be in the NFL in the next two years. And I said, Shador Sanders. And Matt sitting next to me was like, ah, fuck. And I said, what happened? And he went on to tell this story about. About four or five years ago, one of his kids was so into the trading card market and he had come upon a desean Watson one of one rookie card signed by Deshaun Watson. And he had put together a PowerPoint to convince Matt that he should spend an inordinate, an extraordinarily high amount of money on this desean Watson card. And. And pretty much the second he bought it, Deshaun Watson got labeled with the sexual harassment and, you know, got run out of Houston and basically hasn't played since. I forgot why I started telling that story.
- [27:49]
Simon Hunter
Well, I can finish it for you. I'll just say this as someone that collects cards, that's why Pokemon one piece, much safer. You never have to worry about cartoon ever getting a dui. Sexual harassment, sports cards, way riskier.
- [28:04]
Chad Millman
Do you have an opinion? Shador Sanders versus Deshaun Watson in two years. Who's in the league?
- [28:08]
Simon Hunter
Hopefully neither, but I'll definitely go Watson over Shador.
- [28:12]
Chad Millman
Interesting. Yeah. Just.
- [28:13]
Simon Hunter
Again, it's. I know the talent's in there. It's all mental. He's just mentally broken. And the right therapist, the amount of money he has, he can find a way to get back. But we both agree, Chad, we have not seen that in three years now.
- [28:26]
Chad Millman
No, I think when it's done, it's done. San Francisco 10 and a half plus 125 to the over. Simon. One, two, three, over, under.
- [28:37]
Simon Hunter
No, I just took the under just because of the division, but yeah, I guess. I guess we disagree on this one.
- [28:44]
Chad Millman
Well, I agree with you on the division. It's hard, but I also agree this Niners team, it's just if they can stay healthy, can they please stay healthy? If they stay healthy, then they can do everything they need to do to win this division. Last year, they were in it. At the end of the year,
- [29:02]
Simon Hunter
they had a cupcake schedule, and they're gonna. They're about to lose Trent Williams. It might be. It might be getting real ugly fast. And for the 49ers. So we're gonna. We're gonna find out pretty quick. How good is Purdy dealing with pressure? Because we've seen his body not hold up after taking so many hits early in his career here. That's going to be the knock on him. Right? He's not that six, five, built like a brick house guy. He's undersized quarterback. So I'm just a little uneasy about them losing Trent Williams, what that offensive line is going to look like with Brock Purdy back there.
- [29:32]
Chad Millman
All right, last one in the ten and a half range. Seattle Seahawks, the world champions. Ten and a half. One, two, three, under.
- [29:46]
Simon Hunter
Wow. Another disagreement. Yeah, again, I just. People are seeing a trend here. I've taken the under on all three of these. These guys in this division. It went all right for this division last year. They had tons of wins. They were basically. Doesn't matter. It was going to be 49ers or Seattle. They were going to be the 1 seed. They just overachieved. We see it time and time again, those divisions, the schedule dictates so much of that. Like, they're not playing the NFC south again. And, you know, I look at the Seattle team, I know people want us to put, you know, Sam Darnold, the top 10 quarterbacks. And that's a discussion for another day. But this is a man that had, what was it, 12 fumbles and 12 picks. Like, he just was really lost in the regular season. They kind of were able to hide it and get away with it in the playoffs. And I just look at this team as a team that's going to pay a lot of guys that just won a Super bowl and we've seen that super bowl hangover. Unless you have the number one quarterback in Mahomes or Brady, you tend to have a really down year. It's hard to keep the guys together after having so much success. It really is. We've seen this league just chew up these teams that win the super bowl the previous year. So it's. It's tough because it is. It's a good number at ten and a half. I think it's a fair price. But yeah, I do lean to the under on that number.
- [31:05]
Chad Millman
My comp on this is the Eagles from last year, from two years ago to this past year. In that obviously Jalen hurts is great, but this defense is so good that it will keep them in games when Sam Darnold isn't perfect. And to me, that's worth five, six, seven wins over the course of a year. So can Sam Darnold win them four games? I think Sam Darnold can win them four games, but my bet is entirely on the defensive side of the ball.
- [31:36]
Simon Hunter
That's fair.
- [31:38]
Chad Millman
But you don't love it.
- [31:40]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, I would not. I would not take the over. Definitely.
- [31:42]
Chad Millman
You do not agree with it. It's fair. But you not agree with it.
- [31:45]
Simon Hunter
No. No.
- [31:46]
Chad Millman
All right. So we've heard you've got Buffalo in the over. You like that a lot. You've got Detroit in the under. You like that a lot. Denver in the over. You like that a lot. We are going to do a part two of this episode next week for the rest of the bets outside of this sort of ten and a half and over or under that we just discussed. Before we get to that, Simon, I do want to give one Chad's choice before we get out of here. You can think about. You can grade it. You can give me your response next week. See if we get any wise guy feedback, some sharp calls. Are you ready?
- [32:27]
Simon Hunter
Let's do it. Are you sure you want to do this? Are you willing to make a choice?
- [32:33]
Podcast Announcer
What choice?
- [32:34]
Chad Millman
We can't run from who we are.
- [32:37]
Simon Hunter
Sharp dudes can just see it, you know what I mean?
- [32:42]
Chad Millman
The Carolina Panthers, Simon, are at six and a half. Six and a half. What kind of of sharper square participant would I be if I did not go with the Carolina Panthers over six and a half in the NFC South? Do I think the Falcons are going to be unbelievable? No. Do I think the Bucks are going to be unbelievable? No. Do I think the Saints are going to be unbelievable? No. This feels like a very competitive division. So why wouldn't I take the Panthers whose defense got better last year? Whose coach I like? Who Bryce Young I believe in and I know he's got some magic at the end of the games. We've now seen it for two straight years. Why wouldn't I take the over six and a half with Carolina Panthers?
- [33:32]
Simon Hunter
Trap, trap, trap. That's why I love you, Chad. You walked right into it. They got you. They got you good. Yeah, there's a. There's a lot of reasons, but I guess I'll save that for part two. But I love that you walked right into that trap.
- [33:46]
Chad Millman
I did.
- [33:46]
Simon Hunter
When I saw it, I knew right away as soon as I saw, I said, chad's gonna love that six and a half because we're a Carolina podcast. So I'll end up bending with you just so we can enjoy it all season and suffer together. But yeah, it's a trap.
- [33:57]
Chad Millman
Chad's Choice presented by Hard Rock bet the Carolina Panthers over six and half. All right, this has been Sharper Square presented by Hard Rock. Download us from Spotify, Apple Pods wherever you get your pods. Rate Review subscribe don't forget like this video. Subscribe Sharper Square on YouTube. We will be back on Thursday. We got a great guest. Keith o'. Brien. One of our favorite. One of our favorite authors who wrote that big Pete Rose bio has a brand new book coming out this week. People should listen. It's a really good book. Until next time. Love you.
- [34:45]
Podcast Announcer
Think Verizon is expensive? Think again. Anyone can bring their AT and T or T mobile bill to a Verizon store today and we'll give you a better deal. So bring us your bill. Walk in running Hogo sticking teleport if you can ride on the back of a rollerblading yak or flying on the wings of a majestic falcon. Any way you can bring your AT and T or T mobile bill to a Verizon store today and we'll give you a better deal on the best network network based on root metrics Best overall Mobile Network Performance US Second Half 2025 all rights reserved. MUST provide a very recent postpaid consumer mobile bill in the name of the person redeeming the deal. Additional terms, conditions and restrictions apply. Then she says, have you seen a photo of my son? And I'm like, who is this person? Welcome to the Boys and Girls Podcast. Arranged marriage is basically a reality show and you're auditioning for your soulmate. And who's judging? Only your entire family. I sacrificed myself to this ancient tradition hoping to find love the right way way and instead I found chaos, comedy and a lot of cringe. Listen to boys and Girls on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. The human body is a beautiful machine and keeping it running means understanding how it actually works. Which is why this podcast will kill you is doing a multi part series on sleep. What it's for, why our bodies don't follow neat rules, and why modern life is not helping. When you consider what we know about sleep in humans, there's one rule that comes out we are predictably unpredictable sleepers. We'll continue exploring how the body works with a multi part series on digestive function. So listen to our newest series which runs January 20 through February 17 with new episodes every Tuesday from the Exactly Right Network. Listen to this podcast will kill you on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. This is the biggest night in podcasting.
- [36:23]
Simon Hunter
The countdown is on to our 2026 iHeart Podcast Awards live from south by Southwest March 16th. We'll honor the very best in podcasting from the past year and celebrate the most innovative, talented creators in the industry. It's truly a who's who of the podcasting world. Creativity, knowledge and passion will all be on full display and the winner of the iheart podcast award is. See all the nominees now@iheart.com podcast awards
- [36:50]
Podcast Announcer
Audible is a proud sponsor of the Audible Audio Pioneer Award Experience. Explore the best selection of audiobooks, podcasts and originals all in one easy app. Audible. There's more to imagine when you listen. Sign up for a free trial@audible.com. this is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human.