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This is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human.
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Everybody has goals and every goal starts with an assist, whether it's on the field or off. That's why Halion is teaming up with US Soccer to launch for the Assist. It's a new campaign that celebrates those everyday acts of support that help people achieve their goals. As the makers of trusted brands like Advil, Centrum, Tum, Sensodyne, and Voltaren, Halion knows how to support everyday wellness goals. To learn more, go to halionassist.com what.
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A matchup we got y'.
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All.
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This is that classic HBCU vibe. Non stop action the band is rocking and the crowd lit Chance echo drum beatin everybody showing that school pride A game like this, yeah, it calls for an ice cold Coca Cola. Ah, crisp and refreshing. That's a game changer right there.
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Mmm.
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Yeah, that taste always hits the right note. Just like the band at halftime. And just like that, we're back at it. Passionate fans, school colors everywhere and in ice cold Coca Cola that's a winning combo no matter the sport, no matter the yard. Everybody knows fan work is thirsty work so grab a Coca Cola and keep that HBCU pride goin'.
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So you're telling me that the AI that's meant to make everyone's job easier to manage just adds more to manage? On top of the thousands of apps the IT department already manages? Funny how that works. Any business can add AI. IBM helps you scale and manage AI to change how you do business. Let's create smarter business. IBM Foreign Hey, Jason. Tim Fear. This Tuesday at 8:30 Eastern, it's the Emirates NBA Cup Championship Game on Prime.
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This year's quest for the cup has.
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Been building to this the championship game.
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Live from Las Vegas.
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Trial to get started today. The Emirates NBA Cup Championship Game Coverage starts at 8:30 Eastern only on Prime. Restrictions apply. See Amazon.comamazonprime for details.
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This podcast is sponsored by Total Wireless, the official wireless partner of ufc. When you're streaming the fight or sharing those takedown highlights, you need a wireless provider that keeps you close to the action. With Total Wireless, you're covered by the Verizon 5G network, so you don't have to worry about your connection being knocked out at the biggest moments. It's not something you can usually say about a wireless provider, but Total Wireless really does have your back. They're in your corner every second of the day, so you never miss a thing. Visit totalwireless.com or visit your local Total Wireless Store to learn more about how total wireless can be in your corner. 5G access requires a 5G capable device and a 5G service area. Additional terms apply. See website for details.
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Welcome to Sharper Square presented by Hard Rock Bat. We are part of the Volume Podcast network. This is the show that makes square sharper and makes the wise guys pay attention. I am Chad Milton. I am joined as always by my bff, my companion, my compadre, my co host, professional better Simon Hunter. Hello, Simon.
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Chad. How we doing, brother?
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Dude, I am so ready. This is the stripped down in the room eavesdropping version of Sharper Square. Everyone's going to get to hear us debate the final five we want to put in to our contest. Now that injuries have been reported, lines have been moving. Don't forget you can see the dynamic contest lines. Simon and I are playing at the free Sharper Square Pro Football Pick Them contest. If you've signed up to play at Sharper Square the volume dot com, you can track us in the contest. Chad and Simon, bffs Are you ready, brother?
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I'm ready.
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Okay, these are the games we had zeroed in on the other day. First one up, Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs number has moved from three and a half to early in the week to six. It is going to be frigid. Frigid, frigid in Kansas City. In the contest the line is five and a half because the contest lines open on Tuesday and as I just said, they are dynamic. If you look like some lines, it's always better to put your picks in early. I did. We got Kansas City minus four and a half. I think we love the luck factor here. Kansas City has just not been getting lucky. The Chargers got very lucky against the Eagles. We love the weather factor. We love the anti Chargers o line factor. At least I do. We haven't spoken since Thursday so I have no idea if you're still with me.
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No, I'm still with you. This is the game where I thought the public and professionals bail over the Chargers and it's been the opposite, honestly, as the week so long here, the public is kind of taking our view as well where it's like you already wanted to bet the Chiefs because it's such a desperate spot against a Chargers team that's banged up on a short week out in the elements. But the fact that the pros have come in so heavy and move this number, like you said, from four and a half all the way to six, that's crazy to me because that's now it's like okay, if you have the opportunity to get six and a half in our contest before kick, how do you not throw a little on the Chargers at that?
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Yeah, right.
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To me if you're seeing that five and a half, a hard rocker like us, you can get five and a half or four and a half in the contest. Still love the Chiefs. We're really just playing the situation and we do not think the Chiefs are a six point better team than this Chargers team. It really is what you talked about this, the out in the elements with the one handed quarterback and you know this, this Chargers team, they've always found a way, especially Herbert in this exact spot. But you can only overcome so much. So I'll be interested to see how this Chargers team tries to take advantage of a chief's banged up offensive line. Like we've talked about this year they really, they don't really have guys on that Chargers front that really scare you to get the pass r us. So you think Mahomes would be in a good spot here and like we talked about, that number opened at three and a half. All the early money was on the Chargers and it kept going the other way. And as the week has gone along and people have seen what we talked about on Tuesday which was predicting there might be bad weather here, it's just gone the other way. So you're, you're like me where we're kind of we're locked in in our picks and our five mostly because we have such a good number. This is one of those games. So the four and a half if you were able to get in the Chiefs, that's a nice spot to be in like we're in right now.
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The Buffalo Bills are now one point favorites at the New England Patriots. Simon, this is going to be our rock and a hard plays bet of the week presented by hard rock Bat.
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I want to rock.
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I'm in New England. It's 20 degrees snowing, supposed to let up a little bit. Our hero Josh Allen and his beautiful bride Haley Steinfeld announced this week that they are expecting. Leave it to Josh Allen to figure out a way to make sure he and his wife have a baby during the off season. The guy can do no wrong. He is just brilliant at everything. One of the many reasons why we have continued to bet on the Buffalo Bills at minus one minus one and a half. But we're not getting consensus from the professional community and that's why it's our rock and a hard place.
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Yeah, a lot of pushback on this one. It was just, it's been fun the last couple of days talking. I mean this week, obviously all the games are so great. There's been a lot of discourse, right? There's no. All the pros are lined up on these three or four games together in unison. It's just a ton of back and forth and a lot of opinions because it's so many games that are dictating the one seed, the two seed playoff, divisional games. It's just all happening this week. It's. You can't ask for much better as you head in December. So this match we talked about, I get the love for the Patriots. I'm just, I'm happy to pay and lose money on the bill. As simple as that. Like I make number three. I get the public sentiment for this Patreon. If the, it's honestly the truth chat. If they had a fully healthy offensive line, this Patriots team, and they had a fully healthy defensive line, yes, I could have been talked into that, right? But they might be down their bestie end New England and you know, looking at that offensive line, can they be exploited by Buffalo? It's to be determined, right, with this Buffalo defense, they've had games where they, they've really done well pressuring quarterbacks, right? You saw it in that Pittsburgh game, you saw it against the Chiefs. And there's other games that's just not there, right? It's lackluster and it kind of disappears. So we do believe this type of game, you can take advantage of it. And there are some defensive formats that we've seen may struggle with that. I'm interested to see if the Bills kind of attack, right? We've seen it when some teams, they only rush two and they drop everyone back into coverage. He struggles with it and he likes to pull it down. If he doesn't see clearly open or, you know, single cover safeties, he tends to pull down runs with it, which I honestly think in this type of game the Bills are going to try to attack. So there's a lot to love for this game and the biggest one is just the number. So I'm happy to pay for it. And this is one of the best games of the day. Just because if New England does win this, we've talked about it, this is basically, they won the division. So the Drake may sleep a wink last night. I don't know. It's going to be interesting how this could handle this type of game because not that they've been on cruise control here, but this is their first test in what feels like two, three months. So I'm really excited for this game.
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Drake May is in the middle of bake miss in his house. Okay. He has eaten so much sugar. I don't know how the guy is able to function. I don't know how he's able to sleep. He could be incredibly lethargic all day today because he's busy eating chocolate chip peppermint Christmas cookies. He's bit busy and you know, Rice Krispies Christmas treats. Like the guy has a lot of sugar going on in his house right now. On the field. The one thing I would say the reason why I really like this game. New England's rush defense has just been getting worse and worse as the season's gone on because of the injuries.
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And.
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And we know that the Bills, they're going to want to run the ball. That is who they are. They are a physical run the ball team. Give me the Bills championship pedigree. They know this is their shot. If they lose this game, it could flip the deck the division for a decade. So that's why I think the Bills need to cover this game. Detroit at the Los Angeles Rams line is currently six. We got it at five and a half in the contest. It's a sneaky. You had to be listening to understand that Simon loved this game on Tuesday at five and a half. Still true.
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Still true. I. I am shockingly, as people can tell from this contest have we started so far. I'm very chalk heavy this week. So.
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Yeah, we are. It's weird.
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Yeah, a little bit. We're. I mean, obviously we talk all the time.
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We.
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At least we have some dogs we're forcing this week. But that's just how we ended up on Tuesday. And like you said, you locked in a lot of these picks on Tuesday and this is one of those games you locked in. So we have the better number. Obviously we wish it was the five, but we got the hook. It's the five and a half. No problem.
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And which we're gonna get in the contest. They don't do. We're not doing flat numbers. It's always going to be a hook.
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Yeah. And it was interesting to see what this summer was going to do just because there was a possibility devonte Adams was going to miss this game. Right. He. He has been not practicing because of a hamstring. And you've kind of seen these last couple of weeks. He's not the threat he was before. They're kind of just using them in their, their packages when they get to the red zone, which I think is smart. Use the, use the young kid puka while working the middle of the field. When you get to the red zone, you take care and use the vet there. So we talked about this matchup, the lines. If you're trying to lie to yourself or just not allow yourself even find a way to spin it and find a success, how can you back the Lions here? We gave out that number, right? Goff Campbell, 17 and three as a dog greater than four. My pushback, which means I have talked a little about this season is a lot of these might be Ben Johnson stats. And I'm interested to see with this type of matchup that this is going to have to be all on golf in this offense they're going to have to keep up in some way because you've just seen it. They're secondary. It's. It's too many injuries to overcome now you're down, you know, both your safeties, you're down corners. It's. It's a lot to ask against the MVP who's in cruise control right now in Stafford playing against his former team, which he can say doesn't mean a lot, but they've played two times now and every time after the game he says it means a lot. So to me, nothing's changed there. And you know, I look at this Lions matchup and it's going to interest see if the way they win this game will be by running it. We've seen this Rams team, the only teams they lose to are teams that can run the ball and ball control. And you know that fluky loss against Carolina where you know Bryce Young through for 350. Yeah, those things can happen. But just going back further, their past losses which mainly has been to the Eagles. It's when the Eagles can run for a ton of ton and ball control, keep Stafford off the field, never let him in rhythm. The Lions do have that. They have, you can argue a top two top three running back in football renowned Gibbs. So there is, there is a lane for it. I just, I can't see it. And I think this number should probably be seven, seven and a half. Like this is just priced as if this is Detroit of the past and the public stream that way right now as we sit here. Most books, bookmakers I've talked to, most books I've seen. It's been pretty heavy Detroit money and we always talk. It's pretty noticeable when a ton of money is coming on one side, especially the dog. And the number, like we said, has gone from four and a half to five and a half now to six. So I'm confident Ram side but I definitely want to see what's going on with demonte Smith. You have not Devonte Adams if you've not bet this yet. If he is out, maybe you get lucky and it drops back down to five and a half five. But I don't mind taking this Rams of the six if that's the only number you can get.
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Lions incredibly beat up on the offensive line. Meanwhile, on the other side of the ball, Stafford is brilliant against man, which is what the Lions have played basically every game. We saw them play zone against the Cowboys, but Stafford is even better against zone. Whether it's their success rate in the running game, which is the best since 2018 when the Rams were awesome in success rate in the run game, whether it's 13 personnel which Sean McVeigh has been using nonstop this year, if it's Devonte Adams, Puka Nukua, they've just been at every level in every scheme so on top. So unstoppable offensively against a really beat up Detroit Lions secondary for sure. Green Bay at Denver Another Chalky one for us, this was Chad's choice. Little concerned because it had been two and then it had gone up to two and a half over the past 24 hours it's gone down to one and a half and honestly there are some places where this line is Green Bay minus one. So I'm seeing the tickets come in on Denver. Obviously that's professional money. Coming in on Denver too worries me a little bit. I think it's the worst number we're getting in the contest because in the contest we got it at two and a half.
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Yeah, it's it honestly feels like it's a Josh Jacob movement. The guy didn't practice all week, which again, not a big deal to me as a vet, but he did pop up and it did come out that it's like, okay, it's not a guarantee he's going to play in this game. They need they're going to work him out before the game and see how he's feeling. And we talked about it last week, like when he's going with that offense, they're unstoppable. He's just such a game changer, especially when they get down to the red zone. So not gonna lie to you, that worries me a little bit. But what we, what we're saying still holds true. I still think overall this is a better packers team and this is a unique spot for this Broncos team that they, they have been tested in certain matchups this year. But when they play really good defenses, you've seen they have struggled. And especially Bo Nicks and you know that Houston game, I still think we handicapped that right. Bo Nicks just got very lucky that CJ got knocked out and he was able to come back in that game against a Davis Mills who just hadn't played with the ones all season. So another matchup here. We're really as much we love Jordan Love and we're depending on this offense how to show up against great Broncos defense. It's really about this packers defense. Can they shut down bone Knicks and stop this Broncos team? And you know the packers defense, they've been up and down this year. This feels like a really unique, great matchup for them to test themselves. And the fact that it's a true great playoff team and you know, we've seen it time again. Parsons, people probably been seeing those clips all week. He's just basically being held non stop these last couple of weeks. And that's exciting to me though because that shows whatever was happening early in the year. I remember he had some type of injury.
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I forget what it was back injury.
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He was getting shots in his back and it was like, okay, did the Cowboys fleece the Screen Bay team? Are they getting damaged goods here? And he's been nothing but great for them this home stretch here and he's been one of the better defensive players in the season. So we're really heavily relying the Screen Bay's defense to show up on the flip side. As good as those Broncos defense is to a lot of people, I think the packers have so many ways to attack them offensively and you've seen it with since Watson's been back that wide receiving core, he's been such a game changer themselves.
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And Reed. And Reed.
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So the Tucker Craft stuff scared me, Chad. But I've come around on Green Bay's offense since they've gone back those two stud receivers.
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Also, Jordan Love has just been great against pressure and we know that the Broncos don't necessarily need to bring blitz pressure. They usually go with five men because they can get past certain on the corner who can basically take away half the field. You don't have to bring the extra guys, but Jordan Love has just been great against it all season. So we're kind of bet. I think we're betting more on the packers defense here to contain Bo Nix than we are on the packers offense to beat up on the Broncos defense right now we have four games that we love. All chalk. On the other side of this break from Hard Rock Bet, we're going to have to figure out who the final game is. And we got some underdogs that we are very excited to talk about. Today's show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, Hard Rock Bet. You want to know where I bet on sports during the holiday season? It's Hard Rock Bet. Not just because it's the presenting sponsor of our show, but because they make it easy to bet on my favorite teams, players and leagues in just a few simple taps. Especially with their brand new for your page that recommends picks based on my favorite picks and who I like to bet on. I open the app, go to my for your page, find a bet I like and then bam, my bet is placed just in time for me to get back to wrapping presents and enjoying my favorite holiday movie. Sign up today and bet $5 on any game if it wins. You also score $150 in bonus bets. A winning bet plus an extra hundred and fifty dollars to bet with. Now that's spreading holiday cheer. Plus, Hard Rock bet fills your stockings with new promos daily. So whenever you're listening, just open the app and check out out what you've got. Any day of the week, download the Hard Rock Bet app and make your first deposit today. Payable and bonus bets. Not a cash offer. Offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida. Offered by Seminole hard Rock Digital LLC and all other states must be 21 or over and physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida, call 1833 PLAYWISE in Indiana. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-9 with it gambling problem. Call 1-800-GAMBLER in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee and Virginia.
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What a matchup we got, y'.
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All.
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This is that classic hbcuva non stop action. The band is rocking and the crowd lit chant, echo drum beat. Everybody showing that school pride game like this. Yeah, it calls for an ice cold Coca Cola. Ah, crisp and refreshing. That's a game changer right there. Yeah, that taste always hits the right note. Just like the band at halftime. And just like that, we're back at it. Passionate fans, school colors everywhere and an ice cold Coca Cola. That's a winning combo no matter the sport, no matter the yard. Everybody knows fan work is thirsty work. So grab a Coca Cola and keep that HBCU pride going.
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And S. So next summer, the biggest soccer event on earth is coming to the US for the first time in over 20 years. Now is the time to get in on the action. Every rivalry, every crazy skill, and of course, every goal. And we all know that every goal starts with an assist. It's true for soccer and it's true for health. That's why Halion, makers of Advil, Tums, Sensodyne, Centrum and Voltaren, is teaming up with US Soccer to launch for the Assist. It's a new campaign that celebrates those everyday acts of support that help people achieve their goals. Whether it's the fans cheering their hearts out in an electric stadium or the rec player who's keeping fit for weekend games, Halion is there for them. To learn more, go to helionassist.com PCs powered by Snapdragon X Elite processors are made to go the distance with blazing fast performance, next level efficiency and multi day battery life. Snapdragon processors are built to tackle it all, from highlight reel editing to intense player research so you can be at the top of your game wherever the day takes you. Learn more@snapdragon.com laptops Snapdragon the heart of your PC. Battery life varies significantly based on device settings, usage and other factors.
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Yo, it's D.J. wells here. This Tuesday at 8:30 Eastern is the Emirates NBA Cup Championship Game on Prom. This year's quest for the cup has been building to this the championship game live from Las Vegas not a Prime member. Sign up for a 30 day free trial to get started today. Emirates NBA Cup Championship game Coverage starts at 8:30pm Eastern only on prom restrictions apply. See Amazon.com Amazon prime for details.
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All right, let's talk about some underdogs. First one, Minnesota, five and a half point underdog against Dallas. There are sixes out there. It was six and a half early in the week when we talked about it. Hopefully people were able to get that look, it's a tricky game. I don't think we're betting on J.J. mcCarthy here. I think it's another one where we're betting on the Cowboys on the, on the Vikings defense to be able to contain the Cowboys in some capacity and Kevin OConnell to come up with some game plan that puts J.J. mcCarthy in the offense in an advantageous position. Against a Dallas defense that has been bad. They've been better with Quinn and Williams. They're getting Trayvon Diggs back, but they have been bad. So we're kind of betting on the bigger number here.
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Yeah, and it's a tough week honestly for me with the dogs. Like there's four dogs I bet on and this is one of them. And you know you had the option to put any dog you wanted and this is the dog you chose, Chad. So this is the dog I'm going to happily support you with. So I like it, I like the number. And like you said the Cowboys, this feels a little inflated for what they're going to be facing here just defensively for this Minnesota team. And you know, the, the fear for me would just be can JJ keep up if Dak is on one? And that's going to be the issue. So yeah, like this is simply us playing the number. Obviously we wish we had gotten the six and a half six which I know a couple of people in our contest have because this did touch six of Hard Rock and a couple other books. But I got no issue at the five and a half. It's this number should be three and a half. So we're going to quickly find out pretty early here, Chad. We'll know quickly if JJ's on script here with Koc. Be at worst, first two drives we go 10 right field goal and a touchdown. That's usually a nice sign that JJ's in rhythm with Koc in this team and we're going to need it. Like we've seen these stats, this Cowboys defense is atrocious, but their offense, especially after losses, tends to show up. Right. It's a juggernaut Pickens has been hearing, you know, last two weeks, how he's been quitting on routes being terrible. So expect them to bounce back here. But just a bad spot, we would think for this Cowboys team, this Vikings defense, they are great against veteran quarterbacks. And you know, we've seen Dak, as great as he is, he does struggle against these type of defenses, especially with Brian Flores at the helm. So, yeah, the, the interesting game here that another game. Talk to bookmakers. All Dallas money, all the teasers, all the parlays. I know people don't believe, but you have to throw a little. If you're a hater, a contrarian like I am, you have to throw a little on Minnesota's money line. I know it sounds crazy, but this is just going to be such a hammered game. Such should be in the primetime Sunday.
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Night game, the other game that really, it came down to Minnesota and Dallas and Carolina and New Orleans. And now Carolina is in the driver's seat with Tampa Bay's loss the other night to win the NFC South. We love the Carolina Panthers, but two and a half New Orleans, two and a half was your Simon says on Tuesday. The line is basically touching three at a lot of places. We're getting two and a half in the contest on Thursday. You were leaking confidence. I was too, which is when I would have put in the picks and it's why I put in Minnesota. Are you still leaking confidence?
A
No, it's just like the Minnesota thing. I'm. I, I believe in it. But I see the avenue of me just getting just crushed, stomped out here because again, we're backing two gross dogs after they just had two really big wins. So, yeah, I'm interested how the Saints team bounces back. You know, we've, we've talked. It's a unique team in New Orleans. They've actually been much better on the road than they ever have been at home. They've been putrid at home, surprisingly. But this is to me, a game that's all on Carolina and Bryce Young and how he handles an amount of pressure he hasn't felt since college. Like this is an insane, unique spot to be in that if he wins this game, and it is next week against the Bucs, they've won the division, which is something that's insane to think about. This parallel lineup Panther team, especially not just this season, but going back these last couple years, they just. Is Bryce Young the guy is he left for dead now, fast forward. They might be stealing this division from a buck team that's collapsing down the stretch here. So I, I still love this Saints team. It just feels like you're getting a unique spot. The Panthers, we've talked about it. They've been favored 11 times now since, what is it, 20, 22. And their own 11 against the spreading straight up. So can they break the curse? This is their moment to live up to it. I have to keep fading it here. And back at Saints team that once again undervalued by the public. It's another just like that Minnesota game. Every bookmaker I talked to, they couldn't wait to get me to bet some Saints money because they desperately needed it. And I bust their balls. I'm like, well, if you need it so bad, why not bust it to the three? Like, if you guys are acting like you desperately need Saints numbers, push it to the three. You're going to get a ton of money. And like Chad said, a bunch of books have hit the three. But the most interesting one to me is the two or three biggest public books have held at the two and a half and they are taking the most amount of a Panther's money. So I'll, I'll stand with the books here. I'll back the Saints. But I, I get why you chose Minnesota for the Saints. It's, it's a, it's a tough call, but I would say with the bigger number on this Minnesota team, it's more, it's more comfortable taking that number there.
E
That, that was really, that was really the deciding factor to me was the bigger number and, and a really good. They at least have one unit we know we can count on. All right? So to me, it's, it's right now.
A
I'll just say one more game, I would have forced you in. Just look at that real quick. It was just the commanders. I, I still think it's two and a half. This game should probably be closer to a pick. So it's two and out. Hard rock. But plenty of two and a half's out there. The Giants are just so bad. And once again, everyone's just piling up on them. I get it. They're. They, they do have a more complete team in the commander especially, you know, look at the defense. Defense, the commanders are just so bad. But I think Mariota, if he's got, if he's got, you know, Debo, he's got Terry McLaurin, he's got Rodriguez the running back. That's a pretty potent offense Washington's bring to the field here. So I'm shocked. It's not moved to a pick. I still think the two and a half's a good number. So that, that and the Saints, those are the two really ugly dogs I like this week, including Cincinnati. But again, all those three, I think we're never going to get there because of the number.
E
Do we want to put Washington in? Like the only, the only question in the contest at this point is we lose the four and a half on Kansas City. We'd probably get five and a half, so everything else would stay the same. Do we want to put Washington in instead of Minnesota?
A
I wish I had the foresight here. The thing is just scaring me off, which I'm sure you have the same exact feeling right now, is we were on four favorites, which it never, never works out for us. But I think we're in unique spots here, especially that Green Bay and Buffalo game where those are two chalk favorites that are actually honestly not getting that much public love or professional love. So I don't know. I'm, I, I get why we would maybe make a move here, but I'm trying not to overthink and keep. Like you said, we have good contest lines. The only bad number we have is Green Bay, but I don't think that's bad enough to move off it. I don't think the two and a half is going to affect us that much. So I don't know. I, I, if you want to step up and say something, Chad, and have a game you want to plant and say, this is the one I want to put in, I'll support it. But as we said here right now, the only one I really want to take out is honestly Minnesota. And it's like these other dogs. It's no different. I'm not that much more confident these other dogs either. So it's a weird week, honestly.
E
Well, I agree, like, Minnesota is the one I'm most uncomfortable with. Have been all week.
A
Yeah.
E
But I don't, I don't love New Orleans, I don't love Washington, I don't love Cincinnati. Those are the other ones that I've looked at. So I guess let's not change it. Let's not change it. Let's not overthink it. That's what we always do. And then we make a mistake. So our official contest picks. Kansas City minus four and a half. We got that early in the week. Minnesota plus five and a half. We got Buffalo minus one and a half. We got the Rams minus five and a half. We got Green Bay minus two and a half. That's what we're running with today. Simon this has been Sharper Square part of the volume podcast network. We will be back on Sharper Square. YouTube. YouTube tonight live after America's game of the week. That's Packers, Broncos. To recap all the misery and glory of the day, watch or listen on YouTube at Sharper Square. Like this video. Subscribe to this channel. Also download us from Spotify, Apple pods, wherever you get your pods rate, review, subscribe, Leave us five stars. Say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift until tonight.
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Podcast: Sharp or Square (iHeartPodcasts & The Volume)
Hosts: Chad Millman & Simon Hunter
Date: December 14, 2025
Episode Theme:
A high-stakes, in-the-trenches betting strategy session where Chad and Simon debate and finalize their best NFL Week 15 bets, diving deep into line movement, pro vs. public sentiment, and the key angles that influence sharp and square money.
Chad Millman and professional bettor Simon Hunter lock themselves "in the room" to hash out, in real time, their final card for NFL Week 15. They focus on leveraging injury news, contest line value, sharp movement, and psychological angles — all with an eye toward contest play and outsmarting both the public and the pros. Their five final picks are built on both numbers and narrative, and they go deep on each, weighing whether side and spot make the pick sharp or square.
[31:41–32:05]
This episode is essential listening for anyone who wants to understand where sharp money truly is, how contest pros adjust in real time to injury and line movement, and how to resist both peer and public pressure when constructing a final bet card. Chad and Simon blend numbers, narrative, and a keen sense of market psychology, ultimately landing on a card that is chalk-heavy but, they argue, justified by value and situational advantage.
For deep-dive NFL betting insight—delivered with personality and real-world contest focus—you won't find a sharper breakdown.