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Sharp or Square
FINAL WEEK 16 BETS - Bucs-Panthers, Chargers-Cowboys, Jaguars-Broncos, Patriots-Ravens, Jets-Saints and more
00:27:59
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- [00:00]
Sophie Cunningham
This is an iHeart podcast.
- [00:02]
Chad Millman
Guaranteed Human.
- [00:06]
Coca Cola Announcer
What a matchup we got, y'.
- [00:07]
Richard Sherman
All.
- [00:07]
Coca Cola Announcer
This is that classic HBCU vibe. Non stop action. The band is rockin and the crowd lit. Chance, echo drum beatin. Everybody showing that school pride. Game like this, yeah, it calls for an ice cold Coca Cola. Ah, Crisp and refreshing. That's a game changer right there. Yeah, that taste always hits the right note. Just like the band at halftime. And just like that, we're back at it. Passionate fans, school colors everywhere. And in ice cold Coca Cola. That's a winning combo. No matter the sport, no matter the yard. Everybody knows fan work is thirsty work. So grab a Coca Cola and keep that HBCU pride going.
- [00:52]
Halion Brand Announcer
Everybody has goals, and every goal starts with an assist, whether it's on the field or off. That's why Halion is teaming up with US Soccer to launch for the Assist. It's a new campaign that celebrates those everyday acts of support that help people achieve their goals. As the makers of trusted brands like Advil, Centrum, Tum, Sensodyne, and Voltaren, Halion knows how to support everyday wellness goals. To learn more, go to helionassist.com.
- [01:22]
IBM Announcer
So let me get this straight. Your company has data here, there, and everywhere, but your AI can't use the data because it's here, there, and everywhere? Seems like something's missing. Every business has unique data. IBM helps your AI access your data wherever it lives. To change how you do business. Let's create smarter business. IBM.
- [01:52]
Simon Hunter
And Doug. What a horrible call. Hey, ref. Open your eyes, ref.
- [01:57]
Richard Sherman
You're really not gonna.
- [01:58]
Halion Brand Announcer
Come on.
- [01:59]
Simon Hunter
Hey, ref. Why didn't you customize your car insurance.
- [02:02]
Liberty Mutual Announcer
With Liberty Mutual and save money.
- [02:04]
Simon Hunter
I don't think you get what we're doing. Sure I do.
- [02:08]
Liberty Mutual Announcer
We're all just giving him advice. You guys on sports, me on saving money.
- [02:13]
Coca Cola Announcer
Nope, that's not it.
- [02:14]
Liberty Mutual Announcer
Only pay for what you need@libertymutual.com Liberty.
- [02:18]
Chad Millman
Liberty.
- [02:18]
Simon Hunter
Liberty.
- [02:19]
Chad Millman
Liberty.
- [02:20]
Total Wireless Announcer
This podcast is sponsored by Total Wireless, the official wireless partner of ufc. When you're streaming the fight or sharing those takedown highlights, you need a wireless provider that keeps you close to the action. With Total Wireless, you're covered by the Verizon 5G network, so you don't have to worry about your connection being knocked out at the biggest moments. It's not something you can usually say about a wireless provider, but Total Wireless really does have your back. They're in your corner every second of the day, so you never miss a thing. Visit totalwireless.com or visit your local Total Wireless Store to learn more about how Total Wireless can be in your corner, 5G access requires a 5G capable device and a 5G service area. Additional terms apply. See website for details.
- [03:12]
Chad Millman
Welcome to Sharp or Square presented by Hard Rock Bat. We are part of the Volume Podcast Network. This is the show that makes the squares sharper and makes the wise guys pay attention. I am Chad Millman. I am joined as always. Find my cook, my BFF Professional Better Simon Hunter hello Simon, Chad.
- [03:34]
Simon Hunter
What a day yesterday was for both of us.
- [03:39]
Chad Millman
I'm gobsmacked. This isn't what happens to the Bears. We're the team that double doinks. We're the team that gets fourth and one from the two and snaps it over the head of our seventh round five foot five running back. We are not the team that comes from 10 down in the final two minutes, recovers an onside kick and then throws a bomb where the quarterback is so casual about it while the ball is in the air and he stuffs his hands into his hand warmers because he knows he just dropped it into the basket. We're the team that trades up to get Mitch Trubisky and passes over Patrick Mahomes. This is just not. This is not the Bears.
- [04:35]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, they had us for about 3/4 there. It was the same old Bears and I I know you're in the same spot as me. I was just cursing their name. I couldn't believe I walked into it even though I said a million times I wasn't going to. But I just fell in love with this Bears team all year because of what happened in that final two minutes. This whole year feels like every time I bet on this team they leave me scratching my head for three quarters and all of a sudden that fourth magical fourth quarter comes around and I think it's an FR record right now. They've won six games. They've been trailing in the two minutes left in the game. They've won six of them. It's. It's crazy. It's a crazy identity. It's like we always talk about all the time in NFL. There's the time the talent level is so high, just the coaching can make the biggest difference and everything overall. And the biggest to me is just the Ben Johnson belief these guys consistently believe in themselves. So can't believe it on the other side. If you are Green Bay. Talk about having horrible injury luck season from hell. Just everything rolled into one. Green Bay totally outplayed the Bears for three quarters and know with their backup in there and it just totally fell apart there by the seams. Their secondary is just so banged up, you're waiting for Caleb to get away with these deep ball throws and they just couldn't find it. And eventually like we said, the game kept going. And that, that throw in the overtime, like everyone keeps saying, ice in his veins. It was incredible. It really was like as someone just sitting there, as a fan did not see that coming. Really did think it was a handoff. I was just like the defense, I bid on it and he had the perfect read right. The safety bit, I think they said it was 0.6 inches or feet maybe or something saying like that of separation between D.J. and the cornerback. Like tight, tight window. Oh yeah, just all time throw by Caleb. So yeah, everyone even only people weren't screaming were Green Bay fans. Anyone that's a football fan, you're going absolutely crazy. That was an all time moment.
- [06:27]
Chad Millman
It also is just an indication of how much penalties make a difference in this game. Don't forget bears had a third and 20 and they were sacked and they weren't going to even be able to kick a field goal. And Caleb, the defensive lineman for the packers pulled on his face Max as he was going down. And the Bears get a first out and they kick the field goal and all of a sudden they're only down seven and they get the onside kick like it just these, these penalties and that was not a penalty that shouldn't have been called it. It just goes to show you how every single little mistake has a huge, huge impact on the game and how it can swing momentum. What a crazy, What a crazy 48 hours of football. From Thursday Night Football to Saturday Night Football. You and I were reeling at the end of that Bears game because we had been on the commanders. That was a tough beat. Just with Mariota going down they looked like they were going to be able to be competitive in that game. Josh Johnson comes in. No longer the case. But we got to move on to Sunday brother. Let's get to it. This is the semi strip down in the room eavesdropping version of Sherper Square. We're going to make some regretful, utterly human decisions and and get to our final five. You can see the dynamic lines that Simon and I are playing at the free Sharper Square pro football pickup contest. If you sign up to play in the contest that was sharp or square.the volume.com we are Chad and Simon BFFs were 6 and 4 on the year in that contest since it started are you ready, brother?
- [08:04]
Simon Hunter
I'm ready.
- [08:05]
Chad Millman
All right, so these are the games that we had zeroed in on the other day. I think we're still debating where we're going to land. First one up, Tampa Bay at Carolina. Carolina plus three and a half. I feel like we've been waiting our entire lives together to bet Carolina as an underdog with the hook at home with a chance to play meaningful football. Here we are. Are we sticking with it?
- [08:34]
Simon Hunter
Oh, yeah, no doubt. This is a spot that's been good to us all year back in Carolina, especially after a loss. Right. I think they're 60 against the spread, 5 and 1 straight up. So it's been a team that tends to bounce back off season. On the flip side, this Bucks team, even at their fully healthy height of their powers to start the year, Baker playing out of his mind, they kept squeaking out wins, right? Every time they'd win, it would be by a handful of points. They've had a couple blowouts this year, but it's really been few and far in between. I gave you that crazy stat. There are six straight weeks now they haven't covered. So seeing the professionals and the public alike coming on the Bucks is not that surprising, right? They are due. They are. They did get all their guys back. They are healthy at this point. But we keep talking about Bryce Young. This Panthers team, they play possum, right? They played dead the following week. All of a sudden, Bryce Young just can't miss guys, and their run game is just out of their control. It's. It's just so up and down, this team. And the Bucks, they've been a questionable defense all season. We've talked about that. Like, anytime they need their defense to get a stop, they cannot get a stop. And it reared its ugly head last week. And I know they're trying to say it's all good. They're working through stuff. And, you know, Mike Evans says, you know, I was just emotional at the time. Cooler heads prevailed. A guy like him walking off the field yelling 3rd and 28 multiple times. He's. He walks through heads in the locker room. I don't know if the vibes could be any worse for this Bucks team. They're just reeling in so many bad ways. So I know the Panthers, it's. It's crazy. Especially the hard rock. Like, they've moved off the three. There's tons of threes out there. I've. I'm all on. On the threes. And, you know, if you're forced to take two and A half. I wouldn't let it scare me off, but this just feels like such a number spot for this Panthers team where this should be a pick. But the general public just, you know what, we think it's just like this Bucks team. We're waiting for them to be this dominant playoff team they've been these last three years and they just have not been that team. So I'm, I'm interested to see where this number ends up. Like you said, in the contest, we have three and a half. I, I wonder if people can still play that now. I think this can keep heading to two and a half. So if you can't get a three and a half, I'd lock it in now. I think this will be two and a half by kickoff.
- [10:32]
Chad Millman
Bryce Young the most fourth quarter overtime touchdowns since 20 or comeback wins since 2023. And this is when he does it as an underdog. The final minutes. Dave Canales makes risky calls. Bryce Young follows through. That's what we're betting on today with the Carolina Panthers. They are in Buffalo Bills -10 and a half at the Cleveland Browns. Simon, this is going to be our rock in a hard place bet of the week. Presented by Hard Rock Bet.
- [11:07]
Simon Hunter
I want to ride.
- [11:12]
Chad Millman
Surprise, surprise. We are going against all of our instincts. We are going against everything we have ever done. We are doing something that is so anti this show. We are betting against the huge home underdog. We are betting against the dominant defense. We are betting against the dominant defense at home with the generational hall of Fame player who is on pace to set a single season sack record. Miles Garrett, the Cleveland Browns. We are fading the dog pound, the energy, the will of the fans in Cleveland. We're betting Josh Allen with the hook at ten and a half. Rocking.
- [11:54]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, I love this game. It's by far one of our more public players of the entire season. Doesn't get more publicness. Like you just said, it's a huge road favorite. Everyone you've talked to, they're all in on this. Bill's team right between the parlays, the money lines, everyone's just piling on it and it's for good reason. Like we've talked about, it's a unique spot, right? Josh Allen tends to do really well against really dominant defenses. And you know, to me this feels like a price from a month or two ago, right? This is feels like the number they're giving this, this brown seam is their home field advantage. From what we were betting, you know, a couple months ago, that just has not Been the same, especially this past month, where their run defense has been suspect and very, very poor against great teams and, you know, even bad teams, I should say. But against really good teams like you saw with the Bears last week, teams that have a good run schemes tend to dominate this Cleveland team lately. So try not to overthink this one. Right. I have it in a model at 13. If you're back in the Browns here. Right. You really need to lean into the elements and all these things that bounce your way where I just can't see it. Right. It's Josh Allen. This is. He's used to playing this type of weather. He's not going to be scared off by lake effect type of weather. And defensively, as many questions we do have about this Bills team, can Shador Sanders in that run game really take advantage of it? I don't know if they can. Right. It's going to be an interesting game. That's really the matchup we're both going to be worried about. Right. How does this Bills defense too? Because they've had games where they've just totally laid down and you know, even that Patriots game, you don't want to say laid down, but there was a. There was a minute, there was just like, oh my God, they can't stop the pass or the rush. Like, what can they. What can the Bills take away from a team right now? So I'll be interesting how they bounce back here, but offensively, I just. This feels like the exact game where Josh Allen, you know, maybe thirst for 150, but the run game runs for 200 with him and Cook. So I love this matchup.
- [13:40]
Chad Millman
Yeah, this is really a bet against Shador Sanders in this Browns offense being able to score enough points to keep it close. We just haven't seen the evidence that they can do that on a consistent basis. There's more games like what they did against the Bears than what they did in desperation against the Titans a few weeks ago at home. So we're going with the Buffalo Bills the publicly, publicly, publicly play the season for us. Jacksonville plus three and a half at Denver. We're on the Jags. You and I were talking before we came on the air. There's a couple games where this thing had been sitting at three and now all of a sudden we're starting to see professional money move it to three and a half. And this is one of those games. We're taking the other side. We're betting Jacksonville. I can't believe we're betting Trevor Lawrence. Like it's Bonix, Trevor Lawrence, we don't like either of them. So all of a sudden we're taking the hook with the quarterback that I guess we're going to live with. Like is this, are we betting on Jacoby Myers here? Like what are we doing?
- [14:52]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, we're really playing the number. And I think we've seen a little bit of a theme here these last, you know, 48 hours. Like we talked about these really good teams and playoff teams when they play each other this late in the season, there is no letdown or give up in either side and these teams play to the final whistle and it's been incredibly close games. I mean this, if the Bears had gone for two, which I thought they were going to, that would have been another one point game just like that Seahawks rain game. So this is another game that I feel like is going to be incredibly close. Could mean you get blown out here by the Broncos because they do have such a dominant defense. Sure. But I don't know if they, they faced the type of offense where the Jags are running here, which you know, the Jags have just been playing at another level. You can say, well, they've had, they've had easy competition, yes. But they've put up over 40 points in back to back weeks. They've been dominant and it's been really impressive. And we've talked about it, this run scheme they've had there, it's really opened up the pass offense and your guy Myers, who just got a big payday, he's changed the offense. He's what they thought Travis Hunter would be for them on offense. Right. He opens up the doors for so many different players and you know, you just look at this scheme wise, I just think this Jaguars team could be in this game competitively the entire way. On the flip side, the Broncos, I know Bo Nix has been playing really well, but we've seen him have these up and down games and this feels like another spot where he could easily have a low game and a jax team that like I talked about, they haven't given up more than 70, 75 yards rushing this season. So it's going to be on Bo Nix. He's going to have to beat them with his arm and it's going to be interesting if he's going to be able to do that back to back weeks because last week he had a lot of throws. I feel like he got away with it. And you know, that's what we said. We got Bo Nix last week, we're doubling down, we're saying there's no way he's gonna do it to us again. So I really, really. It is about the number. If this is two and a half, I wouldn't have really forced us to take this one. But three and a half, I can't avoid it. And we've seen a move, right? Every book we talked Thursday was three. It's three and a half everywhere. So like Chad said, the pros have come in, they've taken a position on Denver. I think they're taking it a bad number. I think they should be two and a half two.
- [16:54]
Chad Millman
Pittsburgh at Detroit. We're taking Detroit minus six and a half. I like, I know we wanted to not fade Mike Tomlin and we feel sort of burned by not having done it a couple weeks ago against the Ravens in that spot. I think we've both come to believe this is a little bit of a different game and a different scenario for this Pittsburgh team and that their defense just isn't playing as well as it has been. And this is a good opportunity. If Detroit is minus seven, by the way, at Hard Rock right now it's six and a half in our contest. So anyone who's been playing it has been getting six and a half. But the, the opportunity for the Lions to dominate in the run game here, I think is what we're really leaning into.
- [17:46]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, they have been good for us. These lines in the bounce back spot this year, just like Carolina and they're. They have a little bit more history on their side with this in this exact spot. Read the lines. After a loss. We know the numbers. Campbell is 14:1 against the spread. Right. He usually gets his guys up to bounce back. And this is another game where I am honestly shocked. It's not up to minus seven, seven and a half on this Lions team.
- [18:06]
Chad Millman
It is seven and a half in the contest. By the way, it's just moved to.
- [18:10]
Simon Hunter
Seven and a half, which just seems right. Right this morning I expected a lot of public money to be coming on the slides team. Even though you know, if you're. If someone's going to tweet out. Most likely the number one bet on underdog this week is the Steelers money line. That to me makes sense. Right? I know pros who are taking a position on the Steelers money line here because of what Chad just said. Like Tomlin, in these type of spots he tends to have some voodoo type of tricks. But we've talked about all the things for the Lions here, right? This is an indoor game. They don't have the Elements like the Steelers kind of need. This is going to be a track meet. So can the Cedars offense give keep up? That's what it's going to come down to me. It's like can they keep up with this line's offense, which this season, shockingly they're going to be the number two, number one team for yards and points, most likely at end of the season. They've just been on an absolute tear. It's just the defensive injuries that fled them down. So Ken Rodgers take advantage of it perhaps. But me and Chad, once again we have an amazing number, especially the minus six and a half. And there is one very public book out there still with a six and a half which is pretty interesting. But yeah, we know this, this Lions team, the Bills probably gonna be the two most bet on numbers and sides for the general public. So very public place here. But it really is all about the number and yeah, the six and a half. I just can't avoid it. I love the lines here.
- [19:23]
Chad Millman
We're gonna have to make a call because if the line is six and a half in the contest and there's something that we want to be or seven and a half in the contest, if there's something we want to be playing, we might want to have to evaluate because now it's seven and a half. I say that because we talked about New England and Baltimore this week. New England was three and a half in the contest and we like New England. This was Chad's choice and a lot of professional money coming in on the Ravens in the past 48 hours. So that's making me a little bit nervous about sticking with the. Sticking with the New England Patriots. Yeah.
- [20:05]
Simon Hunter
And we kind of knew this though, Chad. This is probably going to be the biggest public dog this week. Right. It's just. I think the general public is just like us. The Bills have not passed any type of eye test this entire season and it's just something that's off with Lamar. I just there. There's questions for me with Lamar and he did use his legs more last week, but it really felt like that was a Joe Burrow gave them that game away. Like they were in that game in every way. Their defense was getting stops and he just totally messed up in multiple position. Kept getting a little more short fields and eventually that run game took over. The Patriots variable. They've been stout against the run. So I guess the Patriots are due for a really bad letdown game this season. They haven't had it since what, week one against the Raiders. Like it's just they did have a.
- [20:53]
Chad Millman
Letdown in the second half against the Bills. I mean they completely.
- [20:56]
Simon Hunter
That's who they are though, right? You gave those stats, Chad. You've. I mean that's who they are. They're a team that dominates first halfs and totally get outplayed technically what I think three or their three or their four close losses this year have come and when they've just have not played well at all in the second half and got out outpaced. So you know, it's, it's what we talked about a little bit on Thursday though. I think the pros are looking at this as Ravens been there, done that, proven team. I gave you that salamar.
- [21:21]
Chad Millman
Yeah.
- [21:22]
Simon Hunter
Never lost 600 in these two weeks. Week 15 and 16. It's. It's crazy. Like that really is one of the more impressive stats you can give a guy for being that dominant in the month of December. So you know, we'll go back to the. Well, our variable. Well, I know it's the biggest public dog this week, but I think the public's right on this. Read like this. The Ravens could win this game, but to me by more than a field goal. They're going to need so many things to bounce their way and so many things go wrong for this team. So we know New England has a ton of injuries, but Drake may playing from behind in that run game. I think they're going to always going to be in this game. So we'll take that hook with the plus three and a half.
- [21:57]
Chad Millman
Let's do a quick word from Hard Rock and then we're going to finalize where we're at. Want to know where I bet on sports during the holiday season? That's right, it's Hard Rock Bet. Not just because it's the presenting sponsor of our show, but because they make it easy to bet both pregame and live. In just a few simple taps, I open the app, find a bet I like, and then bam, my bet is placed just in time for me to get back to wrapping presents and enjoying my favorite Christmas movie. Sign up today and bet $5 on any game. If it wins, you also score $150 in bonus bets, a winning bet plus an extra $150 to bet with. Now that's spreading holiday cheer. Plus, Hard Rock Bet fills your stockings with new promos daily. So whenever you're listening, just open the app and check out what you've got. Any day of the week, download the Hard Rock Bet app and make your first deposit today. Payable in bonus bets. Not a cash offer. Offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida. Offered by Seminole hard Rock Digital LLC in all other states. Must be 21 or over and physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee in Virginia. To play terms and conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida, call 1-833-Playwise in Indiana, if you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-8oh, 9 with it gambling problem, call 1-800- gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.
- [23:36]
Coca Cola Announcer
What a matchup we got, y'.
- [23:38]
Richard Sherman
All.
- [23:38]
Coca Cola Announcer
This is that classic HBCU vibe. Non stop action. The band is rocking and the crowd lit chant echoing drum beatin Everybody showing that school pride. A game like this. Yeah, it calls for an ice cold Coca Cola. Ah, crisp and refreshing. That's a game changer right there.
- [23:58]
Total Wireless Announcer
Mmm.
- [23:58]
Coca Cola Announcer
Yeah, that taste always hits the right note. Just like the band at halftime. And just like that, we're back at it. Passionate fans, school colors everywhere and an ice cold Coca Cola. That's a winning combo no matter the sport, no matter the yard. Everybody knows fan work is thirsty work. So grab a Coca Cola and keep that HBCU pride going.
- [24:23]
Halion Brand Announcer
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- [25:06]
IBM Announcer
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- [25:32]
Richard Sherman
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- [26:49]
Sophie Cunningham
And S. This is Sophie Cunningham from Show Me Something. Do you know the symptoms of moderate to severe obstructive sleep apnea, or OSA in adults with obesity? They may be happening to you without you knowing. If anyone has ever said you snore loudly, or if you spend your days fighting off excessive tiredness, irritability and concentration issues, it may be due to osa. OSA is a serious condition where your airway partially or completely collapses during sleep, which may cause breathing interruptions and oxygen deprivation. Learn more at don't sleep on osa.com this information is provided by Lilly, a medicine company.
- [27:28]
Chad Millman
All right, so the one game we've loved all week, Simon says it was the New York Giants plus three against the Minnesota Vikings. And it's not in our contest play right now because in the contest it's been two and a half. Do we want to take anything out? Are we moving away from the Patriots? Is that making us nervous? Is there a Jacksonville play that would want us make us want to take out? Is there a Do we want to take out Jacksonville and put in the Giants? We're not getting as good of a number. But are we nervous about any of these plays that makes us want to put the Giants in?
- [28:07]
Simon Hunter
No, it's really, it's really about the number. If it was three and a half, honestly I could be talked into it because then we're really in business there. Just like a couple of these other games where it's like, you know, looking back, yeah, should we probably switch New England out? But I was never going to get there. Like they got me with the hook. It's just too good to be true. So this one's so much more that. This is what I talked on Tuesday. I knew this was going to be a pro spot, right? The pros are going to come in on this. It's a unique team in Minnesota that, you know, they're not an outdoor team. They're not great in the elements. It's not that bad. I see here in Jersey, it's not really like, it's freezing cold.
- [28:39]
Chad Millman
No, it's fine. No, it's fine.
- [28:42]
Simon Hunter
It honestly is. That's not something you really hang your hat on. But it is a unique spot. The fact that it is JJ out in the elements in a game that he's going to need to be passing in the swirling winds of that field. And we've seen it. This, this Giants team identity is using their legs, right? Either darts legs or the running backs. They don't really want to be passing the ball too much downfield. They've been that way ever since they lost number one receiver. So it's. It's a game I do like. Chad, there is one game we have not talked about that I do love. And you know, this Giants game, I throw in the blender of a bunch of games that I was hoping you'd come in on. Like, I was hoping you come in and be like, well, Tennessee three and a half. We have to take it that that's gone. It's two and a half everywhere. I thought maybe you'd be on Dallas, but now that Dallas has nothing to play for, I can see you're probably not too excited to be betting big money on a Dallas team that no one really knows how they're going to play that game. So there's a lot of games we did like that are kind of falling by the wayside here. But the game we have not talked much about that I think is probably the sharpest line this week. It's got to be that Colts 49ers game. Colts five and a half. I know it's throwing a little wrench in the Mammoth. I didn't see it coming. But this is the definition of a rallying spot for this Colts team. On the flip side, the Niners, how do we not want to fade them? This is a team that hasn't played a legit team in a month. Like, I mean, people probably forget the last thing they played that was legit was LA. They lost 42 to 26. This is not Cold's office is not going anywhere close to LA's offense. But they can run the ball so they're basically coming off a four win streak of Arizona, Carolina, which that Carolina game was very fluky in my opinion. That Cleveland game, which we always said that was a very special teams game. And then they beat Tennessee. Like this is to me the peak of this Niners team. Like I think they're going to lose this game. I think the Bears are going to beat them.
- [30:29]
Total Wireless Announcer
Wow.
- [30:30]
Simon Hunter
I know. I think it's all about the fall apart for this Niners team and it really comes back to. I've talked about these injuries to this defense. I have no doubt about the Niners offense, the defense. I think they're dead last in sack and pressures this season. Like they can get away with it against these bad teams, but against good teams. The Colts to me are still a good team. They just had some really bad luck obviously with all these injuries and I know Sauce isn't going to play either. That's a big deal. But I think the Colts, they have this scheme to keep this game close and kind of keep the Niners off field, never letting that offense get into rhythm. And it's, it really comes back to that Jonathan Taylor scheme. So, you know, it's. There's a bunch of stupid stats. If you want to dive, we don't have to dive too much into it. But this Colts team, they've actually owned this Niners team throughout the years. If you go back all the way to what is that, 2013, they've won four straight against the Niners. Doesn't matter who the Niners coaches have been, who the scheme has been, they've always kind of dominated this matchup. And if you go back and look, I think the last night played was 21. I love the way Shane Steich and his scheme is against this type of solid defense. And you go back and watch again, that wasn't that dominant of a team at 21. It really is about the run game and it's just there's something this Colts team can do that gives solid his defenses problems. So I know it's, it's a tough sell. I don't know if I'm gonna get us in there because we could have had six and a half earlier in the week. But I want people to know, don't let this five and a half scare you off. It could get to six, but I think the pros will keep hitting this one. This feels like a really bad spot in a matchup for this Niners team.
- [31:55]
Chad Millman
So if we take something out because we've entered the contest, I put my picks in our picks in on Tuesday because I want to get the best of the lines on some numbers. And that included six and a half on Detroit. So if we're going to go back in and put this in for, say, New England, then we're going to have to go to seven and a half in Detroit. Is it worth it? Do we like three and a half for New England better than five and a half for Indy with Philip Rivers?
- [32:26]
Simon Hunter
Like I said, Chad, I, I can't get talked out of the New England one because it just. I think it's such a good number and it's such a good variable spot. But I'm.
- [32:33]
IBM Announcer
That's.
- [32:33]
Simon Hunter
I'm hoping you're the clear mind here and you'd be like, no new ones. Got injuries. We got to switch them out. The culture. This is the spot. But, you know, we got the six and a half, two on the lines. It's just. I can't get there. I feel like we should just leave it as is.
- [32:45]
Chad Millman
Yeah, I, I don't want to put the Colts in and Philip Rivers because I. Maybe everything you're saying is right and it probably is. You may have turned me around. Maybe I'll bet the Colts on. On Monday night.
- [32:58]
Simon Hunter
Not a man. You gotta do it.
- [33:00]
Chad Millman
But I love Rabel. Like, I'm. I'm in the same way. I'm betting on Ben Johnson. I'm betting on Mike Vrabel, especially betting on Mike Vrabel after a collapse like last week. They know what their issues have been. They're smart enough to figure them out in the second half. They've seen it all season. Now they've got tangible evidence. They didn't get to sneak by against a bad team like this is something they got to fix. I think they're going to do it. So let's leave the Patriots in there.
- [33:29]
Simon Hunter
All right, let's do it.
- [33:30]
Chad Millman
All right. So then our final five is going to be Tampa Bay at Carolina. We're going Carolina plus three and a half. Buffalo at Cleveland. We're going with Buffalo minus ten and a half. Jacksonville at Denver. We're going with Jacksonville three and a half. Pittsburgh at Detroit. We're going with Detroit. It's seven and a half now, but we got it at six and a half in the contest. New England plus three and a half in the contest at Baltimore. That is it. Our last ones out. It feels like our last ones out are going to be really Minnesota at the New York Giants plus two and a half. We also had a couple conversations about Arizona, but it's a two and a half in the contest for the Raiders at 14 and a half. We didn't get to it. We're going to be watching it. At least I am because I did bet the Raiders 14 and a half at Houston. Okay, this has been Sharper Square, part of the Volume podcast network. We're going to be back On Sharper Square YouTube tonight after the late afternoon games. Tune in live. We'll answer your questions. We'll review all the misery and heartache of the day. Watch or listen on YouTube @Sharpersquare. Like the video. Subscribe to the channel. Download us from Spotify, Apple pods, wherever you get your pods rate. Review. Subscribe. Leave us five stars. Say whatever you want. Feedback is the gift. Until next time. Love you.
- [34:52]
Richard Sherman
Hey baby. Hey baby.
- [34:54]
Simon Hunter
We're gonna be here all day.
- [34:56]
Richard Sherman
We're gonna be here all day, baby.
- [34:58]
Simon Hunter
I like this kind of party. I like this kind of party, baby.
- [35:04]
Coca Cola Announcer
What a matchup we got, y'.
- [35:06]
Chad Millman
All.
- [35:06]
Coca Cola Announcer
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- [35:51]
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- [36:19]
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- [36:58]
Unrivaled Basketball Announcer
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- [37:27]
Liberty Mutual Announcer
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- [38:40]
Chad Millman
Guaranteed Human.