FINAL WEEK 17 BETS - Seahawks-Panthers, Patriots-Jets, Eagles-Bills, Steelers-Browns, Bears-Niners and more

Summary

Sharp or Square – FINAL WEEK 17 BETS

Podcast: Sharp or Square
Hosts: Chad Millman & Simon Hunter
Release Date: December 29, 2025
Episode: FINAL WEEK 17 BETS – Seahawks-Panthers, Patriots-Jets, Eagles-Bills, Steelers-Browns, Bears-Niners, and more

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Episode Overview

This episode is a “semi-stripped down, in-the-room” edition, where betting expert Chad Millman and professional gambler Simon Hunter run through their favorite NFL Week 17 picks, break down line movements, and debate whether each side is “sharp” (wise guy money) or “square” (public/chalky bets). The focus is on contest picks and real bets, as well as understanding public vs. professional money, injuries, team motivation, and classic betting angles for these high-stakes late-season games.

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Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Seattle Seahawks (-7.5) at Carolina Panthers

[04:51]

• Sharp or Square? LEAN SHARP on Seattle. Fading the public dog (Carolina).
• Logic: “Lots of tickets on the Panthers. So I like fading the public here. This is clearly going to be the public dog of the week.” – Chad [04:51]
• Simon notes the Seahawks defense is “probably the best defense Panthers will play all season” and expects Carolina to struggle—especially with rookie QB Bryce Young—citing previous poor performances against elite defenses (i.e., San Francisco game).
• "It’s painful to do it… but I really like this match for the Seahawks team and I think it's another game where they're going to show why they right now are the 1 seed." – Simon [05:14]

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2. New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans (+2.5 in contest, down to +1.5)

[06:20]

• Sharp or Square? SHARP side is Tennessee.
• Line Movement: Heavy public on Saints; reverse line movement towards Tennessee signals sharp money.
• “All the tickets are on New Orleans. So we do have some reverse line movement here with the public coming in on New Orleans and the professionals betting Tennessee.” – Chad [06:56]
• Simon expects “chaos” with two rookie QBs and doesn’t think the exact number will matter much; likes Tennessee due to letdown spot and overhyped Saints following last week's big win.
• “This feels like a Tennessee spot. A Tennessee number. They shouldn’t have been a dog. This should have been a pick or maybe a small favorite on Tennessee." – Simon [08:02]

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3. Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (+3.5)

[08:46]

• Sharp or Square? Contrarian but rooted in past successful angles—betting Browns at home.
• Key Angle: Betting Cleveland home dogs in division games.
• “We always blindly bet the Browns at home here and, you know, it's crazy. Four of the last five, they've won outright against the Pittsburgh Steelers in this exact spot.” – Simon [10:10]
• Both hosts admit it never feels good backing the Browns, but history and matchups (Browns run game vs. Steelers D missing key players) say the number holds value.
• "I do look at this Brown team. That is their identity of the day, right? It’s not Shador. It’s that run game..." – Simon [11:03]
• Simon relieved at the +3.5: “Honestly makes me feel better… I do think this game does feel like it’s going to land right on three.” [11:20]

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4. Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills (-2)

[11:32]

• Sharp or Square? Public is all over Buffalo, but the hosts agree with the line movement and the logic.
• Key Factors: Josh Allen’s health, weather, Eagles' issues vs. mobile QBs, Bills' rushing attack vs. Philly's weak run D.
• "We’ve been betting into this all week… We're betting against [Philly] not being able to contain a mobile quarterback and hoping that a mobile quarterback can be effective even when he's injured." – Chad [13:01]
• Simon’s one concern: “This is gonna be by far our biggest public play. All public money and I think the public has the same view as we did. It's just the Bills feel like they're gonna be the more desperate team." – Simon [13:13]
• Still, their conviction is strong: "Anything you get under three, I would take it here on the Bills at home." – Simon [14:15]

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5. Chicago Bears (+3.5) at San Francisco 49ers

[14:18]

• Emotional Hedge! Chad has Super Bowl futures on the 49ers, but the Bears (his team) getting points is too much to pass up.
• “At the end of the day, we’re getting the hook for the Bears that have a great running game and we're leaning into their magic a little bit. I gotta tell you, I'm just tailing you on this one.” – Chad [15:19]
• Simon amazed at Chad’s attitude: “What is wrong with you right now? You are a beaten down Bears fan… Oh my God. I can't get over what you just said.” [15:31]
• Simon breaks down why the Bears “match-up wise” are dangerous against the 49ers: “As great as this 49ers team has been… They have to get bit eventually by this defense… They have zero pass rush. It's alarming when you break down the numbers how bad their defensive line is.” [16:00]
• “Another game, I’m happy we’re getting a great number—three and a half—on this Bears team. I think this is a game where they could easily win outright.” – Simon [17:06]

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6. Other Games & Discussion

a. New York Giants at Las Vegas Raiders

[23:32]

• Initial leans shifted when Max Crosby was ruled out. Simon expresses frustration: “This is my life's work. Why would I not want to play in this game?” – Simon [24:17]
• Game has become a pure fade/toss-out: “Both teams are tank-offing right now.” – Simon [25:31]

b. New England Patriots at New York Jets (+13.5)

[26:50]

• Chad calls it a “blind bet” situationally, but Simon rejects it: “There's a huge difference between this and that Chiefs game, right? The Jets literally have none of what I just said [coaching, experience]. … I just think they've totally quit on the season and they just have horrible coaching.” – Simon [28:01]
• Simon also notes key Patriots injuries could play a role: “That Mac Hollins injury is going to be a huge deal for them in the playoffs…” [29:13]
• Chad wants to revisit bonus/incentive angles for player props in the Tuesday show.

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Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• Chad: “Let my legacy be the Texans covering and winning. … I don't sound like it. Definitely not feeling perfect. But I will feel better if we have a great day today, brother.” [03:46]
• Simon on Carolina: “Painful to go against our Carolina Panthers here, but really like this match for the Seahawks team and I think it's another game where they're going to show why they right now are the 1 seed. They're just a really dominant team, so well coached.” [05:14]
• Simon: “It’s never good to really be hammering the public dog… it does hit… but for this matchup…I think people are overlooking this game.” [05:14]
• Chad: “We always blindly bet the Browns at home here and, you know, it's crazy. Four of the last five, they've won outright against the Pittsburgh Steelers in this exact spot.” [10:10]
• Simon, on Chad's Bears Super Bowl hedge: “I am shocked to hear you say this nonsense… You are a beaten down Bears fan. Oh my God. I can't get over what you just said.” [15:31]
• Simon, on the Patriots-Jets: “I just think they've totally quit on the season and they just have horrible coaching. So, I cannot put money into it.” [28:25]

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Final Betting Card (Hosts' Official Contest Picks)

[30:15]

• Seattle Seahawks (-7.5)
• Tennessee Titans (+2.5)
• Cleveland Browns (+3.5)
• Buffalo Bills (-2)
• Chicago Bears (+3.5)

“Those are going to be the games that we are playing.” – Chad [30:11]

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Timestamps for Important Segments

• Show Start & Banter: 03:20
• Seahawks at Panthers: 04:51
• Saints at Titans: 06:20
• Steelers at Browns: 08:46
• Eagles at Bills: 11:32
• Bears at Niners: 14:18
• Giants at Raiders: 23:32
• Patriots at Jets: 26:50
• Final Five Picks Recap: 30:15

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Podcast Tone

• Straightforward, analytical, and banter-rich: The hosts share data-driven insights but also inject plenty of levity, personal bias (Chad’s Bears fandom), and candid takes on emotional hedging and classic betting psychology.
• Transparency in thinking: Both are honest when a pick “doesn’t feel good,” but they explain why they’re sticking with their model or historical angle.
• Engaged with listener community: Several reminders about contest tracking and future episode plans (player incentives, trades).

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In summary:
This episode of Sharp or Square is a fast-paced, candid, and insight-rich breakdown of the week’s top NFL bets, balancing contrarian sharp logic with realistic appraisals of team motivation, matchup advantages, and emotional traps. It's invaluable listening for recreational and sharp bettors alike looking to gain an edge for NFL Week 17.

Transcript

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[Chad Millman]

All.

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[Simon Hunter]

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[Chad Millman]

Welcome to Sharper Square presented by Hard Rock bet. We are part of the Voluum podcast network. This is the show that makes the squares sharper and makes the wise guys pay attention. I am Chad Millman. I'm joined as always by my co host, my bff, my companion, my compadre professional better Simon Hunter. Hello Simon.

[Simon Hunter]

Chad. How we doing brother?

[Chad Millman]

I've passed the bad to worst. I had a good run. Let my legacy be the Texans covering and winning. I think I'm on the other side of it. I don't sound like it. Definitely not feeling perfect. But I will feel better if we have a great day today, brother.

[Simon Hunter]

Well, maybe you being an NFC north champ will make you feel a little better as well.

[Chad Millman]

NFC north champion Chicago Bears. We're going to get to them in so many other games. This is the semi stripped down in the room version of Sharper Square. We're going to make some terrible decisions today, but hope everybody enjoys the ride. Remember, you can see the dynamic contest lines. Simon and I are playing at the free sharp or square pro football pick em contest. If you've signed up to [e-mail] volume.com you can be tracking Simon and I in the contest. Chad and Simon. BFFs is our name. Are you ready brother?

[Simon Hunter]

Let's do it.

[Chad Millman]

All right, first one up, Seattle is minus seven at Carolina. The best line we can get in the contest because the contest only plays half point lines of seven and a half. This was Simon says. I think we're leaning into it. We're taking a shot. Lots of tickets on the Panthers. So I like fading the public here. This is clearly going to be the public dog of the week.

[Simon Hunter]

Yeah. And we have a. We do have a favorite that's very public that we like. So at least we have one favorite that everyone just absolutely hates. And that's always a nice spot to be. Like you just said, it's. It's never good to really be hammering the public dog. It does hit that. We talk all the time. It does through. But for this matchup there is, I think people are overlooking this game a lot. Where there is a reason this number is so high that the Seattle's defense is dominant, probably the best defense Panthers will play all season. And we've seen this Panther team, you know, they have been up and down, but when they faced really good defenses or at least really good play callers, they've struggled. I mean, I just keep thinking back, that's Allah game for the 49ers, right. I think they have nine total points and it's just, you know, it's, it's a lot to ask her. Bryce Young and I talk all the time about this. It's the human element too. How are they not looking ahead to the Bucks next week? I mean, how can they not be thinking about that? So, yeah, it's painful to do it, Chad, painful to go against our Carolina Panthers here, but really like this match for the Seahawks team and I think it's another game where they're going to show why they right now are the 1 seed. They're just a really dominant team, so well coached. So this is a, this feels like a great matchup for the Sean Seahawks.

[Chad Millman]

Yeah, the Seahawks have been playing great all year. This is a good chance for them to reaffirm their position atop the conference. The NFC. New Orleans at Tennessee. This number is down to one and a half. And this is a good example of why it's important to listen to every show. This line opened New Orleans -3. We talked about it on Tuesday on the show. Betting Tennessee +3. If you were betting the contest, like we said, these are dynamic lines. If you were betting the contest all week, you were getting Tennessee plus two and a half. We currently have Tennessee plus two and a half in the contest. I still love it. This is the side of the wise guys. Tennessee. This is the sharp side. All the tickets are on New Orleans. So we do have some reverse line movement here with the public coming in on New Orleans and the professionals betting Tennessee.

[Simon Hunter]

Yeah. And I hate to say that this doesn't feel like a game where the line is going to matter. I just would be shocked seeing this number land on two just because it's two rookie quarterbacks. I'm expecting a lot of chaos, a lot of dumb stuff. So yeah, I wouldn't let the one and a half scare you off. If you are like Chad and you do love Tennessee and like you said Thursday, Tuesday, all the shows we've talked about Tennessee, that was the professional side. And then we saw the number continuing to come down. I am shocked because it's so early in the morning here that it is already down to one and a half. I thought this would still be two Maybe three getting closer to kickoff than the professionals will hit it. But looks like someone was busy overnight using all their money from the Ravens. Texans win. So pretty shocking to see it down to one and a half. And like Chad said, the Saints probably the biggest, second biggest public side right now behind the Jaguars. It's just a ton of money hammering that side. So, yeah, it pains me because Chuck's my guy, but I've been saying it all week with Chad, it's. This feels like a Tennessee spot. A Tennessee number. They shouldn't have been a dog. This should have been a pick or maybe a small favorite on Tennessee. It's just the Saints. The, the shuck hype has reached peak level after that huge win last week against the Jets. So it's again, if he wins this, it's another respect to him. This feels like a total letdown spot for him. And we've seen Tennessee, like Chad talked about their fire, their head coach since then, you know, five and three against the spread. They've won three games, though, in that mix. Like, they've just been a totally different team. So it's. It's a nice time for us to get back on this Tennessee train.

[Chad Millman]

Mike McCoy, they call him the Master. Master Mike McCoy. Pittsburgh at Cleveland. Another line that's moving in the direction of the Steelers. And since the Ravens won last night, everyone. Now, I think there had been some hedging on this. People have been betting the Cleveland because they thought, all right, if the Ravens lose without Lamar Jackson, then the Steelers might rest starters because they will have wrapped up the AFC North. Now we know that's not going to be the case, so we can expect Pittsburgh to play all of its players. We had been betting 10 Cleveland long before the expectation of that, that they wouldn't be playing starters because we're going back to our roots. We're betting Cleveland at home with a great defense that we hope returns to being a great defense. And we're fading the Steelers in a road favorite. Anti Mike Tomlin. Rah, rah spot. I will say it makes me a little nervous. I think the line has moved from three to three and a half because the public has been coming in on the Steelers. But you never feel good betting the Browns.

[Simon Hunter]

You never feel good. I do think that's a Mason Rudolph, Aaron Rodgers move too, right. If this was, you know, guaranteed Roger was going to play, it wasn't gonna be Mason Rudolph probably would have kept going down. Probably would be two and a half by kick.

[Chad Millman]

The.

[Simon Hunter]

The live movement feels. Feels right to me. Right. You're getting Pittsburgh a much better team with the better quarterback. And like Chad's saying here, it's never, it's never a good feeling back in the Browns here. But told you, we have history with this one. We always blindly bet the Browns at home here and, you know, it's crazy. For the last five, they won outright against the Pittsburgh Steelers in this exact spot. And we talk a lot of time divisionally, these teams kind of have to throw the records out. Certain teams match up well against other teams and we've seen that time and time again. So, yeah. Will it be brutal when we're sitting here Sunday night and Pittsburgh rolls by 30? Of course. But we also saw coming in a sense that we've. We've been worried about this Browns team quitting for, for months here and they did show life last week. It's, it's part of the reason when you are buying back in this week. And you know, just look at the matchup as well. The Browns are going to be able to run the ball against Pittsburgh. I know Pittsburgh's defense has been better, but they still are down Watt, they're still down a couple guys on the D line. And I do look at this Brown team. That is their identity of the day, right? It's not Shador. It's that run game being consistent for them. So it's gonna be interesting to see what they do now in this matchup. And I don't know about you, Chad, but the fact that it's backed up to three and a half honestly makes me feel better. I'm just glad everyone listen. This can get the hook because, you know, it would have been pretty if we woke up this morning, it's two and a half and people couldn't get that because I do think this game does feel like it's going to land right on three.

[Chad Millman]

Yeah. No, totally agree. Philadelphia at Buffalo. This is a line that's been moving as well. The Buffalo Bills currently two point favorites at. At Hard Rock. It was down to one on Thursday. A lot of that I think is because we were unsure of Josh Allen's status with his injured foot. He came out and said he's good to go. He's playing the Buffalo Bills. Simon are going to be our rock in a hard place. Hard Rock better the week I want to rock. Look, we've been betting into this all week. Basically since Sunday, we've been leaning towards the Bills. It got down to 1. I bet it even more at 1. I bet the Bills on the money line just to get a little bit of a better price, but expecting Josh Allen to play. So now we just have to contend with the fact the Eagles rush defense is really what we're betting against. Right. We're betting against them not being able to contain a mobile quarterback and hoping that a mobile quarterback can be effective even when he's injured. We're hoping that James Cook and the rest of that Bills offense can effectively run the ball against a 22nd ranked rush defense. It's not going to be through the passing game. The Eagles pass defense has just been getting better and better and the Bills really don't have the weapons to take advantage of. Sort of the lack of outside corner depth for the Eagles. The line's moving back in our direction. So I kind of feel good about that.

[Simon Hunter]

Yeah. And this is the game I was always gonna hate for us because I knew this was gonna be by far our biggest public play. Right. This is.

[Chad Millman]

Yeah.

[Simon Hunter]

All public money and I think the public has the same view as we did. It's just the Bills feel like they're gonna be the more desperate team. I don't know. There's something about this Eagles team I haven't trusted all season and normally I would love the Eagles in the spot. Right. It's Jalen Hurts is an underdog being overlooked a little bit. Right. Especially, you know, looking at multiple different books here. He's getting less than 20% of the money. That's usually when the Eagles burn these type of teams, but we've already seen it. Right. The Eagles have a couple guys are going to sit here. Lane Johnson still isn't back. Supposed to be freezing rain and really bad weather in this matchup as well. And this is like we always talk about, Jeff. It's Josh Allen at home in bad weather. Yeah. Even for down 14, it's just going to be like that spot where you never feel like we're dead. We always are going to believe he's going to be able to get us back into this, especially any number under three. So really about playing the number here, like Chad said, it's running up to two and a half. There is one one, one and a half left out there. The two is not going to scare me off any either. So anything you get her to three. I would take it here on the.

[Chad Millman]

Bills at home for the last game we've leaned into before we get to some that we're still considering. The Chicago Bears plus three and a half at the San Francisco 49ers. The Sunday night game. It's. It's moved to three at Hard Rock, but a lot of three and a halfs out there. Yeah, I don't know. I. I feel like we're stepping in it a little bit. Like I will tell you, I have so many futures tied to the Niners making the super bowl that part of me almost needs them to win this game to get the number one seed and have a chance to play against Seattle for the number one seed. And the Bears having wrapped up the division makes me feel like maybe I want to root for my bet here, my futures bet. But at the end of the day, we're getting the hook for the Bears that have a great running game and we're leaning into their magic a little bit. I gotta tell you, I'm just tailing you on this one. That's really what it is.

[Simon Hunter]

Well, your dream might come true, buddy. This is why we play the spread. The 49ers can win. We can win our bet so you can get the best of both worlds.

[Chad Millman]

That's what I'm hoping.

[Simon Hunter]

I am shocked to hear you say this nonsense. You have a chance of the one seed. What is wrong with you right now? You are a beaten down Bears fan. Oh my God. I can't get over what you just said.

[Chad Millman]

We're not getting the one seed. There's no chance.

[Simon Hunter]

I mean every. Every Bears fan was left this team for dead. I feels like in week five or six and now they have potential to be the ones you. So I can't fault you for not believing it's. It's what your organization usually does. Let you down. But I keep telling you, feels like it's a new age. And I. As great as this 49ers team has been, we've given them a ton of props. They have to get bit eventually by this defense. The defense is horrible. They have no. They have zero pass rush. It's. It's alarming when you break down the numbers how bad their defensive line is. It's just been a total mute point. And Salah just. I mean even, you know, it's. The coach of the year race is so brutal. Like Shanahan, I see why people want to give it to him, what he's done this year. Incredible. Between Mac Jones, you know, steps in, they don't miss a beat. Purdy comes back once again, they don't miss a beat. Like it's incredible how he's made that locker room hold together while losing Fred Warner and Bosa. So I get why you're scared of this 49ers team. Right. We know this is a juggernaut and the Bears, this feels like a David and Goliath. It feels like most people in the general public do not believe what you're saying too. They just do not believe the Bears in this spot and the money does reflect that. This which had said the ton of money, especially since that game yesterday. Since the Bears clinched the north has just come and pouring in on the Snyders team. So another game. I'm happy we're getting a great number three and a half on this Bears team. I think this is a game where they could easily win outright. They just matchup wise. I love their offense against this 49ers defense and we talked about, I think defensively they're going to have a lot of schemes and stuff they can do against Shannon's offense that they're going to hide like they've been doing all year, hiding their safeties, put them in weird spots where they get these crazy turnovers and I like that here for this Bears defense. So couldn't have asked for a better Sunday night game. Just two teams fighting for the number one seed. NFL nailed it.

[Chad Millman]

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[Chad Millman]

All.

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[Chad Millman]

Mmm.

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[Chad Millman]

Simon the New York Giants are visiting the Las Vegas Raiders, and after the show we recorded on Friday where we were starting to lean pretty heavily into the Raiders, mainly because the Giants were going to have Andrew Thomas and Max Crosby was supposed to be lining up opposite whoever that new left tackle would be. It was announced Max Crosby would no longer be playing this year and then he just left the facility because he's so pissed about it. Because he's maniacal and I love that about him. This line moved from Raiders plus a half to Raiders plus two and a half. I want to bring it up because of the Crosby kerfuffle. No reason for me to play it anymore.

[Simon Hunter]

That's fair. And yeah, I love just some guy the front office thinks he can go to, maybe one of the best physically talented athletes in all of the sport and be like hey, we're you for two games. You've been banged up all year. Enjoy it. You deserve it. We'll put you on IR without thinking, this psychopath is going to be like, dude, this is my life's work. Why would I not want to play in this game? So he's been trolling the hell out of them. I think he posted on Instagram videos of him shooting basketballs off one foot and him like, dunking and stuff, just trolling them. So. Max Crosby, Bears would love you. I know the. Oh, my God, we would love you. Everyone is licking their chomps right now being like, dude, this man's gonna force his way out. Like, it's just all the money works as well. Everyone's dove in all the money. I think it's like a really small dead cap hit for this, this Raiders team. So I think this is someone that wants Crosby to be on a good team. This is like a dream scenario for me. It's like he's gonna force his way out.

[Chad Millman]

In my Covid haze, the past 48 to 72 hours, I did run through multiple scenarios to get Max Crosby to the Bears. I think. I think I have one. I want to talk about it on Tuesday show. I'm gonna save it for the show.

[Simon Hunter]

But yeah, for this game, I. I think nothing's changed for me. Right? I'm. It's two horrible teams. I'm just gonna bank on the trends because there's no real read for me on this game. Like Chad just said, both teams are. They're tank often right now. Yeah, both teams are sitting star players. I saw multiple people posting on social media of all the Giants players out like 11 o' clock midnight last night, walking around Vegas and doing stuff. So it's just a very weird spot where I don't know how serious either team's taking this one because both front offices, clearly they're trying to tank. So it's a bizarre game. But I, like, I just can't get over that. It's. It's Pete Carroll, a veteran coach who I think knows his job's done. I think he's going to try to win this game. And now I'm getting even better odds. Like they're plus two and a half now, so it's a sucker bet.

[Chad Millman]

You know what? Just take the money line.

[Simon Hunter]

Yeah, you can. I. You know me, I'm a big stick on the two and a half, but the money line is plus 130, plus 125. Not a bad bet either, but crazy. I'm Looking at right now, the splits, all the money, all the tickets are coming on the Giants and I can't believe they're people are hammering the Giants in this spot. So yeah, kind of, kind of a funny game. And I get why the lines moved, right. Max Crosby, probably worth a point and a half, two points to this Raiders team. So live movement makes total sense.

[Chad Millman]

The last game I want to talk about. Yeah, because I can't believe we haven't spent more time on it. Is the Patriots visiting the Jets. And the jets are 13 and a half point underdogs. This is like this should be a blind bet for us. Like the Jets a smash spot of a home dog in the division of nearly two touchdowns against the Patriots team. I don't know if you saw the clips from Mike Frabel's press conference the other day, but he opened basically going through a list of players who would not be playing that included Milt Williams, defensive tackle Treveon Henderson, running back. Now since then Mack Hollins is out as well. So like I know the Patriots have stuff to play for, but thirteen and a half points on the road at an end of season game. I just want to make the case that we should be having a serious conversation about this in an unserious world, in an unserious moment for the jets, we should be having a conversation, a serious conversation about betting the Jets.

[Simon Hunter]

No, I don't hate your read, but I do want people understand there's a huge difference between this and that Chiefs game, right? The Chiefs, they have the coaching, they have the pedigree, they have the veteran players. I've done it before. The jets literally have none of what I just said. They have none of that. So that's my biggest issue. Like the quarterback, you know, the Chiefs could have made it, could have made it work. They can make this third string, never play to snap NFL and make it work. The jets have simply not made it. So you know me and you got off the jets train at the right time, right? We jumped as soon as Taylor got hurt. Tyrod was our guy. He was covering machine for us. I think the last game we, we really bet on, maybe we did bet the next game after that. But he won that Atlanta game, right? They won 27, 24, something like that. The three games since then, Chad, they got blown out 34 to 10, they got blown out 48 to 20 and they got blown out by the Saints last week, 29, six. So I, I do think your theory and your reasoning is right. Normally this would be a spot to Take a Jets. But I just think they've totally quit on the season and they just have horrible coaching. So I, I cannot put money into it. And I think your read is right to the Patriots. It's not being talked about enough by. I mean, maybe I'll bring it up now, but like Chad said, the injuries, it's a big deal. A lot of the guys are missing. I think that Mac Holland's injury is going to be a huge deal for them in the playoffs. It feels like any time they need a first down or a big play. Matt Collins has been that guy for Drake May this season. So really shocking to see they put him on the ir. I think it was like a domino injury just popped up out of nowhere. All of a sudden this guy is out now for four games for the Patriots. So yeah, you're, you're, you're, you're right about. Maybe we'll look into this more in the Patriots in the playoffs. That this is going to be a big downgrade because of all the injuries they've had. But I think they're making the right decision here. Sitting a bunch of people just trying to get right because I don't, I just don't know if the one seeds really refuse at this point. So yeah, I don't hate your reach at. I just, I can't back a jitsu that. Totally worried they've quit.

[Chad Millman]

Mac Holland was actually only a few catches away from a pretty big bonus. I think he's like four catches from getting a $400,000 bonus. Something that I want to do on Tuesday as well. In addition to dissecting the Bears trade for Max Crosby is. We need to give people a list of the players who are close to incentives in their contracts in the final game of the season so people can be paying attention to that and think about how they might want to play those games. All right, so then here's our final five. Simon. We're going Seattle. It's seven and a half in the contest. We're taking it. We're going with Tennessee. We got it at two and a half in the contest. That line is currently one and a half. We still like. I think we still like Tennessee. Pittsburgh at Cleveland. Cleveland at three and a half. We're playing Cleveland, Philadelphia, Buffalo. The Bills are currently two point favorites to one and a half in the contest. We're on it. And we're playing the Chicago Bears at plus three and a half against the San Francisco 49ers in Sunday night Football. Those are going to be the games that we are playing. This has been Sharper Square part of the Volume Podcast network. We will be back on Sharper Square on YouTube tonight live after America's game of the Week. To recap all the misery and glory of the day, watch or listen on YouTube. Like the video, subscribe to the channel, Download some Spotify, Apple pods wherever you get your pods. Rate, Review, Subscribe. Leave us. Five stars. Say whatever you want. Feedback is the gift. Until tonight. Love you. Come on baby.

[Simon Hunter]

One time.

[Chad Millman]

One time. One time, baby. One time. One time.

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[Sophie Cunningham]

Is Sophie Cunningham from Show Me Something. Do you know the symptoms of moderate to severe obstructive sleep apnea, or osa, in adults with obesity? They may be happening to you without you knowing. If anyone has ever said you snort loudly, or if you spend your days fighting off excessive tiredness, irritability and concentration issues, it may be due to osa. OSA is a serious condition where your airway partially or completely collapses during sleep, which may cause breathing interruptions and oxygen deprivation. Learn more at don'tsleep on OSA.com this information is provided by Lilly, a medicine company at CVS it matters that we're not just in your community, but that we're part of it. It matters that we're here for you when you need us, day or night, and we want everyone to feel welcomed and rewarded. It matters that CVS is here to fill your prescriptions and here to fill your craving for a tasty and, yeah, healthy snack. At cvs, we're proud to serve your community because we believe where you get your medicine matters. So Visit [e-mail] or just come by our store. We can't wait to meet you. Store hours vary by location. This is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human.