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This is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human.
Chad Milton
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Jason Timf
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Simon Hunter
Find yours@dell.com XPS built for you.
Chad Milton
It's hard not to love Hyundai's electric EV lineup. From the ultra fast charging capability and long range of the Ioniq 5 to the impossibly spacious and luxurious cabin of the Ioniq 9 and the super powerful Ioniq 5N with up to 641 horsepower. With Engrin boost engaged, it's love at first charge with the most electric EV lineup from Hyundai. Visit HyundaiUSA.com or call 562-314-4603 for more details. Welcome to Sharper Square presented by Hard Rock Bat. We are part of the Volume Podcast Network. This is the show that makes the squares sharper and makes the wise guys pay attention. I am Shad Milton. I am Joey as always by my co host, my bff, my companion, my compadre professional Better Simon Hunter. Hello Simon.
Simon Hunter
Chad, I know you're a busy man so I'll make this quick over the weekend as Chad knows many of you might know too. My third favorite sport to watch is poker. I love Texas Hold'.
Jason Timf
Em.
Simon Hunter
Love poker. Right now it's the World Series of Poker and I had to bring this up because it's it was such an incredible run. Basically there's tournaments going on right now in Vegas, World Series of Poker. And there's this guy with the last name hall, which, which Chad, you might know him, he's a, he's a pretty well known guy in the DFS leagues. Like he does daily fantasy and he had two, two entries in Circus Survivor last year. So he basically was in the Survivor contest, won a ton of money and he's a really well known poker player, this guy. So he basically heads up against this woman who I've respected a long time named Kristen Foxen. And she's a well known professional player. Kind of blew up I guess in like 2018, 2019. Really, really well respected. She's basically in this high roll contest playing against him, heads up and took them down with pocket aces in the final hand. And you know, I think she won 1.7 million. But for women player, it was a huge deal, right? Probably the best women's player ever play the game. The fact that she went into this group of the best of the best, right? It's only professionals playing. Maybe some billionaire millionaires are in this group, but it's 25k to get into this tournament. It's all sharks, it's all killers. The fact that Kristen went in and won it, I think her husband, another professional player with the last same last name, Foxen, was the one that gave her the bracelet. It was a pretty epic moment of someone that loves Texas Hold' Em and loves that whole gambling space.
Chad Milton
That's really cool. That's a great story. World Series of Poker is always awesome. It's super fun and it actually I was in Vegas when it started a couple weeks ago. Speaking of $25,000, that was about the get in price for games to the NBA Finals Game 3 at Madison Square Garden. I exaggerate, but not by much because tickets were insane. The vibe in the city was insane. The vibe in the stadium was ridiculous. I thought it was going to be impossible for the Knicks to live up to the hype and the expectation of what was happening in that stadium. So the score in the series is now 2:1 and we're going to bring in our very special guest and good friend Jason Timf, host of Hoops Tonight podcast and the volume NBA expert. But before we do that, Matt Mitchell, please come in because you got a really quick funny story from this past weekend.
Matt Mitchell
Thank you, Chad. And I'll do this quickly as I can because I want to get to the obviously the NBA talk. So last Saturday here in Wisconsin was a beautiful Day. It was just a perfect June day here in America's heartland. So, like a lot of dads, I got to spend that beautiful Saturday in a roller skating rink in deep Ozaukee County, Wisconsin, surrounded by farms, in a single level cinder block room taken basically directly from 1976. It was inside this roller rink. Gerald Ford is still president. It was, it was great. I'm there for a child's birthday with my children. I love College World Series. College World Series is one of my favorite sporting events every year. I bet a lot on it. It's absolutely exhilarating to watch if you haven't enjoyed. We get there and I want to put the super regional on between Georgia and Mississippi State because I have a lot of money on Georgia. We get in, they have one television. And to give you an idea of how dangerous roller skating is generally, it looked like there was someone in the DJ booth with like a sniper rifle shooting children. That's how many kids are getting in unbelievable looking accidents. One after the other. They're going down. Everyone looks like it's. It looks like, you know, I mean, Gerald Ford is president. We're in Cambodia. It's like that in there also like Cambodia. It is sweltering inside. So it's also like picture. It's also 100 degrees and very dark. They got one TV, golf channels on. It's not even a tournament. Just go, okay, I got to get this TV changed. And I look and I see a child is working. There's like a kid I Learned, he was 14. He's got one Bluetooth headset in like, he works at a, like a bodega. And I, I flag him down and I go, hi, could you put on the, the Georgia baseball game on espn? And he goes, I'm really sorry. They tell me I'm not allowed to change the channel. I said, would $10 change that rule? And this kid says, and sure would. Any disappears for a while. He finds a remote. He and I are, are next to each other shoulder to shoulder. And he's like five, two, shoulder to shoulder with each other. And he's changing the channel. And without looking at me, he goes, got a lot of money on this game. And I go, I go, yeah. No response. And immediately I'm like, this is my guy. Game on goes and squirrels back the remote wherever he found it. And he goes back to being the hardest working man in Ozaukee County, Wisconsin. I'm watching this game. This game is insane. There were 10 home runs in the game. There were 11. The game before in this three game series, I need to win this game to move on and advance to Omaha. I am dying. Just like all of the children within my view. My own wiping out. And there's home runs. They're winning and losing and winning and losing. I am dying. The kids, by the way, are safe. They're with my wife. My son has learned to rollerblade. In one hour. Incredible. His old man. I hate roller skating. I hate rollerblading. I don't do any of that stuff. Despite my parents many attempts. He comes over and he's so proud and wet with sweat. And I say, I can't believe he did it. Congratulations, son. What do you want? He goes, I want a slushie. I, I know just the guy to serve it to us. So I go to this kid and I go, hey, I'd like a, I'd like a large slushy, please. Because it's 1976. It was like $2. I go, okay, here's 10. And I winked at him. I go, you can keep that, brother. He goes, wow, thanks man. I go, dude, we're all in this together now. We're in the thick of it over in Athens, Georgia. And he just nods very knowingly because he'd been keeping his eye on it now too. My son gets a slushy. Everything's great. Go back to the game. It's the bottom of the eighth. George is up. They give up a maybe 7,500 foot home run to Mississippi State that's still circling Earth's atmosphere. Now they're up by one. And I turn my head in absolute disgust. I look over and I accidentally make eye contact with this kid again. And he's spraying the deodorizing spray into a pair of roller skates. And he says to me with no emotion, that's the last thing we needed right now. Like, does this, this kid absolutely rules. They go on, they win the game in extra innings. It is, it is absolutely thrilling. They get the final strikeout. I'm like, yes. And I, now it's time to go. The party's over. I'm like, yes. And I turn. He is checking somebody out. He's like collecting money from some, from a parent, but he's pointing directly to his like nine o', clock, right at me. Because maybe he was listening to the game and one of his Bluetooth, I don't know. But without even making eye contact with me, he pointed directly at me so we could share one final moment. So Frank, at the roller rink in Ozarki County, Wisconsin. Bless your heart. You're one of America's very finest teenagers, and I look forward to one day, inevitably, you being my boss, because that's the trajectory you're on.
Chad Milton
I mean, that's a great story. And I love when, you know, betting brings teenagers and grown men together. The fact we know it's still 1976 in that roller rink and in that county, they got a teenager named Frank.
Simon Hunter
Yep.
Matt Mitchell
I. I actually. I'm not 100 sure any of that actually happened or that he really exists. That's how Otherworldly felt. I felt like I was in kind of one of those in between, you know, kind of nebulous.
Chad Milton
It was like a betting fever dream.
Matt Mitchell
Yeah, exactly. Ah, it was great.
Chad Milton
A parenting betting fever dream.
Matt Mitchell
For those of you keeping score at home, Father of the year voting is still open, so hopefully I'll be able to search to first place. All right, good luck, fellas.
Chad Milton
Let's get in. Let's. Let's just bring in Jason. Let's bring in Jason. We can talk about the game last night.
Jason Timf
Like, are they juicing the bats or something? What's up with these home runs in every single game? My goodness, man, the College World Series.
Chad Milton
The men's and women's College World Series has been just completely nuts and exhilarating, as was the game last night. Jason, I don't know about you. I thought. I thought there was no way the spurs were going to lose. And even when they were down 7 in that sort of run at the end of the first half, it felt like, how are the spurs down 7? The Knicks haven't done anything in this game. And then they came back and they put themselves in position to win, and they pretty much controlled the game once they retook the lead. But, man, that whole game was a vibe. It was just. It was almost too good to be true. There's no way the Knicks could have lived up to expectations last night. No way.
Jason Timf
Yeah. So, ironically, when I was watching the game live, I had more of like, oh, the Knicks are going to come back and win this thing. Kind of feel. Mainly just because of the fact that I have felt like when the Knicks really tighten the screws defensively, the spurs offense is just too flawed and they kind of fall apart. That was how I felt in the moment. But one of the most common things that'll happen to me is I'll have a certain. You know, it happens about one out of every three games. I'll have a certain feel from a game, watching it live, and then I'll Rewatch it and I'll feel completely different about it. And this was actually one of those games. I did my film session this morning and for those of you guys who are listening, if you want to see the clips, I have like 60 clips that I picked from the game in a film session that is on the Hoops Tonight feed. But I agree with you, Chad. I didn't think the Knicks generated many good shots at all in the game. And I thought one of the big stories of that game was even when the Knicks went on their runs, it was kind of like insane shot making that felt somewhat unsustainable. Like there was a run in the late first half where like OG Anunoby hits like a crazy contested three in the left corner over Dylan Harper and then Victor Wembanyama kind of closes out a little short on Brunson off the right wing, but he hits like a 29 foot three off of the right wing. It's just like a crazy shot. And then he like he had another one that was kind of deep off the top and it just like throughout the game, whether it was like Josh Hart hitting threes or OG Anunoby hitting some tough shots, Clarkson hit like a prayer off the top of the key. Late in the game there was really a big difference in the quality of shots where ironically for the spurs, they kind of sealed the game on a prayer. Steph Castle hit a prayer off the right wing. But mixed around that was a bunch of wide open looks like Devin Vassell had a wide open three off the right wing that he missed. Victor Women Yama had a wide open three off the left wing that he missed. Dylan Harper had three or four wide open threes that he missed. It was kind of funny that the one that went in was the crazy Steph Castle prayer at the tail end of the clock. But the general dynamic at play that's kind of started to take shape over the final three halves that I think is at least slightly concerning for the Knicks is they've just kind of reverted to this Jalen Brunson ball. And I, I trimmed in my film session today. There were like, like seven or eight possessions in that game where he didn't pass the ball a single time and dribbled the clock out literally all 24 seconds and just threw something bad up at the top tail end of the clock. And Cat had his least involved game of the series to this point. And even when in the brief windows of time where he was involved, I thought the Knicks offense looked considerably better. That was that Kind of run that they went on in the first half with Jordan Clarkson and Jose Alvarado on the floor alongside him with OG Anunoby. And so I think, like, there is some reality to the fact that Brunson is not the advantage for the Knicks in this series. If you dig into the personnel groupings, Cat is an advantage. He's done a wonderful job on Wemby. One on one. They struggled in pick and roll last night, but in one on ones, he continues to defend Wemby really well on the wings. Like Josh Hart, OG and Anobi. They're big, physical wings. Have given problems to the spurs perimeter players. The weakest point in this matchup for them is Brunson is a small guard who's going to struggle to get great separation against this depth of great perimeter defenders. And so I really think that if there's. If it's. I think the Knicks are the better team and they should win. But they can lose this series if they continue to play the way that they did in the last three halves, which is basically just everyone stand back and let Brunson dribble the air out of the basketball. I just think it plays directly into the spurs hands.
Simon Hunter
Let me give you some Brunson numbers real quick, Chad.
Chad Milton
Yeah, yeah.
Simon Hunter
All right. Because I. I noticed right away, because we talked about Brunson, obviously, the last show. He has 82 points on 81 shots. He is a minus 13 over three games in which the Knicks have won two. He has 13 assists, 13 turnovers on a 40 usage rate.
Chad Milton
Yes.
Simon Hunter
The Knicks have a 108 offensive rating with him on the court. They have 132 with him off the court. Those numbers, like, I had a buddy send me that. I was like, oh, my God, this came for you. And I looked up.
Matt Mitchell
It's.
Simon Hunter
Those are all real, factual data. So, Jason, what can the Knicks do? Like, I just gave you all those numbers, is he. Are they just gonna keep beating him up, wearing him down? Because he'll keep getting worse if they keep throwing their bodies into him. Like you just said, any man's gonna wear down, right?
Matt Mitchell
That.
Simon Hunter
That might have punishment on, you know, every two nights that's going to break down a player like Brunson. So I just, When I sue, I saw him was like, I can't wait to hear Jason's take on Brunson right now. Because that, to me, is alarming.
Jason Timf
That 40 usage rate is insane. That's like. That's like the very peak of Luka Doncic ball. Like, like dribbling the air out of the basketball every single time I. So here's the thing. When I watched the film, one of the things that stood out to me, I think I don't want to blame Brunson entirely for this, because one of the things that happened in that game, and you could feel it in the opening minutes, the spurs came out and they picked up full court and they were in everybody's jersey, like right from the jump. And there were two early possessions, one with Mikhail Bridges, where he dribbled up against pressure and then called for a screen champagne. He switched on to him and came in with high hands and Mikhail Bridges threw the ball out of bounds. Then on the very next possession, Josh Hart has the ball. He dribbles against pressure, he picks up his dribble, panics and throws the ball out of bounds. And so on early possessions, you could tell Mikhail and Josh were really struggling to kind of just handle the ball. I think when you. Speaking of personnel groupings, the one weakness, personnel wise, that the. That the, The Knicks have compared to the. The Thunder, or, excuse me, the spurs, sorry, it's been a wild couple. Yeah, the. The spurs have three on the floor. Most like they. They close the game of all three on the floor at the same time. They have three awesome guards that all can dribble the ball like that, have professionally dribbled the basketball their entire lives that have run hundreds and hundreds of ball screens for their teams every season. And they specialize in handling pressure. Dylan Harper, Darren Fox and Steph Castle. After Brunson, it's a lot of guys who are like, yeah, they can dribble, but that's not what they do. You know, like Mikhail Bridges, can he put the ball on the floor, make a play? But I mean, he came into the league as a three and D guy, you know, like OG Anunoby certainly can make a play off the bounce. He made some plays off the bounce last night, but he's Kawhi Leonard as a role player, you know, like Josh Hart. Again, not a professional ball handler, Cat. Not a professional ball handler. And so one of the things that I think happened last night is the spurs came with their hellacious, we are not going down 30 defensive effort with ball pressure and everything. And I think all the dudes panicked and they were like, you do it, you do. Just gave the ball to Brunson. And so I think in a lot of ways, it's on the Knicks to not panic under the pressure and to stay in their offense and stay in the way that they like, to play. And so, you know, for instance, did you guys know that Carl Anthony Towns has zero points in the fourth quarter in this series?
Chad Milton
I did not know that.
Jason Timf
Zero points.
Chad Milton
You can't be Carl Anthony Townsend disappear in the fourth quarter again.
Jason Timf
I want to blame Cat partially here in the sense that, like, there's a certain amount of, like, either go up to the top of the key and demand the basketball or go to Mike Brown and be like, hey, get me the fricking basketball, right? So I don't want to just solely blame Brunson. I think it's everyone's fault. I think it's Brunson's fault for being like, I do this. I do dribble against pressure. This is what I do best. And I'm going to confront this problem by doing the thing that I've done my entire life. But that plays directly into San Antonio's hands. It's also Mike Brown's fault for not getting the group together and being like, hey, we have to do this instead. It's also Carl Anthony Town's fault for not advocating for himself more. Everyone involved is to blame. But the baseline fact is, for three halves now, the Knicks have completely degenerated down into Brunson ball. And as Simon laid out with the numbers, it is simply not working. And it really hasn't worked at any point in the series because, again, that's the one trying to score from the guard position is how you lose to the spurs because of the way their defense is set up. That doesn't mean Brunson can't be involved. My thing, and I called out a bunch of examples of this in the film, when Brunson attacks as part of the flow, whether it's, you know, Carl Anthony Town starts the action in the post, draws a second defender. Now we're in rotation or it's Brunson screens for somebody. I love when guards like him screen for people because they always bring two to them and that person has an opportunity to turn the corner. However it is, Brunson needs to be involved. They're not winning this series without Brunson averaging, you know, 20, 25 points a game. But his buckets need to come more in the flow, and the team needs to emphasize more of an more of breaking the defensive down defense down incrementally through multiple attacks, rather than Jalen Brunson dribbling there out of the basketball and taking a bad shot at the end of the shot clock. Because, frankly, I do believe if both teams are playing at their very best, defensively. Meaning, like both teams are bringing all the force playing super hard that the Knicks have more ways to score. They do, but it doesn't matter if they don't actually utilize all those ways to score if they play that straight up hero ball with Brunson. The bottom line is, is like look at the way that the spurs won that game. Like Harper had a stretch in the first half and then Steph Castle had a stretch in the first half and had a big stretch late in the game. Darren Fox hits the shot. That ice is the game. There's just they have just more guys who can do it so they're not going to fatigue and they have more advantages that they can go after. So like, I just think it's really important for the Knicks to kind of remember how they got here and not kind of degenerate to how they ended up losing in previous playoff runs.
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Jason Timf
Like, am I an outcast?
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Matt Mitchell
Hello.
Malcolm Glebel
Hello, this is Malcolm Glebel from Smart talks with IBM. Today we're diving into a fascinating conversation with Stefano Pallard, head of fan development for Scuderia Ferrari hp.
Stefano Pallard
Your pronunciation is strongly American. It's more Scuderia Ferrari.
Malcolm Glebel
I'm still working on rolling my R's, but what I was able to learn from Stefano was the importance of engaging the Tifosi, the Ferrari superfans in the digital age.
Stefano Pallard
Ferrari fans and super fans want to be part of something, want to belong to something. So they want to be part of a community and ultimately they want to be part of a winning team.
Malcolm Glebel
You've got Ferrari, which has a long history, design history, and now you're interacting in a kind of digital space. I'm curious how you balance those two conditions.
Stefano Pallard
When it comes to fan engagement, it's really digital technology and digital channels are being able to create a deeper connection with our fans.
Malcolm Glebel
To learn more about how Ferrari and IBM are using technology to build deeper connections with fans, visit IBM.com Ferrari
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Chad Milton
So on the spur side of feels to me there's something freaky going on whenever Wemby is out of the game. Forget about what they're incapable of doing defensively and how that's when the lanes open up and the drives and the wings and even cats are able to get to the basket. It almost feels like they start shooting worse at the other end of the floor too. And I couldn't decide last night I was talking to my kid about this. Is it a coincidence? Is there something mechanical in the way the offense is structured? But they're getting open looks. You talked about you Know, Dylan Harper missed a bunch of open looks, and, you know, Johnson could not hit any shots, like the sixth man of the year, even though he was a plus 14, which was shocking when I saw that this morning, because it looked like he was the reason why they might lose that game. Okay, why does their offense start to crater so much when B is out? Even when they're getting open, looks like they're just. They, they. They're just missing.
Jason Timf
So there's something to be said, I think, about, like, the difference between, you know, how confident you feel as a group when your stars on the floor versus when they're not. I think, like, the easiest way that that manifests really is on the other end of the floor. Like, the cornet groups are just getting shredded. Like, when Cornet is on the. They're getting outscored by 20 points per 100 possessions. They have a 117 defensive rating in those groups, which is really bad, especially for this level of basketball. And so I think part of it is, like, if they're scoring every time, it can cause a certain additional pressure on shot making on the other end of the floor. Like, to put it very simply, during the cornet groups, that's when MSG is on fire, because. Yes, because that's. Because that's when they're going on runs.
Chad Milton
The.
Jason Timf
On the offensive end. I do think that there is something to be said about, like, you know, the most underrated part of what Wemby brings offensively is just his role gravity. When he rolls to the basket, everyone follows him. There was a play in the second half of this game that I thought was really telling. He's on the left wing. Mitchell Robinson's guarding him. Devin Vassell sets a back screen for him. Mitchell Robinson gets caught on the back screen. Wemby rolls and is open at the basket. Steph Castle throws a pass over the top that's a little too high. Wemby catches it almost behind the backboard, and he goes back up and he misses a layup. But on the play, three nicks come flying at him when he catches the ball in the lob and when he misses the layup. And so as a result, when he misses, Dylan Harper just comes right in front of the rim and grabs his ball and puts it back in the basket with no resistance, because again, Wemby drew three defenders in when he rolled to the basketball. I've shared this stat on my show before. I don't think I've shared it here before, but this season the spurs actually generated the most corner threes in the history of NBA basketball. And a big part of that was the simple dynamic. When Wemby rolls to the basket. There's just a lot of defenders that just coalesce around him. And so like, that's one of the big reasons I think Wemby has clearly proven himself to be the best player in the world in this playoff run. He's averaging 29 points and 10 rebounds with. With five stocks per game in the steals plus blocks in this series. On 59 true shooting. In a series where no one's efficient, he's efficient. And the simple fact is when he rolls to the basket, good stuff happens even when he's not doing anything else. Offensively, last night was actually a game where they scored on the roll pretty effectively. Wemby scored 12 points on rolls to the rim last night. That was the most he scored on rolls to the rim in the entire postseason to this point. I think the guards deserve some credit for that. There's also some really weird plays early in the game where Cat was bizarrely like kind of going way out to the level of screens and letting Wemby roll behind him kind of reminded me of Game 1 against Cleveland where they were randomly doubling him with him a lot. So there's some stuff that the Knicks can clean up for sure. But I. I do think that Victor Wembanyama. There's a certain baseline shot quality you get with him. You kind of just have to hope guys miss.
Chad Milton
All right, that's. That's a really good point about Wemby. And, and if the other team keeps scoring and you miss one or two shots, that's when the lead starts to expand. The margin for error is just so much less. You kind of have to be perfect offensively because you're not going to be perfect defensively. Really interesting point on that. All right, so game four, NBA finals tomorrow night, 8:30pm Eastern. Spurs are looks like one and a half point underdogs. The total is 216 and a half. Spurs plus 110 on the moneyline. Knicks minus 125. I gotta tell you, I'm totally torn what my instinct is on this. I was blown away by the atmosphere at msg, even watching it on television, and I feel like it was almost too much. Like I said this at the top of the show, there's no way the Knicks were going to be able to match that kind of energy. I feel like now they've seen it, I think the edge goes back to the Knicks. Simon I want to get Jason's analysis, but is a better. What do you think of my. My instincts?
Simon Hunter
It could. I would say that they were totally unfazed, Right. The spurs. It just felt like I, I couldn't believe how they bounced back after the way the first half ended.
Jason Timf
Right.
Simon Hunter
Because they went after Brunson. The Knicks totally route around Brunson and they came out and just totally dominated that second half, that spurs team. And just, you know, as. As much as props as we're giving to the Madison Square Garden, the crowd, you have talked a little bit about it, right? This, this whole sense of it's such a big moment, such a big buildup. You know, the fans themselves seemed exhausted in that second half. Like they just.
Chad Milton
Yeah, it got quiet. Right.
Simon Hunter
So I, I am excited to see what. It's gonna be a little different because you've already seen the price drop in half, right. They're not gonna be able to clinch here at home in game four. Maybe I'll let some more common fans back in into the building. Maybe guys won't be selling their tickets, you know, the season ticket holders, like they were, because, you know, I have a buddy who's a ticket holder and he is not, you know, a very. He does well, but not anywhere compared to these other people. That one game paid for his whole season. So that game three, you know, he bit the bull because he thought they're going to win that and he was obviously gonna go the closeout game in game four. I think you get a lot of fans like him back in the state for this one. But it's like we keep talking about, it's all about the adjustments. And that's why I love basketball, the chess match that it is. And like, I, I want to get Jason's view here because I have no idea where to go either. I really don't. I honestly want to bet the Knicks, but it feels like I'm walking right into it because I just don't get the line. The line feels very short. So where you at, Jason, with this game here?
Jason Timf
So I do think that I like the Knicks side of this line. The game that I would point to as an example is game five in OKC where when the spurs backs were against the wall, like we're gonna lose the series if we lose this game. In game seven, they really strangled OKC's offense with an incredible defensive effort. But in game five, when it kind of was like, we're guaranteed a game at home no matter what, in game six, OKC just kind of Outplayed them from start to finish in terms of that force battle that I always talk about, like basically just physical force. Who's winning at the point of attack, who's winning on the glass, who's winning the 50, 50 balls, who's just playing with more energy? And in that game, I remember the game 5, you could tell the dead giveaway was okc. Role players kept just driving to the basket. Like Alex Caruso was driving to the basket like crazy. Lou Dort was driving the basket like crazy. A lot of guys who struggled in game seven. So like, I think there's a version. I think if the spurs win this series, the way it probably goes is they drop game three or game four, excuse me, and then they win game five at home. And then in game six, when they absolutely have to win in the Garden again, they throw a crazy defensive punch and they pull it out. And force of Game 7, the adjustments that are on the table that are worth mentioning here. I've been calling for this since my series preview, but one of the things that they did at the tail end of the game was they bench Champagne and they played Dylan Harper alongside the other two guards with Devin Vassell. And what that does is it forces Jalen Brunson to guard a shooter. Someone, excuse me, not a shooter, a more dynamic offensive player, because Champagne is a shooter, but Devin Vassell is much more of like, I can put the ball on the floor, make things happen, shoot on the move, that sort of thing. So down the stretch of the game, they were attacking Brunson pretty relentlessly and getting quite a few good looks. Ironically, the, the, the, the, the bad possessions were the ones they scored. They had that play where we talked about where Steph, Steph Castle hits the prayer and then de' Aaron Fox, the shot that he hit that iced the game. Wemby was trying to go set a screen and Cat was just mauling him out 25ft from the basket and was not even letting him go set the screen. So then it turned into Fox had no choice but late clock just to attack OG Anunoby one on one. And he just hit a really nice shot. But down the stretch they got a lot of really good looks. One for Vassell, multiple for Harper, one for Wemby. That came out of them essentially just attacking Jalen Brunson with a four guard lineup. And so I do think that that's kind of the, the direction that the spurs will go as the series progress progresses more. The other difference there, that's important to mention is Harper is faster than Champagne. He's not bigger, but he's faster. And that makes them more capable of rotating. Like when the Knicks get them into those driving kick sequences, they're just faster so they can cover more ground and fly around in rotation. So that's the big adjustment on the spurs side. Really, the big adjustment on the Knick side is going to be offensive approach, approach. I think what we're going to see in Game four is just a lot less of Brunson. I think that Mike Brown is going to hammer home that they need to play with more variety and that they need to play through Cat more and that they need to play through OG and Mikhail more. And I think we'll see a lot more variety on that front. It's more just do I think the spurs can win game four? Yes, it's more just that they don't have to and it's impossible to manufacture urgency. And that's where I think, like, if there's a game that the Knicks get at home in a version of this series that the spurs win, it would be game four anyway. So I think that's the game that would be on the Knicks side.
Chad Milton
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Holly Fry
Okay, not so fun Fact Autoimmune skin conditions are actually on the rise. Cases are climbing nearly 20% every year. I know, terrible opener for a podcast ad. But here's the thing. I'm Holly Fry, and our skin exists precisely because of stats like that. Because more people than ever are living with conditions like psoriasis and hidradenitis suppurativa. And most of them are doing it alone, without anti answers, without community, without anyone to tell them what the heck is actually going on.
Podcast Announcer
You know, not that many people knew about it, and I felt kind of alone.
Jason Timf
Like, am I an outcast?
Holly Fry
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Malcolm Glebel
Hello, hello, this is Malcolm Glebel from Smart Talks with IBM. Today we're diving into a fascinating conversation with Stefano Pallard, head of fan development for Scuderia Ferrari hp.
Stefano Pallard
Your pronunciation is strongly American. It's more scuderia Ferrari.
Malcolm Glebel
I'm still working on rolling my R's, but what I was able to learn from Stefano was the importance of engaging the Tifosi, the Ferrari superfans in the digital age.
Stefano Pallard
Ferrari fans and super fans want to be part of something, want to belong to something, so they want to be part of a community and ultimately they want to be part of a winning team.
Malcolm Glebel
You've got Ferrari, which has a long history, design history, and now you're interacting in a kind of digital space. I'm curious how you balance those two traditions.
Stefano Pallard
When it comes to fan engagement, it's really digital technology and digital channels are being able to create a deeper connection with our fans.
Malcolm Glebel
To learn more about how Ferrari and IBM are using technology to build deeper connections with fans, visit IBM.com Ferrari
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Chad Milton
So to me there is still the urgency, Devil's advocate on everything we all just said about slightly leaning the Knicks. The spurs may have figured something out and this is the second game in a row where they were able to get very physical with Jalen Brunson defensively, no matter who was guarding him, right? And whether it was Champagne, whether it was Dylan Harper, whether it was Castle, even Dear and Fox, a little bit like those four. Those were the four primary defenders on Jalen Brunson. Three of those guys could be very physical and they were vertical when they were defending and they weren't handsy, they were just moving their feet, getting over picks, staying in front of him. They weren't getting called for fouls last night, just as they weren't called for files in game two. Defensively, they seem to have figured Something out agree with you on Harper, Fox and Castle. That's a different lineup than I think they've only played like 12 minutes together to the playoffs at this point until last night. Maybe they unlock something serious. Price right now plus 150 for the spurs open at minus 200. Knicks were plus 170, minus 170 before game one, now minus. I'm sorry, they're plus 170 before game one, now minus 180. Spurs and seven.
Jason Timf
There's this really weird dynamic where the home team keeps losing game seven. I'm not sure if you guys have noticed that, but I, I, I, I keep coming back to this. I think the margins are small. Like this is a very, very close series and the spurs are just like kind of mistake prone. Like Steph Castle will just shove OG an OB on a 3 for no reason and send it to the line. Or like what in the world was Keldon Johnson doing when he shoved Mitchell Robinson into into Wemby on that three that wiped out three points. We talked about the mistakes at the end of game four. I just think like, I don't think the spurs can win this series just with their defense. That's the main difference. They won the Thunder series pretty much just with their defense. This Knicks offense brings a certain amount of firepower to the table to where the spurs have to almost like keep up with them for phases of the game. And that I think makes it so that this margin is just really small. And I just think that winning again 4 out of 5 to end a series after going down 2 oh. Is just really, really difficult for a young team when the margins are going to be small, the games are going to be close. Every one of our three games has had clutch time at the end where the score has been within five with less than five minutes left. I think that's an advantage to the Knicks over the course of the series. So I, I want to be clear. I very much think the spurs can win this. I think we'd be foolish to count them out. We talked about this last week, but like, this is not the we're excited to go to Cabo group. This is the, this is the we're playing basketball the day after the finals group. Like, this is a group of young kids who like, is not interested in their season ending by any stretch of the imagination. Like the spurs do not count them out. But the Knicks have real advantages. They have adjustments that they can make. They only need to win two of the next four games and they're gonna have two of those games at MSG and they're older, more experienced. I still think this, the, the Knicks are the safer bet at this point.
Chad Milton
Nixon five plus 350. Nixon six plus 210. Nixon seven plus 550 spurs and six plus 700 spurs and seven plus 550. Simon, if you're making a series bet, exact winner and games, what are you betting on right now?
Simon Hunter
This is just as a fan, I think most professionals I know are still dug in pretty much on the Knicks. I just, I think Wemby's having a moment here. I really do. I think every game you see him gaming, gaining confidence and you know, are we gonna get that WEMBY 40 point game tomorrow night? I don't know. But I just love the way it's spaced out where they have this game Wednesday and then it's another three day break and, and then if they play Saturday, it's another three day break Tuesday. Like I don't know why. I think these things kind of benefit this, the spurs team. And I look at this game and I just think Wemby, this whole team, this whole spurs team is taking us personality of that. They're not. Again people are saying they're playing dirty. This to me is playoff basketball. It's mental, it's physical and that's, that's what I want to see. Like people are bitching about the refs. That was like that's my dream scenario. That way the refs rep that game where it's like we're letting them play. Like we're letting these grown men play this game, right? No eye gouges, nothing dirty like that. I mean the one Brunson play was dirty, right? It kind of hit the back of his head on the hardwood floor. That stuff does freak me out a little bit. But overall it's like that's the game, right? That's why Most guys aren't 6ft tall in this league, right? Steph Curry at 63 looks small for a reason. It's just these grown men, these big bodies flying around. So I'm, I'm, I'm, I'm flipping here to the Spurs. I think spurs and seven feels like that's, that's fun value for me to bet right now. So I'm gonna, I'm gonna take a little on that. But I, I'll be upfront. I did lose my sweep bet on the Knicks which it was a fun ride. I'm not gonna lie. I was feeling pretty good and I still have my cat MVP bet. So I, I do think they're gonna make an adjustment where Cat will get more touches. Just look at the efficiency numbers when the offense runs through Cat. The Knicks are so good in this series. They have those numbers. We're not, we're not breaking news here, right? They have nerds in the building that are going to give them that data. So we'll see if, you know, Mike Brown makes the adjustments and they get cab more touches. It may have been zero points that Jason gave us. That stat about him in the fourth quarter is alarming because to me, we've talked about, he's been to me their best player. Not just running the offensive, but defensively, what he's done to Wemby. So really interesting. They just have not gotten him touches in that fourth quarter.
Chad Milton
MVP ads for cat down to 8 to 1, Jason.
Jason Timf
I still like it. I think, I think the, I think people are understanding what's happening with Brunson. I, I think it's become officially a storyline now that it's like, oh, the Knicks are the better team, but is Brunson going to shoot them out of the series? That's become like a legitimate storyline now. So like, I, I, I still like the value on Cat there. Eight to one. Plus, like, let's just put it this way. If Kat has a monster game four to put him up three one, then that's the storyline is Cat has dominated the NBA finals and they're up 31. So I, I still like that eight to one line there for Cat.
Chad Milton
How quickly the storylines change from everybody is better than Jalen Brunson until it's time to be better than Jalen Brunson to Jalen Brunson is killing the Knicks chances to win an NBA title. It is a fickle, fickle business. Jason, give us the last word here. Nixon 5. Nixon 6. Nixon, I'm gonna go.
Jason Timf
Nixon 6. I think that more than anything, I don't think home court matters much in this series at all. Either way. I think that if the spurs win game five, it'll be more to do with just them being their backs against the wall in a 3:1 type of series where it's difficult to match force. And then I think just msg, just party in game six, we're celebrating the trophy.
Chad Milton
I do wonder, this is not a political statement. I do wonder how much people having to get there four hours early, how much the atmosphere around the Garden changing yesterday because they had to block off the perimeter as large as they did impacting the watch party right next to the Garden. Impacting the surrounding area bars sort of atmosphere. I feel like that turned the, the, the vibe from something that was ecstatic, ecstatic and joyful to something that was a little bit more tense and I wonder if that had an impact. And now that they get into game four, they can go back to the joyful vibe of the Knicks being New York's team. So we'll see. We'll see. Did I say game five? I mean game four. Listen, Jason, as always, great stuff. That's our show. This has been Sharper Square, part of the Volume Podcast Network. Watch or listen on YouTube at Sharper Square like this video. Subscribe to the channel, download some Spotify Apple pods wherever you get your pods rate, review, subscribe. Leave us five stars. Say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift. We'll be back Thursday talking World Cup.
Matt Mitchell
Love you.
Simon Hunter
All right, Dick. The reason there's a delay in the game is that some idiot has thrown a bottle of booze on the floor. The floor is covered with glass.
Matt Mitchell
We are not supposed to take editorial comments here, but that is about the
Simon Hunter
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Jason Timf
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Matt Mitchell
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Jason Timf
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Chad Milton
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Jason Timf
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Chad Milton
Make it a priority.
Jason Timf
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Chad Milton
Make it a habit.
Matt Mitchell
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Podcast Announcer
This is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human.
Date: June 9, 2026
Host: Chad Millman
Co-Host: Simon Hunter
Special Guest: Jason Timf (Hoops Tonight, NBA analyst)
Producer/Guest: Matt Mitchell
This episode dives deep into the NBA Finals matchup between the New York Knicks and San Antonio Spurs, analyzing Game 3, assessing betting value for Game 4, and discussing critical trends, tactical adjustments, and player performance. Betting experts Chad Millman and Simon Hunter are joined by NBA analyst Jason Timf, who provides nuanced breakdowns with an eye toward actionable betting advice. Memorable stories from the sports betting and poker world frame a conversation centered on the tactical chess match of the Finals, with a particular focus on Jalen Brunson’s impact and Victor Wembanyama’s rising dominance.
[03:55]
[02:22]
Quote:
“The fact that Kristen went in and won it... it was a pretty epic moment of someone that loves Texas Hold'Em... and that whole gambling space.”
— Simon Hunter [03:21]
[04:55]
Quote:
“...betting brings teenagers and grown men together. The fact we know it’s still 1976 in that roller rink...”
— Chad Millman [10:33]
[11:17–15:53]
Quote:
“For three halves now, the Knicks have completely degenerated down into Brunson ball. And as Simon laid out with the numbers, it is simply not working.”
— Jason Timf [19:40]
[15:53–19:34]
Quote:
“That 40 usage rate is insane. That's like... the very peak of Luka Doncic ball... dribbling the air out of the basketball every single time.”
— Jason Timf [16:53]
[19:34–22:32]
[26:35–30:43]
Quote:
“Wemby has clearly proven himself to be the best player in the world in this playoff run. He’s averaging 29 points and 10 rebounds with five stocks per game in this series... On 59 true shooting, in a series where no one's efficient, he's efficient.”
— Jason Timf [29:33]
[31:56–37:05]
Quote:
“Do I think the Spurs can win Game 4? Yes... but they don’t have to. And it’s impossible to manufacture urgency.”
— Jason Timf [36:39]
[43:18–46:44]
[46:44–50:23]
Quote:
“If Cat has a monster Game 4 to put them up 3–1, then that’s the storyline: Cat has dominated the NBA Finals and they’re up 3–1.”
— Jason Timf [49:19]
“How quickly the storylines change… from 'everybody is better than Jalen Brunson until it’s time to be better than Jalen Brunson' to 'Jalen Brunson is killing the Knicks chances...' It is a fickle, fickle business.”
— Chad Millman [49:54]
“This whole Spurs team is taking the personality of Wemby... it’s mental, it’s physical... that’s what I want to see.”
— Simon Hunter [47:11]
“I think that more than anything, I don’t think home court matters much in this series at all.”
— Jason Timf [50:23]
This episode stands out by fusing practical betting insight with X-and-O analysis and narrative storytelling. Jason Timf’s film breakdowns and stat-driven takes guide the conversation into the nuances that separate real contenders from flameouts. The hosts capture the wild swings of momentum, the emotional volatility of the Finals, and the razor-thin difference that small coaching tweaks or missed open threes can make. For bettors, fans, and Xs and Os junkies alike, it’s a rich primer on how to think about Game 4 and the path to the 2026 NBA title.
Next episode: Thursday, World Cup betting preview.