Sharp or Square – NFL Week 7 Reactions

Hosts: Chad Millman & Simon Hunter
Release Date: October 20, 2025
Episode Theme:
In this episode, betting expert Chad Millman and professional sports gambler Simon Hunter break down all the chaos from NFL Week 7. They analyze key matchups, dissect their own picks, share betting wisdom, and react to wild finishes—especially the Broncos-Giants thriller. The episode is rich with betting insights, regretful admissions, sharp vs. square reads, and signature “shame” and “hero” segments.

Overview

Millman and Hunter dive into exhilarating and unpredictable Week 7 results, focusing on how wild game outcomes upended even the most carefully crafted betting strategies. The hosts share what they got right, where they went wrong, and offer sharp analysis while reliving the emotional rollercoaster of the week.

Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Broncos vs. Giants – A Game of Errors

• Wild Finish Reaction: The show opens just after a chaotic Giants-Broncos game, with Denver sealing a 33-32 win on a last-second field goal.
  • "I don’t think anybody wanted to win that game. I think they scored 46 points in the final quarter." – Chad (00:58)
• Both hosts are stunned by the swings: Broncos overcame a 26-8 deficit, Giants regained the lead, then Broncos clinched it at the end.
  • "The comeback was insane… Digest it while we go through the rest of this stuff." – Chad (01:46)

2. Review of Their Bets: Hits, Misses & Second-Guessing

• Record Check-in: Currently 1-2 for the week, with hopes resting on Monday Night picks (Lions -4.5; Texans +3.5).
• Admitted mistakes: Avoided some bad spots (Raiders, Jets), but fell for the Titans as big dogs.

3. Cleveland Browns vs. Miami Dolphins

• Sharp Win: Chad’s “choice” pick comes up big as Cleveland wins, playing to their strengths with defense.
  • "It's two in a row for Chad's choice on goodreads." – Simon (07:27)
• Miami’s ineptitude, especially Tua’s three INTs and benching, is dissected.
• Praise for Browns as a “different team at home.”
• "Mike McDaniel looks so sad in his rain slicker…" – Chad (07:34)

4. Patriots vs. Titans – Brass Balls Betrayal

• Key Regret: The guys lament switching from Patriots to Titans, which they’d targeted earlier in the week.
  • "I think we got over our skis and got too excited… I think we fell into bad habits." – Chad (09:55)
• Sloppy play, improbable events, and Cam Ward’s historic fumble issues seal their betting fate.
  • "The ball slips out of his hand and goes backwards… universal symbol for when your team is just wholly incompetent." – Chad (11:48)
• Notable Stat: Cam Ward is the first to lose five fumbles in five games since Daniel Jones.

5. Chargers vs. Colts – Public Side Regrets

• Wanted to fade a public dog but misread the actual betting split.
  • "88% of the money was on the Chargers… not what I thought it was going to be." – Simon (16:27)
• Chargers' coaching, defense, and offensive line woes highlighted.
  • "That defense… the book is clearly out. This Chargers defense is just not what they were last season." – Simon (17:17)
• Discussion about Justin Herbert’s predicament and whether Jim Harbaugh can change the team’s disappointing trajectory.

6. Reviewing Other Major Games

• Bears vs. Saints: Praise for Ben Johnson, run game, and the retooled offensive line but anxiety over Caleb Williams in bad weather.
  • "They have a really good head coach who has… one of the best run-blocking schemes in all football." – Simon (27:51)
• Eagles vs. Vikings: Eagles’ best game of the season? Maybe—despite significant issues, Hurts delivers statistically.
  • "Jalen Hurts had his best game in a year… but the Eagles still probably should have lost that game." – Chad (34:54)
• Cowboys vs. Commanders: Dak’s MVP form gets its due; Schottenheimer redemption.
  • "Dak is just playing out of this world… I feel pretty good about my preseason love for Dak." – Simon (38:05)

7. Rapid-Fire Rest-of-League Rundown

• Packers-Cardinals, Broncos miracle win, Chiefs’ blowout, Panthers’ historic win, Jets woes—all get quick analysis.
  • "The Packers do not look very good right now. This is now four weeks in a row where they have not looked good…" – Chad (39:12)

Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• Broncos-Giants:
  • "We're coming on a little bit late because we were waiting on the end of that Broncos Giants game… That game had everything of both teams going out of their way to make the biggest mistakes possible." – Chad (00:58)
• On Betting Bad Teams:
  • "That's what happens to bad teams. And that's what happens when you bet bad teams." – Chad (12:52)
• On Chargers' Frustration:
  • "Shame on the Chargers for basically giving up. Like anytime they got close in that game, they found a way to give it back to the Indianapolis Colts." – Chad (41:40)
• On Cowboys/Dak:
  • "As the only guy here that thought Dak was worthy to be in their top 10, I feel pretty good about my preseason love for Dak." – Simon (38:05)
• On Bears' Run Game/Coaching:
  • "Ben Johnson loves to run the ball. And I feel like that kind of gets forgotten a little bit." – Chad (29:41)

Segment Timestamps

• 00:58 – Immediate Broncos-Giants reaction
• 03:21 – Overview of picks, betting recap
• 06:35 – Deeper Browns-Dolphins postmortem
• 08:41 – Patriots-Titans breakdown and regret
• 13:46 – Cam Ward’s infamous fumble and Titans’ downward spiral
• 16:27 – Chargers-Colts: why the bet failed, public money, and team analysis
• 21:01 – Is Justin Herbert destined for Chargers purgatory?
• 26:13 – Bears-Saints: run game, coaching, and agony watching Chicago
• 32:00 – Eagles-Vikings: nerve-wracking win and underlying issues
• 36:09 – Cowboys-Commanders: Dak’s brilliance, coaching narrative flip
• 39:12 – Quick round-up: Packers, Cardinals, Broncos, Panthers, Jets
• 41:40 – Shame, Shame, Shame: Chargers edition
• 44:52 – Hero of the Week: Chad’s Browns call and Cleveland defense
• 48:14 – Early Leans for Next Week (+ team bans)
• 50:10 – Chiefs-Commanders line moves and injury implications
• 51:28 – Patriots-Browns, Denver-Dallas line observations
• 52:07 – MNF preview: Texans +3.5, Lions -4.5 (current standing)

Other Key Takeaways

• Blacklist Candidates: Listeners beg to ban (fade) the Chargers and Titans going forward.

• Line Movement & Early Leans:

  • Saints +6.5 vs. Bucs (sharp grab)
  • Ravens -6.5 vs. Bears (bad spot for Bears)
  • Steelers +3 vs. Packers (classic Tomlin home dog)
  • Eagles -7 vs. Giants (books anticipating Giants collapse)
  • Chiefs -5.5 vs. Commanders (watch for QB news)

• MNF Action Left: Hosts sweating out Texans +3.5 and Lions -4.5 to salvage a winning week.

Conclusion & Outlook

Millman and Hunter combine accountability and humor as they recap brutal beats, lucky escapes, and all the angles that matter to NFL bettors. The verdict: The week was “crazy, crazy” but packed with teachable moments about staying disciplined and avoiding the siren song of bad teams—and learning, finally, to blacklist the Titans and Chargers.
Next Episode: They’ll reconvene Tuesday to break down early lines and more betting strategy.

Quotes Attribution Key:

• A: Chad Millman
• B: Simon Hunter

For more analysis, picks, and NFL betting banter, follow Sharp or Square wherever you listen to podcasts.