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Isaac Sowell
Coming up A ceasefire. Or maybe not. We talk about the latest in the Iran war plus the Artemis Moon orbit space mission. I don't know what we're calling it, but it's awesome and we're gonna talk a lot about it, plus some grievances. It's a good, Good morning, good afternoon, and good evening and welcome to the Suspension of the Rules podcast. I'm your host, Isaac Sowell, here with Tangle Managing Editor Ari Weitzman and our editor at large, Camille Foster. Gentlemen, we had a ceasefire. We prepared for the show. I think the ceasefire maybe never started. It might be over. I'm not totally sure. We had a ceasefire this morning. We talked a bunch about it offline. We decided, okay, we'll open the show with the ceasefire. And as I'm preparing to open the show, seems like bombs are dropping. The Strait of Hormuz does not seem particularly open to me. J.D. vance, the Vice President, is claiming that it's open, but basically every maritime tracking account on Twitter and all the people who track the shipping routes, as Osint masters, seem to be saying, no, actually there is nothing moving through the strait right now. And we have the head of Iran's parliament who's come out and said that all these stipulations of the ceasefire have already been violated. It does not seem particularly strong to me. So here we are, I guess ceasefire, but in name only is basically my perspective. How's that for a cold open? Are you guys okay? Is everybody doing well done?
Ari Weitzman
What a fun way to kick things off. Yeah, I think we had a ceasefire there for a bit. I think you can only violate a ceasefire if it was enacted. So at least logically, there must have been one.
Isaac Sowell
I'm wondering. Okay, let's get into it. I think that.
Ari Weitzman
Yeah, we'll just.
Isaac Sowell
The President, just to talk about what actually happened. From what I'm watching, the President announced a ceasefire on Twitter on Truth Social, which then got blasted across Twitter, picked up by all these news organizations, because the Wall Street Journal, he calls Fox News, he says, ceasefire, deal. This Pakistani, I think. I don't want to misspeak here. Maybe Prime Minister, a leader from Pakistan who is at the center of the negotiations, post something on Twitter about the ceasefire agreement and accidentally forgets to delete the part of it that indicates it was written not by him, but by the United States. So then he has to edit the tweet and. Or someone else, but probably us. Then he has to remove that part and then, you know, share the post. Announcing this deal and then Iran sort of says, yes, they've agreed to the deal. Trump says the 10 point plan is a good negotiation starting point. Then Israel starts bombing Lebanon and then Iran Starts bombing the UAE and Kuwait and some oil depots, maybe in Saudi Arabia. And we're being told that there's shipping movement happening in the Strait of Hormuz by our administration. But all these reporters and intelligence specialists who cover this area, this region for a living are saying, no, actually, nothing's moving through the Strait. And then this post comes out from the speaker of Iran's Parliament, basically saying, and I'm just going to read here, the deep historical distrust we hold toward the United States stems from its repeated violations of all forms of commitments. A pattern that has regrettably been repeated once again. As the President of the United States has clearly stated, the Islamic Republic of Iran's 10 point proposal is a workable basis on which to negotiate and the main framework for these talks. However, three clauses of this proposal have already been violated. Noncompliance with the first clause, which is regarding a ceasefire in Lebanon, violation of Iran's airspace, and a denial of Iran's right to enrichment. So what do we have? I don't really know what we have, and I'm not trying to be negative Nancy here, just saying the people involved don't seem to think we have a ceasefire, except for our administration saying that there's a ceasefire. And I'm not really sure what to make of any of this. And we're recording this at four o' clock in the afternoon on Wednesday. So, you know, the situation is evolving rapidly.
Ari Weitzman
I would say maybe I could put this to Camille, but one of the frameworks that I've developed for trying to understand this current administration is that they like appointment viewing. And I think right now, I would say they're trying to get their ducks in a row in terms of messaging so that coming into the weekend will have a good thing to discuss. So they don't want to respond. I mean, four o' clock on a Wednesday, it's not prime viewing time. So I think we'll hear more from them maybe Thursday afternoon, Thursday evening, when more of us are tuned in. Maybe that's super cynical, but I think it has been pretty dependable as a pattern.
Camille Foster
Well, as we discussed yesterday, Ari, forecasting with this particular administration has become impossible. And perhaps it always was impossible, but at this point, it certainly feels very impossible. So I don't know what's gonna happen later. I know that they like to blow up weekends by making grand announcements and proclamations and ones that are just plain confusing on Fridays that go into the weekend and leave us confused. So, yeah, in that respect, I agree. But the question you asked a Moment ago, Isaac was, what do we have? And I think rightly we're focused on the administration. The only thing that I can say for sure is we have an administration that desperately want, wants to have a deal so that things at least seem resolved as of yesterday. Once we got that 10 point plan and we got the details of it from the Iranians, what was clear was this is not really a great 10 points for the United States, at least in terms of its stated ambitions at the beginning of this conflict or even just a couple of weeks ago or days ago, quite frankly. So we know that they desperately want a deal. We know that they're looking for anything that they can kind of qualify as a victory at this point. And it doesn't seem like they have any of their priorities completely straight. It doesn't seem like they're fully aligned with the Israelis as of yesterday. You certainly had the sense that Lebanon was a part of this deal. Now there are some questions as to whether or not Lebanon was ever supposed to be included. I don't know that the administration ever had a formal opinion on that or even discussed it. The entire thing is utterly confusing, deeply frustrating. And I think for anyone who is optimistic about this conflict going in a way that is charitable and good for the United States, I think your hopes have to be at least a little bit degraded at this point. But I do suspect, and I've talked to and have been reading some of my friends who are a little bit more optimistic about the conflict, so we can perhaps get into some of those details at least just in terms of where this stands right now.
Isaac Sowell
Yeah, I think we will. I just wanna say on the Lebanon thing, and I'm looking at my computer here because unlike many times when we record this podcast, this is rapidly developing as we're on the air here and I wanna be sure I'm monitoring what's going on. J.D. vance, this was just a few minutes ago, is interviewed. It looks like he's in Budapest still. You know, the backdrop is Air Force Two. He says, I think this comes from a legitimate misunderstanding. I think the Iranians thought the ceasefire included Lebanon and it just didn't. We never made that promise. We never indicated that was going to be the case. Is that acceptable? Like there was a misunderstanding, that you couldn't bomb this country with tens of millions of people inside it? Sorry about that. We were, you know, when we said ceasefire with the parties involved in this conflict, we didn't mean the country that's on the border of Israel, which has been a centerpiece of Iran's terrorism in the region and Israel's sense that it needs to go destroy Iran. Like, Lebanon is a massive piece in all of this. Southern Lebanon is home to these Hezbollah fighters who are often firing rockets in Israel, and Israel is constantly making incursions into Lebanese territory. They've been leveling Beirut, which is, you know, this huge city with millions of people. Like, that's not something that we could like that. For me, it seems like if you were laying out a ceasefire plan, you would have some clarity about whether a country involved in the conflict was or was not involved in the ceasefire and having a misunderstanding there. A quote, unquote, legitimate misunderstanding. It's a hard pill for me to swallow. I just have to say that it feels a little bit crazy that that's. The response is like, oh, we just. That detail slipped up in the convo that we had about an escalating regional war. I don't know. I have a hard time with that.
Camille Foster
I mean, either way, it's a massive diplomatic failure. Those are the details that you get right. You ensure that you have clarity on this sort of thing. Is it on Brand for the administration to screw something like that up? Sure. Is that a simple misunderstanding? No, it is actually a huge, enormous deal, a tremendous failure on your part that you did not communicate clearly what the details are. To the extent that is the case, what seems more likely, perhaps, is just that there's yet more schizophrenia and uncertainty about precisely what the goals are in the short term, the medium term, and the long term beyond. We have to bring an end to this now. This is at least not working out for us politically. Even if there is a narrative about how it is kind of been militarily successful and perhaps has helped to better align U.S. interests in the region.
Ari Weitzman
I mean, isn't there an easy read of this, that it's like the negotiations aren't going well right now? There is a huge threat referenced over the weekend from Trump, which we. I don't think we've really even mentioned yet. That's like, background context for all of us now. But it feels like it's old news. But this was between our last two podcasts, was Trump's threat that he would wipe out the civilization of Iran if there weren't actual movements and surrenders or negotiations of some kind by Monday at 8, and when negotiations weren't really proceeding to a way that was to our liking for what might end the war, I think it makes sense that it was just. All right, well, there's a huge negative reaction to the possibility of us using force that matches this language. So we have to have something, agree with something quick and get it out there just to buy time so we can move on and gather up the next round of negotiations. I think maybe that's like an easy thing to say, but just to go out and say it, I think that clearly looks like what happened. Maybe I'm wrong, but I don't know, it seems like that's kind of what you're both scratching at a little bit.
Isaac Sowell
I think maybe it's worth just reading in the 10 points here, the 10 point piece plan, for the record, for a little bit of discussion. Because I mean, Ari, to your point. Yeah, I guess we don't really know. I want to be able to answer your question, but honestly, it's impossible to know what actually happened here. But there was a 10 point plan that got released. It was in writing. The Trump administration said they agreed to it. Trump tweeted it out, in Truth Social
Ari Weitzman
Post said it was a basis for negotiations.
Isaac Sowell
Yes, yes. Yeah. And I want to be clear, they said this was a good jumping off point for negotiations, not that they would just agree to these 10 points. Points. And negotiators from Pakistan, Iran, they seem to endorse this. So the 10 point plan reads as follows. The US must fundamentally commit to guaranteeing non aggression continuation of Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz. Acceptance that Iran can enrich uranium for its nuclear program. Removal of all primary sanctions on Iran. Removal of all secondary sanctions against foreign entities that do business with Iranian and institutions. End of all United Security Council resolutions targeting Iran. End of all International Atomic Energy Agency resolutions on Iran's nuclear program. Compensation payment to Iran for war damage. Withdrawal of US Combat forces from the region and ceasefire on all fronts, including Israel's conflict with Hezbollah in Lebanon. Ceasefire on all fronts, including Israel's conflict with Hezbollah in Lebanon. Number 10. Just throwing that out there. Kind of hard to imagine. Yeah.
Camille Foster
It doesn't seem like Marco Rubio wrote that. It feels as though most of those things are in Iran's interests, not the United States.
Ari Weitzman
Right. But I know that, Isaac, you cue that up for a reason. So we have those 10 points. They don't look particularly strong for the US if we started a war saying like, here are the objectives, we just achieved them. Clearly not. But
Isaac Sowell
we're still trying to look particularly strong, I think is an understatement.
Ari Weitzman
A month ago, I mean, if the Iran nuclear deal was bad, this is.
Isaac Sowell
Right. First of all, a month ago, Trump said nothing less than Unconditional surrender from Iran, his words is how the war ends and that we're gonna pummel them until that they're saying they want continued control of the straight informatives Now I'll throw out there, Trump said, tweeted some, posted something on social media diplomacy, so we all have to live there, but said actually we're gonna split the money that they're raising. We're gonna take some of the cash, which like that is the craziest thing
Camille Foster
that's happened in the last couple days.
Isaac Sowell
Yeah, I can understand some people are gonna see that and be like, oh, good idea. No, like a fundamental principle of, of, of the kind of law that actually America has been really integral in setting is that these international waters are free and open. And the fact that people can pass through them without having to pay tolls or without being attacked by people is something that the United States Navy has been. It's one of those like, understated goods that America has been responsible for in the global world order that like, for the most part, all these shipping outfits and these huge oil tankers and people generally can just traverse international waters without worrying about being bombed or having to pay somebody money to pass through. So setting the precedent that we're going to start doing that and like, oh, we're just going to split the funds with that regime we've been telling you for the last six months needs to be wiped off the face of the planet. Like, that is not good. So. No, bad, bad, bad, bad, please. No. The acceptance that they're going to enrich uranium for its nuclear program, how that would be an acceptable term as a basis for negotiation.
Ari Weitzman
Even as a basis for negotiations. Yeah.
Isaac Sowell
Given the reason we started the war, doesn't make sense to me. And then compensation to Iran for war damage, we're going to pay. That's something we're negotiating. I mean, if we're not negotiating that, then let's not accept it as a potential point. I mean, you go through these like, the US must fundamentally commit to guaranteeing non aggression. No, actually we shouldn't commit to that. We should say, the point of this, if I'm going to buy into this war, which I've not bought into, obviously, but like the whole point of exerting all of this military might is to stand over them and say, do as we say or we're going to hit you again. So agreeing to guarantee non aggression removes the very leverage we've sacrificed all these lives to gain. I don't understand why we would ever consider or agree to anything based even remotely on that. I mean, the whole list seems absurd to me. So I don't know. And then everybody's doing the victory lap. Like, the media always doubts Trump, and I'm just like, I don't think so. I think this felt like some sort of panic back down from the threats to wipe out all this civilian infrastructure and commit what would have been war crimes if he followed through on the threats. So I don't know. And again, and this will. And Camille, I think you mentioned some of the I know folks like Eli Lake, who we had on the show recently, and Elliot Cohen have been writing some much more positively tinted framing of this, which I want to talk about, because I don't want to misstate all of this and say I'm seeing some people on the left framing this and Trump critic people on the right framing this is a massive win for Iran. I've seen a lot of Israeli opinion writers and people in the Zionist space who are very upset about this deal and saying the US Blinked and Iran has won the war and all this stuff. I also temper that they have incurred an incredible amount of damage. Their entire leadership structure was killed. There's a whole new group that's going to have to come up. It's going to be incredibly destabilizing. The United States has proven that in a matter of days they can take over the Iranian skies and destroy most of its navy. I mean, they have not just won the war, but the they've learned, I think, that the Strait of Hormuz is a really good leverage point and they can now control it, that they can create leverage by attacking their neighbors in the Gulf, which is dangerous. And that with enough tolerance for accepting damage that they're incurring, they can then continue to strike places like Israel, where they're still firing rockets. And I think those are all dangerous lessons for them to have learned and is a bad outcome for the west in this framing. So I don't know, I mean, Camille, maybe you want to talk a little bit about some of the writing that you found compelling about where we are now and maybe a little bit more of a positive outlook. And I know it's not necessarily your personal viewpoint, but I'm just having a little trouble getting there. I think.
Camille Foster
Yeah. One I certainly wouldn't call it myself kind of compelled by the writing. I think I can understand the argument that they're making making. And in large part it is about the degradation of their kind of war fighting capabilities, the more sophisticated armaments that they had at Their disposal gone. The accounts about their kind of nuclear capabilities and the state of their program certainly seems that it had been set back before, it is more set back now. That also seems like a good thing. And I think in general, one of the recurring themes also seems to be that there's perhaps been a lot of overstatement about the state of U.S. alliances, about the state of the U.S. s commitment to NATO and how this particular conflict factors into it. I am certainly of the opinion that at least from the outside looking in, it definitely seems like there is more strain on those relationships. Despite the fact that, yes, most European powers have long said repeatedly that Israel is doing our dirty work, they are taking care of an important problem for us. With respect to Iran, I suspect that they still feel that way. At the same time, I think that they have very real concerns about whether or not this was the right way to go about taking care of that problem. I think a lot of those statements were made before. The statements that have been made much more recently certainly indicate that there is a great deal of frustration with the way that this has created so much turmoil for the global economy. But I do wanna go back to something you said a moment ago. I mean, just in terms of the resolution of things, especially with respect to what I can only describe as this kind of open suggestion that the United States will engage in piracy alongside their new Iranian partners. It's really hard to overstate just how exhausting it is to try and track the various utterances that are coming out of the Trump administration and the way that they're kind of posturing and blustering. The statements that were made on Truth Social that got everyone so animated, and I think appropriately so, about wiping out a civilization. They followed prior statements on Easter Sunday that were similarly inflammatory. And I suspect most of this is Trump attempting to do his Art of the Deal thing, where you go really big, you try to be intimidating, but none of it is particularly credible at this point. I think we were all, even yesterday, we were in our pre production meeting. It's hard to know what's gonna happen here. Maybe he tries to do something to look tough. I didn't suspect that they would try to wipe Iran off the map, but one couldn't really know what exactly that meant. But more and more, the number of data points that we have here all suggest that the United States is unwilling to, to get more deeply embroiled here and desperately wants it out. And Iran certainly seems to be aware of that and is doing whatever they can to extract as good a deal as possible out of the circumstance.
Isaac Sowell
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Isaac Sowell
I think the the general premise that we've degraded Iran, that their military is going to be in the long term, less capable of inflicting damage in the region, that there's going to be tons of destabilization among the regime, which we should and do talk about separately from the 90 million Iranian people who live there. And that we've, I think, I think we've done serious, serious damage to their nuclear capacity, their facilities, where even if we haven't destroyed them permanently, which I never felt like was a realistic goal, we've set them back for years, which is a good thing. I think all the criticisms about the Trump administration, aside from Iran's response, has also proved the very point that they are not a partner in the Middle east that we can trust. And you don't have to take that from the white Western colonial view or however you want to frame it in negative terms. Just like go ask Saudi Arabia, go ask Kuwait, go ask Oman people in Dubai. I mean, it's a very unstable, bad situation that we certainly participated in creating, but that Iran also made a conscious choice of like we're going to wreak havoc in the reason in the region to make everybody else pay the price for this. I accept all of that and I think that's a good argument for the cost that we've had to take on. You know, the 40 plus billion dollars we've spent, the high gas prices, the damage to the civilian infrastructure, the death. If you're worried about Iran, that is all a reasonable framework. But then it all comes back to the beginning. The stuff that I was writing in early March, which was what now? What happens after the regime is gone, which we are there. They're being supplanted, it seems, by similarly minded people. It's very unclear to me whether Khamenei's grandson is alive or in a coma. There's all this reporting about him being incapacitated in some fashion. But we've gotten no signals yet that there's anybody rising to power in Iran that is more in the mold of some sort of pro democracy, tolerable of the west type leader that we want to work with. If all we're going to do is create all this destruction, incur the short term costs for us on the American side, and then in a few years this new regime's gonna come into focus that's just as extreme and way less trustful of the United States and Israel, that's not a win. We haven't solved anything. There's no peace there. Trump keeps talking about long term peace in the region and some deal coming that's gonna. And I just like, I'm not trying to be narrow minded, but I just still don't really see the path toward that. So that's the hard part for me, where we are now is even if you accept all these arguments about the degradation of the military and all these things, it's like, okay, maybe we've bought some time for Israel and Saudi Arabia and Kuwait and these countries that surround Iran, that they're going to be under less persistent threat. Maybe we've proved that we can bully and beat up Iran anytime we want. And there is some value in that, I suppose. But the goal was supposed to be this sort of not even regime change, quote, unquote, but just lasting stability and peace in the region. That was the thing that we were trying to do. Core tenets of that were destroying their navy and their air force and reducing their nuclear capacity. But if all that stuff is just temporary, then what was all of this for? Why does it matter? And even worse, if we're setting up a deal where we're going to make Iran, super, super rich by having a stranglehold on this important shipping lane that seems also very bad. So I'm back to the what now, what next question. And I haven't really heard a good answer. Which, by the way, I think is why a lot of people were skeptical about this war, including people in the Trump administration, which is the story that I want to pivot to here. I mean, we're staying on Iran. But just a slight shift in focus, which is this massive New York Times feature that came out, which for, I don't know, 12 hours felt like it was going to be the story of the week. And then Trump started tweeting about wiping civilizations off the face of the planet. But the New York Times released this very deep investigative report. Camille and I were texting about who was leaking to the administration. Was it everybody? I kind of think it was maybe just J.D. vance and his team, cuz he comes out looking very, very good in the story. But, and by the way, that's pure speculation. I have no idea how the New York Times got this story, but just sometimes you sort of read the tea leaves. But it certainly seemed like the tenor of the people around Trump, according to this New York Times report, which I haven't seen the administration deny was a mix of it's your choice, Mr. President, and we'll follow you into the darkness no matter what you choose. And I think this is a bad idea. And here are some really, really big risks about the plan. And Israel is lying to you about how successful this mission is going to be and we probably shouldn't do it, which was Marco Rubio and we did it. And now we're sort of living in the world where some of those advisors were, I think, seemingly right, but didn't really have the cojones to kind of stand up to Trump and tell him not to do it. That's the takeaway I have from the story. I'm curious to hear what you guys think. What stuck out to you about this piece, because it is really important framing for what we've just witnessed over the last six weeks. I mean, it was a direct behind the scenes look at how this happened. I was surprised at how many people were skeptical of it. I thought maybe Trump was just getting green lights and thumbs up and that's why he did it. But it seems like maybe he was the one who was really compelled to do it and the people around him were not so sure. Is the takeaway from the New York Times story for me, I guess.
Ari Weitzman
I mean, doesn't it Seem like this is a thing that we talked about immediately afterwards was it seems like this is the negative effect of surrounding yourself with people who are going to support you, as well as creating a culture not necessarily composed 100% of sycophants, but a culture of sycophancy where I can't imagine a world where it's just a February day and Marco Rubio comes up to Trump and says, let's go get Iran, and hands him like a five page bullet pointed list of reasons why we need to do it. But I can imagine a world where Trump takes a meeting with Netanyahu, like this piece is describing, is considering things, asks questions, seems to be suggesting this might be a good idea. And Rubio is lukewarm with how he pushes back. I think that indicates that I can imagine if there were more of an open dialogue that maybe the better responses would have won out. It is interesting to me as well to be reading the responses from Kaine, General Kaine, or at least how he's characterized in this piece of trying to give sort of professional, militaristic responses of saying, look, if we wanted to go in and establish air supremacy in Iran, this is how we would do it. And then give kind of couch that with reasons of these are risks. This is the reason why we wouldn't do it if we were to do it. This is how. And the way that the authors of this piece are presenting Trump's response was either as depending on how you want to read it, either as Cain was confusing and not really forceful on how he was giving his response, or Trump wasn't understanding that Cain was in a sort of professional, understated way saying, don't do this if you want to do this, this is how, but don't do this. And it indicates sort of the way that at the top level, any small group of people is just a group of people and there's personality dynamics at play. And leadership styles are super important for how these things get done. And for that reason, it was a really, really engaging look into the administration because we see that Trump's cabinet or his inner circle of people he wants to go to for any advice on anything are going to be speaking to him sort of with these messages that are like, hey, there are two ways to look at it. What do you want to do? Okay, if that's what you want to do, sure, we can do this. Like Susie Weil is also saying, not my place. Marco Rubio saying, I think we can do part of this plan, not all of it. And then only J.D. vance, even him in a way, because he's saying, I don't support this, but he's also, or I don't agree with it, but saying, ultimately, if you do it, I'll support you. And that is as stern, as direct of a disagreement as you get, which is, I don't know, I find that interesting. Maybe everyone within the administration, within this top circle are people who think there could be benefits to this that make this worth doing. That could be. But I think it's probably likely that there are a lot of people who fit that description and some people who are opposed to it but don't think it's worth whatever personal risks they would incur to take a stand on it and say, no, we shouldn't go to war, we shouldn't do this because we didn't run on it. Which again was Rubio's response. But he didn't make a moral stand. He was saying, look, this is what the response will be, but we can do it and if we do it, we could get something out of it. It just seems all really equivocal. And in that sense it casts a pretty bad pall on what it would like, the way that they discuss these major events.
Camille Foster
I mean, Isaac, as you mentioned, we were texting back and forth. I am still of the opinion that pretty much everyone is leaking and they're probably doing it individually and in the moment. Now I think that they are probably taking advantage of an opportunity to distance themselves from something that is deeply unpopular and hasn't gone as well as perhaps they hoped it had. My suspicion is that the casting of kind of even Rubio's perspective, I can imagine he's probably even subtler than the reporting suggests. And to the extent the conversation that they were having was as robust with pretty much everyone dissenting, but Donald Trump still believing in himself, so much so that he's kind of telling Tucker Carlson, it'll be okay, cuz it always works out like that. That would surprise me. Actually. My expectation is probably something more along the lines of everyone is nodding along and saying, yes, sir, absolutely sir, in the way that they do in the cabinet meetings where they're not just deferential, they are obsequious. Like, that's actually what I expect. And it's weird to read a representation of it in the Times that's a lot more like, yeah, no, don't do this, don't trust the Israelis. Like they're overstating things. They always do.
Ari Weitzman
I don't think that I read one line that was that explicit, though, that was don't do this. It was, here's a reason not to do this or we shouldn't trust bullet point three and four. And I think that's an important clarification to make. I don't see anything here that was like people stood up to jump and said, don't. He went ahead. It was more like, yeah, I don't know, sir. We, I mean, Rubio want to.
Isaac Sowell
Rubio called it bullshit and said, the
Ari Weitzman
Israeli, Israel, it's bullshit. But he didn't say the plan to go to war was ultimately not worth.
Isaac Sowell
Yeah, I think that's, Yeah, I think that's right. I, but to, to your point, Camille, I do, I do suspect that there's more of an open dialogue behind closed door in this administration than people actually understand or believe. I will say, having spoken to people who have been with Trump in meetings like this, what I've always heard is that he does ask a lot of questions. Like he, you know, there's, I think it's a hard thing to hold with some of his other personality traits, but he's, he's curious and he's open minded. Oftentimes that curiosity might be tied to how is this thing good for me or what nice things you have to say about the president. But there are also these scenarios where I think the representation the New York Times has here is actually a fair representation of a lot of what I've heard, which is that in these kinds of conversations, Trump will do this kind of thing. He will go around the room and say, give me your pitch and listen to everybody's thoughts. And maybe he's got his mind made up from the start, but he certainly exposes himself to this kind of dialogue and conversation. I think in public, when there's an audience and their eyes on him. He understands the power of having everybody be very submissive and sort of do the whole kind of North Korea dance, which we've gotten used to, to me, as still totally insane every time I see it. But I think this is not, this part of him as a leader is not something I would characterize as some sort of flaw in his character. I think this is something that he's been known to do that he does. That is a thing that good leaders do. I think it's unfortunate that nobody could convince him that this was a bad idea. And Ari's point, maybe there was nobody in the room who was saying explicitly, this is a really bad idea. Of course, to go back to my theory, J.D. vance, just so happened to not be there for the meeting where everybody got the opportunity to say whether we should do it or not. He expressed his displeasure. But they held this meeting and did the thing with the Israelis while Vance was on some foreign excursion or something. So I don't know what to make of who was behind the leaks. And maybe, Camille, you're right, it's everybody leaking. But it did seem like a really interesting behind the scenes look. It seemed believable to me. And I think it just shows that there are people in the administration who in their public facing roles, are obviously concealing their real true feelings about what's happening. I mean, Steven Chung, the spokesperson for Trump, who's notoriously combative with everybody, said, how are they going to explain eight months of insisting the Iranian nuclear facilities had been totally obliterated and now that we have to go into war with Iran? Which, of course is one of the central criticisms of so many journalists. And people out there was like, we're doing this war after you just said so. They understood how hard of a sell this was going to be. But Trump made his mind up, so they had to kind of follow him on it. Which that dynamic is a really tough part about working for the President, I think.
Grow Therapy / Noom Ad Voice
Right.
Ari Weitzman
And that kind of directly undermines this whole thing of ask questions and get answers. It's like you also have this undercurrent of is the president gonna keep you around if you're giving him the answers he doesn't like? He has a track record of not exactly being open and doing that. So you wanna make sure the answer you're given is something that's like, okay, that's an interesting point. But also you're gonna go along with what we want. So you're trying to in the room. Like, I'm just trying to think if I worked at an or, like, if Isaac were a person who asked questions in editorial meetings and then remembered if you said something that he disag and then brought it up later as a bludgeon, that would make me less likely to share my mind openly and probably push back forcefully when I have a disagreement that feels forceful. And I mean, that's what I'm saying at the start is like small group dynamics are small group dynamics anywhere. And whatever tone you set up as a leader is going to pervade all of these kinds of interactions.
Camille Foster
Yeah, I will say that it does seem like. And just one dimension of this we haven't talked about yet. Reading the reporting, a lot of the conversation early on in the conflict was, well, we don't know what the administration knew at the time. Maybe they've got intel that's telling them something really important about Iran perhaps being able to take a next step. And maybe they've got new. I think even on the podcast, I asked whether or not they were getting a shipment of hypersonic missiles or something. I don't know exactly what was going on. But what seems clearer is they had intelligence that told them there was an opportunity to take out a huge contingent of the leadership. And that is exactly what happened in the opening salvo. And if that was all that pushed them to move right away, that suggests that regime change was the thing that they were really hoping for here, that this was Donald Trump buying into the narrative that was handed to him, that this was with our intelligence, with precise strikes, with the degree to which we've kind of got, listen, ears all over the place in Iran. Here's what could happen. And that could happen did not materialize quickly, and it's not clear that they had a really great plan for what to do beyond at some point, getting out of it as quickly as possible. So I think that having some clarity around that is actually useful. And it does, again, to the extent we're talking about just the judgment of the administration and deciding to do this at all, and perhaps again, based on the reporting, the judgment of the president in particular, it just does not seem like, in retrospect, like a choice that makes a great deal of sense. And even in the long run, again, maybe it turns out that the rebalancing of alliances and relationships and Iran being perhaps ostracized by its local community is profoundly valuable. And maybe this is the last straw to make them sufficiently vulnerable that there is some sort of domestic uprising that takes them out. Perhaps those things happen, but in the short run, it certainly seems like a situation where there could be a resolution that actually gives them, despite not having the military infrastructure that they had before, a lot more control than they had before.
Isaac Sowell
Yeah. Just to put a pin on that, I think every promise Netanyahu made, according to this New York Times story, failed to materialize. He said the ballistic missile program could be destroyed in a matter of weeks, that the regime could not choke off the Strait of Hormuz after the strikes were done, that Iran would not attack US Interests in the region, that street protests would overthrow the regime with help from Israeli spies, and that Kurdish troops would cross into the northwest of Iran if armed. And it seems like none of those things happen. So, you know, this is the kind of stuff I think that the isolationists will latch onto is there's always these grand promises of how clean and decisive conflicts like this are going to be, and then the real thing happens and it never looks that way, which is the cost of this sort of thing. Of course, Trump did the Venezuela thing, which kind of went perfectly in a lot of ways. And you know, I think that created a mindset that maybe we could replicate this across the globe, which I didn't think was going to happen. And I think clearly is something that's really difficult. We'll be right back after this quick break.
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Isaac Sowell
All right, there is some good news in the world these days, fellas. We've been talking about this war so much, so much, and I thought it would be important today to maybe spend a little time with some cheerfulness So I want to talk about the Artemis space mission, which is an American story for the most part. It is one Canadian up there. Yeah, one Canadian out there, but it is an American story. That's good. So it's good you guys know that for what I'm about to do. So I wanted to introduce a segment today. Isaac quizzes the boys. I'm going to ask you guys some questions about the Artemis 2 mission and see who knows their space stuff. Both of you guys are weirdly interested in this, so maybe my questions will be too basic and too easy. I guess we'll find out. We'll find out. John, play some custom quiz music. Let's get the party started. All right, let's start here. Very simple. What makes the Artemis 2 mission historically significant? You both know this. Either one.
Ari Weitzman
Yeah. We're pausing out of politeness because we know the other. It's the farthest that humanity has traveled from Earth.
Isaac Sowell
All right, quick follow up on that. Do either of you know the date off the top of your head that the mission launched Camillo?
Ari Weitzman
Do you have that? Is it the fourth?
Isaac Sowell
I don't know the date.
Ari Weitzman
And fourth.
Camille Foster
Yeah, sounds right, but I don't know the date right off the hand.
Isaac Sowell
April 1st. They were screwing with all the moon propaganda. You know, the fake moon landing people out there.
Ari Weitzman
Is that true? Is that intentional? Is that the reason?
Isaac Sowell
No, I'm just kidding.
Camille Foster
There's so many things. No, there's so many ways for those launch dates.
Isaac Sowell
Yeah, yeah, yeah. You've gotta have the web. Maybe we'll do this.
Ari Weitzman
They're quirky.
Isaac Sowell
Maybe we'll do this. I'm gonna ask a question, and if, you know. If you think you know the answer Jeopardy style, you raise your hand, and then I'll call on whoever's hand goes up first and see if you can actually deliver the real answer. We'll do that.
Ari Weitzman
Okay.
Isaac Sowell
All right, question number two. I've got five to six of these.
Camille Foster
Okay.
Isaac Sowell
Can you name or partially name the four crew members of the Artemis II mission?
Camille Foster
Mm, no.
Ari Weitzman
Maybe one of them's name is Glover. I'm pretty sure.
Isaac Sowell
That's good. Maybe combined, you guys can. Do you have a single name out there? Camille?
Camille Foster
No, no. Not rattling around in my head. No.
Isaac Sowell
Commander Reid Weissman. We should say their names. Commander Reid Weisman.
Ari Weitzman
My name, too. I should know that.
Isaac Sowell
Pilot Victor Glover. Mission Specialist Christina Koch. Koch.
Camille Foster
Koch.
Isaac Sowell
I wonder if she's related to the. Is she related to the Koch brothers? I don't know the Koch.
Camille Foster
She's pretty well known. I Mean she spent a tremendous amount of time up on the space station as well.
Isaac Sowell
Okay. All from NASA, plus mission specialist Jeremy Henson. Hansen, who's the one canuck up there. Respect to him. All right, question number three. Artemis 2 broke a long standing distance record. How far did they travel?
Ari Weitzman
285,000 miles, something like that. 280. Sorry, hand up.
Isaac Sowell
Wow, didn't raise your hand. And also that's about right because I know it's.
Camille Foster
Well, I know the average distance from Earth to the moon is about a quarter of a million miles. So that is what I know. But I don't know how much further this traveled.
Isaac Sowell
All right. The correct answer is 452,756 miles from Earth. More than 4,000 miles further than any humans had previously traveled. That's according to cnn. That I could find.
Camille Foster
I'll take.
Isaac Sowell
You think that's wrong? I'll accept it.
Ari Weitzman
No, I don't. I know the moon phases are like. The moon works differently in three dimensional space than we can imagine when we think about it. So I'm not.
Camille Foster
We tend to launch when it's a little closer. So I'm not sure that they would do it just for the benefit of the additional distance. So I'm a little skeptical, but I'm
Ari Weitzman
like we would launch when we're closer, but I think you know, at one point in the mission they would be far away as the moon's like whipping around to its maximal distance. I don't know.
Isaac Sowell
400.
Ari Weitzman
I'm going to fact check this. I don't disbelieve you, but I'm just going to trust but verify.
Isaac Sowell
It does look like this was a suspected distance, not what they actually executed. So maybe it was wrong.
Ari Weitzman
The Artemis II mission set a new human spaceflight record by reaching a maximum distance of approximately 252,000 miles. 406,000 kilometers.
Camille Foster
Ah, there we go. Okay. Yeah, we're using those fake miles. Yeah.
Ari Weitzman
Freedom units. I still overestimated. See?
Isaac Sowell
Quarter of a million. All right. I'll be impressed if either of you can explain this or get this one right.
Camille Foster
Okay.
Isaac Sowell
Don't forget to raise your hand if you think you know what is a free return trajectory. And why does it matter? For Artemis 2, Ahri's hand is up
Ari Weitzman
one where they aren't using any propulsion. And it's just based on the gravity from orbiting around the moon and exiting the orbit and returning to Earth. And it matters.
Camille Foster
Slingshotting. Ari.
Isaac Sowell
Yeah.
Ari Weitzman
Okay. It's called free return. We just got the term. I don't know why it would particularly matter to the Artemis mission compared to any other.
Isaac Sowell
Both of you contributed really well to that answer. I am impressed. It is essentially a gravitational slingshot because of orbital dynamics and the moon's gravity. Even if Oriented never fired its engine again, the capsule would have swung around the moon and headed back to Earth on its own. It's a crucial safety feature. That's why it matters to Artemis, too. They didn't say anything about whether it was particularly novel.
Camille Foster
My understanding is that the commander of that mission who's piloting the vessel has to do a particularly good job to make certain that they've got it on the right angle so they don't have to fire the rockets to kind of reposition. So if he's doing everything exactly right and they get that slingshot, you don't even have to fire the retro rockets to reposition. You just coast on home, like, then that's kind of job well done.
Isaac Sowell
Have either of you seen Project Hail Mary yet or read the book?
Camille Foster
Yeah, I've seen it. I have not read the book.
Isaac Sowell
Well, it's a really good representation of the book. They did the book almost exactly. Which is very rare in sci fi. I was super impressed. But, yeah, this reminded me there was
Ari Weitzman
more sci fi than any other genre, to be honest. I think they missed the line a lot. But maybe that's a separate podcast that we'll have that discussion.
Isaac Sowell
All right. Yeah, I won't go down there. I'm going to resist it. Go down the rabbit hole. All right.
Camille Foster
It's a great movie, though. It's worth your time.
Isaac Sowell
It's a great movie. Highly recommend. Yeah. Question number five. What did the crew spot that no human had ever seen before during a lunar flyby?
Camille Foster
An eclipse.
Isaac Sowell
That actually sounds right to me, but it's not the answer that I have here.
Ari Weitzman
I'll pose a possible answer.
Isaac Sowell
No, I think. Okay. Yeah, go ahead.
Ari Weitzman
No, what were you gonna say?
Isaac Sowell
This says, I pulled a lot of these from the CNN article.
Ari Weitzman
Oh, wait, I get to answer. Okay, I'll answer. The Oriental crater, splitting the distance between.
Isaac Sowell
That's right, yeah. During their closest approach to the moon, the astronauts became the first humans to see the Oriental basin, a massive impact crater on the lunar's far side that's never been visible from Earth. Which is pretty cool, though. Camille. I think that answer also, I don't know what would happen in jeopardy. Cause I. They must have also been the first ones to experience an eclipse, right?
Camille Foster
Maybe they were only the first ones to photograph it. I don't know. And maybe it doesn't count if you've
Ari Weitzman
an astronaut who stayed on board one of the Apollo missions who would have witnessed an eclipse having passed around the moon at one point during the orbit while Armstrong and Aldrin were on the moon. I think that that's part of what Michael Collins. Sorry, Collins.
Camille Foster
Michael Collins was up in the ship when they were on the moon. Yeah, I don't know. I don't remember.
Isaac Sowell
All right, last question. This is a good one. And this was one of the ones where I'm certain that neither of you know the answer, but it'll be fun to hear you guess. Okay, there is the Space Launch System rocket. That is the liftoff that sends Dardimus propulses it into the sky. How much do you think that rocket weighs?
Ari Weitzman
Oh man. When it's filled with fuel at the moment it's taking off.
Isaac Sowell
This is from NASA and this blew my mind, so I had to put it on here.
Ari Weitzman
I know that the amount of fuel that they have is mind blowing and more I think many times than the actual. The weight of the rocket when it's empty. But I will struggle. Do you want to try to embarrass yourself?
Camille Foster
I can't even guess. I don't even. I have no idea. That's not the sort of number that sticks in my head.
Isaac Sowell
10,000 tons. So that's 200 tons. 200,000 tons, right? Yeah. The twin solid rocket boosters ignited first delivering more than 75% of the thrust needed to lift the 5.75 million pound rocket off the pad. Oh, Jesus.
Ari Weitzman
Wow.
Isaac Sowell
That absolutely blew my mind. Wow. I didn't even know there was a man made thing that existed that weighed more than like 100,000 pounds. And this is a rocket that weighed 5.75 million pounds.
Camille Foster
And it's nearly all fuel, pretty much, yeah.
Isaac Sowell
And it lift off the twin solid rocket boosters in four RS25 engines together had to generate 8.8 million pounds of force to get it off the ground to start. This is the coolest stuff ever, man. We should have a whole podcast about it. I didn't, you know, sometimes this like this kind of stuff doesn't really get my juices flowing. But this particular thing, I'm like, this is pretty. You guys geek out about this kind of stuff. But I've been totally. I'm a newcomer to the genre and I was just reading about. I mean a part of me is. There's the cynical part of me. It's like we went to the moon 50 years ago. Why did it take us so long to go back? And, like, they're not even going to walk on it. Like, what? You know. But then I read about this kind of stuff and I'm like, wow, this is mind blowing. I mean, that statistic alone, like, we built something that could lift £5.75 billion off the ground. Humans are badass, man. This is why we're the apex predators and we rule the world. It's great when we use this to go to the moon and not destroy each other in wars. I prefer it much this way.
Ari Weitzman
Any other as well.
Isaac Sowell
Any other faves from the Artemis 2 story you guys would like to share? I would have gotten zero of those questions right, by the way. So I'm impressed by the ones you guys did get.
Ari Weitzman
I think.
Camille Foster
Yeah, go ahead, Ryan. No, go for it.
Ari Weitzman
I was just going to say that going back to a couple years ago when we experienced the total eclipse that passed through a lot of the United States, that one of the facts that that eclipse proves, that it's an empirical, observable fact that still blows my mind, I think about this, like, weekly, is that the Earth is, or the moon is the same size in the sky as the sun, even though one is 250,000 miles away and the other's 93 million miles away and massively different sizes, they appear as the same size. And I don't know. It makes you think. It makes you think, does it?
Camille Foster
Yeah, that's a heck of a coincidence.
Ari Weitzman
But there's a heck of a coincidence.
Camille Foster
Yeah, plenty of those strange coincidences about being here. I mean, honestly, for me, it's the photos. I mean, certainly the personal stories and the bravery and I would even say heroism of the people who do this kind of work is extraordinary to think about. They are effectively in a closet with a bathroom, like, hurtling through space further away from Earth than any human imaginable, any human has really ever been. And, you know, they leave their families behind. We haven't lost anyone in space just yet, which makes all of the work that's being done up there, like, all the more remarkable and extraordinary. And I think it's interesting and sad on one level, but also it makes what's happening now even more incredible. The fact that it's taken us 50 years to get back again, that it is such an extraordinary and difficult endeavor. I mean, dark ages do occur. And the fact that we went before and walked on the moon and are now marshaling the resources to do it again and doing it in ways that are more sophisticated than we did before. It's not like we've made zero progress in that time. Certainly the work that Blue Origin and SpaceX have done in terms of these reusable ships, it's just extraordinary. But it is the photos for me, like, just those images of Earth from the moon cast in darkness, the dark side of the moon, since the moon is tidally locked to us, so we only ever see the one side of. Is impossible to see those things and not be reminded of just how kind of strange and miraculous and wonderful it is to be here on planet Earth for even a little bit. And I do think it infects a lot of people. Not enough people, perhaps not even most people, but a lot of people with the same sort of. Yeah, like, we are pretty great. It is pretty extraordinary that we've gone from, like, cave paintings to this. Like, that's cool.
Ari Weitzman
And in the grand scheme, Earth is pretty special. And, you know, how lucky are we to have a moon? The moon's so cool. We could very easily not have a moon, but it's there all the time and you can see it.
Isaac Sowell
Yeah. I'll share my reflection on this, which Ari prompted me to in our pre production meeting, which is when I am laying on the ground staring at the stars, looking at the moon, and generally trying to take in the cosmos in space. I always have this one unbelievably hard to shake, overarching feeling, which is that it just feels like I'm wearing the Earth as a backpack and we're just like, oh, my God. And I am, like, walking through blackness and infinite galaxies, which it just trips me out every single time. Because if you actually lie down and sit there long enough, you realize, oh, shit, we are floating. And we're just, like, spinning through this whole thing. And I am being totally thrown against the ground by the forces of that trajectory and travel, which, yeah, is kind of hard to really wrap your head around. And then we build stuff. Yeah, promotes humility. Yeah. Then we build stuff that weighs hundreds of millions of pounds, and we manage to defeat that gravitational force, which is awesome. I will say, just as a point of note, for a moment, I had that brief glimmer. I remember, I think it was probably 2018, sometime early in Trump's first term. By the way, Trump is mostly responsible for Artemis. He was the one who launched this project, and I remember him bringing it up. And I had this sort of conspiratorial voice in my head of, why haven't we gone back to the moon? And was it real? Maybe the Moon fake guys are on or something. And then I remember distinctly, and I looked it up again before the show today, just I remember distinctly looking it up and reading a bunch of articles about how it's all. It's basically just all funding. And the reason we haven't been back is because we did it and we put somebody there and we were racing with Russia and China and we won. And there was kind of nothing else to do, but this stuck in my mind and I pulled it up. For this, which is in today's US Dollars, sending somebody to go walk on the moon would have cost 250 to $300 billion. That's how expensive Apollo was. And there were 400,000 people who are credited as being responsible for getting a man on the moon. So it's like to just have the guy go out there and do the moonwalk. It's kind of hard to justify a quarter trillion dollar investment when we've done it already once before, which is actually a pretty good answer for why we haven't been back. But that number blew my mind. And I have no idea how much this mission is costing or whatever, but I think it's worth it. It's a good thing. That's been mostly a unifying experience, it seems like. All right, on that note, we might as well pivot into complaining about the really small things in our lives that are bothering us. A beautiful uplifting session. We have to wash it out with some good old fashioned whining. We're going to move on to our grievances section before we say bye to you guys. John, cue the music. My friend,
Grow Therapy / Noom Ad Voice
the airing of grievances
Isaac Sowell
between
Ari Weitzman
you and I think your country is
Isaac Sowell
placing a lot of importance on shoe removal. All right, gentlemen, anybody want to take the lead this week and share what's been stuck in your craw?
Ari Weitzman
I missed the moon. The gibbous is waning. Come back, full moon. I think for me it's a pretty simple one. Just that springtime in Vermont is easily the worst season in Vermont. That's my opinion. Don't me, but I'm right. It snowed yesterday and we got like two and a half inches, which, like, that's tough spring. I don't have anything against snow in general. And last year when it snowed, it was enough that we could like. I got to do the very rare cross country ski and T shirt and shorts, which is fun, but it's not enough to ski on. It's like slushy and bad and most of it's gone. And I Would rather just be out of this and into summer. But I know that we've got the dreaded week or two of mud season coming up. And it's just like, if you want to come visit Vermont, just wait, wait a little bit. It's beautiful in the summer, it's beautiful in the winter. It's gorgeous in the fall. And April here is like the time that I look out my window. It's beautiful right now. Like, the sun's out and shining. But I'm like, man, this is a tough week to be up here just trudging through the snow while I'm looking at pictures from people from break and the photos that I took when we were in Georgia two weeks ago, like, that was nice, man. Look at those beautiful trees that are blooming. And we'll get flowers here eventually, I'm pretty sure.
Isaac Sowell
Yeah, maybe. Yeah, that's tough, man. I'm sorry to hear that. For what it's worth, it's stayed cold in New Jersey. We have not really seen two consecutive warm days yet.
Ari Weitzman
What does cold mean for you right now in New Jersey?
Isaac Sowell
I mean, lows in the 30s at nighttime time to me, which, like, I would like that to end. You know, high 40s, low 50s, just, like, chilly enough that it doesn't feel warm and nice and springy yet. I haven't planted anything in the garden, let's put it that way. I don't trust that we're past the final freeze. So, yeah, I'm. I'm annoyed too, but snow, that sounds terrible. I'm sorry to hear that.
Ari Weitzman
I'd love me some lows in the 30s tell you that. Oh,
Isaac Sowell
yeah.
Camille Foster
See, I don't even really have a complaint. I actually have to make something up because I'm in one of my favorite places on earth. I'm in Sea Ranch, California. I'm actually at Sea Ranch Lodge now. And I've been trying to persuade my wife for years now. And I think I'm actually making progress this trip, that this is where we should live in maybe 15 odd years. When the kids are done with high school, they go off to college like this. They just move out here. It's like two hours north of New York. Not New York, San Francisco. I think it is very much in the running for most beautiful places on earth. But one of the challenges with Sea Ranch is that there is just no parking anywhere at the places that actually give you access to the park. And it is because this place, it's actually part of what makes it so splendid, was very carefully planned and has a board that makes all of the decisions with respect to what you can do to your home aesthetically. They even have some weird policy by which, if you're parking your car in front of your house, it has to be kind of shielded from view so that it doesn't screw up the aesthetics of the area, which all contributes to making this place in Northern California right on the coast absolutely the most stunning possible place that you can visit. But if you want to drive up on the weekend, you better pray that you're the first person at the beach, because there's, like, five parking spots to get access to the beach if you do not, in fact, live here. I would drive up every week if possible, because it is that amazing. And as soon as I get off with you guys, I'm going to go back down to the beach with my children and sit and watch them build sandcastles. I suppose I could complain about the sand as well and that we don't have a better technology to get it off of you at the beach, but even that, even that, I'm willing to endure it.
Isaac Sowell
It's fine. It's terrible. I like that complaint. Actually, we haven't solved sand yet. Sand's like. Sand's awesome when you're in it and terrible when you want to get it off you, like.
Camille Foster
Yeah, I feel it in my shoes right now.
Ari Weitzman
Isaac.
Isaac Sowell
Yeah.
Ari Weitzman
We have invented the good old beach shower with the water nozzle that you spray on yourself. That works.
Isaac Sowell
Yeah, but it never totally does the job. Yeah, never.
Ari Weitzman
It doesn't. But it's kind of nice to live in a beach area and have sand.
Isaac Sowell
Yeah.
Ari Weitzman
Like a little bit of sand around. I feel like that's like, part of the true.
Isaac Sowell
But then you get into bed at night and you're like, there's still a few kernels down there that I'm going to roll in now for the rest of the day. Always. That sucks. Always. Yeah.
Camille Foster
But even that, I'm like, yeah, it was fun. It was a great day.
Isaac Sowell
All right, well, don't worry, guys. I'll carry your mediocre grievances with a good one of my own. I have a good one this week. I think it's mostly because it's a solid story, which is, I moved recently, you guys know. So when I moved into this apartment that I was in in Philadelphia, my landlord told me that. I don't want to share too many details, but let's just say we were in an emergency situation. We had to get out of the place we were in, and they were in an emergency situation. They had to get out of the place they were in. And we found each other via Zillow. And it was very serendipitous. And we were like, oh my God, we both need to move like fast in the next two weeks. And we made it all happen. And part of the early craziness was this guy and his wife were like. And I don't think they listen to the show. I hope they don't. This guy and his wife were like. They were like, we need. We have all these plants in the house and we're moving out of the country. And if you guys can take them, great. If not, my dad will come by and we'll just trash them or get rid of them or whatever. And I was like, no, no, I'm a huge plant guy. We'd love them. Thank you. You just saved us some trips to the Home Depot to decorate the house with some plants or whatever. So we lived there for a couple years, take care of the plants. It's like any. The plants are solid. Like one really nice ivy and then a couple just like average houseplants. But I tended to them. I love them. And then we move from Philadelphia, we buy this house, we move, and we're out of the house for a few days. And then I get a text message from this guy and his wife, like, hey, where are all of our plants? And I'm like, I took them. Like, we moved, you know, and they're like, those are our plants, we want those back. And I was like, what? You asked me to take care. You said you were leaving the country and you were going to throw them out. It's like this whole thing, I had these. They were like, yeah, but we've left these plants with tenants in the past and we expected to come back and get them back from you. And I was like, wait, first of all, if you guys just pass these plants on from tenant to tenant who are renting your house, they're not really your plants anymore. Second of all, like, that was not the circumstances of this arrangement. The circumstances of the arrangement were like, you had this emergency thing. We had this emergency thing. You were gonna empty the whole apartment and throw em out. Or we could take them. We chose to take them. So I took em. And I was like, look, take your fucking plants. Like, I don't no beef. But like, this is not gonna be an inconvenience for me. You guys can come get them. Because I think the miscommunication was on your end. And of course, this is all very civil, and we're all being very nice. The text messages are kind of awkward, but not really combative or aggressive. I'm being very polite. And then they said, we're going to. All right. We're actually driving from Philadelphia to New York City, and the place that I moved to is between those two places. So they were like, we'll come to your house and we'll pick up the plants. And I was like, okay, this is extraordinarily weird, but that's fine. Like, we'll. I'll have the five plants ready for you, and you can come get them put in your car. And then the day that they're supposed to come get them, like, they ask us the address, they give us an eta, whatever, and then they text us a couple hours later, and they're like, hey, we're not going to be there. We're not going to make. We don't have enough time to make the trip, so we can't pick them up. And so I text them back like, okay, hey, no problem. But, like, you're claiming these plants is yours, and we're moving and unpacking and trying to settle in the house. So, like, just let me know what you want me to do. And no response. I'm like, all right. I give it, like, three or four days. I text them like, hey, I'm going to Philadelphia to record the podcast. My studio's still there. I can load the plants in my car and drop them with old tenants if you guys want. No response. Like, a week and a half goes by. Text them again, hey, let me know what you guys want to do. And now I've been in this house for over two weeks, and they have gone totally dark, and I am just living with and taking care of these plants, that they're yours. I don't feel, like, belong to me anymore because of this. Weird. Yeah. So, like, how long, you know, like, what's the threshold? How many messages do I have to send before I start hanging these? You know, one of the ivys came with, like, a chain and, like, a ceiling set, and I'm like, I want to hang this thing. I took such good care of it. It's. It's grown, like, 10ft. I'm ready to put it up, but they're like, these are our plants. And, yeah, so it's a very bizarre situation. And now my grievance is, like, my house is fully unpacked. My wife and I are basically totally settled in. We have, like, 10 pictures. We have to find a Spot for. And then on this beautiful bay window we have in our house, there's just six giant plants that don't belong to me that are just sitting there getting sunshine that I can't, like, strategically place or decorate in the house because my bizarre landlords claim that they belong to them and former. Former landlord for this week. Yeah, yeah, former landlord.
Camille Foster
So did you get your deposit back already?
Isaac Sowell
Very good question, Camille. Did I get my deposit back already? Actually, no. In fact, I accidentally didn't turn off autopay on the thing, so I paid him an extra thing a month. And I also text him about that, and he responded not in the message, the group chat with his wife, but separately. And then has been sending me, weirdly, installments of the rent and not the full thing in full. So I'm getting repaid in kind of pieces. It's a weird deal. I don't know what's going on.
Ari Weitzman
That's interesting context. So they have some leverage still. So you want to tread carefully until you get all your money back. But it sounds like. Like, if he's responding to you pretty quickly in one private message, but not in that group chat with his wife, it sounds like they have a disagreement and they're not, like, speaking like, they're not on the same page about something.
Isaac Sowell
That's a good. I like that read. Maybe she's like, you screwed up the comms on this plant, and I want them.
Ari Weitzman
And he's like, just let them keep the plants. I don't care.
Isaac Sowell
Yeah, yeah. All right. Well, if I don't get a clear directive by May 1st, that's like squatters rights on the plants. They're mine. I think that's more than enough time. That's basically two months. And I'm moving on and carrying on as if the plants are mine. So I don't know. That's the situation I'm in. Taking all advice, and I'll keep you guys posted on what I hear, but only one more offer to bring the plant somewhere, and then I'm done.
Ari Weitzman
I think, like, absent the money thing, what I would probably have said was, like, just send them one more thing. That's like, hey, last time. Like, I just want to let you know this. And then otherwise, I'm just gonna keep them. Just, like, giving that shot.
Isaac Sowell
I'm hanging this.
Ari Weitzman
I've been pretty decent, but I'm putting them up in a week.
Isaac Sowell
I mean, I'm hanging these plants up.
Camille Foster
I think, just in terms of the storytelling there, Isaac, just a plus. So great. I was at the edge of my seat, waiting for something else. I am astonished to discover you haven't gotten all your money back yet. Like, that is actually the detail for me.
Isaac Sowell
That is pretty tremendous. Yeah.
Camille Foster
Like, that's crazy. But also. Yeah. I'm so sorry that this is happening to you. And I mean it. That's craziness. Utter craziness. Maybe you shouldn't attach this.
Isaac Sowell
Maybe they should find out about this on the podcast. I hope they do. That'd be great. This is a bigger grievance for me than the mice that we've been catching in the house. Right? So that's how much it's kind of itching at me.
Camille Foster
Welcome to homeownership, brother.
Isaac Sowell
Yeah. Yeah. Gentlemen, thanks for sitting here and listening to my story. Appreciate you guys being here. Artemis, too. We'll leave on those vibes. On the Artemis vibes. Appreciate you both. Camille, my friend, Enjoy Sea Ranch. That's what it's called.
Camille Foster
Yes. Yes.
Isaac Sowell
You have to get out here.
Camille Foster
It's not convenient, but it is amazing.
Isaac Sowell
I'm in. That video you sent looked like something out of Dune. It was, like, insanely beautiful.
Camille Foster
AI generated. Totally fake.
Isaac Sowell
I'm ready. All right, I'll see you guys soon.
Camille Foster
Later.
Isaac Sowell
Peace. Our executive editor and founder is me, Isaac Sol, and our executive producer is John Lowell. Today's episode was edited and engineered by Dewey Thomas. Our editor editorial staff is led by managing editor Ari Weitzman with senior editor Will K. Back and associate editors Audrey Moorhead, Lindsey Knuth, and Bailey Saul. Music for the podcast was produced by Diet75. To learn more about Tangle and to sign up for a membership, please visit our website@readtangle.com.
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Host: Isaac Saul
Guests: Ari Weitzman (Managing Editor), Camille Foster (Editor at Large)
Date: April 10, 2026
This episode delves into two major topics: the rapidly shifting situation of an attempted ceasefire in the Iran war, and the uplifting achievement of NASA’s Artemis II Moon mission. The hosts dissect the confusion and shortcomings around the ceasefire negotiations, discuss internal Trump administration dynamics revealed by a recent New York Times exposé, and wrap up with a lighthearted space trivia segment and personal grievances.
Starts ~[02:25]
Ceasefire Announced...or Not:
How the Deal Unraveled (Isaac):
“The deep historical distrust we hold toward the United States stems from its repeated violations of all forms of commitments...that has regrettably been repeated once again.” — [Isaac quoting Iran’s parliament, 06:25]
Perspective on the Administration (Ari):
Core Problems in Negotiation (Camille):
“Forecasting with this particular administration has become impossible...The only thing I can say for sure is we have an administration that desperately wants to have a deal so that things at least seem resolved as of yesterday.” — [07:51]
Lebanon’s Role and Miscommunication:
“It feels a little bit crazy that that’s the response...that detail slipped up in the convo that we had about an escalating regional war.” — Isaac, [10:39]
“Either way, it’s a massive diplomatic failure. Those are the details that you get right.” — Camille, [11:58]
Trump's Threats and Political Maneuvering:
First discussed at [13:54]
Quick Read of the Plan (Isaac):
Critical Reactions:
The panel describes the deal as disastrous for the US, with Isaac stating:
“I mean the whole list seems absurd to me...It felt like some sort of panic back down from the threats to wipe out all this civilian infrastructure and commit what would have been war crimes if he followed through on the threats.” — [17:54]
Camille notes that most terms are “in Iran’s interests, not the United States” ([15:29]).
Geopolitical Takeaways ([21:12-26:01]):
Segment starts ~[26:01]
“I can imagine a world where Trump takes a meeting with Netanyahu...and Rubio is lukewarm with how he pushes back. I think that indicates that...if there were more of an open dialogue that maybe the better responses would have won out.” — Ari, [32:20]
Mixed views on how robust the pushback was from officials.
“My expectation is probably something more along the lines of everyone is nodding along and saying ‘Yes, sir, absolutely, sir’, in the way that they do in the cabinet meetings...They are obsequious.” — Camille, [36:02]
The hosts agree that failed promises (Netanyahu’s overstatements about regime change and missile elimination) are common in US foreign adventures ([44:21]).
Begins ~[47:45]
Why is Artemis II Historic?
“It’s the farthest that humanity has traveled from Earth.” — Ari, [48:55]
Crew Members:
Distance and Trajectory:
“It is essentially a gravitational slingshot...It’s a crucial safety feature.” — Isaac, [53:16]
Discovery:
“We built something that could lift 5.75 million pounds off the ground. Humans are badass, man.” — Isaac, [57:24]
~[58:56–62:03]:
Starts ~[65:32]
“How long...what’s the threshold? How many messages do I have to send before I start hanging these? … They have gone totally dark, and I am just living with and taking care of these plants, that they’re yours. I don’t feel, like, belong to me anymore because of this. Weird.” — Isaac, [72:59]
On the Iran ceasefire confusion:
“It does not seem particularly strong to me. So here we are, I guess ceasefire, but in name only is basically my perspective.” — Isaac, [02:25]
On the administration’s motive:
“They are looking for anything that they can kind of qualify as a victory at this point.” — Camille, [07:51]
On US diplomatic failures:
“Those are the details that you get right. You ensure that you have clarity on this sort of thing.” — Camille, [11:58]
On Artemis II:
“We built something that could lift 5.75 million pounds off the ground. Humans are badass, man...This is why we’re the apex predators and we rule the world.” — Isaac, [57:24]
On cosmic humility:
“It is impossible to see those things and not be reminded of just how kind of strange and miraculous and wonderful it is to be here on planet Earth for even a little bit.” — Camille, [59:54]
On leadership and decision-making:
“Small group dynamics are small group dynamics anywhere. And whatever tone you set up as a leader is going to pervade all of these kinds of interactions.” — Ari, [41:13]
This episode of Tangle offers a raw, critical examination of America’s muddled Iran war negotiations and the media spotlight on Trump’s decision-making. Despite the seriousness of the political discussion, the mood lightens in the latter half with a deep dive into human space exploration and a freewheeling “grievances” segment—balancing sharp analysis with humor and a sense of awe for both human folly and achievement.