Isaac Saul (47:01)
And I was like, I literally don't have the imagination to explain that to like, I'm saying that's my honest answer. Andrew McCarthy, who I think has been awesome on this writing in National Review, I mean, a guy who wrote a whole book about this in the framework that this was a scandal and that Obama tried to destroy Trump's presidency in concert with the Clinton campaign. I mean, that is the framing of his book. He's been sort of just like, like Gabbard is undermining the project of making people take this seriously by doing all this nonsense, you know, and what he said in his piece today was like putting aside that Obama's insidious actions were not crimes, that he was not charged by Durham after a four year investigation, and that any possibility of indicting him for 2016, 2017 actions lapsed under the five year statute of limitations years ago, which is for conspiracy. You know, does Gabbard disagree with Trump that former presidents must have immunity from prosecution? Which is also a funny point that, that Trump has been arguing that for years. So, you know, it's like, it's so absurd. I, I do think it's worth maybe stating for me, at least, I'll kind of state my theory of the case here. Like, if you were to ask me to summarize what we now know as we sit here in 2025 about the sort of Russia collusion story and what happened to me, it's that the Obama administration was working with the Hillary Clinton campaign to damage candidate Trump. One of the ways that they thought they could do that was by ginning up a lot of concern about his connections to Russia that the Trump campaign then gifted them on a silver platter. Really legitimate concerns, like the Trump Jr. Meeting with the Russian lawyer, Donald Trump himself. You know, Russia, if you're out there listening, we want the emails, all the weird financial connections, whatever George Flynn talking to the ambassador, which ended up being not serious or criminal or in any way. But there was stuff there. And I think, to your point, Camille, the Obama administration had legitimate beliefs. We know that actually, because they went to a FISA court before the election was over and they stated their case to the court, which was, we think Russia is behind the hacks of the DNC emails, that they're leaking them through WikiLeaks, that they want to hurt Clinton. And we think that they're working with the Trump campaign. And that was, you know, that was based on shoddy intelligence like the Carter Page warrant. And the surveillance of him we now know was based on, like this weird intelligence community leaking to the press, the press writing these stories, the intelligence community using the stories that the press produced to go get this warrant. And there was, you know, the edited email from the FBI lawyer, Kleinsmith. There was all this really shady stuff, enough to get the FISA warrant, but the administration believed the thing that they were. We have every reason to believe they believed that Trump might be involved. And they certainly thought that Russia was conducting this cyber intrusion on the Clinton campaign. The intelligence assessment that Obama ordered that came happened months after they did that. So it wasn't like Obama gathered them all together and then Told them to, to concoct this theory. They had the theory, they were acting on it previously. The complicating, further complicating part is they do all this stuff. There's all this shoddy intelligence going around. It's clear that President Obama is a part of this. The Clinton campaign, we now have contemporaneous documents, emails, communications, that the Trump Russia connection was critical to their campaign strategy. We also know that because you can go back and watch these debates where, like, Clinton is calling Trump a Putin's puppet and all her tweets are about Trump Russia stuff. I mean, we know all that. So there's this, like, now we have the Clinton campaign using the intelligence, the shoddy intelligence from the Obama administration to concoct this story. They're both just feeding everything to the press. The media is in a frenzy. And then Trump gets elected, and then all the stuff that the Obama administration leaves behind, intentionally, which. Camille, you sent me that fantastic article from 2017 where the new York Times piece by a reporter whom maybe we'll get on the show about the Obama administration ensuring that the paper trail was preserved so that the intelligence apparatus and the incoming Trump administration couldn't bury what they felt like they had found, launches the Mueller investigation. And it's all sort of on this weird, crappy, well, coordinated intelligence, whatever you want to call it, coup against Donald Trump, and then the investigation that Mueller does and the investigation that Durham does and the investigation, or the report that John Ratcliffe, the current CIA director under Trump just issued all confirm that Russia actually did try to interfere in the election, that they did prefer Trump to Clinton, that they did what they could to damage Clinton, but not too much because they presumed she was going to win. And that story is generally still true, even though all the suspicion and stuff and all the public mania and speculation that happened in 2016, 2016, 2017, was based on a lot of really crappy intelligence. That's basically the story that I would tell. And to some people, I think that is, I understand why many people view that as like an unbelievable scandal of massive magnitude. Like a sitting president used the intelligence apparatus. Like people's lives were ruined. I mean, Michael Flynn got railroaded and his life, life was basically destroyed. People like him, lesser known people like him, had their careers destroyed, their families ripped apart. They were, you know, on. Rachel Maddow is doing 50 minute bits about them, framing them as like, Russian spies. Like, yep, a lot of people suffered. And Trump's first term was marred, the first couple years for sure, by this investigation. It slowed him down. It's not why he got impeached, which Tulsi Gabbard claimed absurdly, he got impeached for separate reasons. But, like, it did twice him. Twice. Yeah. So, like, you know, and at the same time, I don't think Obama committed treason. And I think that, like, the right vastly overstates some of this stuff, too. So it's. It's just. I'm sorry, you can't, like, explain this in three sentences. And that's just kind of the reality of where we are.