Isaac Saul (17:41)
All right, that is it for what the left and the right are saying. Which brings us to my take on a day like today, I gotta say, just like the the normal structure doesn't feel like it will suffice. So I just wrote down 17 thoughts and reactions while I was watching the address last night. Number one, I really can't think of any president who has rivaled Trump's showmanship. Obama and Clinton had a similar capacity for delivering big speeches like this, but I don't think either of them was as good at working the room. Trump egging Democrats on to smile or cheer for any of his accomplishments, or swearing in a 13 year old brain cancer survivor to the Secret Service, or presenting a new executive order live, or even announcing the acceptance of an applicant to West Point. It's all eye catching, distinctly Trumpian and impossible to imagine from President Biden. I think it's a big reason why Trump is back in office. In fact, it might be the reason. Number two, if you're an American who's only paid passing attention to the last six weeks and watched Trump's speech, you'd probably think things were going exceptionally well. It did not Surprise me that 76% of SpeechWatchers approved the address, according to CBS. Number three, Trump talked about immigration several times and man, did he earn the bragging rights. Illegal border crossings hit a 25 year low in February, his first full month in office, and they could be the lowest ever. He proved a lot of people wrong, including me, that he could get the numbers at the southern border back down this low without the help of Congress, the media and our friends in the Democratic Party kept saying we need a new legislation, we must have legislation to secure the border, Trump said. But it turned out that all we really needed was a new president. It's a pretty good line. Number four, I am not a particularly sensitive person when it comes to fear mongering in politics, but spending so much time framing transgender women as evil, an overt focus on a small sliver of our population really makes me uncomfortable. I know Trump claims to care about women's sports and some stories about early transitions for minors who later regret it obviously present real harms, but I really think he's just found a winning issue that activates people's worst instincts, fear and hate, and is continuing to exploit it. Imagining some of the trans women I know watching that speech makes me feel really deeply horrible for them, and I suspect they feel a ton of fear just going through their day to day lives right now. I wish she would just stop and let this issue go. Number five Could Democrats be any worse at this? They seem utterly outmatched and out to sea right now. Holding up signs that say false, wearing pink blazers, walking out, getting kicked out. It all just looks so feckless. Is this really their plan for the resistance? Do you think maybe you should stand up and clap when Trump announces the capture of a terrorist who killed 13Americans at Abbey Gate? Or how about for the family of Lincoln Riley? At least a few of them put their hands together for the 13 year old with brain cancer. So they got that one right. Number six One of the most cringy things about the MAGA movement is their obsession with superlatives, which clearly comes from their leader. I saw a few prominent social media accounts suggesting that last night's congressional address was the greatest ever or Trump's best speech ever. It was neither. Trump himself couldn't help but claim Biden was the worst president in American history. I wish someone could just beat it into their brains that everything doesn't have to be the absolute greatest and worst things in world history. Could we try a new way to communicate maybe? Number seven, one deeply concerning note from the night. We do appear to have a bunch of petulant children running the country. One member of Congress ripped a sign out of another member of Congress's hands. The President called Senator Elizabeth Warren, the Democrat from Massachusetts Pocahontas as a derogatory term to mock her purported Native American heritage. One side was jeering and interrupting the President while the other side tried to drown them out with chants of USA. I mean, this is genuinely the stuff of an 8th grade pep rally. Is anyone at all concerned about this? Number eight, Trump is still repeating a lot of nonsense about Social Security payments to 150-year-old Americans. To recap, we know that there are erroneous Social Security payments. Last year, the Social Security Administration Inspector General found $71.8 billion in improper payments from 2015 to 2022, about 0.84% of the $8.6 trillion in payments over that time period. So a small sliver, but you know, a lot of money because there's $8.6 trillion in payments. Another inspector general report from 2021 found that the SSA made $298 million in payments to 24,000 dead beneficiaries. But Musk has made much more sweeping claims on X and pretended Doge uncovered all this. A lot of people explained to Musk that he was misunderstanding the data he was looking at, but he has not corrected the record. Now the president is running with it even after his own appointed Social Security administrator said, quote, recent reporting from Musk and Trump that is was misinforming people about fraudulent payments. Number nine. And relatedly, I think Pete Buttigieg has asked the right question. What is this a pretext for? Trump and the GOP have long shown interest in going after Social Security. What are they going to try? It is very obvious that Trump and Musk keep implying payments are going to many of the ridiculously old people listed in the Social Security database after this has been debunked repeatedly, which suggests he's providing himself a pretext to eliminate or reduce Social Security payments. This is obviously a political third rail, and I'm still unsure if Republicans go for it. But I really can't think of any other reason for Trump to keep pushing Musk's story. Number 10, maybe Trump's strongest moment of the night was listing all the different programs our federal government spends millions or billions of dollars on, as we've covered repeatedly. I would not take any Doge numbers or statistics at face value. They keep making errors, keep correcting themselves or trying to cover up their mistakes. That being said, I went through Trump's list last night and at a quick glance, I can't find evidence for a few claims. Some seem inaccurate, but most of them look true. We do spend $20 million on what looks like an Arabic version of Sesame street, or $45 million for DEI scholarships in Burma, or $47 million to improve learning outcomes in Asia. I think there's a strong case for continuing most foreign aid programs, but a lot of Americans are going to hear this stuff and want big changes. It is very smart politics. Number 11, Trump did not inherit an economic catastrophe as he claimed. He had a relatively stable and growing economy with low unemployment numbers that has overcome the worst pandemic era inflation, but is still trying to fully bury it. But that's the story. That being said, his tariffs are clearly creating A lot of uncertainty and unease on Wall street, and I think a recession is increasingly likely. I know this is a radical idea, but I also think Trump may want a recession, and I think he and his supporters are going to try to sell the idea that a recession would be good for the country. I've actually been keeping a running thread on X of this very thing. Number 12 I have no idea how Democrats haven't hopped on this talking point, but Trump continues to demand the end of remote work for federal workers while spending an awful lot of time at his home in Mar A La. This talking point is an easy alley oop. I mean, he's claiming remote workers are probably golfing and then he goes to Mar a Lago and golfs on a Tuesday. When I say Democrats messaging seems out to see not even trying to go up and dunk these easy lobs from the president is exactly what I mean. Number 13 there was an assortment of nonsense. Trump claimed we're going to balance the budget, but he just pushed the House to pass a bill that will add literal trillions to the debt and deficit. He claimed free speech is back, but he's banning newsrooms from the White House for not using Gulf of America and just pushed a crackdown on protests at college campuses. Speaker Johnson reprimanded Representative Al Green for not respecting decorum in the House, but he said nothing when Representatives Lauren Boebert from Colorado and Marjorie Taylor Greene from Georgia were incredibly disrespectful. During Biden's State of the Union address, Trump again publicly said Musk is leading doge, but in court, the administration claims Musk doesn't even work there. Trump took credit for a $165 million investment from the Taiwanese chip maker TSMC, an investment made possible by the Chips act passed on a bipartisan basis under Biden, but trashed the bill just minutes later. And number 14 also for the record, Trump promised to pass no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax on Social Security benefits. Just last week, some Republican members of Congress were claiming they already passed those policies in the budget bill, which was a lie. But it was funny to see Trump just promised these things were coming after members of his party purported they had happened already. Number 15 it's getting lost in all the noise. But Trump is proposing a gold card for immigration at the same time he's challenging birthright citizenship. He wants to sell U.S. citizenship for $5 million a pop. Trump thinks he can sell 10 million gold guards, which would create $50 trillion in revenue. That's not happening. I can't tell if this is a brilliant or stupid idea. He basically wants to take an existing program and just multiply its cost by 5. But he seems genuinely attached to it and I think he's really going to try it. Interestingly, the plan has drawn some fire from Ryan Gardusky, one of his most ardent populist supporters. Number 16. My personal favorite moment of the night was the Mark Fogel moment. I had no idea Trump had met with his mother in Butler, Pennsylvania the day Trump was almost assassinated. What a remarkable and incredible story. And wild that Trump got him home in a matter of weeks after he spent almost the entire Biden administration trapped in Russia. And finally, number 17. I also thought Trump's final flourish was the best speech writing from this administration so far. I'm a sucker for the pitch that America is a country of doers and dreamers and survivors and that we should always tell our story as a proud, free, sovereign, independent nation, loudly and with our chest. We do stand on the shoulders of the pioneers Trump listed, and this is really him at his best. Sometimes I wish he would just do that. We'll be right back after this quick break. To make switching to the new Boost Mobile risk free, we're offering a 30 day money back guarantee.