Isaac Saul (18:00)
All right, that is it for the left and the right are saying. Which brings us to my take. Typically, I don't give much credence to the importance of a State of the Union address, and I don't suspect these addresses move the electorate much. Over time, these nights have become pure theater, with each side trying to plant memorable lines or use symbolic optics to make the other party look bad. There's jeering, cheering, booing, clapping and special guests meant to evoke or provoke. There are exaggerations, gratuitous lies and misleading statistics to frame a party's successes as the greatest ever, especially with our current president. Last night was no different. In discussing economic indicators, war has ended, prescription drug prices, tariffs and illegal voting, Trump told all manner of self aggrandizing lies and exaggerations. Yet even with all those reasons to discount the moment, the State of the Union felt like it mattered more than most. Despite a governing trifecta, Trump's back is against the wall. His approval ratings are underwater. He's in the midst of a Homeland Security funding fight in which the public appears to be siding with Democrats. He just spent time in Georgia, in a deep red county of a typically red state, pitching voters on how he's addressing affordability. Democrats have had a series of mind boggling over performances in recent special elections, including last night in Pennsylvania. And this speech provided him with one of his last chances to address voters nationally before next year's midterms. And so last night, Trump once again ascended the congressional dais, needing to reset the narrative and get back in the driver's seat. I suspected he would emphasize his economic successes, the declining murder rate, the border being shut down, the wars he's working to end, and tie in an aspirational and uplifting vision of with the 250th anniversary on the horizon, all of that would have been reasonable and based in fact, many, many good things are happening in our country that Trump could have spent his entire speech focused on. Last year, Trump's address to a joint session of Congress was all about ending the war in Ukraine, bringing Israeli hostages home, making America affordable again, planting an American flag on Mars, shutting down the border, all manner of tax cuts and the renewal of the American Dream this year. I was genuinely surprised by how morbid so much of the speech was. I've watched every State of the Union address for the last 15 years start to finish, and hundreds of Trump's speeches, including his address in Georgia last week. I've never seen him so repeatedly and thoroughly focused on violence, death, blood, guts and gore. There were the murderous drug cartels, murderers coming here illegally from mental institutions, the terrorists and murderers DHS is protecting us from and and Charlie Kirk being violently murdered by an assassin. There were the murderous Iranian proxies and the Iranian regime which has spread nothing but terrorism and death and hate and killed and maimed thousands of Americans. There were the Iranian protesters shot and hung in the streets. Trump described Staff Sergeant Andrew Wolf being violently shot in the head, laying helplessly in bed, blood all over. There was Chief Warrant Officer 5 Eric Slover gushing blood which was flowing back down the helicopter aisle after being shot during an operation in Venezuela, his leg shredded into numerous pieces. There was the 16 year old cheerleader, Lisbeth Medina, who was violently and viciously killed, brutally extinguished by a killer and illegal alien. Her mother found her lying dead in a bathtub, bleeding profusely after being stabbed 25 times, Trump said. Describing Irina Zaruska, the Ukrainian refugee killed on a bus in Charlotte last year, Trump said a deranged monster viciously slashed a knife through her neck and body. As the camera panned to Zaruska's weeping mother in the audience, Trump added that no one will ever forget the expression of terror on Irina's face as she looked up at her attacker in the last seconds of her life. She died instantly. It went on and on like this for the entire night, and it struck me as deeply uncomfortable and awful to watch. This emphasis did not make me feel good, nor did it make me feel angry or motivated in a way that felt productive, which I I might have if Trump attached a message about how he might overcome all this horror. When I ran the transcript of Trump's speech through ChatGPT, it said roughly 40 to 50% of the speech was about violence, crime or war. When I asked it to break down the speech by section, it said up to 70% of Trump's topics included violent rhetoric. To take just one example, Trump used the word murder, murderers or murderous nine times. Just two of the nine references were him describing the historic drop in murders over the last year. From a simple messaging standpoint, this felt like an odd and counterproductive choice. Trump is supposed to be the president ending eight wars. This claim is still not true. And bringing peace to the streets. Yet the free world he describes himself as overseeing has terror and death lurking on every corner and every continent. The tone, even for Trump, felt especially morbid and wildly afield of how a president might convince the nation that things aren't as bad as they think. That's not to say this speech was totally bereft of effective moments. The final minutes of his speech were a genuinely moving recounting of the beauty of the American project, the relatively brief and delicate span of our nation's history, and the limitless potential of American citizens. So much so that I messaged my team on Slack and asked, where's this been all night? He honored several heroes throughout the evening and at times referenced the falling rates of violence, fentanyl use and even Americans on food stamps under his administration. Perhaps most notably, and in the moment that will surely show up in political ads later this year, Trump asked all in the chamber who believed the first duty of the American government is to protect American citizens, not illegal aliens, to stand. Nearly every Democrat I could see remains seated. Of course, I suspect most of them believe the sentiment but just want to resist Trump's games. Yet the optics here are terrible for the party. This kind of open combat in the chamber is where Trump excels and where he seems to be most comfortable. And when he wasn't describing murderous scenes of violence, he seemed most comfortable provoking his opponents. He dragged Rashida Tlaib and Ilhan Omar into the fight with a long section on the quote, unquote, Somali pirates in Minnesota. Both Tlaib and Omar left the speech after heckling and screaming that the president killed American citizens. Republicans started a USA chant in response to Representative Al Green, who was holding up a sign that read black people aren't apes. Trump repeatedly pointed to the seated Democrats who refused to stand and clap for all manner of positive updates about the country, calling them crazy and sick. Obviously, the tenor of these exchanges reflects just how divided and broken our politics are, and our president appears continuously thrilled at the prospect of further driving the wedge between red and blue. This is all unfortunate, given how much opportunity Trump had to go in a different direction. Some important economic indicators are strong. The border is secure. Genuine peacemaking efforts are proliferating across the globe. And on the heels of the Olympics, American pride is bursting. Even on the verge of unity with the ice hockey gold medals and the unifying force of Alyssa Liu. Even in crude political terms, Trump had opportunities. Just take the juxtaposition of him bringing the men's hockey team and war heroes to the chamber as his guests with while Democrats invited an alleged Jeffrey Epstein survivor who also allegedly helped Epstein traffic women, it's not as if Trump doesn't know how to foster bipartisan unity. He received a standing ovation from both sides of the aisle when he explicitly rejected political violence in all its forms, citing the murder of Charlie Kirk. He also got an enthusiastic ovation, including from Democrats like Senator Elizabeth Warren, when he called for a ban on congressional stock trading. I could be a cynic and point to Trump's own corruption and self dealing, or the dig he took at Nancy Pelosi immediately after, but the point is that he knows how to foster this kind of unity. He just chooses not to. So when I think about this speech, those moments won't stay in my mind. Nor will Democrats refusing to stand when prompted to pledge their allegiance to the American citizens. Instead, I'll remember the tension, the Gore and the combat. If this was a speech meant to focus Americans on how much better their lives have gotten in the last year and why we should punch the ballot for Republicans this fall to continue to empower this president, it struck me as inexplicably counterproductive. I still don't think this address will move the electoral needle, but my guess is that if it does, it won't be in the president's favor. All right, that's it for my take today. I'm sending it back to Audrey for the rest of the pod and I'll see you guys tomorrow. Have a good one. Peace.