TBPN Podcast Episode Summary
Episode Title: J.P. Morgan Goes Patriot Mode, Dutch Seize Nexperia, 𝕏 Timeline Reactions | Alexis Ohanian, Ryan Petersen, Serena Ge
Date: October 13, 2025
Hosts: John Coogan & Jordi Hays
Featured Guests: Alexis Ohanian, Ryan Petersen, Serena Ge
Overview
This episode of TBPN delivers an energetic rundown of today's most pressing technology, finance, and geo-political news with John and Jordi's signature mix of sharp insight, irreverence, and meme references. The main focus areas include J.P. Morgan's massive new "patriot mode" investment plan aimed at US industry, the Dutch government's dramatic seizure of Chinese-owned chipmaker Nexperia, the evolving AI hardware and infrastructure arms race, timeline reactions and market volatility, and hands-on insights from industry leaders Ryan Petersen, Serena Ge, and Alexis Ohanian.
The episode also touches on shifting international trade dynamics, strategies for social media growth, the intensifying compute wars (Nvidia, AMD, Huawei), regulatory moves in the US and Europe, and broader cultural themes rippling across both the startup and tech investing communities.
Major Segments & Timestamps
1. Opening Banter & Media Attention (00:00-04:51)
- TBPN’s growing profile after mentions in NYT and "Cheeky Pint" (Charlie Songhurst & Marc Andreessen)
- Hilariously self-deprecating comments about the show’s absurdity and war to bring tech news to LinkedIn
- Media strategies, content repurposing, and hiring for social media growth
Quote:
“We are trying to grow our LinkedIn. If you want to help us on our war path to bring technology news for the first time to LinkedIn and educate the unwashed masses... come help us.” —John (02:12)
2. J.P. Morgan’s $1.5 Trillion “Patriot Mode” Initiative (04:51-09:41)
- JP Morgan announces a ten-year, $1.5 trillion plan for national security and economic resilience
- Breakdown of targeted sectors: critical minerals, advanced manufacturing, defense tech, energy resilience, AI, and quantum computing
- Jamie Dimon's bullish comments on US strategic vulnerabilities (quote below)
- Speculation about OpenAI’s role in absorbing some of this capital
Quote:
“It is painfully clear that the United States has allowed itself to become too reliant on unreliable sources of critical minerals ... America needs more speed and investment. It also needs to remove obstacles that stand in the way: excessive regulations, bureaucratic delay, partisan gridlock...” —Jamie Dimon, as read by Jordy (06:19)
Market Impact:
- MP Materials up 23% on rare earth news
- General optimism around “we’re so back”
3. U.S.-China Trade Volatility & AI Hardware Wars (09:41-15:07)
- Recap of recent market volatility and new tariffs targeting Chinese goods — Ryan Petersen of Flexport joins for trade insights
- OpenAI’s new 10GW-of-chips deal with Broadcom raises Broadcom’s stock, underscores sector’s scale
- Reflection on current leverage, retail trader psychology, and “Zoomergate” (crypto kids using wild leverage; meme-ified)
Quote:
"Literally every person I interacted with this weekend was like, I lost 20% of my net worth on a 2% move. What is your strategy here?" —John (12:57)
4. Gong Show Lore & Timeline Culture (16:22-18:24)
- The origins of TBPN's “size gong” for wild market or tech news moments
- Deep dive on content format experiments and the evolution of the show's brand
5. Dutch Seizure of Nexperia (18:24-24:08)
- Dutch government takes control of Chinese-owned chipmaker Nexperia over national security fears
- Compares US and European approaches to strategic industries and state intervention
- Discussion of escalating US-China-EU semiconductor rivalry, catalyzed by rare earth trade restrictions
Quote:
“This seems way more aggressive than the Intel story … and in Europe, the Dutch are just like, we’ll take it all.” —John (22:37)
6. Meta, OpenAI, and the Compute Arms Race (24:08-28:31)
- Industry rumors: Meta offering $3.5bn for Thinking Machines’ Andrew Tullock (missionaries vs. mercenaries in AI)
- Analysis of foundation model talent wars and what it means for AGI
- AI hardware allocation strategies (TPUs, GPUs), leasing models vs. large capex spend
7. Global Supply Chains, Trade, and Customs Fraud (29:37-38:59)
- Ryan Petersen (Flexport) on how tariff uncertainty, customs fraud, and rapid regulatory pivots are impacting US importers and multinationals
- Challenges of reshoring manufacturing; comparative disadvantages/gaps in US industrial policy
- Use of Import Genius and prediction markets (Polymarket) for real-time supply chain/market intelligence
Quote:
"I only have one rule: I'm never going to jail." —Ryan Petersen (36:11)
8. Mega AI Cloud Wars & De-risking Strategies (41:01-56:15)
- Meta, Microsoft, OpenAI, and cloud capex (leasing vs. buying, Nvidia/AMD’s shifting chip economics, energy constraints)
- The “barnacle economy” — layering startups on rising foundation model tides
- Nick at OpenAI, Seb at Nividia, discussion of leasing GPUs, value decay, and Satya Nadella’s strategy
- Notable call for the US government to fund benchmarking Huawei compute chips on semiAnalysis’s Inference Max
Quote:
“My take from Inference Max is that AMD and Nvidia are not as far away as people thought ...” —John (73:24)
9. Markets, Generative Media, and Social Media Trends (56:21-67:19)
- Weekend market/tech timeline chatter: liquidation memes, sleep scores, Apple iPhone gripes, and the LinkedIn chat room goes live
- Rise of generative social media apps (e.g., Meta’s Vibes vs. Sora by OpenAI)
- Notable reactions to changing user norms (Snapchat, Kylie Jenner’s comeback, retail-driven memestocks, and retail trading on natural gas)
Quote:
"It makes absolutely no sense, but it's true… befriend yourself.” —Guy (63:42), on why people give better advice to friends than themselves
10. Guest Interview: Alexis Ohanian (91:00-122:01)
Key Topics:
- The business of women’s sports and Angel City FC: “Over three and a half million people tuned in this year spectacle.” (92:46)
- Early-stage investing, the “barnacle economy,” and the next phase of consumer AI: “I love barnacle economy. That is a good meme.” (97:47)
- Social media “dead internet” theory and the craving for real, group-chat-fueled live content
- The future of gaming and hardware: “I have graded video games. This is my art.” (114:38)
- AI companions, child safety, and next-generation interfaces (voice-first, AI-powered toys)
- TikTok’s “frozen innovation” amid regulatory chaos and post-acquisition speculation
Quote:
“I think we'll see a new generation of social media that's verifiably human ... because it's all going down in the group chats now.” —Alexis Ohanian (98:15)
11. Guest Interview: Serena Ge, Data Curve (148:55-156:07)
- YC founder (dropped out at 18), building a data-labeling platform focused on high-skill coding data for AI labs
- Differentiation from Scale AI via bounty-based, gamified “cracked” engineer community
- Discussion on platform pipeline, developer experience, and upskilling
Quote:
"I don't think any high skilled software engineer wants to be a data annotator … so you have to pay them a lot on contract ... We do a bounty based system for these very cracked people. They're having fun, making money, and upskilling." —Serena Ge (153:53)
12. Notable Timeline & Meme Moments (Throughout)
- Calls for “size gong” hits (JP Morgan; Baron Trump on TikTok's board; new models of insider trading)
- Viral posts: jungle gyms, the rise of mod retro gaming, cameo features, McChicken sandwich inflation outpacing S&P500, and boar-hunting drones
- Discussion of Mr. Beast, meme stock generations (natural gas, Nvidia/TSMC/ASML/SK Hynix), and attention economy shifts
- Peter Thiel One Piece/“Antichrist” meme discourse: “You never want your name appearing in the same sentence as ‘Antichrist.’” —John (172:16)
Memorable Quotes & Moments
- “Be my banker and just do every deal up and down the stack and finance my entire supply chain.” —John, re: OpenAI pitch to JP Morgan (07:35)
- “Every single dollar that I've saved and invested over the last decade is gone.” —Jordy, on levered retail betting & crypto wipeouts (12:37)
- “America needs more speed and investment. It also needs to remove obstacles that stand in the way...” —Jamie Dimon, via Jordy (06:19)
- “This seems way more aggressive than the Intel story ... In Europe, the Dutch are just like, we’ll take it all.” —John (22:37)
- "I only have one rule: I'm never going to jail." —Ryan Petersen (36:11)
- “Barnacle economy—so many of the whales are so big that even if you’re a barnacle, you can go zero to a hundred million in a couple years.” —John (97:24)
- “Some people are sticking to their mission—others have a price, it's just 3X what the other guy would have paid.” —Jordy (27:04)
- “I use AI as a kind of executive coach for emails or notes. There’s some version of that that I think is interesting and compelling.” —Alexis Ohanian (119:45)
Closing Thoughts
With candid commentary from founders and investors actively shaping the market, this episode delivers practical and philosophical insights into tech’s shifting balance of power—from national security to the AI arms race, from retail trader meme-omics to the “barnacle economy” of startups serving giants.
Real-world anecdotes, sharp timeline reactions, and in-depth guest interviews highlight both serious and comic aspects of the new technological order.
Additional Noteworthy Timestamps
- Ryan Petersen joins: 29:37
- Alexis Ohanian interview begins: 91:00
- Serena from Data Curve: 148:55
- High-comedy meme section (grain of the show): Throughout, strong at ~175:00
Episode Takeaway:
JP Morgan's “patriot mode” signals aggressive US re-industrialization; the global chip/rare earths war heats up; US/EU state intervention is growing; and despite new volatility, scale players and barnacle startups alike are forging ahead, fueled by capital, compute, and an ever-shifting culture of “authentic” engagement—whether onstage, in group chats, or in Reddit run clubs.
