
Big Tech earnings landed — Alphabet soared on cloud growth while Meta dropped 10% after hiking capex to $145B. SoftBank plans an AI/robotics IPO called Roze, Anthropic weighs a $900B+ round, and Musk called himself a "fool" for backing OpenAI.
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Brian McCullough
Welcome to the Tech Brew Ride home for Thursday, April 30, 2026. I'm Brian McCullough. Today, Big Tech earnings landed Alphabet soared on cloud growth, while Meta dropped 10%
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after hiking CapEx to 145 billion.
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SoftBank plans an AI Robotics IPO called Rose Anthropic Ways a more than $900 billion round and Elon Musk called himself a fool for backing OpenAI.
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Here's what you missed today in the world of tech.
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For whatever reason, everybody in tech has
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decided to do earnings on the same day all of the sudden, and I'm not sure if that makes my job
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easier or harder, but here we are.
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Not sure there's anything standout to highlight from the various earnings reports, although Microsoft
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is down in the neighborhood of 5%
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this morning and Meta is down around 10%.
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So let's see what the street didn't like about Meta.
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Quoting Bloomberg Meta Platform's shares plunged by
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the most in six months after the company raised its spending outlook for the
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year, reigniting fears that the historic levels of investment that Chief Executive Officer Mark Zuckerberg is making to catch up in the artificial intelligence race won't pay off.
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The social media giant projected full year capital expenditures of 1:25 to $145 billion,
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exceeding analyst estimates and marking a roughly
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7.4% increase from the company's previous projections in January.
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Meta said the increase is partly driven by conviction that its AI strategy is working.
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But the company is also dealing with,
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quote, higher component pricing and additional data center costs, chief Financial Officer Susan Lee said Wednesday on a call with investors.
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Zuckerberg has said that his company will spend hundreds of billions of dollars on AI infrastructure by the end of the
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decade, and that was before a memory chip shortage triggered a surge in prices.
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Meta has announced billion dollar deals with
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Nvidia, Advanced Micro Devices and Broadcom for
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chips and other hardware just since the beginning of the year, and is building
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several massive data centers to power its efforts.
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On Thursday, Meta kicked off a bond sale of between 20 and $25 billion in debt, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
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Zuckerberg said he has confidence in the decision to further boost AI spending, but that confidence wasn't reciprocated by Wall Street. Investors balked when the CEO failed to provide details about how Meta plans to make a return on its investment, sending shares down as much as 10% on Thursday after trading got underway in New York, their biggest intraday drop since October. The higher spending quote the stakes for Meta given it's using its own AI system, which still trails Frontier Lab peers, wrote Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Mandeep Singh. So far, Meta's standalone app hasn't had the amount of engagement versus other frontier labs. End quote and quoting MarketWatch to check in with Alphabet for the first time,
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enterprise AI solutions became the primary growth driver in the cloud division as customers
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coded agentic applications on the Gemini platform.
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Google's tensor processing units have led to
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cost efficiencies internally, and the company said on the earnings call that it's planning
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to deliver chips for customers to deploy
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in their own data centers soon.
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Google Cloud's backlog nearly doubled sequentially to $462 billion, thanks to AI demand and
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TPU hardware sales, showing off Alphabet's vertical integration advantage.
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Investors were so dazzled by Google Cloud's growth that they were willing to overlook
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increased capital expenditures or perhaps saw them as necessary to fuel continued growth.
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On the earnings call, Alphabet announced that it would be raising full year CapEx projections to between $180 to $190 billion,
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up from $175 to $185 billion previously. Alphabet also hinted that CapEx plans for 2027 are expected to significantly increase.
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The rest of the hyperscalers didn't receive the same treatment. Although Amazon Web services accelerated to 28%
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growth this quarter, the results fell a hair short of the 28 to 30% target, Jefferies analyst Brent Thrill wrote in a note.
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Following earnings, Microsoft reported a 5 million quarter over quarter increase in paid Copilot
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subscriptions, but Azure revenue growth of only 39% was only in line with estimates, Thrill added. Microsoft plans to spend $190 billion in capex this year.
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Although Meta's revenue growth of 33% exceeded expectations, that wasn't enough momentum to justify
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its increase in capex in the eyes of investors. Meta now plans to spend 1:25 to $145 billion in 2026.
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Unlike the other three hyperscalers, Meta doesn't
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have a that sells AI computing to investors.
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However, while Meta is being questioned for its spending, Alphabet's investment is being rewarded
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because it's backed by a $460 billion order backlog, Jake Bahan, head of capital markets at Derexion, wrote in a Wednesday note.
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And truly the bottom line here is that Meta Alphabet, Microsoft And Amazon's combined capex hit a record $130 billion just in Q1, and that puts the four on track to reach $725 billion in
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capex spending for the whole of 2026, up 77% from the $410 billion spent just last year. Quoting the FT While investors have expressed
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skepticism about the huge sums in the
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past, they broadly welcomed the earnings reports as demand for AI in data centers drove large jumps in revenue and profits, led by a 63% increase in Google Cloud revenue.
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The AI economy is healthy, said Brent
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Thrill, an analyst at Jefferies. Recent increases in revenue suggested that the
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big players can shoulder the vast capex costs, he added.
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The bear thesis is garbage.
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Shares in Alphabet rose 6% in pre market trading, on course to open at
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a record market value of nearly $4.5 trillion on Thursday. Amazon rose 1.8% and Microsoft was down 1.8% after gaining 18% in the past month.
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The mood was darker at Meta, where
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a drop in users, an increase in capex and Chief Executive Mark Zuckerberg's vague
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timeline to launch improve AI models sent
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the stock down 8% in pre market trading, even as revenues jumped by a third.
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Investors continue to be concerned about how Zuckerberg's once Capital light money machine may
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be morphing into a capital intensive incinerator, said Dec Mullarki, managing director of SLC Management.
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Investors are not interested in growth at
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any cost, end quote. In contrast, investors cheered Google as it showed signs of strong AI driven growth and earnings after facing criticism for allowing OpenAI and Anthropic to more quickly commercialize a that its DeepMind lab incubated.
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Amazon added $8.3 billion in cloud sales,
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for a total of $37.6 billion for
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the quarter, while Microsoft's cloud unit, which
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houses Azure, added $7.9 billion in revenue, rising to $34.7 billion.
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Melissa Otto, head of Visible Alpha research at SP Global, said the results suggested
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Google Cloud is starting to take a little market share. It could be nipping at their heels. Cloud boss Thomas Kurian, in an interview
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with the FT last week, attributed Google's progress to a longstanding strategy to build
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its own custom A foundation, models and products in house.
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He argued this gave the company a cost and research advantage over its cloud
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and AI peers which have struggled to build their own chips and frontier models. Google on Wednesday claimed a $460 billion
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backlog of contracts to rent data center
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space, which helped the market stomach a $5 billion rise in its capex guidance to as much as $190 billion this year. Chief Financial Officer Anat Ashkenazi said spending would significantly increase again in 2027. End Quote Foreign.
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Says that SoftBank plans to create an AI and robotics company they're going to call Rose in the US to build data centers and list it as early as 2026 on public markets seeking a
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$100 billion valuation quote SoftBank founder Masayoshi
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San wants to list the group this year, according to multiple people familiar with the matter, as he rushes to offset
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spending commitments across the conglomerate's portfolio into
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the tens of billions of dollars, including its huge pledges to OpenAI.
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The Japanese group plans to hold an
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analyst day in a data center facility
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in Texas in July to promote the
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ipo, according to the same people. The group has not finalized how large a stake in Rose it will sell,
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but it has previously retained a majority share of the companies it has taken to public markets. SoftBank still holds nearly 90% of UK chip designer ARM, which listed in 2023 as an example.
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Despite Son's optimism, some inside SoftBank are skeptical about the valuation and the proposed timeline for an ipo, in part due to the geopolitical and economic uncertainties following
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US President Donald Trump's strikes on Iran. Adding to the risk for listings this
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year, US Public markets may soon also have to absorb three of the largest
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IPOs ever Elon Musk's, SpaceX, Anthropic and OpenAI.
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The valuation target could shift and is considered ambitious by some SoftBank executives since
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it relies on rapidly expanding its data center businesses.
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ABB Robotics, which SoftBank agreed to buy
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last year, could play a critical role
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once the deal closes alongside some existing group assets, including land and infrastructure, according to one of the people familiar with the matter.
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SoftBank is working fast on building its
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own data centers, including a large scale project in Ohio, and people familiar with the matter say Son has big ambitions in the sector. The risks are rising for Son, who has staked his reputation on his ability
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to make SoftBank central to AI, a technology he believes is ushering in a new industrial revolution that will elevate humanity to its next phase.
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SoftBank was already pushing up against its own leverage limits and would need to sell or monetize assets soon to maintain its spending trajectory, people within the company said. OpenAI's IPO is a central part of San's plan to reduce leverage, but the startup is facing growing competition from rivals,
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including Google and Anthropic. SoftBank's share price has been highly volatile
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as investors use the stock to gain
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exposure to OpenAI, which has been buffeted by expectations around tech stocks. More broadly, SoftBank hit a record high
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last October before falling close to 45% by March. It had since recovered much of its
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lost ground, but fell sharply in the past few days over renewed fears about OpenAI's growth. End quote.
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Yeah Sources say Anthropic has begun weighing a new funding round at a greater than $900 billion valuation after previously resisting
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investor propos at a greater than $800 billion valuation. Quoting TechCrunch, the maker of the Claude
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AI assistant has received multiple preemptive offers to raise fresh capital of around $50
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billion at a valuation in the $850 to $900 billion range, according to half
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a dozen sources familiar with the matter.
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Bloomberg and Business Insider reported earlier this
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month that Anthropic received multiple preemptive bids
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at an $800 billion valuation, but at
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that time the company had not yet
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committed to a fundraise.
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Sources say, however, that Anthropic is finding it difficult pressure to secure more funding
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in what could be its final round of private fundraising before a potential ipo. The company is expected to make a
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definitive decision on the round and its valuation at a board meeting in May,
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one person told TechCrunch. The round is expected to total $40.
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50 billion, according to people familiar with the company. But investor demand appears to be much higher given the company's rapid growth, which
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shows no sign of slowing. Investors are clamoring to get into the round.
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One institutional investor prepared to commit as much as $5 billion has yet to
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secure a meeting with with Anthropic CFO Krishna Rao, according to a source. Anthropic raised its last round at a
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$380 billion valuation in February. If the company proceeds with another fundraise
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at the terms described by TechCrunch's sources,
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it will not only more than double its valuation, but also match or surpass
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that of its chief rival. Also in February, OpenAI closed a record breaking $122 billion round at a $852 billion post money valuation, end quote.
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So this wasn't a joke headline, I guess.
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Quoting the Verge OpenAI is opening up about its Goblin problem After a report from Wired revealed instructions to OpenAI's coding model to never talk about goblins, gremlins, raccoons, trolls, ogres, pigeons or other animals or creatures, the AI startup published an
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explanation on its website, calling references to the creatures a strange habit its models
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developed as a result of their training.
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As outlined in the blog post, OpenAI
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began noticing metaphors referencing goblins and other creatures, starting with its GPT 5.1 model,
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specifically when using the nerdy personality option.
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OpenAI says the problem continued to worsen
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with subsequent model releases until it found that its reinforcement training rewarded the quirky
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metaphors with the nerdy personality which newer models were training on. The rewards were applied only in the
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nerdy condition, but reinforcement learning does not guarantee that learned behaviors stay neatly scoped
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to the condition that produce them. Once a style tick is rewarded, later
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training can spread or reinforce it elsewhere,
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especially if those outputs are reused in supervised fine tuning or preference data.
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Though references to Goblins and gremlins dropped off after OpenAI discontinued the nerdy Personality in March, they didn't disappear completely with
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GPT 5.5 inside its Codex coding tool as OpenAI started training the model.
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Before finding the root cause, the company
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had to give Codex very specific instructions
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not to talk about the mythological creatures as a result. But if you'd prefer to have your
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AI code with some goblin sprinkled in, OpenAI has shared a way to reverse its instructions, end quote. Finally today, Today in the big trial, quoting the journal Elon Musk said he
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was a, quote, fool to back OpenAI
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when it was a nonprofit and clashed with an attorney for Sam Altman as he testified in a court battle that has pitted titans of the AI industry against each other.
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I was a fool who provided them free funding to create a start, musk
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said on the witness stand Wednesday.
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I gave them $38 million of essentially free funding to create what would become
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an $800 billion company.
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William Savitt, attorney for Altman and OpenAI,
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opened the cross examination Wednesday by correcting Musk when he testified earlier in the day that Tesla wasn't pursuing artificial general intelligence. A tweet written by Musk in March, flashed on the screen.
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Tesla will be one of the companies to make AGI and probably the first
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to make it in humanoidatom shaping form.
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Musk's plans for Tesla are relevant in the case because at one point Musk suggested to OpenAI founders that the AI lab could be folded into Tesla, according
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to email correspondence submitted as evidence in the federal trial in Oakland, California.
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Early into the cross examination, Musk expressed
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frustration at Sabit's questions about potential tax breaks he might have received as a result of his donations to OpenAI and his role in helping start the company. Your questions are not simple, he said. They're designed to trick me. Essentially, Savit sought to highlight Musk's initial
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commitment to donate 1 billion doll to OpenAI.
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Did you contribute anywhere near to $1
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billion to the organization? Savitt asks.
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I contributed my reputation, said Musk. These things all have value. Altman and Brockman appeared in court Wednesday,
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with each taking notes during Musk's testimony.
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At times, Brockman showed his notes to
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Altman while Altman nodded.
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Musk started the day by reiterating his
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issues with OpenAI's for profit conversion to
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his lead attorney, Steven Molo.
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What you can't do is have your cake and eat it too, he said, adding that OpenAI couldn't have the moral
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high ground associated with nonprof organizations when its real motivation as a company was, quote, profit maximization.
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Molo asked Musk Whether Xai, the AI company he launched in 2023, is a competitor to OpenAI. It is at this point technically competitive,
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but much smaller than OpenAI, Musk said. End quote.
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Quick interesting raise the serverless inference platform
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Featherless AI raised a $20 million Series
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A co led by AMD Ventures and Airbus Ventures.
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The startup supports over 30,000 open models. And guess what? The Riot Home Fund was an investor at the seed or was it pre seed stage? Anyway, early investor reminder. If you want to get your money early into startups like Featherless AI, invest alongside me by checking out ridehomefund.com or email me at brian ridehomefund.com and I'll tell you more. Talk to you tomorrow.
This episode delivers a granular breakdown of a blockbuster day in tech earnings, focusing on how massive capital expenditures (CapEx) in AI infrastructure are reshaping the financial narratives—and stock market reactions—of Big Tech. Host Brian McCullough and his co-host analyze the divergent fates of Meta, Alphabet (Google), Microsoft, and Amazon, while also covering significant developments around SoftBank’s new AI-robotics IPO, funding maneuvers at Anthropic, quirky OpenAI AI behavior, and court drama involving Elon Musk.
Timestamps: [00:34] – [07:42]
"Investors continue to be concerned about how Zuckerberg's once capital-light money machine may be morphing into a capital-intensive incinerator." – Dec Mullarki, SLC Management [06:34]
"Google Cloud's backlog nearly doubled sequentially to $462 billion, thanks to AI demand and TPU hardware sales, showing off Alphabet's vertical integration advantage." – Brian McCullough [03:33]
"Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon's combined capex hit a record $130 billion just in Q1, putting the four on track to reach $725 billion in capex spending for the whole of 2026, up 77% from $410 billion last year." – Brian McCullough [05:14]
Timestamps: [08:03] – [10:43]
"The risks are rising for Son, who has staked his reputation on his ability to make SoftBank central to AI, a technology he believes is ushering in a new industrial revolution that will elevate humanity to its next phase." – [09:50]
Timestamps: [11:15] – [13:00]
"One institutional investor prepared to commit as much as $5 billion has yet to secure a meeting with Anthropic CFO Krishna Rao, according to a source." – [12:20]
Timestamps: [13:00] – [14:25]
"If you’d prefer to have your AI code with some goblin sprinkled in, OpenAI has shared a way to reverse its instructions." – Co-Host/Analyst [14:25]
Timestamps: [14:42] – [16:38]
Timestamps: [16:50] – [17:16]
Meta Critique:
"Zuckerberg's once capital-light money machine may be morphing into a capital-intensive incinerator." – Dec Mullarki [06:34]
Alphabet Appreciation:
"Investors cheered Google as it showed signs of strong AI driven growth and earnings after facing criticism for allowing OpenAI and Anthropic to more quickly commercialize a that its DeepMind lab incubated." – Co-Host/Analyst [06:43]
The AI Economy is...
"The AI economy is healthy." – Brent Thrill [05:50]
On Investor Confidence:
"The bear thesis is garbage." – Co-Host/Analyst [06:00]
Musk’s Regret:
"I was a fool who provided them free funding to create a start... I contributed my reputation. These things all have value." – Elon Musk [14:54, 15:58]
For listeners, this episode delivers a full-throttle, jargon-light ride through a pivotal day in tech—and a forecast for where AI-fueled spending and competition are pushing the industry next.