
OpenClaw’s creator is joining OpenAI, but the OpenClaw project lives on. The AI-caused memory shortage might delay the next Playstation. Is the Pentagon about to cut ties with Anthropic? And Vitalik Buterin is growing concerned with the prediction markets.
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Welcome to the Techbrew write home for Monday, February 16, 2026 I'm Brian McCullough. Today OpenClaw's creator is joining OpenAI, but the OpenClaw project lives on. The AI caused memory shortage might delay the next PlayStation. Is the Pentagon about to cut ties with Anthropic and Vitalik? Buterin is growing concerned with the prediction markets. Here's what you missed today in the world of tech Foreign. Peter Steinberger, the creator of Openclaw, is joining OpenAI to drive the next generation of personal agents. Openclaw itself will remain open source. Quoting the Verge, Sam Altman announced on X that Peter Steinberger, the man behind the trendy AI agent Openclaw, was joining OpenAI. He said that Steinberger has, quote, a lot of amazing ideas about getting AI agents to interact with each other, saying the future is going to be extremely multi agent. He also said that this ability for agents to work together will quickly become core to our product offerings. OpenClaw, previously known as Multbot and Claudebot, exploded on the scene earlier this year and became the darling of the tech world. Its rise was swift, but not without its bumps along the way. Earlier this month, researchers found over 400 malicious skills uploaded to Clawhub. It also launched Multbook, a social network where AI agents went to complain about their humans, debate the provability of consciousness, and discuss the need for a private place to exchange ideas. And then it was immediately infiltrated by humans. In a post on his personal site, Steinberger said that joining OpenAI would allow him to achieve his goal of bringing AI agents to the masses without the headaches of running a company. He explained, quote I could totally see how OpenClaw could become a huge company. And no, it's not really exciting for me. I'm a builder at heart. I did the whole creating a company game, already pouring 13 years of my life into it, and learned a lot. What I want is to change the world, not build a large company. And teaming up with OpenAI is the fastest way to bring this to everyone. End quote. And this is for from implicator AI quote Mark Zuckerberg needed 10 minutes. He was finishing code. Peter Steinberger had called Zuckerberg on WhatsApp without scheduling anything. I don't like calendar entries, he told Lex Friedman last week. Let's just call now. Zuckerberg asked for a brief pause, then picked up. The first 10 minutes devolved into an argument about whether Claude Code or Codex was the better programming tool. The CEO of a trillion dollar company squabbling with a solo developer from Vienna over IDE preferences. That was two weeks ago. Zuckerberg ran OpenCloud on his own machine afterward, gave feedback that was blunt and specific, calling features great or shit in real time, used it until it broke, and then sent notes on what to fix. Steinberger called it the biggest compliment because it shows they actually care about it. Steinberger has been losing money on OpenClaw since November, 10,000 to $20,000 a month by his own count. He routes sponsorship revenue to the developers who maintain his dependencies rather than keeping it. The project hit 196,000 GitHub stars and pulled 2 million visitors in a single week, while its creator subsidized everything from saving. He doesn't need the money. He spent 13 years building PSPDFKit into a PDF tool company worth over $100 million before selling it to Insight Partners. Three years of what he described as soul searching followed therapy. Ayahuasca, 43 failed projects. Then Openclaw caught fire. His negotiating edge came from something no check could replicate. Both Meta and OpenAI made concrete offers reportedly valued in the billions. VCs lined up. Steinberger told Friedman he didn't care. I don't give an F were his exact words. When you've sold a company and your next project goes viral by accident, the dynamics flip completely. He wasn't selling. They were auditioning. Steinberger told a Y Combinator podcast this month that AGI is the wrong goal. What can one human actually achieve? Do you think one human being could make an iPhone? Or one human being could go to space? He said. As a group, we specialize. As a larger society, we specialize even more. His vision runs on specialized agents collaborating, not one God model that handles everything. OpenAI's entire corporate identity rests on achieving artificial general intelligence. The name says it. So does the $500 billion valuation. Steinberger just joined a company whose state admission he publicly rejects. Ignore the ideology for a second. The logistics explain everything. Steinberger does not want to run a company. 13 years of it was enough. He wants to build agents everyone can use. That means compute APIs and 300 million people already opening ChatGPT every week. This is pragmatism. Dressed as alignment, Meta offered something different, more personal. In fact, Zuckerberg's hands on engagement impressed Steinberger. Steinberger recounted it on Fried show, acting out the reactions. Mark basically, oh this is great. Oh this is shit. Oh it needs to change this. He noted the contrast with OpenAI. I didn't get the same on the OpenAI side. He chose OpenAI anyway. Zuckerberg codes gives real feedback and clearly cares. None of that ships a product to hundreds of millions of users. For a builder who wants reach without management overhead, that settled it. Steinberger drew the comparison himself. Openclaw would follow the Chrome and Chromium model. A foundation to hold the open source project, a corporate partner to build the commercial version. I think this is too important to just give to a company and make it theirs, he told Friedman. He's describing a pattern with a known ending. Google open source Chromium Chrome is what everyone downloads. Android AOSP is open. Google's Android with play services runs the planet. MySQL went to Oracle. The community forked it into MariaDB. MariaDB survives. MySQL still owns the market. Every foundation arrangement in tech follows the same gravitational pull. The corporate version gets full time engineers, marketing, distribution and the daily attention of the person who created the project. The open source twin gets volunteers and good intentions. Gravity always wins. End quote. AI sources tell Bloomberg that Sony is considering pushing back the debut of its next generation PlayStation console to 2028 or even 20 because of the AI boom fueling huge memory chip shortages. Sony is now considering pushing back the debut of its next PlayStation console to 2028 or even 2029, according to people familiar with the company's thinking. That would be a major upset to a carefully orchestrated strategy to sustain user engagement between hardware generations. Close rival Nintendo, which contributed to the surplus demand in 2025 after its new Switch 2 console drove storage card purchases, is also contemplating raising the price of that device in 2026, people familiar with its plan said. Sony and Nintendo representatives didn't respond to requests for comment. Since the start of 2026, Tesla, Apple and a dozen other major corporations have signaled that the shortage of dram, or dynamic random access memory, the fundamental building block of almost all technology, will constrain production. Tim Cook warned it will compress iPhone margins. Micron Technology called the bottleneck unprecedented. Elon Musk got to the nature of the problem when he declared, tesla is going to have to build its own memory fabrication plant. We've got two hit the chip wall or make a fab, he said in late January. The resulting price spikes are starting to look a bit like the Weimar Republic's hyperinflation. The cost of one type of dram soared 75% from December to January, accelerating price hikes throughout the holiday quarter. A growing number of retailers and middlemen are changing their prices every day. Ramageddon is the term some use to describe what's coming. We stand at the cusp of something that is bigger than anything we faced before, tim Archer, chief executive officer of chip equipment supplier Lam Research, said at a conference in South Korea this month. What is ahead of us between now and the end of this decade in terms of demand is bigger than anything we've seen in the past and in fact will overwhelm all other sources of demand. What's worrying about the trend is that prices are soaring and supplies are running dry even before the AI giants really get going with their data center construction plans, Alphabet and Amazon just announced plans for a construction blitz this year that could reach $185 to $200 billion, respectively. More money than any company in history has poured into capital expenditures in a single year. Mark Lee, a Bernstein analyst who tracks the semiconductor industry, warns that memory chip prices are going parabolic. While that will bring lavish profits to Samsung, Micron and SK Hynix, the rest of the electronics sector will pay a painful price in the months ahead. Right now we're in the middle of a storm that we are dealing with hour by hour and day by day, steiner Sans Toby, CEO of Norwegian IT firm ETA Asa, told analysts in February. It's actually wiser to hold off doing business today, as prices are almost certain to be higher tomorrow, said Su Yong Hwan, who runs three DIY PC shops in Seoul and frequently does business with stalls at Sunan Plaza. Unless Steve Jobs rises from the dead to declare that AI is nothing but a bubble, this trend is likely to persist for some time, he said.
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Pulley helps you issue, track and manage equity, stay compliant with up to date 409A valuations, complete stock based compensation reporting and more. All without the expensive legal fees or endless manual work. Learn more and get started at pulley.com brew that's pulley.com/brew ByteDance says it respects IP rights and we have heard the concerns regarding Seed Dance and it plans to strengthen safeguards around intellectual property and copyright. This comes after Disney and others made legal threats against ByteDance. Quoting the BBC On Friday, Disney sent a cease and desist letter to ByteDance accusing it of supplying Seed Dance with a pirated library of the studio's copyrighted characters, including those from Marvel and Star Wars. Disney's lawyers accused Byte Dance of committing a virtual smash and grab of their intellectual property, including superheroes from Marvel, Star wars and various cartoons. On Monday, ByteDance told the BBC that the company respects intellectual property rights and we have heard the concerns regarding seed dance 2.0. We are taking steps to strengthen current safeguards as we work to prevent the unauthorized use of intellectual property and likenesses by users. ByteDance did not respond to questions asking for details on the safeguards it plans to implement. Like other generative AI tools, Seed Dance can create videos based on short text prompts. Many of Seed Dance's clips are based on real actors and shows, and some have gone viral since the launch of its latest 2.0 version on February 12. The BBC has found clips online said to have been generated by seedance, showing Star wars characters Anakin Skywalker and Rey battling with their lightsabers and Spider man fighting Captain America on the streets of New York. The company has not disclosed what data it used to train Sea Dance. Bytedance had previously said the product had already paused the ability for users to upload images of real people. The company also said it respects intellectual property rights and copyright protections, and it takes any potential infringement seriously. Disney last year struck a $1 billion deal with the maker of ChatGPT and video generation tool Sora OpenAI, giving the platforms access to 200 characters from its franchises, including Pixar, Marvel and Star Wars. End quote. Various Trump administration officials were saying over the weekend that the Pentagon may sever its ties with Anthropic over Anthropic's AI safeguards. Anthropic says only mass surveillance and fully autonomous weapons are off limits for its partners to use. Quoting Axios, the senior administration official argued there is considerable gray area around what would and wouldn't fall into those categories, and that it's unworkable for the Pentagon to have to negotiate individual use cases with Anthropocene or have Claude unexpectedly block certain applications. Everything's on the table, including dialing back the partnership with Anthropic or severing it entirely, the official said. But there will have to be an orderly replacement for them if we think that's the right answer. An Anthropic spokesperson said the company remained committed to using Frontier AI in support of US national security. The Pentagon is pushing forward leading AI labs to let the military use their tools for all lawful purposes, even in the most sensitive areas of weapons development, intelligence collection and battlefield operations. Anthropic has not agreed to those terms, and the Pentagon is getting fed up after months of difficult negotiations. The tensions came to a head recently over the military's use of Claude in the operation to capture Venezuela's Nicolas Maduro through Anthropic's partnership with AI software firm Palantir. According to the senior official, an executive at Anthropic reached out to an executive at Palantir to ask whether Claude had been used in the raid. It was raised in such a way to imply that they might disapprove of their software being used because obviously there was kinetic fire during that raid. People were shot, the official said. Beyond the Maduro incident, the official described a broader culture clash with what the person claimed was the most ideological of the AI labs when it came to the potential dangers of the technology. But the official conceded that it would be difficult for the military to quickly replace Claude because the other model companies are just behind when it comes to specialized government applications. Anthropic signed a contract valued at up to $200 million with the Pentagon last summer. Claude was also the first model the Pentagon brought into its classified networks. Finally Today, Vitalik Buterin, who it should be noted is an investor in Polymarket, says he's starting to worry that prediction markets quote seem to be over converging to an unhealthy product market fit. Quoting Crypto News writing on X, Buterin called the trend corpo slop and argued platforms feel pressured to embrace dopamine driven content that lacks long term societal value. Buterin proposed redirecting prediction markets toward hedging use cases, including a system where personalized prediction market baskets replace fiat currency entirely. We do not need fiat currency at all. People can hold stocks, eth or whatever else to grow wealth and personalize prediction market shares when they want stability, he wrote. Buterin identified three types of actors willing to lose money in prediction naive traders with incorrect opinions, info buyers running automated market makers to learn information, and hedgers using markets as insurance to reduce risks. The industry currently depends on naive traders and creates what Buterin called a fundamentally cursed dynamic. It gives the platform the incentive to seek out traders with dumb opinions and create a public brand and community that encourages dumb opinions to get more people to come in. This is the slide to corposlop, he wrote. Buterin questioned whether an ideal stablecoin based on decentralized global price indices is the right solution. What if the real solution is to go a step further and get rid of the concept of currency altogether? He asked. The proposed system creates price indices for all major categories categories of goods and services, treating physical items in different regions as separate categories. Each user maintains a local large language model, understanding their expenses, offering personalized baskets of prediction market shares representing future spending needs. Users could hold stocks, eth or other assets for wealth growth while holding personalized prediction market shares for stability. The system removes fiat currency dependence while allowing customization for individual expense patterns. Implementation would need prediction markets denominated and assets people want to hold interest bearing fiat wrapped stocks or eth non interest bearing fiat carries opportunity costs that overwhelm hedging value. Both sides of the equation are likely to be long term happy with the product that they are buying, and very large volumes of sophisticated capital will be willing to participate, Buterin concluded. End quote. You know that thing online that people have been talking about about how you blow days of your life life setting up AI bots to do things that really don't really amount to much in the end, but you spend all your time trying to get them to do whatever you're trying to do and so the effort is basically the whole game and then you're not actually gaining any time because you're spending all your time managing the bots. Well, this weekend that was me. My wife and I went to see the Stranger Things play on Broadway. They were filming it for a Netflix special, and the whole time I'm sitting in the audience just waiting to get back home to make sure my bots didn't break. Talk to you tomorrow.
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Episode: OpenAI Grabs OpenClaw’s Creator
Date: February 16, 2026
Host: Brian McCullough
This episode covers a major personnel move in the AI world: Peter Steinberger, creator of the popular OpenClaw AI agent, is joining OpenAI to help build the next generation of personal AI agents—but OpenClaw will remain open source. The show also explores the impact of AI-driven memory shortages on console launches (notably Sony’s PlayStation), legal drama between Disney and ByteDance over AI-generated content, tensions between the Pentagon and Anthropic over military uses of AI, and Vitalik Buterin's warnings on the evolution of prediction markets.
[00:34–09:51]
Announcement:
Peter Steinberger, the developer behind OpenClaw (formerly Multbot/Claudebot), will join OpenAI. OpenClaw itself will continue as an open-source project.
Sam Altman’s View:
Quoting Altman:
"[Steinberger has] a lot of amazing ideas about getting AI agents to interact with each other, saying the future is going to be extremely multi agent. He also said that this ability for agents to work together will quickly become core to our product offerings." ([00:48])
OpenClaw’s Rapid Rise:
Steinberger’s Motivation & Style:
The Seller’s Market:
Meta vs. OpenAI Negotiations:
Open Source & Commercial Split—The Chromium/Chrome Model:
[09:51–10:23]
Console Delays:
Sony may postpone the new PlayStation launch to 2028 or 2029 due to AI-related DRAM shortages; even Nintendo considers raising prices.
Industry Impact:
Analyst View:
Entertaining Analogy:
"Unless Steve Jobs rises from the dead to declare that AI is nothing but a bubble, this trend is likely to persist for some time." — Seoul PC shop owner ([14:40])
[10:23–approx. 12:30]
Legal Clash:
Disney sent a cease and desist to ByteDance, accusing it of “a virtual smash and grab” of IP (Marvel, Star Wars, etc.) for its video-generating AI, Sea Dance 2.0.
ByteDance Response:
Comparison:
[approx. 12:30–14:00]
Contract Tensions:
The Pentagon may end or scale back its $200M partnership with Anthropic, who refuse to remove all use-case restrictions for military AI applications (especially mass surveillance, autonomous weapons).
Culture Clash:
Pentagon’s Frustration:
“Everything’s on the table, including dialing back the partnership with Anthropic or severing it entirely.” — Senior Administration Official ([13:10])
[approx. 14:00–16:15]
Buterin’s Critique:
Quote:
"It gives the platform the incentive to seek out traders with dumb opinions and create a public brand and community that encourages dumb opinions to get more people to come in. This is the slide to corposlop." — Vitalik Buterin ([15:18])
Buterin’s Vision:
[16:15–End]
“That thing online… where you blow days of your life setting up AI bots to do things that really don't really amount to much… that was me. … The effort is basically the whole game and then you're not actually gaining any time because you're spending all your time managing the bots.” ([16:53])
Sam Altman on Steinberger:
"The future is going to be extremely multi agent… this ability for agents to work together will quickly become core to our product offerings." ([00:48])
Peter Steinberger on Motivation:
"What I want is to change the world, not build a large company." ([02:44])
On Meta’s Approach:
“Zuckerberg codes, gives real feedback and clearly cares. None of that ships a product to hundreds of millions of users.” ([06:12])
Open Source vs. Corporate Gravity:
"Gravity always wins." ([08:27])
On DRAM Shortages:
"The resulting price spikes are starting to look a bit like the Weimar Republic's hyperinflation." ([12:31])
Vitalik Buterin on Prediction Markets:
"This is the slide to corposlop." ([15:18])
This concise, information-rich episode provides listeners with essential updates from multiple major fronts in tech: the battle over AI talent and vision, hardware supply chain crunches, AI’s impact on copyright and governance, and evolving thoughts on decentralization and markets. With its blend of analysis, industry gossip, and memorable anecdotes, the show captures the fast-moving, high-stakes world of 2026 tech.