
Data that tracks what users and customers do is behavioral data. But behavioral science is much more about why humans do things and what sorts of techniques can be employed to nudge them to do something specific. On this episode, behavioral scientist ...
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Tim Wilson
Welcome to the Analytics Power Hour. Analytics topics covered conversationally and sometimes with explicit language. Hi everyone. Welcome to the Analytics Power Hour. This is episode number 271. I'm Tim Wilson from Facts and Feelings, and you're listening to me because you made a decision to smash that play button again. Your podcast app. Why did you do that? You could have scrolled through Instagram, checked Bluesky, popped into your favorite media site and checked the latest news. Or perished the thought, put your phone down and gone outside. Maybe even touched some grass. Really, though, I'm glad you're here. I'm pretty sure you're not listening. Because we ran a perfectly targeted Google Ad, or because we built a predictive model that told us exactly what content to create and when to publish it. That, as a result, enabled us to manipulatively induce you to listen. Nope. You're a human, and humans make decisions for lots of reasons. At best, we might have nudged you a little bit. Which brings me to a trivia question for one of my co hosts for this episode, Mo Kiss. How are things going at Canva?
Mo Kiss
Pretty great.
Tim Wilson
Awesome. So, on that topic of nudging, can you name anyone who won a Nobel Prize for their work on that very subject?
Mo Kiss
Well, it's possible. It might have to do with one of my favorite books about nudging, and one of the authors was Richard Thaler.
Tim Wilson
Ding, ding, ding. You are correct. That's right. And he is not our guest today, but Val Kroll, my colleague at Facts and Feelings. Can you name the psychologist that Richard Thaler met at Stanford in 1977 and went on to collaborate with quite a bit? Well tip. He personally responded to an email from Mo several years before he passed away.
Val Kroll
Ooh, that would be Daniel Kahneman.
Tim Wilson
That is correct. The greatest guest we never quite got. So Thaler Kahneman and Amos Tversky and others blazed some real trails when it came to behavioral science. And that's the topic of today's show. Luckily, I'm going to use that word again. We were able to nudge our guest to agree to hop on the mic. This may be the first time where the nature of the episode itself will allow us to ask her to dissect why she made that choice. Lindsey Juarez is a behavioral scientist and a director at Irrational Labs, which is a behavioral product design company founded by Kristen Berman and dan Ariely in 2013. Lindsey uses behavioral insights to design and test interventions in the financial and health domains. Before she joined Irrational Lab, she was a senior behavioral researcher at the center for Advanced Hindsight Research. Love that name At Duke University. Prior to that she worked for the Federal Government Accountability Office and at NYU on a series of multi site school interventions to reduce the racial academic achievement gap. She has a BA in Psychology from Reed College and an MA and a PhD in Social Psychology from the University of Virginia. And today she is our guest. Welcome to the show, Lindsey.
Lindsey Juarez
Thank you for having me. I let myself be nudged. I was very excited to be.
Tim Wilson
By nudging. I think Val and I were twisting her arm at Experimentation island and she was like, okay, I'll be there. So maybe a good place to start is to actually define what behavioral science is like in layperson's terms. Can you maybe take a swing at that? Lindsay?
Lindsey Juarez
Yes. So I would say behavioral science is using insights from psychology, from behavioral economics, from neuroscience and some other social sciences to understand and then predict, maybe even change human behavior. And so if you think about the way you take actions or you make decisions, there are times when, when you are just systematically not doing what you want to do or maybe you don't do what you want to do. And it can be systematic. And so using an understanding of behavioral science, you can say, oh, let's anticipate the problems that you're going to have in exercising every day or eating healthy and then what can you do to ideally change it around so help you achieve your goals?
Mo Kiss
And this is like hands down one of my favorite topics. I feel like people have often heard of behavioral science but maybe don't have like a super clear understanding. But there always seems to be like a couple of examples in the industry that people are like, oh, that study, what is your favorite like that study?
Lindsey Juarez
Good question. It's probably a while ago. I mean Google is always doing a lot of behavioral science, but they were doing it in house and looking at healthy snacks because famously, right, they have snacks everywhere and they don't want people to get too, too indulgent. And they were basically looking at how can we ensure that snacks or that coffee breaks don't have too many treats coming with them. And they have basically a corner kitchen and people who happened to have an office on the left side versus the right side would come in and the coffee station was closer, farther to their snack bar. It was like an L shaped kitchen. And basically what they find is when people have the misfortune to have an office on the side, that then is like the coffee and the snack station are, I think it's 12ft apart versus 21ft. I might be getting my math wrong, but basically it if you are just steps closer to the treats more of your coffee breaks involve. I'll take a muffin too. Right. And so it's just proximity, it's ease, it's temptation being readily available, but it matters to the decisions you're making.
Tim Wilson
Like, can you also. I mean, I think the other, like, study. You use this one. And study is definitely using it in the loosest terms possible. But can you talk about Jerry Seinfeld and Jerry versus talk about somebody presenting and then callbacks for the. It was a short conference and there were multiple callbacks to it, and I've now used it multiple times. So maybe that's another. Can you share that one?
Val Kroll
That's good. Can you do Jerry Seinfeld's big.
Lindsey Juarez
Exactly. I. I cannot believe you'd put me on the spot like this. So he's been workshopping this joke, I think, for 20 years, because you can see it in different clips and you, like, watch his hair change. But. So he does this perfectly. But the premise is there's Morning Guy and Night Guy. And Morning Guy is responsible, making thoughtful decisions about the day, evaluating choices. And Night Guy, what he says, I gotta try and do it justice. He's like, party Reichsan for Night Guy. And so Night Guy is impulsive and doing what feels good and staying up too late and spending too much money. And it's this tension between sort of my best future self and the here and now and how wildly more compelling it is to do something that feels good now than to abstain and think about your future.
Mo Kiss
Oh, my God. I'm Night Guy.
Val Kroll
Permanent Night Guy. You never.
Mo Kiss
Know.
Lindsey Juarez
Often.
Tim Wilson
But I mean, but that, to me, that's actually. I mean, I. I'm sure. I'm not sure. I think part of that resonated because it talks about that in a human that at any given point in time and what the stimulus is and what the intervention is and what the. That. That we're not like one human being. We're different ones based on the immediacy, which if we flip it to kind of maybe the world of analytics, where we're just looking at maybe behavioral data, like how do you think about. And the work that you do, just having hard data on what somebody did kind of blended with behavioral science as to what their motivations are and even recognizing that their motivations may. Their motivations are different, their decisions are going to be different based on where they are, when they are, how hungry they are. Like all of those other factors. Is that a fair question or did I just walk all the way in.
Lindsey Juarez
A big circle was the question, how do I think about human behavior?
Tim Wilson
Or, well, I guess how do you think of different factors, human behavior, and how that fits in with kind of behavioral analytics, I guess, or just data that just tracks people versus what the psychology side of behavior and decisions are.
Lindsey Juarez
I think data that tracks behavior is often better than asking someone what they think or what they want because you are particularly prone as a human to tell stories around your choices and your decisions. And you, you can tell and explain things that you notice, but certainly there are tons of things acting on your environment that you may not notice. Right? Proximity. Proximity is the biggest, most obvious influence. And we just don't think, oh, I got, I got a donut because it was right there. You think, well, I was hungry, I didn't have breakfast, I've been working out a lot. And all of those start to feed into the story you tell. And so if you are a researcher doing user interviews, then you're very likely to hear something that people say is a reason for their behavior, might be one of a factor in their behavior, but is not going to be the one and only thing that matters. And so I think it's very important to think about what inputs am I getting as I think about research? Have I just asked people what they feel or what they think they did? And then even having data, sometimes you're still getting this moment and it's abstracted from everything else that was going on in their life, other pressures, the time constraints, are they distracted about something else? Are they worried about finances? Does that lead to a different choice? It's just how, how do you figure out as much as you can about the situation and the context?
Val Kroll
So I have to say, so I started my career in market research and we would ask a lot of times, especially in the CPG world, you know, how likely are you to purchase this again over the next three months, whether it was, you know, vodka or yogurt or a pair of jeans. And so I was asking people for the future. And when we were reporting this up to like marketing organizations, they were thinking about that in terms of as an input to their media planning and what the take rate would be. And so it was like, seen as this, like very tried and true thing without the context of is your competitor going to be on sale at the moment that I go to the grocery store or is that, you know, kids yogurt gonna do a collab with Frozen and I shop with my kid and now we're definitely not buying your brand anymore, right? And so I always craved, but like, but what actually happened? And so I felt like when I made the shift into digital analytics, I'm like, oh, now I'll know. Now I'll be able to see like, what people are doing, the choices they're making. I'll have, you know, this BI data at my disposal. But then I found myself just craving the other side of the same coin. Like, I didn't know what, why they made some of those choices or like, what was the context? Like you were just mentioning Lindsay. And so it feels like the, your, your answer is interesting about like that being able to see like what they actually did and abstracting that from like the other context. It just always feels like no matter which one I have, I'm always craving the context of the other side of that coin. So what are some of the ways. I guess the question in that is, like, what are some of the ways that you could think about pairing those different types of data or analysis together to give you a fuller picture or to help support better decision making?
Lindsey Juarez
I think you're right that ultimately you have to use them all or there's a time and place for every single one. I came up from a social psychology background and grad school. Our department had a particularly strong quant area. So I think for a long time I was a little bit of a hater around quality search. I was like, people couldn't tell you anything. And now it's older, wiser, more knowledgeable. We do a mix of all different methods, right? You run a survey, you try to just track clicks on a website, something more objective. You do interviews. I think it's, it's nice to use the initial click data to say, oh, here's where something is happening, whatever that might be. And then you can use interviews if you have them. But I think it's, it's interesting to come up with a hypothesis before you talk to a customer because then you can present them with hypotheses. You could put an idea in front and get that reaction rather than just saying, so tell me, are you going to buy my product next week? Do you like me?
Val Kroll
Yeah. Especially with the bias of like wanting to please the interviewer in some of those qual studies. But even like that question, if it, you know, back in the day when like online surveys weren't, you know, such a difficult tool to be leveraging, I'll leave that there. That, that would be something that you would track like every quarter, month over month, or with each new product release or new concepts that you were buying. And so it was always looking at the, the likelihood to purchase trend over time. I always thought that that was such a hard thing to pin down. Especially again, like, how much advertising are you doing? Like, there's so many, you know, factors in that. But I guess conversely, the one thing that you also just called out about the hypotheses that you have from the data before you talk to your customer, I noticed so many times, and I'll. I'll see myself falling into this trap that I'll look at descriptive statistics about something that has happened and I'll think like, oh, here's why this happened. Like, oh, it's because that wasn't above the fold, you know, that month. It's because they didn't see it. When in reality, even if they did see it, even if it was a popover message that locked them into the website, like, if it wasn't a good offer, then maybe that was the reason. And so I think that there's this sometimes intensity, even with business partners to pull out, like the jump to conclusions, Matt, about, like, why something happened versus being curious or even framing it as a hypothesis in the first place. Like, it could be the placement, it could be the offer, it could be, you know, some other context of where they arrive from. But I find it's really hard to get people to always think about that idea of, like, why that happened. That's actually just a hypothesis. Like, and it's framing that way, I find is a healthier approach. But do you notice that it's hard to get people to think in that way? Or with your clients, they're like, oh, no, they've got that in the bag. It's their strong suit because I've been working with them.
Lindsey Juarez
Ooh, put them on blast. No, I think people, because behavioral science is still. And like, behavioral consulting is kind of niche, I think clients have bought into the premise a little bit. And so they are open to the idea that we'll suggest you run tests and what does the data say? And people may not have told you exactly what they've been doing, but we're still a consulting agency. And so people will say, say, please help us redo this landing page. And we'll come in and we'll look at the landing page. And then what is it that someone is being asked to do? What does the user have to do upon clicking sign up? And we're like, I don't know if it's the landing page. I think it's this entire flow that is so difficult and Then there is this tension. They're like, no, it has to be this problem. Maybe it's a system, maybe there's more.
Tim Wilson
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Mo Kiss
We'Ve been talking a little bit about, you know, using the data analytics that we have and behavioral data. We've talked a little bit about surveys and research and we've talked about behavioral science. I sometimes like, don't really fully understand where like one thing starts and ends and the other one begins. And particularly I suppose when it comes to more like the research and behavioral science side, it does feel like there is this level of rigor in behavioral science that is much higher and it's much more about the why. But can you help me nut this out just to make sure I'm getting it right?
Lindsey Juarez
I guess behavioral science historically, especially if you look at Richard Thaler and Kahneman and Tversky, have really come up through experimental context. And so I think that's where the real focus on rigor and let's run a study and let's run a rct, let's run an AB test so then we can feel more confident in the conclusions we draw. It's sort of built into, okay, it came up through a soft science, but still a science. And this focus on experimentation. And then I think also because so much of the content and the findings itself are people think they're doing one thing and then it turns out it's something else that, that also really invites. Okay, we have to, we have to feel more confident in these conclusions. We need hard data, we need to test to untangle these elements.
Mo Kiss
I think the thing that I, I feel like I'M up against like I'm not going to lie. One of my favorite books is Work Rules. Like I love all the Google experiments. They are just like the funnest thing ever and I swear in another life that would be my job. But it sometimes does feel like the outward looking as in like trying to understand our customers always takes priority over like using experimentation to understand our own employees. Is that something that you feel like play out in the consulting you do? Is there like a preference of like where we where we most want to use behavioral science?
Lindsey Juarez
Good question. We mostly are targeting customers. There have been a handful of projects looking at especially employee well being and happiness, productivity and engagement. I think as AI continues to develop that's a piece where thinking about behavioral science is really interesting. And so if I can use AI tools to summarize emails more quickly or put together report that's great. But there is a real recalcitrance to adopt it. I think people are worried about will it take my job? Does it do it well? Is it destroying the rainforest? How do all of these pieces come together? And so like with anything, how do you get someone to adopt a new behavior is partly a behavioral science challenge. And so I think that's sort of the next wave perhaps in behavioral science consulting, especially internally.
Mo Kiss
Oh, I've just had this huge light bulb. I feel like I've been thinking so much more, especially with AI usage, how do you understand productivity gains? But it sounds like the much more interesting question is like how do you understand adoption and particularly reluctance to adoption.
Tim Wilson
Or it should be both. I guess coming from like psychology, social psychology, behavioral science. It feels like there are, I hate to say frameworks but I'm going to say frameworks but like perspectives where you break down a problem. Like take how do we get people to get past this page or take this action and there's kind of a, a marketer or a UX or a designer feels like the ideas can be kind of crude like oh we're just going to throw a pop up banner in front of them that they have to click out on which is kind of based on loose human intuition or it's based on what they've seen done in the past and these things, let's make it blink, let's make it flash. My this is where I put like behavioral science up on a pedestal. Feels like there's a level down of it may still result in saying let's put a pop up up there but it's kind of grounded on let's try this thing because It's a proximity thing, or it's lowering a barrier or it's offering a benefit. So like when you. When you're presented with a challenge, or even the example you said earlier where it sounded like, you know, if a client really wants to do this thing, so they're trying to define the problem as being that thing that they already know how to fix. And then it sort of sounds like you may come in and say, well, that's. If I take a more thoughtful process and look at it through lenses of trying to influence behavior, it's gonna point me to somewhere else. Like, do you have sort of. Is that how you're working with kind of mental models of. I need to think about. You talked about at experimentation ion, like the 3B framework. Is there. Are there things like that and others that you say, I'm just gonna assess it first through a few different lenses and see what it bubbles up? Or am I. Am I completely botching how that sort of work occurs?
Lindsey Juarez
No, I. So the three Bs that you allude to are sort of the way we approach a problem and the diagnosis. And it's. What is the key behavior that you're trying to drive? What exactly do you want the user to do? At what time do they need to repeat it? Is it just like getting. We call it uncomfortably specific? Specific, Very, very precise on your key behavior. That then makes it much easier to understand what's keeping them from it. What are the barriers? That's the second B. And then how can you increase motivation, increase the benefits, the perception of benefits that someone will get? CERT B. And so for me, I think the. The hardest piece is that first one, the behavior. Is it I want people to click on the landing page. Is it that? Well, actually, I want them to click on the landing page because I really want them to link their bank account. And so understanding what it is that really, really you want the user to do, what do they want to do? What are their goals to accomplish? I think that is sometimes very, very painful. And the behavior that you need to fix is not necessarily the one that is the easiest to address. But I think that that's where it gets interesting. That's where it's hard. That's where it's fun.
Tim Wilson
Interesting. Got it.
Lindsey Juarez
Is that a satisfying answer?
Tim Wilson
That's. Yeah.
Mo Kiss
Do you find that some. There was a little comment you mentioned before about, like, companies being bought in. Do you feel like companies, like, have to get to a certain stage of maturity in terms of, like, it sounds like there's a really strong emphasis on experimentation. So that needs to be like, you know, kind of the backbone already that people have a strong understanding and willingness to do experimentation. But I suppose that, like, I'm just thinking of, like, people that I might work with who would be like, oh, but we would just do an experiment. Like, we would make the change and then just do an experiment. And like, do you. Do you feel like some companies are resistant to engaging with behavioral science and that the ones that you do engage with, like, they just get it and they're like, kind of more mature in their thinking here?
Lindsey Juarez
I think people are at all different stages. Sometimes they saw a talk, sometimes they're. They're deep into it. They've read all of the books, they're excited. You have some champions. I think we have the most success at trying bigger swings when it's a smaller company because it's just easier to take risks. I think when you don't have giant infrastructures and thousands of people. So that can be, I think, just tough when there are levels of bureaucracy and teams are siloed. Right. So if you do think about this system in an entire flow, it can be difficult to make the sorts of changes that you might want. But I think I probably flatter myself. But I think behavioral science and the idea of nudging is because. Becoming more popular, more palatable. And so I think there is an appetite, especially if you can say, we think this will make it easier for users and especially if you couch it in terms of friction, if you're using the right language for a design team, for the engineering team, I also think that makes it easier to then take those insights and incorporate them.
Tim Wilson
So how often, I mean, is it. There's someone coming saying, ah, do behavioral science and give me like the magic, the magic answer. And you say, okay, the first thing we need to do is figure out what behavior the first B. And we're going to get uncomfortable and do they get. Is there pushback? Do you actually find that they're like, oh, wait a minute, we actually aren't really clear exactly what we want to have happen. You know, we just want more customers or we want more monthly active users or in does that wind up being kind of a sticking point that you're like, oh, we haven't even gotten to figuring out the behavior. We just gotta figure out what behavior we're trying to influence. And you're getting asked to apply your brand of behavioral witchcraft without clarity on what the. Like, what. What the result looks like or. Cause you said it was. Could Be uncomfortable. So that made me think I'm like, uncomfortably specific. Yeah, Uncomfortably specific makes it sound like people have gotten uncomfortable.
Lindsey Juarez
So why I think it's uncomfortable because you have to prioritize a group or you have to prioritize a particular step. And that can be hard then to kill your darlings and not have these other areas. And it doesn't have to be forever. Right? You can have multiple key behaviors. You can put things in a backlog. You can say, we'll test this one first and then this other. But let's try to hit the most high impact option that we have in front of us. So I should say, like, what is uncomfortably specific? It would be something like we. I'm thinking about my son's daycare. We want parents to pick up their child by 5:55 every day. And so there, like you have the time frame, you have who they're doing it, when they're doing it, and then that invites. Okay, well is it the timing that's the problem? Is it that they're sending other people? The example's going off the rails. But I think that sort of specificity then in the tech context means you have to think about where are people coming in from? Is it a particular keyword group? Are we interested in just people who land on the page? Are we interested in referrals that then can let you design more specific key. Right, Designing.
Mo Kiss
Can I just. Yeah, can I interject. So with this daycare example, is the problem that businesses like come to you and say, oh, our staff are doing overtime and like, we want to fix the fact that we need to pay staff longer hours and you're trying to like narrow it down to be like, we want parents to pick up children by 555. Because like, that is the like narrowest scope. Because, like is, is that. Am I thinking about this the right way?
Lindsey Juarez
It is nice to narrow your scope and get so specific on the behavior because then different solutions arise. Actually, I'll, I'll give an example. This is a case study. This is work we did with TikTok now a couple years ago. But they were really interested in reducing potential misinformation on the platform. If something is verifiably false, TikTok would want me to say they take it off because they do. But things in that sort of nebulous. I wonder if, what if those sorts of things are developing situations, how do they get people to not share that, to not watch it, to not post it in the first place? You can see already reducing potential misinfo on the platform could come in a couple different ways, right? Is it stopping a poster from posting? Is it a poster takes something down? Is it I don't share it. Is it, I report it to a moderator. All those different mechanisms and potential key behaviors, what do you want to drive? And so we worked with them, it's an iterative process and we landed on. They want viewers watching to not view it and not share. So you sort of stop the spread now that it's out in the world, but not farther up the funnel. And so worked with them then to design an experiment. They ran it in product and then eventually rolled it out all the way. But basically, if you put a flag, if you put a banner on their labeling that this is potential misinfo, potentially inaccurate, I think is the exact word that they used. And then if someone clicked the share button, there was an additional pop up, add some friction. Are you sure you want to share? And the emphasized button was no, cancel. Go back. Then you could reduce shares, I think it was, by 24%. And the banner reduced views and likes BY I think, 5 and 7%. So, wow. Depending on your anchors, that's impressive for us. It's impressive. And so that's the kind of thing where a particular key behavior invites a particular design. If you were focused on creators or some other part of the funnel, different intervention, different tasks, different outcomes.
Tim Wilson
But it, but that, I mean, that example does seem like it's getting to. On the one hand, without thinking of it through one lens, you'd say, well, we're just going to ask them to confirm what they're doing. It sounds like you said, oh, we're specifically adding friction, which is the counterbalance or the flip side of easing benefits. Yeah, benefits. So looking at it, it seems like it would open up. We're just trying to add friction here in a way that is not offensive. Or like you, you would be adding friction and be like, if you said you'd be stupid to share this or something that's like, like you couldn't, you couldn't do that. It does seem like that's the sort of thing that, I mean, I feel like as a, as an analyst to stop and try to think through what we want to inject friction. Let's stop and have, like, we know that if we inject friction that that will reduce the number of people who get through it. Because the flip side, if we're running a checkout process, if we remove friction, more people will go through it. So focusing on ideas for, in that case Adding friction seems like it would open up a broader set of testable hypotheses of the specific mechanism for adding friction as opposed to just saying, let's put a second prompt. I don't know, like, it feels like.
Val Kroll
Really canceling your gym membership.
Tim Wilson
Yeah, I mean, it just feels like there's trying to add a little more thought, then kind of expands the possible solutions and in many ways is probably often expanding kind of testable solutions. Maybe.
Lindsey Juarez
I don't know.
Tim Wilson
Who wants to go next?
Val Kroll
Well, one of the things that I was thinking about because we, we've talked about a little bit, you reference like the funnel and like the steps and, and so Tim and I were just talking about how we still can't believe that we see people posting things like the funnel is dead. And it's like when will be saying the funnel is dead is dead. Because we, we know that we can't just talk about it as like, oh, this is an awareness problem. Like, just wave our hands and you know, increase our ad spend and hopefully that fix all the problems downstream. Right. And so there's, it seems like it's a step towards more, you know, mature. More maturity for organizations to think about more nuanced journeys and where these different audiences are coming from. You know, primary care physician who is out in, you know, Idaho, versus like a specialist who's practicing inside of a hospital system in a large city. Those are not the same doctors. We need to consider them very differently. But I noticed that once, once we can get to that conversation of this more detailed, nuanced journey, it actually becomes sometimes just as hard to use as saying, like, oh, awareness to consideration, like, what's that drop off? And so I'm assuming that journeys and thinking about those discrete path to purchase or you know, the, the different conversions is a part of your work. Like, what are some of the best ways you've seen clients or you've been able to work with journeys to help people kind of understand some of the nuance and complexity and like the, the background or context like we were mentioning earlier, to help figure out what those B's are and how to apply some of that.
Lindsey Juarez
Thinking about segmentation or so.
Val Kroll
Yeah, so basically just like some of the best ways you've seen using journeys and the exercise of creating a journey to help inform next steps in work or apply some of those practices or principles.
Lindsey Juarez
So I guess thinking about behavioral maps and then understanding every step in the flow, it can feel, I think, very obvious. Especially when you come in, you're like, oh, oh, we're going to do a behavior map. People are like, user journey. We know that. And then you get into it. So what we do in the behavior mapping process is basically all of us on the project are just going through this process over and over again, signing up screenshots of every page and then trying to identify, okay, on this screen what's going on, what do we think is happening from a psychological perspective? What do we know about the way these choices are presented, about. About mindset, what have they sort of put forth and what mental model are they building? And so you end up with these very dense things. And I guess I'll use this example. We worked with One Medical. They are sort of a UX interface for them, getting primary care, seeing a doctor. And they're an employer benefit. So an employer would hire them and then the employees get a letter, an email, sign up, please join One Medical. And they were really focused on, can we get people to sign up? And we said, after they sign up, is that that's it? And they're like, oh no, actually we need them to then receive care that's better for the employee, that's better for us, because then people are actually utilizing the product, the contract gets renewed. And. But you could see that they hadn't thought about it in that way before because they were really centered on as soon as you got through the signup flow, you landed on a homepage and the homepage said, great, basically you're done. And so now you have told the user in turn, they're done. And so trying to disrupt that process to then actually get you to have a checkup to see a doctor can be very, very powerful. So what we did basically is redesign that landing page. If you could see it, you would say, wow, so beautiful. But changing around with the CTAs and helping people understand what's the next step and what's the progression can be very powerful because we're always looking for feedback and coaching and I mean, that's probably an exaggeration, but especially when I'm trying out a new product, I'm going through the onboarding. I need to be told how to get the most out of this. And so saying, Val, your next step is to sign up for an appointment. And here we have already chosen a doctor. You can change your mind, but here's someone that we think is in your area, they're going to be right for you. Here are the available times. And so now for Val, the choice is no longer what do I do next? What was one medical? Why did I sign up, it's like, oh, is 8:30 or is 10:30 a better time for me to go in and get seen? Right. You have shifted all of the different questions.
Mo Kiss
Okay, I'm going to go rogue. So I have been had. This topic has been like, swirling around in my mind for the last few weeks and months. And a really good friend who works in the, like, belonging and inclusion space had lunch with me and was talking about this. And I, you know when you're like, thinking about something but you're kind of not there yet, and then just randomly, I happen to start reading the book called Make Work Fair at the same time. And I think what, what is shifting in my perspective is that I felt that part of my responsibility was to try and I guess, quote, unquote, I'm doing the air quotes, help people understand why, like, fairness and equal opportunity is a good thing in the workplace. And I think what's really being disrupted in my thinking is like, no, you shouldn't spend your energy on trying to convince people of that. You should spend your energy on, on trying to set up processes and practices to help people make a better decision. Like, whether they believe in it or not is irrelevant. It's about getting them to make the best choice. And I'm just trying to, like, triangulate that with the exercise example or, sorry, the medical example you just shared. Right. Like, the point is not to convince someone that seeing a doctor is going to be good for their health. The point is to just get them to make the appointment because it's going to be good for their health. So, like, is, do you, do you see the, like, crossover here or is it just my mind that's still climate.
Tim Wilson
And do climate change next, you know.
Val Kroll
On our next episode.
Lindsey Juarez
No, no. A hundred, A hundred percent. I, as a behavioral scientist, do not. I don't really care why someone is doing something if they are doing it. Yeah. And so we have, we have a phrase, we call it doing the right thing for the wrong reasons. And basically, if you, as an ethical company or as a person trying to improve health, you're an insurer, whatever it might be, if you are getting people to exercise more, to eat more salads, to save for retirement, it doesn't matter if they're saving for retirement because they really care, they understand financial literacy, they value savings and interest rates, or it's just that when they signed up for a checking account, you also gave them a saving account and set up direct deposit. Right. That's great.
Tim Wilson
Well, that's the world. Like on the financial, the opting out versus opting in. It's just, it's like is there language for kind of some of those principles? Like the, like you mentioned proximity earlier with a physical space and, or you know, the snacks example you've said friction. Like are there, are there kind of macro pillars or like these. Or you know, immediacy I think is kind of another. Are there, are there kind of like pillars or high level things that you're like, look, these are the things. Anything else you're doing that doesn't fall into one of these buckets, you're, you are just playing around in the margins because this is always. These are the things that are going to trump any of those other sorts of things you might do. Does that make, is that a fair. I have no idea. If the answer is like no, I have. I went to a lot of schooling because it's really complicated and it's nuanced. I'm not going to give you the four pillars to behavioral science.
Lindsey Juarez
It's both. It's both. Is the answer is that certainly you want to make things easy for people, you want to make it fun, you want to make it the reward. As close as possible to the behavior as you can get. So insurers are always saying, right, do this difficult hard thing and we'll give you 5% off of your next six months out premium. It's like, whoa, no, of course people aren't doing this. It's never going to happen. And so certainly whatever you can do. Basically, I think always thinking about the here and now and what is making it simpler to do what is making it more enjoyable. That's where you're going to get the most.
Mo Kiss
So it's like I'm going to give you the 30 day, 30 day trial first, not give you 10% off in a year's time.
Tim Wilson
Oh well, that's why I'll give you, I'll give you a 30 day free trial which you have to put your credit card in because then you have to turn it off so you can.
Val Kroll
I'm not going to send you a reminder.
Tim Wilson
I'm not going to.
Lindsey Juarez
Yeah, that's behavioral science. But bad. Yeah, not the goal.
Mo Kiss
Wait, what's other bad? What's other bad? Behavioral science.
Val Kroll
Yeah, Using it for bad.
Tim Wilson
And give specific client examples, please.
Lindsey Juarez
So it's, it even has its own catch name. So there's nudge. Right. Behavioral science for good and then there's sludge is when you, to slow you down, you're making it harder. You can't get out of it. I think D. Lip Soman is to thank for that term. And it's. It's so intuitive now. You're like, oh, I understand you're making it harder for me to cancel. You make it so I don't understand the terms. I click the wrong thing. It's all of that.
Val Kroll
I remember when I was, like, first getting into CRO about a hundred years ago, there was a like, like, web series, I don't know if you guys remember this, with Pep and Ollie Gardner, and it was called Page Fights. And they would oftentimes invite someone, like a special guest to join. And people would submit, like, landing pages or homepages to be essentially ripped to shreds by them. But it was so funny because it would be like, you know, like, remember those, like, trust or verify signs? Like, you can submit here? Like, why would you put that so far away from the submit button? Or, like, you know, you should never put this below the proverbial fold. And so they would, like, take all these, like, principles and, like, layer them on top of each other when you're like, who knows if the context of all these things together actually leading to any, like, good or bad performance? But I just remember, like, it was just one after another, just, like, throwing it at these pages. Just. Do you guys remember? Is that. Am I the only.
Mo Kiss
No, but it sounds fun.
Val Kroll
It was. I mean, they're hilarious. So it was. It was always a good time. But I remember thinking, like, those had some of the. It was before, like, the canned spam and all that. So, like, auto check, the, you know, email me and things like that. And so I was reminded of some of that now. I'll remember that as sludge. Thanks to you, Lindsay. Some of them were good ones, too. It wasn't all bad ones, but just thinking about how they're used in combination or again, like, all those layered assumptions just getting pushed in together.
Mo Kiss
Okay, thanks for the, like, the trip down memory lane, but still, I've got like 50,000 things to go through with Lindsay. So, like, onto the next topic.
Tim Wilson
Okay.
Mo Kiss
You mentioned earlier that sometimes it's a lot easier to have, like, big impact at a small company. One of the things that's top of mind for me is, like, sometimes it's like, really good intent, especially when it's nudging. And also for the betterment. Betterment of our employees. The one challenge I do have is, and I thought the inverse, I thought the bigger your company, the easier it would be because you could experiment more easily because you would have Bigger samples. It gets very tricky at a smaller company, especially if you want to test something specifically on employees. I imagine this happens all the time when you work with companies. Right. Like, I'm thinking we changed something recently in our last round of performance reviews, which we wanted to do to better recognize contributions that people were making. I don't know, you could call it glue work, kind of unseen work, that sort of stuff. And like, my desire is always like, let's experiment. And then there are these like technical barriers of like, oh, you can't do it because the system doesn't let us like do one questionnaire for one group and one for another group. Like, do you find that that is often a blocker or do you just. Is it like if people have such strong desire to experiment so that they understand why the outcome happened, that happened. Like people find a workaround.
Lindsey Juarez
Yeah, sometimes you're right. You can't test it well. You can't have a perfect RCT from the tech, from the sample size, whatever it might be. I think any measurement is probably better than none or it's better than like vibes only. And so I think that's what we push for. And right there sort of tiers of experimentation and the analytics that you can take on and so that it's trade offs.
Mo Kiss
Right.
Lindsey Juarez
I think the nice thing about a smaller company is simply getting the buy in and it's much easier to all have the same language and the goal, whereas once you're in something really big, it's so siloed and different KPIs, different metrics, everybody's getting evaluated differently.
Tim Wilson
So I'm sure Mo has a million more questions, but unfortunately we are running out of time, so I'm going to have to nudge us towards a wrap. So this has been a really interesting discussion. We didn't have any mention of Katie Milkman and choiceology, the book and the podcast.
Val Kroll
I was very surprised Tim held back.
Tim Wilson
That's why I just slipped it in.
Mo Kiss
I do, I do love Katie Milkman.
Tim Wilson
Because I was thinking of some of the things where she talks through the studies. And we won't pursue the whole. Like when studies are done in a academic setting, it can be the challenges and risks of trying to figure out behaviors. But at least I've said it, so now I've put it. You've covered it without being a question. But this is a great discussion. Before we wrap up, we like to do a last call where every go around and have everyone share an article, a thought, a post, a movie, whatever that Might be of interest to our listeners. Lindsay, you're our guest. Would you like to go first?
Lindsey Juarez
Yes. I am so excited to share this. This is an academic paper that I.
Tim Wilson
Spoke like an academic.
Lindsey Juarez
It's going to be worth it, I promise you. This is a delight. So this is by a researcher who really focuses on communication and especially miscommunication and where we don't realize that things are going so awry. And so it's very clever. He had Chinese speakers come in and read ambiguous phrases. He's recording them and he. So it was something like the question was, oh, what have you been up to? But they were told to say it in a particular way. Right. That's ambiguous. What have you been up to? Oh, what have you been up to? And so they were assigned a particular intonation, and then listeners listened to those recordings, and they were supposed to guess which intonation it was. And when it is Chinese speakers, people or Chinese listeners, so they speak the same language, they understand the words being said. Then you get people to say, I think I'm right 85% of the time, but they're actually right 44% chance would be 25. But then he also got English only speakers to listen to these recordings. So recording in Chinese, I only speak English. I only understand English. And then the people have to guess which meaning it is. And they rated their confidence. The English listeners are getting it right 35% of the time, but they think they're right 65% of the time. And it's that 65%. I don't speak this language, but I feel confident that I know what's being said is wild. To me, it is wild.
Val Kroll
Wild outrage.
Lindsey Juarez
Yeah. It's just nuts.
Tim Wilson
What's the name of that paper?
Lindsey Juarez
What is its actual title? The Extreme Illusion of Understanding. Ooh, wow. And then they also asked the speakers, do you think people will get this? And they were like, yeah, at least half the time. So basically, everyone is always wrong. You're not communicating nearly as clearly as.
Val Kroll
You think in conclusion.
Lindsey Juarez
And you as a listener are just like, so confident that you're getting things and you're not, even when it's in a language you don't speak. I love it.
Tim Wilson
I think that describes so much more of my life than just, you know, even reading. Even reading intonation. Uh, so. Oh, wow. That sounds fascinating. I mean, in an academic paper, I feel like your description of it might be. Might have been better than me trying to read an academic paper, But I.
Mo Kiss
Know I'm like, I feel like your description was Amazing.
Tim Wilson
I'm going to give the abstract a shot, but we'll see.
Lindsey Juarez
Report back.
Tim Wilson
Mo, what about you? What's your last call?
Mo Kiss
Well, I did have a different one, but I've swapped because I did just mention this book. So I have been reading Make Work Fair. I'm going to butcher these poor women's names, but Iris Bonnet, I think I did that. Okay. But Siri Chilazi is the second author and yeah, I'm just loving it because like I said, it's really challenging my perspective on. I guess I always thought a big part of Making Work Fair was like, about winning hearts and minds. And it's like, it's not. It's about, like, what are the processes and policies that you put in place? And it's been like, really influential. Yeah, it's like really changing the way that I approach this and how I spend my energy. So definitely, definitely recommend a read.
Tim Wilson
Interesting. You're reading it or are you listening to it? Are you listening to it?
Mo Kiss
Oh, no, this one I'm listening to. I don't. I don't read workbooks anymore. My Kindle is purely for whatever trash I want to read.
Tim Wilson
What about you, Val?
Val Kroll
So mine is a medium article that was published on the UX collective called UX or PX why Naming Matters. And so this was inspired by some time ago the VP of Product experience at Duolingo, like had this like, big post that they renamed from their whole UX function to product experience. And you think about that. It's like a pretty big switch from user experience to product experience. But it caused this like within their realms, like this big kind of uproar. And it even inspired Jacob Nielsen to respond, who is like the father of ux Nielsen, Norman Group and, and all the, the heuristics and the norms. Right. And in reading this post it was interesting, like why they break down that shift and like what that, what that could potentially mean and if other people will follow suit. And there was like a whole section in the article talking about, like, why naming matters and why UX and PX folks care about names. And it reminded me a lot about how we hate the term CRO, but we also can't stop using the term CRO for conversion rate optimization. Tim asks me all the time, like, I heard that we don't say that anymore, but what do we say in its place? Like, I don't know, experimenting, experimenters. It's like such a nice shorthand. But anyway, so it's, it's fun to kind of step a half Step away from the analytical experimentation side to see that other people are considering and thinking about those things too. So an interesting.
Tim Wilson
But that's it matters more if the product is having a good time with itself than it matters if the user is having. Is that what, is that what the product experience is? Is the product fulfilled?
Val Kroll
Is the product satisfied?
Tim Wilson
Yeah.
Val Kroll
Well, because if you always think about like UX or even cx, right. It's like the intersection of whatever it is design the product and what's good for the business, which was even actually a part of like your introduction to the way that you apply behavioral science lensing. When we first opened this, this call, which I thought was interesting. So it's, it's prioritizing the goals of the product and what that needs of the business more than individual users. But the byproduct of that is a good user experience. So it's a reprioritization. So it's interesting. It's an interesting shift. All right, what about you, Mr. Wilson? What do you got for us for our last call?
Tim Wilson
So I'm going to do the quick bit of log rolling and just call out that analytics the right way. A Business Leader's Guide to Putting Data to Productive Use is now available as an audiobook I think on most major platforms. So if you haven't bought that yet, that's the book I co wrote with.
Mo Kiss
Or you could do both.
Tim Wilson
You could do both. Buy 10. No, no, buy 15. Buy every possible. You can get an ebook, you can get a physical book. So buy the book. When it comes to things that are written by others, I will plug a new substack that I came across that I think will appeal to a certain audience and that is the can't get much higher substack. And it's Chris Dalla Riva. But it's basically the intersection of music and data. There seem to be a whole bunch of people kind of cropping up who are doing cultural things with data and going in like he did. The one that I found him on was the greatest two hit wonders. Because like, oh, everybody knows one hit wonders, but what about like two hit wonders? And it was interesting. A lot of times it's where do you get the data? How do you actually define a two hit wonder? Iterating on kind of how that breaks down.
Val Kroll
So you have to get uncomfortably specific on that definition.
Tim Wilson
You do? Well, it's actually one where it's like you pull it and then you're like wait a minute. I think the greatest two hit wonder. I'm going to forget because I'm just not enough of a music person. But it had a couple bands that I like. Totally knew of that. His first definition he was like well they didn't count because they're more album bands but nobody would consider them to be a a two hit wonder. Like they're a legendary band. And of course my personal music history is terrible so I can't remember which bands those were. But so anyway, so with that Lindsey, thanks again for coming on the show. This was a fun and interesting discussion. It's got me thinking for listeners. We hopefully you enjoyed the show as well. If you have any questions or thoughts or suggestions for show topics, you can reach out to us through our LinkedIn page. You can find any of us on the measure Slack. You can just use good old fashioned email at contactnalyticshour IO if you've enjoyed the show, this episode, the multiple episodes, we would love to have a rating and a review. We'll be talking to Lindsey offline about how we can nudge more users to do that. Do it now. Do it now. Urgency. We will give you a 5% discount on the no. Seven years from now. It'll be perfect. So no show would be complete without thanking our producer Josh Crowhurst, who is still working his way through some changes in our production process, which we deeply appreciate him doing. And we will continue to nudge him to be awesome, which he doesn't need any nudging to be.
Lindsey Juarez
Whoo.
Tim Wilson
Michael is so much better at these wrap ups than I am. But with that, I know I speak for my co hosts on this episode, Mochis and Val Croll. No matter who you're trying to nudge or whether maybe you're trying to generate some sludge, you really shouldn't be doing that. In most cases. You should always, always keep analyzing. Thanks for listening. Let's keep the conversation going with your comments, suggestions and questions on Twitter @NalyticsHour, on the web at AnalyticsHour IO, our LinkedIn group and the measured chat sect.
Lindsey Juarez
Slack Group Music for the podcast by.
Tim Wilson
Josh Crowhurst so smart guys want to.
Val Kroll
Fit in, so they made up a term called analytics.
Tim Wilson
Analytics don't work.
Lindsey Juarez
Do the analytics say go for it no matter who's going for it. So if you and I were on the field, the analytics say go for it. It's the stupidest, laziest, lamest thing I've ever heard. For reasoning in competition.
Val Kroll
You sound good, Tim. Okay, well, a little quieter than usual, but clear with no static.
Tim Wilson
Not even my background hum, which is why I got rid of this mic in the first place. Awesome. Fantastic.
Mo Kiss
You do sound quieter than usual. But maybe it's just because he's not on a soapbox yet.
Val Kroll
Rock Flag in Nudge or Sludge?
Podcast Summary: The Analytics Power Hour - Episode #271: It Might Be Irrational, but Let's Talk Behavioral Science with Dr. Lindsay Juarez
Release Date: May 13, 2025
In episode #271 of The Analytics Power Hour, hosts Tim Wilson, Moe Kiss, and Val Kroll engage in an enlightening conversation with Dr. Lindsay Juarez, a behavioral scientist and Director at Irrational Labs. The discussion delves deep into the realm of behavioral science, exploring its intersection with digital analytics, data-driven insights, and practical applications in various industries.
Defining Behavioral Science
Dr. Juarez begins by demystifying behavioral science, describing it as the application of insights from psychology, behavioral economics, neuroscience, and other social sciences to understand, predict, and even alter human behavior. She emphasizes its role in helping individuals and organizations anticipate and overcome systematic barriers to achieving desired outcomes.
"Behavioral science is using insights from psychology, from behavioral economics, from neuroscience and some other social sciences to understand and then predict, maybe even change human behavior."
— Dr. Lindsay Juarez [03:41]
Key Concepts: Nudging and Sludge
The conversation introduces fundamental concepts such as "nudging"—strategically designing choices to encourage beneficial behaviors—and its counterpart, "sludge," which refers to practices that make desired actions harder to perform, often manipulating decisions negatively.
"Nudging is all about making something easier or more beneficial to do, whereas sludge is when you're making it harder for people to take certain actions."
— Dr. Lindsay Juarez [43:21]
Google's Snack Proximity Study
One of the notable examples discussed is Google's internal study on snack accessibility. By altering the physical proximity of snacks and coffee stations within the office, Google observed significant changes in employees' snack choices, highlighting how environmental factors influence decision-making.
"If you are just steps closer to the treats, more of your coffee breaks involve... I'll take a muffin too."
— Dr. Lindsay Juarez [04:50]
Jerry Seinfeld's Morning vs. Night Guy Analogy
Lindsey introduces a humorous yet insightful analogy inspired by Jerry Seinfeld, contrasting the "Morning Guy" who plans and makes thoughtful decisions with the "Night Guy" who acts impulsively. This duality underscores the internal conflict between long-term intentions and immediate gratifications.
"Morning Guy is responsible, making thoughtful decisions about the day... Night Guy is impulsive and doing what feels good now."
— Dr. Lindsay Juarez [06:32]
Data-Driven vs. Behavioral Insights
The hosts and Dr. Juarez explore the synergy and tension between hard data analytics and qualitative behavioral insights. While data tracks what users do, behavioral science seeks to explain why they do it, acknowledging that motivations can be multifaceted and context-dependent.
"Data that tracks behavior is often better than asking someone what they think or what they want because you are particularly prone as a human to tell stories around your choices."
— Dr. Lindsay Juarez [09:11]
Behavioral Mapping and Segmentation
Dr. Juarez introduces the concept of behavioral mapping, a process where every step in a user’s journey is analyzed from a psychological perspective. This method allows for identifying specific behaviors to target with interventions, ensuring that strategies are both precise and effective.
"We went through this behavioral mapping process, signing up screenshots of every page and trying to identify what's going on from a psychological perspective."
— Dr. Lindsay Juarez [35:37]
A significant portion of the discussion centers on a case study involving TikTok's efforts to combat misinformation. By redesigning user interactions, such as adding banners and confirmation prompts, TikTok successfully reduced the sharing and visibility of false information by implementing behavioral interventions grounded in scientific principles.
"If you put a flag, if you put a banner on their labeling that this is potential misinfo... and then you could reduce shares by 24%."
— Dr. Lindsay Juarez [31:53]
Organizational Maturity and Resistance
The conversation acknowledges the challenges organizations face in adopting behavioral science, especially larger companies with siloed teams and bureaucratic hurdles. Dr. Juarez notes that smaller companies often find it easier to implement behavioral strategies due to their agility and unified goals.
"The most success at trying bigger swings when it's a smaller company because it's just easier to take risks."
— Dr. Lindsay Juarez [47:28]
Ethical Use of Behavioral Science
Ethics in behavioral science is a crucial topic, with the hosts and Dr. Juarez discussing the thin line between positive nudging and manipulative sludge. They emphasize the responsibility of practitioners to ensure that interventions promote beneficial behaviors without exploiting users.
"There's nudge for good and then there's sludge when you make it harder for people to do something."
— Dr. Lindsay Juarez [43:21]
The 3B Framework
Dr. Juarez introduces the "3B Framework"—Behavior, Barriers, and Benefits—as a foundational approach for designing behavioral interventions. This framework helps in precisely identifying the desired behavior, understanding the obstacles, and enhancing the perceived benefits to encourage the target action.
"The three Bs are Behavior: What is the key behavior you're trying to drive? Barriers: What are the obstacles preventing it? Benefits: How can you increase the motivation or benefits?"
— Dr. Lindsay Juarez [23:32]
Behavioral Experiments and Hypothesis Testing
The importance of hypothesis-driven experiments is highlighted, advocating for a scientific approach to testing behavioral interventions. This method ensures that changes are based on solid evidence rather than assumptions, allowing for more effective and reliable outcomes.
"Run a survey, track clicks, do interviews... use the initial click data to say, here's where something is happening, and then use interviews to explore why."
— Dr. Lindsay Juarez [04:31]
As the episode wraps up, the hosts and Dr. Juarez reflect on the profound impact of behavioral science in analytics and business strategies. They encourage listeners to incorporate behavioral insights into their work to drive meaningful change and enhance user experiences.
Notable Quotes:
"Behavioral science is using insights from psychology... to change human behavior."
— Dr. Lindsay Juarez [03:41]
"If you are just steps closer to the treats, more of your coffee breaks involve... I'll take a muffin too."
— Dr. Lindsay Juarez [04:50]
"Nudging is all about making something easier or more beneficial to do, whereas sludge is when you're making it harder for people to take certain actions."
— Dr. Lindsay Juarez [43:21]
Listeners are encouraged to connect with the hosts through LinkedIn, Slack, or email at contact@analyticshour.io. Rating and reviewing the podcast is also welcomed to support future episodes.
This detailed summary captures the essence of episode #271, providing a comprehensive overview of the discussions on behavioral science, its applications, challenges, and ethical considerations in the field of analytics.