Transcript
Ben Shapiro (0:00)
So yesterday, President Trump decided that he was going to go whole hog on Volodymyr Zelensky. The Trump team is in Saudi Arabia negotiating with the Russian team over the end of the Ukraine war. Ukraine is not present in these negotiations. A matter of some consternation in Ukraine. And let's be very clear about where I stand when it comes to the Ukraine war. Russia attacked Ukraine. There is no good reason for Russia to attack Ukraine. Russia's goal in attacking Ukraine was to take over all, all of Ukraine up to and including Kyiv, and originally to kill Volodymyr Zelensky and anyone else who is ruling in power and who is not going to act as a puppet of the Putin regime. None of this is speculative. That is all just the reality in February of 2022. Now, Ukraine did a masterful job of fending off that attack. And by summer of that year, it was very clear that basically a stalemate had set in. And despite all of the best attempts by the Europeans and the half hearted attempts by the Biden administration to provide Ukraine with additional arms, the lines just weren't moving that much. And so since summer of 20, the lines have been pretty much set. The Donbass area has been occupied by Russia. Crimea has been occupied by Russia. And Love nor money is not going to move Russia off of that particular land. Not unless the Biden administration was willing to do much more, which they simply were not. What does that mean? It means that any sort of settlement between Russia and Ukraine was always going to have the following basic outline. One, Russia was going to retain control over Donbass and Crimea because otherwise there was no off ramp for Russia. Vladimir Putin was not going to lose face as the dictator of Russia and simply hand back territory that had originally been invaded in 2014 and has been held by Russia ever since. That was number one, Ukraine was not going to win back that territory. It was a victory for Ukraine simply to continue existing in the face of the Russian bear. Number two, Ukraine was going to have to have some pretty significant security guarantees to make sure that Putin didn't just do this again. One of Putin's demands was that Ukraine essentially disarm. That was never going to be a going concern. It was never going to happen. Okay, so that was always gonna be the outline of deal security guarantees for Ukraine. Russia keeps Donbassing Crimea. That was always how this was going to look. It's been this way for almost three years at this point. Now there's some other additional elements that President Trump as the president, is throwing into the mix One of those is that he believes the United States has spent an exorbitant amount of money in Ukraine and somehow Ukraine should repay all of that money forthwith. And so he's got a couple of proposals on the table for that. One of those proposals was a sort of economic proposal that was pretty punitive with regard to Ukraine's future industry. Now, the case in favor of that particular economic proposal, which, effectively speaking, forced the Ukrainian government to split pretty much all exportable material with the United States, or at least profits from that exportable material with the United States, the good news for Ukraine in a deal like that was that it would have tied the United States into Ukrainian security for the future. Because if the United States and Ukraine had a big economic deal that was already in the offing and was already operating, then the United States would have a pretty significant interest in making sure that Ukraine was not then invaded once again by Vladimir Putin. Right? That was the case in favor. The case again is that the amount that Trump was actually asking of Ukraine was extraordinarily burdensome, according to the at least leaked reports as to what exactly it was that that was being asked. The New York Post, which obviously is a Trump friendly newspaper, suggests that that offer that Trump was making to Vladimir Zelensky and the Ukrainians was far too burdensome for Ukraine to really undertake. Quote, the proposed contract, which reportedly hit Ukraine President Vladimir Zelensky's desk last week, demands half the country's revenues from natural resources, ports and infrastructure indefinitely as payback for US Military aid since the war began. So apparently that was met with with a rather cold reception in Kiev. And so that ticked off President Trump. Beyond that, Volodymyr Zelensky has a way of getting on President Trump's nerves. There's just no question about this. This goes back years. This goes all the way back to the phone calls that they were having, the perfect phone calls that President Trump was having with Vladimir Zelensky during Trump term number one. And then of course, Zelensky decided to make best friends with Joe Biden. Nothing ticks off President Trump more than that sort of nonsense. Then you recall in the late stages of the election, Vladimir Zelensky actually came to Pennsylvania and for some odd reason was going around to munitions factories with Josh Shapiro in Pennsylvania, which was seen, correctly by the Trump campaign as an attempt to warm up Kamala Harris in anticipation of a Kamala Harris victory. And so Trump didn't like that either. Then Trump made some not particularly nice remarks about Vladimir Zelensky a couple of days ago. And Zelensky responded by suggesting that Trump was part of a disinformation echo chamber. And this led to the big blow up yesterday. So President Trump first went on Truth Social, and he made a very lengthy statement, quote, think of it, a modestly successful comedian, Vladimir Zelensky talked the United States of America and spending $350 billion to go into a war that couldn't be won, that never had to start, but a war that he without the US And Trump will never be able to settle. So just on the facts, this is not true. On the facts, Ukraine did not talk the United States into the war. Russia invaded Ukraine. Russia is the aggressor party in this particular situation. As far as the United States's expenditures, the United States has spent an extraordinary amount of money. The United States has given or lent to Ukraine really is more of a gift because it's never going to be repaid. The United States up through the end of last year had committed somewhere in the arena of $120 billion to Ukraine. About $25 billion of that is basically coming back to the United States in the form of defense expenditures, somewhere around $100 billion that has been given to Ukraine. Now, to be fair, the result of that has been the complete evisceration of Russia's forward military power, which, as a bit of a bargain, is not terrible if you see Russia as a geopolitical enemy, which of course, it has been historically for the United States. President Trump continues, the United states has spent $200 billion more than Europe, and Europe's money is guaranteed. While the United States will get nothing back, I see no evidence of this particular proposition. Europe apparently has actually spent slightly more money than the United States. When you aggregate all the European countries together, they spent somewhere in the neighborhood of $138 billion or committed that much money. And it's gone up again recently, so closer to $180 billion committed to Ukraine. So they actually have spent slightly more money than the United States in Ukraine. As to the idea that Europe's money is guaranteed, meaning Ukraine is going to pay it back, no, no, no shot. President Trump said, why didn't Sleepy Joe demand equalization? And that this war is far more important to Europe than it is to us. We have a big, beautiful ocean of separation. Now, this is the first point that Trump is making that is actually correct, which is okay. Why is the United States footing the bill for this war? The Europeans really need to step up. And as we will see, whether that is the intended effect of Trump's attacks on Vladimir Zelensky or whether that is the kind of positive byproduct of those attacks. Europe is going to have to step into the breach here. He's right. The Europeans have much more of a stake in Ukraine remaining Russian free than the United States does. Trump continued. On top of this, Zelensky admits that half of the money we sent him is missing. He refuses to have elections, is very low in Ukrainian polls, and the only thing he was good at was playing Biden like a fiddle. Okay, well, as far as refusing to have elections, martial law is declared because you may have noticed there's a war on. A war that has currently cost, at a minimum, 43,000 dead between February 2022 and December 2024. In Ukraine, large swaths of Ukrainian territory is currently occupied by Russia. Like, do those people get to vote in Donbass and Crimea In a Russian election, millions of people are refugees from Ukraine because they've left since the war began. And you have hundreds of thousands of men in fighting positions. So it makes it kind of difficult, just on a logistical level to actually have a workable election. As far as him being very low in Ukrainian polls, that's not particularly true either. Vladimir Zelensky is riding above 50% in the Ukrainian polls and going up in part because of the conflict with Trump. Trump says a dictator without elections, Zelensky better move faster. He is not going to have a country left. Now, again, this may be just a tactic by Trump to put pressure on Zelensky to come to the table and recognize the obvious, but the truth is that he doesn't have to recognize the obvious. The United States can basically just sign his name on the dotted line. In fact, I have been suggesting just that since August of 2022, that the United States would have to basically go around Ukraine, cut a deal Ukraine doesn't like, and then cram it down on Ukraine. I still don't believe that that requires the moral blindness of suggesting that Zelenskyy is, in fact a dictator. You know, as opposed to Vladimir Putin, who has not held a legitimate election in the country of Russia for a quarter century at this point. Zelensky was elected in 2019. His term expired at the end of 2024, and there will presumably be another election. By the way, we should point out at this point that these statements have resulted in Zelensky's opposition in Ukraine coming to Zelensky's defense. So the idea that he is a dictator who's quashing the opposition doesn't really explain why all the opposition parties are now coming to the defense of Vladimir Zelensky. President Trump says in the meantime, we are successfully negotiating an end to the war with Russia, something I'll admit only Trump and the Trump administration can do. Biden never tried. Now that part is true. Trump is the only one who's attempting to get to a solution Biden did never try. This is one of the signal failures of the Biden administration. I pointed this out throughout Biden's entire term Europe has failed to bring peace. Again, he is correct about this. Zelensky probably wants to keep the gravy train going. Again, that is a pretty nasty accusation that Zelenskyy is willing to let tens of thousands of his own people be slaughtered in the streets simply so the money can keep flowing to Ukraine. I love Ukraine, says President Trump. But Zelensky has done a terrible job. His country has shattered and millions have unnecessarily died. And so it continues. Now, again, these are the source of words that presumably the Russian delegation is very happy to hear. We get some more on that in a moment. First, you know that creepy feeling you get sometimes like you're being watched while browsing online? Well, here's the thing. You actually are. Every time you hop on the Internet, your service provider can see literally everything you do. And get this in the United States, they can legally sell your entire browsing history. Yep, even that incognito browsing isn't so private after all. Who would've thunk? That's why I started using ExpressVPN. 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Join the over 13 million all time customers who have already saved and invested over $22 billion with Acorns. Plus Acorns will boost your new account with a $20 bonus investment offer available at acorns.comshapiro that's acorns.coms h a p I r o to get your $20 bonus investment today paid Non Client Endorsement Compensation provides incentives to positively promote Acorns Tier 3 compensation provided investing involves risk. Acorns Advisors LLC and SEC registered investment advisor view important disclosures@acorns.com Shapiro and we should point out here that just in terms of the return to the United States on its investment here, the Russian military machine has been absolutely crippled by the war in Ukraine. According to one NATO official quoted today in the international press, Russia's overall dead and wounded in this war amounts to 837,000. That is a massive number. A huge number. At a minimum, you're talking about 90 to 100,000 Russian troops who've been killed in this war. War in which Putin was supposed to stroll into Kyiv. Now, as we can talk about, and as we will talk about, Joe Biden was a signal failure in leading the world on this. And when it comes to practical policy, the policy that is likely to emerge from what Trump is doing here is likely to be a much better policy than anything Joe Biden was doing. However, Trump's statements about Zelensky, the attacks on him as a dictator, the suggestion that somehow Russia is the moral party here, that is wrong and it's not true. Trump then reiterated this In a speech. This is clearly White House policy. Now, this is not Trump making a mistake, whether it is animus for Zelensky on a personal level or frustration with Zelensky, or whether in a sort of Machiavellian way, it's an attempt to pressure Zelensky, make Zelensky look bad so that he can cut a deal without Zelensky and then cram it down on Zelensky. And he feels he needs the imprimatur of public opinion to do that. I don't know why he's saying this. The motivations are unclear to me. He is obviously reiterating this. This is purposeful. Here he was last night.
