Transcript
Ben Shapiro (0:00)
Alrighty, folks, lots of news happening in the world. An election in Canada, negotiations over Russia and Iran, plus economic fallout. We'll get to all that in a moment. First, the countdown is on. The Daily Wire is celebrating President Trump's first 100 days back in office with a 100 hour flash sale on annual memberships. 100 hours only. The clock is already ticking. It's up to people like you and me to help build the future of the country. Head on over to DailyWire.com use code DW100 to join the fight. All right, so the big news as of today is the election in Canada. So you'll recall that if you go all the way back to December, when Justin Trudeau, I. E. Handsome Bernie Sanders, was the Prime Minister of Canada, the Liberal Party in Canada was in a state of complete electoral collapse. The polls showed that the Conservative Party, led by Pierre Poiev, who was in fact, a good candidate, was winning. The Conservative Party was winning by 25 points over Justin Trudeau. The Liberal Party was in a state of absolute meltdown. And then Justin Trudeau dropped out and the polls started to come together really, really quickly. So last night, the election result, Mark Carney, who replaced Justin Trudeau, you can call him Ugly Justin Trudeau. So basically, if Justin Trudeau is Handsome Bernie Sanders, then Mark Carney is Ugly Justin Trudeau. His Liberals are now projected to win the Canadian election. According to the Wall Street Journal, they were set to win a fourth term in national elections on Monday. Fourth consecutive term. So, I mean, well done on you guys, Canada. Oh, boy. You make some choices you're going to have to live with up there. It wasn't clear whether the Liberals would actually win a majority of seats or a smaller share that would require them to win support from other parties to govern. That'd make a very large difference, by the way, if they only have enough seats in the Canadian Parliament that they have to form a coalition with another party, that still leaves them vulnerable to the possibility of some sort of vote of no confidence in the future. If, however, they have a pretty solid majority in the Parliament, then you get four years of Mark Carney up in Canada. Carney is the former head of the bank of Canada and the bank of England. He is like a World Bank IMF guy. He is very much in line with the sort of green New Deal, relatively open borders Justin Trudeau policy. His expected victory, says the Wall Street Journal, is a remarkable one for a party headed for defeat at the start of the year. Again, the Conservatives had a more than 20 point lead in January. And a lot of that was because of Justin Trudeau's mismanagement. Anger over inflation, high housing costs, immigration, insane social leftism. And then something happened. And the thing that happened essentially was that Justin Trudeau dropped out. So there are two conflicting arguments about what exactly happened in this election cycle. Argument number one is that Trudeau dropping out alone would have propelled the Liberals to victory. That basically the Liberal Party did what the Democratic Party did in the last election cycle. They took their bad candidate, flipped in a new fresh candidate, and then ran for. Ran for victory. And it's a very short election cycle because Carney, upon entering, declared you could see that there was a boost in the polls. He declared a snap election, which meant that there was only about six weeks between the declaration of the election and the actual election. That's how the system works over there. When you are in power, you can declare a new election, essentially dissolve your own government. So the question is whether Justin Trudeau dropping out alone would have been enough to push the Liberals to victory, or whether it was a combination of Justin Trudeau dropping out and President Trump's incessant, continuous and aggressive attacks on America's top hat up in Canada. My theory is pretty much number two, that President Trump obviously had something to do with the results of the Canadian election. So sure. Obviously makes a huge difference if you swap out the very unpopular Justin Trudeau for a cipher, a non entity like Mark Carney. And Carney, to his credit, ran a little bit more as a moderate on issues like immigration or even on the economy. He suggested he wasn't going to raise taxes, he was going to mildly lower the taxes in Canada. But the big election issue in Canada was not any more inflation or fiscal mismanagement in Canada, which is what Poliev had been running on the main election question in Canada beginning in January. Simultaneous with the dropout of Justin Trudeau was America's aggressive attack on Canada, both rhetorically and in terms of policy. President Trump first started attacking the Canadians in December of last year. He started calling them the 51st state and trolling the Canadians. And then he started talking, literally his first day in office, about dropping serious tariffs on the Canadians. And what that did is it flipped the entire political fight in Canada. So before it had been about Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party's mismanagement. And then it turned into who is best willing and conditioned to fight President Trump on his tariff agenda, who's willing to stand up to Trump? And there's a widespread perception in Canada that Pierre Poliev because he was a candidate of the right and was widely liked by many conservatives in the United States, that Pierre Poliev was some sort of Trump ally and therefore ill positioned to, to go up against Donald Trump. He tried to draw a contrast with Trump. He tried to say that he was going to fight Trump on the tariffs and that Trump was wrong on the tariffs. The problem was that imagistically he was of the right. Trump was of the right. His entire campaign slogan, by the way, was Canada first, which was very reminiscent of President Trump's America first slogan. And so that obviously was sort of roiling underneath the dynamics of Trudeau versus Poliev. And then once Trudeau dropped out, it was almost like a hot air balloon that had dropped its ballast. The Liberal Party started to rise precipitously specifically because Trudeau, who was wildly unpopular with the public, was gone. And meanwhile, the underlying conditions had changed. Since the election in the United States, and particularly since President Trump took office and started aggressively using American policy to go after the Canadians. President Trump, of course, has been continuously trolling the Canadians. And the question you have to ask yourself here is what exactly was the strategy? Seriously, like, what is the thing that President Trump was going for? I've been asking this about President Trump's tariffs on Canada all the way along the line. If President Trump was simply trying to get the Canadians to lower specific tariffs, again, say, American dairy products, okay, so let's negotiate that. But President Trump in his first term, literally negotiated himself the usmca, which is the governing trade agreement with both Mexico and Canada. And then he overthrew his own USMCA to go after Mexico and Canada on the basis of his specious theories with regard to trade deficits. So he went hard after Canada. He slapped a giant tariff on Canada. And so that became the only issue really in the election. All the other, all the other issues just became secondary. So could Poliev have done something differently? And a lot of theories on sort of the MAGA right in the United States, I think many of them trying to get President Trump off the hook for some of the blame for, for Poliov's loss over there. The theory is that Poliev should have run harder to the right. He should have differentiated himself more from Mark Carney on issues like, say, immigration. He should have been, he should have bear hugged Trump. The problem, of course, is that Canada is basically Vermont. This idea that Canada is somehow down home, Alabama, secretly waiting to go deep red. I, I have yet to see the evidence of that. Well, on the day of the election, President Trump put out a truth that said, quote, good luck to the great people of Canada. Elect the man who has the strength and wisdom to cut your taxes in half, increase your military power for free to the highest level in the world, have your car, steel, aluminum, lumber, energy and all other businesses quadruple in size with zero tariffs or taxes. If Canada becomes the cherished 51st state of the United States of America, no more artificially drawn line from many years ago. Look how beautiful this land mass would be. Free access with no border, all positives, with no negatives. It was meant to be. America can no longer subsidize Canada with the hundreds of billions of dollars a year that we've been spending in the past, yet makes no sense unless Canada is a state. So literally on the day of the Canadian election, President Trump unleashes a truth, declaring that people should vote for him. He's not eligible to be Canadian Prime Minister, nor is the United States going to annex Canada. That is not a thing that is going to happen. We're not invading Canada. We're not annexing Canada. All of this started off as a joke. And I think President Trump is so committed to the bit at this point that he, he couldn't get off the train. Plus, he slammed Canada with a wide variety of significant high tariffs. Again, the. The sort of change in electoral mood in Canada was in fact due to both those factors. Justin Trudeau dropping out. Because Justin Trudeau is incompetent. Carney gives a feeling to Canadians that he is more solid because he has more of a financial background and he's done a lot more trade deals and all the rest of this sort of stuff. But according to pollsters, Poliev suffered for rhetoric too similar to President Trump's abacus data. Polling last week indicated 46% of Canadians held a negative perception of pol, the highest level since the start of the campaign. Now, Conservatives didn't get blown out in the election. They still had more than 40% of the popular vote, which is close to the share in the last federal election they won. In 2011, the Liberals had just over 44%. They benefited from a drop in support for all the smaller parties who seemed to come together around Marney. Carney, for his part, ran a little bit away from Trudeau, but mostly he ran against President Trump. So here is the question. What is the strategy? Is this a good thing? Now, believe it or not, there are some on the, on the isolationist right in the United States who are celebrating this. So Kurt Mills From American Conservative magazine. Again, a very, very strong isolationist. He put out a statement saying prediction Trump will and already has weirdly get on with Carney. Trump vibes with the smart, hyper Machiavellian central. His relationships with Macron and Starmer are strong. He isn't actually friends with Boris Johnson. Poiliev could have been Canuck DeSantis. Okay, so first of all, Canuck Desantis sounds pretty great. As somebody who is a resident of the state of Florida, Governor DeSantis is an excellent governor. I do not know by any stretch of the imagination how it is better to have a socialist leaning green New Deal nut job as the sober faced head of Canada as opposed to the other guy who was just less sober faced. I don't, I don't understand how it's a win for the United States to have a far left leaning internationalist. You mean you don't talk globalist? Mark Carney is the definition of a globalist. He's the definition of somebody who wants international institutions to run as much as possible. He would like to make greater overtures toward China, for example. And yet there is this idea on some parts of the right that somehow it's better. Now I think some of that is cope. I think some people are taking the copium and they are saying, well, it's polio's fault. If only there had been another party that was even more right wing then that would have worked. Okay, let's be real about this. The, the rhetorical attacks on Canada have not actually resulted in a net good for the United States. I care about results. What are the results? Is the United States better off because we keep yelling at the Canadians? I mean, clearly I think we are now worse off because we don't have a friendly leader in Canada who's capable of making a deal that is going to actually benefit the United States. Is the United States better off for the trade war that we've declared on Canada? I'd love to see the results. If so, I'm waiting to see them. It turns out that the United States as the sort of sensor of gravity on planet Earth, many of the things that we do have a rather outsized effect. Canada just happens to be one of those effects. And so far those effects are not good. We'll get to more on this in just a moment. First, you know what I hate? Big government. You know what else I hate? Being overcharged. Do not like it. PureTalk, the cell phone company I use for business every day can help you save money on your cell phone bill. That is correct. PureTalk says I don't think so. It's $100 a month cell phone plans. That's just wasteful. It's irresponsible. Instead they're offering America's most dependable 5G network at America's most sensible prices. Listen to this unlimited talk text 15 gigs of data plus mobile hotspot for just 35 bucks a month. The best part right now you'll get a free one year membership to Daily Wire plus access the entire library of Daily Wire plus movies and documentaries, enjoy uncensored ad free daily shows, chat with my producers every day and as always, your free leftist tiers Tumblr with PureTalk's US customer service team you can switch hassle free in as little as 10 minutes. You don't need Doge to cut the fat from your wireless bill. You need PureTalk. Go to PureTalk.com Shapiro Switch to PureTalk right now@PureTalk.com Shapiro Get a year of Daily Wire plus for free with qualifying plan. Pure Talk is wireless by Americans for Americans. Go check them out right now. PureTalk.com I've been using them for years. It'll be great for you the way they have been for me. Purtalk.com Shapiro also Do you know Just like in the United States, Israel celebrates their own Independence Day Yom Hatz Moot this year, Israel's Independence day Falls on May 1. For the people of Israel, however, the concept of freedom has become intertwined with large ongoing challenges. Many people are facing difficult circumstances. Navigating daily life amid uncertainty during these challenging times can be hard to find. Moments of joy and celebration well, the International Fellowship of Christians and Jews provides essential support for vulnerable populations, ensuring the elderly, the sick, wounded soldiers and families in need receive the care they deserve. Your generous gift to the Fellowship today will help provide vital aid, including medicine, nutritious meals, safety measures and comfort to those who need it most. Show your support for Israel by making a meaningful contribution. Your gift can make a real difference in someone's life. Make your gift online today at ben for the fellowship.org that's been for the fellowship.org there's still tons of Israelis who are serving on the front lines. Their families need help. You can help them out today at Ben for the fellowship.org Again, that's Ben for the fellowship.org Alrighty. Meanwhile, in actual good news, the Trump administration. There are many areas of the Trump administration that I think during the first hundred days have not gone particularly well. That would range from the economy to some areas of foreign policy. However, when it comes to immigration, President Trump has been absolutely stalwart. That was his number one issue. He's actually handled immigration so well that it dropped out of the top four or five issues for Americans. It was the number one or number two issue in every poll for Americans during the 2024 election cycle. Trump comes in and literally on the first day, everything gets fixed because he says, we're going to enforce the border. Don't come here, and people stop coming here. Well, yesterday, Caroline Levitt, the White House press secretary, announced that President Trump is going to be signing an EO cracking down on illegal immigration.
