Podcast Summary: The Best One Yet Episode: š® āFrom TACO to BURRITOā ā Trumpās next trade war trade. Jimmy Butlerās super coffee. Targetās influencer turnaround. Host: Nick & Jack Studios Release Date: July 16, 2025
Introduction
In this engaging 20-minute episode of The Best One Yet, hosts Jack Crivici-Kramer and Nick Martell delve into three pivotal business stories shaping today's landscape. Skipping the usual advertisements and intros, they provide insightful analysis and fresh perspectives on trade policies, celebrity entrepreneurship, and retail transformations.
1. The Transition from Taco to Burrito Trade
Overview: Nick and Jack explore the escalating trade tensions initiated by President Trump, moving from the previously dubbed "Taco Trade" to what they term the "Burrito Trade." This shift signifies a more aggressive and unwavering stance on tariffs, potentially impacting global markets and Wall Street.
Key Points:
- Historical Context: The trade war commenced 105 days prior on April 2nd, marked by significant stock market declinesāāStocks fell 14% in the four days after Trump declared trade war on the whole worldā ([00:57] Nick).
- Taco Trade: Initially characterized by Trump's tendency to announce tariffs and subsequently retract them, leading to investor skepticism. Nick refers to this as the āshrug marketā where investors largely ignored the threats due to their perception of them as bluffs.
- Shift to Burrito Trade: Recent developments indicate Trumpās determination to enforce tariffs without backing down. This includes āa dozen new tariff threats in the last dozen daysā ([07:27] Jack), targeting 25 countries with tariffs ranging from 30% to 50% effective August 1st.
- Market Implications: Despite the barrage of tariffs, stocks remain at all-time highs, suggesting that Wall Street might believe Trumpās current stance is genuine. The hosts posit that if Trump follows through, it could tarnish his credibility as a dealmaker, leading to sustained market turbulence.
Notable Quote: Nick summarizes their theory at [10:02]:
āThe burrito trade. We'll explain in a few. Yeah, it is. It is the opposite of the taco trade.ā
Takeaway: The transition from the unpredictable "Taco Trade" to the steadfast "Burrito Trade" could signal enduring economic repercussions, emphasizing the need for investors to brace for potential market volatility.
2. Jimmy Butlerās High-End Coffee Venture
Overview: The hosts spotlight NBA star Jimmy Butler's ambitious foray into the coffee industry with his second venture, Big Face Coffee. Butler aims to revolutionize the coffee market by introducing ultra-premium offerings, including a $100 flight of specialty coffees.
Key Points:
- Brand Strategy: Big Face positions itself similarly to fine wine, leveraging premium pricing to signify quality and exclusivity. The $100 flight includes three tiny cups of meticulously crafted coffee, likened to a āMichelin style mocha sensory experienceā ([12:03] Jack).
- Market Trends: Butlerās initiative aligns with the growing trend of professional athletes launching branded ventures, such as energy drinks, but with a focus on coffeeāa larger market segment.
- Consumer Experience: The minimalist store designs in Miami and San Francisco have become "influencer meccas," attracting significant social media attention and long lines.
- Origins: Butlerās interest in high-quality coffee began during the COVID-19 pandemic when he meticulously brewed his own coffee for teammates, leading to the creation of Big Face.
Notable Quote: Nick encapsulates the ventureās essence at [14:03]:
āBecause why can't fine coffee be priced and appreciated like fine wine?ā
Takeaway: Jimmy Butlerās Big Face Coffee challenges traditional pricing models in the coffee industry by introducing luxury-priced offerings, questioning whether coffee can attain the same prestige and appreciation as fine wine.
3. Targetās Declining Performance and Influencer Economy Turnaround
Overview: Target, once a retail powerhouse known for trendy collaborations and customer-friendly innovations, is experiencing a significant downturn. Nick and Jack propose a bold strategy to reinvigorate Target by integrating the influencer economy into its physical stores.
Key Points:
- Current Struggles: Target's sales have declined for two consecutive years, and its stock is down by 60% while competitors like Walmart and Costco reach all-time highs. Issues cited include longer checkout lines, less appealing collaborations, and a cluttered store environment ([19:05] Jack).
- Proposed Solution: To transform Target into the "physical store for the influencer economy," the hosts suggest:
- Influencer Studios: Redesign portions of Target stores to include dedicated spaces where influencers can create content, such as tutorials and product showcases.
- Sampling Programs: Offer influencers unlimited samples of Targetās products in exchange for tagging Target in their promotional content.
- Expected Outcome: By fostering strong relationships with micro-influencers, Target can enhance its brand visibility and appeal to a broader, engaged audience, potentially reversing its decline.
Notable Quote: Jack outlines the influencer studio concept at [20:45]:
āIt's gonna have a kitchen, a bathroom and a dressing room for tutorial videos.ā
Takeaway: By embracing the influencer economy and providing dedicated spaces for content creation, Target can revitalize its brand presence and reconnect with modern consumers, positioning itself as the go-to retail destination recommended by trusted voices.
Additional Insights
Inflation Report: The latest report indicates a 2.7% increase in prices year-over-year for June, up from Mayās 2.4%. The hosts attribute this rise to the ongoing trade war, suggesting that companies are passing the increased costs onto consumers ([22:31] Jack).
Starbucks' Secret Menu: Starbucks has officially integrated its previously exclusive secret menu into the regular offerings available through their app, raising questions about the essence of a "secret" menu ([22:53] Nick).
Private Jet Tax Breaks: A new bill introduces bonus depreciation for private jets, allowing companies to write off the entire cost in the first year. This move has positively impacted private jet stocks, which have risen by 5% ([23:16] Nick).
Correction on Longest US Flight: A listener correction revealed that the Miami to Seattle flight, launched by Alaskan Airlines three years ago, is now the longest flight within the continental contiguous United States at 2,724 miles, surpassing the previously longest Boston to San Francisco route ([23:53] Jack).
Conclusion
Nick and Jack wrap up the episode by reiterating their key takeaways:
- Burrito Trade: A definitive move by Trump to uphold tariffs, potentially destabilizing markets.
- Big Face Coffee: Jimmy Butler's venture elevates coffee to a luxury experience, akin to fine wine.
- Targetās Influencer Strategy: A strategic pivot to embrace the influencer economy could restore Targetās market position.
They also remind listeners about upcoming live shows, giveaways, and shout-outs to their community, fostering a strong connection with their audience.
Notable Quotes with Timestamps:
- ā[00:57] Nick: And the only reason Trump paused all those tariffs for 90 days, because the stock market was tanking and CEOs were freaking out.ā
- ā[10:02] Nick: The burrito trade. We'll explain in a few. Yeah, it is. It is the opposite of the taco trade.ā
- ā[14:03] Nick: Because why can't fine coffee be priced and appreciated like fine wine?ā
- ā[20:45] Jack: It's gonna have a kitchen, a bathroom and a dressing room for tutorial videos.ā
This episode provides a comprehensive analysis of significant business developments, blending insightful commentary with strategic foresight, making it an invaluable listen for anyone keen on understanding the current economic and entrepreneurial trends.