Podcast Summary: The Best One Yet
Episode: “The Predictions Pod” — SpaceX’s Olympics, Starbucks’ Library, OpenAI’s company town
Hosts: Jack Crivici-Kramer & Nick Martell
Date: January 5, 2026
Duration: ~20 minutes
Overview
In this energizing “Predictions Pod,” Nick and Jack present their three bold, business “wishes” for 2026, aiming to spur both big thinkers in industry and their audience to imagine a wilder, more collaborative future. Ditching safe predictions, they advocate for transformative moves from the likes of OpenAI, Starbucks, and SpaceX—each blending business logic with societal impact. The episode’s tone is playful, witty, and brimming with the duo’s signature dynamic.
Key Topics & Discussion Points
[00:36] Why “Wishes” Instead of Predictions
- Nick & Jack frame their yearly “wishes” as ideas with business merit rather than mere forecasts—“We wish that these things would happen, and we think there is a solid business case for each one of these that they could and should happen” (Nick, 02:14).
- They review last year’s track record (1 out of 3 correct, “ish”): Disney didn’t buy Spirit, but did launch a Disney-themed airplane ([02:09] – [03:33]), underscoring that the line between wild and real business moves is often blurry.
[05:01] Wish #1: OpenAI Builds the First AI “Company Town”
- Proposal: OpenAI and Sam Altman should build “Sam Land”—America’s first new “company town” in a century, integrating data centers, advanced “AI homes,” and nuclear-powered infrastructure.
- Why?: AI’s energy demands are unsustainable by current grids, and public trust in AI is waning, unlike investor enthusiasm ([05:11] – [06:04]).
- Vision:
- Smart housing filled with hardware: “Hey Chat, turn down the temperature. Hey Chat, turn up the movie. Hey Chat, read me that chicken recipe” (Nick, 07:31).
- Homes offered at subsidized prices—showcasing tech’s benefit to society, not just the wealthy ([07:42] – [08:14]).
- Historical Precedent:
- Pullman, Illinois (railroads), Hershey, Pennsylvania (chocolate), Starbase, Texas (space)—why not Altman, Idaho for AI? ([08:20] – [08:55])
- Memorable Quote: “It feeds three birds with one scone” (Nick, 07:56)—addressing the housing crisis, energy transition, and demonstrating AI’s positive impact.
Takeaway:
“Titans of industry love building company towns. [...] Play to Sam’s ego and show the country that the AI boom doesn’t just benefit tech venture capitalists.” (Jack & Nick, [09:00]).
[09:18] Wish #2: Starbucks Should Build Latte Libraries
- Proposal: Starbucks needs a bold pivot: transform select stores into “Starbucks Libraries” or “Latte Libraries”—spaces for reading, writing, and studying.
- “Renovate select Starbucks stores to prioritize reading, writing, and studying. Like a library.” (Jack, 10:43).
- Context/Problems:
- Starbucks is not being disrupted, but “eroded” by hipper, nimbler chains (Dutch Bros, Blank Street); brand loyalty wanes; cumbersome menus; store closures and labor unrest ([09:38] – [10:05]).
- The Idea in Practice:
- Shelves of books, cozy lounge furniture, no purchase required—mirroring a model piloted in China ([11:07] – [12:13]).
- Possibility for partnerships with public libraries or special in-store spaces.
- Cultural Resonance/Trend:
- The “third place” ethos (neither home nor work), anti-screen movement, and nostalgia for long coffee shop hangs ([12:30] – [13:18]).
- Memorable Quote:
- “You can’t just pumpkin spice your stock back to growth, can you, Jack?” (Nick, 10:15)
- “Starbucks has been in its decaffeinated era for four years now as far as we can tell.” (Nick, 10:25)
- Hosts’ Personal Touch:
- Jack shares that his favorite memories involved reading at Barnes & Nobles while his parents sipped Starbucks (11:24).
Takeaway:
“The Starbucks Library is a beta that the third place still exists.” (Jack, 12:30)
“Adding books to the beans is an idea we think is worth pursuing.” (Nick, 13:24)
[14:16] Wish #3: SpaceX Hosts the Olympics… in Outer Space
- Proposal: As SpaceX targets a massive 2026 IPO, it should “resurrect the International Space Station (ISS)” and tie its branding to a landmark event—a 2028 Olympic competition in space.
- Rationale:
- The ISS is scheduled for decommissioning (2031), just when a new space race is heating up/reengaging global interest ([15:33] – [16:00]).
- “Space is getting hot again. It’s cold up there, but it’s also hot” (Jack, 16:07).
- The Vision:
- SpaceX revives the ISS as a global collaboration hub for competitions: “Imagine a chess competition in the International Space Station as part of the 2028 Olympics” (Jack, 17:33).
- Or even “a gymnastics competition on the moon without gravity” (Nick, 17:39).
- ISS is rebranded as “the International Space Sports Station.”
- Why Symbolism Matters:
- “There is nothing more symbolic of peace and human cooperation than the Olympics.” (Jack, 17:13).
- Outer space should “belong to all of us” (Nick, 17:44).
Takeaway:
“SpaceX should host a 2028 Olympic competition in outer space.” (Jack, 17:59)
[18:16] Recap of the Three Wishes
- OpenAI: Build Altman, Idaho—AI housing, data centers, and nuclear power ([18:16]).
- Starbucks: Create “Latte Libraries”—boldly reclaiming the third place ([18:29]).
- SpaceX: Revive the ISS and bring the Olympics to space ([18:40]).
[19:05] Bonus “Wishes” Rapid-Fire
- Equinox Airport Lounge: The first airport gym and health club ([19:13]).
- Amazon Buy Local Button: Offer a prompt to buy from nearby main street stores ([19:39]).
- DoorDash No Service Fee: Become the first delivery app to drop the service fee—“DoorDash should pull a Robinhood” (Jack, 20:17).
[20:37] The Best Fact Yet: Wall Street’s Bad Prediction Record
- Stat: Median stock forecast misses by 14 percentage points (2003–2023), per NYT ([21:06]).
- Examples:
- 2023: Predicted +6%; actual +22%.
- 2024: Predicted market drop; actual +25% ([21:23] – [21:33]).
- Quote:
- “Whatever stock market prediction you hear right now, we predict it’s the wrong prediction.” (Nick, 21:42)
Notable Quotes & Fun Moments
- “We’re not predicting that TikTok is going to get sold this year. Everyone knows that’s true. We’re predicting something wild.” – Jack, [01:38]
- “There is no such thing as a wrong prediction. It just hasn’t happened yet.” – Jack, [03:41]
- “I got cappuccino paralysis.” – Nick, [10:05]
- “Makes the pyramids look like an impulse buy.” – Nick, [15:51]
Conclusion & Tone
Nick and Jack deliver an episode that’s equal parts wry and visionary, spurring listeners (and the companies mentioned) to imagine bolder business moves—not just incremental tweaks. Their “wishes” marry social need, brand revival, and spectacle, urging business leaders to look beyond their balance sheets.
Useful For:
Anyone interested in business predictions, innovation, branding, or just craving a punchy take on where America’s biggest companies could go next. Each wish is audacious, underpinned by economic reality, and presented in the best way yet.
