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Bill Simmons
You're listening to the Bill Simmons podcast presented by FanDuel. FanDuel has made it easier than ever to see how your bets are doing without even opening the app. Now you can get the latest updates. Follow along in real time directly from your phone's lock screen. Yeah, or Apple Watch. No login required, just head to your My Bets page to turn it on. If you don't already have it. Download the FanDuel Sportsbook app today to get in on the action. The Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please visit rg-help.com to learn more about the resources and helplines available and listen to the end of this episode for additional details. You must be 21 plus in president select states. Gambling problem. Call 100 Gamble or visit rg-help.com the prestige TV podcast we broke down episode seven, the second to last episode of White Lotus season three. Me, Mallory, Joanna. You could check that out on Spotify on video. This episode is brought to you by VRBO Private Vacation Rentals. With vrbo, you always get the whole house so you and your fellow fans can cheer on your team in peace. What's worse than watching a game with somebody who's not rooting for the same team? You're rooting for nothing. But that's why if you book a vacation house with vrbo, you know all the people in your house, they'll be friends. They'll be family. Ideally, they'll be the ones who also root for my teams. Plan a winning vacation. Make it a vrbove. We're also brought to you by the Ringer Podcast Network. If you missed our Prestige TV podcast about White Lotus episode seven, go check that out. Rewatchables is coming Monday night. It's gonna be the live show that we did in Boston at House of Blues. Me, Rosillo, Chris Ryan, Sean Fennesee. A great time was had by all. I had a ball. It was awesome. It was great to finally do one in Boston. So that is coming and you'll be able to watch that on The Ringer Moves YouTube channel. Or you can watch it as a video on Spotify. We have big announcement. So once upon a time at Grantland, I used to work with a guy named Zach Lowe. We hired him from Sports Illustrated and he became an awesome, awesome basketball writer and podcast for us over the next few years. I left Grantland. We have not worked together for 10 years and now we are going to be working together again because Zach Lowe is coming to the ringer and he's coming to Spotify and he's going to have his podcast and we are going to launch it next week. Zach is going to be on my podcast on Tuesday. We're going to catch up on basketball and a whole bunch of things. But get ready, we have a trailer coming. We have the podcast name. I think he might even. I don't even know if Zach knows this, but there might be a TikTok. So lots of good stuff coming. But obviously Zach's one of the best people I've ever worked with and was really hoping at some point in life we would get to work together again. So it's happening and it's going to be in time for the end of the NBA season. We're going to get his awards, which I always loved reading, and then we'll get him for the playoffs and beyond. So Zach Lowe, welcome aboard. Couldn't be happier about it. Coming up, I'm going to talk to Ryan Marcillo and Chris Vernon at the very top because we got to find out what's happening in Memphis. First, our friends from Pearl Jam. All right, recording just after 6pm Priscilla was here as always on Sunday nights. Chris Vernon joining us from Memphis. Memphis was in the news this week. They fired their coach. It was shocking. I guess it wasn't that shocking if you looked at their record last 25 games. But Verno, before we we find out from you what happened. Rossillo, give us your 30 second reaction to finding out Memphis had fired their coach with three weeks left in the season when they were a top five seed.
Ryan Rosillo
It made all the off season stuff make sense. When you blast out a guy's entire assistant staff and don't really consult him to bring in the new assistants and then run an offense that, that I don't think he wanted to run. That they wanted. They won too many games for them to do something ultimately that they really wanted to do. And for them to do this when everybody thinks he's a pretty good coach and considering the injuries, for them to do this, this means they've wanted to fire him for over a year. Is my outside take.
Bill Simmons
All right, now Verno's inside take Verno. You're, you're in Memphis. You also host the mismatch for us, but you're in Memphis. You're doing the, all the, all the pregame shows. You had the, you have the, the radio show. This is your city. Were you surprised?
Chris Vernon
Absolutely stunned. Stunned.
Ryan Rosillo
Stunned.
Bill Simmons
Okay.
Chris Vernon
Yeah. Oh, yes. Absolutely stunned. Not that nobody fires their coach with nine games to go. Like, right. I think we were all of the opinion. I Agree with Ryan. Right. Like okay, this has gone the wrong way, but teams go the wrong way a lot during NBA seasons. We've seen it over and over again where you're just not playing, you're not playing anywhere near your best basketball at the end of the year. And sometimes the coach can beat it, but you're deciding on a pie chart how much the coach is to blame. But one of the things that is common is that you play it out and then in the off season something takes place because you're that far down the line because you, how many, how many big changes can happen with nine games left to go? And the answer I guess is still to be found out because what they're attempting to do is throw on the emergency break here at the end and say look, they got nine games left. You don't want to be or I guess eight games now after last night against the Lakers, but you don't want to be in a play in situation. You're probably going to have to get to at least say 48 wins in order to not be in a play in situation. So that means you got to play 500 and you haven't played 500 in a long time. You haven't beaten a team over 500 since February 2nd. And so it's like yeah, this is way late in the season but it's kind of nut cutting time. Like if you're, if you're going to not be in the play in and if unfortunately for them in the playoffs you have to play a good team every round to be able to beat a good team. Like then you want to try something different even if it is this late. But it's the, I think I, I think I fall in line with everybody. It's not that they did it, it's when they did it. The timing of this. Usually you don't get this late in the season before a guy is let go.
Bill Simmons
So last 25 games they were 11 and 14 15th net rating as you mentioned. And I didn't even realize that they hadn't had a good win in that long until you texted us that. And I went back and looked at the schedule and I was like, oh my, my God. I, I guess Priscilla, the thing that with when you do something like this it makes me think that they think they still have a chance to make the Western finals and it wasn't going to happen with the current situation but if they can change the coaching maybe they have a chance to make the Western finals. And I think I disagree. But on the other hand, like, this was the team everyone wanted to play in the West. You know, like if, if you were, if you were in the 6, 7, 8 range, you were like, man, it would be really cool if we could play Memphis. So I think that's why you make the change. But I don't think they have enough talent to be dangerous in the west, do you?
Ryan Rosillo
No. They're like, I don't know if I should say my least favorite team, but I have to get all the way to Dallas before I'm as not as excited about another team. And depending on how the.
Bill Simmons
In the west, you mean.
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah, if you look at the west and you say, you know what, what's the best case scenario? Because it's just crazy that it feels like not that long ago this is a team that was a two seed back to back seasons and you're like, man, like what, what could this team do? And this makes sense. And we're all excited about Ja and they've got all these nice young players and you're like, okay with these playoff losses. These are their, you know, we've talked about this a lot the last couple of weeks. These are their seasoning seasons. And then they have their injury issues. And then when you watch them this year, you know, they, they still had a decent enough record. Even 11, 14 isn't really that bad. But when you look at, as Verno says, the record against any of the good teams, if you look at where they stand in the west and the expanded standings, they're 11 and 21 against teams that are 500 or better. You know, Golden State's 500, Minnesota's 14 and 20. So it's still marginally better. The Clippers with their stuff are 14 and 22. You got to get to Sacramento, who's the 10 seed right now, to have something that resembles how bad Memphis record is against those teams. So, you know, look, is it Jenkins? No. You know, Jot supposedly in that piece from the Athletic talked about how he didn't like the offense. I mean, the irony of this is that the Finnish guy, now that's the new head coach, like this was part of the offense that he brought from Europe. And I know when the NBA thinks where do we go for head coaching? It's like, let's start in Finland. But I, I think Laroche, the other guy who was let go with Jenkins, like he was big on this offense too. Here's what I know. You can run whatever fucking offense you want with this team. I know exactly what it's going to look like in the last couple minutes. And I'll be honest, this is like the first season with Ja where I go, I think I'm out. I'm not all the way out right now. I don't want to make that official statement because he's still young enough, but when he's the face of your franchise and leader, like, look, man, I text Verno texted me a single tear emoji on a face after I did an open a couple years ago. It's the whoop. That trick game where they beat the Golden State warriors, they're down 3 1. They won by 39 points. I think Recency Bill had a take that you can't win an NBA championship having that kind of loss in the playoffs.
Bill Simmons
Recency Bill was. Came out big that day.
Ryan Rosillo
Right? Right. And I know it was fun, and it's probably a memory a lot of Memphis fans will have because that was a lot of fun for everybody that night. Ja, by the way, didn't play in that game, if anybody needs that reminder. And look, it's going to be a little mean, but my initial thought watching that game was these guys are losers, okay? And I wanted them to get their asses handed to them in game six, and they did.
Chris Vernon
So, wait, so are you the one that called Dylan Brooks and told him to shoot it 30 times? Thanks a lot, Ron Ryan. In retrospect, now I find out who told you, who told you.
Ryan Rosillo
You know what? Perfect transition. Cause then in the next year, they lose to the Lakers. They. They lose in six. They. What do they lose by 40 points in game six?
Bill Simmons
And everyone blamed Dylan Brooks, right?
Ryan Rosillo
Well, Dylan Brooks brought it on himself a lot, too. Like, that was this. That was the off season of where it was like, get ready to learn China, buddy. And it was like, you know, I'm saying that wrong on purpose, but, you know, he was like, I'm going to be the bully with LeBron. And then he.
Chris Vernon
No, no. He said, I poke bears.
Ryan Rosillo
Right? But I'm just saying he wanted to be the bully in the series against LeBron. And then he didn't want to do a media availability, what, twice after, like, two of the losses.
Chris Vernon
Right?
Ryan Rosillo
So the.
Bill Simmons
The Vernon drove him to the airport. He just wanted to make sure he got on the plane.
Ryan Rosillo
Hey, look. And Brooks has proven he was worth the contract. So, like, my. My overall thing with this team, Verno, is that it went from this, like, really likable underdog. We don't give a shit. This is who we are. You know, the grizzlies identity to. You guys haven't done shit in, like, four years. And I know injuries are part of the story. And it's like, I'll watch some of these games. It's like, dude, you guys carry yourselves like you've done something in this league.
Chris Vernon
They do not. They do not carry themselves like that anymore.
Ryan Rosillo
He's unfavorable right now, Chris. He's insufferable to watch right now.
Chris Vernon
They don't carry themselves like. I mean, when is that. Look, that's part of the problem is the. That whole edge, that whole fun that. All that stuff that basically Oklahoma City has completely stolen from the Grizzlies. But you guys all, you know, ejaculate over it.
Ryan Rosillo
Why? You know why? Because they're good.
Bill Simmons
Because they win.
Chris Vernon
Well, the Grizzlies were good, right? Like, and then what happens is you are the good young team. You're the new kid on the block. And then you get beat. And then everybody loves to. To say that your chest was out too much and you want to push down a peg, Right? Here's the deal. They have over the course of the last. Last year was a completely lost season.
Ryan Rosillo
Absolutely.
Chris Vernon
And this season, Morant. I think Morant wanted to have the, like, revenge season, right? And I think he wanted to come.
Bill Simmons
Back and prove it was going to happen. He was texting me in house and we tell him that he's revenge season.
Chris Vernon
That he's way down the list on all of these, like, best players in the league and all that kind of stuff, and everybody's just forgotten about him, Right. He got in the trouble then last year he lost the season. So he comes back this year, and next thing you know, and I know you say it doesn't matter what kind of offense they run. I don't agree because I was in, unfortunately, with my mismatched brethren, Jacoby in New York City, and I was there watching the Knicks beat the Grizzlies by a thousand. And what happened is you. You started running an offense that famously, you can go find every article doesn't run ball screens. They run less ball screens than any team in the entire NBA. So guess what happened this year. What happens is, team comes out and they say, all right, we're going to guard you with Mikel Bridges, who's 6 foot 9 and has a 710 wingspan.
Ryan Rosillo
And.
Chris Vernon
And he's going to be guarding you the entire time. And guess who? You're never going to get off of you because your team doesn't use ball screens. And so next thing you know, John Morant standing in the corner playing thumb wars with Mel Bridges. And the whole world is like, what is going on? This guy's one of the best players in the world. So then they tried to save it this year in. Well, I mean, in March.
Bill Simmons
Hold that point.
Chris Vernon
In, in March, he's. He's averaged what, 38 and 5 while shooting 50% from the field in the games that he's played. Right? Like, and they've. Because they. But if you go back and watch, they've started running all these high ball screens again. They've started get. They. They've moved it back because it got to such a breaking point. And it's like, hold on. Now we've got an offense that is good for players six through 10, maybe players four through 10. But is it.
Bill Simmons
But not one through three.
Chris Vernon
But is it the best thing for your best player? Right? And, and obviously. And it hasn't been the best for Desmond Bain either. Right. Like, so there's been a push and pull to this and obviously burnout. When they play against good teams. It's been all year. They haven't been able to beat good teams. Their record is based upon them beating up bad things.
Bill Simmons
Enough foreplay. This to me is a whole JA situation. And Ja doesn't play enough. And ja's not reliable enough. And I wrote down, can you actually compete for a title if you can't count on your best guy emotionally or physically? Now think about like Embiid is in that class, right? Kawhi and the Clippers. Not Kawhi before the Clippers, but Kawhi during the Clippers. Is he going to be out there? What am I getting. Is he going to be out there in April? I have no idea. C. Webb on the Kings after the 01 playoffs. Is he playing? Is he not playing? I don't know. Vince Carter, Allen Iverson, Kyrie, before Dallas Zion. Right now, if you don't have that reliability with your best guy, can you even have a chance to win a title? And I think the answer is no. He's 25 now. He made all NBA second team three years ago and this year he's missed 30 games already. And it's not even like a Brunson thing where he got hurt and he's out for six weeks. Like he just. He'll miss eight games. He'll miss six games. He'll miss three games. When you go to work, do you even know if Ja's playing? That's the season he's had.
Chris Vernon
Yeah. No. And that has Been frustrating across the board. Right. Because he had this. He started off well and then he got hurt and he got clipped out of the air by Christian Coloco. Then he came back, then he was playing in a game in New Orleans and he ran into a Daniel Tice screen and his shoulder got screwed up again. And then he's. I mean, it's just been one thing after another. Super.
Bill Simmons
But is that his going to be his career? I guess is my question. Because he just seems like a nagging injury guy to me.
Chris Vernon
And maybe, maybe it will be. But I will say I. I have always stood tall on this, that over the years, there is a reason. And you're the guy that wrote the book of basketball. There's a reason. These guys, no matter how great they are, no matter what level you think they're at, I don't know why it's the number, but they're 27 years old. They are 20, I think.
Bill Simmons
Yeah.
Chris Vernon
Yeah.
Ryan Rosillo
Is that what he's going to learn to shoot?
Chris Vernon
I don't know. Did Jalen Brown learn how to shoot? Because I heard you guys shit on him for eight straight years and then he won finals MVP last year. So I. It can happen.
Ryan Rosillo
He shot over 31% one time out of the last five years. I mean, you really want to compare him to Jaylen Brown? Like, you think you're hurting my feelings, but you're not.
Bill Simmons
Yeah, that's it. That wasn't the way to go at Priscilla. I would have. I would have attacked Blake Ladley in.
Ryan Rosillo
The town before Jalen was 31, 40% in his second year from three. I mean, look, Vernon, what I would say is.
Chris Vernon
What I'm saying is the point is at 27, guys change, it is happened over and over again.
Bill Simmons
But will this change when I watch Memphis, especially in the last four minutes?
Chris Vernon
It's my only hope, Bill. I only hope is that it changes.
Bill Simmons
He's just going to the basket, right? And he's probably, if he's not the most electric guy in the league, going to the basket with the game on the line, he's in the top three. And that's what you're doing over and over again. I always say this with, with other guys, too. In the playoff series, I kind of feel like I know what Memphis is doing in the last three minutes. And guess what? They're going to give Ja the ball. He's going to go to the basketball. And over the course of four rounds, either I'm stopping it or he's getting hurt. And I think that's the point in the career that he's at. And that's why, you know, but this.
Chris Vernon
Is a, this is a little recency.
Bill Simmons
Bias because he's verno. He's played 301 games. Six years.
Chris Vernon
I got it.
Bill Simmons
301 total.
Chris Vernon
I was listening to this pod a month ago and you guys were going bonkers over how great Jaren Jackson has become.
Ryan Rosillo
I love him.
Chris Vernon
So there is, is a difference now.
Bill Simmons
There is a difference, right?
Chris Vernon
Between, between. Jaren Jackson's closed a lot of games for the Grizzlies this year. Jared Jackson had a lot of big fourth quarters for the Grizzlies this year, and obviously they've got to figure out a way. Look, last night they job was not very good, but they all had 20 plus in the game. But they can't give up 135 points. Like, you're not winning any games if you give up 135 points. But the trick is, can you get all three of those guys playing great simultaneously? And if you can, then you've got a chance to be a really good team.
Ryan Rosillo
What do you, what do you mean by really good? Like, give us, give us what you think the ceiling version of this group is.
Chris Vernon
This group. This group, I would say, winning a first round series, it would be the ceiling.
Bill Simmons
Oof.
Chris Vernon
I do not think they can get.
Bill Simmons
Wow, that got dark.
Chris Vernon
Well, I mean, that's what you're. There's only four teams remaining. Do I think they're one of the best four teams in the Western Conference? No.
Bill Simmons
We were doing. Is. Are the Grizzlies the Stealth title contender in the league before the season? Now, now I'm going to do a celebration if they win one round.
Chris Vernon
No, no, no, no. Hold on now you're asking me what they do? Okay, well, if you win a second round series, you're in the Western Conference finals.
Bill Simmons
True. Okay, so now do I have a question for Resillo? And then do I think they'll be.
Chris Vernon
In the west final? Like, I mean, I think if they won a fir at this point, if they won a first round series, I'd be happy.
Bill Simmons
Rossillo, is job better in any way from three years ago? No, from what you've seen, it's worse. You think it's worse?
Ryan Rosillo
I've been a little harsh here, but like every now and then I have to be honest with the thoughts I have from five months on the couch. And if I look at the job part of it, his third year in, he's seventh in MVP. He's 22 years old. It's the only year he shot it. Well, from three, he was 34%. His rookie year, he was 30%. His second year, then he was 34%. And from three since then, 31. Granted, you could throw away 23, 24. He played nine games, so he was under 30%. But this year, 44 games, he's 29% again from three, and he's never played more than 67 games in a series. That was his rookie year. It's 63. 57. Yeah. In a. In a season, you're right. And then this year, it's. It's 44. My. My issue is this. It's a couple. It's a couple different things, and I'll make them quick. When he got into trouble, and this is, again, me only reading everything else everybody else read. So it's not like anybody talked to me about it. So maybe the NBA had more information. I thought it was an excessive punishment. Okay. As dumb as it was that he.
Bill Simmons
Did, I did, too.
Ryan Rosillo
I was saying at the time, I actually think this is pretty excessive in the NBA is like trying to set an example here. So you have this shoe deal. You have the max contract. I mean, he's getting paid major guaranteed money the rest of the way. Like, this guy is about to be. He's on the cusp of, like, being one of the faces of the franchise. And I think everybody felt really good about it because he was so goddamn fun to watch. And when he did the interview with Jalen Rose, I was like, oh, that scared me, man. It scared me because there was like, oh, you actually think everybody else is the stupid one here. And so as I continue to watch which direction it's gone, four straight years of the advanced stuff going in the wrong direction. And when I've watched them this year and maybe look, you know this team a hundred times better than I do. And the frustrations with the offense. But I also felt like his play led to more frustration where it was just this high barreling, like, let me in the half court. Them trying to figure out a way to get him free led to him just being like, I'm gonna. I'm just gonna barrel into dudes, and then I'm gonna. And I'm not gonna get back in the defense. And when you start doing that kind of stuff and you're distracted with the game, even though I know a lot of guys complain, I just found it, like, unlikable. And I'm sitting there thinking, if this is the face of your franchise now, at 25 I do think you have major problems in a way that I was hopeful for him three years ago. I am not today.
Bill Simmons
You don't think he can grow?
Chris Vernon
You don't think he can grow up?
Bill Simmons
Well, there's two questions, right? Can he grow up and mature? We've seen guys do it, especially as they hit their mid-20s. The other problem is the durability thing. I was shocked. I was looking at his basketball reference. I thought there was one season when he played. He hasn't played more than 2,100 minutes in a season ever. I look at something like that and then you look at the three point shooting's not better. The free throw attempts are going down from where they were a couple years ago. I just. All that stuff worries me. The team's getting worse. This coach just got fired and it seems like. I don't know if this is. I was asking around, trying to get basically gossip about this situation from people. What do you think happened? And the consensus, which may or may not be true, is that the organization and the GM was higher on JA as the face of a franchise than the coach was. And that became a real issue between the two sides. I don't know.
Chris Vernon
I don't think that's true at all.
Bill Simmons
You don't think that's true?
Chris Vernon
No. Taylor loved ja. Loved him.
Bill Simmons
Do you think Taylor felt like he could succeed with JA long term?
Chris Vernon
Yes. I think JA was probably the least of the issues. Ja's availability is a serious issue. Right.
Ryan Rosillo
So what are the issues? Like, what can you tell us?
Chris Vernon
Ja's availability.
Bill Simmons
So what are the issue? But that. But that is an issue, though. That's part of the job thing, that you're building a franchise around a guy who you don't know if he's going to be out there or not. That's a real thing.
Chris Vernon
I think my opinion would be that Taylor probably changed this year in some ways because the staff got gutted. Right, Right.
Ryan Rosillo
Who's going to be happy about that?
Chris Vernon
And here's the other thing, and this is something that I've been very critical of them about. They have got to have veterans in the locker room. So they tried it last year, but then the season went to hell, so it didn't matter. And that was Marcus Smart and that was Derrick Rose who did great veteran leadership. No, but they did. They did have an impact on Morant. Right.
Bill Simmons
Okay.
Chris Vernon
You hadn't heard one bad thing about Morant in a year and a half. Like, he has not been.
Ryan Rosillo
No, but I'm just saying, like, if you're going to Marcus Smart to solve your locker room problems. You made a mistake. A Derrick Rose is a different conversation. Because I think people love Derrick Rose and I think Derrick is like, awesome. And everybody loves that dude.
Chris Vernon
The idea is a guy that's been through a lot of games, a guy's been through a lot of seasons, a guy that's played a lot of NBA minutes and playoffs.
Bill Simmons
What the Pistons did this year when they got some of their old guys.
Chris Vernon
Yeah, right. Just somebody to turn to. Right. And then again, it was another double down on youth. That's where it went wrong two years ago with the team that Rosillo ended up hating. Right. Like, the team that they loved had Tyus Jones and it had D. Anthony Melton and it had Kyle Anderson, and before that they had Jay Crowder and they had Solomon Hill and they had these guys. Right. Like, there's no vet. There's nobody on the team over 30.
Bill Simmons
Oh, shit. Is that true?
Chris Vernon
There's nobody on the team.
Bill Simmons
Well. Cause the other thing I wrote down.
Ryan Rosillo
Contra 29 and so.
Bill Simmons
But they violated my too many guys theory too. Every. How many guys in that roster are. Like, I could be playing 35 minutes right now. You can't have more than like 11 of those. Like, I saw Gigi Jackson was. Got sent to the G League. Right.
Chris Vernon
And also good. I know, but one of the big problems is they play 11 guys.
Bill Simmons
Right.
Chris Vernon
Too many minutes. Right?
Bill Simmons
Right. Well, yeah, you're in that yin and the yang.
Chris Vernon
They play too many guys. You know, they play 11 guys too many minutes in the games. But I would say that you've got to have veterans in that locker room. And I think that because we can always. Like, the coach is the guy that's going to fall on the sword when things go wrong. Right. But locker rooms are about those players. And I do think that in the absence of a veteran and in the absence of your best player, like, it's hard to be the guy and a voice when you're not available. So Banes kind of walked into that role for the team and I. I think that there. So I think there was a couple things at play here. I think you had, you know, a guy who probably changed up a little bit because he's. It's a new offense and now he's got a frustrated star, whatever. And there's really. There's no guy in the locker room to be like, hey, this is okay. Everything's going to be fine, or guy in the locker room, like, who's throwing a chair, who's making sure that this.
Bill Simmons
Thing gets turned around because shoving Aldama into the bench.
Chris Vernon
Yeah.
Bill Simmons
Oh, it's Desmond Bain.
Chris Vernon
It's Desmond Bain. That did happen. And so they were, like, melting down amongst themselves. But as you said, I mean, they're 9 and 14 in their last 23 games. Five of those wins are against Phoenix and Utah.
Bill Simmons
Yeah.
Chris Vernon
So they haven't beaten anybody.
Bill Simmons
I have a question for Versillo and Verna. You're not allowed to answer because you would be too positive on it.
Chris Vernon
All right.
Bill Simmons
If I have JA and Bane and Triple J for the next five years, is that enough? Is that. Could that be my version of a Big three, or do I need to start thinking, where am I going to be two years from now? And do I need to trade Bayne or. Or. Or ja? Can I build around those three guys and build an actual title team around those three guys?
Ryan Rosillo
No, you can't. That's not a title team. Because here's the problem. And it's interesting that you talked about Taylor's relationship with Jod. Again, Verno knows this stuff way better than you or I do, so I'm deferring to you on this. But, like, knowing how Zach is and how, by the way, he's been awesome, like, if you just go through all the transactions, like, he's generally been really good. He's kind of ahead of people on some stuff. There's so many players on this roster that I do like. Like, I like Aldama this year. I always like Bane. I fell in love with Triple J this year just because I feel like he took it to another level of just all of his offensive stuff. I think the Ed things pretty much the way I thought it would go. And, you know, there's been some nice players here or there. You know, Vince has been hurt. Gigi's been hurt. Shot selection is an issue with those dudes. But there might be something. Like, if I go through the roster, there's a lot of stuff that I like that the front office has done, but if they're as analytical about it as people suggest, then how is Jaw is a high usage? No defense, hurt a lot. Can't make threes for four years. How is that even. It's. It's like when to Darrell was running Houston and he traded for Russell Westbrook. And you go, the only reason he did this is because of Harden, because there's no way ever. There's never been a day in Daryl Morey's life where he looked at the Russell Westbrook profile And was like, I want to sign up for some of that. So I think Ja Verno, maybe I'm wrong, but I. I feel like it's a little bit. Look, I'm not comparing him to Lamelo. I'm not comparing him to Trey, because Ja at his best, was in the conversation for one of the, you know, most impactful players. Like, kind of, you know, again, that third season, what we thought he could do, even though Trey's put up the numbers. But I. I would be worried that the decision about Jaw would be about what a huge star he is in your hometown and how important that is. That. All right, maybe if we're not winning the west, at least we have something that everybody's excited about and everybody's buying the jerseys. Cause I think he falls into that category.
Chris Vernon
Well, I mean, that's not a Memphis thing, okay? Nobody. Nobody is promoted more by Nike than this guy, too. All right? So it's not just like.
Ryan Rosillo
I mean, that's. That's part of it, but.
Bill Simmons
Right.
Chris Vernon
Right. There's a lot of people that have that stock in it. I am. And again, I am of the opinion it's still in there. I mean, I've literally watched it this month. I watched him be the best player on the floor against the best team in the NBA. When Cleveland came to town, he had, like, 44, 8 and 6. I mean, he was dominant. He still got that.
Bill Simmons
Didn't you lose by 20?
Chris Vernon
No, he still got that on him. I mean, look, it's. Every time they play a good team, they lose. But.
Bill Simmons
Well, here's the thing. This is. To me, this is the crux of the issue.
Ryan Rosillo
They only lost by nine, but they got in it. They got back in it. In the fourth quarter.
Chris Vernon
They were down 25.
Bill Simmons
Yeah, they were down big.
Chris Vernon
He was awesome, though.
Bill Simmons
He was awesome. And then they just gave up layups on the other end. This is the NBA that I. You know, in. In the 90s, this was the NBA that was kind of so fascinating and so depressing at the same time, where you had all these awesome players and teams just giving up on them or wondering if they should give up on them or I don't want to trade this guy because they might blossom. And they. They went everywhere from Kenny Anderson, Leitner, Derek Coleman. But then there would be the C. Web trade, where Washington's like, ah, I don't know. We know the talents in there, but fine, we just got to bring a vet. Let's get Mitch Richmond. Then C. Webb goes to the Kings, and he's awesome. And I think that's the fear when you have one of these guys, you're not winning with them. I mean, they're winning, but they're not going to actually like win the title with Ja right now you don't want to trade them either because you don't want to trade him. And then two years from now you look like a complete shithead because he's in the Western finals averaging 32 a game.
Chris Vernon
Well, look, I know I'm in a bad spot because they just fired their coach Nagas, but like they're still right in the playoff mix. And as Ryan said, like last year's season was a thrown away season. Okay? Yeah, like the whole team got injured, they played more players than ever.
Bill Simmons
And, and, and what happened to John?
Chris Vernon
No, hold on. The two seasons before that, they were the two seed both seasons. Okay.
Ryan Rosillo
This season it's kind of crazy because it's really only one bad year.
Chris Vernon
This season. This season, before this nine and 14 stretch, they were the two seed. They were on their track to being the two seed in a, of a Western Conference three out of the last four years if before this thing went to hell. So I mean I could just pause on the whole like, where's this thing going and what are we going from here? I mean, they were about to be the 2 seed again for 3 out of 4 seasons. That's pretty damn good. And that's a pretty good reflection on your best player.
Bill Simmons
Can you walk us through how much he means to Memphis? Cause that's the part we're still and I are going to get. Like what? Like how popular is Z on a scale of 1 to 10? What does he mean, big picture?
Chris Vernon
I mean, I would say yeah. I mean he's for sure the biggest athlete we've ever had here. It's not even close.
Bill Simmons
Ever.
Chris Vernon
Yeah, it's not even close. It's not even close. I mean, Penny in college, but I mean that was a local thing, right? But I mean Jaw is a worldwide thing. And I would say, I mean like, let's just say I would tell you this. There's probably, if I went, if I dropped my kid off at school tomorrow, I would say I'd say 60% of that class, boys and girls have had a pair of jaws. I'd say at least. At least. 60%.
Ryan Rosillo
At least.
Chris Vernon
And I would say most. And most have the jersey. Most.
Ryan Rosillo
None of this surprises me. He's that much fun. I mean when he is right, it's. It's one of the most fun things in the NBA. But I. I can only share, like, personally, like, how I felt watching. And I. Over the course of this season, I went from hopeful to. I kind of couldn't stand it anymore.
Chris Vernon
And I totally get that. Because, look, he is frustrated. Me too. I'll say this. What was crazy is when I say people change. I was at the game last night watching Memphis play against the Lakers. And last year, I did this whole bit about how I can't take this Luca thing anymore. I don't care that they're winning. He is perpetually aggrieved. You remember I text you this, Ryan, when I was talking about Ja earlier this year? Like, everything is. I'm just pissy about everything. Like. And I see it in your body language. I saw Luca's teeth more last night playing for the Lakers than I've seen in all those years. I mean, he's, like, happy. He's like. He was jovial with the refs last night, like, you know, playing butt tacks.
Bill Simmons
That's not every night. He caught him on a good night.
Chris Vernon
Maybe I just caught him on a good night.
Ryan Rosillo
You did. Because he's. He's been back to pretty much normal.
Bill Simmons
Now he's all over the place.
Ryan Rosillo
Once he got back into shape, he was more. That was the funniest thing about him. When he came back with the Lakers, he was just so exhausted, he didn't have time to complain about anything.
Bill Simmons
Yeah, Chicago game a week ago. He was fighting with literally every ref. He was. He was arguing with the players of the other team. He does.
Ryan Rosillo
So you understand and the listeners understand. This isn't about me talking about, like, off the court stuff. I don't. I mean, I'm sorry, but I. I think there's a lot of guys that are probably immature that we never hear anything about, and they're some of our favorite basketball players. So I'm not even really putting this into it. What I'm saying is I think there's. Again, because of who he was in that third season, I understand how he sees himself. Right. He should. I'd rather have a guy who's confident out there than second guessing himself. But the more I've watched this year, when I think about, like, hey, it's another year where he can't hit any shots. It's another year when it's the wrong night. He's just flailing into the paint, hoping somebody fixes it for him. And there's just a lot of possessions that I don't love. I go, all right, well, if this team's in the playoffs. Like I'll tell you right now, I don't care which year you pick them to be the 2 seed. I bet you if you went through it like I think all seven other teams, one through eight would want to play Memphis in the first round this year. At least this year's team. I don't know that anybody's ever been scared of them. Maybe you take offense to that in 22, you might be right because, because that was a pretty good team. But it's just going in the for this young group that is right now supposed to be scaring some teams. It is going in a direction I did not think it was going to go to when 22 finished out.
Chris Vernon
Here's the only thing I'll say and maybe we will see the rest of the way. Look, this is going to be a very telling week. They played Boston on Monday night, they played Golden State on Tuesday night. There's no, there's nowhere to run. Right. You're having to play two of those teams that you would have to see. These are playoff caliber teams. These are two of the best teams, certainly the best teams in the last like month and a half of the season. Okay. So you're going to see that. I will also say that they've played what, 73 games so far and this is a demerit on Morant and but this season they have had. So whenever you're making your predictions on what you think is going to happen, they have had John Morant, Desmond Bain and Jaren Jackson Jr. In the lineup together. 31 of those 73 games. 31. That is a very, very low number. So there is a small sample size of what their true ceiling could be. And by the way, with those three guys on the court, they have been fantastic as they have three of the last four years when they've been on the court. And I look there, they got rid of the coach. So I mean who knows what's going to happen going forward and who knows what's going to happen with Morant and who knows if those three guys are going to be able to get to the playoffs healthy.
Ryan Rosillo
But who's guarding Jokic?
Chris Vernon
I will say, I mean I think the same guy that guards him for every team.
Bill Simmons
Every. Yeah, everybody has.
Chris Vernon
I mean who has a good option? You got a good one.
Bill Simmons
Minnesota. That's about it.
Ryan Rosillo
I think we all like Sharon.
Chris Vernon
No, they, they ended up gardening with Towns and he's in New York.
Bill Simmons
No, they, they throw that. Nas, Reed, Gobert. They throw all those dudes in him. Wait, can I read you this? Fanduel bet.
Ryan Rosillo
I just don't want Jaron to foul out in the first half. Yeah, that's.
Bill Simmons
That's a problem.
Ryan Rosillo
That's my issue.
Chris Vernon
You and me too, Zach. Edie, you don't Zach Eaty.
Bill Simmons
It's a fanduel. Fanduel has a team to advance. Bet.
Chris Vernon
Oh, great.
Bill Simmons
We can go through and be like, hey, will this team make round two? They have odds for shit like that. Memphis to make round two.
Chris Vernon
Yes.
Bill Simmons
Is plus two. 10.
Chris Vernon
Damn.
Bill Simmons
No, is minus two. 70. And then if you want to bet Memphis, hey, they're going to turn this around. West finals. Memphis to make the west finals. What do you think the odds are, Rossilla? A billion dollars has to make the west finals.
Ryan Rosillo
It's gotta be. They don't want to go crazy. I'll say it's plus 850.
Bill Simmons
See, Brazil's getting good at this. 10 to 1.
Chris Vernon
Oh, wow.
Bill Simmons
Yeah. 10 to 1.
Chris Vernon
So you're saying there's a chance. No, come on.
Bill Simmons
But it's interesting because, like, the clippers are plus 150 to make round two. Oh, and then the round two.
Ryan Rosillo
I know Verno's face. I was with you. I'm like, plus 150 to make the Western Conference finals.
Bill Simmons
But then they're plus 5, 20 to make the west finals. The Clippers. So they. The odds are low. Memphis is like the kind of the. The one to jump on if you're looking at odds.
Chris Vernon
Look. Nah, I don't even want to say it because it'd be famous. Last word. Look, the one.
Ryan Rosillo
Do it.
Bill Simmons
Yeah, just blurt it out so we could cut it. And then when a month later, just send it back to you and try to make you feel bad about it. Go ahead, say it.
Chris Vernon
Houston was the only one that we have looked at and been like, okay, maybe even when things have been going terribly just because they have no playoff scars, it's going to be their first run through. And we have played absolute wars with them this year. They are clearly been much, much better than Memphis over the course of the last month. But if there was a team that like. And Minnesota too, they've played well against Minnesota, but like those older, like, vet teams, the warriors, the Clippers, the Lakers, obviously Oklahoma City's beat the shit out of him every time they play. Like, you know that. Yeah, like, that's part of this and part of the reason that we didn't. Nobody in Memphis was like, oh, my God, we just fired the coach because we've been Sitting there for two weeks going, there's nobody we want to play in the playoffs.
Bill Simmons
Right?
Chris Vernon
Like. Like, we're not beating the Lakers. We're not beating the Warriors. We're not beating the. Like. The only teams you would have a crack against are teams that have young stars as well, minus Oklahoma City, who you have no chance against. Right.
Bill Simmons
Verno, we have to take a break. Do you want to stay with us and Talk basketball for 20 more minutes, or do you have to go to bed?
Chris Vernon
I don't have to go to bed. I'll stick around if you want me to.
Bill Simmons
You got, like, seven kids. All right, we're going to take a break. This episode is brought to you by Michelob Ultra. We are getting close to the NBA playoffs, which means we are getting close to the NBA Finals. One of my favorite sporting events. Not just because it's really fun basketball at the highest possible level, but all the historical legacy stuff. It's my favorite you've heard me talk about on the podcast many times. Speaking of finals, Michelob Ultra has given you the chance to win tickets to the NBA Finals, which I hope Boston is a part of. Not only do they make a superior beer, they're also helping fans like you get closer to the game. Michelob Ultra Superior is worth playing for. Check out michelobaltra.com NBAFinals to enter for a chance to win tickets. Michelob Ultra Courtside NBA Finals Sweepstakes. No purchase necessary. Open to U.S. residents, excluding Maryland residents. 21 and up. Ends on May 5, 2025. See official rules@mcglobaltra.com Rules for Price and detail. Message and data rates may apply. Void where prohibited. So one thing I love about hearing Verno talk about basketball is he's actually in the arena or near the arena around these teams, going to these games and picking up shit. So what have you picked up the last, like, six, seven weeks? Especially when these teams are passing through. Like, recently you had the Lakers in this weekend. What were the things you noticed that you would have noticed just from a television?
Chris Vernon
The Laker thing, The vibe was, like, great. Usually when you're around, like, the like, and I'm talking about, like, the traveling party, everybody's kind of, like, bouncing around, like. You know what I mean? Like, it's like. And then you watch Luca go out there and you're like, this is. This is stupid. Like, you see that? Last night was the first time I've seen it in person. You guys have been in person in la, but I mean, the first time you see it like, right in front of your eyes. It's different when it's on tv. You see it in front of your face, you're like, good grief. I mean, I really felt like LeBron last night. It was one of those where it's like. I think what we're going to see with LeBron, he is going to expend the minimum amount of energy until he has to, and this enables him to do that. He had to try a lot when it was just him and Anthony Davis. Like, there's all kinds of time that he doesn't even have to do anything with that theme. So I. But I also think they. I think they're going to regret calling off the Mark Williams thing. Not that he's like frigging Bill Russell, but, my God, they have no. Nothing at the rim. Nothing. I think Memphis had damn near 70 points in the paint last night. I mean, there's just once you drive past them, you know, and Reeves you can drive past, and, you know, LeBron, you know, is not the defensive stalwart that he once was. Maybe that'll change in the playoffs. Luca, obviously, you know, you just throw these guys at a bunch of different actions, and then you can get to the basket and there's nobody really there to dissuade you. They've got, you know, they'll play Jackson, Hayes, they'll play Vando, they'll play whoever. So somebody that could get to the basket a lot, going to give them problems. But, man, I mean, Reeves was the best player on the floor last night by a wide margin when I saw him. So that was. That was super interesting for me to have caught a game where Reeves was that just dynamic offensively because you wondered, how does he fit in with the other two? He was the best of the three.
Bill Simmons
Did you see the quotes from JJ after that game where he's. He. He met with them before the game and was trying to figure out how the three of them could be more aggressive working off each other. Yeah, it would be crazy if I put Reeves first team, all NBA. That's too high, right?
Ryan Rosillo
Second team, maybe on the season closes.
Bill Simmons
All right, nine games left. I don't know. There's. Brunson's not going to hit 65 games. There's a spot now at 13 ball and BA. And it's. It's basically for sale now on ebay. I don't know who's grabbing it.
Chris Vernon
Yeah, I think you would be unsurprised when you asked me about the teams that I've seen in person, like, the good teams are the ones that for sure stand out. And there's. Honestly, there's not that many of them. So when you see Cleveland, it stands out. When you see Oklahoma City stands out, maybe we'll see. When I see Boston tomorrow night, it'll stand out. But, like, generally you find, like, throughout the league, there's a lot of teams that don't know what to think about their team outside of the extremely good ones. Right?
Bill Simmons
Yeah, you're even.
Chris Vernon
You even see the Knicks and they're like, I don't know, we never beat anybody either. And, you know, like. And that's. That's the three seed, right? So, I mean, there's really just Cleveland, Oklahoma City and Boston. Cleveland, Oklahoma City, Boston. I would say that's about the list of teams that, like, they have, like, as they say, aura about them. And like, they, they're completely confident in what's going on with their season and what they are and what their capabilities are. And I think everybody else has no idea how it's going to go from the rest of the way. That's what I. That's what. I guess some teams are more down than others about their chances, obviously, but I don't think anybody has some kind of. I think it's going to be very matchup and health dependent. I think most people feel that way.
Bill Simmons
You agree with that, Rosella?
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah, I think, you know, depending on the week, like, you look at this Houston run and you go, okay, you know, we're back to being excited about Houston. But if you go through it, what's the best win in those 11 of those 12 games? I mean, there's an argument in Chicago, which no one would be looking at as being like, hey, we beat Chicago, but Chicago's played better as of late. And I still, like. There's things about Houston that I really like. This double big thing that they were trying in the beginning with Stephen Adams, I was just. I. I didn't really understand it. You know, he's a big. That you can completely ignore offensively, and if he's catching it outside of the paint, that it just means the paint in the driving lanes are packed because nobody's paying any attention to him. They don't want him to shoot. And now when you look at his net rating over the course of these 12 games, it's one of the best. So I think there are coaches that do a really good job in season developing options. Clearly, Oklahoma City's tried to experiment and they still kill everybody, which is like the scariest.
Bill Simmons
I Mean, that's kind of been the Celtics lately too. The Celtics are beating everybody and they're resting two. They're, they're leaving. They're resting two guys a game and it doesn't seem to matter. They're 14 and one in the last 15.
Chris Vernon
Well, that's a weird.
Bill Simmons
It doesn't even seem like they're trying.
Chris Vernon
And you've got. Well, like in the east, there's, there's Cleveland, New York, Boston and Indiana now, especially with the Dame thing, right. And I think we'd be surprised. But if I just pushed it to you guys and said, okay, let's set Oklahoma City aside like you asked, the whole, like make the second round. Who has the second best odds to make the second round? That thing that you pulled up.
Ryan Rosillo
Denver, like Denver or la?
Bill Simmons
I think it's, I think it's the Lakers. The. No, the Lakers. No, no. All right, hold on. Let me get.
Chris Vernon
If you were going to bank on somebody, if I just said you've got to put it down, they're going to be in the second round in the west that's not named Oklahoma City.
Bill Simmons
So Denver has the best odds, minus 1 84.
Ryan Rosillo
Oh, wow.
Bill Simmons
To make round two, Lakers are minus 160 and OKC is minus.
Chris Vernon
I mean, if Denver draws Golden State or the Clippers, that is no picnic.
Bill Simmons
I want to talk about this because I was doing, I was doing all the matchups today after some in Minnesota just won. But it looks like it's OKC against Minnesota or the Clippers right now.
Ryan Rosillo
What's that injury report post that game against Detroit?
Bill Simmons
Well, Minnesota one. Yeah, we don't know about suspensions. Lakers, Memphis right now, but it does seem like with the next two Memphis games, maybe they drop down. But the other two are Denver, Golden State and Houston Clippers. And I was looking at the conference finals odds. The FanDuel does not believe in Houston. Houston was plus 7.90 to make the west finals right now. If you look at it, they're definitely the 2 seed. They're going to have home court in the first two rounds and they're plus. They're almost 8 to 1 odds to win two rounds when they have home court. Which speaks to Vernon's point, nobody trusts Houston.
Chris Vernon
Well, I've lived this life. Yeah, the two seed life. As you guys know, one year you drew the one year you drew the warriors if you're Memphis. And then one year you drew the Lakers. Like you're going to have to face one, some kind of veteran, you know, hardened team that well right now.
Ryan Rosillo
I mean, that group. That group for the two seed is Golden State, Minnesota, and the Clippers. Nobody's going to pick Houston against them except people from Houston.
Bill Simmons
Yeah, I think. I think Houston would be underdogs against all three teams if. If Kawhi is playing.
Ryan Rosillo
If Kawhi is healthy.
Bill Simmons
I'll wait to see if Kawhi is playing.
Ryan Rosillo
There's an argument if Kawhi is healthy, that they should be. They should have the second shortest odds of any team in the west to make the Western Conference finals.
Bill Simmons
Yeah, I think.
Chris Vernon
I think it's totally fair. That game against Cleveland he had last week, I mean, that was great. I mean, he must be.
Bill Simmons
They must be Cleveland today without Kawhi.
Chris Vernon
But I was like, is this what it's going to be like? Because he looked like frigging San Antonio. Kawhi, he's unbelievable.
Bill Simmons
He looked awesome. I saw him in person on Sunday night against okc, and it just seems like he has his bounce. I don't know how long it's going to last, but he had the same bounce that he had, like, five, six years ago, and he's so big. It was now. They didn't have Jalen Williams in that game, but okc, other than Jalen Williams, doesn't even have somebody. Even Dort. I mean, Dort's who I think has a chance to be defensive player of the year, as crazy as that sounds. Dort's like six two, you know, and he's guarding Kawhi. Kawhi's got a legitimate six inches on him. Can we talk about Houston for a second? They're 14 and six in their last 20.
Ryan Rosillo
I do not six two, by the way.
Bill Simmons
Oh, I think he's six two. How tall do you think he is?
Chris Vernon
No, he's like. No, he's a big wing.
Ryan Rosillo
He's listed at 6 4, so 62 short.
Bill Simmons
Dude, I'm telling you. I was watching him in the game, and I was sitting next to Mike Tone, who I shared the seats with, and we were trying to figure out how tall he was as he stood next to other players. We were like, that dude looks six two.
Ryan Rosillo
But Jack guys. Jack guys always look shorter.
Bill Simmons
He was shorter. He was shorter than SGA.
Chris Vernon
I love it.
Ryan Rosillo
Bane's like 6 7.
Chris Vernon
I've been saying it my whole life, too, Ryan.
Bill Simmons
Well, here's the thing with Houston, though. Seven and two against the Cavs, Celts and Clippers. OKC seems to be the only team that has their number. But the Jalen ground is he. Jalen Green has He sucked you in. Post all star break. Priscilla 22, six five. They're talking about how the assist numbers are up. He's creating for other guys. Are. Are you. Are you buying in yet or. No?
Ryan Rosillo
You're going to need him to close some playoff games, so, you know, this is your guy and you're going to have to let him make his mistakes. And then also the nights where no one can stay in front of him, and you just hope that there's enough spacing around it. And that's where IME is going to have the Shingoon situation. He's probably not going to want to close Double big and clog up some of that stuff, because that's all everybody's going to run. They're going to run some pick and roll for Green. And, you know, last year, you're right. I mean, to remind everybody, when Shingoon was out and hurt, that's when I felt like the light bulb went off for Jalen Green, because it wasn't just the scoring and the efficiency. It was the playmaking. It was understanding the help and all that stuff. And now this year, you know, it's been kind of up and down. It's been better lately. I think the key for them is that even with Van Vliet and the numbers where, you know, they had some. There's some numbers out there that are strange with clutch. I haven't looked at it in a couple of weeks, but Oklahoma City had one of the worst clutch defensive numbers in the league. And then you go, okay, what does that mean? Do they get tight defensively like they said? They're just not good enough. They're not old enough to play good defense. It probably just means that that's what the numbers are and it doesn't mean anything. And the same could be said for Houston's offense where when you looked at their clutch closing numbers, you just went, oh, well, this actually, this is what it looks like, except they had a really good record. Like, when you watch them in some of those moments against a good team, you're like, what is it here that I like? Is it a Van Vliet hail Mary.
Bill Simmons
The VanVleet step back with two seconds left to the shot clock.
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah. Or, you know, do I want Jalen Green going? I'm going to take off. And I have no idea what's going to happen on the way there. But look, with Van Vliet, they're 38 and 17. And so part of it, believe it or not, thinking because of his stature, he's going to get targeted. The deflections and all the stuff that he's always done going back to Toronto, he's just better. He impacts them in those moments because he's just somebody who's a lot more trusted, who's played a lot longer. So I love watching Houston. It's just going to be hard for me to pick them against one of those veteran teams because Golden State feels like a new version of it. With Kawhi, it's a new version of it. Although as soon as you want to throw at me, Harden being like, wait, Rossillo, you're picking Harden to make sure like that's this team gets to the West. Well, it would be zoo. It'd be Norman Powell who was terrific again today and again it's healthy Kawhi with all that stuff. And then on top of that, Minnesota. Minnesota just feels better now, even with those Pacers losses that were kind of crazy because Obi Toppin didn't miss any shots against him for a little while.
Bill Simmons
Uh, yeah, well, wait, hold. Hold Minnesota for a second.
Ryan Rosillo
Okay.
Bill Simmons
One other thing happened with Houston. Your guy Eason has started to come on for them. I don't. I. To me, I think there's a couple teams Verno that I just can't figure out what the ceiling basement situation is and now. And it sounds like a cop out to be like, yeah, I don't know. But Minnesota's like that for me and Houston's like that for me. I can actually see with the, the amount of athletes and the defense that Houston has, I could actually see them just destroying somebody in round one. We're like, oh my God, the Rockets are here. And I could also see them shooting 22% from 3 during entire series getting blown out. Same thing for Minnesota where you see em on the right night and you're like, shit, they're fucking loaded. And they look like they like playing with each other and then you catch them another night, it's not there. Yeah, those are my two teams where I just. I don't know what to think.
Chris Vernon
Totally fair. And what I would say is one of the things and this is part of, well, why the young teams have to get their playoff scars is because when you get to the playoffs, you're going to be. These teams are going to be able to game plan against one team and now they are directing those shots to who they want those shots to go to. Right?
Ryan Rosillo
Right.
Chris Vernon
So you inevitably have to have guys step up. Last year, the reason we've got Dallas in the Western Conference finals is because Oklahoma City says, you know what, if we lose to freaking Derek Jones Jr. And if we lose to PJ Washington, so be it. And then they did. And then they did. Right? That's the trick. It's like, bro, are you going to count on Julius Randall because Anthony Edwards doesn't get to have 45. Right? We're selling out against Anthony Edwards. We're selling out against. Right. Jayla Greener, whoever, or Shen, whoever the case may be in Houston. And that's the part of going through those reps last year. Oklahoma City will go through it again and maybe they will be much better served for last year. But you remember, it's, you're going to get to a point where a team just says, you know what, man, if Kayson Wallace and Lou Dort and Jalen, those guys do it. But let me tell you who's not going to have 45 in this game. Shay Gill Alexander. Right?
Bill Simmons
That's what the Celtics did, Celtics did in Boston.
Chris Vernon
And we're just going to.
Bill Simmons
Wallace was the one that got him.
Chris Vernon
That's right. And it's been Aaron Wiggins in some cases. Right. They've got a bunch of different guys, but the lights get a little bit brighter and now it's a little bit harder for, for those guys. And I think there's, once you get to, you guys should do this one week, like. And that's why I like what Ryan said about the Clippers when he brought up the Harden thing. Cause he said, bro. Cause you might. Because Norm Powell may get you, Zubac may get you. Like, the level of importance that Harden has is not the same as it is in all those other Harden teams because they've got other guys that could do it. But like, how many of these teams, even if you want to start with Oklahoma City, like the second guy, the second guy. How much do you trust whoever the second best player on that team is?
Bill Simmons
Well, so it's that and that's going.
Chris Vernon
To matter a great deal, right?
Bill Simmons
Well, so you have the second guy and then you have the knock yourself out guy. And Rosella, we haven't talked about this. Somebody is having a. Hey, if he's going to make it, knock yourself out. Somebody is. Now if we did the all NBA team for that. Kyle Kuzma has my first team vote right now because teams are playing Milwaukee and they're just like, that's right. Yo, Kuz, go ahead. Feel free. You might. No, take it, please.
Chris Vernon
Here's. Here's what I'd say though, guys, I'd say that those. The argument I make there. It's the best argument for the. For the Lakers or the Warriors. Right? It's the best argument because there's like, oh, shit.
Bill Simmons
Reeves is in the corner. Oh, shit. Oh, God. Oh, I forgot to guard Luca for a second.
Chris Vernon
Yeah. Cause you're going down the list and you're going, okay, well, so their second best guy is Jalen Williams, and their second best guy is Jamal Murray. And their second best guy is Alper and Shen Goon or Jalen Green, whichever we want to choose. Their second best guy is Jared Jackson Jr. Their second best guy is Luca or LeBron. Their second best guy is Butler. Right. Like, I mean, it's. It's a real thing that happens every year in the playoffs.
Ryan Rosillo
The. The Minnesota part, which makes me like, they're 11 and three in their last 14. If you go through the March, numbers, defense, Enzo's, it's a real thing now he's hitting threes. This is the best I've probably felt about Jaden McDaniels offensively, because it's not just the shooting, which has been great in March, but there's a lot of times with him, I was like, I have no idea if you get 0 or 18. Totally. Like, the odds would be even on both of them. And a lot of series, too, if, like, you want to do this, because I know we were probably going to do this with the Pacer, so I don't know if we're doing it now, but if you're looking at series and being like, how often will this team have the best player? And there's some series and there's some matchups where it feels like Minnesota is going to have the best player. And that Denver game, it was before taping, I was super fired up. I was going to open my show with it because I felt like, all right, let's see what Minnesota has there. And there's certainly fluky results. You're like, what happened there? That game felt like this is going to matter tonight. And for Minnesota to beat them by 20 in the way that they did it has me where we've all just assumed, like, hey, it's the three teams with okc, Cleveland and Boston. And then Denver has to get the benefit of the doubt because they have the best player with Jokic, which is where I've been for most of the season. I'm really worried about Christian Brown fighting against SGA and fighting against Ant and being the primary guy. Like, maybe they'll throw Peyton Watson at them as some Size thing, but like Peyton Watson's best defensive stuff to me is like at the rim helping. I don't really like, look, if he was that great on the ball, then they wouldn't be playing Christian Brown. So many minutes against these dudes as the primary defender and, you know, nothing against him, but like he's fighting for his life against these dudes. And that's Denver's. That's the thing that I've seen from him in some of these more high profile matchups. So, sure, there's some weird results we have every night throughout an NBA season, but that game in particular felt like something and a bit of a reminder. And now the fact that they have all of this outside shooting working for them. Minnesota is. And it's not that they were bad. It was that we went into this year thinking, can this team win a title? And it hadn't looked like they had any chance for months and months. And I'm not necessarily putting him in that group, but it's now the best that I felt about them, you know.
Chris Vernon
Do you trust Randall?
Ryan Rosillo
No.
Bill Simmons
No.
Ryan Rosillo
But I think, I think Finch will look at it. No, but there's, there's certain coaches like we were talking about IME there a bit. You know what he's going to do? He's going to look at how the last five minutes are going in a playoff game and he's not going to give a shit about anybody's feelings. And if it's Amend Thompson out there instead of Jalen Green because he likes it, then fine. If it means benching Shingoon, fine. He'll do it. And I think Finch will do some stuff here too. Whether it's a weird Go Bear night or a Randall night where it's not working out, where they can, you know, one for 10.
Chris Vernon
Yeah. Oh, no. Yeah, you're right. He's got big balls. Finch does. Because you remember early in the year that game where they had the torrid comeback against Oklahoma City, Best win of the year, and he just didn't put him back in. And I was like, bro, this takes. This takes guts. This takes guts.
Bill Simmons
You know, on Minnesota, there's some good advanced metrics for them too. Like they're last 25 games, there's six net, last 15, their fourth net, all the three point shooting has been really good for them. Edwards has been better the last two months.
Chris Vernon
They got a really good coach too. They got a good coach.
Bill Simmons
Yeah. I'm trying not to get sucked in with them. But you conversely, the Nuggets, who I Think Rosello. I think we, we haven't really talked about it, but I think we have equal concern with our guy Joker. I just feel like their best when they play the really good teams, it just doesn't seem like they have enough. Like they're 0 and 7 against Boston, Cleveland and Minnesota in their last 50, their 20th net and they're negative net and it just feels like there's certain nights where if Jokic isn't awesome, they're going to almost get blown out. You know, I'm really worried about them in the playoffs because I, I don't want. That's a team. Like if you were going to say what team is going to get swept in round one? And you'd be, it would be. Everybody would be shocked. That would be one of my candidates. And by the way, I would also want to be surprised if they made the western finals. That's why the west is so fucking hard to figure out.
Chris Vernon
Yeah, I am much more concerned about young teams being bad at the end of the year than I am vet teams.
Bill Simmons
Yeah, that's fair.
Chris Vernon
I think we get to this time and vet teams are like, dude, we don't care who we play against. We got to beat somebody to good to get there. And so the idea that they're not locked in, you know, for 82 games.
Bill Simmons
Does anyone have more knock yourself out guys than Denver though? I mean Denver has half of their start, half of their 10 bit rotation is go ahead.
Ryan Rosillo
Hey, the Lakers, the Lakers, that night where they beat them, where they just packed the paint and they were like let's have guys keep one foot alarm. When it was like weak side going, if there's two over there, we don't care. And even if Aaron Gordon's shooting 40%, we don't care. We're ignoring him, we're ignoring Westbrook, we're ignoring Watson, we're ignoring certainly Brown. Even though like you know, there's some nice numbers there from Brown, who I think a lot of it can be influenced by Jokic. And so if you're running that two man thing and you don't really care, like I'll never forget watching that Golden State series against Houston in 18 and you're like wait, Houston, like could they win this? And I loved it. They were so aggressive in that. They just said we're guarding three people and we do not give a shit about the other two. We're guarding three with five. And that's the best part about the playoffs. And honestly, to your point, Bill, like when you watch Houston or you watch Minnesota or all these different things. I wouldn't trust anybody that tells me they know what's going to happen, and they know definitively, like, this is what Houston can do or what they're not. What they could do, but what they're going to do. Because there have been. We thought we knew it. Of course, we're surprised by sports all the time, but we thought, like, it was a pretty. It felt pretty clear going into this season of, like, this is kind of how deep the west is. And instead it's just OKC with these coin toss teams depending on the week.
Bill Simmons
Yeah. You know, I will say this. If you. Verno, please tell your new coach, the Finnish guy, what's his name? What's finished, guys?
Chris Vernon
Name two. Moss. Isola.
Ryan Rosillo
I love the Fins.
Bill Simmons
Frank Isola's brother.
Chris Vernon
No, no, no, no. They call him Coach Ti.
Bill Simmons
Coach Ti. Listen, if you play the Lakers, and this to me is a. This is coaching malpractice. If anyone doesn't do this in the playoffs, you got to pressure Those fucking guys. 94ft. Luka and LeBron being the ball up. Neither of them want anybody to bug them until they get to mid court. Luca gets actually, actually mad. Like, I. He almost punched Josh Giddy in the game I went to last week. LeBron will just pass it immediately. And you just gotta, like. You gotta wear those guys down. It's almost like a football game where you're just like, running up the middle, trying to make the defensive line tired.
Ryan Rosillo
Good luck, by the way, though. Good luck getting a starter like a starting five. NBA guy be like, hey, you're picking up 94 tonight.
Bill Simmons
Well, but I think you're gonna have to like, if OKC in the playoffs. Sure.
Ryan Rosillo
But in regular season, it.
Bill Simmons
Right. In the playoffs, though, if I'm like. If they play Memphis or Houston or whoever, those are the perfect teams to play. Hey, Tari Eason. 94ft with these guys. When you're in the game, you got to do it, because I do think you can wear them down. Those guys have a big responsibility, and they can't guard anybody well.
Chris Vernon
And it was crazy because Memphis, of course, had fired their coach. It's all the things. So he's got this weird feeling walking into the arena. Now you're facing LeBron and you're facing Luka and you're facing the Lakers. And of course, all these Laker fans have got their jerseys on. They showed up to the game. Then you start the game and you got whatever game plan you had to deal with those Guys, and Gabe Vincent turned into, like, Clay Thompson and made every. And it's like, okay, like, seriously, like, this is the. This is the plight.
Bill Simmons
Like, yeah, they do have some wild card guys.
Chris Vernon
Somebody's got to take the open shots. Like, they, you know, Rui Hachimura is always the guy, obviously, like, and that's the thing. Look how much, man.
Ryan Rosillo
And they got to play small against you guys, too. That's the other thing. They love being like, seriously, we playing Jackson 15 minutes tonight. We can go with Rui. Like, I think that's the preference. And that will be when we see these matchups once the season's over, you know, we get to the playing stuff. That's going to be a huge part of, like, the Lakers path. For me to be like, how long can they go small, right?
Bill Simmons
And who's similar?
Ryan Rosillo
I think they'll go small against Denver, too. I think it's going to be on Rui just to be like, look, we know, you know what, he's stopping him, but you're just going to stay in front of him and he's going to get his numbers. But at least he's. Look, I don't want to say contained, but I thought Rui fought really hard in that game against them when they were matched up. So credit to Rui this year.
Bill Simmons
Yeah, credit to Rui Hachimura. Verno, we're going to let you go. Say hi to everybody in Memphis. Say hi to my favorite team tomorrow. I hope they do well against you. Good to see you.
Chris Vernon
There's no excuses, right? Like, there's no, like. Cause I remember earlier this year when John Moran had, like, a triple double at halftime, and he was the best player on the floor in Boston.
Bill Simmons
It was like our fifth game in seven nights. Something like that.
Chris Vernon
I remember that. Okay.
Bill Simmons
Yeah. Tired legs?
Chris Vernon
We're fine.
Bill Simmons
No excuses. No excuses.
Chris Vernon
Please don't beat us by 40.
Bill Simmons
We just fired our coach.
Chris Vernon
We don't. We don't. We don't need.
Ryan Rosillo
Oh, you know what's happening.
Chris Vernon
We don't. We don't need anything else bad to happen.
Ryan Rosillo
Telling you right now, you guys are going to win. No, no. This pot will come out. You'll win Jaws. Have a great night. And there's going to be, like, an immediate, like, in the moment, like, oh, my God. And then he'll get traded to Atlanta in two years. And then you guys would be like, priscilla was right.
Chris Vernon
How dare you. How dare you.
Bill Simmons
Bye, Verna. Thanks for coming on. We're going to take one more break. This episode is brought to you by Hookah I've got to talk to you guys about the Bandai 9, the new daily trainer from Hookah, the Bondi 9 delivers peak plushness for everyday miles. Overhauled from top to bottom, they've increased the stack height and added a new premium foam midsole to deliver that soft, resilient ride that's become synonymous with the Bondi. And look, I walk a lot. I walk all around la. You need good shoes for that. These are perfect. Everybody Bondi. Visit hookah.comh o k a.com to learn more books about the Bondi Nine. This episode is brought to you by State Farm State Farm helps you score an affordable price when you choose to bundle home and auto insurance with the personal price plan. Bundling home and auto, that's a pro move. Just another way you can save on your insurance needs. Talk to a State Farm agent today to learn how you can bundle and save with the personal price plan. Like a good neighbor, State Farm is there. Prices are based on rating plans that vary by state. Coverage options are selected by the customer, availability, amount of discounts and savings and eligibility vary by state. And now for a special part of the show brought to you by Workday Are you a forward thinker? Then you need an HR and finance platform that thinks like you do. Workday. The AI platform that helps propel your organization, your workforce and your entire industry into the future. Workday Moving business forever forward. Brisillo We've watched two weeks of March Madness. Your single favorite non Cooper flag prospect that you've seen, the one that just puts a hop in your step.
Ryan Rosillo
Clayton Jr. Of Florida. The shot that he hit, the three were he ended up taking it out from the paint, sprinted to the three point line and then turned around one. Not only had the stones take it, but make it look I'm late to college basketball because of St. John's I was watching more this year. Free time. I'm not going to be watching it instead of NBA. We already know my deal. But I really got into all the conference championship stuff when they played against Tennessee in the SEC tournament. I texted the team and I said hey, I just looked@espn.com and like I understand Clayton Jr. The argument against him but he's not even in a second round pick. And they were like no, he's a pro, he's a pro. He is an absolute beast of a player as far as just the confidence. So Walter Clayton Jr. Was at Iona, goes home to Florida and now the Gators are in the Final Four. That shot that he hit in that game and that comeback against Tech, that was, that was big time stuff. And look, he had a couple other shots earlier. Halk had some big threes as well. So I think that comeback when it looked like it was over with only a couple minutes to go. I've loved watching this tournament. I know. You know, look, the next three games, Elite 8, weren't really exciting, but this has been. I've watched a ton of this tournament.
Bill Simmons
Clayton jumped out to me as well and I looked at our draft guide to see if he was in the top 14 and he wasn't. And I don't think he's even a first round pick right now. Right. But I don't know, I thought the same thing you did. He seemed completely unafraid. Guys have fooled us of March Madness though, where they look awesome and they make big shots and. But that guy, those were some big ass shots because it wasn't just that last one you mentioned.
Ryan Rosillo
He's older, he's been around, so that doesn't help. He's 63 as a guard. He's not necessarily the most athletic dude, but he just. I love the way that guy plays basketball. And it's not just that shot.
Bill Simmons
Well, thanks again to Workday for sponsoring this segment. Learn more@workday.com so we're going to do a gimmick called the NBA forgotten teams that just don't get talked about enough on shows like this. And we did a couple of them actually. We did Minnesota, we did the Rockets, talked some Clippers. There is this Detroit, Indiana, Milwaukee trifecta. And it looks like where we're landing now, Detroit is not going to play the Knicks, which is a huge bummer. And we're. Because I was really excited for that series before we started recording. Today Detroit gets into another altercation in Minnesota that we probably could have predicted. I wish there was a way to bet on.
Ryan Rosillo
You want a little timeline of it? So DeFincenzo pushes Stewart on a rebound. Go to a dead ball. Stewart walks directly at him, bumps DiVincenzo and you're like, that seems a bit excessive.
Bill Simmons
Yeah.
Ryan Rosillo
Then DiVincenzo moments later, when we get back to action, off a miss, off a barrels in to Fontechio and Stewart doesn't like it, stands over DiVincenzo, grabs the ball away from him and DiVincenzo probably said something, but he was sitting on the ground. As soon as he goes to get up, he shoves DiVincenzo. Right?
Bill Simmons
Yeah.
Ryan Rosillo
Gets the technical.
Bill Simmons
So now we're does Stuart lead the league and stand over a guy moments this year. Is he our number one stand over a guy guy?
Ryan Rosillo
I don't know. He's third in Tex, though. I was surprised.
Bill Simmons
It seems low.
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah. Ants number one, actually. So then we have Ron Holland, who is just a young apprentice Jedi to Isaiah Stewart. But if you I compared him to.
Bill Simmons
Run our test maybe with you on this podcast a week ago, I said there was run our testy vibes.
Ryan Rosillo
I don't know that anybody said it before you of like, look, local people that are on the Pistons are all over it. But Holland has a switch. And so he got knocked down on a screen again, which was that whole Bickerstaff game when he freaked out and said, we're not going to be disrespected. I think he is a bit of like the head of the snake thing where it's. He's so hot the entire game that some of the other guys pick up on that. So Holland gets knocked down. Then the next time he has the ball, he drives it. Nazareth and hits a really nice floater baseline over him. Okay. So then they come down the other way. Nas wants to take it Holland and I was like, man, this is fun. That was a fun fucking Sunday afternoon game for us out west here. And Nas totally overreacted to the Holland part of it. So then he starts going at it. DiVincenzo, third man into the ring. Holland pushes him off. DeFincenzo goes for the massive, like, neck push down. And all I'm watching is there's a scrum right in the baseline. Courtside seats, Bill. All I'm waiting for is who's going to punch Gobert. Because it's this extra target. It's like there's a skyline and then there's Go Bear. Yeah, who built that? Like, oh, this Japanese guy. And so you think Beef stew is.
Bill Simmons
Just going to randomly come in and throw the quick punch as he's going to break it up.
Ryan Rosillo
But the problem was the Stu was already like, I still need to mess up DeFincenzo. But Sasser was trying to get to him. And, like, I didn't. It looked like Defense Enzo was on a ride at some point. I would say this for a Pistons team, and I think we touched on it in the very beginning. Like, this team's like, I know we're going to do this. Others group, but they were 9 and 15. They're 33 and 17 since that. So over 50 games, they're 33 and 17. You know their net rating, Bill, over these last 50 games is fourth best in the NBA. So yes, Isaiah Stewart is looking for a fight all the time. You really. I think every team needs one guy like this. If you have two, it could be an issue with Holland.
Bill Simmons
That was the Indiana Pacers issue. You can't have like, you can't have retest with Stephen Jackson. But no, you love having the one, though.
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah.
Chris Vernon
So.
Ryan Rosillo
So I could tell you like, there's some mo. Like Stewart completely overreacted. Nas overreacted on his part of it. But damn it, this team is sucked. And so if this is part of it, I couldn't believe it when I saw 4th best net rating in the NBA over the last 50 games. Then let the boys watch, you know.
Bill Simmons
Well, I looked at. It's funny. You did the last 50. I did the last 25 before today because they got. They got shellacked in the second half.
Ryan Rosillo
This was before today?
Bill Simmons
Yeah, I did it 17 and 8 in their last 25 before today, they were third net rating, but they were fifth offense, second defense. And I put in all caps as a question to ask you. At what point do we take the Pistons seriously? Cause that's a really big sample size. I remember like three weeks ago we talked about, could there be a team like Dallas last year where we just didn't take them seriously. But there were all these signs in the last 30 games and you have.
Ryan Rosillo
To almost throw out every Dallas stat prior to the acquisition of Gafford and P.J. washington.
Bill Simmons
Right. So with Detroit, they add Schroeder, who is in the equivalent of Gafford and P.J. washington. But he did give them a little extra balance and a different look in crunch time. And he's somebody who's been in big games and he's another guy who's. And I mean this as a compliment. He's a fucking dick.
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah, he's a big dick.
Bill Simmons
They just have a team full of guys who are like, I don't care if you think I'm a fucking dick, I'm going to keep coming and I'm going to annoy you and I'm coming after you. Beasley's I. Who knew he had this?
Ryan Rosillo
Well, I think either this was always the idea of Beasley. Like, I was always shocked that like a team would bring him in and be like, oh, we need him for his spacing is 3 and D and be like, where's the 3 and D part? And I know that the shooting numbers will tell you that over the years he's. But I just never felt Like I ever trusted him. You know, there's certain guys. I can't even write it down and say that this is true, but there's guys that I know, like, Andrew Wiggins is hitting the three in the corner with four minutes left. He's not hitting the corner three with two minutes left. You know, and there's a bunch of guys. I mean, like, Beasley has been so huge for them, spacing alone. I mean, when you start sorting out what their numbers are, they're seventh in offense in the last 50. They're fourth in defense the last 50. They're ninth in shooting. They're also playing a million guys, which I don't know what that means for them in the playoffs, but in March, they played 11 players, 13 or more minutes, which we've already touched on with the Pistons. But I am with you in that. You got to throw away the first couple months because it was new. By the way, Cade, as I keep saying, by the way here, we didn't mention Cade yet. Yeah, Cade's missed four straight with an injury. That shouldn't be that big of a deal. But the Pacers, if you want to do the 51 games with them, because I was doing it like, all right, what's your low point record wise? Right. And then what are you since then? So the Pacers, at one point, you know, we're below.500. I guess I don't have the record stuff in front of me, but they are 34 and 17 since December 5th. The same. The same number. I guess now the pistons are 33 and 18. They're. Some of their ranking stuff isn't actually as impressive as Detroit's is, but that expanded standing stuff that I always like looking at, like, how do you do against those teams over.500, you know, other than Cleveland and Boston, who have really good records, if you look at the east, you know, The Pacers are 16 and 15. The Knicks are 12 and 18. Detroit's 10 and 20, Milwaukee's 11 and 20. This is. This has been a really good team since that stretch as well. But the five. The. The wins against the 500 teams tells us the Pacers are better. But I still think it's open for discussion, which I'm now going to, like, pivot it back to you. Do you like that team?
Bill Simmons
I'll start with the Pistons.
Ryan Rosillo
Okay.
Bill Simmons
I think Cade is the best player in a Pistons Pacer series. As good as Halliburton's been the last two months. I just. I think Cade is. I think he's a top 10 to 12 guy. So you got that. Pistons can rebound and defend. They're plus four, plus five rebounding every single game. And they have multiple guys that can. I think Schroeder's a huge pest in a Pacer series. And and by the way, the reason we're talking Pistons, Pacers is it looks like this is going to be the 4, 5. Beasley and Hardaway are making six threes a game. 40% and they make big threes at the end of games. They run plays for them. I mean one of their plays, they'll. They'll be down, you know, one point, 40 seconds left and they'll run a big play to send Beasley coming off some sort of screen and he'll make it.
Ryan Rosillo
And remember like Ottaway was just out of the rotation last year too. At a time you can't roll him out there. Just see what happens.
Bill Simmons
They were done with them and I like that. I know Cade's missed a couple of games here, but their best guys for the most part play unless they're got suspended for fighting, which is going to happen today. I think they're a real team. I was really excited for them to play the Knicks because I genuinely thought they could beat the Knicks in a series. Pacers is a little more interesting now. You mentioned like even the last 25 games they're top eight net. Halliburton is the numbers that I that jumped out to me since New Year's. He's 20 and 10, 51%, 44% from three and that's in 33 games. They're 24 and nine in those games. And eye test wise it seems like he's back. We were worried about him, but it seems like he's back. And you noticed it the other day in the Laker game when Carlisle went offense defense with him and it was fucking stupid. And in that they weren't able to get it back in the last 50 seconds. It was one of the reasons they lost my thing with Indiana. They shoot themselves in the foot so many times in these games. I feel like they're in every game. It doesn't matter who they're playing. They should. They either they're winning or they should be winning. And yet you watch them in the last couple minutes you're like why are they doing that? Why is that guy out there? Why was that their play coming out of the timeout? I think their fans are just as frustrated as I probably am watching them. I think they're ceiling of that team is really good and it feels like they're their own worst enemy a lot of the time. That's my Pacers takeaway.
Ryan Rosillo
Okay, just for the record, I think game three, Hardaway, played like 19 minutes and missed every single shot, but they got killed in the third quarter. I don't know the answer yet to who I like more between Detroit and the Pacers, because that Pacers record against.500 or better, I think is a very telling thing. It's. It's one of the most important things I look at when I'm getting ready for the playoffs and be like, hey, are you actually beating any of these good teams? I mean, this is perfect. Second part of, like, the Memphis, like, okay, what's your seed? Oh, you have the worst record against.500 or better teams of the top eight teams in the West. Like, that's something.
Bill Simmons
You were 18 and oh, against the worst five teams in the East.
Ryan Rosillo
Right. The Halliburton part, Remember last year, pre all star, his splits 22, 4, 12, shooting splits 49, 40% from 3. After the all Star break, you're like, oh, what happened to this guy? Now he's dealing with a bunch of different injuries. 17 points, four boards, 10 assists. The shooting splits went down to 45 and 30. That's in 26 games. Pre all star this year, 18, three and a half, eight and a half assist a game. Shooting splits 45, 37% from three. And you're like, this is a really long stretch of Halliburton not being the all NBA guy.
Bill Simmons
Almost an entire year.
Ryan Rosillo
Right? Granted, it's only 15 games, but since the All Star break, he's 22 a game, almost four boards, 11 assists, 54, and 45% shooting splits. And so that again, it's only 15 games. It's a reminder of this dude that we got so incredibly excited about. It was so bad during that long year. We almost did a pot of. Was everyone wrong about the Sabonis trade? You know, kidding around, but it's just how many times we kind of litigated a bunch of different trades that have happened. But even with that, there have been times where I go, do they? Maybe it was prior to the All Star break, but I'd be like, do they trust Nemhardt a little bit more? That's not the case right now because Halliburton's breaking the paint. He's just flying around. He's doing all the stuff that we fell in love with when he was in college. Or, like, this guy just sees the game in a different way. They clearly Have a nice Smith Matheran decision. I think that they like Matheran better. And the funny thing is, with Neesmith coming back, because they had all of these injuries that really held back their depth, I would think that Neesmith would be the primary defender on, like, the other stud. And it looks like they may like Nemhardt better. I don't know what that means.
Bill Simmons
Well, it almost seems like they. They just want offense, and they don't even care about having a guy out there who can stop the other guy because they think they can outscore whoever they're playing.
Ryan Rosillo
I set a rotation problem, like, you know, so if I said, hey, I like the Pacers because of the record, and then you go, okay, but, you know, the Pacers, defensively, the numbers are a little bit better than you would think because they were a disaster last year. Yeah, they're better. But then it's a bit like the Knicks where you go, okay, I've got these other defenders that maybe give me a chance, but if it's Turner, who's been in decline as the back line of the defense, and then, I mean, they've had to play Thomas Bryant 15 minutes a game in March. He's got a massive negative net rating. They've even played Tony Bradley, like, five minutes a game. So, like, the center part, they don't really have any other option at all unless they want to go see Occam and play small in a certain matchup. But again, back to my Knicks comp here. It's like this fun team we all really like, but it's like, do I really take them seriously enough? When it feels like the head of the snake in Halliburton can be hunted? And then your center is somebody that people feel like, you know what, we're probably going to have a really good chance attacking them over the course of a series. And I know Pacers fans get, like, really upset of us maybe nationally being dismissive. It's like, hey, we made the Eastern Conference finals last year. Well, let's go through it, man. I mean, Milwaukee had the injuries, the Knicks had the injuries, and it was a fun, fun against Boston. Like, those are really fun games, but it, it's always going to fall into the category of kind of like Atlanta's Eastern Conference Finals and Portland's Western Conference Finals. Like, congrats on getting that far when no one expected it.
Bill Simmons
I think it was more impressive than the Atlanta, that weird Atlanta Philly series, because Philly just completely fell apart during that series. I mean, Atlanta was down big in some of Those games, the Indy, that goes back to the point I made earlier. They completely fucked up game one when Jalen hit the shot in the corner and they completely fucked up. I think game three and game four, they could have won both of those games. And Carlisle is a really good coach, but he does some end of the game stuff that I just, I don't understand. And the teams do weird stuff, right?
Ryan Rosillo
But if they had one game one, then Boston's gonna, they're just gonna. The series is going to feel different.
Bill Simmons
They were in three of those four though. And in like a real way that. But this goes back to my point. I think Indiana is good. Like I'm actually, I'm pro Indiana, I think that I like they're in the four seed. If they're, if it's a four or five and it's Indiana, Detroit and I'm Cleveland, I'm like, fuck, this is who we get in round two. It's a play Indiana, like they're a pain in the ass and you're going to score on them, they're also going to score on you. I just think they want to go up and down, up and down, up and down. And I think they could play with Cleveland. I don't know if they'll beat him, but that's not a great round two draw for a team that's about to win 66, 67 games, you know, or they're healthy and you're in a fistfight with Detroit.
Ryan Rosillo
If they're both healthy, I think Cleveland dissects them in a, in a way that you go, okay, like it's. We can't stop the flood. Like there's nothing that we can do. Even though the Pacers defensively, when I ran the numbers again and split it up a little bit, you know, since December 5th, they're actually like 12th defensively. That, that at least gives you a chance, you know.
Bill Simmons
Cause I used to, I like how they're playing. I used to talk about, I really like Halburn too as like Midwest Knicks.
Ryan Rosillo
Same profile, really good players. I, I like the Pacers depth. I, you know, other than the center part of it, I liked some of the stuff that they can do. But it's kind of back to your cade point, which I think cade is your answer. But is there a series where the Pacers would have the best player in any of those series?
Bill Simmons
I guess the problem for me with Cleveland and the reason I don't want to overreact to some of these losses in the four game winning streak, but at the same time, their defense hasn't been good now for a month. You know, they're not even in the, I think, like, net rating the last 15 games or so. They're 15th. They got torched by the Clippers tonight and outscored them. But over and over again, you're watching them, like, outscore other teams versus what they were doing in the first, where I thought defensively, even though it's a little weird with the guards, I thought they could get stops when they needed to get stops, and now I'm wondering if they can. So if I'm Indiana and I see those guys in round two, I feel like I can score on them and I feel like I can hunt guys in their team and I can hang around and who the hell knows? I still think Cleveland's going to make the Eastern Finals. And, you know, I really felt like they were going to make the finals three, four weeks ago. From what I was seeing. They were hitting every check mark. Like, even if you look at the teams that. Do you see this stat about the teams that started out 50 and 10, you basically have a 50% chance of winning the Finals based on the history of this. If you start out 50 and 10, 1, 2, 3, 5 times didn't. Five teams didn't win the title starting out 50 and 10, and six teams did. So the 50 and 10 is like, no joke. But I do feel like they lost momentum the last four weeks. And defensively, I just. I'm not seeing it with them.
Ryan Rosillo
Okay, you're right. But do you believe it?
Bill Simmons
I don't know what to believe. That's why the Spanish has been so weird.
Ryan Rosillo
Do you believe they'll be bad on defense and not shoot it?
Bill Simmons
Well, I think there's issues with them defensively that I think the smarter teams have exploited. And maybe that's a little follow the leader where teams. The other teams are watching, huh?
Ryan Rosillo
Orlando, the smarter offensive teams out there.
Bill Simmons
No, I'm talking about, like, the way teams like Celtics and OKC have attacked them. That might be what's happening where teams are like, oh, look at what they did. Oh, here's something picked up. I don't know, maybe, but they're.
Ryan Rosillo
They're also missing a million threes. I mean, Mitchell's shooting splits in this stretch. The last eight prior to today's game, he's 36 and 22% from three. He had that 2 and 18 game against Phoenix. He went.08 from three. I didn't even think they were bad looks. He just, you know, high volume the clippers, he was 5:18. I, I just think they're so good and they've been so good for so long. And it's not because of playoff success in previous seasons. I'm giving him the benefit of the doubt. It's. I think they were a million games up.
Bill Simmons
And so that's the thing you have. That's what you have to point to and be like, they have had nothing to play for other than one seed in the finals to home court. Basically, that's the only thing they've had to play for for the last month. And then they lost that. So now it's like, what do you.
Ryan Rosillo
Have to play for?
Bill Simmons
Nothing.
Ryan Rosillo
They and I watched the game today. They were, they got up 34, 17. I thought they were clearly the better team. The Clippers stayed in it with some threes there to make the score look a little bit closer. So, yeah, like the technically, without Kawhi, the Clippers came back and fought this against the full group with Cleveland. They didn't have Ty Jerome today. He was out with a knee thing. But I, I just like, okay, maybe you're right about the defense, but this team isn't all of a sudden just going to not shoot well. That would be very surprising to me. And if you look at their true shooting on the season, it's like first and if you look at it through this down stretch here, and it reminds me a little bit of Denver in 23. You know Denver closed the season, right? What were they? They were 46 and 19, then had had a 5 and 7 stretch in March. So actually they closed the season. They won their NBA title. They closed it 7 and 10 in their last 17.
Bill Simmons
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Ryan Rosillo
Well, it wouldn't be today. They gave up 145 points to the Atlanta Hawks today. So that's.
Bill Simmons
You think with Dame out of the lineup, that wouldn't make your defense worse? Worse. 145. I don't know. Milwaukee looks.
Ryan Rosillo
I never really understand it Because I would say, like, of all the fan bases that you hear from, Milwaukee, fans get really, really chesty in an annoying way. You know, and obviously it's not all Milwaukee fans, but the loudest ones find the most creative ways to feel slighted. And I just never understood. You watch this team, like, yeah, when they started 4 and 9, it's like, are they really going to be this bad? Not really the case. They put together a nice little one win streak there. But it was. You know, the Houston win was close. Chicago stunk back then. They did beat the Pacers. And Charlotte, Miami, Washington, Detroit. You know, look, that was right before we were kind of doing some of the Detroit stuff. So I'm like, I'm not. It just feels like, hey, they win three or four and they lose three or four, they win three or four, they lose three and four and. And there's. I've watched them a lot. Cause I keep trying to figure out if I. If there's something I'm missing. And I think that's kind of the point is you're not really missing anything.
Bill Simmons
They are plus 245 on FanDuel to make it to round two. So that means Knicks, Bucks, round one. The Knicks will be at least minus 300 favorites. And that's how the betting public sees it. And it's not great for Milwaukee. They are 19 to 1 to make the Eastern finals. And there's going to be. Look, we always talk about it. We've been doing this pod for a few years together. We get to the summer and there's always like the two stars, like, whoa, this fell apart fast. And I don't know, Giannis has to be one of the guys considered because I don't know if you're him, maybe you're happy staying in Milwaukee, you want to retire as a buck. But if you're just thinking big picture, do I want to get back to the Finals? Do I want to have another relevant season? It's not going to happen with the group they have now. Kyle Kooseman's not saving it. So I don't know what.
Ryan Rosillo
I saw some net rating stuff because I totally understood the Kuzma trade, just to feel like they'd have a little bit more juice with it, but I don't have it in front of me. I was trying to find it here because I don't think it's like the raw net rating number, but there's some stuff, some on off stuff with Kuzma that is rather alarming. But without Dame, which is A really serious issue here. What do we. What are we even talking like with Dame? If everything was right with Dame health.
Bill Simmons
Wise against the Knicks, would you still take them? I would not.
Ryan Rosillo
Would you take him against the Pacers?
Bill Simmons
No.
Ryan Rosillo
Would you take him against the Pistons?
Bill Simmons
So Dame's playing?
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah, I probably better this year. I mean offensively at least, but.
Bill Simmons
So I would take them over the Pistons just because nobody in the Pistons has played in a playoff game basically except for be the Beasley Hardaway types. But I wouldn't bet on, you know, I wouldn't bet on the Bucks. Dame got knocked out of any chance to be in the all N B A Just wanted to mention this quick Mitchell, if you did the first team, we got two weeks left. Is Mitchell in there over Edwards for you?
Ryan Rosillo
It's a bad shooting month but yeah, I, I think I still have him in there.
Bill Simmons
I still have it slight. I same way I have slight edge for Mitchell there. We had JJ, Triple J, LeBron, Mobley, Cade Edwards as a likely second team and then I wonder if KD has played himself into third team possibilities just because we're not going to have Brunson and we're not going to have Dame. Is Harden in the all NBA mix for you?
Ryan Rosillo
He wasn't the first time we did the exercise two weeks ago, so I didn't have it then. Who are you moving out?
Bill Simmons
Can I give you some hardened stats? Yeah, I'll just give you this one. 25, 6 and 9 since the all Star break, he's actually having a. He's having a. Well, it's like, I don't know. When was the all Star break? Mid February? Yeah, 15, something like that. And he's been pretty durable so I think he's in the mix. It gets really confusing. I mean Halliburton I think is in the mix too. Especially if Indiana can keep playing. Well, I think he's entered the fray. Other than that I don't. I mean Garland, Trey. Not voting for Trey for rmba if they don't have a winning record.
Chris Vernon
It's tough.
Ryan Rosillo
We lost a lot of guys. That's 19 games for Harden.
Bill Simmons
Yeah, we lost a lot of guys, man.
Ryan Rosillo
Reeves Reaves.
Bill Simmons
If you want to start the Reeves hive now, I think they should move it to 60 games. I think the 65 is prohibitive because like it's not Brunson's fault. He got hurt in overtime of fucking Lakers game when he was doing everything and he stepped on somebody's foot and now he's not an all NBA player. He's one of the best 10 guys we had this season. You know, it's one thing if it's John. You're missing six here, eight here. It's one thing if you're Kawhi and you're sitting. You know, nobody ever knows who you're gonna play. The Brunson thing was a fluke injury that wasn't his fault, and the guy's a Warrior, and he's playing 37 minutes a game, and I just. I almost wonder if it should be minutes instead of games.
Ryan Rosillo
I don't know, man. I don't care. Actually, I. I'm with you on the Brunson thing, but I think it's just. Yeah, I know, but I'm. I'm just saying, clearly, I care for the voting, but it's just my natural reaction now with everything. It's like, hey, we kind of figured out something that makes it better, and there's an incentive for guys to play. And it's like, yeah, but can we change it? Like, here's the NBA got it wrong. And it's like, jesus Christ. Like, we're just trying to run a league here.
Bill Simmons
65'S too high. Booker, is he in the mix for you?
Ryan Rosillo
He's always in the mix for me, but if we're talking, it'd be funny.
Bill Simmons
If two sons made it and they finished like, six games under.500.
Ryan Rosillo
He was on my worksheet.
Bill Simmons
Yeah. Want to do some March Madness before we go?
Ryan Rosillo
Sure.
Bill Simmons
Do you like this new kind of world where we just have really good teams going against each other? Almost like women's basketball, and we don't have the same kind of Cinderella situation, but the actual quality of the games is better.
Ryan Rosillo
Look, I. I feel like an elitist saying this, but I've said it for years, is that everybody likes a Cinderella until it fucks up your TV schedule. Right. And you're going, what's. Who's on Saint Peter's again? You know, I actually just wanted to watch North Carolina, Arizona.
Bill Simmons
Yeah.
Ryan Rosillo
And so I think everybody loves a Cinderella until her. Like, I don't. I don't know what this matchup is. So, look, if Colorado State doesn't give up the queen game winner, then I don't know if the headlines are different, but since it's all blue bloods. Not necessarily blue bloods, but like the Power 4 conferences now, and it's 16 for 16, and then it's all chalk all the way. Like, this was an historic. If you looked at some of the Ken Palm stuff, the top Four seeds going into this tournament, they're combined, whatever his ranking system is, it was the highest four quality teams you'd had in tournament history. For one seeds since they had expanded this thing and not to 68. Like we're going back almost 40 years so we knew on paper it was going to be really good. And you know the way the Duke Bama game played out, like Bama was a really good basketball team. They couldn't, it wasn't shooting variants and not making threes. There was no good shots available for him for 40 minutes. Like what Duke did to those dudes. A good, a really good basketball team in Alabama that felt like they were in the mix or the same tier as, as a Florida or an Auburn. You know, look, you're going to dig them a little bit because Auburn looked like the best team all season long and everybody fell in love with Florida as they won the SEC championship. Bill. But to watch Alabama go the whole game being like I guess I'll just shoot it from here again because we can't get past the perimeter guys. We're never getting into the paint. We can't post it up against these guys. Even if we get a screening, we get some angle. Malawatch is coming over here. This dude started playing basketball four years ago and is 7 foot 2 and he's altering every shot at the rim. Yeah, look I, I've loved watching this tournament even if it hasn't been the buzzer beater and the drama stuff so. And I need more than I always say this kind of stuff but like I need more than one year results. Just say this is now the new normal. Now it's very clear the mid major programs, the strength that they had, the advantage that they had against some of the other higher profile programs was that they had continuity, that a lot of their guys were playing together multiple years, maybe even a little bit older and sticking around. They don't like we ignore that in basketball far too often that it's the same thing in the NBA. Like have these guys actually played together for a long time. Like that's a massive advantage that I feel like is never ever talked about or at least we, we, we've diminished the importance of that continuity. And so maybe that's, maybe this is the first year of the new normal, but I would need it to be like this. And in a single elimination, like we're definitely going to have Cinderella teams again. We're just going to have weird scores that'll happen. It just didn't happen this year. And the top of the field as we knew going in was historic anyway, and it's played out that way.
Bill Simmons
I like watching really good basketball teams. I'm a snob. I like watching good, good sporting events and good teams. And the quality does seem a little higher. But Duke is like, I mean this when you watch them, like the ceiling of the guys they're putting out there and how they play together, which is. I talked about this with Tate and Kyle the other day. Like, it's not just like, oh, they have four. Like that 2000, what was that 2019 Duke team? And it was like Zion and RJ Barrett. And it's like, look at all these lottery prospects. But it didn't feel like a team. This Duke team now feels like an actual basketball team that you would have put together. Like a gm, like the way they play together. I think that's been really interesting to watch because I had just gotten to the point with college basketball. I was like, this all feels fucking random. Everyone's just chucking up threes and some of them will go and some of them won't, but I think the quality has been higher. And the other thing is some of the teams feel like they have different identities almost, which is the way college, when we really love College in the 80s and 90s, the teams would have these different Personas. Like St. John's is like, oh, the pressing team, Texas Tech was like, these guys are just fucking huge. Like, they're just like big bully ball teams. So that part's been really fun to watch. Move far, knowing nothing. And then you watch the games today and it's like, Jesus Christ, Houston, it's the athlete team. So that part I've enjoyed.
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah, Tech almost won. I mean, it's going to be tough for Tech fans today going, oof, you kind of blew that one. But again, we've already been talking about the Gators and the Shop making. They just everybody between Halkin and Clayton Jr. They hit every one of those threes when they needed to and then they missed the front end of the one on ones on the other side twice. But Tech was looking like they were going to run away with that game with post ups. Old school post ups. Somebody was sitting on a couch. A young man listening to us right now was on the couch with his father, maybe even his grandfather. And he was like, that guy reminds me of Adrian Dantley, although Adrian D. Probably had a little bit more face up. Like I could have just gone real old school post up guy. And I don't want to use Mikhail here But they got back into it because Florida could not handle the big guy, Williams, I think, from. From Tech, who just was destroying him.
Bill Simmons
And it was space. Yeah, they were just kind of spacing it out for him and chucking it to him. And he was doing this. They didn't want to double spins or face ups. It was pretty interesting.
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah, right. Because you could see Florida's like, we don't want to double here. And then they finally, like, had a guy overplay his shoulder so much that it kind of screwed him up a little bit. Yeah. Look, man, like, even Tennessee, what Tennessee did to Kentucky in that first half was horrifying. It was. I mean, the energy, the effort, I think, because as NBA guys, whenever I dig into the college stuff, there's this abruptness, the shock part of like, oh, my God, like, who's actually going to score? Like, do they have. Like, we're just so used to the NBA now. It's weird. If there's two guys that aren't offensive threats on the ball in a college, you might have, like, lineups where it's always three guys that aren't really a threat with the basketball. And they play so damn hard, especially in these tournaments. They're just going to play harder than anything you're going to see in the regular season in the NBA, for the most part, which would only make sense. I don't even think it's a criticism of the NBA. It's just the reality of it that once you get past, like, what the hell are they doing? Is anyone ever going to score? Or that's a terrible shot. Or where are the shot makers? Like, Lanier? I know Tennessee gets eliminated today, but that guy's like, one of the just purest shot makers I watched all season in college hoops. Like, damn, like, this guy's getting into this kind of stuff as a college player. And so you have Tennessee just swallow up Kentucky and then they go up against Houston, where you're like, I don't know, like, are a couple guys going to get their careers going to end in this game? Because you know how physical it's going to be. And granted, it was 29 to 8 with 3:38 to go in the first half. And Houston basically reminds Tennessee, like, you think what you did against Kentucky, you're going to be able to do against us. And the Kentucky even has. Or excuse me, I think Tennessee had the ball down 10 making this run, and they played so hard to close this game, which is a credit to Rick Barnes and everybody with Tennessee. So I'm going to say nice about something about the team that lost here. I don't know how many other teams in college basketball are able to hold off the effort that Tennessee was playing with and yet Houston was able to get it back up to 20 because there was about this six or eight minute stretch where I'm like, is Tennessee going to find a way to actually get back in this game? And if you can appreciate the effort and obviously the pageantry, which we've always talked about the past, it helps you get over some of the moments where there's just such a gap between the shot making ability and, you know, how clunky the college game can look at times because a lot of the time it's like these guys are busting their asses. Every single rebound is a wrestling match.
Bill Simmons
I think the shot making is. I just wonder if basketball is just going to another level as we're watching it. Just at all levels. Like you watch some of the drives and the finishes that the college guys have and some of these guys aren't even going to potentially even play in the NBA. Or some of the threes, like the threes that Clayton Jr. Is making, the artistry feels like it's gone up a level versus where we were before. Now some stuff has changed. Like I don't like when we did blue chips for the rewatchables. And you watch Bobby Hurley is in that movie and he's just like the old school classic point guard, head up. I'm just going to set up. Those guys seem to be kind of gone and, and they've just been replaced by these, all these different shooting point guards that all seem like they, they every team has like three of them. And then Flag is another one who just seems like a complete anomaly for what we're watching. But for the most part, like you watch some of the shop making and it's really high level. I just wonder if maybe it's the camps, maybe it's people following like the previous generations and stealing the best things from them as they watch and they're playing when they're eight years old, but just seems like people are getting better at basketball. Is that crazy? Like there'll be finishes in traffic where guys are bouncing off each other and doing like spin, spin layups. Like Jesus Christ, that's like a round two NBA playoff shot. This guy's like the fucking fourth guy in Florida.
Ryan Rosillo
Now wait, if you're missing Bobby Hurley, do you feel like you didn't spend enough time with Steven Ashworth this year.
Bill Simmons
Of Creighton I probably didn't. And probably not the Illinois guy either. The pick and roll guy with the long last name. I don't think I didn't spend enough time with him either. But that's why we have YouTube when I'm jumping in late on the draft, falling in love with different people.
Ryan Rosillo
So I did a little exercise. I was going to say it for my pod, but I'll do it now. The Cooper stuff, now that I feel I'm caught up on them. I asked. I think it was. I don't think I got 10 responses. So maybe I'm not as cool as I thought. I think I sent out 10 texts to NBA teams being like, zion coming out, Cooper coming out. So I have eight responses. What do you think the vote is for Cooper or Zion?
Bill Simmons
Who is going to be a more reliable superstar?
Ryan Rosillo
No, we can't do that. It's a little hard to put the toothpaste back in the tube because we have all the Zion information. But go back to when Zion was coming out.
Bill Simmons
But what's the question?
Ryan Rosillo
Number one pick, what's the question?
Bill Simmons
Who do you like more as a prospect coming into the draft?
Ryan Rosillo
If they were both coming out with only the one Duke year behind them, how would you rank Cooper Flagg and Zion Williamson?
Bill Simmons
Man, we both really love Zion coming out of college. Loved him. I'm going to say Cooper is more of a sure thing. So he'd be ranked slightly higher just because whatever he's doing is going to translate so well. There's less variance with the ceiling. And Zion was always like, had the higher ceiling, but he was always in the air. There was always the injury fear with him. I just think Cooper's a safer bet. So I would say him 5, 3.
Ryan Rosillo
In favor of Cooper. So not the most scientific polling. I don't know.
Bill Simmons
Interesting, though.
Ryan Rosillo
But it doesn't represent. It's just, you know, you could have four. Cooper's the.
Bill Simmons
He's the best. He's the best kind of ceiling prospect that's come out of college since Zion. Right.
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah. Right. Because, I mean, you know, clearly women. Yama was generational, but not all background. Right. Doesn't count.
Bill Simmons
Davis at Kentucky, Zion. Like, if you're just going like the last 15 years, I think he's. Cooper's in that conversation.
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah. And he's one of those guys. There's way more anticipation for him than there were Anthony Edwards.
Bill Simmons
Well, it's interesting, though, because it's different than the typical college guy that comes in because you stick him on these different teams, and he can kind of fulfill whatever you were missing. You know, he goes to Charlotte. He just has this immediate impact in all these different ways for them. Right. He goes to Washington. You put him next to Saar. Same thing. It would just be. I just don't think there's a team that's like, yeah, this is going to be a weird fit for us, and I can't wait. But we'll see. We'll see with. We'll see with some of these other Duke guys, too, because the 7 foot 2 guy is fascinating. I don't know what to make of that guy.
Ryan Rosillo
Knipple's good, too.
Bill Simmons
He's so. I'm already on the record. He's going to go five spots too late in the draft and it's going to be stupid. I don't know if it'll be. He should have gone 11 and he ends up going 16. He should have gone 14. He ends up going 19.
Ryan Rosillo
I don't know if teams will talk.
Bill Simmons
Themselves out of him. I think.
Ryan Rosillo
I don't know if it's because I grew up such a passionate hater of Duke, and then once I started working in the business, I just started respecting it a lot more. And the weird thing was that Zion year, I found myself doing the impossible and, like, not hating Duke and wanting, like, I wanted him to advance, which is. I don't think it's ever happened. And, you know, it's a. It's a Big East ACC thing. It's very natural. Duke fans, I mean, I know you're sick of hearing it, but when they're killing Alabama and then they start sharing the notebook and it's like, hey, you lost last year in the Elite Eight, NC State and John Schreier's like, I had to examine. Re. Examine the entire program, top down. And we needed to, like, reemphasize these things, and we needed to build this team in a certain way. And I'm listening to all of it. It all sounds incredible, but I also think that people have a habit of, in certain industries, making their job seem like it's more challenging than it is. Or complicated, perhaps, is the right way to say it. Because we all know coaching this kind of program is complicated for everybody. It's going to just wear you out. But I'm sitting there, I'm in my hotel room and I'm listening to all this stuff as they're killing Alabama, and I'm thinking, like, so you had to have a philosophical adjustment to want to bring in three lottery picks?
Bill Simmons
Yeah. Isn't that the whole goal every year? Also, you had a philosophical adjustment to having Cooper flag on your team.
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah, we examined everything. We did the work, we triple checked everything. And we thought, hey, we have a chance to have three lottery picks. They're all huge. Should we do that, Phil? Does it match our new philosophy? And it's like, you know, I bet it does. My guess is that the marriage.
Bill Simmons
Should I have the best guy in six years of my team? And the answer, you know, I stumbled into it, but it was yes. It's really nice to have him. We were in Boston for the Rewatchables. We did goodwill hunting on Thursday and the weather was terrible the entire time, except for like one hour. One and a half. You split. You lasted two days. You were out. I left a day early. And the first day we were there, the Red Sox were one. And, oh, people are feeling great. And now they're one and three and everyone's freaking out about Raphael Devers. Baseball's back, baby. Barty run the gamut of emotions. Four days.
Ryan Rosillo
I'm on, by the way.
Bill Simmons
Three, Devers. Panic attacks and wondering. And the Yankees are using the torpedo bats and really running the gamut of emotions already. Major League Baseball. I don't understand these torpedo bats at all. How do we. How did we still figure out how to innovate with baseball bats in 2025? How did. How did we not run out of every possibility with these things now?
Ryan Rosillo
I just didn't understand barrels. I have no education on it, so let's start there. But I found it a little weird that I didn't know that you could just make your own bats now.
Bill Simmons
You just can't use aluminum bats. Seems to be the only. And you can't cork your bat. Those seem to be the two rules. I don't get it. And of course, it's the Yankees that have figured this out. So we're off to a great start.
Ryan Rosillo
See, Nestor came in and gave up three home runs on three straight pitches. Yeah, Torpedo bats. Or did they hate him?
Bill Simmons
You know, and I saw Judge wondering, should he not get a torpedo bat? Because it's been working for him the last two years. He doesn't want to change it up. I just think when you have something called a torpedo bat, it's probably going to get banned from the league pretty within a year. Just the name itself. It's like, how long is this going to last? Probably over under three months.
Ryan Rosillo
What could you have named it to prevent the pushback, though? Something less hostile. The human bat.
Bill Simmons
Like Big barrel. Bat.
Ryan Rosillo
No, I don't think you could do that. I think that's too aggressive.
Bill Simmons
Barrel.
Ryan Rosillo
The natural resource bat.
Bill Simmons
Barrel. Big barrel. Did you pick a side in Stephen A versus LeBron or did you set it up?
Ryan Rosillo
It reminded me of a lot of political debates. I was like, I have to pick one.
Bill Simmons
So you sat it out?
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah. Dude, we've talked about Stephen A. How many weeks on this pod?
Bill Simmons
I'm ready to move on right now.
Ryan Rosillo
Good.
Bill Simmons
Just to know if you picked the side.
Ryan Rosillo
I didn't. I think some quotes, like anything with me. I thought some of the quotes made sense. I thought some of the quotes were ridiculous, and I'm sick of talking about them.
Bill Simmons
Any last things before we go that you wanted to hit? Anything weird? Any book you're reading. What'd you read? In the plane home, I read Tim.
Ryan Rosillo
McMahon's Wonder Boy Luca book.
Bill Simmons
How was it?
Ryan Rosillo
Which I really enjoyed, and I enjoyed having. It was a sports book. It was like 380 pages. I was like, oh, right, Tim, here we go. This guy's not sending out a little pamphlet with Luca on the COVID No.
Bill Simmons
Mail in for Tim.
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah. I was like, here, because, you know, some of these sports books, I don't like reading them that much anymore. Just because in my free time, I don't want to do more sports. But yeah. Oh, I have one for you. I don't know if I should share this. It's good, though.
Bill Simmons
It's up to you.
Ryan Rosillo
I sat next to Liv Tyler on the flight home, and she was awesome. She was so nice. And then I was telling her because she lived in Maine, and I was telling her what we did for work, and I was like, well, I'm pretty aware I know what you do for work. Because I was like, do I play it that I don't know who she is, or do I say, hey, I know who you are?
Bill Simmons
No, it's gotta be authentic, right?
Ryan Rosillo
And I said, hey, I'm not gonna pretend that I don't know who you are, because I figured it out. And then we were talking about Maine, and I was talking about Martha's Vineyard, and I was talking about Vermont. And then she was like, I don't really know that much about basketball. I said, well, funny enough, I'm like, this guy right here. And it was during the Duke Alabama game. I was like, this guy's from Maine, and he's the best player in college basketball, and he's going to be the number one pick in the draft. And she was like, that can't be normal. That he's from Maine. And I said, look, you're already on your way. But yeah, really nice. She's a huge movie star. And she was totally friendly, normal. And then I was like, hey, I gotta get back to the game. Headphones. And she's like, you headphonesed her? But she was ready. She was like, I'm gonna watch a movie. She's like, we'll check back in in a couple hours. And I was like, deal.
Bill Simmons
Did you do the. I saw your dad play at Avalon in 1994. You didn't do any of that?
Ryan Rosillo
Like, I have a pump cassette tape that was wondering if I could get autographed.
Bill Simmons
So you, you headphones there, that's a really interesting move.
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah, see now that's going to be the, the part. I didn't really realize that.
Bill Simmons
Well, Alabama, it's your job. You do your job.
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah, I mean, do you know how much of the first game I missed?
Bill Simmons
I flew back today and I had the games, but the WI fi, we just, it's 20, 25 and the Wi fi just. I don't know why I thought I'd be able to prepare for a lot of this pod and that the plane would come through, but I made it work. But I still, I just feel like the WI fi should be 100% at this point on point.
Ryan Rosillo
What's your best famous person encounter on a cross country flight back to la? Because you never know when you're leaving another major city and you're on that direct, that big boy flight. Maybe you're sitting up close a little closer to the guys driving the plane.
Bill Simmons
I actually have a story I think I wrote about 20 years ago, but I'll do it again. We flew to Houston for Jimmy Kimmel Live in 2000. 2004, Super Bowl, Pat's Panthers, 2003. 2000. No, two. It was so February 2004. We're going to Houston. So we were in Writers Guild. So it was first class. It was in first class. I was sitting in a seat and one of the other writers was like two rows behind and I was like, I want to sit with him. Asked the person next to him to switch seats with me. And they switched seats. And then five minutes later, Jacqueline Smith from Charlie's Angels sat in the seat right next to the one I gave up. And she was still smoking hot at that point. She was probably early 50s.
Ryan Rosillo
How. What would you call it?
Bill Simmons
I would have been next to her for three hours and it was like, I, I love Charlie's Angels. So I would Have. I don't know how that would have gone, but the most fun this is. I don't know if I told.
Ryan Rosillo
Look, I'm going to give you credit here because you. You would find a way to get past the awkwardness because, like, you. Let's not kid ourselves. You've been in this world. I know.
Bill Simmons
22 years ago. I don't know, I think I would have froze. I think I would. Had a bad lead.
Ryan Rosillo
I don't know. I've seen you. I've seen you in settings where I was kind of shocked at how.
Bill Simmons
How I could navigate stuff.
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah. How cool. You navigate, like, different stuff. And I never even asked. It was like another director. I was like, he's just going to sit over with those guys the rest of the night. And the guy was like, I've never seen anybody like Bill. Like, Bill can hang out with those guys. He can hang out with those guys. And like, look, we're talking different backgrounds. I think it was the documentary. Was it. Was it the Juice World documentary? And I was. I was like, he's just going to hang out with those guys all night. I was like, that's. And it was like, yeah, man. Bill. Bill can just. He just can move. He can move and he navigates.
Bill Simmons
The scouting part. Can move in. In different areas. Here's. Here's my best airplane story. I've never told the story to you. Flying back. Super Bowl, Colts. Who did they beat Peyton Mannings for? Colts. Bears.
Ryan Rosillo
Oh, Colts, Bears.
Bill Simmons
Rex Grossman flying back. And I'm flying back day of the game. Cause I don't want to be there. And Peyton Manning wins the Super Bowl. I'm still pissed off about the AFC title game. And I'm sitting next to this lady and the plane never. It doesn't take off for like an hour.
Ryan Rosillo
Just.
Bill Simmons
It's like a stuck on the Runway situation. So start talking to the lady. And it was Rick Riley's girlfriend, but she didn't know who I was. And she starts telling me about how Rick Riley's gonna leave Sports Illustrated. And he thinks he wants to go to espn, but he doesn't really like writing his column anymore. But he so much money, he's gonna have to. And she's just giving me all this stuff. And I'm like, oh, my God. And goes through this whole thing. He's probably gonna do the deal.
Ryan Rosillo
She told.
Bill Simmons
Or he might go back to Sports Illustrated, but he doesn't really like writing it anymore. And I'm like, oh, my God. So then she's like, what do you do? And I'm like, oh, ironically, I work for espn. I write a column for them. And so she's like, oh, that's so weird. But how long have you had the column? Blah, blah, blah. So then she's texting with him, and she looks at me and goes, he's telling me not to tell you anything. But I feel like. So now you can't tell anyone. But now I feel like it's almost 20 years later. I could probably tell that story because I felt bad because she was nice.
Ryan Rosillo
That's amazing.
Chris Vernon
Yeah.
Ryan Rosillo
She then told you that he was texting her? I understand him saying he was texting her.
Bill Simmons
You're sitting next to Simmons. Don't say anything.
Ryan Rosillo
You're literally text. You're telling the one person that you shouldn't. I mean, other than the people making the decision. But if they had already offered. So I guess there's. I'm trying to think where you were ranked on the worst possible people in the world to have that information. So I guess there's probably, like, four decision makers that'd be rank ahead of you. So I'll put you fifth on that list, because I can. I can imagine, like, there's a couple people at the top. Top of ESPN where, like, if she was sitting next to Skipper at that time and then was saying to Skipper without knowing who Skipper was, he. He's not sure if he really wants to do it. That's probably still worse to tell Skipper than you. Right?
Bill Simmons
I. I think he was talking himself into it, which was really instructive to me. Cause I was. You know, I'm still, like, trying to climb the ladder, and I'm like, this is great. This guy doesn't sound like he's that hungry anymore. I can beat this guy. Cause I'm a competitive psycho. Yeah.
Ryan Rosillo
Cause I remember. I remember you being really excited in support of that signing.
Bill Simmons
I don't. Well, he took a shot at me. We made up. We. I think he came on the pod at one point, but, yeah, he took a shot about how long my columns were. Oh, my God. I'm just over here.
Ryan Rosillo
Did you have to go to therapy for that?
Bill Simmons
No, I was. I made me mad. I was like you. I went into, like, gym in the town mode. Like, whose car we taking?
Ryan Rosillo
I. I'll be honest. Any encounter I had with Rick in person was fun.
Bill Simmons
Yeah. He's a good guy. I ended up. I really ended up liking him.
Ryan Rosillo
I ran into him a couple different times, and he was, like, incredibly cool to me. And the first time, like I was a complete nobody. Yeah. So he had. He had no reason. But I think he thought. I think he might have thought I was somebody else. Maybe that's why he liked me. But that's really, really funny. So anyway, didn't they put him on Sports center too?
Bill Simmons
Wasn't that thing to give him a talk show? A whole bunch of stuff. He was writing the com for the magazine. It was an instructive lesson to me. I came home and I told my wife, if you're ever sitting on a plane next to anybody, don't start talking about my career or my contract negotiations with them.
Ryan Rosillo
The best is that she told you that. Then she was telling her, stop talking to him.
Bill Simmons
I think he was yelling at her in text.
Ryan Rosillo
I would have been like, you can't. You gotta stop. And then she was like, well, now it's too late. I'll never forget, like in my stretch of like the skipper meetings that I would have, you know, like when you were lucky enough every now and then and he was. When you had your first skipper meeting as an on air person, you were like, oh, okay. Like, now I know why this guy's in charge. Because he fucking kills it in those meetings. Like he's just turns it out. Turns out, not even that. He's. He's just folksy. He's making all these points. And you're kind of like, I thought this before and then now I left. And I totally get why you did that and why you did this and why you did all these things. Because then he'd also, like, try to make you feel like you were in on something he wasn't telling anybody else. He'd be like, I was watching SportsCenter the other day and I saw someone on. And I didn't know their name, I didn't know their background, Ryan. And I thought, that's bad. I'm here every day, I'm in charge. And I was like, I do not know this person. That's not something that should happen on television. So when the Riley thing, because there was a lot of people that are pissed off because Riley, that always felt like, hey, is somebody who doesn't work here, let's pay them way more money than somebody who doesn't work here.
Bill Simmons
It's a strategic move by him where he felt like he was crippling Sports Illustrated by doing that. And it was. He wasn't wrong.
Ryan Rosillo
Right. And I didn't even bring it up. It was almost as if he was just like, I'm going to let Ryan have this piece of information and then if he's ever at a cocktail party with somebody again. I never went to any of that stuff. But, like, if, you know, like, well, Rick Riley was a great signing because he was like, we spent a few million dollars. We destroyed Sports Illustrated.
Bill Simmons
Right. I don't know if that was true, but it was. It was the right. It was the right narrative. I think Sports Illustrated not figuring out the web destroyed Sports Illustrated.
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah. It's also like, yeah. Cause print killed it in every other avenue. So was that a Rick Riley thing or was it a print thing? But it wasn't even whether or not Skipper was right. The lesson was sharing your strategy in a very clever way where you would gain allies for a decision at the time that was very controversial internally, because on air, people are maybe the pettiest people ever. And if somebody comes in from the outside and he was going to surpass so many different people's salary, wise people were just going to be pissed because that's.
Bill Simmons
Well, I was one of those.
Ryan Rosillo
Yeah, no, I know. I remember.
Bill Simmons
Well, that was a fun one. By the way, Rick Riley's girlfriend, wife, whoever she was, she was very nice. I don't want her get in trouble now if they're still together. It was also 20 years ago. Who cares? Uh, all right, that's it, Priscilla. So you got two podcasts this week. Next week we have something fun for the Sunday episode, and then. Then we're in the home stretch here. Good to see you. Thanks for coming to Boston.
Ryan Rosillo
Uh, yeah, no, thanks for having me. The goodwill hunting thing was awesome. It was. You guys are so good. You shone a cr.
Bill Simmons
Ah. You fit in great. It was a really fun one.
Ryan Rosillo
No, I was really good on the pod. I'm not being humble, but I'm just saying you three are also very good.
Bill Simmons
Thank you. See you next week. All right, that's it for the podcast. Thanks to Ryan Marcillo, thanks to Chris Vernon for joining us. Thanks to Saruti and Gahal and Kyle. As always, don't forget, you can watch this on the Bill Simmons YouTube channel. You can always watch it as a video podcast on Spotify. New rewatchables coming tomorrow. Good Will Hunting Prestige TV podcast White Lotus episode seven is up. And last but not least, the Zach Lowe show is coming. So get ready to subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. Very excited about that. We will see him on this podcast on Tuesday. Must be 21 plus in President select states for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or 18 + in President D.C. gambling problem call 100 Gambler or visit rg-help.com, call 1-887-89-7777 or visit ccpg.org in Connecticut or visit mdgamblinghelp.org in Maryland. Hope is here. Visit gamblinghelplinema.org or call 800-327-550 for 24. 7 support in Massachusetts or call 1-877-8-HOPE NY or text Hopeny in New York. This episode is brought to you by Hookah. I've got to talk to you guys about the Bondi 9, the new daily trainer from Hookah, the Bondi 9 delivers peak plushness for everyday miles. Overhauled from top to bottom, they've increased the stack height and added a new premium foam midsole to deliver that soft, resilient ride that's become synonymous with the Bondi. And look, I walk a lot. I walk all around la. You need good shoes for that. These are perfect. Everybody Bondi. Visit hooka.com h o k a.com to learn more about the Bondi Nine. This episode is brought to you by LinkedIn. During the season, every baseball team plays 162 games. It's a true test of endurance. It's not enough to have a hot month or two. You need sustained dominance throughout. Well, the same is true for your small business. It's not enough to have a great Q2 or even a great year. You want year over year growth that starts with better hires that'll be there for the long haul. To find Those hires, use LinkedIn. LinkedIn has strong hiring data and insights that you won't find anywhere else. To help pair you with the best candidates, from unique skills and interests to the connections you have in common. Based on LinkedIn data, 72% of small businesses say that LinkedIn helps them find high quality talent. LinkedIn also lets you go beyond people who are actively applying. In a given week, 171 million LinkedIn members aren't actively seeking jobs, but they are open to new opportunities. That's a big pool to miss out on. If you're not hiring with LinkedIn. Find your next great hire on LinkedIn. Post your job for free at LinkedIn.com Simmons that's LinkedIn.com Simmons to post your job for free. Terms and conditions apply.
The Bill Simmons Podcast: The Memphis Lowdown and Forgotten NBA Playoff Teams
Episode Release Date: March 31, 2025
Hosts:
The episode kicks off with a significant update from Bill Simmons regarding the Memphis Grizzlies' recent decision to fire their coach just three weeks before the season's end, despite holding a top-five seed in the Western Conference. Ryan Rosillo provides his reaction, highlighting that the move indicates longstanding dissatisfaction with the coaching staff and organizational direction.
Ryan Rosillo ([04:02]): "It made all the off-season stuff make sense... They've wanted to fire him for over a year."
Chris Vernon echoes this sentiment, expressing his shock but acknowledging that underperformance in the last 25 games (11-14 record with a 15th net rating) likely made the decision inevitable.
Chris Vernon ([04:42]): "Absolutely stunned."
A primary focus of the discussion is Ja Morant's inconsistent performance and injury issues, which have significantly impacted the Grizzlies' season. Bill Simmons questions whether Memphis can compete for a title without reliable performance from their star player.
Bill Simmons ([16:06]): "Can you actually compete for a title if you can't count on your best guy emotionally or physically?"
Ryan Rosillo critiques Morant's playing style, noting his tendency to drive to the basket without adequate support, leading to defensive vulnerabilities.
Ryan Rosillo ([11:00]): "...he just flailing into the paint, hoping somebody fixes it for him."
Chris Vernon adds that while Morant remains a beloved figure, his availability and consistency are major concerns, potentially jeopardizing his career longevity.
Chris Vernon ([16:29]): "And he’s not reliable enough."
The hosts delve into the broader organizational problems within Memphis, emphasizing the lack of veteran presence in the locker room and the over-reliance on youth and rotations. Chris Vernon criticizes the team's extensive player rotation (playing 11 players deeply), which hampers team chemistry and defensive stability.
Chris Vernon ([25:59]): "They play too many guys. You know, they play 11 guys too many minutes in the games."
Bill Simmons underscores the challenge of building around an inconsistent star, questioning the viability of maintaining a "big three" with Morant, Desmond Bain, and Jaren Jackson Jr.
Bill Simmons ([27:30]): "If I have JA and Bane and Triple J for the next five years, is that enough?"
Ryan Rosillo responds skeptically, stating that such a trio lacks the depth and defensive prowess necessary for championship contention.
Ryan Rosillo ([27:56]): "No, you can't. That's not a title team."
The conversation broadens to assess other Western Conference teams' playoff potentials:
Bill Simmons ([37:38]): "Who's guarding Jokic? I will say, I mean who has a good option? You got a good one."
The hosts explore the unpredictable nature of the playoffs, emphasizing matchup dynamics and health scenarios that could lead to unexpected outcomes. Chris Vernon highlights how teams like Houston and Minnesota can capitalize on favorable matchups, while Bill Simmons remains cautious about Memphis' ability to advance despite their seeding.
Bill Simmons ([38:39]): "It's gotta be plus 850."
Ryan Rosillo concurs, noting that while Memphis has potential, the odds remain heavily against them making it deep into the playoffs.
Ryan Rosillo ([38:45]): "It’s gonna be a 10 to 1."
Transitioning to college basketball, the discussion touches on the heightened quality of play and the diminishing occurrence of Cinderella stories in March Madness. Ryan Rosillo praises standout performances, such as Clayton Jr. from Florida, while Bill Simmons laments the loss of team identity and continuity that traditionally fueled upsets.
Ryan Rosillo ([69:25]): "Clayton Jr. of Florida. The shot that he hit, the three were he ended up taking it out from the paint..."
Bill Simmons reflects on the evolving nature of basketball at all levels, observing increased technical skill and cohesive team strategies.
Bill Simmons ([100:01]): "I think the quality has been higher... it's like, Jesus Christ, that guy’s like the fourth guy in Florida."
In lighter moments, Ryan Rosillo shares personal stories, including an encounter with actress Liv Tyler during a flight, highlighting the personable and engaging nature of the podcast’s hosts.
Ryan Rosillo ([118:11]): "I sat next to Liv Tyler on the flight home, and she was awesome. She was so nice."
Bill Simmons recounts a humorous interaction with Rick Riley from Sports Illustrated, illustrating the behind-the-scenes dynamics of sports journalism.
Bill Simmons ([127:53]): "He wasn't wrong. It was the right narrative."
The episode provides an in-depth analysis of the Memphis Grizzlies' tumultuous season, spotlighting key issues with team leadership, star player reliability, and organizational structure. Additionally, it offers broader insights into other NBA playoff contenders and the current landscape of college basketball, all interwoven with personal anecdotes that enrich the discussion. Notable quotes and expert opinions from hosts Ryan Rosillo and Chris Vernon complement Bill Simmons' hosting prowess, delivering a comprehensive and engaging overview for listeners.
For those interested in the evolving stories of NBA playoff scenarios and the shifting dynamics of college basketball, this episode is a must-listen, offering valuable perspectives and expert commentary.