
A pre-election special on governors’ races in New Jersey and Virginia, the mayoral election in New York City, and Prop 50 in California.
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Jen Psaki
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Jennifer Palmieri
Foreign hi, it's Jen Psaki and this is the Blueprint. On Sunday night, I hosted a pre election special live on msnbc. We dug into what to expect in a bunch of races, including the two governor's races in New Jersey and Virginia, Prop 50 out in California, the New York City mayoral election, state Supreme Court races in Pennsylvania, and a whole lot more. It might be an off year, but there's a ton going on and a lot of this news has implications for the 2026 midterms. We wanted to make the special available to our podcast listeners so that you all have the most up to date news and analysis from around the country as many people head to the polls on Tuesday. I'll be back in your feed on Wednesday with a special results episode of the Blueprint, featuring of course, my friend and Democratic strategist Liz Smith. But this week we'll be joined by Obama and Kamala Harris advisor David Plouffe. David so without further ado, our pre election special, which Originally aired on November 2nd. Okay, if you're wondering why I'm here on a Sunday night, if you're wondering why we're calling this show the Blueprint and not the briefing, and why we have this fabulous backdrop with us right now, it's because there's an election in two days and for the past few weeks I've been having a great time, really doing season two of my podcast, the Blueprint, where we talk about the future of the Democratic Party and how Democrats can win again. And we felt like with so many hugely important races on Tuesdays, on this Tuesday, I should say we wanted to bring that conversation here for a special hour on msnbc. I am so grateful you all are here with us. We are gonna give you updates on all these races so you know exactly what to expect. And we're gonna talk about a lot of the big questions of this election, like what we should expect out of New Jersey, where Democrat Mikey Sherrill is trying to hold on right now in a state where Trump than six points a year ago. And what we can expect out of Virginia, where the Democratic candidate for governor, Abigail Spanberg has a big lead, but where controversy down the ballot is a big test for the attorney general's race. There's also legislative races in that state as well. And just how big will the vote against Trump be in California, where Democratic voters hope to deliver their first big counterpunch in the ongoing fight over redistricting by passing Prop 50 by a large margin? That's what they want. Is there anything that can stop the momentum of Democratic socialist phenom Zoran Mamdani as he looks to become the youngest mayor of America's largest city in more than 100 years? So this is the final push. It's happening. It's been happening. Voters are voting. They have been voting. Elections are happening on Tuesday. And as both parties make their final pitch to voters, Republicans have the added challenge of trying to overcome the Trump factor, which is more in these races of a sinking anchor than anything else. I mean, in many ways he is perhaps the best driver of turnout for Democrats. As Jonathan Martin writes for Politico magazine this weekend, quote, the most revealing element of next week's election is that President Donald Trump is all but ensuring defeat for Republicans and his party is doing next to nothing about it. We're going to dig into all of that and what it means now. In New Jersey, Trump is trying to punish blue state voters by canceling an important infrastructure project and hurting Garden State Republicans. Closing day message in the process. In Virginia, Trump has laid off thousands of federal workers and his government shutdown has led to long lines at food banks just as voters start heading to the polls. In California, Trump hasn't lifted a finger to help beleaguered Golden State Republicans in their uphill battle against Gavin Newsom's well funded campaign in support of Prop 50. And in new York, Trump's tacit embrace of independent candidate Andrew Cuomo has handed Zoran Mamdani a common enemy to help unite his fractured party. And if that wasn't enough, and that is plenty, Trump spent the final weekend before the election holding. I mean, you seriously can't make this step up. A lavish Great Gatsby themed party at Mar a Lago for Halloween. And I mean this thing, you can see it on your screen right now. That is actual footage of it. This thing looked like a roaring twenties masterclass of elitist disconnection. And they hosted this party just as 42 million Americans were about to lose access to their snap food benefits. So as Democrats look to make this election all about affordability, which has been a big message even from very different candidates and very different campaigns, Trump and his underlings are literally partying like Gilded Age royalty while planning for the building of a tacky and expensive White House ballroom. And that tone deaf message from the leader of the Republican Party, of which he still is, is giving top Democratic surrogates exactly the kind of closing message they need right now.
Jen Psaki
As for the President, he has been focused on critical issues like paving over the Rose Garden so folks don't get mud on their shoes and gold plating the Oval Office and building a 300 million dollar ballroom. So, Virginia, here's the good news. If you can't visit a doctor, don't worry, he will save you a dance. The economy has been really good for some of Trump's billionaire friends and it's been good for some finance bros and well connected corporations who've seen their tax bill go down and, and don't have.
Malcolm Kenyatta
To worry about all those pesky regulators anymore.
Jen Psaki
But for ordinary families, for you, your neighbors, your friends, costs have not gone down, they've gone up. And if you don't get an invitation to the next White House shindig, you can always watch the festivities on Trump's live feed on Truth social media.
Jennifer Palmieri
I mean, I worked for him for 10 years. I feel like he had some things to get off his chest. There more to come. Now, of course, one of the big takeaways from Tuesday's election is going to be what this all means for the midterms one year from now. But even before any of the polls have closed in these early bellwether races, we're already seeing early signs of some momentum for Democrats today. A brand new NBC News poll finds that voters prefer a Democrat controlled Congress to a Republican controlled Congress by an 8 point margin. And that is notably similar to what that same poll found at this point in Trump's first term, when Democrats held a 7 point margin over Republicans just one year before Democrats swept the midterms and took back the House. And with record early voting turnout in places like New York and Virginia, it Looks like voters are more than engaged. More engaged than they have been in years. Months, for sure, but they're quite engaged. So what we learn on Tuesday night, what could we see as a surprise? What are we watching for? Just how big a driver will Donald Trump's disastrous presidency be in races where he isn't on the ballot? That's a big question. What does it all mean for the control of power in Congress one year from now? I have the perfect people to ask who. I'm so grateful they're here with me on a Sunday evening. Joining me are former White House communications adviser to President Obama, Jennifer Palmeri, director at the University of Virginia's center of Politics, Larry Sabato, and Anthony Coley, who is a veteran of New Jersey politics and former spokesperson at the Department of, of Justice. All right, Pomari, I'm gonna start with you because I know that these are, you know, these are local races and they were run in many local ways and we should talk about that. But there's also this big national context, and I just shared that NBC poll today that's out showing that Democrats have an 8 point edge on the generic ballot. They also have a seven point enthusiasm edge, which I think is an interesting number, too. I mean, polls, obviously, they only tell us so much. But tell me, kind of what metrics are you looking for as you, as we go into Tuesday? Because Tuesday is about Tuesday and the outcomes, but it's also about where the Democratic Party is right now and where the electorate is.
Unknown Political Analyst
So I think, you know, one thing sort of already been decided, which is because I, because I think that Mum Donnie is going to win. I think Mikey Sheryl is going to win. I think Abigail Spanfur is going to win in Virginia, which is. Can Democrats attract candidates in places that people are excited about? Right. And all three, and all three jurisdictions there, they were able to do that. So that is, that's good, right? Can you recruit talent? Can you recruit talent that people are excited to turn out and vote for? And then the other thing is just what is, you know, what is the vote? Jersey had a record setting in the primary. People that turned out for the gubernatorial primary, that was a record. It was 60% increase over what happened in 2017, which was also a record. So that was just, you know, what I would technically describe as bonkers turnout. And to see how, and I know that the early vote is looking, looking. That's looking very good. You know, that is also high. And just seeing if this trend continues, as we've seen with special elections, that Democrats are really turning out. And then, you know, that's the most important thing to look for, for what it means for 26.
Jennifer Palmieri
Larry. Larry Sabato, let me turn to you. I mean, you have covered so many elections. You have your crystal ball, of course, which we can all look at. But let me ask you about Virginia, because this race has national, these races have national implications. People will digest them and figure out what they mean for a year from now. But there are also local issues or issues that have local significance. And so I want to ask you about the government shutdown and kind of as you look at the races that are going to happen on Tuesday, what impact do you feel it's going to have? It feels like it's going to have a more significant impact on Virginia than other races, given the electorate and given the federal workforce. But how do you see that as a factor? And tell us a little bit more about what you're watching for Tuesday.
Larry Sabato
Well, there's no question the shutdown is a big factor in Virginia, as it is in other states. But the federal workforce in Virginia is quite large, particularly in Northern Virginia, but also Hampton Roads, which is often a swing area, and the Richmond area as well. And in all those places, if you spend any time there, you'll run across a lot of very angry voters, most of whom will not admit to having defected to Trump. And of course, Harris carried Virginia by about six points, but they're very unhappy. And unhappy voters tend to vote. They're going to turn out whether it's early or on Election Day. So every indication we see here is that Democrats should win now, they might not win. The attorney general's race, although surprisingly, that's still in contention, which I think at first, when those unfortunate texts emerged from the Democratic nominee for attorney general, few people thought it would be competitive. Well, it is because Spanberger, if the surveys are correct, both internal and the ones that are published by nonpartisan groups, if they're accurate, she's winning by upper single digits and even low double digits. That may be enough to pull all of the ticket in, including, and this is really important, all hundred members of the House of Delta Delegates are on the ballot. And you may have read something about Virginia jumping into the redistricting battle. Well, it matters if you have a larger majority in the House of delegates is currently 5149. It's very close. There are people projecting that Democrats will have 55 to 60 seats in the House of Delegates. That may or may not be true, but I think they will certainly pick up seats. So all of these pieces fit together. You always look at the margins. That's what I always look for. If you want to know something that might last for a year, and a year is a long time in the Trump era. But if you want to look for something that might last, you want to see big margins. And they may be coming in Virginia. I don't know about New Jersey. I think less so there. And New York, we'll see. But Virginia may supply the most positive news for Democrats outside of Proposition 50 in California.
Jennifer Palmieri
Yeah, it's interesting. Those text messages became a big story, obviously, and in the governor's race, they also tried to tie them to Abigail Spanberger, and they were not successful. All right, Anthony Coley, let me ask you about New Jersey. You've spent, you worked foryou've worked in New Jersey. You've spent a lot of time doing politics there. It's a different race in Virginia to state the obvious. The margin looks closer in the polls right now. Also, it seems like Cittarelli is running as a Glenn Youngkin type of wolf in a sweater vest or something like that campaign. Tell us about what you're expecting there, what you're watching. And it's a state. I'll just the last thing I would add, I noted this earlier. Trump only lost it by six points. So it feels like one of the things when you're talking to people in the hallway, they're a little bit more nervous about if you're a Democrat.
Anthony Coley
So I have been on the phone all weekend talking to politicos up and down the state of New Jersey. And so the overwhelming consensus is that she is on track to win. What I am hearing on the ground, Mikey Sherry, Mikey Sherrill, what I'm hearing on the ground is that they expect, if the model holds, the victory, to be anywhere from four to eight points. And that's with an asterisk.
Larry Sabato
Right.
Anthony Coley
There are two things that the on the ground politicos are focused on here. The first is unaffiliated voters. Larry Sabato knows this well. But in New Jersey, the unaffiliated voting population is roughly a third of the electorate. We're talking 2 million voters. And people just don't have a firm grasp right now of how many of those folks are actually going to show up. The other thing that I heard, Jen and I know you and Paul, Mary, have always been focused on gender issues. Gender is a factor here. Now, New Jersey, of course, has already had a Republican female.
Jennifer Palmieri
How so do you mean? Tell us more about what you mean by that?
Anthony Coley
Right. Christy Todd Whitman was the first.
Jennifer Palmieri
She'd be the second. Mikey Sherrill would be.
Anthony Coley
Mikey Sherrill would be. So what I'm hearing on the ground is that her team is focused really on turning out traditional Democratic male voters that may have a little unease, even though they don't say that in polling with voting for a Democratic female candidate. So they're watching that in the Mikey Sheryl campaign.
Jennifer Palmieri
Yeah. That's interesting. I haven't heard that. That's an interesting feedback and one to watch. Omari, let me bring you back into this. I mean, one of the things that has struck me about all these campaigns is that they're all running, they're running on affordability. They're running on cost in different ways. They all have different solutions for it. But it's an issue that they've all talked about. It feels to me kind of like a bit of a messaging shift in terms of the amount of time candidates are spending on a particular issue than it was a year ago. But what do you think and what do you think that tells us about kind of where things go from here after Tuesday?
Unknown Political Analyst
You know, it's funny because in 22, it was a big issue, right? I know that a lot of the people that won, a lot of the governors that won, that won in 18 and then ran again in 22, particularly the ones in the Midwest, right. Whitmer, Pritzker, that's the year that Shapiro was elected, ever got reelected. And that was a big issue with them, right? Was like, how can we, how can we lower costs? And then, you know, presidential election, I mean, obviously we had it, we had.
Jennifer Palmieri
A.
Unknown Political Analyst
You know, kind of a doozy of a presidential campaign and issues, you know, the issues went, went much, went much bigger. And I think that a lot of the Democrats that are running, you know, particularly with Sheryl and Spamberger in Virginia, it is, you know, they have the benefit of the anger around Trump and what's happening, you know, what kind of role the government is playing and how that feels very anti American. They have the benefit of that, but they're running on these issues that really afford, you know, affect people's daily lives. My husband's from New Jersey. We end up spending a lot of time there. You know, energy is such a huge issue. That's like one of her number one issues that she's talking about is lowering utility costs. But it's very low to the ground about what kind of issues people are, are, are, you know, are experiencing. And the thing That I thought might happen. That's not happening because Trump did do relatively well in New Jersey in 24 and also in 2021. This was sort of like at the, when Biden was out, had one of his lowest approval ratings. Bill Murphy was reelected. But it was, you know, but it was, it was relatively close. And I thought, and you know, you'll recall Trump came to the Jersey Shore in 2024, did a big rally there. I thought that he. To come into the state. And there has never been any hint that he would actually do that. So the sense that Jersey was becoming more MAGA doesn't feel like it's panning out.
Jim DeBoot
Right.
Jennifer Palmieri
Yeah. Go ahead, Dan.
Anthony Coley
What's so interesting to me about the gubernatorial candidates in Virginia and New Jersey is that they're bear hugging Donald Trump, which is not really the formula to win. This is a man who has lost three times in both of these states. Right. If you want to win an election, you don't tend to bear hug the person who people are not fond of. So, you know, I just throw that in there. It's just not the right formula here.
Jennifer Palmieri
Larry Seimedal, let me go to you. You've covered I don't even know how many elections. Hundreds, Dozens. Hundreds, thousands.
Larry Sabato
I go back to the 1950s. I hate to admit it, but it's true.
Jennifer Palmieri
There you go. Give us something you're watching. You don't think people are paying enough attention to on Tuesday.
Jim DeBoot
Yeah.
Larry Sabato
By the way, I like that phrase, bear hugging. I got to tell you that what's interesting in Virginia is Trump has never actually formally endorsed the governor. Never. He hasn't held any rallies for her. I mean, it's, it's a very, very strange situation. I think it's because he thinks she's going to lose, and you know how he feels about losers. But one thing I want to point out, because it isn't given any attention, or at least it hasn't been so far. When the campaign began, the first few months, the first ads appearing, the Republican winsome Earl Sears went heavy on the trans issue. I would say it was easily 3/4 or more of her TV ads and digital advertisements. You know what? It hasn't sold. It just, it's flaked out. It's not like 2024 at all. So every year different. And one year you'll have something that people think is powerful, and then the next year it flops.
Jennifer Palmieri
That's a good note to end on. This is such a good point. She only shifted when she started to try to drag Abigail Spanberger down on the text messages of the Attorney General candidate, which became where she spent most of her time. Jennifer Palmieri, Larry Sabato, Anthony Coley. Thank you all for kicking us off tonight. I learned a lot of things. Appreciate you all. Thank you so much. Okay, we're going to take a very quick break. And coming up, the names Donald Trump and Gavin Newsom might not be on the ballot on Tuesday. They are not, but they kind of are. And right now, Newsom isn't just trying to win, he's trying to run up the score. I've got a senior advisor for the Prop 50 campaign standing by and he joins me in just 90 seconds. Hi, I'm Jenny Slate, and believe it or not, someone is allowing us to have a podcast.
Jen Psaki
I'm Gabe Wiedman.
Jim DeBoot
I'm Max Silvestri and we've been friends for 20 years and we like to reach out to kind of get advice on how to live our lives.
Jennifer Palmieri
It's called I need you guys.
Jim DeBoot
Should I give my baby fresh vegetables?
Jennifer Palmieri
Can I drink the water at the hospital?
Jen Psaki
My landlord plays the trombone and I.
Malcolm Kenyatta
Can'T ask him to stop.
Unknown Political Analyst
You should make sure that you subscribe so that you never miss an episode.
Malcolm Kenyatta
I need you guys.
Jen Psaki
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Jennifer Palmieri
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Jen Psaki
We're seeing overwhelming understanding and recognition of what's at stake.
Jennifer Palmieri
And remember, it's Prop 50 because this.
Jen Psaki
Impacts everyone watching in all 50 states. Donald Trump is an historic president, historically unpopular, he's been very open and honest, including right outside the White House just.
Larry Sabato
Last week saying incumbents are likely to lose the midterms.
Jen Psaki
That's why he called Greg Abbott. He is not screwing around. He's changing the rules. He's rigging the game because he knows.
Larry Sabato
He'Ll lose if all things are equal.
Jen Psaki
He did not expect California to fight fire with fire.
Jennifer Palmieri
You can tell he's been talking a lot because he's losing his voice. But joining me now is Jim Devout, senior adviser to Governor Gavin Newsom and the Prop. Prop 50 campaign. Thank you so much for being here with me. Let me start by asking you. It seems like everyone involved with Prop 50 is extremely confident right now or is exuding a level of confidence about the outcome. And I spoke with Senator Alex Padilla about this on Friday night, and he basically said, we want a big margin of victory. A big margin of victory is important because it sends an important message. And I want to raise this with you because when people hear confidence, sometimes they're like, I don't need to get out and vote. Doesn't really matter, but the margin matters. Or tell me if you agree and.
Jim DeBoot
Why the margin definitely matters. But I think the biggest piece is for once in a long time, to me at least, Democrats are extremely excited to vote in an election. And it's really hard to counter all the public polling that shows that we've had this incredible movement from what actually started at about a 50, 50 race. And I don't want people that to be lost on people because when all the looking back on this race is done, I think people need to understand, especially Democratic leaders, the swing that Governor Newsom and the congressional delegation, at a time when this wasn't a sure thing, is really, really important to show nationally that people were fighting for them. So the bigger the margin, the bigger the message, which is one, California cares about the rest of the country, and two, Democrats are back on their front foot fighting.
Jennifer Palmieri
Yeah, that's a big part of it. People are excited to turn, I mean, as of Saturday, and tell me if there's any updated numbers, but the ones we have is nearly 6 million ballots had been returned in this California, California special election. And that's very seems very close to the turnout of the last California special election back in 2021, which was, of course, the failed attempt to recall Governor Newsom. Let me just ask you, I mean, you talked to, you've been running this. You've been playing a huge role here. Part of this feels like, of course, enthusiasm about the possibility of redistricting and fighting back to what's happening. But also part of it feels like it's sending a clear message to Trump. How do you see the breakdown and what do you hear from voters about the breakdown?
Jim DeBoot
It's both and it's not. And the other piece is this isn't Democratic voters. If the margin is in the double digits, this means that it was crossover vote as well. And I have just personal experience with a few of my friends who are Republicans who have said I can't continue to allow this to happen. So the redistricting piece is really interesting because, as you know, you've been through these battles before. It's kind of an archaic thick. People don't know too much about how their districts appear and who they're voting for and why. But this was not about maps. And had this been about maps, I think we'd be in a very different place. This was about trying to regain a separation of power. It's about retaking the House. It's about making sure that there's a Speaker Jeffries so we have the opportunity. And that's what this is. This isn't like what Trump is doing, where he's just waving a magic wand and telling all of kind of his little minions to go do his bidding. It's about giving the people the ability to decide. And once they decide, which we do think is going to be a yes on Election Day, it gives us the opportunity to have that conversation with the American people to try to take back the House and then move on to the White House in 2028. But I can tell you just from even our internal polling, and you can feel it in our field numbers. We have 65,000 volunteers on this campaign. We're going to eclipse 42 million attempted contacts of California voters. So that's multiple contacts in some cases. But the enthusiasm from people across the who have volunteered, that have come from all 50 states, shows that when you have something to fight for and you're willing to go fight that this is the beginning again of the Democratic Party becoming this powerful force again with all of its new and leaders. And I think Tuesday is going to be the beginning of that nationally. I listened to the last panel and I do think the governor's races in these other states and Prop 50 can serve in his example of how we get back on our front foot.
Jennifer Palmieri
Yeah. I also think that it's going to put a lot of pressure on other blue state governors to do something and move forward with taking action in their states around redistricting to fight back. Let me ask you one more question. I mean, Politico Jonathan Martin wrote this story for Politico this morning, and he kind of laid out the Trump effect on Tuesday's election. He specifically pointed out how all the president would have to do is make a handful of phone calls to his tech oligarch friends, many of whom live in California, and he could easily exceed the $97 million Newsom's allies have raised. I would note that there's a huge number of those that are from small dollar donors. You can give me the numbers exactly. But why do you think he didn't really do that here?
Jim DeBoot
That's a good question for Kevin McCarthy and for Mike Johnson and for Donald Trump because they committed $100 million they spend and are going to end up spending about $55 million. But I'll give the opposite answer. There was a lot of tech folks in California and a lot of wealthy donors on the Democratic side who had the courage to stand up and give to this campaign. And I don't want that to be lost on folks. Reed Hastings, for example, from Netflix, he gave a contribution and was immediately attacked by the influencers and the Republican Party telling people to drop their Netflix accounts. There are still people out there who live in this tech space who care about democracy. And I want that to be we're kind of getting into this place where most of us are pretty cynical. The flip side of this is we actually built out a very, very broad coalition that included not only donors, but labor and Planned Parenthood and all of these other groups that came in to help. I do want to say this. We have really strict disclosure laws in California. So you can't hide money, you can't launder it the way that some other states try or some of these other groups try to do. People know. So whatever check you write in California, they're going to see it. So again, it goes back to our donors, too. The people who gave to this campaign. They know that they're a target. And we should be proud of the fact that they stood up and wanted to fight back for what we're trying to do here so we can have a shot at the 2026 elections.
Jennifer Palmieri
That's a really interesting point. I guess people who want to give to Trump can hide the money in the ballroom. There we go. That's their tip for them. Jim DeBoot, thank you so much. That was so informative. Really appreciate you being with us.
Jim DeBoot
Thanks so much.
Jennifer Palmieri
Well, well, the race for mayor in New York City is ending just about as you would expect it to. Andrew Cuomo was on FOX News this morning reaching out to that audience by saying he's willing to try cooperation with President Trump. Then there's Democratic nominee Zoran Mamdani, who has campaigned overnight in recent days, visiting with taxi drivers at LaGuardia Airport, a local hospital where he talked with overnight workers. And he has also stopped at multiple nightclubs to rally some late night revelers. There he is right there. Okay. The 34 year old Mamdani's broad appeal, youth and optimistic message have built plenty of momentum, tons of it. Obviously, he's the front runner far and away right now. And he got another boost this weekend. The New York Times reports that the former President Obama called Mamdani to offer his support. His praise and support. Now for a guy who does not as a policy endorse and mayoral racist. That's Obama's policy. That's pretty endorsement adjacent, I guess I could call it. Joining us now is Brad Lander, New York City comptroller and Mamdani supporter. It's great to see you. Thank you for taking the time. Let me just start. I mean, you ran against Mamdani, then you endorsed him. We all watched this take place. He's energizing all these people and now he even has former President Obama going about as far as he lets himself go in these sorts of circumstances. I can say given all of the it's been kind of a dumpster fire the last couple of days, how some people, including Andrew Cuomo specifically, have run their campaigns. What do you make of this phone call with President Obama? How much does it matter in these final days?
Jen Psaki
Well, look, I think President Obama, like so many of us, is caught up in the hopeful energy. This is such a sour time with Trump in the White House, with Eric Adams having sullied City hall and corruption, and with Andrew Cuomo running this sour, bitter, backward looking FOX News campaign. New Yorkers are hungry for some hope and Zoran is giving it to us. And even President Obama, I think, is caught up in.
Jennifer Palmieri
Seems like it. I mean, that Again, I worked for him for 10 years. He's like, he always figures out a way to kind of send a message. When he wants to send a message, even if it's not endorsement, it's adjacent, as I like to say. So let me ask you a little bit more about Andrew Cuomo's strategy. I mean, it's been pretty scorched earth. In the closing days, he released this insane AI ad, including one with a computer generated Mamdani voice and a school house rock cartoon where Mamdani lights money on fire. It seems like, it kind of seems like he's trying to align himself with Trump and have Trump's voters help him win. I mentioned his appearance, of course, on Fox News this morning. Tell me what you make of the whole strategy.
Jen Psaki
Look, I mean, I honestly think his worst self is coming out down the stretch. He's got nothing to offer. The fact that it's been. That's not the only one. There've been multiple scorched earth AI videos. He said diversity can be a bad thing in the city of New York. He's fueling Islamophobia. And just all he's got is scare tactics. He's got nothing positive to offer, and he's just running on fear. And now AI generated fear. And that does ripple, as you say. It feels like a dumpster fire, but it's not giving inspiring vision to anyone.
Jennifer Palmieri
Let me ask you about one of the questions that, and I've asked him about this, too, his support among Jewish voters. It's generational, it seems, some of the gaps, but it's been something he's been having to answer questions on and really working on through the course of the campaign. You've endorsed him. Jerry Nadler has, too. A prominent Hasidic rabbi announced his support for Mamdani today. And then there's Chuck Schumer, though, who ran away from the podium instead of answering whether he will or won't endorse Mamdani. Do youwhy do you think he's such a holdout here? I can't wrap my head around it, really. But why do you think he's such a holdout?
Jen Psaki
I mean, look, on election night, on the primary, Zoran committed to reach out to Jewish communities. And I'll tell you, I've seen it up close in house parties, in one on one meetings with rabbis, with Jewish communal organizations. No one that I can remember has spent this much time doing outreach. So anyone who has a reasonable bar to clear for him to show that he's going to keep Jewish New Yorkers safe and make sure this continues to be an extraordinary Jewish city, just like it's a Muslim city and a Dominican city and everything else. So I don't know. I think all Democratic leaders should be out there supporting our nominee. It's a big, broad party, but he's showing one exciting way to fight for working people, to focus on affordability and give people hope in the future. And yeah, still a little time. I'd love to see Senator Schumer join.
Jennifer Palmieri
Yes, tomorrow if you're out there. Senator Schumer, There you go. New York City Comptroller Brad Lander, thank you so much for joining me today.
Jen Psaki
Great to be with you. Thank you.
Jennifer Palmieri
Coming up Remember when Elon Musk I try to forget this, but it did happen. Put on a cheesehead and tried to sway Wisconsin Supreme Court race with million dollar checks. Well, there's an under the radar race in Pennsylvania that has drawn the attention of its own version of Elon Musk. Pennsylvania's Elon Musk in some ways. More on.
Jen Psaki
Hey, this is Jeff Lewis from Radio Andy live and uncensored. Catch me talking with my friends about my latest obsessions, relationship issues and bodily ailments. With that kind of drama that seems to follow me, you never know what's going to happen.
Jennifer Palmieri
You can listen to Jeff Lewis live at home or anywhere you are. Download the SiriusXM app for over 425 channels of AD, free music, sports, entertainment and more. Subscribe now and get 3 months free offer details. Apply.
Jen Psaki
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Jim DeBoot
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Jen Psaki
As the same day. Loans offered by Netcredit or lending partner banks and serviced by Netcredit. Applications subject to review and approval. Learn more@netcredit.com partners did you know 39%.
Jennifer Palmieri
Of teen drivers admit to texting while driving. Even scarier, those who text are more likely to speed and run red lights. Shockingly, 94% know it's dangerous, but do it anyway. As a parent, you can't always be in the car, but you can stay connected to their safety with green light. Infiniti's driving reports monitor their driving habits, see if they're using their phone, speeding and more. These reports provide real data for meaningful conversations about safety. Plus, with weekly updates, you can track their progress over time, help keep your teens safe. Sign up for Greenlight infinity@Greenlight.com podcast. Do you remember earlier this year when the world's richest man, Elon Musk tried to buy himself an election in Wisconsin. Maybe you tried to block it out. I get it. But back in March, Musk stunned a cheesehead and held a massive rally in Green Bay, a rally at which he announced he would be giving out two $1 million checks to random attendees. That was just two of the more than $20 million Musk and the groups he supports spent in that race. It wasn't the kind of race that normally attracts a ton of attention or outside spending. It was a state Supreme Court race. But as Elon Musk explained, the outcome of that race was really much bigger than just Wisconsin.
Jim DeBoot
Most people aren't aware that there is this important election. Most people don't even know that there's an election at all. Or if they do, they aren't sure exactly when and where it is. And they aren't sure yet of. They don't realize just how important it is. They think it's. Well, it's just. Just, you know, some kind of judicial thing that's not that important. But it actually, what they're doing. What's happening on Tuesday is a vote for which party controls the U.S. house of Representatives.
Jennifer Palmieri
There, he said it. I mean, ultimately, even after Musk and the groups he supports pumped more than $20 million into that Wisconsin state Supreme Court race, the candidate they supported still lost. But in an era where state laws may offer the last protection in defense of personal rights ranging from abortion, access to voting, and at a time when Trump and Republicans are trying to gerrymander every congressional map they can and cry fraud after any election they lose, the rulings of state supreme courts can have huge national implications. And so now we are seeing yet another conservative billionaire try to sway another state Supreme Court race, this time in Pennsylvania this fall. You can defend democracy and force an election for a new Supreme Court. Okay, that was an ad from a new political group in Pennsylvania called Citizens for Term Limits. Now, the group uses buzzwords like democracy and term limits to make you think that voting no in Tuesday's election is the pro democracy thing to do. They even sent out this mailer claiming that the Pennsylvania State Supreme Court gerrymandered the state's congressional districts. You can see it right there on the screen. But as the Philadelphia Inquirer points out, the gerrymandered map used in the mailer was not drawn by Pennsylvania's Supreme Court. It was drawn by Pennsylvania Republican state legislators and thrown out by the state Supreme Court. I mean, the reality here is that the Pennsylvania State Supreme Court has been protecting democracy, not only by rejecting that Republican gerrymandered map, but by rejecting Trump's attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 election after he lost the state. Now, just like the state Supreme Court race that Musk tried to sway in Wisconsin, the actual logistics of this race are pretty confusing. I mean, most people, most people are not well versed on the ins and outs of judicial elections. We had to dive into it ourselves and these ads are trying to take advantage of that confusion. We must defend our democracy and three no votes will force an election. It's time to term limit the court vote no, no no. Now, the reason that ad is telling voters to vote no three times is because there are three Pennsylvania Supreme Court justices on the ballot, but they aren't running against anyone. The vote is simply whether these three current justices should get to keep their seats or have to leave the court at the end of the year. And while it's true that every no vote would not that every no vote would force an election, that election wouldn't be held until 2027. And Republicans in the legislature likely won't agree with Pennsylvania's Democratic Pennsylvania Governor's Josh Shapiro on any temporary replacements until then. So really, what three no votes would do is take three liberal leaning justices off the state Supreme Court and leave the court. And this is the key part, gridlocked with two conservative justices and two liberal justices basically unable to act as a check against Republican anti democracy efforts before or after the 2026 election. Now, like Elon Musk said in March, what's happening Tuesday is a vote for which party controls the U.S. house of Representatives. And while those ads are not the work of the world's richest man, they are connected to groups supported by Pennsylvania's richest man, billionaire Trump supporter Jeff Yass. And Yass and his wife donated more than $100 million to Trump and Republicans last year. Yass is one of the major shareholders in the TikTok's China based parent company. And Trump is set to decide TikTok's fate in America any day now. Now, this weekend we learned the ASS was one of the donors to Trump's White House ballroom as well that the White House failed to initially disclose. Surprise, surprise there. And now groups connected to him are pushing a misleading campaign to try to effectively bench Pennsylvania's state Supreme Court before next year's election. That's a lot. But it's important to follow. The state Supreme Court races in Pennsylvania on Tuesday, as I just outlined, could have major implications for the 2026 midterms and the 2028 election, which is likely why tonight Donald Trump put his thumb on the scale, urging his supporters in Pennsylvania to vote no, no, no on retaining those justices, citing their previous rulings against him during the 2020 election. If that isn't incredibly telling about the importance of this race, I don't know what is. Joining me now is Vice Chair and Democratic Pennsylvania State Representative Malcolm Kenyatta. You wear so many hats. Let me just start on the state Supreme Court elections in Pennsylvania because we talked about it tonight because I think it's not getting enough. There's exciting governor's races, there's Prop 50 enough attention. Tell us about what's at stake in those elections this Tuesday.
Malcolm Kenyatta
I just want to say that people should go back and watch your intro on this because you explained it so well. An issue that could be complicated. But we have simple retention races and, and in Pennsylvania's Constitution, we do these retention races for judges so that voters have a touch point to effectively say, have these judges been abiding by the rules of ethics? Have they been upholding the Constitution? And because these races are usually so sleepy, we've had very few. I think there's one or two judges who've ever lost a retention race because there were ethical lapses that voters were responding to. But in this instance, you have Republicans, including Jeff Yass, who you mentioned, the biggest donor in Pennsylvania by a mile, who is spending millions of dollars trying to get rid of our three Supreme Court justices, not because they're not upholding the Constitution, but actually because they are upholding the Constitution and because they refuse to work for Donald Trump like so much of the federal judiciary.
Jennifer Palmieri
And they're essentially trying to kind of freeze the state Supreme Court. This is why Trump tweeted about it or posted about it. All props, by the way, to Sam, one of our producers who is a borderline expert now on the state Supreme Court races in Pennsylvania. But such an important thing to understand. Let me ask you.
Malcolm Kenyatta
Well, Sam has joined a good club. He's joined a good club of us.
Jennifer Palmieri
That's right. He's joining a good. Let me ask you about kind of a broader question because we started the show talking about the NBC poll that showed the enthusiasm that Democrats have a seven point enthusiasm advantage. There's an eight point preference for a democr Democrats in the kind of generic ballot as you're looking to Tuesday as a vice chair of the dnc, what are you looking for and what do you think what we've seen so far tells us about the electorate right now?
Malcolm Kenyatta
Well, I think what this new Democratic Party is doing and what we have to do is to make sure that our neighbors are the main characters of this story. I think what frustrates people about politics and what our nominees are doing so well this election cycle is being clear about what elections are about in the first place.
Larry Sabato
Place.
Malcolm Kenyatta
It's not about putting an honorific in front of somebody's name. It's about people's lives and whether or not we're gonna have leaders who wake up every day focused on the three words that I think animate the Democratic Party. Our focus on making life better for working families and working people. And I will tell you on Tuesday, what I'm looking forward to is being able to come back to talk to you to say, you know what? We retain our three justices on the Supreme Court who are gonna stand up for the rule of law, that in New York, Zoran Mamdani is gonna be the. In Virginia, Abigail Spamberger is gonna be the next governor. And in New Jersey, Mikey Sherrill's gonna be the next governor of New Jersey. And I think in all of those campaigns, what you see are elected leaders who recognize as the reigning Super Bowl MVP of the Philadelphia Eagles says they keep the main thing. The main thing. And the main thing is people deserve a government that works for them. Unlike what we're seeing at the federal level right now where Donald Trump is literally having a Great Gatsby bash as million lose access to food because he's illegally withholding the funds. And I think that's really the through line of this moment.
Jennifer Palmieri
You can't even have scripted the absurdity of that Friday night event. Malcolm Kenyatta, keep the thing. The thing. I love that we need T shirts. Thank you so much for joining me. Okay, quick reminder before we go. MSNBC is going to have you covered from start to finish. On election night, we're going to be all over the races in New Jersey and Virginia and New York City and Prop 50, all of it on Tuesday. Ari Melbury and I are gonna kick off our special coverage at 6pm Eastern. And then Rachel Maddow is gonna lead full team coverage at the big table, a very big table, starting at 7pm Eastern. The whole gang is gonna be there. Ali Velshi is gonna be breaking down the results as they come in as well.
Jen Psaki
Hi there, it's Andy Richter and I'm here to tell you about my podcast, the Three Questions with Andy Richter. Each week I invite friends, comedians, actors and musicians to discuss these three questions. Where do you come from? Where are you going and what have you learned? New episodes are out every Tuesday with guests like Julie Bowen, Ted Danson, Tig Notaro, Will Arnett, Phoebe Bridgers and more. You can also tune in for my weekly Andy Richter Call in show episodes, where me and a special guest invite callers to weigh in on topics like dating, disasters, bad teachers, and lots more. Listen to the three Questions with Andy Richter wherever you get your podcasts.
Podcast: The Blueprint with Jen Psaki (MSNBC)
Date: November 3, 2025
Main Guests: Jennifer Palmieri, Larry Sabato, Anthony Coley, Jim DeBoot, Brad Lander, Malcolm Kenyatta
This special pre-election episode of The Blueprint, hosted by Jen Psaki, brings together top Democratic thinkers and strategists to analyze key 2025 elections with implications for the 2026 midterms. The conversation focuses on pivotal gubernatorial, legislative, and judicial races in New Jersey, Virginia, California, New York, and Pennsylvania, alongside discussion of the broader Democratic strategy to confront “Trump 2.0” and regain political momentum.
The theme: What’s the winning formula for Democrats in the new Trump era, and how can the party shape a better future?
“Her team is focused really on turning out traditional Democratic male voters that may have a little unease, even though they don't say that in polling, with voting for a Democratic female candidate.” — Anthony Coley (15:01)
“Unhappy voters tend to vote...if the surveys are correct, [Spanberger’s] winning by upper single digits and even low double digits. That may be enough to pull all of the ticket in.” — Larry Sabato (10:54)
“The bigger the margin, the bigger the message, which is one, California cares about the rest of the country, and two, Democrats are back on their front foot fighting.” — Jim DeBoot (23:54)
“We actually built out a very, very broad coalition that included not only donors, but labor and Planned Parenthood and all of these other groups that came in to help.” — Jim DeBoot (28:00)
“New Yorkers are hungry for some hope and Zoran is giving it to us. And even President Obama, I think, is caught up in the hopeful energy.” — Brad Lander (31:03)
“You have Republicans, including Jeff Yass, who is spending millions of dollars trying to get rid of our three Supreme Court justices, not because they're not upholding the Constitution, but actually because they are upholding the Constitution and because they refuse to work for Donald Trump like so much of the federal judiciary.” — Malcolm Kenyatta (41:59)
“Trump and his underlings are literally partying like Gilded Age royalty while planning for the building of a tacky and expensive White House ballroom.” — Jen Psaki (04:07)
“They're running on affordability. They're running on cost in different ways… It's very low to the ground about what kind of issues people are experiencing.” — Unknown Political Analyst (15:53)
“It hasn't sold. It just, it's flaked out. It's not like 2024 at all. So every year different.” — Larry Sabato (18:46)
Candidate Quality: Democrats’ ability to recruit charismatic, forward-looking candidates is seen as a crucial test (“Can Democrats attract candidates in places that people are excited about?”).
Grassroots Power: Across all races, a major organizing and volunteer effort is evident—particularly in California, with 65,000 volunteers and 42 million voter contacts for Prop 50.
“Main Thing is People”: A through line in all successful campaigns: government works for ordinary people, not elites or corporate interests.
“The main thing is people deserve a government that works for them. Unlike what we're seeing at the federal level right now where Donald Trump is literally having a Great Gatsby bash as millions lose access to food…” — Malcolm Kenyatta (45:06)
“President Donald Trump is all but ensuring defeat for Republicans and his party is doing next to nothing about it.” — Citing Jonathan Martin, Politico (03:12)
“Democrats are really turning out...that's the most important thing to look for, for what it means for 26.” — Jennifer Palmieri (09:03)
“When the campaign began...Winsome Earl Sears went heavy on the trans issue...it hasn't sold. It just, it's flaked out.” — Larry Sabato (18:46)
“We have 65,000 volunteers on this campaign. We're going to eclipse 42 million attempted contacts of California voters.” — Jim DeBoot (25:24)
“I think what this new Democratic Party is doing... is being clear about what elections are about in the first place. It's about people's lives.” — Malcolm Kenyatta (43:47)
“It kind of seems like he's trying to align himself with Trump and have Trump’s voters help him win. I mentioned his appearance, of course, on Fox News this morning... He's fueling Islamophobia. And just all he's got is scare tactics.” — Jen Psaki (32:09)
This episode of The Blueprint serves as both a primer and a strategic discussion for Democrats on the eve of multiple pivotal elections, where the common threads are high engagement, an energized grassroots, and a unified message on economic issues and democratic norms. Panelists are clear-eyed about the risks—including Republican-backed judicial gamesmanship and the ongoing Trump-driven backlash—but optimistic about the revitalization of Democratic organizing and appeal.
As Malcolm Kenyatta sums up (45:06):
"Keep the thing the thing. The main thing is people deserve a government that works for them."
Listeners are left with a sense of both the stakes and the new energy animating Democrats as they contest Trumpism and work to regain power at every level in 2025 and beyond.