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Just hang tight: Trump is super close to a deal with an enemy that he handed all the leverage to. Absolutely do not read his steady supply of hollow threats as him begging Iran for a face-saving off-ramp. Meanwhile, back in reality, Iran too can see how desperate Trump is, the war is helping China feel emboldened, and some of our closest post-WWII allies think Beijing is more dependable than the U.S. under Trump. Plus, Hegseth has chosen an ideal time to pick a fight with the secretary of the Army, numerous officials at the FBI are alarmed by Kash's alleged alcohol-induced absences, kudos to Ossoff for the way he talked about corruption and kleptocracy, and more Vance-splaining from the newbie Catholic Veep.

Bill Kristol joins Tim Miller.

show notes

* Tim’s livestream Monday at 8ET on YouTube or Substack

* JVL on the "Trump Madman Theory' of the stock market

* Lauren on the Dems preparing for a potential midterm-year SCOTUS vacancy

* Tim's 2020 piece on Joe DiGenova

* Images of the Poodle Room, Kash's alleged hangout in Vegas

* Tickets for our Bulwark Live shows in San Diego and LA in May: TheBulwark.com/Events

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Bill Kristol: The Tough Guy Really, Really Means It This Time