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Hey everybody, it's Tim O from the Bulwark. We have another backdown from our president when it comes to the war in Iran. You've heard this story before. We talked about it a bunch with Bill Kristol today, but I think it's pretty notable exactly the rationale Trump gave for not going forward with a planned attack in Iran on his social media account earlier this afternoon. So I'm gonna read the bleed and talk about the ramifications and implications, which I think are quite serious. I've been asked by the Emir of Qatar, the Tamim Bin Hamad Al Thani, and the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, mbs, and the President of the United Arab Emirates, nbz, to hold off on our planned military attack of the Islamic Republic of Iran, which was scheduled for tomorrow in that serious negotiations are now taking place and that in their opinion as great leaders and allies, a deal will be made which will be very acceptable to the United States of America as well as all countries in the Middle east and beyond. The deal will include importantly, no nuclear weapons for Iran caps. Based on my respect for the above mentioned leaders, I've instructed the Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Dan Kane and the US Military that we will not be doing the scheduled attack of Iran tomorrow. That have further instructed them to be prepared to go forward with the full large scale assault of Iran on a moment's notice in the event that an acceptable deal is not reached. Thank you for your attention to this matter. President Donald J. Trump a lot there first, I guess he's breaking the news on his own social media feed that they were planning a military attack in Iran tomorrow. Whether that was, how real that was, you know, we don't know. Been a lot of threats, a lot of plans, a lot of discussion, you know, but we have seen that Trump is pretty weak kneed on this and doesn't really have the stomach for escalating in Iran. He wanted this to be quick and easy like Venezuela. So whether they were actually going to do it, I don't know. But I think it's notable. As I mentioned on the podcast with Bill today, General Jack Keane was on Fox saying that he expected an escalation and troops in Iran soon, imminently. And you know, he is somebody that is, you know, well sourced inside the administration. He's saying on Fox. I found that to be a significant statement because it seemed like, you know, they're at least seriously planning and looking into this whether or not Trump ends up, you know, backing off and tacoing tbd, but they were definitely planning on doing it. So that's the first element of this post that is relevant. I'm not sure it's the most important part, though. I'm a little bit confused, as I mentioned on the pod today, why there isn't a broader chorus about how weak and humiliated our president is with regards to this war. And it is truly astonishing that the President of the United States of America, supposed leader of the free world, the supposedly most powerful country in the world, the most powerful military in the world, multiple times recently has said, I was planning on using our power, but we decided not to because a foreign dictator asked me to not do it. And so I'm going to let them push me around and tell me what to do. And it's pretty crazy. You can't even imagine Barack Obama sending this tweet. You know, we're going to attack isis, but the Emir of Qatar asked me not to. And so I said, yes, sir, Mr. Amir, Honorable Amir, I'm not going to go ahead with the attack on ISIS at your request. I mean, like, literally, I don't. I mean, Fox News would have been pandemonium if that had happened. The idea that Barack Hussein Obama was taking orders from Islamic countries and Sharia law dictators. But that's what's happening here. Like Trump previously had said that he'd been asked by Pakistan nicely to stop the war. He's mentioned Qatar before, asking him to not escalate because they're worried about their own energy resources. And now here he is saying, we are going to go forward tomorrow with the Sharia law dictators in Qatar, the UAE and Saudi Arabia told him not to escalate the war, and so he's not going to do it. So Americans are going to continue to pay higher gas prices. The Iranian people who allegedly we are going to help are still going to suffer under this regime. The Strait of Hormuz will remain closed, and America will continue to look desiccated and weak and paralyzed on the global stage because Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE want us to. This is, like, without recent precedent. And just the level of humiliation is just beyond anything. There's all this discussion of Jimmy Carter and how weak he looks during the hostage crisis. And this is on a level far beyond that. It looks as if the Emir of Qatar has put a dog collar on our president's neck, and it's just kind of walking them around the block and telling them what to do. Why are we taking orders from Qatar or the UAE if you just take them at their word. And this was a critical priority for our country that we invade Iran. And I guess coordinating with them at some level would be expected. We have bases in these countries, but they are dictating the strategy. The Emir of Qatar is telling us what to do. And then you put on top of that, I think, the most serious element of all this, which is the Trump family's on the take from all of these.
Date: May 19, 2026
Host: Tim Miller (of The Bulwark)
Featured Guest: Bill Kristol (referenced)
Main Theme:
A frank and critical examination of President Donald Trump’s decision to back down from a planned military strike on Iran, with a focus on the role of foreign leaders in influencing the president and the wider implications for U.S. stature on the global stage.
Tim Miller offers a sharp critique of President Trump’s handling of a major foreign policy moment: the decision not to move forward with an imminent military attack on Iran. Drawing from Trump’s own social media statement and commentary from guest Bill Kristol, Miller raises alarm about the perceived weakness of the president, the unusual influence of Gulf state leaders over U.S. military actions, and the lack of intense public scrutiny or outrage—especially from the right—over this episode.
Was the Strike Real? (00:50-01:30):
Miller expresses skepticism about how close the U.S. actually was to launching the attack, noting, "There's been a lot of threats, a lot of plans, a lot of discussion, but we have seen that Trump is pretty weak kneed on this and doesn't really have the stomach for escalating in Iran."
Fox News Commentary (01:28):
Miller references General Jack Keane on Fox News, who spoke of imminent troop movements—suggesting the administration was taking the possibility seriously.
“General Jack Keane was on Fox saying that he expected an escalation and troops in Iran soon, imminently... he is somebody that is, you know, well-sourced inside the administration.” — Tim Miller (01:28)
U.S. Policy Dictated by Foreign Governments? (01:55-03:20):
Miller is astounded that the president would publicly attribute such a major policy shift to the request of Middle Eastern leaders:
“It is truly astonishing that the President of the United States… multiple times recently has said, I was planning on using our power, but we decided not to because a foreign dictator asked me to not do it. And so I'm going to let them push me around.” — (02:00)
Contrast with Obama-Era Perceptions (03:05):
Miller imagines the outrage that would have erupted had President Obama done similar, highlighting a double standard among conservative media and politicians.
“Fox News would have been pandemonium if that had happened. The idea that Barack Hussein Obama was taking orders from Islamic countries and Sharia law dictators.” — (03:18)
Strategic and Economic Impact (03:35-04:00):
Higher U.S. gas prices persist.
The Iranian regime remains in place.
The Strait of Hormuz stays closed.
The U.S. appears weak and indecisive, "paralyzed on the global stage."
“America will continue to look desiccated and weak and paralyzed… because Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE want us to. This is, like, without recent precedent.” — (03:50)
Humiliation and Loss of Sovereignty (04:00-04:30):
Miller uses a vivid metaphor to describe the power dynamic:
“It looks as if the Emir of Qatar has put a dog collar on our president's neck, and it's just kind of walking him around the block and telling him what to do.” — (04:08)
Where’s the Outcry?
Miller underscores his confusion at the lack of outrage across the political spectrum, especially compared to historical examples such as the Carter administration.
“There's all this discussion of Jimmy Carter and how weak he looks during the hostage crisis. And this is on a level far beyond that.” — (04:10)
Possibility of Corrupt Influence (Teased for Further Discussion):
At the segment’s end, Miller pivots to raise the most serious element: the financial or personal influence Gulf states may have over the Trump family, implying there may be ulterior motives beyond foreign pressure.
Major quote on public perception and the double standard:
“You can't even imagine Barack Obama sending this tweet... Fox News would have been pandemonium if that had happened.” — Tim Miller (03:05)
Metaphor for presidential subservience:
“It looks as if the Emir of Qatar has put a dog collar on our president's neck, and it's just kind of walking him around the block and telling him what to do.” — Tim Miller (04:08)
The episode’s tone is sharp, incredulous, and urgent, using both plain language and vivid metaphor. Tim Miller’s critique is laced with sarcasm and a sense of alarm, directed at both Trump’s actions and the muted response from conservative media and politicians.