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Charlie Kirk
Hey everybody. Enjoy this episode. Become a member members.charliekirk.com that is members.charliekirk. com email us. As always, freedomarlykirk.com and become a member to support this program. Buckle up everybody. Here we go. Charlie, what you've done is incredible here.
Andrew
Maybe Charlie Kirk is on the college campus.
Charlie Kirk
I want you to know we are lucky to have Charlie Kirk. Charlie Kirk's running the White House, folks. I want to thank Charlie.
Andrew
He's an incredible guy.
Tyler Blake
His spirit, his love of this country. He's done an amazing job building one.
Andrew
Of the most powerful youth organizations ever.
Charlie Kirk
Created, Turning Point usa. We will not embrace the ideas that have destroyed countries, destroyed lives. And we are going to fight for freedom on campuses across the country. That's why we are here. Noble Gold Investments is the official gold sponsor of the Charlie Kirk show. A company that specializes in gold IRAs and physical delivery of precious metals. Learn how you could protect your wealth with Noble gold investments@noblegold investments.com. that is noblegold investments.com. it's where I buy all of my gold. Go to noblegold investments.com. you know, I was joking with Andrew. Andrew's with us. Yes. Or just Tyler. Yeah. Okay, good.
Tyler Blake
I'm ready.
Charlie Kirk
Tyler Blake. I was, I was joke with Andrew. I said I'm a pretty high capacity guy. I am overwhelmed by the incoming right now. Are you, are you angel and Tyler in a similar position?
Tyler Blake
You're the most high capacity guy I've ever seen actually. I mean, and I'm not just trying to like Charlie Kirk during the show will be managing like six to seven different like high capacity tasks, messaging everybody all at the same time. And yeah, he finally told me, like Andrew, like I need some space this morning. Dealing with everything we got going on too much.
Charlie Kirk
I mean I, I have a lot of people reaching out and by the way, really, really great stuff. That's why I was like, I gotta make a call, gotta make a call, gotta make a call. All right, Tyler. Speaking of incoming.
Andrew
Well, I want to recognize on that incoming front because we are managing right now, thousands of people still that are out there through our at turning point action. We've been blessed to have so many great full time people, so many great volunteers right now in the state of Arizona as we close out this election. And of course no better way to close out than Arizona and Maricopa County. You know, it makes perfect sense. Mountain time zone. I mean, why wouldn't this be the last place to finish counting votes? This is. We now have over 1500 people who have signed up, trained and are out curing ballots. And so what this means is we, we ran the numbers last night. Charlie came over to hq. I think we, we were there close to midnight again last night and I was with the team with Matthew Martinez who will hopefully make his Charlie Kirk show debut very shortly because we will be going up ahead is the goal. But just crunching the numbers on what's left in Maricopa county, what's left in the rest of the state of Arizona and what is the likelihood of how those, those votes will break. We did get a drop earlier today, as you mentioned on your show, of 23,000 ballots. It was a small drop for Maricopa County. It was a little bit unexpected because they've been doing afternoon drops and they said that they were going to do a mid morning drop. But it broke 58% for Carrie Lake and 40% for Ruben Gallego, which of course is way above what she needs.
Charlie Kirk
Way above our estimates. The last two drops were way above anything we estimated a 5050 drop in Maricopa and she will now exceed that.
Andrew
Blue Anon was talking about how and the Blue Anon Twitter, the Hopium. It's so funny because now you're seeing there's a lot of Hopium coming out of the left and this is a really different perspective from last time. Charlie with Kerry was last time we saw a lot of goading online. There was a lot of chatter against the right. You're not seeing that this time, which you know, you can, you can infer whatever you want from that. I think everybody's on pins and needles waiting for these returns to come in and really anything could happen. Still, I think it's, still we talked about this being a 50, 50 race for carry. It's going to be very close, you know, very close. When I say very close, we're talking tens of thousands of votes is what's going to make the difference here, which is a fraction of a percentage point in this election potentially. But you look at this last time, the recorder's office, typically they can't release results, but they know results before everybody else. When they see these results and they go through and they start adjudicating and curing the curing process and setting ballots aside before they release things and they have to go through all the processes that they have to do in order to fully count and transmit the results, you start seeing people react and act differently. And definitely there's a different vibe in the room this time than there was in 2022 in 2022. You know, there was definitely an emanating, you know, haughtiness that was coming out of the recorder's office. And the recorder was definitely not a Kerry Lake fan. It's definitely not a conservative fan. Stephen Richer is by all, he calls himself a Republican, ran as a Republican, but had the support of all the Democrats in the state. That's why he lost his primary so handily. But we're not seeing that again emanate from there. And what we're seeing is this, and this is getting really into the weeds. And we'll talk about this a little bit more later tonight probably. But we have legislative races that are extraordinarily competitive in very competitive districts in North Phoenix and Scottsdale and West Mesa in particular in the Valley, that these races are the ones that are seemingly having ballots be counted last. And so I have a theory that's not they're not only zeroed in on Carrie Lake, but they're also zeroed in on the embarrassment, embarrassment that they're going to suffer if the Democrats basically give up five or six additional House seats and a couple Senate seats that are going to really tell a story here in Arizona of a massive red landslide. And again, it's not that we're not there yet. We're still a long way away. No red wave talk, none of that. But President Trump does seem to have uplifted a significant amount of these. Our ballot chasing program uplifted a ton of these people. And we may be able to squeak by with a bunch of wins at the local level. That's definitely going to tell a story beyond Carrie Lake.
Charlie Kirk
Andrew, do you have some thoughts here? And just again, Tyler is still more bullish than I am on the Arizona thing, partially because of 2022 vibes. But I will say this, and this is breaking news, not breaking, but it's a vibe shift. Bill Malusion, who I really respect but definitely is super careful with this stuff, would you agree? Andrew has now said ballot counts in Arizona continue to go in Kerry Lake's favor. Keep an eye on this race. By the way, I have bookmarked on my Twitter everyone who called Ruben Gallego a victory. I have it all bookmarked and we know who you are. Including reporters, by the way, who can't do math, including reporters. Just so we're clear, the remaining math is that Carrie Lake needs 52.84% of all remaining Arizona statewide ballots. Are there 700,000 ish ballots remaining, Tyler, is that right?
Andrew
That's the, that's the over to you guys. The graph here. Let me send it over again. We can pull it up if we want to. This is the remaining ballots by county. And again, it's less about 780,000.
Charlie Kirk
Right.
Andrew
It's less by statewide. It's more by these different counties.
Blake
So that's one of the things that's cool about this, Charlie, is, you know, you can see by if they estimate like 77% of total ballots are in statewide, we're below that figure substantially in. I'm going to say wrong intentionally, Coach. Ice county in, which is Yama County.
Andrew
Blake's trying. Blake's trying to mispronounce all the county names just specifically to tick off the.
Blake
Indian tribes, whereas they're 100% in from Santa.
Andrew
Yeah. So the county is. There's basically a way to look at Arizona, Charlie. And it's. And Andrew and Blake. And it's. There's four buckets. There's four buckets. Okay. There's two buckets in Maricopa county and then there's the rest of the state. The two buckets in Maricopa county are. That are left to count are the early drops. So the late early drops. So the late early drops are Saturday, Sunday, Monday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday. That those have to be counted pretty much first. So that 23,000 that got counted today, it was from that bucket. The second bucket is the drop offs on election Day. Maricopa county announced yesterday at 6pm while we were. While we were streaming, it's 229,000 ballots. Those should and typically look a lot like election Day. But. And the build out of that actually.
Charlie Kirk
Looks a little less. A little less. A little less. Five points less, five points worse.
Blake
We're optimistic on that because they probably would have mailed in their ballots more consistently.
Andrew
But let me repeat, those typically look a lot like the same as election Day. Now, we don't know how those are going to break. Last time they broke a little bit less. The time before that, they broke a little bit more. You have. You have a scenario I think that's playing out this time, which is that people were mentally bringing their ballots because Maricopa county screwed up the election so bad in 2022 that there could very well be a possibility that there's an. There's an uncounted, more conservative bend to this drop, mainly because people showed up intending to vote in person, but they chose not to vote in person. We had it. We had an undervote in person this time than what we are projecting. And I believe that there were probably more people that showed up and dropped off their ballots because they got there and they said, you know what, it's fine. I'll just drop it off. I feel good about it. The other two buckets that exist within the. Within the state, Charlie, Andrea, and Blake are you have all of the remaining counties and then you have Pima County. All the other remaining counties are going to break for carry and they have so far well over 65%. Yavapai county is days behind on their scanning because it's two ballots within each ballot. So it's two pieces of paper and it's setting things way behind. They're worried they're not going to be done by Sunday. You have Pima county, who traditionally has gone very slow. They're just. It's just Northern Mexico. The University of Northern Mexico. U of A does not produce the fact. No, I'm just teasing. I'm an ASU grad, so I have to tease U of A. But they have 136,000 ballots. Those ballots also on election day, near an election day, tend to be more conservative because there's a ton of rural space in Pima County. So if you look at the map that's on there, Pima county is huge. And so what happens is that you get a lot of late earlys because people finally drop it in. They come in or they vote early or emergency, and then on election day, they drop off their ballots as well. So you could have a really ugly Pima county drop. I think the ugliest it's going to get for Kerry is a minus 10, which it would still be okay.
Charlie Kirk
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Blake
Yeah, it's so funny. So we were, we were highlighting this last night. It went viral, which is the New York Times, one of their best New York Times. Their reporting on election results is great. And one of the things they did is they have a map where once a county's vote is entirely in, they. You can bring up a map. That's how much did this county change relative to the 2020 election? And as we've noted, almost everywhere across America, it's a substantial shift to the right. And so let's put up 332 on screen. So that was the map that we were talking about yesterday. Just absolute red juggernaut all over the country because you have, you have counties in Florida and Texas going 10, 15, 20 points to the right. And then you have, you know, 3 to 5% all across America. Well, apparently, it got so bad that the New York Times, they're like, we have to update the map. And so they changed it to 333, put it up on screen. They had to shrink the arrows down. And the funny thing is it does make it a little more legible because the red wave was so bad. It was hard to, like, you would go to where there's small counties in, like, Virginia or in Kentucky, and it was hard to get on the right one because the arrows were going over each other. But it does have the effect of, you know, making the bloodbath look a little less gruesome for them. And I'm sure once we have the results from Arizona and California, where we also are seeing the red wave, well, we'll probably be trying to recreate our own version of the old map because it's, it's very memorable. And.
Tyler Blake
Well, to that point, Blake, I mean, California went significantly more Republican, as did all the, all the blue, blue, blue state. America went very much redder. And, Charlie, you had that great tweet where you said, this is so much different than 2016, because in 2016, Trump won. Yes, but in many ways, he did worse than Mitt Romney did in 2012. Red America got redder, but blue America Got bluer. Not so in 2024, the Red America got redder again. Redder still. But blue America got redder as well. I mean, it was a complete shellacking electorally for the Democrats up and down the board, up and down different demographic cohorts and across the age groups. So, you know, Blake, I have to, I have to believe that New York Times is doing this for the mental health of their readership, which is not having a good, good time right now.
Andrew
The only place where that's not true is Utah and Colorado. Yep, yep, yep. Utah and Colorado. Utah has a real problem. Idaho has a real problem. Colorado, we've known they've had problems, so.
Tyler Blake
I don't think Idaho has a problem.
Andrew
Idaho's Idaho. Basically Utah. Whatever happens will happen in Idaho five years later.
Charlie Kirk
Yeah. So Tyler, should we, should we hire two staff or three in Utah maybe in 2025 just to kind of get our bearings there?
Andrew
I told. I totally think that the smart thing to do for the movement would be to build a proverbial wall down the Colorado river, up Nevada, up Idaho. I think greater Idaho is a great idea. I think we should. I'm not kidding. We should, we should really encourage that. But that whole line from Idaho to Nevada to Arizona, we cannot let liberalism escape over across that line because the moment that happens, it changes the map significantly. If Utah becomes Colorado, you're in big trouble. It doesn't seem like a lot.
Tyler Blake
I agree with you, I agree with you on Utah completely. And I also think there's some cultural trends within the Mormon church that you know much more about, but I've seen from afar.
Charlie Kirk
What is that all about, Tyler, that concern me. What is that all about?
Andrew
Well, it's like it's same thing in Catholicism. That Catholicism kind of went through is that, you know, when you have an orthodoxy church that wants to be cool, orthodox church that wants to be cool, you start having problems where they start giving up the ghost on social issues and that changes your entire community. And when you look at what the, what the goals are of the left, especially in big cities. And so Salt Lake, you look at Salt Lake, you look at Boise, they get people elected there that are carriers of those ideologies and those carries of the ideologies, it expands far beyond like the nice, you know, good feeling, lovey dovey social issues that seemingly don't matter but then start to bleed into your, you know, the doc doctrinal issues both in your orthodox community. But then it starts changing everything else outside of that. And that's what We've seen in Salt Lake. That's what we've seen obviously in Maricopa County. We've seen it in Las Vegas. We've seen in Clark County. We see it happening starting in Boise. And the Idahoans are fighting back, which good for them that they're doing that. But there's a lot of creep there that happens and we've got to stay on top of it.
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Tyler Blake
Tyler I'm going to take not issue. I'm just going to slightly disagree with the Idaho piece just because I can tell you firsthand experience how I could. I can't even count how many friends in California I've seen move to Idaho and they were all rock ribbed conservatives. So I would say that Idaho and even Montana to some extent is getting an influx of R plus whatever refugees. Yeah, but the problem I think different.
Andrew
There's a problem that exists in Utah and Idaho and again you have a faltering social knee bending Mormon church right now. So the LDS church runs a lot of Boise. Boise is growing up and not out. They're trying to. The Democrats are really trying to push. So they've had some major battles the last few years and trying to keep out the progressive. It's funny, I'll give a shout out to all of our Mormons that are holding the line, the America First Mormons, they call them progmos, they call them progressive Mormons that are there that are trying to take over the city. And then in addition to that, you have Coeur d'alene. So Coeur d'alene is you have the Coeur d'alene problem like you have the Park City problem in Utah, where as long as you. As long as you encapsulate it and you keep it within that space and you don't let them out, then you're good. But if you let that problem grow, because a lot of what's happening in Coeur d'alene is you have a lot of good people are moving in, but then you also have a lot of libs that are moving in from California. So a lot of the big money guys are moving in and changing things already. And so the good news for Idaho is that Coeur d'alene isn't like in the epicenter, in the heartbeat of Idaho. And the conservatives that are up there have done a really good job at managing it and stopping it. Unlike Utah. Utah allowed it in at the wrong time. And we had some bad governors that were in there that allowed it in. The current governor is very weak. Everybody knows that with Spencer Cox and so many others. And so now it's like, is it too late? Well, no, it's not too late. Idaho has shown that. And I agree with you on that, Andrew, but it's something that you have to keep an eye on. Otherwise you start losing places you shouldn't be losing.
Tyler Blake
I totally agree. And Utah did the same thing that Texas was doing, where it was like, hey, Hewlett Packard, move your HQ from California to Texas. We're open for business. And it's like, well, you know, great in theory. If you're just thinking in terms of gdp, which was the old way of doing business, conservatives need to be more savvy than that and say, listen, there's more to life than your gdp, bottom line. And you're bringing in all these libs from California, like 200,000 of them for an HQ. It's one thing. If it's Elon Musk's team doing it, it's a whole nother thing. If you're just saying, hey, Silicon Valley, come infect our location. Utah did the same thing.
Andrew
You hit the nail on the head. And Arizona did the same thing. And Nevada did the same thing too, where you unwittingly. And this was the old Coke era of type of politics, which was, and I call it having just this alternate where again, you have this despotism, this liberal despotism that happens within these states. So what ends up happening is they move their headquarters to these states. But guess who doesn't move? The bosses still don't move from California. And so they're still reporting. So they move all these Californians from the Bay Area to these states instead of hiring people that are in those states, and then they're still reporting to the Californians. So you basically have just expanded the borders, the policy borders of California into Idaho and Nevada and Utah and Texas and Arizona, if you allow it. The answer is really simple, and you hit the nail on the head, Andrew, is don't let them just move everybody here and keep answering to people in the Bay Area. Move your headquarters here. But you have to hire people from here or you have to hire new people. And by the way, your leadership has to also live here. You can't let them just keep reporting to people in San Francisco.
Tyler Blake
Yep, I totally agree. Because what happens is these states will give these sweetheart tax deals to companies just to lure them in. And it's like, no, there's got to be some strings attached. You have to meet this benchmark. This benchmark or this benchmark, and then we'll play ball. But in general, I think it's been really disastrous across the west as Californians have become refugees across the west. And as Tucker Carlson says, they're making a lot of these places unlivable, just like they did to California. Corporate despotism.
Andrew
It's corporatist despotism. Can't allow it. Got to not knock it off. Don't show up. I always tease our Freedom Caucus members, don't show up with the gold shovel at the groundbreaking. This place, you know, digging the foundation, but laying the foundation to invite in a bunch of, like, liberal hacks to take over our society. No more. No, no more of that. You. We have to demand that they hire people that are local.
Charlie Kirk
So, guys, I have a question here. Was this last election result enough to get Democrats out of Texas?
Andrew
It's a great conversation.
Blake
I never want to get arrogant.
Charlie Kirk
That's why I asked.
Blake
Because progress that you make can be undone in future cycles. So I know we've had a lot of discussion, like we had Rich Barris on. He was talking about, oh, you know, we can turn New Jersey into a swing state in future cycles. But I feel like my first priority would be, like, secure the win, which is we did get a swing of Hispanic voters. Asian voters. A lot of different people are voting GOP for the first time now. You want to consolidate, try to lock that in as a thing people will consistently do. And so I don't want to say they're out of Texas. They might even come back and hard Texas in two years. I don't know that we have any major races there, maybe just the governor's election. But they'll want to come back. And you want to make it. You have to really break their spirit over several cycles now. Florida, Florida, I could see them veiling on for a while. Those numbers are ghastly there. They're looking really bad. But one of the things about it is Florida's GOP is extremely effective. So you want to get similarly effective GOPs in these other states.
Andrew
Well, back to Texas. So, Charlie, you know, I've been talking about this. So there is a. There is an epicenter. There's a nucleus for Democrat focus in Texas. And it's Harris County, Texas, it's Houston. So that is the heartbeat for the Bushes as well. Harris County, Harris county, otherwise known as Bush Light County. It's funny that the Bushes all voted for Kamala Harris because they're from Harris County. So Harris county is the place that they focused in on, zeroed in on. If you can make significant gains in Houston, you can flip the entire state of Texas. So they're not. They're not going to be trying to do too much. And in fact, we've seen Dallas move to the right, especially with the conversion.
Tyler Blake
Fort Worth, especially.
Andrew
Yeah, there's been a lot of really great white pill stuff happening in Dallas. And again, a lot of, you know, just continuing on the conversation that Andrew just brought up, you have a lot of conservatives actually moving into Dallas, coming from other places, jobs, everything else. It's actually going in. It's like kind of like Phoenix where it's so big, it's going this way and not this way. It's harder for them. But Houston is not the same. Houston, they can go this way, and that's the real problem for us. So it's something to keep an eye on. Charlie, I think. I think that the Republicans would be stupid not to get ahead of this. We have to staff up. We have to defend Texas, and the place to do that is Houston. And that starts with getting people elected at the very local level, managing elections, doing things that are going to save that city. Otherwise, Texas could go. Once Texas goes, the entire map changes. So you got it. You got to do it.
Charlie Kirk
But do you think we scared him away. Do you think that we, I mean, shushed him away? Ted Cruz double digit win, Trump nearly. What's the final, what was Trump's final margin?
Blake
I want to say, by the way.
Charlie Kirk
This is always, this has been the apple of their eye. Trump, 14 points. I mean, does that find. So if you're the Democrats here, do you, do you get spooked by the sunbelt?
Andrew
Yes.
Charlie Kirk
I mean, you got Arizona. That's. I just want to brag on Arizona. And Tyler, you know this. Donald Trump won Arizona by three and a half points in 2016. He's on pace for a seven or eight point victory. Nearly double that of 2016.
Andrew
Nine. Nearly double.
Tyler Blake
Nine turn more than double.
Charlie Kirk
Okay, that's so. Okay.
Blake
What I would.
Andrew
We could go nine. Give me nine.
Blake
A note of caution. If you look at, obviously us doing way better with Hispanics is the big narrative of this election. If you look at the polling, they said economic issues were the number one thing for them. Inflation. Yeah, even the border is kind of an economic issue for a lot of them because it's, you know, competitive. You know, they're much more affected by the lower wages that come from having more competition from illegal workers and so on. So for them, the economy is important. So one of the biggest things is we need to deliver on working class economic issues. If we do not, these are not people who are going to be ride or die with us for cultural topics. These are people who can be won back if we fail on the economy. And if Democrats fix up their agenda to have a better economic usage, remember, they'll be vulnerable to going back.
Tyler Blake
Remember, Blake, George W. Bush won 40% of them or maybe even 44%. I forget, in 2004.
Blake
Yep.
Tyler Blake
And we lost him for another bunch of cycles because we didn't do a good job.
Blake
The economy was destroyed and we took the blame for it. So we have to be good stewards of our country and its prosperity. And if we're able to deliver that, I think in four years you could have Vance or anyone else running on a very compelling message that the Republican platform delivered for working class Americans.
Charlie Kirk
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Tyler Blake
Wow, we won. That's the recap.
Blake
We won. And we did so by more than I think any of us honestly expected. And we were all you can. We could, like, show the cameras. We had our, our air mattresses, like, ready to go. We had, like, enough food to, like, last for, for like, you know, an entire winter. You know, we were ready for this election to be a knife fight for days on end to claw out the winning votes either way. And instead, it was clear we were going to win by 10pm Charlie, I.
Tyler Blake
Want to give the Turning Point effort a shout. Not only did we, as it stands now, chase more ballots than the margin of victory in Arizona, we chased more ballots than the margin of victory in Wisconsin. We had historic gains with young voters. And I'm just going to rattle off the talking points. We won young men by 10 points. We won young white voters for the first time in a generation outright. We were supposed to lose women by 30 points. We only lost them by 10 young women. We won young voters in Michigan. We almost won them in Wisconsin. Every single campus that Turning Point visited, we saw gains for the Republican ticket up and down the ballot, every single one from East Carolina State. I was going through each campus, Charlie, to Center county in Pennsylvania, to asu. U of A across the board, a massive historic transition, a realignment. As James woods shouted you out on Twitter, Charlie. We saw the woke mind virus, the strangle that it had on young people get broke. There was over 2.1 billion views of your campus. Debates on TikTok and YouTube and Instagram and X. What happened will be written about for generations. And I'm so honored to have played a small part and what this team accomplished. And Tyler, it's A team victory. Well, Tyler, take a victory lap.
Charlie Kirk
Tyler.
Andrew
Well, let me rattle off, let me rattle off a few different things.
Tyler Blake
Let me just say this one real quick. Tyler, you were the architect, you were the architect of the chase and you deserve a ton of kudos, my friend.
Andrew
Well, you know, I'll rattle off a couple different things. I Chase the vote program contacted every single person are almost 400,000 people in Arizona. We had over 140,000 people that we built relationships ahead of the election. We had over a massive 28% turnout in the primary. We're going to far exceed. We're going have almost 60% turnout of low propensity voters that we chased. It's maybe larger than that. We registered over 25,000 people just in Arizona alone. Tens of thousands across the country that shifted. We're awaiting file data in Arizona but our turnout, our total turnout per county is 10% greater with new voters. And to give a credit to Charlie, I sent you guys this this morning. Right now evangelicals are outpacing the average in Arizona by 10% in turnout for Republicans. Our Commit100 program contacted three times over our entire universe. We recruited more than 2,000 volunteers from every state except for Vermont to fill 10 hotels to contact over 200,000 unique additional voters successfully. And we left behind messages and called and texted another 350,000 voters. We knocked doors, sent tens of thousands of postcards, 200,000 text messages in the last week that were personalized text messages from individuals through our application that we developed. We had on text messages. We had 5 million messages. This just in Arizona alone. Millions. And from Brett Favre and other people in Wisconsin. That was thanks to Charlie Diamondbacks legend Luis Gonzalez, Coyotes legend Jeremy Roenick, Charlie Donald Trump Jr. That we set out. We had Vivek at things. We had Antonio Brown, Antonio Brown that we had Le'Veon Bell that was at our, at our event. Our chase of operations were waiting final data but we had chased more than 170,000 voters by Saturday of last week it will likely break 2000-0020-1021-0000 that were that we're tracking right now just in Arizona alone. And that's just in addition to the dozens of billboards that we put up. We had millions of views and over the top content that we did for Kerry and President Trump. It's wild.
Charlie Kirk
Gotta run.
Andrew
Unbelievable.
Charlie Kirk
All right everybody. What a week. A week we'll never forget. And it is just the start. God bless you guys. Email us freedomarlykirk.com God bless. Talk to you soon. Thanks so much for listening everybody. Email us. As always, freedomarlykirk.com thanks so much for listening and God bless.
Blake
For more on many of these stories and news you can Trust, go to charliekirk.com.
The Charlie Kirk Show: Can Kari Lake Come Back?
Host: Charlie Kirk
Guests: Andrew, Tyler Blake
Episode Title: Can Kari Lake Come Back?
Overview: The episode delves deep into the intricacies of the Arizona election, particularly focusing on Maricopa County's ballot counting and its implications for Kari Lake's potential comeback.
Key Points:
Ballot Drops: Andrew highlights a significant drop of 23,000 ballots favoring Kari Lake at [02:06]. This exceeds previous estimates and suggests a stronger performance than anticipated.
Andrew [02:06]: "We did get a drop earlier today... it broke 58% for Carrie Lake and 40% for Ruben Gallego, which of course is way above what she needs."
Projection Challenges: The team discusses the uncertainty surrounding how remaining ballots will break, emphasizing the narrow margins that could determine the election's outcome.
Andrew [03:33]: "Blue Anon was talking about how and the Blue Anon Twitter... it's still a 50, 50 race for Carrie."
Overview: A detailed analysis of the remaining ballots in Arizona, categorized by county and type, provides insights into the potential election outcome.
Key Points:
Maricopa County Buckets: Andrew explains the division of remaining ballots into four distinct categories, with focus on early drops and Election Day drop-offs.
Charlie Kirk [06:36]: "Breaking news... ballot counts in Arizona continue to go in Kerry Lake's favor."
County-Specific Insights:
Yavapai County: Delays due to dual-piece ballots.
Pima County: Traditionally slow, with 136,000 ballots leaning conservative due to rural demographics.
Tyler Blake [08:03]: "Pima county... they have 136,000 ballots... tend to be more conservative because there's a ton of rural space."
Overview: The conversation shifts to the broader political landscape in Western states, including Utah, Idaho, Texas, and their roles in the national political arena.
Key Points:
Utah and Idaho Concerns: Andrew and Tyler discuss the infiltration of liberal ideologies in traditionally conservative areas, emphasizing the need to guard against cultural and political shifts.
Andrew [15:28]: "There's a lot of creep there that happens and we've got to stay on top of it."
Texas as a Battleground: Highlighting Harris County (Houston) as the epicenter of Democratic focus in Texas, the guests stress the importance of securing victories at the local level to maintain the state's Republican dominance.
Andrew [25:08]: "If you can make significant gains in Houston, you can flip the entire state of Texas."
Overview: The episode critiques the movement of corporations and liberal demographics from states like California to more conservative states, arguing it dilutes local cultures and political landscapes.
Key Points:
Corporate Relocation: Discussion on how companies moving HQs from California to states like Utah and Texas bring in liberal influence, potentially altering political dynamics.
Andrew [21:01]: "They move all these Californians... the policy borders of California into Idaho and Nevada and Utah and Texas and Arizona."
Cultural Impact: Emphasis on hiring local talent to prevent the exportation of liberal ideologies and maintain the integrity of local conservative values.
Andrew [22:53]: "Move your headquarters here... hire people from here or hire new people."
Overview: The guests highlight the significant efforts and successes of Turning Point USA in mobilizing voters and influencing election outcomes.
Key Points:
Voter Mobilization: Andrew details the extensive "Chase the Vote" program in Arizona, which engaged over 200,000 voters through various outreach methods.
Andrew [32:32]: "We contacted almost 400,000 people in Arizona... knocked doors, sent tens of thousands of postcards, 200,000 text messages."
Historic Gains: Tyler celebrates the organization's achievements in securing votes from young men, young white voters, and key demographics that traditionally leaned Democratic.
Tyler Blake [30:07]: "We won young men by 10 points... a massive historic transition, a realignment."
Overview: As the episode wraps up, the hosts reflect on their wins and outline the path forward to sustain and build upon their electoral successes.
Key Points:
Victory Celebrations: Tyler and Andrew express enthusiasm over their significant gains, attributing success to strategic voter engagement and grassroots efforts.
Andrew [34:55]: "We had over a massive 28% turnout in the primary... millions of views and over the top content that we did for Kerry and President Trump."
Sustaining Momentum: The discussion emphasizes the importance of maintaining voter turnout and addressing economic concerns to ensure long-term Republican success.
Tyler Blake [28:27]: "We have to deliver on working-class economic issues. If Democrats fix up their agenda... they'll be vulnerable to going back."
Andrew [02:06]: "We did get a drop earlier today... it broke 58% for Carrie Lake and 40% for Ruben Gallego, which of course is way above what she needs."
Charlie Kirk [06:36]: "Breaking news... ballot counts in Arizona continue to go in Kerry Lake's favor."
Andrew [15:28]: "There's a lot of creep there that happens and we've got to stay on top of it."
Andrew [25:08]: "If you can make significant gains in Houston, you can flip the entire state of Texas."
Andrew [21:01]: "They move all these Californians... the policy borders of California into Idaho and Nevada and Utah and Texas and Arizona."
Andrew [32:32]: "We contacted almost 400,000 people in Arizona... knocked doors, sent tens of thousands of postcards, 200,000 text messages."
Tyler Blake [30:07]: "We won young men by 10 points... a massive historic transition, a realignment."
Tyler Blake [28:27]: "We have to deliver on working-class economic issues. If Democrats fix up their agenda... they'll be vulnerable to going back."
The episode offers a comprehensive analysis of the current political climate in key states, emphasizing the strategic efforts of Turning Point USA in shaping election outcomes. With a focus on voter mobilization, combating liberal influence, and securing local victories, Charlie Kirk and his guests lay out a roadmap for sustaining Republican momentum in upcoming elections.
For More Information:
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