The Charlie Kirk Show — “JUDGMENT DAY 2025: The Election Results Stream”

Date: November 5, 2025
Host: (Absent) Charlie Kirk
Guest Hosts & Panel: Andrew Colvett, Tyler Boyer, Blake Neff, Cliff Maloney, Jack Posobiec, others
Theme: Live coverage, analysis, and reflection on the first major election night since Charlie Kirk’s passing, focusing on the results, the conservative movement’s ground game, infrastructure, and the changing American political landscape.

Episode Overview

This special episode brought together Charlie Kirk’s close Turning Point USA colleagues and friends for a live “Super Stream” election night broadcast, marking the one-year anniversary of the 2024 “historic video”—and poignantly, the first major election night since Kirk’s death. The episode blended real-time election returns with strategic talk, movement self-critique, reflections on Charlie’s legacy, and repeated calls for conservatives to “keep the faith” and double their activist efforts.

The team analyzed key races in Virginia, New Jersey, New York, Arizona, and beyond, mourned Republican underperformance, explored the left’s ground-game advantage, and forecast the battle ahead—all while channeling Charlie Kirk’s emphasis on robust infrastructure, faith, and relentless activism.

Key Segments & Discussion Points

1. Remembering Charlie Kirk (00:03–10:00)

• Andrew Colvett and team began with an emotional tribute to Charlie Kirk, recalling his leadership, spiritual commitment, and “Super Bowl” excitement for election nights.
• Frequent replaying of last year’s iconic “Charlie and Erica” video—held up as the culmination of the movement’s hard work and faith after the 2024 election win.
• Discussion of Kirk’s spiritual commitments:

  “I gave my life to the Lord in fifth grade. Most important decision I ever made in my life.” — Charlie Kirk (00:18)

• Reflections on Kirk’s pivotal 2022 “pivot point,” leading Turning Point USA to build a national ground game and confront the GOP establishment.

2. Strategic Lessons & GOP Ground Game (07:00–38:00)

• Deep dive into the movement's strategic struggles and past battles—especially the lack of physical infrastructure and ballot-chasing operations before 2022, and the feud with RNC under Ronna McDaniel (07:50–08:25).
• Highlighting the crucial shift toward “permanent infrastructure” and local coalition-building led by Turning Point and allies:

  “…it revolutionized the way that Republicans and GOP groups around the country looked at elections. What you guys are doing at Turning Point… is going to change the game, especially in 2024. And by the way, all of that came true.” — Andrew Colvett (09:44)

• The “establishment and Democrats were scared senseless” by these changes (10:51).

3. Real-Time Election Results Streaming (13:00–55:00)

• Rapid-fire updates on key races:
  • PA Supreme Court non-retention (“a miracle if we pull off one,” historical reference) — Cliff Maloney sets expectations (13:52)
  • New Jersey: Analysis of in-person vs. mail-in vote, turnout calculations, and demographic trends among blue-collar whites (“ethnic whites”) (21:09, 23:25)
  • Virginia: Examined turnout, early results, and discussed demographic/political splits (23:52, 25:55)
  • New York City: Discussed the shifting coalition, the rise of “Mamdani-ism,” and its implications (150:42, 152:02)
• Tension and frustration as early results project Republican losses; panelists cite structural and motivational challenges among GOP voters ("low-propensity problem").

4. Infighting, Messaging, and Activist Morale (121:04–125:58)

• Internal divisions and “E-drama” (infighting, social media drama) condemned for distracting from activism:

  "If you’re not engaged in get-out-the-vote efforts… you are basically helping the Democrats." — Jack Posobiec (122:27)

• Debate over whether online drama impacts turnout and activism (121:15–121:55).
• Decrying Republican complacency and lack of on-the-ground effort (“complacency is a cancer”) following a major presidential victory (120:11–120:53).

5. Strategic Takeaways: Infrastructure > Rallies (139:31–142:48)

• Multiple hosts and chat contributors reiterate: big rallies and media moments are NOT a substitute for a robust, year-round field operation:

  “Rallies don’t win elections. Ballots win elections. Pieces of paper in a box.” — Blake Neff (139:49)

• Desperation for replication of leftwing infrastructure:

  “The machine… can dominate low turnout elections. Nothing more, nothing less. The GOP has to accept this instead of taking away silly lessons like 'we lost because we didn’t compromise enough.'” — referencing Data Republican, quoted by Jack Posobiec (163:18)

6. The Message Gap: Economy, Not Culture War Alone (80:32–83:17, 134:47–136:50)

• Political scientists and movement strategists (Rich Barris, Jack Posobiec) argue that the 2025 losses reflect a failure to focus on “kitchen table” economic issues, with candidates (e.g., Winsome Sears in VA) overly fixated on social/cultural hot buttons instead of cost-of-living and jobs:

  "Foreign policy successes cannot save a president from his… approval rating declining over things like this, and then the party suffering over it… They want focus on [domestic issues]." — Rich Barris (95:33)

• Repeated assertion that “it’s the economy, stupid”—and economic messaging must be front and center to recapture wavering voters.

7. Shocks & Outrages: Radical Victories and Their Lessons (64:42, 160:51)

• Panelists aghast as:
  • J. Jones is elected AG in Virginia despite having said he’d “fantasize about killing” his opponents’ children:

    “You have a guy, Jay Jones … who said that he fantasized about killing his political opponent and their kids… It’s insanity.” — Cliff Maloney (64:42)

  • Mamdani, a self-described socialist rooted in “third-worldism,” is elected NYC mayor.
  • Panel sees these as “canaries in the coal mine” for leftward shifts in urban politics — warning of coming anti-middle-class, anti-Western agendas.
• Repeated reminders: these candidates are neither fringe nor anomalies — they represent ascendant coalitions, and Republicans ignore them (“Mamdani-ism”) at their peril.

8. Conservative Movement's Path Forward (168:59–201:54)

• Refrain that "the left treats this like a business," building infrastructure and local engagement decade after decade (159:21).
• Urges to invest at scale: year-round staff, early engagement, "relational" local activism. Mass numbers matter more than candidate charisma or last-minute surges.
• Panel encourages mourning but not despairing:

  “[Charlie] would not be down in the dumps. I know he’d be looking at this and saying, what can we learn? What are the best lessons we can take away?” — Jack Posobiec (197:37) “I don’t fight because I know I’m gonna win. I fight because it’s the right thing to do.” — quoting Dennis Prager (201:24)

Notable Quotes

• On the Meaning of Activism:

  “If the most important thing is just feeling good, you're gonna end up miserable. But if the most important thing is doing good, you will end up purposeful.” — Charlie Kirk (00:10)

• On Low-Propensity Voters:

  "We have a low-propensity problem in the Republican Party that, just a few cycles ago, was flipped and it was a problem on the Democrat side." — Cliff Maloney (132:23)

• On Losing Despite Protests/Kulturkampf:

  "The machine… can dominate low turnout elections. Nothing more, nothing less. The GOP has to accept this." — Quoting Data Republican via Jack Posobiec (163:18)

• On Shocking Electoral Outcomes:

  “Over a million people voted for someone who said he fantasizes about putting bullets in his political opponent’s kids’ heads. That is insanity. This is not something that we can take lightly.” — Cliff Maloney (164:35)

• On Failure to Pivot Economically:

  "Foreign policy successes cannot save a president… They want focus on [domestic issues], and they're not getting it." — Rich Barris (95:33)

• Charlie's Spirit:

  “Charlie’s on assignment with God.” — recurring phrase throughout (e.g., 170:40)

• On Moving Forward:

  “Keep the faith. … We fight because we know it’s the right thing to do.” — Andrew Colvett (201:31)

Election Night: Key Results Announced (Timestamps)

Virginia

• AG Race: Decision Desk calls it for J. Jones, to panel’s dismay (117:29).
• Governor: Spanberger wins; projections widely accepted as early as 46:16.

New Jersey

• Democrats hold governorship; panel notes Republican turnout falls far short (21:29, 108:36, 196:10+).
• Focus on Ocean County as would-be “red stronghold” falls short (36:00).

New York City

• Mamdani (radical left) projected as new mayor by wide margin (150:42, 152:02, 153:28).
• Curtain closes on moderate hope, warnings about “third-worldism”; panel debates longer-term impacts (154:29–155:56).

Other

• Highlights of (few) Republican wins: Manchester, NH mayoral reelection, Texas bail proposition
  • “There was also another big one that I'll share in the chat… New Hampshire Republican mayor was reelected, which is a huge deal ... a good sign for Republicans in a swing state.” — Tyler Boyer (171:37)

Tone & Atmosphere

• Deeply somber. The episode is tinged with mourning: over Charlie Kirk’s absence, over Republican losses, over leftist victories described as radical.
• Reflective, sometimes raw and self-critical. The team does not avoid hard questions about movement strategy, leader charisma vs. fieldwork, and the power of the left’s turnout machine.
• Faith-driven. Frequent references to faith, spiritual strength, and “fighting because it’s right.”
• Broadly populist and combative. Panelists warn of the danger of complacency, infighting (“E-drama”), and urge relentless action.

Takeaways & Closing Reflections

• The conservative movement is “playing catch-up” both on numbers and infrastructure.
• Rallies and online drama aren’t sufficient; victory requires door knocking, ballot-chasing, and year-round neighborhood engagement.
• Panelists repeatedly cite Charlie Kirk’s legacy as a call to arms: “keep the faith,” learn lessons, get serious about the ground game, and fight for America—no matter the pain and uncertainty of losses.

“I don’t fight because I know I’m gonna win. I fight because it’s the right thing to do.” — quoting Dennis Prager/Charlie Kirk (201:30)

For New Activists / Audiences

If you missed the live stream, here’s what you’ll learn:

• What happened (and why) in key 2025 races—and why Republicans underperformed.
• Why the left’s “machine” wins in low-turnout elections—and what conservatives must do to catch up.
• The urgency of year-round activism—not just rallies or campaign season blitzes.
• The importance of faith, resolve, and unflinching optimism—even when "the worst" happens.
• Why Charlie Kirk’s model—focusing on building infrastructure and not just hype—remains the movement’s best blueprint for the future.

Section Timestamps (HH:MM):

• [00:03] – Opening tribute to Charlie Kirk; his “Super Bowl.”
• [07:50] – 2022: The turning point for conservative field ops.
• [13:52] – Discussion of PA, NJ, VA races; early expectations/calls.
• [36:00] – NJ’s Ocean County turnout as the test case.
• [64:42] – Outrage at J. Jones victory in VA (candidate’s incendiary comments).
• [121:04] – Infighting, online drama, movement distraction.
• [139:31] – “Rallies don’t win elections” — strategic focus on infrastructure.
• [150:42] – NYC mayoral numbers: the rise of “Mamdani-ism.”
• [163:18] – Data Republican quote; the lesson: it’s all about the machine.
• [201:24] – Closing rounds: perseverance, keep the faith.

For more: Visit charliekirk.com for further analysis and election night updates.