The Chris Cuomo Project: What Will Determine the 2024 Election
Episode Release Date: October 24, 2024

Introduction & Proposition: Enragement vs. Engagement

In this episode of The Chris Cuomo Project, host Chris Cuomo delves into his prediction for the 2024 presidential election. He posits that the election will hinge on a fundamental proposition: enragement versus engagement. Cuomo asserts, “What will determine this election is whether the country is in the mood for enragement or engagement” (00:00).

The Tight Polls: A Two-Party Grievance Battle

Cuomo examines the unusually tight polls surrounding the election, attributing this phenomenon to the entrenched two-party system's focus on division and negativity. He notes, “Everything is us, them. Why it works for the parties” (05:30). This divisive approach has led to a polarized electorate, making the race more competitive within the margin of error.

Trump's Role: Negative Rhetoric and Isolation

A significant portion of the discussion centers on former President Donald Trump’s influence on the election dynamics. Cuomo criticizes Trump’s handling of various crises, including his response to an assassination attempt, stating, “This man has no business being in the hunt for the presidency of this country. He has done everything wrong that you can do” (12:15). He argues that Trump’s strategy has been to isolate and concentrate his base rather than appeal to independent or undecided voters. This approach, according to Cuomo, inadvertently sets Trump up to lose because the electorate is saturated with negativity: “This is Trump's election to lose” (15:45).

The Democratic Strategy: Kamala Harris and Engagement

Shifting focus to the Democratic side, Cuomo discusses Vice President Kamala Harris’s campaign strategy, which emphasizes engagement over grievance. “She represents engagement. And that energized a group of people who were basically sitting it out or not sure what to do” (25:10). Unlike Trump’s approach, Harris aims to present positive solutions and engage voters who are weary of constant negativity, positioning her as a candidate capable of working collaboratively to address the nation’s challenges.

Voter Behavior: Independents and Women

Cuomo highlights the critical role of independent voters and women in deciding the election outcome. He believes that Harris has an edge with independents who seek a constructive alternative, stating, “Harris should have an edge with them” (35:20). Additionally, he touches on the influence of female voters, particularly those affected by the Dobbs decision on Roe v. Wade, suggesting that their choices could significantly impact the election results.

Historical Context and Future Outlook

Drawing from historical precedents, Cuomo reflects on how negative atmospheres in past elections have influenced incumbent losses. “10 out of 46 presidents haven't won a second term, assuming they weren't killed” (45:00). He uses these examples to bolster his argument that a climate of grievance typically disadvantages incumbents, yet notes Trump’s current unique position where his base's anger could paradoxically work against him.

Conclusion: The Critical Proposition for 2024

In wrapping up, Cuomo reiterates that the 2024 election will ultimately be decided by whether voters choose enragement—a continued focus on grievances and negativity—or engagement, seeking positive change and collaborative solutions. “The proposition that will determine this election is: Is the country in the mood for enragement or engagement?” (60:00). He calls on voters to reflect on what they truly desire for the country’s future, emphasizing that this fundamental choice will shape the election's outcome.

Notable Quotes:

• “What will determine this election is whether the country is in the mood for enragement or engagement.” — Chris Cuomo 00:00
• “Everything is us, them. Why it works for the parties.” — Chris Cuomo 05:30
• “This man has no business being in the hunt for the presidency of this country. He has done everything wrong that you can do.” — Chris Cuomo 12:15
• “This is Trump's election to lose.” — Chris Cuomo 15:45
• “She represents engagement. And that energized a group of people who were basically sitting it out or not sure what to do.” — Chris Cuomo 25:10
• “Harris should have an edge with them.” — Chris Cuomo 35:20
• “10 out of 46 presidents haven't won a second term, assuming they weren't killed.” — Chris Cuomo 45:00
• “The proposition that will determine this election is: Is the country in the mood for enragement or engagement?” — Chris Cuomo 60:00

This comprehensive analysis by Chris Cuomo offers listeners an in-depth look into the critical factors shaping the 2024 presidential election. By focusing on the core proposition of enragement versus engagement, Cuomo provides a framework for understanding the complex dynamics at play, making it a valuable listen for anyone seeking to grasp the underlying currents of this pivotal electoral race.