Transcript
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Krista Dibias (0:36)
Put some spring in your cup with the iced lavender Matcha. And now here you go. Your iced lavender lattes are ready at Starbucks. Welcome to Ask an Advisor where we here at Team Clark go deeper on all things investing and boy, are we going to do that this week.
Wes Moss (1:00)
Lot to talk about, Krista.
Krista Dibias (1:02)
Oh yeah, some Krista Dibias here with Wes Moss and Wes, things have been very turbulent to say the least.
Wes Moss (1:09)
I would say that's an almost an understatement.
Krista Dibias (1:11)
And then also I love your retirement research that you've done over so many years and you've written books about. You're going to be talking about what really makes people happy, right?
Wes Moss (1:21)
Ultimate retirement happiness.
Krista Dibias (1:23)
I love that.
Wes Moss (1:23)
Really human happiness through data science.
Krista Dibias (1:26)
That's what we really want.
Wes Moss (1:27)
I guess we'll start with talking about tariffs and really the market volatility and just the lack of clarity. I've had to say there's one thing that has wreaked havoc on markets and we've had really bad markets very quickly and then we've had historically good days all, all at the same time. And really we, the last week we had a day that was the third best day for stocks since World War II.
Krista Dibias (1:54)
Wow.
Wes Moss (1:55)
When you see a headline like that, I mean, that is. I took a screenshot of the stocks that I follow and the investments I follow just to have it at the end of the day, just for posterity because it was really eye opening and kind of remarkable to see. But really, of course, we've all, unless you're living under a rock, you know, the uncertainty that we're going through, which is the talk around tariffs and the United States putting massive tariffs on every country around the world and every trading partner and then reciprocal tariffs on top of that with some formula that no one really understands and then pausing those tariffs for 90 days with all countries except for China and really the uncertainty around all of that. And just think about what's Happened just over the last call it month or so. It's created this really, the roller coaster was going straight down for many days and then we had this huge roller coaster that but came back higher. And there's a lot of lessons from that. So maybe I'll just quickly start with. I think the confusion around tariffs is. I was driving my kids to school the other day and my little guy, my third grader, he goes, who are these tariffs that we're at war with? He goes, are the tariffs people? And I said, no, they're not people, but they're really. They're basically taxes on goods coming from other countries. Because the negotiation that we're in, good, bad or indifferent, regardless of whether you believe it's good or bad, they are taxes on goods coming in and it makes things more expensive. Now it depends on who eats that. Does the producer on overseas eat it or all of it or part of it or do we eat it as consumers? And I know that. I think the reason my little guy was thinking is these are people. Because you keep hearing about trade war. It's like you got to go to war with people, right? And really the way I look at this is, and what I tried to explain, these are not people tariffs, but they do impact people and they affect people. And you could call it a trade war, you could call this a global trade renegotiation. And that's really what I've been thinking about this for the last month. And then it's really hard to argue that it is not a big negotiation now that you've seen this pause. And then the European Union paused. And so we're really very much in this negotiation. And then last night we were at the dinner table, one of my high schoolers said something about tariffs and said, yeah, I don't really even understand these tariffs. And my third grader chimed in, he goes, look, first of all, tariffs are not people. They're not people. They're basically a tax on goods coming in from other countries to try to make us buy more stuff within the country as opposed to. So proud of that little guy.
