Transcript
A (0:00)
Foreign. Welcome to the Commentary Magazine daily podcast. Today is Friday, Friday, January 3, 2026. I'm Jon Pod Horowitz, the editor of Commentary magazine. With me, as always, senior editor Seth Mandel. Hi, Seth.
B (0:35)
Hi, John.
A (0:35)
Washington Free Beacon editor Eliana Johnson. Hi, Eliana.
C (0:39)
Hi, John.
A (0:39)
And joining us today, Eliana's old podcast co host. And when I say old, I don't mean old. I mean former.
D (0:46)
Both can be true.
A (0:47)
Both can be true. And old, though you are not old, you are a young man. And the host of the Hill on Sunday and a columnist for the Hill and a columnist for the Dispatch, it is Chris Stahwalt. Chris, welcome back to the Commentary Podcast.
D (1:03)
Happy Snowmageddon, Eve.
A (1:05)
Yes, brother and sister, the amount of conversation that one is now obliged to have about the weather before weather happens. I don't think Mark Twain ever had that in his predictive bag of tricks because now we're talking about the weather as though the weather is determinable.
D (1:23)
And so for me, I see politics. I liken what I do to the weatherman. And a long time ago in news, the weather was like, I don't know, it's the wacky weekend weather. There's a guy over here who says that he knows something based on, you know, owl droppings and the Old Farmer's Almanac, that he thinks he can tell us something about what's going on. And the more data that became available in weather did not increase the amount of surety that news consumers have about the weather. Right. So the thought was that the data would go up and people would have more confidence in the weather. But the profusion of new data of D. Doppler imaging, blah, blah, blah, blah, the European model, the da da, da, it actually ended up decreasing. And there's a great story about the guy who's the number one tornado dude in Alabama, where being a tornado dude is consequential. He wrote about his experience of the better and better and more accurate the forecasting got, the less confidence people were having in him and he couldn't explain it. And I can explain it from the political point of view, which is the narrative that people want to impose on the story. They're going to impose on the story. Throwing more data at that does not make them say, well, you must know everything. It makes them say, well, I'll figure it out. What are you talking about?
