From President to Defendant: The Legal Case Against Maduro

Summary

Podcast Summary: The Daily – "From President to Defendant: The Legal Case Against Maduro"

Date: January 5, 2026
Host: Michael Barbaro
Guest: Charlie Savage (National Security and Legal Policy Reporter, The New York Times)

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Overview

This episode unpacks the historic capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro by U.S. forces, his detention in Brooklyn, and the extraordinary legal and political questions that arise when a sitting foreign leader becomes a criminal defendant in an American courtroom. Host Michael Barbaro and legal reporter Charlie Savage analyze the legality of the U.S. operation, the legal precedent of the Noriega case, the evidence and legal arguments in the prosecution, and the far-reaching implications for international law, American foreign policy, and Venezuela itself.

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Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. The Arrest Operation: Legality and Precedent

• Setting the Scene ([00:33]–[03:00]):

  • Barbaro describes the surreal spectacle of Maduro detained in Brooklyn after American military forces captured him in Caracas, drawing a stark contrast between his status as a former powerful leader and his current predicament.
    • Quote:
      “After 12 years as the all powerful dictator … Maduro has ended up in this jail next to the highway, a few minutes from my apartment and a couple blocks from the nearest Costco.” ([00:50], Michael Barbaro)

• Legal Justification ([03:09]–[09:35]):

  • Savage explains the complex web of domestic vs. international law:

    • Under international law, the operation was likely illegal. The UN Charter prohibits the use of force on another country’s territory without consent, self-defense, or UN Security Council approval—none of which applied.
    • Under U.S. domestic law, the operation might be legal. The President is permitted to dispatch law enforcement to make arrests abroad (per Congress) and can use military support.
    • The issue is further complicated by the status of treaties like the UN Charter within U.S. law and historical arguments over whether the President must obey international law domestically.

  • Historical Precedent: Invasion of Panama (1989):

    • The U.S. used similar reasoning during the capture of Manuel Noriega; the move was condemned by the UN but justified by a memo from Bill Barr asserting presidential power to override international law for law-enforcement purposes.
    • Quote:
      “Young Bill Barr had a very expansive view of executive power... wrote a memo that said that the President had inherent power under the Constitution to dispatch the FBI... to arrest people who were fugitives... the Constitution empowered the President essentially to override international law.” ([08:13], Charlie Savage)

2. The Use of Lethal Force and its Legal Standing

• Civilian Casualties & Rules of Engagement ([09:35]–[12:34]):
  • At least 40 Venezuelans, some civilians, were killed.
  • Legal arguments over lethal force borrow from both “unit self-defense” (soldiers can shoot back if shot at) and inherent Presidential authority to use force protecting federal agents carrying out U.S. law.
  • Quote:
    “From some comments that Rubio evidently made to Senator Mike Lee... what it sounds like is they were blowing up air defenses to protect the corridor where the helicopters with the extraction team were going to pass through... [and] returned fire... Unit self-defense.” ([11:21], Charlie Savage)

3. Can the U.S. Run Venezuela Post-Maduro?

• U.S. Intentions and Practical Hurdles ([12:35]–[16:03]):
  • Trump claimed the U.S. would "run Venezuela," but Savage notes there is no legal basis for direct American governance; at most the U.S. could back an opposition leader, as it did in Panama.
  • The U.S. immediately swore in the legitimate winner after Noriega’s capture in 1989, but Venezuela is much larger, has a powerful military, and lacks a U.S. military presence, making similar intervention daunting.
  • Quote:
    “It was not as daunting a task as thinking about running Venezuela. Vastly more populous, vastly more geographically sprawling country where the U.S. has no military presence to begin with.” ([15:38], Charlie Savage)

4. The U.S. Legal Case Against Maduro

• Viability Despite Capture Circumstances ([16:03]–[17:34]):

  • Savage says U.S. courts are likely to ignore claims that the arrest was illegal under international law if Maduro is physically before them. The court focuses on the defendant’s actions, not arrest methods.

• The Underlying Charges ([19:02]–[22:39]):

  • Maduro was originally indicted in 2020 for conspiring with the FARC (Colombian rebels) to traffic cocaine into the U.S. New indictments add more evidence, financial transactions, and cooperating plea deals.
    • Quote:
      “This is a very long indictment, 30 pages… a speaking indictment... specific acts... seizures... bribes... cooperating witnesses... This is not vague, abstract charges.” ([20:58], Charlie Savage)

5. The Defense and Immunity Question

• Foreign Head of State Immunity ([22:39]–[25:55]):
  • Maduro’s best defense may be to claim immunity as a head of state—a right under international law that sovereign leaders cannot be prosecuted in another country.
  • Noriega tried (and failed) to use this defense, but courts noted he wasn’t the constitutionally legitimate leader. Maduro has a stronger claim as he was the internationally recognized president for years, even if the U.S. has recently denied recognition.
  • Quote:
    “He does purport to be the president... He did win an election in 2013, and the United States did recognize him... puts him in a much stronger position to make head of state immunity claims than Noriega ever was.” ([25:37], Charlie Savage)

6. Possible Complications: Politics vs. Prosecution

• Trump's Rhetoric and Pardons ([25:55]–[28:55]):
  • The U.S. president’s emphasis on Venezuela’s oil and pardoning of a comparable Honduran defendant raises questions about selective and political prosecution.
  • Savage doubts such arguments will sway the court, but expects the defense to try. The legitimacy of the prosecution case is judged on criminal evidence, not geopolitics or statements by the president.
    • Quote:
      “Clearly, Venezuelan oil was something Trump was thinking about and talking openly about... It makes no sense unless there are ulterior motives and geopolitical interests that are bigger than... was this particular guy involved in a drug trafficking conspiracy?” ([27:31], Charlie Savage)

7. What Happens Next?

• Noriega as a Model—and Limits of Judicial Review ([28:55]–[30:21]):

  • Noriega challenged his capture, but was ultimately tried and convicted in the U.S.; courts judged only the criminal indictment, not the legality of the U.S. intervention.
  • The courts are unlikely to “validate” the use of force abroad by convicting Maduro; their purview is narrow.

• If Maduro Is Acquitted ([30:21]–[32:09]):

  • If found not guilty, the U.S. would have to release him.
  • But given the time such proceedings take, it's unlikely Maduro could immediately return to power in Venezuela—his removal is effectively irreversible, regardless of conviction.

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Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• On the surreal nature of Maduro’s detention:
  “Maduro has ended up in this jail next to the highway, a few minutes from my apartment and a couple blocks from the nearest Costco.” —Michael Barbaro ([00:50])

• On the legal messiness:
  “There’s two different kinds of law. There’s domestic law, there’s international law, something that could be lawful on one level and illegal on the other level.” —Charlie Savage ([04:03])

• On the Noriega precedent:
  “To the extent that the Panama invasion fairly clearly violated international law, President George H.W. Bush got away with it. There was no one to say, you can’t do this in any effective way.” —Charlie Savage ([07:43])

• On self-defense and lethal force:
  “When you deploy military units, everyone basically agrees that if someone shoots at them, they can shoot back to defend themselves. That’s called unit self defense.” —Charlie Savage ([11:54])

• On court focus:
  “Probably courts in the US would say that [international law] is irrelevant and that they still have jurisdiction to proceed with trying him on this indictment. The idea is what matters is the defendant’s presence before the court and not how he got there.” —Charlie Savage ([16:33])

• On long-term consequences:
  “This is not going to be something that happens next week or even next year... In the meantime, it’s hard to see a scenario in which Maduro, even if acquitted, goes back to Venezuela and is still president. This seems irreversible.” —Charlie Savage ([31:54])

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Important Segment Timestamps

• 00:33 – Surreal opening: Maduro in a Brooklyn jail.
• 04:03 – Domestic vs. international law: legal confusion and precedent.
• 07:10–09:35 – The Panama/Noriega precedent and Bill Barr’s legal memo.
• 10:17–12:34 – Rules of engagement; justification for lethal force.
• 13:06–16:03 – Can the U.S. lawfully control Venezuela? Comparison to Panama.
• 16:03–17:34 – Does unlawful capture affect U.S. court jurisdiction?
• 19:28–22:39 – Details on the U.S. criminal case against Maduro.
• 22:39–25:37 – Immunity arguments for heads of state.
• 25:55–28:55 – Role of politics, presidential rhetoric, and possible defenses.
• 30:21–32:09 – Implications of acquittal and the irreversibility of Maduro's removal.

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Tone

The discussion is lucid, direct, and measured, typical of The Daily’s explanatory journalism. The episode balances legal nuance with accessible explanation, occasionally underscored by a sense of disbelief at the drama and gravity of the events.

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Conclusion

This episode demystifies one of the boldest moves in contemporary U.S. foreign policy and law enforcement, highlighting the uncomfortable overlap—and gulf—between law, power, and politics. It leaves listeners with an understanding that even when justice is served, the means by which it is pursued can redefine the relationship between nations, international law, and domestic precedent. The fate of Maduro is now as much a matter for the courts as it is for history.

Transcript

[A]

We are living in interesting times, a turning point in history. Are we entering a dark authoritarian era or are we on the brink of a technological golden age or the apocalypse? No one really knows, but I'm trying to find out from New York Times opinion. I'm Ross Douthat and on my show Interesting Times, I'm exploring this strange new world order with the thinkers and leaders giving it shape. Follow it wherever you get your podcasts.

[B]

So it is a frigid Sunday afternoon and I am standing in front of the Metropolitan Detention center in Sunset Park, Brooklyn, which improbably is where Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife woke up this morning after their stunning capture by American troops in Caracas over the weekend. And it's this truly surreal scene because after 12 years as the all powerful dictator of a major Latin American country, a country with something like 30 million citizens, Maduro has ended up in this jail next to the highway, a few minutes from my apartment and a couple blocks from the nearest Costco.

[C]

It's just.

[B]

Such a juxtaposition from what he was just a few days ago to what he is now. And as best we can tell, Maduro is going to remain in this detention center at least until he is arraigned, we think as early as Monday morning in Manhattan. And it's at that point that the US Government is going to present its charges against him. And Maduro's future will suddenly be in the hands of an American judge and an American jury. From the New York Times, I'm Michael Barbaro.

[C]

This is the Daily Today, the legal.

[B]

Case against Nicolas Maduro and whether the lawfulness of the extraordinary operation to capture him could undermine that case. I spoke with my colleague Charlie Savage, who writes about national security and legal.

[C]

Policy for the Times.

[B]

It's Monday, january 5th.

[C]

Charlie, thank you for making time for us on a Sunday. Appreciate it.

[D]

My pleasure.

[C]

Just to orient folks, we made a special Sunday episode of the Daily that detailed the entire military operation that resulted in Nicolas Maduro's capture and his current detainment in Brooklyn, not that far from here. What we want to talk with you about, Charlie, are all the legal questions that this entire extraordinary situation has raised and, and we'll probably keep raising as this case moves through the court system into presumably a trial of Maduro. But I want to start with the military operation itself and the legal rationale that was used to justify carrying it out. What kind of legal precedent exists or doesn't for undertaking it? The argument that the Trump administration has put forward, and we briefly touched on this, in our Sunday episode, is that this was a military operation in support of an arrest of somebody charged with breaking US Law. Does that make it lawful?

[D]

So I'm sorry to say that there is not a simple answer to this. And the reason is there's two different kinds of law. There's domestic law, there's international law, something that could be lawful on one level and illegal on the other level. They operate independently of each other, and then even worse than that, sometimes they bleed into each other. So here, just to provide an overview, this was probably illegal as a matter of international law, why the United Nations Charter makes it illegal for a country to use force in another country's sovereign territory without its consent, a self defense rationale, or the permission of the UN Security Council, none of which were present, none of these are present here. This was an arrest operation. So probably illegal as a matter of international law, as a matter of pure domestic law, probably legal. The FBI, the DEA has the ability to go arrest people who are facing charges. It has affirmative authority from Congress to do that. Statutes don't say that that authority stops at the edge of the United States military can provide support to law enforcement in carrying out its authority to arrest people. So maybe that's okay on a domestic law level. But just to add the final twist, there's the question of, well, what about the fact that the UN Charter that makes it illegal as an international law matter is a ratified treaty in the United States? And the Constitution says ratified treaties are the supreme law of the land.

[C]

Right.

[D]

As a matter of domestic constitutional law, was this unlawful because Trump had a constitutional duty to obey the UN Charter? And so this is the mess you have to sort through to make sense of this extraordinary operation. And here, a precedent in American law and geopolitical history is important as a guidepost to sorting through what just happened this weekend. Good evening. Thousands of American troops are tonight holding key positions in Panama after launching an attack early this morning to oust the dictator, General Noriega. And that precedent is the 1989 invasion of Panama by the George H.W. bush administration for the purpose of arresting Manuel Noriega, who, like Maduro, was a leader of that country facing drug trafficking charges back in the United States.

[C]

General Noriega is under indictment for drug related charges. And the President has made every effort peacefully to resolve the situation through negotiations under the auspices.

[A]

General Noriega is no longer in power. He no longer commands the instruments of government or the forces of repression that he's used for so long to brutalize the Panamanian People.

[C]

Well, just explain how the US President at the time justified entering a foreign country, Panama, to arrest Noriega, based on that thicket of complex legal questions surrounding domestic and international law.

[D]

Well, I don't think very many people think that the 1989 invasion of Panama was legal as a matter of international law.

[A]

In the last half hour, the United Nations General assembly has adopted a resolution deploring the United States intervention in Panama.

[D]

It was declared unlawful overwhelmingly by the United Nations General Assembly. A majority of the UN Security Council voted to condemn it. But the United States, of course, vetoed that resolution. So to the extent that the Panama invasion fairly clearly violated international law, President George H.W. bush got away with it. There was no one to say, you can't do this in any effective way. So the trickier question for Bush back in the day was, what about domestic law? And what happened back in 1989 was that the Justice Department's Office of Legal Counsel took a look at this issue, and it was then run by a young lawyer named Bill Barr. He would someday become Attorney General for Bush and then reprise that role as attorney General for Trump. Young Bill Barr had a very expansive view of executive power, and he wrote a memo that said that the president had inherent power under the Constitution to dispatch the FBI, in that case, abroad to carry out its mission of arresting people who were fugitives from charges. And the Constitution empowered the president essentially to override international law, that it was okay to violate international law, at least as a matter of domestic constitutional law. And that memo by Barr was very controversial when it came out. It's been criticized by many legal scholars who think Barr was wrong about his approach to analyzing whether or not a ratified treaty is the kind of law that the president has a duty to see is faithfully executed. But that was the reasoning in 1989, and I think it's safe to assume that's probably what the reasoning was for this weekend as well.

[C]

Okay, so that's how we should think about the legality of the operation, which seems illegal under international law and is the subject of legally contested debate under domestic law. I want to turn to what happened during the operation. We know that at least 40 Venezuelans, some number of them civilians, were killed during Maduro's capture and extraction. And that's just a preliminary count likely to go up, perhaps by a lot. Is killing foreign citizens and soldiers in pursuit of an arrest like the one we just witnessed, Is that legal? What are the calculations around using lethal force in a situation like this?

[D]

Well, again, as a matter of international law. The incursion by American forces was illegal to begin with. Almost certainly from a matter of domestic law. What's the authority to blow things up in Venezuela? Well, this is already an arrest operation. And from some comments that Rubio evidently made to Senator Mike Lee, Mike Lee, overnight, when this was happening, was saying, how could this possibly be legal? I await the theory of how the military can go in without a authorization from Congress. Then Rubio calls him, and Lee reports what Rubio said. And Lee is basically satisfied. And what it sounds like is they were blowing up air defenses to protect the corridor where the helicopters with the extraction team were going to pass through. And then also later on, General Dan Kane, the chairman of the Joint Chief, said some people shot at the helicopters and they returned fire. So these are forms of self defense and protection. There's a long standing line of cases or claims going back to the late 19th century surrounding the idea that the President has inherent power under the Constitution, no need for a statute from Congress to protect federal agents, federal institutions carrying out federal functions. We actually saw this invocation of the inherent protective power, as it's called recently in court filings around the dispute about Trump sending troops into Los Angeles because they were being sent in in the name of protecting ICE agents from protesters. Also, when you deploy military units, everyone basically agrees that if someone shoots at them, they can shoot back to defend themselves. That's called unit self defense. And so that would be both unit self defense and a protective power would be the argument for why blowing things up and killing people as part of this operation was lawful as a matter of domestic US Domestic law.

[C]

So no matter the legality of the initial action under international law, once the troops are in jeopardy, there is a domestic legal rationale for fighting back using self defense, even if that means killing people.

[D]

Exactly.

[C]

Okay, so then there is the question of what authority the Trump administration has to control Venezuela now that Nicolas Maduro has been arrested. Trump, during his news conference after Maduro's arrest, quite explicitly said that the US Will seek to run Venezuela. He didn't say exactly how that would work, but he said that the US Would seek to do this. Does the US have legal grounds for in any way trying to run Venezuela?

[D]

Right. So if this is just Trump telling the Vice President of Venezuela what to do, and he's successful in coercing her to comply, law doesn't really have anything to do with it at that point.

[C]

Right.

[D]

He's just bullying her and it's working. So the real question is if she balks and, you know, resists complying to the point that the Trump White House wants to intervene more directly and actually take the reins. Can it? And it's very hard to see how that would be lawful.

[C]

Just to go back to Noriega and to Panama. Did this question come up back then? Did the US Seek to control Panama after arresting Noriega?

[D]

So what happened in Panama is there had been an election earlier in 1989 between a candidate that was backed by Noriega and a opposition candidate. And the opposition candidate, his name was Guillermo Indara, probably won, but then Noriega just nullified the results and had some thugs go beat him up. Good evening.

[A]

Violence in Panama today as pro Noriega forces attacked opposition leaders and their followers.

[D]

So when the US Came in and grabbed Noriega, they immediately, like that same night, swore in Indara as the actual president of Panama. He was sworn in on a US Military base.

[C]

Wow.

[D]

So that shows you that the US Military had a strong hand in what was happening, but he was the one making the decisions. George Bush was not purporting to just run Panama.

[C]

So that potentially could be a model for Trump here.

[D]

It could be a model. But, you know, this is where you get into the practical issues that make Venezuela different than Panama, that act as sort of an overlay to these legal issues we're discussing. Panama is a small country, and the US Had a major base there. It was not as daunting a task as thinking about running Venezuela. Vastly more populous, vastly more geographically sprawling country where the US has no military presence to begin with. Venezuelan military is still there. The government is still there. They would have to go in with major ground forces that would presumably need to fight people before they'd be in a position to provide support to a newly sworn in alternative president of Venezuela. This is not nearly as simple a situation as Panama was in 1989. Okay.

[C]

I think that brings us to the legal case against Maduro himself. And I guess the question is, does the manner of his arrest and the legality of it, especially what is now being described as the violation of international law, in particular, does that have any bearing on whether a U.S. judge will let the charges against him stand? Could that end up getting Maduro off the hook before there's any kind of a trial?

[D]

Probably not. I'm sure that his lawyers will raise this issue because they'll raise every issue. But even if it were the case that Maduro and his defense team could make out a strong case that his arrest was unlawful, as a matter of international law, probably courts in the US Would say that is irrelevant and that they still have jurisdiction to proceed with trying him on this indictment. The idea is what matters is the defendant's presence before the court and not how he got there.

[C]

Which is why we should take a really close look at the case against Maduro. Cause that sounds from what you're saying, like it's very much going to stand. And we're gonna do that right after the break.

[E]

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[F]

Why?

[E]

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[C]

All pain, some gain, $9 a month.

[E]

Right. With my new big financial friend, Experian, I can see my subscriptions right in the app and cancel all the ones I don't use anymore but still pay for. Like you.

[C]

Wow.

[F]

So goodbye.

[E]

More like good savings. Cha Ching.

[C]

Get started with the Experian app. Now. Results will vary. Not all subscriptions eligible savings not guaranteed paid membership with connected payment account required. See experian.com for details.

[G]

Experian I'm Jonathan Swan. I'm a White House reporter for the New York Times. I have a pretty unsentimental view of what we do. Our job as reporters is to dig out information that powerful people don't want published, to take you into rooms that you would not otherwise have access to to understand how some of the big decisions shaping our are being made. And then painstakingly to go back and check with sources, check with public documents, make sure the information is correct. This is not something you can outsource to AI. There's no robot that can go and talk to someone who was in a situation room and find out what was really said. In order to get actually original information that's not public, that requires human sources. We actually need journalists to do that. So as you may have gathered from this long riff, I'm asking you to consider subscribing to the New York Times. Independent journalism is important, and without you, we simply can't do it.

[C]

So, Charlie, now that we know that the charges against Maduro are quite likely to not be tossed out by a judge based on the manner in which he was arrested, let's talk about the legal case that the US Is making against him. That was the rationale for arresting him and, and for detaining him in the US and that's not going to be the basis for prosecuting him. What do we know?

[D]

Well, Maduro was originally indicted in early 2020 during the first Trump administration in New York on a complicated, long running allegation. Of a cocaine trafficking conspiracy. The idea was that he and others who were named in that indictment had for years worked with the farc, the Marxist rebel group in neighboring Colombia, to funnel cocaine towards the United States and elsewhere. And he was intimately involved in this.

[C]

Right. The claim being not that he simply let this happen, but that he was himself deeply, deeply involved in it.

[D]

Yes, was an active participant conspiring with the FARC to flood the United States with cocaine as a weapon, essentially. And a variety of charges were attached to those allegations. And after the seizure of him, early Saturday, the Justice Department unveiled a superseding indictment. So that replaces that earlier one, changed around some of the defendants, added some stories, but keeps Maduro at the heart of what it still alleges is a years long cocaine trafficking conspiracy.

[C]

And talk about the evidence that this superseding indictment lays out to support this claim that Maduro is an active participant in this international drug trafficking conspiracy.

[D]

So this is a very long indictment, 30 pages. This is not a bare bones. Here's some charges. See, in court is what is sometimes called a speaking indictment where the prosecutors are using this filing to tell a story. And it talks about specific acts that have happened. The seizure of a cocaine shipment in Mexico, seizure of one in Paris, specific conversations Maduro and others had. It talks about specific bribes that were handed over, including to his wife, which was something that was added for the second one. So we don't know specifically where all of these examples of a conspiracy are coming from. But there's a lot of concrete, tangible episodes here. This is not vague, abstract charges. And so what that tells you is that they have built over the years a body of evidence that that must include cooperating witnesses who will presumably, if there is a trial, come on for the prosecution and say, I saw Maduro say this and I was there in the room when he did that. In fact, two of the original people who were in the 2020 indictment were later captured and reached plea deals, one in 2023 and one last year. So I think that it's safe to say that they, as part of the plea deal, would have to cooperate. But the point is that there's a lot of material here and there's a story that's unfolding here that if the prosecutors have the goods to back, it would be what the trial would look like.

[C]

Well, given that, how should we think about what Maduro's defense may be here? And I want to stipulate, I understand how early we are in the process. Maduro just got brought to the United States he may not have a lawyer or just met with his lawyer. But what might we expect, especially given the Noriega precedent, that the leader of a foreign country might argue on his own behalf against what's in this indictment?

[D]

Well, the most important thing that we saw in the Noriega case that seems extremely likely to recur here is the question of immunity. Leaders of countries have something called foreign head of state immunity. And this is an ancient part of international law that the sovereign of one country can't be dragged into court, detained, prosecuted in another country. And Noriega said, hey, I was the head of state in Panama. And eventually a district court judge rejected that claim, and an appeals court upheld that ruling. And so Noriega lost on it. I'm sure Maduro and his defense team will raise it again, and he's got a stronger case than Noriega did. Why? Well, for one thing, Noriega wasn't really, in any politically legitimate way, the head of state in Panama. He was a military officer who had just taken over in essentially a couple and was running things behind the scenes. But Panama had a constitution that said it was supposed to have a president who was elected. And so Bush said, I don't recognize this guy as the legitimate leader of Panama. And the Panamanian constitution didn't have anything to say about why he could possibly be the head of state.

[C]

It strikes me that the Trump administration is making a similar argument, which is that in the case of Adoro, he is not in there telling the legitimate leader of Venezuela he was brought to power in a fraudulent election, they claim, and therefore shouldn't be the president.

[D]

Correct. There was a lot of fraud in the 2018 election in Venezuela and the 2024 election in Venezuela. In both cases, Maduro is the declared winner. And outside observers are like, that was not a clean election. The Trump administration in 2019 withdrew official recognition of Maduro as the legitimate president of Venezuela. Joe Biden in 2024 or early 2025 does the same. He said, I'm not recognizing you as the winner of this election. You are not the legitimate winner. The opposition candidate actually won this right. Nevertheless, the governing structures in Venezuela do recognize him as such. He does purport to be the president. He does did win an election in 2013, and the United States did recognize him as the president at the time. And so that just puts him in a much stronger position to make head of state immunity claims than Noriega ever was. So I'm sure that this is something that will be litigated heavily before Maduro's case can ever go to trial.

[C]

I wonder if some of the things that President Trump has said and done before and around the arrest of Maduro are going to at all complicate the U.S. case against him. And let me give you two examples. The first is that the president has very publicly emphasized that Maduro's arrest is going to be opening Venezuela up to American business. In fact, you could argue that he's put more emphasis on the economic opportunities in a Maduro free Venezuela than he has put on drug trafficking charges in his public speeches. Does that matter at all? Does that undermine the president's case? And for that matter, does the fact that President Trump pardoned the former president of Honduras, who was convicted in the US of major drug trafficking charges, influence this case at all? Because it suggests that when it comes to Trump, he's very selective in enforcing America's drug policies.

[D]

So I think it both matters a lot and it matters not at all. It matters a lot for us watching what's happening, trying to understand what's really going on in a real politic account of recent events and how history will think about the decision to send forces into Venezuela to grab Maduro. Clearly, Venezuelan oil was something Trump was thinking about and talking openly about.

[C]

Right.

[D]

In a country that didn't have those kinds of natural resources and didn't have this kind of history, would this same situation have played out? How do you make sense of Trump in December pardoning the former president of Honduras convicted of a drug trafficking conspiracy here in the United States, exactly the same charges against Maduro now, and yet saying it's really important we got to go after Maduro? It makes no sense unless there's ulterior motives and geopolitical interests that are bigger than was this particular guy involved in a drug trafficking conspiracy?

[C]

Right. Can any of this become part of Maduro's defense? Is basically what I'm curious about.

[D]

I'm sure that if Maduro's defense team was does what you would expect any competent defense team to do, they will throw everything they can against the wall. And some kind of vindictive selective prosecution challenge to the indictment is sitting right there. For the reasons we've just discussed, I'm very doubtful that will work. What is said around a case by a president, especially when there's geopolitical implications, things that go way beyond law enforcement, is, I think, likely to be found by the court to be just irrelevant to whether or not this indictment of him is based on evidence that he'd committed these acts. But that doesn't mean that it won't be something that a defense raises and that will consume a lot of time and create legal briefs and some headlines along the way.

[C]

Understood, Charlie. Just remind us what ultimately ends up happening with Noriega and the charges against him after he was captured and arrested in Panama.

[D]

So he brought all these sorts of challenges, some of which we've touched on here. But ultimately he was convicted by a jury in Miami of eight of the 10 counts against him, and he spent the rest of his life in prison.

[C]

So should we think about Noriega's conviction as validating Bill Barr's legal argument that what really matters is not international law? And if Maduro is found guilty, should we come to the same conclusion that the courts are validating this kind of military operation perhaps twice?

[D]

I just don't think that's the right way to think about it, Michael. The courts are not addressing the alleged violation of international law that the United States committed by going into another country's sovereign territory. The courts are only looking at the criminal case and allegations against this particular defendant. But also, I would say it's pretty early to say, well, this is going to play out like it did in 1989. And what's going to happen now in Venezuela is yet to be seen.

[C]

Well, to the point about us not knowing what's going to happen here. What if Maduro is found not guilty? Does the US Just return him to Venezuela?

[D]

So in a situation which he doesn't strike, some kind of plea deal, goes to trial and a jury acquits him, there's no authority to keep holding him. So they would have to let him go.

[C]

Right. And if that happens, presumably some meaningful amount of time will have passed during which Maduro is not the leader of Venezuela anymore. Perhaps the country moves on, it's politics move on from Maduro, in which case Trump administration might not prevail in court. But they could still very much accomplish the overriding goal of replacing Maduro as the country's leader and changing Venezuela's entire relationship to the US and to American business?

[D]

Well, I, I do think that that's likely. I mean, the history has happened now Maduro is physically removed from Venezuela, even in a scenario in which he is acquitted, that's a long time from now. This is not going to be something that happens next week or even next year. We've talked about all kinds of stuff that's going to have to be litigated before there can be a trial, immunity claims and so forth. That's going to have to go up to the Supreme Court. And I don't think Trump will even still be President Trump when whatever happens in this case is over. And so in the meantime, it's hard to see a scenario in which Maduro, even if acquitted, goes back to Venezuela and is still president. This seems irreversible.

[C]

Well, Charlie, thank you very much. We appreciate it.

[D]

Thank you.

[F]

On Sunday, the United States and Venezuela continued to publicly wrangle over the role of the United States in Venezuela's future. In Miami, Secretary of State Marco Rubio outlined a plan to coerce Venezuela's leaders rather than govern the country, a plan President Trump reinforced with what appeared to be a threat against Venezuela's interim president, Delsey Rodriguez. In an interview with the Atlantic magazine, Trump said, quote, if she doesn't do what's right, she's going to pay a very big price, probably bigger than Maduro. Meanwhile, in Caracas, Rodriguez struck a conciliatory tone, saying in a statement that she sought cooperation and coexistence with the United States. Our people and our region, she wrote, deserve peace and dialogue, not war. We'll be right back. Here's what else you need to know today. Over the weekend, congressional Democrats complained that they were still being kept in the dark about the military operation in Venezuela, despite their demands for classified briefings about the mission. White House officials claimed that because the operation was in support of an arrest and not an invasion of Venezuela, they were not obligated to consult with Congress either beforehand or afterhand. But that claim drew protest from lawmakers like Representative Jim Hines of Connecticut, the ranking member of the House Intelligence Committee.

[C]

It's been more than 24 hours. Have you been briefed by anybody in the administration?

[G]

Still haven't gotten a phone call.

[A]

Look, this is a long pattern and a particularly egregious example of a pattern of this administration not giving a hoot about the United States Congress, which, by.

[F]

The way, today's episode was produced by Ricky Novetsky and Nina Feldman. It was edited by Michael Benoit and Patricia Willins. Contains music by Marian Lozano, Alicia Itube, Dan Powell and Rowan Yamisto and was engineered by Chris Wood. That's it for the Daily. I'm Michael Balbaro. See you tomorrow.

[H]

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[F]

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