
For years, even as fentanyl has killed Americans at an astonishing rate, Mexico has claimed that it was doing everything possible to crack down on production of the drug. This week, President Trump began using punishing new tariffs to test that claim. Natalie Kitroeff, who is the Mexico City bureau chief for The New York Times, discusses the surprising result of his tactics.
Loading summary
Michael Barbaro
This is an advertisement from the Propane Education and Research Council. Everyone deserves access to clean, affordable energy. Everyone. Millions of Americans rely on propane for dependable energy that is independent from the electric grid. Propane is safe, reliable, versatile energy produced in the United States that powers school buses, hospitals, and our homes with lower carbon emissions than conventional fuels. The path to a low carbon future includes cleaner energy like propane. And the production of renewable propane, which is made from used cooking oils and plant oils, is growing rapidly. Propane is the energy for everyone. Learn more@propain.com from the New York Times, I'm Michael Balbaro.
Natalie Kitroev
This is the Daily. For years, even as fentanyl killed Americans at an astonishing rate, Mexico has claimed that it was doing everything it could touch to crack down on its production. This week, President Trump began using punishing new tariffs to test that claim. Today, my colleague, Mexico City Bureau Chief Natalie Kitroev, on the surprising result of Trump's Strategy. It's Thursday, March 6th.
It's weird being on the mic as a guest, but here we are.
Michael Barbaro
I don't know how to address you.
Natalie Kitroev
It's so weird.
I know. I was kind of wondering how you were gonna handle that.
Michael Barbaro
How about we just do it normal like.
Natalie Kitroev
Okay. Yeah.
Hey, Natalie.
Hi, Michael.
Michael Barbaro
Natalie, tell us the story, the kind of improbable story of how you ended up inside an illegal fentanyl lab in Mexico.
Natalie Kitroev
So I'm the bureau chief here in Mexico City, and for a really long time now, I've been obsessed with the fentanyl problem. Obviously, we know that in the United States, fentanyl has just been a scourge for years. It is killing tens of thousands of Americans every year. And much of the fentanyl that ends up on the street is made in Mexico. Mexico is a huge producer of fentanyl, not just in the US but worldwide. And so I wanted to get into that manufacturing operation. This is a synthetic opioid. It's not grown in fields like heroin, you know, cocaine. These are natural drugs. Fentanyl is made from chemicals in labs. And to understand how these little pills end up in the hands of Americans every single day, I found it extremely important to see with my own eyes exactly how it's made step by step.
Michael Barbaro
Right. But of course, the challenge is getting inside. I assume the kind of places in Mexico that make fentanyl don't offer tours. So how did you even begin to try to get in one?
Natalie Kitroev
Yeah, I mean, it wasn't easy. These are, as you said, illegal labs. This is happening underground this is clandestine. You know, how do you break into a network that is run by cartels, by powerful organizations, are responsible for death and destruction across the country?
Michael Barbaro
Or should I add. Should you even try to make it into a separate question?
Natalie Kitroev
No, but, I mean, you should. You have to if you want to understand this thing, right? And, yes, there are risks, obviously, but there's no way to really get inside this business without seeing it for yourself. And so my colleague Paulina Villegas and I started making trips to Sinaloa. Sinaloa is a state in the northwest of Mexico. It is a major hub of global fencing, and it's the home base of one of the most dangerous and powerful criminal organizations in the world, the Sinaloa Cartel. We knew that we had to make inroads in this state in order to get into a lab, because these are the guys that really dominate production, according to US Law enforcement. So we started to go there, we started reporting. We made contacts within the cartel. We did interviews. We talked to leaders, we talked to cooks, meaning the people who actually make the fentanyl. And, I mean, there were so many obstacles that kept preventing us from getting into a lab. We had an inroad here. It was shut down, an inroad there. It had just been busted. And then finally, in the middle of December, we got in.
Michael Barbaro
So tell us about that.
Natalie Kitroev
So the original plan was to go into this lab in the morning, but there was a problem. The cooks who were inviting us to see the process told us that they had just gotten busted, and so they needed to move locations, and they were gonna put a makeshift lab. We didn't really know where at that point, but, you know, several hours later, then into the evening, we find out that it's gonna be in the center of the capital city where we are, Culiacan. So we drive to this location, and it's a busy street. I mean, there's taco stands outside. People are walking around. It's not, you know, a deserted area in the middle of nowhere. I mean, it looked like any other house. And as far as I could tell, all the people walking by had absolutely no idea that inside what looked like a normal house was an active fentanyl lab at that point.
Michael Barbaro
Wow.
Natalie Kitroev
When we go in, it's pitch black, and we immediately smell a very, very intense smell. It's like a strong smell of chemicals. You might associate it with the way that a nail salon smells when there's a lot of chemicals being used, but way more intense than that in our context, that we're working with Say this is the textbook smell of fentanyl. And at the end of this pitch black kind of hallway, we see two twenty something guys. They introduce themselves, they say, we can bring in one phone and one camera, but we agree that we're not going to publish any recordings that have their voices on them or photos that might identify their faces. And we start getting suited up at this point, and what that means is we're putting on hazmat suits, we're putting on our gas masks, we put on gloves. We're preparing to come in contact with a very toxic substance. We walked down the hall with them and then we went in.
Okay, so we're in a fentanyl lab. Finally, we made it into a kitchen. We're watching them cook, and they've just started the beginning of the process.
And I realize that we're in what's a really basic kitchen. I mean, there's not a lot of advanced equipment here.
I'm watching the fumes come off two pots that are on a regular kitchen stove.
They have two pots on the stove that, you know, are being heated with liquid. They have trays with chemicals on them. They have jugs with powder in them. But apart from that, there isn't that much to it. It looks like any other kitchen.
And I saw one of the cooks just blend it all together using, like a regular hand blender, Black and Decker, that you could just buy at a store. And the pots look like any pots that you would find in any Mexican kitchen.
They have beers that they're clearly drinking while they do this. At one point, one of the cooks asks the other one for this essential chemical ingredient. And the guy turns around to the food pantry and pulls out a jug of it that's just next to hot sauce and other stuff that you might actually use to make food.
Michael Barbaro
Wow.
Natalie Kitroev
So right now he's adding blue to the powder mix because it's going to be pressed into those blue M30 pills.
And they're handling this blue powder that is close to what would be pressed into a pill.
And you could just see the blue seeping in.
This is the kind of pill you see on American streets, these baby blue fentanyl pills. They start showing me like, look, we dye it blue if the client wants it blue. So it was just remarkable how commonplace all of this seemed to them.
Michael Barbaro
So when you leave this lab, what are you thinking? What has this unlocked for you in your understanding of Mexico as this hub, as you said earlier, of fentanyl production?
Natalie Kitroev
I think the main takeaway that I had Leaving the lab was, this is a drug that is extraordinarily easy to produce in almost any conditions. And once you get the product, the amount that you need to make a lot of money, if you're the cartel or if you're a user, to potentially kill you, is tiny. I mean, the US Government says that people who have not been exposed to fentanyl could be killed by the amount that fits on the tip of a pencil. And in this kitchen, in this makeshift lab, I had just seen that tip of the pencil thousands of times over.
Michael Barbaro
Nellie, I guess what you're saying about the ease of production makes me wonder why it has to be done in Mexico. Why can't this same process occur in Texas or Brooklyn, for that matter?
Natalie Kitroev
Yeah, I mean, Michael, obviously you could theoretically make fentanyl in Texas, but the conditions are not as good as they are in Mexico. There's an entire infrastructure that really supports this. The Sinaloa cartel. The cartel that, according to the US Government, responsible for bringing much of the fentanyl on American streets across the border. They have years worth of experience in industrialized drug production. They've done this with a ton of different products, including meth, which is another synthetic drug. So they have experience in making drugs out of chemicals. They also have a lot of experience corrupting the Mexican government. The last time there was a major crackdown on drug cartels, the security chief that led that crackdown ended up being convicted in an American court for taking bribes from the Sinaloa cartel. So this is an incredibly powerful, experienced organization that has the wherewithal and the resources to do this. And the Mexican government has not been effective at stamping that out.
Michael Barbaro
So a key ingredient here that explains why Mexico is the Mexican government's inability, slash, unwillingness, to truly take on and crack down on these cartels. Right.
Natalie Kitroev
I mean, and this has been an open question in Mexico and in the United States for years. Is it capacity, is it ability, or is it willingness, as you say? And it's kind of difficult to know because it hasn't been happening. And it's hard to disentangle the reasons why. But at the time that I'm visiting this lab, the US Is preparing to inaugurate Donald Trump. And he pretty quickly makes it very clear that he thinks he knows why.
Donald Trump
I've informed Mexico and Canada that they will have to step up and stop the illegal aliens and illegal drugs from pouring into our country. Have to stop.
Natalie Kitroev
It's that Mexico just doesn't want to do enough, that there's not enough progress being made, that the country is absolutely dominated by this drug. And he's saying the government absolutely needs to do more or there will be consequences.
Right.
Michael Barbaro
Trump's argument throughout the campaign and once he's elected is basically, Mexico chooses this situation and it can do a heck of a lot more.
Natalie Kitroev
Exactly. And as soon as he finally takes office, I'm not happy with Mexico. Or he just starts lobbying attack after attack on Mexico, and he's really turning the heat up.
Donald Trump
President Sheinbaum is a woman. I like her very much. We've had good relationships, but we have to stop fentanyl from coming in. Whether I like somebody or not, there's.
Natalie Kitroev
This threat in the air about a potential for US Military forces to do targeted strikes on drug labs and cartels in Mexico. Eventually, the administration officially designates the cartels as terrorist organizations. And most importantly, I'll be putting the.
Donald Trump
Tariff of 25% on Canada and separately, 25% on Mexico.
Natalie Kitroev
Trump says he's going to impose massive, devastating tariffs on Mexico unless they get this problem under control.
Michael Barbaro
And I wonder, based on this lab you saw and based on all the reporting you have done, what you made of Trump's actions as they were unfurling, and if you thought it stood any real chance of changing the fentanyl realities on the ground in Mexico.
Natalie Kitroev
I mean, honestly, Michael, I was deeply skeptical. I had been going to Sinaloa for months based on everything I'd seen. This organization, this criminal group, was just so entrenched in so many aspects of daily life. And it's really hard to imagine making a serious impact on a production operation that requires so little, that can just be restarted from one moment to the next.
Michael Barbaro
Right.
Natalie Kitroev
In a place that is dominated by one of the most powerful criminal organizations on the planet. But even though I was really skeptical, I wanted to go back into a lab to see whether all of these threats, whether all of the pressure that Trump had put on Mexico had led to real changes, whether any of this actually made a difference.
We'll be right back.
Michael Barbaro
This podcast is supported by Oracle AI.
Carlos Prieto
Requires a lot of compute power and the cost for your AI workloads can spiral. That is, unless you're running on oci. Oracle Cloud Infrastructure. This was the cloud built for AI, a blazing, fast, enterprise grade platform for your infrastructure, database, apps and all of your AI workloads. Right now, Oracle can cut your current cloud bill in half if you move to OCI. Minimum financial commitment and other terms apply. Offer ends March 31. See if you qualify@oracle.com NYT oracle.com NYT.
My name is Carlos Prieto, and I'm one of the people that help make the Daily. As part of our reporting on immigration, we heard from this woman crossing one of the most dangerous stretches of land on the whole planet to get to the United States. I knew that she was from Venezuela, which is where I'm also from. But what I found out is that not only was she from the same city that I grew up in, but she was also from the same neighborhood. She was describing parks and plazas and streets where I spent a lot of my childhood. She was a woman that I might have encountered at some point in my life. It made me feel an extra responsibility to find a way for our listeners to feel like they understood her and her story. What makes the Daily Special is that we try to understand every story with that level of closeness so that our listeners can really connect with the humans in the middle of a news event. If this is the kind of journalism that you like and that you care about, the best way to support it is by subscribing to the New York Times.
Michael Barbaro
So, Natalie, when you went back to Sinaloa to try to assess whether anything had changed post Trump's inauguration, what did you find?
Natalie Kitroev
It was really remarkable. The dynamics, it seemed, had completely changed from the last time we were there. I mean, this was still a very dangerous place. There was a lot of violence. But when we started talking to our cartel contacts, they told us there was basically no production of fentanyl happening in the city. It had totally plummeted.
Michael Barbaro
Wow.
Natalie Kitroev
Fallen off a cliff. I mean, they acknowledged that production was happening elsewhere in the country. It's not like fentanyl stopped being made in Mexico writ large. But here, things had slowed to a near halt. We met the two cooks who had invited us into their labs. They said, no, we shut everything down. There is such an intense crackdown by the government right now, and we're under so much scrutiny and pressure that we're not cooking anything. We didn't meet them inside a lab. They met us at our hotel room, and they said, we're not doing anything right now. We're actually firing employees. We're saving money. We're trying to sell our cars and other property to try to make up for lost income, because nothing is going on here. There is no lab for you to visit this time around.
Michael Barbaro
Huh?
Natalie Kitroev
And we saw firsthand the crackdown that they were so afraid of. At one point, we're driving down the street, where, where? And these police trucks pull up. These guys just Start spilling out of them. And they're scaling the walls of this house. Suddenly they're on the roof. All right. We're literally watching a raid on a house go down.
We just drove up on it.
There's a police car and like a kind of military style tank like car. It's very clear to us that something is going down. There's officers just all along the streets. We're watching them arrest a guy, it looks like, or they're at least searching the guy. And this kind of scene was playing out all over the city. This is just like an area that.
We'Ve been hanging out in this whole time.
And like, here is a raid, looking for whatever, either a lab or a person or whatever. While we were there, the Mexican government arrested two major players within the cartel. So there was a lot of activity. At one point, we go to meet with a higher level cartel member who, when we get to him, he said he'd heard about the raid that we ran up on, and he is genuinely shaking his hands, physically shaking his hands are trembling in front of us. And he said, the only option for me right now is survival. No, we're not cooking. No, we're not making fentanyl. That is shut down right now. It may be temporary. We are moving labs, we're doing this elsewhere. But right now, I am on lockdown here. I am not leaving my house. I have lookouts everywhere, and I can't even be here. He cut the meeting short. He basically ran out. He was so scared.
Michael Barbaro
And is this all because of Trump?
Natalie Kitroev
Well, these guys that we're talking to are saying, look, the main thing that has changed from when you were here last is that Trump is in office and he's making all of these threats, and the Mexican government is cracking down like never before. Obviously, the Mexican authorities were on the streets before this. It's not like they weren't doing anything. But the cartel members say they're feeling the heat at a much higher level.
Michael Barbaro
It very much looks like Trump has shocked the Mexican law enforcement system into action and in so doing, seemed to expose that the Mexican government was capable of doing a lot more than it had been.
Natalie Kitroev
Yeah, I think that's what it looks like to a lot of people. A lot of regular Mexicans, a lot of cartel members, and a lot of security experts who have been studying this for a long time. Now, we have to keep in mind, Claudia Shanebaum, the new president, had come into office about a month before Trump was elected and then eventually started making these threats. So she had signaled early on that she was more willing to take on the cartels head on, aggressively than her predecessor. So we don't know how much of this might have happened without Trump anyway, because she was willing to change the approach. But I think it's pretty clear that the amount of progress, arrests, raids, lab busts, the pace of these actions, is something that we've not seen in recent history. In Mexico. One analyst told us we've seen in one month what we might have seen in years.
Michael Barbaro
Of all the things Trump did, I'm curious which in your reporting stands out as ultimately being the most effective? As we think about just how aggressive Mexico's government has been, I'm gonna guess it's the threat of tariffs. But I'm curious what you found.
Natalie Kitroev
Yeah, I mean, obviously the threat of military intervention in any way, even if it's just targeted strikes, is anathema in Mexico, but the threat of tariffs has long seemed much more credible. I have to say, of the two, I think the tariff threat is the one that really spurs the action, because there's a deadline. I mean, last month, Trump essentially gave the Mexican government 30 days to show results on security, to deliver him the progress he wanted to see on fentanyl. And when there's a deadline, I mean, people hustle to meet that deadline, especially if, you know, on the other side of that is potential economic ruin. So I do think that was really motivating here.
Michael Barbaro
I mean, what's fascinating about what you're saying is that it seems to confirm to a degree the Donald Trump thesis, which we've talked about a fair amount on this show with some of our colleagues, that tariffs are a kind of everything, every issue tool, potentially. But what's tricky is the question of whether they're stronger as a threat or as a reality. And as we're talking to you, the United States has made the threat of tariffs against Mexico a reality. We don't know how long it's gonna last, but the US has put into place tariffs on Mexico. They could be rolled back in the coming hours or days. But that makes me wonder if Trump is happy with what Mexico has done so far or thinks they can go a lot further when it comes to cracking down on fentanyl. How do you see it and how do the leaders in Mexico see it?
Natalie Kitroev
Well, the leaders in Mexico are just absolutely baffled about these tariffs. They do not understand why they're getting punished after having delivered so many wins for Trump on security. I mean, just, just days ago, the Mexican government handed over 29 drug lords that the US government had been seeking to prosecute in the United States. These are major figures that had been given over to the U.S. government. And the Mexicans are saying, wait a minute, we've gone hard on these cartels. We've given you these capos. What more could we possibly do?
Michael Barbaro
Well, what's the answer? I mean, in theory, could they do more?
Natalie Kitroev
Well, I mean, it's unclear. Nobody knows exactly what Trump wants, and it's a mystery whether there are actual benchmarks here or not, or whether the goalposts are just gonna keep moving and moving and moving. And there is some suggestion that they might reach a deal soon. But the reality is that this pressure is horrific for Mexico. Mexico is incredibly dependent on the US Economy, on being able to access US Markets. This could potentially push the country into a recession. And so Claudia Scheinbaum and her government are going to do absolutely everything they can to get out from under this. And if that means more security gains, I think they're looking at how they can possibly do more because they feel like they have their foot completely on the gas at this point, and they still got hit with the tariffs.
Michael Barbaro
Right. So, in theory, Trump's approach, as it gets more and more punitive, it may keep exposing all the things that Mexico hasn't done, could have done, arguably should have done for years to crack down on fentanyl, but hasn't. Or it could end up exposing the limits of what Mexico can do about fentanyl and the damage that the United States is willing to. To do to Mexico's economy in the pursuit of finding out just how much it can do about fentanyl.
Natalie Kitroev
Yeah, I mean, it remains to be seen. I mean, I told you that I was skeptical at the outset that this would have made a real difference, and I was proven wrong by the reporting. It very much has made a difference, but we have no idea actually what the Mexican government may be able to accomplish as it tries to stave off these tariffs, get out from under them. Keep in mind, the Mexican government has been busting labs across the country, but the most intense crackdown has been mainly concentrated in this one state, Sinaloa. It's a really important state. It's a major hub of fentanyl production, but it's just one state. This drug is made all over the country. And, you know, if you imagine this crackdown spreading, it requires a lot of resource, it requires a lot of troops, it requires a lot of intelligence, and it requires a lot of willingness, sustained over a really long period, period of time, to make a difference. There is also huge demand for this drug in the United States that really hasn't been addressed. And so it is hard to imagine that even this push, even a sustained push, could entirely stamp out the production of this drug without a lot of other elements coming into play. And I think we're all watching to see what those elements are. Will Trump decide to address demand in the United States, the addiction that has driven so many people to this lethal substance? Will Shane Bomb continue the pressure? And for how long can Trump really keep Mexico in this position of trying to satisfy his demands? Because if they reach a deal on.
Michael Barbaro
Tariffs, then what right has the incentive for Mexico to pursue this crackdown gone away?
Natalie Kitroev
Right. And are we looking at a period of potentially several years of these threats and uncertainty and upheaval, or is this all just gonna go away tomorrow if they reach a deal? Hmm.
Michael Barbaro
But no matter what happens, it does feel like the clear lesson from your reporting here, and it's a surprising one. And like you said, you were skeptical of it. I'll confess, I was a little skeptical of it myself, is that tariffs as a tool of forcing a government like Mexico to crack down on very deadly drug is effective.
Natalie Kitroev
I think what we've seen is that at least in this context, in this month and in this place, the tariffs worked for now, at least.
Michael Barbaro
Well, Natalie, thank you very much.
Natalie Kitroev
Appreciate it.
Thank you.
We'll be right back.
Michael Barbaro
In 10 minutes or less, the Opinions podcast brings you a fresh way to understand the news, with voices from New York Times opinion.
I've got a break for you.
Natalie Kitroev
I'm actually going to tell you some good news today.
Michael Barbaro
One idea, one analysis, one perspective at.
Natalie Kitroev
A time, featuring David Brooks, Tressi McMillan Cottom, Michelle Goldberg, Thomas Friedman, and many more.
Michael Barbaro
Find the opinions in your podcast player.
Natalie Kitroev
Here's what else you need to know today. On Wednesday, the Supreme Court rejected President Trump's effort to freeze 2 billion in foreign aid owed to government contractors. It was a major blow to Trump's efforts to circumvent Congress in his pursuit of cost cutting. The 5 to 4 ruling, in which Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Amy Coney Barrett sided with the court's liberal justices, suggested that Trump's plans to remake the federal government will face skepticism from the high court.
Carlos Prieto
And Mayor Johnson, is Denver a sanctuary city?
Michael Barbaro
Folks use that term differently. I can tell you what Denver does. We do okay.
Carlos Prieto
I take that as a yes.
Michael Barbaro
Mayor Johnson?
Carlos Prieto
No.
Michael Barbaro
Yes or no?
Carlos Prieto
I take that as a yes.
Natalie Kitroev
During a contentious hearing, House Republicans accused the Democratic mayors of New York, Denver, Boston and Chicago of making their cities less safe by harboring criminal immigrants and refusing to fully cooperate with the president's efforts to crack down on illegal immigration. In response, the mayors defended their policies, said that they were following federal immigration law, and told House Republicans that Congress itself had the power to make their cities safer, but so far had failed to do so.
If you wanted to make us safe, pass gun reforms, stop cutting Medicaid, stop cutting cancer research, stop cutting funds for veterans. That is what will make our city safe.
Today's episode was Produced by Caitlin O'Keefe, Claire Tennisketter and Carlos Prieto, with help from Nina Feldman. It was edited by Lisa Chow and Lexi Diao, contains original music by Dan Powell and Pat McCusker and was engineered by Alyssa Moxley. Our theme music is by Jim Brunberg and Ben Landsberg of Wonderly. That's it for the Daily I'm Michael Barbaro. See you tomorrow.
Michael Barbaro
Polestar's first all electric SUV, Polestar 3 is now on the roads across the US and it's ready to make an impression. At first glance, the aerodynamic exterior creates a sleek, technical look, but it really shines when you sit in the driver's seat, go from 0 to 60 in as little as 4.8 seconds and get an EPA estimated range of up to 350 miles per charge. Book a test drive to discover all that Polestar 3 has to offer@Polestar.com.
Summary of "How Tariffs Are Shaking Up the War on Fentanyl" – The Daily Podcast
Introduction
In the March 6, 2025 episode of The Daily, hosted by Michael Barbaro and Sabrina Tavernise, the focus is on the intersection of U.S. trade policies and the ongoing battle against fentanyl production in Mexico. The episode dives deep into how newly imposed tariffs by former President Donald Trump are influencing Mexico's crackdown on fentanyl manufacturing, a synthetic opioid responsible for tens of thousands of American deaths annually.
Natalie Kitroev’s Investigation into Fentanyl Labs
Natalie Kitroev, Mexico City Bureau Chief for The New York Times, shares her firsthand experience infiltrating an illegal fentanyl lab in Sinaloa, Mexico. She explains her longstanding obsession with understanding the fentanyl crisis and the pivotal role Mexico plays in its production.
"[...] to understand how these little pills end up in the hands of Americans every single day, I found it extremely important to see with my own eyes exactly how it's made step by step." ([02:56])
Inside the Fentanyl Lab
Kitroev recounts the harrowing experience of entering a clandestine fentanyl lab. Accompanied by cartel members, she describes the makeshift kitchen setup used for fentanyl production, highlighting the simplicity and efficiency of the process.
"They have beers that they're clearly drinking while they do this." ([07:36])
She observes the minimalistic approach, with standard kitchen equipment and everyday items repurposed for drug synthesis, underscoring how easily fentanyl can be produced under the right conditions.
The Sinaloa Cartel and Mexico’s Pivotal Role
The episode delves into the dominance of the Sinaloa Cartel in global fentanyl production. Kitroev emphasizes the cartel's extensive experience in synthetic drug manufacturing and their entrenched influence within Mexico, which has historically hindered effective government crackdowns.
"There's an entire infrastructure that really supports this. The Sinaloa cartel. They have years worth of experience in industrialized drug production." ([09:41])
Trump’s Tariff Strategy Explained
Upon taking office, President Trump initiated aggressive tariffs against Mexico, aiming to compel the Mexican government to intensify its efforts against fentanyl production.
"Tariff of 25% on Canada and separately, 25% on Mexico." ([12:41])
Kitroev discusses Trump's rationale, suggesting that economic pressure might be the catalyst needed to push Mexico into taking more decisive action against the cartels.
Impact of Tariffs on Fentanyl Production in Mexico
Kitroev returns to Sinaloa to assess the tangible effects of Trump's tariff strategy. Contrary to her initial skepticism, she reports a significant downturn in fentanyl production within the region.
"When we started talking to our cartel contacts, they told us there was basically no production of fentanyl happening in the city. It had totally plummeted." ([16:16])
She narrates witnessing a surge in government raids and the apprehension among cartel members, indicating a palpable fear instilled by the heightened crackdown.
Skepticism and Observations
Despite observing immediate impacts, Kitroev remains cautious about the long-term effectiveness of the tariffs. She questions whether Mexico can sustain this level of pressure without incurring severe economic repercussions.
"It's really hard to imagine making a serious impact on a production operation that requires so little, that can just be restarted from one moment to the next." ([13:16])
Future Implications and Ongoing Challenges
Kitroev explores the potential future scenarios stemming from Trump's policies. She highlights the uncertainty surrounding Mexico's ability to maintain intensified efforts against fentanyl production amidst economic strain and the persistent demand for the drug in the United States.
"There is also huge demand for this drug in the United States that really hasn't been addressed." ([25:11])
She underscores the complexity of the issue, noting that eradication efforts must be multifaceted, addressing both supply and demand.
Conclusion
The episode concludes with reflections on the delicate balance between exerting economic pressure and fostering sustainable anti-drug initiatives. While Trump's tariffs have demonstrably impacted fentanyl production in specific regions like Sinaloa, the broader challenge remains unresolved. The effectiveness of such policies will likely depend on continued collaboration between the U.S. and Mexican governments, alongside comprehensive strategies to combat addiction within America.
"We are all watching to see what those elements are. Will Trump decide to address demand in the United States, the addiction that has driven so many people to this lethal substance?" ([25:11])
Notable Quotes
Final Thoughts
Natalie Kitroev’s investigative reporting provides a compelling insight into the complexities of combating fentanyl production. The introduction of tariffs as a strategic tool illustrates the intricate interplay between economic policies and public health crises. As the situation evolves, the effectiveness of such measures will continue to be a subject of critical analysis and debate.