The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz

Episode: Postgame Show: Dan's One Good Call
Date: October 7, 2025
Location: Elser Hotel, Downtown Miami

Episode Overview

In this lively postgame episode, Dan Le Batard, Stugotz, and the crew reflect on memorable sports predictions (primarily Dan’s “one good call”), breakdown recent football action, trade notes on betting against the spread, and revel in the latest quirks and storylines within both college and NFL football. Featuring their usual blend of playful criticism, hot takes, and inside jokes, the group shifts between self-deprecation for bad predictions and celebrating surprisingly accurate ones—all delivered in their signature tone of irreverence and camaraderie.

Key Discussion Points and Insights

1. Dan’s History of (Mostly) Bad Sports Takes

• Playful Recap: The show opens with a playful litany of Dan’s famously incorrect hot takes: predicting Bill Belichick would dominate, worrying the Dolphins defense is historically bad, and doubting Tom Brady before he won another ring.
  • Notable line (00:08): “Dan might have been right about one thing. I know if you're a listener that's surprising. Cause Dan thought Brady's career was done before he won form a ring somehow.”

2. Confessions of Bad Predictions

• Mike’s Regret: Mike admits the worst prediction he’s made centers on Nick Saban’s success, calling it his most haunting miss.
  • Mike (01:37): “I don't think I have a worse one than Nick Saban. Being wrong on Nick Saban…that one's going to be the one that sticks to me…”
• Quarterback Misjudgments:
  • Billy (01:57): Ribs Mike for missing “the cement feet” of Mike Glennon during his pro day.
  • Mike (02:01): Defends the call, reasoning the NFL used to value less mobile QBs.

3. College QB Evaluations & Trevor Lawrence’s Appeal

• What Makes Lawrence Special: Mike and Danae praise Trevor Lawrence for his athleticism and playmaking, particularly noting his promising progression—when he avoids turnovers.
  • Mike (02:14): “The throws that he makes… you're like, oh shit. That's as well as a ball that can be thrown by a human being.”
  • Danae (02:33): “You take away all those turnovers and he's a great quarterback.”

4. Against the Spread: Betting Picks and College Football Deep Dives

• South Florida vs North Texas: Billy spotlights the QB battle and unique names—Drew Messmaker vs Reece Poffenbarger—then chooses South Florida to win.
  • Billy (02:58): “Many people are saying the winner of this game is in prime position to make the College Football Playoff… I’m going to take South Florida.”
• Giants vs Eagles: Danae forecasts a breakout for Saquon Barkley but sees the Eagles covering against a weak Giants run defense.
  • Danae (03:57): “Saquon Barkley going against a Giants defenseless against the run… Big night for Barkley.”

5. South Florida’s Surprising Strength

• Mike’s Observations: Details South Florida’s offensive explosion, noting two wild stats—a rash of dropped passes that didn’t derail them, and a 35-point game in under seven minutes.
  • Mike (04:22): “South Florida is a legitimately good football team. What they were against Florida is more representative… than what it is that they showed against Miami.”

6. University of Miami Football’s Versatility

• Billy & Mike’s Breakdown:
  • Miami’s schedule and the various ways the team can win are discussed at length, with the hosts expressing rare optimism given the team’s history.
  • Mike (04:51): “Miami’s got the most ways to beat you since… the beginning of 2001.”
• Short previews: Louisville, Stanford, and SMU are noted as upcoming tests, especially with “spooky” Halloween weekend games.

7. Shannon Dawson Soundbite and Miami’s Confident Attitude

• Shannon Dawson (06:13): “You choose to take that away. Fine. Your corners better be able to cover. And theirs didn’t.”
• The crew enjoys the brashness of the Miami coordinators, with Billy and Mike noting the team’s swagger and growing confidence at 5-0.

8. Strange Stats & NFL Oddities

• Mike’s Quiz Segment:
  • Carson Wentz’s perfect drive in London, David Montgomery’s passing TD equaling Jake Browning’s, and Jalen Hurts not throwing a home interception in 10.5 games.
  • Mike (08:05): “David Montgomery has as many passing touchdowns this season as Jake Browning.”
• Crew’s Reaction: General disbelief and banter about the veracity or meaningfulness of these odd statistics.
  • Billy (08:42): “Jake Browning has six touchdown passes. It’s impossible. This can't be right.”
  • Danae (08:49): “No wonder I was surprised.”

9. Lighter Notes from Recent Games

• Tyreek Hill’s Happy Ambulance Video: The group shares a light segment on Tyreek Hill’s upbeat demeanor even while in an ambulance.
  • Shannon (08:57): “People were saying, wow, look at him on the sideline… We found a video of him, and he was just as happy in the back of the ambulance.”

Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• On Dan's track record:
  “Dan might have been right about one thing. I know if you're a listener that's surprising.” – Mike (00:08)
• On Nick Saban:
  “Being wrong on Nick Saban…that one's going to be the one that sticks to me…" – Mike (01:37)
• On QBs with ‘cement feet’:
  “All the quarterbacks before him had cement feet. Like that's how that was.” – Mike (02:01)
  “I thought Ryan Mallet was going to be a superstar. Rest in peace legend.” – Billy (02:10)
• On Trevor Lawrence:
  “The throws that he makes… that's as well as a ball that can be thrown by a human being.” – Mike (02:14)
• On South Florida football:
  “Six of their receivers dropped passes that were just bubble screens thrown at their chest…they've got a lot of talent.” – Mike (04:22)
• On Miami’s resurgence:
  “Miami’s got the most ways to beat you since… the beginning of 2001.” – Mike (04:51)
• Shannon Dawson’s bravado:
  “You choose to take that away. Fine. Your corners better be able to cover. And theirs didn’t.” – Shannon Dawson (06:13, 07:12)
• NFL stat absurdity:
  “David Montgomery has as many passing touchdowns this season as Jake Browning.” – Mike (08:05)

Timestamps for Important Segments

• 00:08 – Roasting Dan's prediction track record
• 01:37 – Mike on his Saban regret and QB evaluation misfires
• 02:14 – Trevor Lawrence praise
• 02:58 – Against the Spread: College football picks
• 03:57 – NFL Week 6 preview and Barkley prediction
• 04:22 – South Florida’s bizarre game stats
• 04:51 – Miami Hurricanes versatility and potential
• 06:13 – Shannon Dawson’s assessment and Miami’s newfound swagger
• 08:05 – Mike’s strange NFL stats quiz
• 08:57 – Tyreek Hill ambulance video and show banter

Tone and Style

The episode maintains the show’s classic irreverent, banter-filled tone, with frequent joshing among hosts, tongue-in-cheek self-critique, and genuine excitement for both the absurd and the brilliant moments in football.

Summary

This postgame edition delivers everything longtime listeners expect: deeply South Florida-centric sports talk, tongue-in-cheek self-awareness about bad takes, spirited optimism for the Miami Hurricanes, and a steady supply of weird stats and moments from football’s wilder side. The episode is light on ego and heavy on fun, blending inside jokes, real analysis, and a love of the unpredictable world of sports.