
-- On the Show: -- Mike Nellis, Democratic strategist and social impact entrepreneur, joins David for a Substack Live to discuss what went wrong with Kamala Harris's 2024 campaign -- Donald Trump’s government shutdown leaves airports unmanned,...
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David Pakman
Air travel in the United States is turning into an absolute disaster. Flights delayed for hours, control towers going dark, airports shutting down, all thanks to the government shutdown of Donald Trump and the Republicans. We're going to look at how this chaos is breaking the system that keeps planes in the air. Then Donald Trump's press secretary, Caroline Levitt, melts down on camera and world leaders are laughing at this administration once again. And what about the podcast bros that helped elect him? They're suddenly pretending they were never really that into Donald Trump. Trump finally admits what the shutdown is really about. We'll also hear from political strategist Mike Nellis about how do Democratic campaigns end up going wrong so often? It is worse than you think. Let's dove right in. Well, air travel is suddenly a disgusting mess under Donald Trump. And if you're wondering why, you don't really have to look very far. It's all around us. What's going on. We see the airports shutting down, we're seeing the flights delayed for hours, unmanned air traffic control towers. And there is one orange man that we can thank for most of this. You know his name. The Trump government shutdown, which is now stretching into week two, has really broken the system that keeps planes in the air. Yesterday, the control tower at Burbank Airport in California just closed. Not at 2am it just closed. It wasn't because of weather, but it was because there were not enough staff. And a pilot radioed in for clearance and got the response. The tower is closed due to staffing. So let, let that sink in for a moment. Important major US Airport, great alternative, by the way, to flying into lax and it's just closed. Without air traffic control, flights were still taking off. Pilots just had to coordinate amongst themselves like it's some small, you know, little town strip or something like that. In rural Nebraska at Newark and in Denver, it really wasn't much better. The FAA was forced to issue ground delays. Every traveler's favorite. The ground delay basically telling planes don't take off until someone on the other end can handle you. And the cause, again, is that air traffic controllers are working without pay. Some are calling out sick, others are exhausted. Some are saying, we're working 10 hour shifts here six days a week. And I can't blame them. Who am I to say no? They need to be there anyway. As the Transportation Secretary Duffy admitted, these people are responsible for millions of lives, while also wondering, how am I going to pay my mortgage this month? And of course, Sean Duffy, Trump's transportation Secretary, is not taking responsibility. They're just blaming Democrats. That's, that's the strategy. Just, just blame Democrats while the entire aviation system that he oversees is crumbling in real time. Now, then we go to something that's arguably even worse. The Essential Air Service program. I don't know how many people are even familiar with this, but it's a great, important thing. It sort of keeps small towns and rural communities connected by air. That runs out of money. This week, the idea is subsidized flights that don't really make commercial sense to keep these rural and disconnected communities connected. So if you're in rural Montana, if you're in parts of Alaska, you might lose flight service permanently. And it's not like a freak occurrence because the FAA has been warning for years. Shutdowns make systems unsafe. They delay modernization, they slow hiring, they push controllers past their limits. Now, you might remember in 2019, the 35 day shutdown ended only when 10 controllers called out sick, grounding flights and forcing Donald Trump to cave. He learned nothing because we're seeing the exact same thing and it's the exact same playbook. Use the chaos as leverage. Except this time the chaos is happening 30,000ft above our heads. I don't like it. I'm considering driving to D.C. in a couple of weeks for an event, something I have never done. I hate, just like long trips on the highway. But I'm thinking of doing it if this uncertainty and degraded system remains. Now, meanwhile, in Sacramento, we've got a helicopter crash, three critically injured. Air travel is just stretched to the breaking point. Now Gavin Newsom is coming in and saying Trump's FAA is kind of asleep at the wheel. And Newsom happens to be right about this. When you hand the country to a guy who thinks being president is a reality show and the Oval Office is more a soundstage or a video set than a place where important decisions are made, you end up with people who can't get home and pilots who aren't getting paid and control towers going dark. Trump says we're making America great again. We'll be lucky if planes are still taking off if we have two more weeks of this. Let me know if this is affecting your travel plans. I know we have a lot of pilots in our audience, but also people who travel regularly. Are you thinking of or are you modifying your travel as a result of this? And this is just like I could do an hour with 20 different areas that are being impacted. We could talk about government contractors doing really important work. You could say, well, they're just contractors. Well, yes, because the government has decided to contract out a lot of important stuff. Just because they're only contractors doesn't mean it's not degrading government services. We could talk about farmers, we talked about air traffic control, we could talk about ports. There's all of these areas. All of it suggests if this continues, prices for many things will go up. And all of it suggests safety overall for moving around the country and for other elements of safety is going to go down. That's where we are. And the economic panic is starting to hit Trump's econ team. I want to talk about that a little bit. Kevin Hassett, the NEC director, was on cnbc and he is trying to avoid admitting the obvious, which is that Donald Trump's disastrous economic decisions are causing problems for farmers, they're causing problems for trade. He's trying to find language that will allow them to acknowledge there are problems, but to blame someone else. Never, never acknowledge that Trump may be part of the problem. But if you read between the lines or listen to exactly what he is saying, you realize that the problems has said, is acknowledging are actually Trump's fault. He won't say it, but you can read between the lines. Take a listen. It's shifting gears a little.
Kevin Hassett
Where are we on trade?
David Pakman
Where are we with China? Could you see tariff money being used.
Kevin Hassett
To support the farmers, who obviously are being hit hard by, I think, you.
Caroline Levitt
Know, China retaliated against some of the tariffs recently.
David Pakman
Maybe they had slowed buying soybeans last.
Caroline Levitt
Year, but certainly they went to zero.
David Pakman
In May based on the tariffs.
Caroline Levitt
Is that an option that it's going to happen?
David Pakman
So Joe Kernan, as MAGA and Trumpy as he is, does say the reason China is no longer buying American soybeans is because of the tariffs. And we've got soybeans just sitting around and meanwhile China's getting its soybeans from other countries. This is because of Trump's tariffs. It's optional, it's self imposed. Let's see how Hassett deals with it.
Kevin Hassett
Right. The President has already said that he thinks that the tariff money is going to be useful for helping us find the funds that we need to help farm barbers. We've had numerous meetings over the last week or two about exactly what we're going to do.
David Pakman
Now, let me pause it already. This is, We've, we've dealt with this before. Hassett is saying we are going to solve a problem Trump caused with the money that we are collecting due to the tariffs. That it. So, so you're basically just saying we're going to. What's that thing we're going to rob Peter to pay Paul or what's. What's the thing that they say. Not a frequent user of that phrase, phrase. You have created a problem with the tariffs and then you're going to now try to sort of bail out the farmers by taking the tariff money, which supposedly was going to go to economic growth. We were going to be so rich and wealthy. And you're just going to say, now I've got to give it to the farmers because of the problem that my very tariffs created. That doesn't sound very good to help the farmers.
Kevin Hassett
But we're taking big measures and those big measures are going to be public really, really soon. And yes, so for sure, sure. China has, especially for soybean farmers, has stopped by US Soybeans. Right now the silos are full and there are soybeans sitting on the ground with tarps over them. That's unacceptable to the President. We're calling up all our soybean.
David Pakman
It's completely unacceptable to the president. Well, then why did he do this? It's like an arsonist sets a house on fire and goes, this is so terrible. I don't like this. We've. I've really got to do something about this. Well, you could have opted not to set the house on fire. Right. Wouldn't that have made more sense at some point?
Kevin Hassett
The words around the world as part of our trade negotiations. And we're also getting ready to have really strong policies to support our farmers. We haven't heard anything about trade negotiations recently.
Caroline Levitt
What happened to India?
Kevin Hassett
It's still a work in progress.
David Pakman
It's a work in progress. You know, sometimes it's really good to narrow the focus and, and say, give me some really specific answers here. We were told China was going to come crawling. They were going to be begging, please, sir, let's make a deal. Let's. We've got to do it now. It has been, what, six months now and we have no deal with China. And China, which wants and needs soybeans for its economy, is saying, let's let the American soybeans rot in the silo covered with a tarp, as Kevin Hassett said. And we're going to just go and get our soybeans somewhere else. Cool. So what is going on? What's going on with India? Conversations are ongoing. Hassett was then asked by Kernan, what about the efficiency of government? We're in a shutdown and you guys were going to make government more efficient. And Kevin Hassett's answer is is borderline unintelligible.
Kevin Hassett
And government employment, the latest numbers I'm seeing is down by more than 200,000. And so for sure, we're going to continue to want to make government more efficient. But right now, this particular moment is about keeping the government open. And if the Democrats refuse to keep the government open, then perhaps the efforts we've been making to make government more efficient will even accelerate because of the extra legal authorities we have because they haven't appropriated the funds.
David Pakman
Now, of course, that is a lie. Everything in there is a lie. Of course, I don't know how you can argue that this is a Democratic led government shutdown when Republicans control everything. But there is no special authority for the executive during a government shutdown. In fact, legal experts have argued there is diminished authority because so many levers of government aren't functioning during a government shutdown. This reinforces something we started talking about last week, which I think is important. There are, I don't want to call, you know, sane and insane or sort of loaded, sometimes pejoratively used terms. There are, there are individuals in Trump's administration on the economic side who recognize things are going in the wrong direction. It seems clear that privately they know Trump is the catalyst for those things going in the wrong direction. Publicly, they are still defending Donald Trump. But step one is acknowledging that there is a problem. They are acknowledging there is a problem with farmers right now. They are acknowledging there is a problem with trade. There's a problem with India and China, which we were told were going to come begging, just crawling across the floor to make a deal and they haven't done it. They're acknowledging that we know from leaked text messages that we looked at last week that privately they're even communicating about that. It has not gone public, but you can tell from the fact that they're no longer denying the problem, they're just shifting the blame. They understand that this can only go so far. And the bigger problem for them is that at every public opportunity, Donald Trump is only making it worse for them. For example, in his latest press conference, I love our partnership with Wild Alaskan Company. They do sustainable seafood memberships and bring high quality wild caught Alaskan seafood right to your door. Every filet you get is 100% wild, never farmed, sourced from well managed fisheries in Alaska. You get better flavor and texture, but you're also helping to preserve these ecosystems. They freeze everything at the peak of freshness. It gets to you vacuum sealed. I got a box that had everything from Crab fish fillets, scallops, salmon burgers, which were absolutely delicious. So elevate your meals, support sustainable fishing and enjoy seafood the way it should be. Go to wildalaskin.com/pacman Use code PACMAN for $35 off your first box. The link is in the description. When White House Press Secretary Caroline Levitt is asked a question that implies anything but the glowing positivity about the Trump administration that she desires, she lashes out. And sometimes she lashes out at the media, sometimes she lashes out at Democrats, sometimes she lashes out at protesters or whoever is convenient to lash out at in any particular moment. Well, CNN's Kaitlan Collins asked Caroline Levitt about the conflict between what Donald Trump says is happening in cities like Portland and what the mayors and governors say is happening and what the protesters say and what the media shows. Trump and Levitt and the administration want you to believe that it is complete and total anarchy and destructive chaos on the streets of Portland, Oregon, Chicago, Illinois, Los Angeles, Washington, D.C. baltimore. You know the list. But then we see videos and we see reporting and we hear from the mayors and it's sort of like, yeah, you know, there are problems in cities. Cities have crime. Sometimes chaos breaks out in like this little area. But it doesn't really justify sending in the military. Caroline Levitt doesn't like it. Like it. And she goes, you're probably hearing from biased Democrats about that.
Caroline Levitt
Wow. But no local officials that you can.
White House Press Secretary (Caroline Levitt)
Point to that have said, we need the National Guard. Because I spoke to the police chief of Portland last week. He said that the president's claims just don't match up with what's happening on the ground. I would encourage you as a reporter to go on the ground and to take a look at for yourself because, because there's been many members of the press, not press in this room, but independent journalists, some of whom will be inviting to the White House very soon to share their stories because they have been in the middle of these riots and they have witnessed the anarchy that is taking place night after night. It's on video. You should play it on your show. You have a great opportunity on primetime on cnn.
David Pakman
Remember that to the extent that that stuff is happening, as we covered in depth yesterday, it's happening as a result of Donald Trump's actions.
White House Press Secretary (Caroline Levitt)
To show your audience. Yeah, but you're probably talking to partisan Democrat officials who are opposed to everything, everything this president does. You should also ask the people who live in Portland. We've actually heard from many members of the community who have said that this is Complete civil disobedience. It's a mess. It's been loud, it's been troubling for neighbors in the community who are just trying to live peacefully. And these people are not. And they are to peacefully protest. They are there to cause mayhem and have.
David Pakman
This is the propaganda equivalent of if the president does it, it's not illegal by definition. If it sounds like it contradicts Trump, it must not be true. It must have come from partizan Democrat officials, as she says, or whoever. They will never acknowledge the reality in these cities, which is that things are more mostly fine. And like any big city, there are problems to be dealt with and they are not resolved by militarizing the streets and sending in armed vehicles and riot patrols and this sort of thing. Hilariously, Caroline Levitt sounded indignant. She said, I read in Politico people are acting like Trump wants to take over cities with the military, yet. Yeah, that's exactly what he wants to do. That's what he's been saying. The point of all of this is, oh, Caroline, allow. If the courts allow you to ultimately.
Caroline Levitt
Send in the National Guard into Chicago and Portland, do Democrats not have reason.
David Pakman
To be concerned that there are long.
Caroline Levitt
Term and long term plans by this administration to keep US Military or the National Guard in American cities like what we are seeing here in Washington?
White House Press Secretary (Caroline Levitt)
Why should they be concerned about the federal government, Federal government offering help to make their cities a safer place?
David Pakman
Because it makes them even more chaotic, Caroline.
White House Press Secretary (Caroline Levitt)
They should be concerned about this. They should be concerned about the fact that people in their cities right now are being gunned down every single night. And the president, all he's trying to do is fix it. And there has been a complete smear campaign by the Democrats and the, they're.
David Pakman
Being really mean media, quite frankly.
White House Press Secretary (Caroline Levitt)
I was reading Political Playbook this morning, one of the most inside the Beltway newsletters you can find, and you guys are framing this like the president wants to take over the American cities with the military. The president wants to help these local leaders who have been completely ineffective in securing their own cities.
David Pakman
Yeah, well, the reason that Politico is writing that, if they are, I didn't, I didn't look at the political playbook. The reason that they're writing that is because Trump has been openly saying that. He's been openly saying we're going to do this in a whole bunch of cities. That's why they believe that. Now, the question of G. Lane Maxwell did also come up. Will Trump rule out granting her clemency? Caroline Levitt is just not weighing in. She won't even say whether such a request has been made.
White House Press Secretary (Caroline Levitt)
I was going to you in the blue shirt and tie.
Caroline Levitt
Thank you, Caroline. You're welcome to Daily Mail. Today, the Supreme Court declined to hear Gillian's Maxwell's appeal. Will Trump rule out granting her clemency? Is that something the White House is considering?
White House Press Secretary (Caroline Levitt)
It's not something I've heard discussed. And we don't comment on Clemens clemency requests. That may or may not have been made, but I'm certainly not tracking that one at this point.
David Pakman
There you go. And Trump claims he isn't either. As you saw earlier when he was asked about Ghislaine Maxwell, he goes, why?
Caroline Levitt
Who?
David Pakman
Oh, I haven't heard that name in a very long time. We now know that the pardon is indeed under consideration. Caroline Levitt jumping into the fuzzy math of Donald Trump. You know how Trump likes to say, we're going to reduce the price of something 300%, a thousand percent, 1500%. Caroline Levitt is uncritically repeating the same failed arithmetic. By the way, I saw a comment from my friend Jojo from Jurors, also known as Joanne Carducci. She said this sort of math is how they came up with there are 20 million undocumented immigrants in this country. It's the same sort of math that has you saying things like 1000% off.
White House Press Secretary (Caroline Levitt)
Is he willing to give more to share more on what he likes to negotiate on the Affordable Care act later? Is he willing to say specifically what.
Caroline Levitt
He would like and when?
White House Press Secretary (Caroline Levitt)
Look, the president is definitely committed to fixing and improving our health care system. You saw it again last week when he had one of the largest pharmaceutical companies in the world coming into the Oval Office and promising to lower drug prices by 200, 300, 100% in many cases for various types of types of drugs for American patients. That is a huge fix to a broken.
David Pakman
It would be interesting if the math checked out. And unfortunately, the math simply doesn't work. They should go back to what is is this? I guess it's like seventh grade math or something like that. And then finally, when all else fails, bring up our old friend Antifa. That always works.
Caroline Levitt
Today, the Supreme Court declined to hear Ghislaine's Maxwell's appeal. Will Trump rule out granting her clemency? Is that something the law White House is considering?
David Pakman
And sorry, there's overlap here with the few seconds we heard earlier.
White House Press Secretary (Caroline Levitt)
It's not something I've heard discussed and we don't comment on clemency requests. That may or may not have been made, but I'm certainly not tracking that one at this point in time. Jordan.
Kevin Hassett
Thank you, Caroline. So we're talking about these radical groups in Portland and Chicago. I know the president has spoken about.
Caroline Levitt
Potentially going after George Soros with to respect RICO charges and funding all of this violence. Has there been any update on that? And also is the administration looking into the other nonprofits, maybe taking away their 501C3 status for funding this violence? And Frank, one more question.
White House Press Secretary (Caroline Levitt)
Sure. The financial backing of these groups, particularly Antifa, is certainly something the administration is looking into aggressively. And the federal government, government has never really been mobilized or tasked with doing that. So we're kind of kick starting that into gear. The FBI is working on it alongside the White House's Homeland Security Task Force. We have our intelligence community looking into this as well.
David Pakman
And Antifa, that's really at the crux of what's going on here. We're not going to forget about the Epstein files, Caroline. Whenever I hear them start talking to starting to talk about Antifa, I'm reminded of the Epstein files. That's where my mind goes. And they're going to go after 95 year old George Soros. Give me a break. These people are sick. And I hope Caroline Levitt lives to regret it at some point. I don't know that she will. She'll probably just get an even bigger cross necklace and look the other way but go watch tennis somewhere. But I hope that she lives to regret her participation in these atrocities. World leaders once again burst out laughing at Donald Trump. I'm not saying it figuratively. I am saying it literally. One of the things that Donald Trump hates the most is being laughed at. So that's one of his biggest insecurities. In addition to, of course, his insecurity about his physical appearance, his insecurity about his weight, his insecurity about his hair, his insecurity about his skin, his insecurity about his lack of athleticism, his insecurity about lack of real friends, his insecurity about the size of his hands. Other than those things, one of the things that Donald Trump really hates is being laughed at. And world leaders are again openly laughing at Donald Trump this time because it happens so often. This time it's because Donald Trump claimed to have solved the conflict between Albania and Aber Baijan. Now you might be saying Aber by John, right, Trump meant Azerbaijan. And I guess he was also thinking of Armenia, not Albania. Yeah, it, none of it makes any sense. But this is a reference to this video of Trump claiming to have solved a problem that didn't exist.
Albanian Prime Minister Edi Rama
To think that we settled.
Greg Kelly
Aberration and Albania as an example.
Albanian Prime Minister Edi Rama
It was going on for years.
David Pakman
We settled Aber Baijan and Albania. So then what happened? Well, at the European summit in Denmark, Albanian Prime Minister Eddie Rahma joked with the French president and with the president of Azerbaijan. I guess we now have solved a problem that doesn't exist. And they have a grand old laugh at Donald Trump. World leaders laughing on camera about the pathetic absurdity of Trump.
Caroline Levitt
You should make an apology to us.
David Pakman
Because you didn't congratulate us for the.
Caroline Levitt
Peace deal that President Trump made between Albania.
Mike Nellis
I'm sorry for that.
Caroline Levitt
Yeah.
Albanian Prime Minister Edi Rama
You worked very hard.
David Pakman
You didn't congratulate us on the peace deal that we made that Donald Trump took credit for. And they laugh because there of course, is no such peace deal. They have never been at war. Now this is like another one of these stupid boasts. Stupid Trump. Yes. Okay. It is not just a slip of the tongue. Trump has been confusing Albania and Armenia for a while. This isn't the first time that Trump has been laughed at in this way. You might remember the Naito summit back during Donald Trump's first term. The United Nations General Assembly. The pattern is Trump speaks in the room, laugh. Sometimes in his presence, sometimes not. When Trump embarrasses himself on the world stage, defenders pivot to the same talking point. We, we don't care what sissy Europeans think about us. That's what the big strong MAGA boys like to say. That argument completely misses the point. This is not about seeking Europe's approval. We don't need the French president going, trump so great. He's so dreamy. This is about credibility. That affects you and it affects me. When world leaders are literally laughing at the United States president, when Trump is the laughingstock of global leaders, when we don't look strong, we don't look independent, we look stupid. Diplomacy runs on trust and respect. And if the world looks at us and sees an American president who can't distinguish Albania from Armenia, Armenia and says aber by John, how does that make anyone say, oh, we need the US Involved in these negotiations. We need the United States voice on this issue or that issue. Now, of course, Trump promised the opposite. Trump argued we were not respected under Biden. But finally when he kicks Biden out and comes in and does his big strong boy, that we're going to be respected again. But it's not happening. Trump has become a running joke. He's the he's the punchline to global leadership jokes. And the other heads of state are laughing at him so saying, oh, I don't care, you know, go wear your berets and get your baguettes and we don't care what you sissies say. Well, we're being humiliated globally and it's not good. America's influence depends on being taken seriously. If no one takes you seriously, you don't have influence. That has to do with adversaries. Right? We need to be respected by our adversaries, but we also need to be respected by our allies. And Trump can't even get through a conversation without mixing up countries. And the laughter from Europe is not just about Trump, it's about what Trump has turned the United States into. I'm embarrassed and humiliated by it. If you think that this is an important storyline, the humiliation and lack of respect for the country around the world. Make sure you've liked this video on YouTube. Make sure you've hit that subscribe button. We're going to take a quick break and talk to Mike Nellis next. You know, I'll often talk to my friends about what do we really think is private on our computers and on our phones. And many people believe that their emails are genuinely private. And it turns out that a lot of the email services are looking at your emails and can look at your emails even after you have deleted them. Which is why I recommend our sponsor, Start Mail, a trusted name in secure email for more than a decade. Start Mail is based in the Netherlands. Netherlands is known for very strong data protection laws. Your emails won't be scanned, your emails won't be tracked. Start Mail will block those invasive tracking pixels so you won't be monitored by companies and by hackers. And when you delete an email in Start Mail, it is gone for good. Your data stays private. They are all in on this. With a ton of features including aliases to keep you anonymous, strong encryption with your emails, it is super easy to move. To Start Mail, it's a few clicks. Migrate your emails, migrate your contacts, you really can't go wrong. Try Start Mail for yourself completely free for seven days at start mail.com/pacman, which will also give you 50% off your first year. The link is in the description.
Mike Nellis
It's great today to be speaking with Mike Nellis. We're going to talk strategy, we're going to talk substack and Democrats and a lot of other things. It's good to finally connect with you, Mike.
Caroline Levitt
Same same I was telling you off stream. I'M a, I'm a huge fan of your YouTube page. You do really good work.
Mike Nellis
I appreciate that. I'm a big fan of your substack. So we're, we're mutual fans just on different, different platforms. Listen, I think one of the things I would love to first get your thoughts on as someone who was a strategist at one point for Kamala Harris, is to get an insider's take. Either you could say, I'm speculating, or you could say, I know either way is totally fine. Right.
David Pakman
But the.
Mike Nellis
What I think a lot of us experienced from the outside was that the first couple weeks of the Harris campaign in 24 were pretty damn good. I mean, there was this two weeks, week period where the speeches felt very dynamic. There was a sort of grassroots feel. Even if that was just perception, it still felt sort of like uprising type campaign. They were doing the these guys are weird thing that seemed to be working to a great degree. And after two weeks, something changed. Nothing was officially announced. There was no, like, the campaign will now do something totally different.
Caroline Levitt
Right.
Mike Nellis
And I think the speeches started to get kind of like the same speech every day. They got away from these guys are weird stuff. The media choices started to feel a little risk averse. Jake Tapper has written about this. Jonathan Allen wrote about it in his book from an Outside Perspective. What happens in a campaign when there is such a change? Is it someone close to the candidate comes in and goes, a lot of this stuff is wrong. You've got to change it.
David Pakman
What.
Mike Nellis
What is it that is taking place when we see these changes?
Caroline Levitt
So I'm, I'm speculating because. So folks know, I was a senior advisor to Harris for about five years. I was on her first presidential campaign, oversaw all the digital. I did not work on the last one. So you can't get mad at me. I tell, that's why I tell people when I meet them at the grocery store and they ask me what I do. I'm like, can't be mad at me for what happened. But. So if I had to speculate here, my guess is that they were flying by the seat of their pants with very little information in the beginning. So they were playing to an audience that was largely us. Right. There was a reason that we liked everything that we saw. Brad Summer the content was Democratic activists and Democratic donors to create that enthusiasm that they needed to raise all the money that they did to get the party to come together so she could secure the nomination and start building the operation she needed in 107 days and if I had to guess, then they got polling information of what the general electorate looked like, how independents were feeling, how people who were on the sidelines were feeling, and they started to make strategic decisions. And this is always one of the hardest things on a campaign is you have to make tough choices. And I've tried to be as generous as I can to the Harris folks. There's plenty of things that I would say like, they did, they made a mistake, but that's with hindsight, and it's without the information that they had, like, I don't know what information they had in front of them that made them decide not to do Rogan, for example. Cause I feel like that's an obvious one. They should have done that. And I would have kept going with the weird stuff. I like the weird stuff. But sometimes it's like the things that I like and resonate with me are not the same things that are gonna resonate with the median voter. And what I remind people all the time is the median voter in American politics is like a single parent working, like two jobs. And they're lucky if at the end of the day they can put their kids to bed and drink a beer and enjoy their lives. They're not thinking about the world the same way that we are. So they had a lot more influen information. I know a lot of folks on the left are mad that they went, you know, deep with the, like, Liz Cheney, bring everybody together, go after, like, you know, independent, you know, conservative voters who were on the fence about Trump. That strategy may have been right. I don't know. I think there's always people are like, well, she lost, so it didn't work. But it's possible that they were looking at a 5 to 10 point loss and they closed that to a 180,000 votes in three states loss. I don't know. So that's the hard thing to kind of gear up for. But I've been in that position where you got to make tough calls and it sucks.
Mike Nellis
Now, in retrospect, they were the wrong calls. Do we agree or are you still of the mindset that they might seem wrong to people like us, but they actually were the right calls at scale.
Caroline Levitt
I don't know, because I don't have the information is the truest answer to it. It's easy to say you lost, but she may have maximized her vote. I think the thing to keep in mind is the inflationary crisis that we went through dragged down every major political party and every major political leader in the west for the last three, four years. Everybody lost. And there's no ideological consistency to it. She actually, before the Canadian elections, she overperformed better than any other incumbent party than anybody else had. Now you can quibble and like, to me it's, I think the bigger issue that you can kind of pinpoint is they got really risk averse in the media appearances and what they were allowing her to do. And so if she had gone Ron Rogan for three hours, could that have flipped 180,000 voters in three battleground states? I don't know. But I know that Trump reached like 10 million people on Rogan's YouTube page alone. Not to mention the economy of scale that exists below Rogan. That pushes things out. That's probably like 100 million impressions that she didn't get. You'd have to do MSNBC every day, every hour for like a hundred days to get any kind of exposure even similar to that, and certainly not with the same audience. And there were plenty of times that she went on a long form podcast, did a great job. She went on with Brene Brown. It was great. She did call me, call her, call her Daddy. And that was really, really good. With Alex. I forget what her last name is, but that episode was really good.
Mike Nellis
So it's Alex Cooper. I didn't think that went well at all. That's interesting. I want to hear from you about what you think went well on that, because when I saw it, I'm not like a big Alex Cooper fan, so I can't tell you exactly how it compared to every episode that she's done, but I knew enough to know it was like a different studio. And we later learned, like, yeah, that wasn't even like a regular studio. It was built just for that. It felt a little bit unnatural. I didn't really come away think. I thought the Howard Stern interview was significantly better than the Caller Daddy interview.
David Pakman
I thought the caller. I don't know.
Mike Nellis
I don't want to say the Caller Daddy interview hurt more than it helped.
David Pakman
But I didn't, I didn't come away.
Mike Nellis
Going, that was a real win. But you thought that one was good.
Caroline Levitt
Yeah, I thought it was. I mean, it was a while ago, so we're talking almost a year now. So I haven't listened to it in a while, but I remember feeling like, this is fine, this is good. There's nothing to complain about. I don't remember people complaining about it very much. But, you know, again, I think even with Caller Daddy is like, you're already preaching to the choir with Alex's audience would be my guess. You're trying to get disaffected. People that are going to stay home to vote for you, that are probably values aligned but skeptical about your work, like Trump. She invited Trump on. I said at the time I thought it was a mistake for Trump not to do call her daddy. Yes, Trump would have alienated 90% of the people who listen to that. But you're angling for the 10% of people that are gonna listen to you. And the same thing with Rogan. Like 90, maybe not 90%, but a huge chunk of Rogan's audience was not gonna like Kamala Harris. They were not gonna agree with her. But if she could reach 10, 15, 20%, it makes a big difference. Like, one of the things I try to remind my clients all the time is in every election cycle, we're bleeding white male voters. That's just a reality of what it is. In this last election, we bled young male voters, period, regardless of race. But white men are the ones that are away from us. We don't talk to them, we don't go into their spaces. We don't build up surrogates. We don't offer policy solutions specifically to the problems that they're facing. Now, to be clear, some people are going to, like in the comments, get mad at me and they're going to go, well, but the world is run by white men, Michael. We don't need to do that. And you're right, the world is run by white men. It's built for white men. To be clear. But if we're bleeding votes with this constituency, even if we could get a fraction of a fraction of them back, you make it a lot harder for somebody like Donald Trump to win. And if you want to bring back, let's say, like protections for Roe v. Wade, if you want to pass sensible gun control legislation, if you want to get this country back into a good position, you're going to need some of those folks to come back so that they can't elect the Marjorie Taylor Greene's, the Donald Trump's, the Tucker Carlson's of the world. You need to get a lot of those folks back and we don't talk to them. So I think not going on, Theo Vaughan and Rogan, those things matter. You'll see Democrats do a better job of that in the next election. I think.
Mike Nellis
One more question on this and then I want to talk a little more broadly. There are sort of like, I guess we would call them reports, although there's stories told in some of these big election related books. And I haven't yet read Harris's book. I'm going to, but I'm sort of thinking of Jake Tapper's book and Jonathan Allen's book where they describe election night conversations where Harris's serious confidence about the direction of the election slowly is eroded by staffers coming in and sort of giving her little bits of information about Pennsylvania starting to not look so good, etc. I asked Sarah Matthews about this with regard to her work in the Trump White House and how Trump was sort of like isolated from the information we all had, for lack of a better term. But what I want to hear from you is like in the lead up to the election I was honest with my audience. If I look at the seven key swing state polls, they all look worse than they looked for Biden in 2020, and they mostly look worse than they looked for Hillary in 2016, where she already had lost that election. I was not at all surprised by the results and the information seemed publicly available. Do you buy that the candidate might have come to believe a narrative where it looked really good up until 10pm on election night? How does that happen? Or explain it to me? I want to understand how that happened.
Caroline Levitt
I buy that that happens and I buy it for a few different reasons. The first one is, remember, Kamala Harris did not build the team of her own. She inherited and adopted Joe Biden's team. And a ton has been written about how that relationship was not perf perfect. And one of the things is like I don't agree with everything in Jake Tapper's book. I've often described it as the most frustrating book I've ever read because I don't believe half of it. And the half that I do believe really pisses me off. So it's like she was robbed of the opportunity to run in a Democratic primary and become a better candidate with a better team. She either would have risen to the occasion and been in a better position to win the race, or somebody else would have usurped that position, which is exactly what happened to Hillary Clinton in 2008. Democrats had a actual landslide election 2008 because we ran Barack Obama. And now I think in hindsight, like Hillary Clinton may not have performed as well in that scenario against John McCain. I think it's something to be mindful of. We have to let Democratic primary voters decide, but it also gives them a chance to build their campaign and get their opportunity to be a better candidate. So that's number one. Number Two, if you're running for president in the United States, you are doing one of the hardest things that you will ever do in your life, period. You kind of have to, on a certain level, delude yourself into believing that it's fate that you are going to win. You were going to be President of the United States. Like Kamala Harris, I don't think it ever lost an election before then, really, because she didn't ultimately, she didn't make it to the 2020 primary, so you can argue she didn't lose, but maybe she did. But, you know, she had never lost. She'd gotten a chance to be on the vice presidential ticket. They had defeated Trump and Pence four years ago. Like it to me, I can understand going, I'm gonna win. And if you. If you believe what's written in those books, like Tapper's book, it's in there, I think. And then there's just a couple of other anecdotes that exist that they were closing really strong, that they found themselves, like, way, way back, a couple months before the election, and they were closing so strong. And sometimes the candidate with the higher favorables is the one who converts the most. And I think people don't understand, like, it's unusual for Kamala Harris to have been the candidate that people liked personally more, but choose to pull the lever for Donald Trump in that election. And again, 180,000 votes, three states. It's very close, but I can see her just believing that. I mean, the same thing happened to Mitt Romney, too. I mean, that race was closer than people remember it being. And Romney believed that he was gonna win. And you always get kind of insulated. Like, you're out there doing the campaign. You're basically talent at that point. You're like, does Steven Tyler know what's going on with anything in his operation? Like, probably not, because his is to go out there and sing and party. Like, that's what it is. So I just think it's probably somewhat similar to that.
Mike Nellis
When we think about being an advisor and strategist to campaigns more generally. Are there ever conversations where, you know, you're sort of. I don't know if interviewed is the right term, but, like, you have a conversation with someone who's either running for reelection or thinking about challenging an incumbent or whatever, and you just kind of go, listen, you really just can't win here. There's not really an opportunity here for you. Do you ever have conversations like that? What are they like? Or if someone is determined to run, it's just sort of like, all right, I'm here. We can try to run.
Caroline Levitt
Yeah. So what I'll say is, like, I have had conversations like that. I think a lot of political consultants don't have conversations like that because we are incentivized to get you to run. Like, if you're. And I. And I'll tell the people this. Like, I run one of the largest digital fundraising and advertising firms in the space. So I've worked on a lot of races that I didn't really believe that we could win. And then sometime, somehow, we pull it out. Like, it has happened before. Like, to be honest, I did Katie Hobbs race four years ago. I'm doing a reelection now. Like, it was a hard race. Like, I think even going into it, if you asked the campaign leadership, a lot of people would have been like, I don't know that we can win this. It's going to be close. And sure enough, she beat. She beat Kari Lake, which was amazing. There was a lot of people, I think, that were just, like, a little bit, you know, worried about it, and we didn't know if we could do it, but we did it, you know. And so I will tell you that there was a candidate that was thinking about running for Senate in this last election where, like, a lot of her consultants that I was working with were telling her to run, and I pulled her aside and went, I don't. I don't think you should run. And ultimately, she did it. And I think that was the right call. And it's a really hard thing to do because I'm incentivized to do that. Like, that was probably, like, you know, $10 million I would have gotten for the digital persuasion, the digital advertising that I could have done, and I would have gotten a hefty commission on that. But, like, for me, I care way more about winning elections than I do about, like, making the money. Like, we make plenty of money regardless. So I try to give the best advice that I can. But the other thing is, like, sometimes running and losing is also okay. Like, you can run and lose, and your star can rise and you can make a point and you can move the ball forward. Like, we need a lot of people who are going to step up in states like Arkansas and Mississippi and Iowa that, like, are going to have tough go of it if they're going to win, but they're going to have a down ballot effect. Like, Tim Ryan ran for Senate in Ohio against J.D. vance. Right. And that race was not as close as we would have liked it to be. But the coordinated campaign that he ran dragged two House candidates up. That helped Democrats flip the House in that election. So I just think it's just a kind of a different place to be in, and you kind of have to just take everything into account when you're making those decisions.
Mike Nellis
Have there been conversations where your counsel sort of is, I doubt you can win, but the dynamics of the race are such that there might be a benefit to running and losing anyway?
Caroline Levitt
Yeah, I've had those conversations before. I've also told people it's like, look, it's going to be hard for you to win this race. I'm going to do everything that I can. But, like, you can also. And let's talk about, like, these midterm elections, right? We're in a weird scenario where Democrats probably are up by, like, 8% in the generic ballot would be my guess if the election were today. But the economy is teetering on the brink of a recession. So if you're looking at running in, like, you know, let's say you're, I believe, the South Carolina Democratic candidate. Her name is Annie Edwards. I don't, I don't work for Annie, but I've heard really great things about her. Let's say you're Annie Edwards and you're like, it's gonna be a hard race to win in South Carolina. Like, you know, Jamie Harrison didn't do as well as we want to six years ago against Lindsey Graham. But Lindsey Graham is a lot older now. His approval rating isn't great. Donald Trump's in the White House again. The economy's teetering on the edge. If we run the right campaign, if we get raised the right amount of money, if the economy falls off a cliff, you could see it being a state where, you know, could you move 10 points in a more positive electorate in South Carolina, probably with the right candidate and stuff like that. So I, again, sometimes it's worth taking the risk to try. Like, I think with the primary between Talarico and Colin Allred, that's a good race. Like, we should be playing in Texas, if for no other reason than for the down ballot effect, but also because Texas isn't that far away from flipping. And in a race where people are turning against Trump and turning against Maga, you could see Texas flip, and that would be monumental. I mean, it was unthinkable for Georgia to turn blue. And we have two Democratic senators from Georgia right now.
Mike Nellis
Since you mentioned Colin Allred, I'm sort of debating in my head whether to do this, but I'm doing it on my show tomorrow, so I just am going to do it. I have serious concerns that after everything that's happened and this, it pains me to admit this because I want a lot of these folks to win so we can defeat some of the terrible Republicans that are out there. I'm worried that the Democratic Party is sort of pointed towards a disaster over the next couple of years. And there are three particular conversations I had on my show recently that worry me all with people that I like. One was with the Colorado governor, Jared Polis. The other was with Colin Allred and most recently with Rahm Emanuel. And I did these interviews and I like these three guys. And I came away very similarly worried as many in my audience, where a lot of people are just kind of like, David, they're not even remotely answering your questions and they're doing the same talking point stuff. That is what has made a lot of these Democrats seem very disconnected, where for all of Trump's faults and all of Trump's dishonesty, at least he just kind of seems genuine. And when he's asked a question, he.
David Pakman
Sort of, in his way answers it.
Mike Nellis
What he says is totally nuts.
David Pakman
Right?
Mike Nellis
I mean, there's no, there's no question about it. And like with Polis, I had this thing where I asked him about private equity owning so many apartments in Colorado and whether that's like a good thing. And he gave an answer that did not satisfy anybody in my audience. And with all red, asked him in this environment, what's going to make some Republicans at least vote for a Democrat in Texas. And he gave like a seven minute history lesson dating back to 2016 that my audience like, glazed over about. And it was just like, I came away kind of like, are we doing the same thing over again? So I kind of want to hear from you, like, what is, what would you diagnose as the issue with Democratic communication right now?
Caroline Levitt
Yeah, that's a, it's a big topic and I could spend all day talking about it. So I think the, the first thing is we lack quality candidates who want to run for office, who want to get shit done and who know what they stand for. The number of candidates that I talk with, many of whom I don't go to work with, who cannot articulate why they are running outside of it's my turn or somebody told me I'd be a good candidate for something and don't have, like a firm grasp of who they are. It is like, it really drives me crazy. And that's why like, like my people will have heard me talk about Mallory McMurrow a thousand times. Like, I love Mallory McMorrow because she has a clear compass of who she is and what she cares about and what she's fighting for to the point where I work for her. I might give her advice and she would go, that's not me. I don't say that. And I have lots of candidates that, like, I could just, like, I have candidates who I write stuff for, who just say it and don't care what I wrote. You know, they just move on. They're like, oh, that's a good tweet. Get it up. And then they don't add their, like, flavor to it. So that is, I think, the number one thing. And I think the second thing is the Democratic Party's super risk averse. We're afraid of offending anybody. We gotta wait for a poll. Like, you know, Sarah Lawnwell was giving me shit on my show the other day because we were talking about how I was one of the Democratic consultants that was like begging Democrats to talk more about the Epstein files when they first tried to cover it up in the beginning. And I was telling her, like, I was on conference calls all week going, what are you doing? Like, this has real energy to it, like, get behind it. This is a window. And to start talking about what's going on with corruption and Trump. And she was like, see, that's the problem right there. Why are you ever on a conference call having to talk about that? Like, it should be so self evident that your clients know what they stand for, that it's very easy to like shove the issues through that messaging box. Right? And so if you know what you're standing for, what you stand for, it's a lot easier for you to develop a message on what's happening in the news today. And you see that with the shutdown right now, the shutdown messaging is good. It's probably like B minus, maybe B plus. It's not A plus, though. Go watch AOC and Bernie Sanders video that they put out where they're walking down the street and they're talking about it. That was not a scripted video. That was them just shooting the shit. And it's better than 98% of the things that I've seen put out there. Because AOC knows exactly what she stands for and Bernie knows exactly what they stand, what he stands for. And they can articulate it very clearly. I don't have enough.
Mike Nellis
I didn't see the video. What was the Gist of their, their message.
Caroline Levitt
It was. It was them walking down the street and Bernie being like, hey, look who I ran into. It's aoc. Aoc. Why are we shutting down? Why are we refusing to help Republicans keep the government open? She goes, well, because they're trying to raise your health insurance premiums by double. And they don't wanna meet with us and they don't wanna talk about it. And Bernie's like, and you're right that we're doing that and our healthcare system's already a mess. It's a disaster. And then Bernie actually talked about something in that video that I hadn't heard any other Democrat talk about that I'm now saying when I do my TV hits is the studies that are out there show if you increase health insurance premiums by the amount of money that Republicans want to right now, 50,000 working class Americans are gonna die every single year on average. I had not heard that from any other Democrat before. That is a level of moral clarity that is key. And I don't think it has to be like, you know, DSA or Bernie wing or moderate or any of that. I just think, like, you need to be able to speak to what you stand for and why you're running in a much stronger sense than a lot of the candidates the establishment puts up right now. They just can't do it. They gotta wait for a poll, they gotta talk to their TV guy, they gotta blah, blah, blah. And like, I'm just kinda tired of it. I'd rather you, like, let it rip. And the Republicans are better at letting it rip. Now, the bottom, you know, 50% of the things they say are ridiculous and insane and get them in trouble. But then they come off as more authentic than we do, and we come off as very clearly poll tested, reading the same dribble. That's what you experienced with those three interviews. The same guys saying the same stuff. And even if it's like the flavor's a little bit different between Jared Polis and Rahm Emanuel, it's the same shit, different day.
Mike Nellis
Yeah, I want to do. You mentioning your TV hits reminded me that I want to do a little bit of inside baseball here.
David Pakman
I want to hear a little bit.
Mike Nellis
About your prep for these TV hits.
David Pakman
And I've been upfront with my audience.
Mike Nellis
About the fact that I'm like, just not that good at it in a way. Some of them go fine, but I just don't think it's naturally something that plays to my abilities. And where I get hung up is I'll know who I'm up against. I'll know what the topic is. I'll know what points I want to make. I've got some rebuttals in mind. But then they'll do what I call the Charlie Kirk move, which is they'll take. As soon as you hear a certain word, you go, ah, I'm steering in this direction. So the way Charlie Kirk would do it would be like, if anything related to abortion came up, he would go, when does life begin? And now he's got a decision tree that he's taken control of. He can funnel the conversation. If anybody mentions anything about Israel or Gaza, Charlie Kirk always would go, wait, wait, wait, wait, wait. Does Israel have a right to exist? And now he's in control of the conversation. And so sometimes I'll give you an example of what'll happen. It'll be about undocumented immigration and deportations or whatever. And the guest will go, hold on a second, hold on. Can we all agree that deporting people who are here illegally is good? And they've kind of taken control of the story in a way where I go, well, you know, what is the way to prep for these sorts of conversations so that I can be more effective, like you?
Caroline Levitt
Yeah, well, I mean, the first thing is, like, knowing what. What you stand for. And I think, like a lot of people, I get. I was actually at a wedding this weekend, and my old shop teacher was there with his kids, and he was like, how do you go do that? Like, how can you do that? And I go, well, it's a lot easier when you're not full of shit. Like, it just is. And so, like, when I go on and, like, I was on with Jesse Waters and Jesse Waters, I don't know if you've seen this clip, but Jesse Waters screamed at me, screamed at me about some woman that he knew who died on the streets of Chicago and was, like, trying to rattle me. And, like, I took a deep breath and I went, jesse, I'm very sorry for what happened to your friend, but when I walk my kid to school in the morning, I don't wanna have to walk past the tank. I want there to be real community solutions. I wanna know my police officer. I wanna keep my streets safe, and I wanna do it the right way, not sending in the military to do it. And, like, to me, it's just. That's what I believe. And so, again, there's a lot of people out there that, like, they can't go do a TV hit because they need their like perfect talking points. They've gotta have their comms person like feed it to them. They have to get it out. And there's a lot of really brutal clips of like older Democrats not able to handle the pivot. When you're on right wing media, you won. I think like my dad actually, my dad's a three time Trump voting Republican. And right before I went on Waters the first time, he called me like 15 minutes before and he goes, I just want you to remember you're the bad guy. You're the bad guy. And like almost like playing professional wrestling for a second. The like me embracing that I'm the heel when I'm on Fox makes me feel like more free. Like who cares if I fuck up and I apologize. If I'm not supposed to be cursing on your channel, I apologize. You can believe me. I should have asked beforehand. But like it's okay if I make a mistake because I'm the bad guy. They want me to make a mistake anyway. I'm here for the 10% of people that know that what's happening in this country is wrong and want to be reminded or want to know that somebody cares about them. And they want to create a perception of you and I as Democrats. They want to say that we're weak, that we're a feat, that we have blue hair, that we have piercings, that we're weirdos, blah, blah, blah. And that's what Charlie Kirk was great at. Like Charlie Kirk was great at going to. And I say great in the context of what he was good at. But he would go to a college campus, he would get into a debate with a 18 year old young woman who doesn't really know who she is yet. Because you're 18, you don't know who you are. She'd have blue hair and she'd be talking about transgender gender issues or abortion or whatever. And then he would crop that up to make her look like she was an idiot. When in reality her argument was probably fine, it was just a disagreement, but that was his thing. And then he was beloved by 50, 60, 70 year old Republicans who love seeing him do that. So they do that. I think for you it's like you're going to know what the topics are coming in. I have a hit tonight on News Nation. We're talking about Kamala's book tonight at 8:15. And I know roughly what he's going to ask me because it's going to be like, why is Kamala Harris selling so many books? Is Kamala gonna run for president, et cetera. And, like, I have my answers to that. That I know. But I also know that I'm gonna work in certain things that I want people to know about Trump. Like, why is the book selling so much right now? Well, it's probably because Kamala wrote an interesting book, and it's probably because a lot of Americans have buyer's remorse right now. The last 10 months have been really difficult. Look at the tariffs. Everything's more expensive. It's exactly what Kamala Harris predicted. She said that within Trump's first year, we'd be teetering on the edge of a recession. That's what I see right now. And you get that in, and what they'll try to do is they'll come back to you and go, well, Mike, but Joe Biden made inflation, like 40,000% or whatever. And I'll go, joe Biden isn't president right now. And so I just kind of, like, try to logic it out a little bit. But I'll also say it's not for everybody either. Like, I have. I don't. I don't want to, like, toot my own horn. It's just. It's like, I'm, like, a good bullshitter, so, like, I can do that kind of debate. I used to do it in high school and in college, so I just kind of, like, am used to that. I also grew up with a dad who is massively conservative and a giant troll. Like, he's just a giant troll. So, like, when I'm arguing with Piers Morgan, I'm arguing with, like, a less talented version of my father. Father. Like, that's all it is. I. I owe it all to my dad, really.
David Pakman
Okay.
Mike Nellis
I've said I don't believe Kamala Harris should run in 2028. And when I met her in 2024, before we knew that she would be the nominee, I was hugely impressed with her and found her formidable, incredibly intelligent knowledge, knowledgeable off the cuff about everything from AI to immigration. Like, my issue is not with that. I supported her. I think she.
Caroline Levitt
I think she's.
Mike Nellis
She's brilliant. I think strategically, it doesn't make sense. That's my view as of today. Have you been public about your take on this? Yeah.
Caroline Levitt
So my take is that everybody who wants to run should run, including Kamala Harris. If she thinks that she's the right candidate, she should go stand in front of the voters, build an operation, show that people can do it. The thing that I care about the most is not so much who the nominee is, it's that Democratic primary voters choose them. That there is a trial by fire here to build a better campaign and develop a better candidate. And listen, Kamala Harris had 107 days, which is not enough time to become the candidate that you want. She was not set up well by the Biden White House over the last four years. Maybe she can gain and grow and get to the point where I believe her ceiling is, which is becoming President of the United States. Maybe she can't. I don't know. Maybe it's Gretchen Whitmer, maybe it's Gavin Newsom, maybe it's Josh Pierre. Maybe it's somebody that nobody's talking about right now. I want that fight and I want it for a number of different reasons. One, it's the best Democratic way to decide the future of the Democratic Party, period. Two, you're gonna develop so much talent inside the Democratic Party from 20 Democratic campaigns. I don't think people know that. Like, when Wes Clark ran for president in 2004, he didn't win, but so much of the leadership that would go on to help Democrats flip the House two years later came off of Wes Clark's campaign, went on Barack Obama's campaign. Same thing with Howard Dean. The people who built the online fundraising mechanism. A lot of the people who built the online fundraising program for Barack Obama in 2008 had done it for Howard Dean four years earlier. You develop new techniques, new style, new technology. And part of the reason the Democratic Party is struggling right now in this last election is we didn't have 10 well funded presidential campaigns to develop. New leaders, new junior staff, new technology, new tactics. And that's killing us right now. And Republicans didn't have that either, to be clear. But they had a massive presidential campaign that just had a ton of money from day one with Trump. And so they were able to do that. And so I, I don't care who runs relative. I mean, I have my candidates that I like, prefer privately, and some of which, some of whom I work for. But everybody should run big, messy primary, let it play out, let us. We'll be a better party for it, just like we were in 2008.
Mike Nellis
Do you, or let me put it a different way, sometimes you hear the idea that someone could win the primary without being the most electable in a national election. So you, you hear this about a lot of different people. You hear, oh, you know, Bernie lost in 2016, but he would have done better than Hillary against Trump or you. There's this idea that the person that that comes from the primary might actually not be the best suited in the general election. Do you think that that's possible or by definition, do you believe that whoever wins a primary, if it's a fair primary, is the best suited for the general election?
Caroline Levitt
I think it's definitely possible. But here's my thing is a lot of people on the Internet talk with great certainty about things that can happen or won't happen. And then things, those things happen, like unlikely things happen all the time. If a guy like Bernie Sanders was going to win in 2016, it would have been because a lot of, like, unlikely voters turned out for him. Now a lot of unlikely voters turned out for Donald Trump in 2016 and in 2020 and helped him win those elections. It may have been that Bernie would have been better to peel off 16 and 24.
Mike Nellis
16 and 24.
Caroline Levitt
Excuse me, sorry. No, no, let me be clear. Donald Trump absolutely lost in 2020. I don't want to get anybody mixed up on that. But I. I don't know. Like, people ask me all the time if, like, I think AOC can win and like AOC can win in the same way that Mamdani can win and did win the primary, it's because he brought in a lot of people who aren't normally part of the process like that. I might have my policy disagreements with the two of them because I'm much, you know, center left Democrat. I would probably consider myself like a normie Democrat, not so much dsa, but I'm pretty like, flexible, if you have a good idea. I just, I don't know. People talk with certainty about things and I'm not always sure. Now the candidate that people talk about that right now is like, Gavin Newsom. They say Gavin Newsom might be able to win a Democratic primary right now, but he'd be DOA in a general election. I don't know if that's true, but I do think like a California liberal who talks and looks the way that Gavin Newsom is. I've often joked that he was built in a laboratory for Republicans to run against. I like what he's doing right now. If you were asking me to just like, pluck a candidate, I would not pick Gavin Newsom. I would probably pick, like, Aggression Whitmer or something like that. A Midwest Democrat that's much more appealing to the broader audience with a good, sound record to run on. But again, I don't know that I'm right. I don't know what the mood of the electorate looks like.
Mike Nellis
It's all just our opinions. At the end of the day, we're all just guessing. I've been speaking with Mike Nellis. Make sure to check out his substack. If you're one of Mike's viewers, make sure to check out my substack. Mike, really good to talk to you. I'm so glad that, that we did this. Long overdue and we should definitely do it again.
Caroline Levitt
Absolutely. Thanks for having me.
Mike Nellis
All right, take care, Mike. Talk to you soon.
Caroline Levitt
Thanks, David. Bye Bye.
David Pakman
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White House Press Secretary (Caroline Levitt)
Are you open to extending the Affordable Care act subsidies?
Albanian Prime Minister Edi Rama
We want to fix it so it works. It's not working. Obamacare has been a disaster for the people. So we want to have it fixed so it works.
David Pakman
That is a no, ladies and gentlemen. They are not open to extending Obamacare subsidies. Now let's. So let's zoom out just a little bit. Some of us are old enough to remember that after Obamacare was first passed in 2010, Republicans made, I don't know the exact number it doesn't really matter. It's. It's more than 60. More than 60 times Republicans did these symbolic votes to try to repeal Obamacare, but we knew it wouldn't go anywhere because even though they controlled the House, they didn't control the Senate, and Obama would have vetoed it anyway. It was a waste of your time. It was a waste of my time time. It was like flushing taxpayer money down the toilet. But eventually, when Donald Trump became president, they were in power and they came up with an idea, which is that without going through the legislative process, we can hurt Obamacare. They hurt me. They can hurt Obamacare by eliminating the individual mandate. The individual mandate said, everyone's got to have some health insurance insurance. And the reason for that is the way that insurance works is you want a really, really big risk pool. If you only have the people most likely to use health care in the system, then the math of it is not going to work and it's going to make it really expensive. So they figured out, hey, we can hurt stuff by not funding it. When it comes to the Postal Service, when it comes to Social Security programs, they don't like. Departments they don't like. They figured out sometimes we can't get rid of it, but we can just starve it of money. It makes it suck. And then we go, look at how much this thing sucks. Let's get rid of it. And so part of the desire for this shutdown is they don't want to relent on funding the Obamacare subsidies as part of a package to keep government open. Now you might say, well, okay, they get rid of the subsidies. All these people that depend on the subsidies to afford their coverage can no longer afford their coverage. They have no health insurance. We're back in the situation where they go to the ER to get primary care. It's expensive. They don't pay. We all pay anyway. What's Trump going to do to fix that? Well, the answer is Donald Trump's plan has been just two weeks away. It's been, it's two weeks away. And it's been two weeks away since August of 2020 when Donald Trump said to the then Fox News host Chris Wallace US in two weeks, we will not only announce, but sign into law a new health care plan. And it didn't happen. We're still waiting for it. So Trump's admitting it. Part of this entire shutdown thing is to kill those subsidies and people will lose health insurance. Donald Trump is arguing Portland is burning to the ground. It's not true. It's simply not true.
Albanian Prime Minister Edi Rama
We're going to look at that. It was amazing. Portland is burning to the ground. It's insurrectionists all over the place. It's antifa. And yet the politicians who are petrified, look, the politicians are afraid for their lives. That's the only reason that they say, like, there's nothing happening. And you've seen it, the place is burning down. And. And they pretend like there's nothing happening. So we'll take a look at the order. We haven't seen.
David Pakman
You know what I've started to wonder? Is it possible that Donald Trump is being shown videos of Portland unrest from 2020 right now, and Trump just thinks that it's going on now? Like, is it, Is it possible that Trump is kind of being kept out of the loop about what's really going on in Portland? Because I don't know how you could come up with that perspective if you're actually seeing what's going on in Portland right now. And we've got, you know, small protests, nothing's burning down. Trump's justification for sending troops in just increasingly based on lies. And then finally, on the Portland ruling, this is so funny. Trump refers to a judge he picked as he, even though it's a woman. But that is the least insane thing that Donald Trump says here.
Greg Kelly
I wasn't doing well.
Albanian Prime Minister Edi Rama
If they put judges like that on. I wasn't served well by the people that pick judges. I can tell you things like that.
David Pakman
Are, he wasn't served well by the people who pick judges. He picked the judge.
Albanian Prime Minister Edi Rama
It's just too bad. I appointed the judge and he goes like that. So I wasn't served well. Obviously, I don't know the judge, but if he made that kind of a decision.
David Pakman
And by he, of course, he means she.
Albanian Prime Minister Edi Rama
Portland is burning to the ground. You have agitators, insurrectioners. All you have to do is look at that, look at the television. Turn on your television. Region newspapers is burning to the ground. The governor, the mayor, the politicians are petrified for their lives like that. He ought to be. That judge ought to be ashamed of.
David Pakman
He ought to be ashamed of himself. And it's a woman that Donald Trump selected. Nothing matters anymore. The facts just don't matter anymore. And one of the really interesting things is that you might think, okay, well, you know, Trump is one way when he's being asked questions by reporters, but he's different when he's being coddled by a friendly anchor. The problem is, even when coddled by a friendly anchor, these emails, these interviews are still Completely abortive. Let's look an example at an example of one. It is harder to find a bigger Trump brownnoser than Greg Kelly on Newsmax. He just loves Trump, loves Trump, tries to give him the easiest possible interviews. And Trump still manages to make a fool out of himself. Now, now, here you all know I am loving, loving the triggering around the Bad Bunny stuff. I love that they want to argue that the Bad bunny is not American. He is. He's Puerto Rican. Puerto Rico is part of the United States. I love that they hate that Bad Bunny. Spoke Spanish on Saturday night. Saturday Night Live on Saturday. I love it. I absolutely love it. And here is Trump saying he's never really heard of Bad Bunny, but this is terrible and it shouldn't be happening and it shouldn't be allowed. The NFL just chose the Bad Bunny.
Caroline Levitt
Rabbit, or whatever his name. This guy who hates ice. He doesn't like you. He accuses everything he doesn't like of racism.
David Pakman
Do you think maybe we should just.
Caroline Levitt
Kind of entertain blowing off the NFL? Like a boycott or something along those lines? This.
David Pakman
They've been boycotting the NFL for how many years has it been? Let me see here. What year did you, Colin Kaepernick, take a knee? 2016. They've been boycotting the NFL for a decade. First it was Colin Kaepernick, then it was other people kneeling during the national anthem. Then it was. Was it that the NFL was like doing something for Black History Month? I don't even remember. Then it was that Taylor Swift and Travis Kelsey are woke or something like that. And then now it's Bad Rabbit that they don't like.
Caroline Levitt
Guy does not seem like a unifying entertainer.
David Pakman
And a lot of folks don't even know who he is.
Greg Kelly
I know. I never heard of him. I don't know who he is. I don't know why they're doing it. It's like crazy. And then they blame it on some promoter that they hired to pick up entertainment. I think it's. I think it's absolutely ridiculous. And while we're at it, I'd like them to change the kickoff rule, which looks ridiculous.
David Pakman
With it, Trump equally is infuriated by Bad Bunny and by the kickoff rule kick.
Greg Kelly
And the ball is floating in the air and everyone's standing there watching it. It's ridiculous. It's not going to. It's not any safer than the regular kickoff. I think it, it looks. It just looks so terrible. I think it really demeans football, to be honest with you. It's a Great game, but it demeans football. Do you know what I mean by that? The kickoff rule, the new kick.
David Pakman
Oh, yeah. Greg Kelly is really into that. I really hope that Bad Bunny does end up performing. And I say that you might be saying, why wouldn't he? There are rumors being floated that the blowback is such that the NFL is going to, you know, find some way out of having Bad Bunny perform. I think that probably won't happen. I cannot go ahead and boycott the NFL. We just don't care. You've been boycotting it supposedly for 10 years for 10 different reasons. Just go ahead and do it. And I love that a Puerto Rican singer is what is now triggering them and sending them off the culture war. Cliff.
Greg Kelly
Cliff.
David Pakman
Donald Trump telling again the lie that he saved Los Angeles because Gavin Newsom had no water. This is not true, but Greg Kelly.
Greg Kelly
Loves this story and we'll do it in other places that need it. We saved Los Angeles. I'll tell you, if you, if you look, you know, we did this a few months ago with Gavin Newscombe in Los Angeles and we saved it. That place, it would have burned to the ground. And the head police person there was.
David Pakman
A protest of like in a 2 to 2 by 3 block area in.
Greg Kelly
Los Angeles, said if they didn't do this, we wouldn't. They have. They totally lost control. By the way, two weeks later, he was saying, no, they could have done it themselves, you know, is the old story. But we literally saved Los Angeles from burning to the ground along with the other half that burned to the ground because Newsom didn't have any water.
David Pakman
And of course, this entire water thing has been widely debunked. It's not true. Los Angeles doesn't get its water from the Pacific Northwest the way Donald Trump claims. None of it is true. But this is. Remember, this is a softball easy interview. And Trump still can't control himself. Trump was asked, are you going to invoke the Insurrection act formally because of what's happening in Portland? Trump goes, it's what's happening there. Is the insurrection.
Caroline Levitt
What the Insurrection Act. Is that going to be formally invoked?
David Pakman
Is that a way to kind of.
Caroline Levitt
Get around all this opposition?
Greg Kelly
Well, it is a way to get around it. If we don't have to use it, I wouldn't use it. The, if you take a look at what's been going on in Portland, it's been going on for a long time. And that's insurrection. I mean, that's pure insurrection. And then you have a governor get up and Say there's absolutely nothing wrong. And you see these places are burning down. Like in Chicago with Pritzker. He, they lose five a weekend. Six, seven, eight, 10, 10, 11, 30. It's, it's crazy. And you know, like 35 are shot. You look at some of the bigger weekends and they'll have 11 dead, 11 murdered, and 50 shot. And then he gets up on television, tells everyone how safe it is. It's not safe. And we'll make it safe. I can make it safe.
David Pakman
And then finally, capping off this unhinged interview with a word salad so impenetrable that even the people that are like decoding the Dead Sea Scrolls are unable to penetrate. What the hell is Trump talking about? And by the way, the one thing I do hear Trump say here is some footage from Portland. I think what he's describing is months old. I don't believe it's happening at this point in time.
Greg Kelly
Interview. Very interesting. They interviewed people before and something. And I'm watching and a woman said, I don't care who they bring in and people are being killed here. I just wanted to stop. They can bring in whoever they want. People don't care. They want it to stop. And that's what we did. We brought in the national guard into D.C. and it's now one of the safest. It went from a very unsafe city to one of the safest cities in the country. All it took, you know, it took 12 days. And then let's say, give us a couple of more days after that, figure a month. But it took 12 days before the crime really stopped and after it stopped. And you know, our soldiers are not politically correct. These are. We won the case on merit at the Supreme Court. These people are there for merit. They're there because they should be there. And they look like soldiers. And they went in and they just cleaned it up. And they're doing the same thing right now in Memphis, Tennessee.
David Pakman
I believe that the incident Trump is referring to is months old. And this reinforces my belief that Donald Trump is simply being shown old videos and claiming that they are taking place right now. A softball interview. No hard questions from a friendly anchor who is a suck up to Trump. And it's still terrifying. Something is very wrong here. Now on the bonus show today, we are going to talk about the burning down of the house of a South Carolina judge who criticized the Trump administration. Administration. Next thing you know, the house is gone. AOC is telling her supporters to laugh at Stephen Miller's insecure masculinity. She's getting at something that these people are really self conscious about. I think it's very interesting. And then finally, UFC fights at the White House. What? Yes. We will discuss, and it is absolutely embarrassing all of those stories and more on today's bonus show.
Caroline Levitt
The bonus show where you want to make money. Everybody else that makes money to fund themselves is bad.
David Pakman
You can sign up@join pacman.com I'll see you then and be back here tomorrow.
Theme Overview
This episode centers on the ongoing government shutdown under Donald Trump and its devastating effects, most notably on the US air travel system, but also touches upon broader government dysfunction, economic woes, and national/global perception of American leadership. David Pakman dissects the collapse, shares media blunders from Trump’s Press Secretary Caroline Levitt, and hosts political strategist Mike Nellis to diagnose where Democratic campaigns go wrong and what must change.
[00:00 - 07:13]
Main Points:
Notable Quotes:
[04:34 - 07:13 & 11:17]
[07:13 - 11:17]
Key Discussion:
Notable Quotes & Moments:
[15:13 - 21:57]
Memorable Segments:
Levitt repeats Trump’s misleading math ("lower drug prices by 200, 300, 100%") and escalates culture war rhetoric, blaming George Soros, threatening to crack down on nonprofit backers, and reviving Antifa hysteria.
[23:44 - 26:15]
Notable Quotes:
[29:05 - 59:13]
[29:45 - 40:49]
[44:02 - 49:26]
Pakman and Nellis worry Democratic leaders are stuck on safe, scripted talking points, unlike Trump’s unscripted style.
Best communicators (AOC/Bernie) show "moral clarity," e.g., in a shutdown walk-and-talk: “Studies...show if you increase health insurance premiums by the amount Republicans want...50,000 working class Americans are gonna die every year.” (Nellis recounting, [48:03])
[49:33 - 54:23]
[54:23 - 56:45]
[56:45 - 58:55]
[60:59 - 73:17]
David Pakman delivers a detailed look into the systemic failures and authoritarian gaslighting defining the Trump administration during the shutdown, while confronting the challenges facing Democrats. Notably, he scrutinizes media narratives, government deflections, and puts a critical lens on why Democratic campaign strategy often falters. The episode closes on a note of urgency — the stakes of institutional failure and propaganda are profound, domestically and internationally.
For the full experience, listen to the sections above; this summary covers all major topics and memorable points while skipping intros, ads, and outros per guidelines.