
-- On the : New Mexico is making childcare free, RFK Jr. weighs blaming mass shootings on video games, sugar consumption goes up when it's hot outside, and much more... Become a Member: https://www.davidpakman.com/membership Subscribe to...
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Hey everybody, David here. What you're about to hear is an episode of the Bonus Show. We do a bonus show every day for our members and for a limit limited time, we will release one of the week's bonus shows on Saturdays exclusively for our audio podcast listeners. If you'd like to get access to all of the bonus shows, simply sign up@join pacman.com here is that Bonus show episode welcome to the Bonus Show. New Mexico is doing something that no other state has has done. No, it's not making soylent free at the point of purchase. It is making childcare free. The program starts in a couple of months. It's expected to save families $12,000 a year per child and it'll be available to all residents regardless of income. No state has done this before. This is something New Mexico has been working on for a while. They created this early childhood education program and department. The idea was always to expand eligibility for universal childcare. Now the expansion is full, there is no income eligibility at all and it's basically up to a twelve thousand dollar credit towards child care. Now. I don't know. You know, different states have different child care costs. You might say $1,000 a month is not what it costs. You know daycare is more expensive or right? Well it doesn't cover everything. But the whole point is regardless of income, you will have up to $12,000 available here and the idea also comes with the plan to construct new child care facilities which will pay staff a minimum of $18 an hour. I do think, Pat, in thinking about this, it is important to consider that in general in New Mexico, wages are lower and cost of living is lower. And so while these numbers may sound extremely low for a place like New York City, it costs a lot less to live in New Mexico. People tend to earn lower wages in New Mexico. And this is a very interesting program.
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Well, that makes New Mexico the perfect candidate to try this. And if it succeeds, I'd love to see other states do the exact same thing. New Mexico is also uniquely positioned to be able to pull this off because they have an oil and gas fund. So they're basically able to tax the energy companies and that money can go toward this childcare initiative. It makes a lot of sense to do this for a number of reasons. Of course, you're directly helping families, giving them that $12,000 annually. You're also going to boost the workforce participation rate because there are a lot of parents who would like to be out working, but they can't because they have to stay home and take care of their kids. So that's going to help the economy overall, lead to more revenue probably for the state as well. And then you also improve child development and equality. Regardless of if you can afford the best childcare, your kids are going to be better off because the state is going to be able to offer you this money for it. So I think it makes a whole lot of sense. There will probably be Republican pushback because they'll write it off as free things for everyone. But it seems to make a lot of sense to me.
C
The other thing is people love to jump in when, when initiatives like this are attempted. Like when you think back to the failed Vermont attempt to do universal health care, which unfortunately failed. I mean, it was, it was less a problem with the idea, but the execution. But anyway, a lot of Republicans react by going, listen, Vermont has, I'm trying to. I think it's 600000 people. Let me just make sure I know Vermont has 650,000 as a population. It was more, it was even lower back when they proposed this. Vermont can do things that other places simply can't do. And one of the realities is that when you have a smaller population from an administrative standpoint, things might be easier, but there's also fewer people paying in to whatever the program is. So it's like, it's not a guarantee that just the low it easier to do something in a way it could make it more difficult. Smaller risk pools are sometimes harder to predict the expenses of. With New Mexico, there's kind of two things going on. There are people already saying, oh, New Mexico can afford to do this because they only have like 2.1 million people living there. Fine. It's not clear that that makes it necessarily easier. But there's another thing about New Mexico, which is it's the fifth largest state by area and sometimes there are actually more challenges when services are more geographically distributed with a lower population density. So I don't really put much stock into those types of arguments.
D
Pat. Right. I think it's reasonable to assume that some states will have an easier time pulling off a program like this than other states because governments divide their budgets up differently, they have different sources of revenue and of course the politics, state by state, are different. But there's no obvious reason to me why this would fail in any particular state. Like, I think New New Mexico can pull this off and I think New York could pull this off and maybe some red states could as well. They may have to change their tax structure and be willing to tax corporations more. But there's no reason to me anyway to believe that they wouldn't be able to do this if they put the effort into it.
C
No, same here. And sometimes it's just what happened to Republican stick to it. Iveness if we decide we want to do something, we're going to be able to do it. But in all seriousness, I'm super interested in this. I'm interested in seeing how it goes and hopefully it's the sort of program that's going to be mirrored elsewhere as well. We are going back to old ideas. Everything old is new again. Pat what if mass shootings are caused by video games? Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. Looking like a veritable traffic cone, making himself up or doing tanning to look like Donald Trump at this point in time. Once again, he is again spitting out a whole bunch of these older notions that I thought we had moved beyond. And one of those during an hour long event was we should consider, we should consider whether violent video games are a factor here. Now one interesting thing that Kennedy said was that Switzerland has a comparable number of guns to the US but have almost no mass shootings. And I think that that's a fascinating comparison because what Republicans love to do is say, hey, listen, guns can't be the problem because by rate, Switzerland and the US have sort of the same gun density. But there are some really important differences. I'm Going to get back to the video games in a second, as we've talked about, and I'm sure you can fill in the blanks here, Pat. I won't remember everything. Number one, a lot of the guns people have in Switzerland are like a rifle that's mounted somewhere or in some basement. It's just like a kind of cultural thing that you have in Switzerland. It's not handguns in the way that people in the United States are doing it in terms of people carrying guns around. Far less common in Switzerland. Culturally, it is a completely different relationship in Switzerland. They don't have the sickness we have in the US of seeing a gun as something to solve an interpersonal problem with. So just looking at the gun density doesn't really tell you everything you need to know about Switzerland.
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Also, there are much stricter regulations when it comes to gun ownership in Switzerland. So having to go through those hurdles, whether it be proving that you know how to handle the weapon or just going through the process in general, goes to show that you're probably more likely to be well suited to be able to carry that firearm and not be negligent with it. Also, only ex military personnel in Switzerland are allowed to keep guns in their homes. So these are presumably people who have been trained in firearms and know what they're doing. So the fact is that, yes, the rates of ownership may be similar, but the fact also is that they get a lot more training and there's more regulation over there than here.
C
All right, so RFK at baseline, starting with something that's kind of nonsense, which is the problem isn't guns, because Switzerland also has guns, but then he throws out, you know, connections with video games, connections with social media, etc. I. I don't have any problem, Pat, researching every single one of those things. And the social media connection should be researched. But we have a ton of research. I mean, a decade ago, I interviewed a professor who had researched the effect of violent video games on guns. My best recollection of the data is that there is not a link between violent video games and shootings, but that there may be some link between people predisposed to aggression, having their aggression escalated from playing a lot of violent video games. But that's a very tenuous connection to going out and shooting people. And also, even though we do have a ton of mass shootings in the US Compared to other countries, it's still a relatively infrequent event. And so the law of small numbers also makes it difficult to find such a correlation.
D
Well, we were Just comparing gun ownership rates between here in Switzerland and the mass shootings that happen here and in Switzerland. It turns out that Switzerland, Switzerland also has video games. It also has psychiatric medicines. It also has social media and the types of things that typically people on the right are willing to blame these mass shootings on.
C
I also think that there is a defensiveness sometimes from people who, like me, who say we've got to deal with the guns themselves, at least to some degree, sometimes people on what I might call like our side. And I kind of hesitate to say that we get a little defensive when all of these things are brought up. I am like, research all of it. I want to know if there are 15 different causes. I want to know all of them. But that also includes how easy it is to get guns ready, availability, all of that stuff. A bunch of these have been studied and we already have an answer. But like, I think it's important for us not to get defensive but to say it is they who don't want to deal with the lowest hanging fruit, which is the guns themselves.
D
Well, that's a difficulty, right? Because we want to have an open mind. We want to be able to hear out every possible argument, right? But it gets to a point where we've already researched these causes, possible causes. It gets debunked and it's time to move on because we've already spent the time and money researching that one particular possible causal link. We didn't find out that that was the case. So we now want to move on to other things and actually spend their time and money wisely.
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So.
D
So that's why it's so annoying when RFK and others rehash the video games talking points. Or with plenty of other things too. Going back to this idea that maybe vaccines, vaccines cause autism. We've gone through that, we've studied it. If there's some new data that we can discover that makes us want to research things differently or look at it again, of course we can do that. But shy of that, we should be moving on to other possibilities, not wasting our time.
C
We are anxiously awaiting the answer to what causes autism, which RFK told us he was going to give us during September. And I think, I think they're going to talk about Tylenol in that conversation. We'll cover that when it actually goes public. A Republican has become a Democrat. Oregon State Representative Soros Giovanni, or some people say Cyrus. I've seen that name pronounced both ways, Pat.
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Oh, I didn't know it could be pronounced that way.
C
So, yeah, it's quite something new to me. I grew up with a Soroos. Anyway, Cyrus or Serous. Giovanni has, by the way, this one I really don't know how to pronounce. Ok, this one's not a joke. Just to be clear. Sometimes I joke about it. Giovanni has left the Republican Party and is becoming a Democrat. And in a statement to Newsweek, he said that the reason he's doing this is the Republican Party has abandoned the principles that drew him to it in the first place. Those are limited government, fiscal responsibility, free speech, free trade, and the rule of law. And what I find so interesting about this, Pat, is that those are principles that are nowhere to be found in maga. I mean, limited government. Trump's getting involved in everything. Trump's buying pieces of companies. He wants the government directing what private business should be doing. Fiscal responsibility. Trump blows up the deficit every time he's president. Free speech. They're suppressing speech all the time. Free trade tariffs are the opposite of free trade. Rule of law. I don't think I have to give you too many examples of the ways in which MAGA does not represent the rule of law. I respect Gavarti because he is saying, here are my principles. I don't just abandon my principles because my party has. I abandoned my party because my party has abandoned the principles. And I find this fascinating. I don't expect this to really become a bigger trend, if I'm. If I'm honest.
D
Yeah. If anything, the real story is that Giovanni is the only Republican nationwide who we're hearing about do this. If actual Republicans who wanted to stick to principle and weren't just going along with whatever Trump says to further their own personal interests and further their own power, if they were doing the right thing, then of course they would also switch to becoming Democrats or at least leave the Republican Party. We saw some of these examples back during Trump's first term, but we've gotten to a point now where if you were going to get off the boat, you probably already left. And so now we sometimes hear about people defecting from the Republican Party and switching to becoming Democrats, but it's few and far between. So, you know, this isn't even like a US Representative. This is a state level representative, someone from Oregon here. So it's, it's harder and harder to find these examples, I think.
C
Are you at this point thinking about whether there's sort of like, will whoever comes after Trump be maga and, you know, will it be Vance or whoever? But then there's also, will whoever replaces Trump change on some of these big philosophical issues that the Republican Party has changed so much on, certainly since, since even Bush was president. But if you look at Reagan, I mean it's a complete and total 180. Or do you think that at this point the Republican Party is so committed to this, that this is some version of MAGA is what is going to stick?
D
I could see there being a fracturing because no one else is going to have that cult of personality to keep people in check and keep everyone unified. There could be a branch that is like the JD Vance type branch that is maybe closer to corporate interests and like Elon Musk, for example, trying to do more type of types of like traditional Republican things. And then you could have like a Marjorie Taylor Greene conspiracy theory type branch who is a lot different from the traditional Republicans. And whoever has dominance over the party could swing back and forth over the next few election cycles. That's what I'm thinking at this point, that it'll fracture in some way.
C
All right, join me tonight. I will be on the California Redistricting Fundraiser MC'ed by Brian Tyler Cohen. Brian Tyler, Tyler Bryan's and Tyler Cohen. It's like six people are going to be emceeing this thing. I will be on around 7:50pm Eastern with the comedienne Leslie Jones, who I guess is going to be at a nail salon while the stream is happening. It's a whole thing, Pat. This is a really wild thing. We it's going to be streaming everywhere, including on our YouTube channel and in other places. So that's tonight and then I'll be back tomorrow with a new show and a new bonus show.
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Hey, this is Dan Harris, host of the 10% Happier podcast. I'm here to tell you about a new series we're running this September on 10% happier. The goal is to help you do your life better. The series is called Reset. It's all about hitting the reset button in many of the most crucial areas of your life. Each week we'll tackle a topic like how to reset your nervous system, how to reset your relationships, how to reset your career. We're going to bring on top notch scientists and world class meditation teachers to give you deep insights and actionable advice. It's all delivered with our trademark blend of skepticism, humor, credibility and practicality. 10% happier is self help for smart people. Come join the party.
Date: September 13, 2025
Host: David Pakman
Co-host: Pat
In this special bonus episode of The David Pakman Show, David and co-host Pat discuss major progressive policy news and contemporary political debates—from New Mexico’s pioneering move to universal, free childcare, to Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s controversial remarks about the roots of mass shootings, and finally, a Republican lawmaker’s rare defection to the Democratic Party. The conversation is sharp, engaging, and rooted in Pakman’s trademark analytical but accessible style.
Timestamps: [00:55]–[06:12]
Policy Announcement: David details New Mexico’s historic decision to provide free childcare for all state residents, regardless of income. The policy offers families up to a $12,000 annual credit per child, supported by the state's oil and gas fund.
"No state has done this before. ... It's expected to save families $12,000 a year per child and it'll be available to all residents regardless of income."
— David [00:55]
Implementation Nuances: The plan includes building new childcare facilities with a staff minimum wage of $18/hour. David notes that while $12,000/year may seem low in some states, New Mexico’s wages and cost of living are lower, making the subsidy highly impactful.
Economic and Social Impact: Pat praises the initiative, highlighting the potential for increased workforce participation, economic growth, and improved child development outcomes.
"You're directly helping families, giving them that $12,000 annually. You're also going to boost the workforce participation rate ... And then you also improve child development and equality."
— Pat [03:05]
Potential Challenges & Republican Pushback: Both hosts foresee criticisms around government giving away "free things," but underscore the initiative’s fiscal sense given New Mexico’s unique revenue streams.
Debate on Implementation in Other States: The hosts discuss whether New Mexico’s relatively small population and large geographic area make the program easier or harder to pull off, ultimately concluding that political will and budgetary commitment are bigger factors than demographics alone.
Timestamps: [06:12]–[11:57]
Context: David transitions to Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s recent comments suggesting a possible link between video games and mass shootings—a theory frequently revisited in American political rhetoric.
Comparing Gun Cultures: David rebuts RFK Jr. by contrasting Switzerland and the U.S., noting that while gun ownership rates are comparable, cultural and legal contexts are drastically different.
Quote:
"Culturally, it is a completely different relationship in Switzerland. They don't have the sickness we have in the US of seeing a gun as something to solve an interpersonal problem with."
— David [07:28]
Pat adds that Switzerland’s stricter regulations and required training are key differentiators.
Quote:
"Only ex military personnel in Switzerland are allowed to keep guns in their homes. So these are presumably people who have been trained in firearms and know what they're doing."
— Pat [08:15]
Evidence on Video Games and Violence: David summarizes extensive research showing no consistent link between violent video games and real-world shootings, though he acknowledges a weak connection for people already disposed to aggression. He cautions that the rarity of mass shootings makes statistical correlations tenuous.
"There is not a link between violent video games and shootings, but there may be some link between people predisposed to aggression, having their aggression escalated from playing a lot of violent video games. But that's a very tenuous connection to going out and shooting people."
— David [08:55]
Host Frustration with Recycled Debates: Both hosts express frustration that debunked theories like the video game hypothesis and vaccine-autism myth persist in public discourse.
Quote:
"It gets to a point where we've already researched these causes ... It gets debunked and it's time to move on because we've already spent the time and money researching that one particular possible causal link."
— Pat [11:01]
David calls for continued openness to research, but insists most evidence supports firearm access as the primary risk factor for mass shootings.
Timestamps: [11:57]–[15:59]
News Brief: David reports that Oregon State Rep. Soros (or Cyrus) Giovanni has left the GOP for the Democratic Party, citing a departure from core Republican principles—limited government, fiscal responsibility, free speech, free trade, and rule of law.
"I respect Gavarti because he is saying, here are my principles. I don't just abandon my principles because my party has. I abandoned my party because my party has abandoned the principles."
— David [12:26]
Rarity of Such Defections: Pat notes how rare it is for Republicans to switch parties in the current political climate—emphasizing that most “never-Trumpers” have likely already left and Giovanni is a state-level lawmaker, not a national figure.
"If they were doing the right thing, then of course they would also switch to becoming Democrats, or at least leave the Republican Party ... but it's few and far between."
— Pat [13:47]
Future of the Republican Party: The hosts speculate on the party's trajectory post-Trump, predicting a split between MAGA-aligned factions and more traditional or corporate Republicans.
"There could be a branch that is like the JD Vance type branch that is maybe closer to corporate interests ... And then you could have like a Marjorie Taylor Greene conspiracy theory type branch."
— Pat [15:15]
On New Mexico's Approach:
On Political Identity and Values:
On Non-Gun Factors in Mass Shootings:
On Policy Innovation:
This episode is a must-listen for those seeking an in-depth, critical look at progressive policy innovation and contemporary American political divisions—delivered with David Pakman’s signature clarity and wit.