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David Pakman (0:00)
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David Pakman (1:31)
Donald Trump has ordered the seizure of a Russian oil tanker in the North Atlantic, a US Boarding party on a Russian flagged ship with Russian naval assets reportedly nearby. And the question is, is this the brink of a global disaster or is this a carefully staged show to help both Trump and Putin? I will discuss After Trump's illegal raid in Venezuela and the capture of Nicolas Maduro, impeachment talk is now going completely mainstream. Trump knows it and he is saying they will impeach me if lose the House. And meanwhile, Trump met with House Republicans, spent 90 minutes ranting, dancing, literally dancing and bragging about cognitive tests and also go somewhere really dark which is floating the idea of canceling the 2026 election. Testing the idea out loud. Plus Megyn Kelly turns on Fox News over Venezuela and says, this is the propaganda I was expected to deliver when I worked there. We've got Marjorie Taylor Greene and Nancy Mace also saying things aren't looking good For Republicans, all of that and more. Today. We have a truly bizarre and potentially world altering situation today. There are confirmed reports that the U.S. coast Guard, under direct orders from the Trump administration, has successfully boarded and seized the Marinara. That's M A R I N E R A A Now a recently Russian flagged oil tanker. Now, on the surface, this looks like this kind of high seas brinkmanship that can lead to World War Three. You've got a U.S. boarding party on a Russian vessel while a Russian naval ship and a nuclear submarine are lurking miles away in the foggy waters near Iceland. But if you step back and you look at the 2026 geopolitical board, there is a much deeper and far more cynical narrative that we can interpret from this. And that's really what I want to focus on. The standard analysis is that the relationship between Trump and Putin is hitting a breaking point. It's souring. Trump is in his first year of his second term. He's captured Nicolas Maduro in this middle of the night raid which would not please Putin. And now he's seizing Russian property to, as he puts it, take back the oil that he says belongs to the United States. It seems like Trump has broken with Putin. But I think we need to think a little more deeply what is actually happening here. Are we watching Trump break with Putin or are we watching a carefully choreographed piece of performance diplomacy designed to benefit both Trump and Putin at the expense of the rest of the world? Now, think about the timing. We're heading into the 2026 midterms. The Putin's puppet narrative has been this kind of thorn in Trump's side, really for a decade now. By seizing a Russian ship in this dramatic fashion, Trump gets to tout his tough guy optics. He can tell the American voter, I'm not just standing up to Putin, I'm taking his ships and I'm going to lower your gas prices with the oil. And it provides the perfect political cover. What does Putin get? Well, look at the Russian response. It's so far it's only been hours, but muted and legalistic. No missiles flying and no immediate threats. And so the question is this? Some kind of great swap keeps coming up. In this 2026 version of the world, we are seeing the birth of what some call the Don Row doctrine. Trump essentially tells Putin, the Western Hemisphere is my personal backyard. I take Maduro, I take oil in the Western Hemisphere, I kick out your advisers from the Western Hemisphere. And what does Putin get in exchange? Probably some kind of green light to finalize his own security sphere in Eastern Europe without the United States interfering, which of course would include keeping a bunch of Ukrainian land and maybe more. This is like a 19th century style resource grab masquerading as a 21st century security crisis. Trump isn't citing international law to justify this. He's citing essentially a real estate dispute. Venezuela stole the oil through nationalization decades ago. This Russian tanker was Venezuela connected. We're taking it. And he's treating the US Military as this kind of global collection agency that's just going to go around. We collect Maduro, we take oil from this tanker, we take oil from that tanker. If the US can snatch a head of state and seize a tanker because it wants, because the President wants rather to take the oil that he decided belongs to him, we have the death of the kind of post World War II order. It becomes a mercantile geopolitics where the world is divided into spheres of influence. Strongman Trump gets the Western hemisphere and strongman Putin gets the Eastern hemisphere. So I think we just have to ask ourselves, and maybe more information will come out in the forthcoming hours, is this a genuine confrontation between Trump and Putin or is this part of a coordinated global realignment that will be finalized sometime in the spring when some of these leaders meet? I am very suspicious of this. That is where. That's as far as I can go right now. My guess is that the next 24 hours are going to give us a lot more information. Donald Trump is saying the quiet part out loud. If we do not win the House in November, they will impeach me. Trump spoke to House Republicans yesterday. He danced, he did his trans weightlifting routine. Hold on, do I have his grunts? No, I don't. But he also said he's going to get impeached. Here he is saying X.
