Transcript
A (0:06)
Welcome to the Dispatch podcast. I'm Steve Hayes. On today's roundtable, we'll go all in on politics. The numbers for Republicans are grim, months out from the 2026 midterms. What are their prospects? What's the likely outcome with the House? Is it possible the Senate will go to the Democrats as well? Will partisan redistricting efforts matter? We'll also discuss the state of the Democratic Party and their ongo identity crisis. And finally, for Not Worth youh Time, our most memorable meals with a source, either because of the food or the interviews or both. I'm joined today by my Dispatch colleagues, senior editor Mike Warren and senior writer David Drucker, as well as Jonathan Martin, Politico's politics bureau chief and host of the new interview series on the Road with Jonathan Martin. Let's dive, Gentlemen, welcome. There's a lot to get to today, so I want to jump right in and I want to start on Donald Trump and the Republicans heading into the midterms. No matter how you look at Trump, whether you're talking about his approval, whether you're talking about right track, wrong track, whether you're talking about affordability, whether you're talking about popular approval of what he's calling this excursion in Iran, he looks like an anvil around the necks of the Republican Party. And we know that historically the president's party doesn't do well in these midterms. Jonathan, I'll go first to you.
B (1:39)
Sure.
A (1:39)
Is there any reason that Republicans can feel anything but pessimistic about what they're looking at as they look forward to November?
C (1:49)
I mean, they could count on Democrats blowing it in couple of primaries, but I don't think that's much to go on. And even that may not be enough. Look, we know that wave cycles typically sweep in candidates who otherwise wouldn't win. So I'm not even sure that getting their preferred candidates out of Democratic primaries is gonna be enough. If this is really a Cat 4 or potentially even a Cat 5 type political storm, and you just look at where Trump's priority has been for the last month to six weeks, he's not interested in moving legislation. Well, he's not moving in. He's not interested in moving any bulls at all because he doesn't care about legislation or Congress. But the bill he to get done is a voter ID bill. So, Steve, if you're a member of Congress facing a tough race in 2026, the leader of your party only wants to pass a bill on voter ID, which when gas is now above $4, a gallon headed north. That doesn't do much for the average voter. It's a process issue, which matters a lot to folks who are incredibly online or watch like seven hours of Fox a day. But it just doesn't move the average voter. So there's not a lot of reason to be optimistic if you're a Republican going into the midterms right now.
