Mike Pesca (31:17)
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Chief Justice John Roberts and his conservative colleagues have given no sign so far. They will check President Trump's one man governance by executive order. Well, you know, he is the president, so that's, that's the only man or person who could try to attempt that governance. But also they have given some signs. For instance, he hasn't won on everything. For another, they don't always explain their rulings but in public. And sometimes they do. And the explanations which are sometimes also embedded in past rulings have, if not a logic then a through line to them. And the through line isn't necessarily we want to let Trump win, though others, including Catanja Brown Jackson says no, what you're doing is you want to let Trump win. The question I have, and I am among those who probably is on the non Freddie side of the authoritarianism is upon us continuum, but certainly open to the best arguments thereof. So the question I have is what to think about the shadow docket? Is the grand worry about it justified? And will the Trump wins usher in some version of authoritarianism in which there is no clawing back the society we once knew? Or will it be more the case that it's bad news for an FCC commissioner here, a former Department of Education worker? There's a I have some answers. So Trump did win 84% of the shadow docket cases, but keep in mind they drop the dogs. The drop the dog strategy means they take the cases to the Supreme Court that they think they could win. And so far, that is 21 victories, 19 in a row by a lot of counts. They did have about 80 losses from lower courts that they didn't even attempt to get the Supreme Court to overturn. So 21 temporary victories today on the gist list. I linked to a very good Reuters article which I'm going to talk about and add to if you're interested in subscribing to the Just List free today. Text Mike to 33777 so very commercial. Anyway, what the Just List Reuters article does is it lists some of the reasons why the Supreme Court ruled the way it did. And before I even get to that, I did find another case where it was a Trump win at the Supreme Court. But it wasn't even the case that the dissenters were all the liberal justices or even only liberal justices. Justice Sotomayor in one of the cases, which was Trump v. American Federation of Government Employees, this was about the executive firing government employees. She said, I think pretty sound. Logically, the plans, the firing plans themselves are not before the court at this stage, and thus we have no occasion to consider whether they can and will be carried out consistent with the constraints of law. So that lower court ruling was overturned. I mean, she's pointing to a sloppy judge ruling. That seems something even a liberal justice should do. The Reuters article said that the court identified specific errors by federal judges in four cases. All right. That twice issued opinions that lawsuits challenging a Trump policy were brought in the wrong lower court. They twice predicted Trump would eventually win. Wait a minute, you're allowed to do that? Yeah, that's a standard test. Or winning on the emergency or shadow docket is not the only test, but they can look ahead to the future and say, well, when this all plays out, we think the President's going to win. It's obvious that the person who asked for the stay is going to win. So we're going to put the stay in place now. Otherwise the eventual winner will be harmed because he won't have or we won't have, as the people who elected him, the benefits of his policy. And by the way, is the Supreme Court right to predict they're going to win? Yeah, probably. They are the sixth in the six three Katanji Brown. Jackson even complains about this. In one dissent that I came across, she was making a Calvin Ball analogy, you know, that Calvin and Hobbes thing. And she said there seemed to be only two rules, and one is that there are no rules, and the other is that the administration always wins. So what I'm saying, to go back to my original premise, when the Supreme Court issues a stay and says, yeah, we think the administration is going to win, they're probably right. But let's continue. Reuters found that there were a couple of cases that involved Trump's firing of Democratic officials from federal agencies that it will potentially overturn. This is the Humphreys executor case. You know, any time I could talk Humphreys executor, I'm going to talk Humphreys executor. This my pledge to you. So you add it all up. A bunch of these shadow docket cases.